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Home My WebLink About20153962.tiff RESOLUTION RE: ADOPT 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN WHEREAS, the Board of County Commissioners of Weld County, Colorado, pursuant to Colorado statute and the Weld County Home Rule Charter, is vested with the authority of administering the affairs of Weld County, Colorado, and WHEREAS, the Board has been presented with the 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan for the use and benefit of the County of Weld, State of Colorado, by and through the Board of County Commissioners of Weld County, on behalf of the Office of Emergency Management, and WHEREAS,the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan has been prepared in accordance with FEMA requirements at 44 C.F.R. 201.6, and WHEREAS, Weld County is a local unit of government that has afforded the citizens an opportunity to comment and provide input in the Plan and the actions in the Plan, and WHEREAS, the Plan has been submitted to FEMA and Weld County will review the comments when they are received, and work with FEMA to gain final approval, and WHEREAS,after review, the Board deems it advisable to adopt said Plan, a copy of which is attached hereto and incorporated herein by reference. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the Board of County Commissioners of Weld County, Colorado,that the 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan for the use and benefit of the County of Weld, State of Colorado, by and through the Board of County Commissioners of Weld County, on behalf of the Office of Emergency Management, be, and hereby is,adopted as approved by FEMA. C C DEtYL '//, 2015-3962 EM0016 ADOPT 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PAGE 2 The above and foregoing Resolution was, on motion duly made and seconded, adopted by the following vote on the 16th day of December, A.D., 2015. BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS W LD COUNTY, COLO DO ATTEST: dath"" tom( ,,..J a'• D•� arbara Kirkmeyer, C air Weld County Clerk to the Board EXCUSED Mike Freeman, Pro-Tem BY: I. • D y Clerk to the Bo- d ♦ l ` ti ! '-an P. Conway APP= !VTD A RM: 1861 � • �� %,�►►` _ ' ov/Tc- e A. Cozad 6 t r ttorney ♦ jj Steve Moreno Date of signature: /L' 2015-3962 EM0016 ��a' L18 6,1 �- ill PI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN [THIS PAGE LEFT INTENTIONALLY BLANK] 2 '! Ra ' Michael Baker - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Table of Contents 1 Certification of Annual Plan Review Meetings 8 2 Executive Summary 9 3 The Planning Process 10 3. 1 Background 10 3.2 Hazard Mitigation Planning 12 3.3 Local Methodology and Update Process 13 3.4 The Planning Team 16 3.5 Planning Meetings and Documentation 19 3.6 Public and Stakeholder Participation 23 3.7 Multi-Jurisdictional Planning and Participation 30 3.8 Existing Planning Mechanisms 32 4 County Profile 35 4. 1 Demographics 37 4.2 Social Vulnerability 39 4.3 Housing Stock 43 4.4 Critical Facilities 45 4.5 Future Development 48 5 Risk Assessment 54 5. 1 Introduction and Update Summary 54 5.2 Hazard Profiles 63 6 Mitigation Strategy 201 6.1 Introduction 201 6.2 Goals and Objectives Summary 203 6.3 2009 Hazard Mitigation Plan Action Report 205 6.4 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan Action Report 212 7 Plan Implementation and Maintenance 219 7. 1 Implementation Action Plan 219 Appendix A — Meeting Agendas & Sign-In Sheets 223 Appendix B — Community Profiles 239 Community Profiles 240 Town of Ault 241 City of Brighton 252 3 d , I!, • Michael Baker' L ^ '' INTERNATIONAL 1 EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT City of Dacono 278 Town of Erie 298 City of Evans 328 Town of Firestone 357 City of Fort Lupton 370 Town of Frederick 380 Town of Garden City 400 Town of Gilcrest 409 City of Greeley 419 Town of Hudson 440 Town of Keenesburg 456 Town of Kersey 474 Town of LaSalle 484 Town of Mead 498 Town of Milliken 511 Town of Pierce 532 Town of Platteville 541 Town of Severance 557 Town of Windsor 570 Appendix C — Local Jurisdiction Mitigation Outreach 585 Tables Table 1. Adopting Communities — Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan 18 Table 2. 2009 and 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Participation 31 Table 3. Population Forecasts for Weld County, 2000 - 2040 37 Table 4. 2014-2015 Economic and Demographic Snapshot 38 Table 5. Social Vulnerability Indicators 40 Table 6. County and State Housing Snapshot 43 Table 7. Weld County Critical Facilities 47 Table 8. Critical Facilities by Occupancy Type 47 Table 9. Population Forecasts by Region and County, 2000 - 2040 48 Table 10. State Demographers Office Population Projections by Region and County (2010 - 2040) 48 Table 11. Annual New, Privately-Owned Residential Building Permits Issued in Weld County 52 Table 12. Key Risk Assessment Terminology 54 Table 13. State/Local Plan Hazards Matrix 55 1861 C• 1, r : i'; • Michael Baker CC - N' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Table 14. Evaluation of Hazards for Inclusion in the 2016 Weld County Risk Assessment 56 Table 15 . Presidential Disaster and Emergency Declarations in Weld County 57 Table 16. Risk Factor Criteria 60 Table 17. Risk Factor Results for Weld County and Participation Jurisdictions 62 Table 18. Hazard Risk Conclusions for Weld County 63 Table 19. Summary of Vulnerability Analysis and Loss Estimation Methodologies 64 Table 20. Hazard Vulnerability Summary by Jurisdiction 70 Table 21. Drought Severity Classification 73 Table 22 . Historical Dry and Wet Periods in Colorado 74 Table 23. USDA Secretarial Disasters Affecting Weld County 2005 - Present 76 Table 24. Drought Impacts Reported in Weld County (2005 - 2015) 78 Table 25. Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale 85 Table 26. Notable Earthquake Events in Colorado (1870 - 2015) 86 Table 27. Economic Losses — Golden Fault Scenario ( Losses in Millions of Dollars) 95 Table 28. Golden Fault Scenario — Expected Damage to Critical Facilities 96 Table 29. National Weather Service Wind Chill Warnings 103 Table 30. Heat Index and Associated Heat Disorders 104 Table 31. Extreme Heat Warnings 104 Table 32. Extreme Cold Events in Weld County ( 1950 - 2015) 105 Table 33. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures 114 Table 34. Communities Participating in the FEMA NFIP 119 Table 35 . CRS Premium Discounts 119 Table 36. Weld County Historical Flood Events (1950 - 2015) 123 Table 37. Severe Repetitive Loss Property - City of Greeley 125 Table 38. SRL Structure - City of Greeley Loss Summary 125 Table 39. Flood Prone Critical Areas 128 Table 40. Flood Prone Critical Facilities — City and County Facilities 128 Table 41. Flood Prone Critical Facilities — Community Services 128 Table 42 . Economic Loss Estimates by Jurisdiction ( Hazus 100-year Flood Scenario)* 131 Table 43. Inventory Located in SFHA Areas (Current Prelim Data) 134 Table 44. Potential Losses of Inventory, 100-Year Flood Event 134 Table 45 . Hazardous Materials -- Classes and Descriptions 136 Table 46. CGS Land Subsidence Case Histories — Weld County 144 Table 47. Summary of Structures and Critical Facilities in Areas at High Risk of Land Subsidence 148 Table 48. Structures and Critical Facilities in Moderate Risk Areas of Weld County 158 Table 49. Colorado Reportable Disease Statistics (CDPHE), Weld County 161 Table 50. Impacts to Subjects Impacted by Public Health Emergencies 163 Table 52. Total Workdays Lost 164 Table 52. Pandemic Vulnerability Factor Data 166 Table 53. Historic Hail Events reporting loss in Weld County 171 Table 54. Lightning Strikes in Weld County* 173 Table 55 . Historic Winter Storms in the Weld County 174 Michael Baker c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Table 56. Fujita Tornado Damage Scale 178 Table 57. Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale 179 Table 58. Institutional Buildings 180 Table 59. Educational Institutions ( Elementary Schools, High Schools) 181 Table 60. Metal Building Systems 181 Table 61. Electric Transmission Lines 182 Table 62. Tornado History in Weld County ( 1950 - 2014) 183 Table 63. Severe Wind Event History in Weld County ( 1996 — 2014) 193 Table 64. Goals — 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan 203 Table 65. 2016 Weld County Mitigation Strategy — Updated Goals and Objectives 204 Table 66. Processes for Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Other Planning Mechanisms 222 Figures Figure 1. Weld County Jurisdictions Participating in the 2016 HMP Planning Process 17 Figure 2. Weld County Social Media Announcements 23 Figure 3 . Project Website Homepage 24 Figure 4. Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan — Web-Based Risk Assessment Results 29 Figure 5 . Map of Weld County 35 Figure 6. Weld County Transportation Routes 36 Figure 7. Weld County Social Vulnerability Assessment 42 Figure 8. Weld County Household Composition 44 Figure 9. Weld County Critical Facilities 46 Figure 10. Average Annual Percent Change in Population, Statewide 49 Figure 11. Projected Statewide Population Growth 50 Figure 12. Weld County Subdivisions 51 Figure 13. Summary of Disaster Declaration Events, Colorado (Source : FEMA Region VIII ) 58 Figure 14. Summary of Disaster Declaration Events, Weld County (Source: FEMA Region VIII ) 59 Figure 15. Map of Historical Earthquake Epicenters ( 1962 — 2015) and HAZUS Fault Scenarios 90 Figure 16. Map of PGA from Golden Fault Earthquake 92 Figure 17. Map of Total Economic Losses from Golden Fault Scenario 94 Figure 18. Map of Debris Generated from Golden Fault Scenario 97 Figure 19. Map of Displaced Households — Golden Fault Scenario 99 Figure 20. NOAA Wind Chill Chart 103 Figure 21. Mean Colorado Temperature Trends ( 1895 — 2015) 112 Figure 22. Floodplain Terminology 117 Figure 23. Map of Weld County Special Flood Hazard Areas 121 Figure 24. Map of Flooding Threat to Critical Facilities and DFIRM Depth Grid 127 Figure 25.Total Economic Losses ( 100-Year Flood Scenario) 130 Figure 26. Structures in the Special Flood Hazard Area 133 Figure 27. Colorado Hazardous and Nuclear Materials Route Restrictions 139 1 ► Michael Baker cc � ` - J INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Figure 28. A Semitrailer carrying hazardous materials rolled off a ramp and crashed in Greeley (Source: Greeley Fire Department, May 13, 2015) 140 Figure 29. Map of Undermined Areas in Weld County 143 Figure 30. Structures and Parcels Located in Undermined Areas 146 Figure 31. Critical Facilities Located in Undermined Areas 147 Figure 32. Prairie Fire near Weld County 149 Figure 33 . Map of Prairie Fire Risk 153 Figure 34. Map of Wildland-Urban Interface Risk 155 Figure 35. Weld County -- Prairie Fire Risk Index, Structure Exposure 157 Figure 36. Proportion of Workdays Lost due to Pandemic Influenza 165 Figure 37. Average Lightning Flash Density in the U .S 169 Figure 38. Colorado Lightning Flash Density Map 170 Figure 39. Weld County — Historical Hail Events 172 Figure 40. Tornado Touchdowns in Weld County, May 22, 2008 191 Figure 41. Weld County — Historical Tornado Events 192 Figure 42. Weld County — Historical High Wind Events 198 7 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 1 Certification of Annual Plan Review Meetings The Weld County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee ( HM PC) has agreed to review the contents of this Hazard Mitigation Plan annually. See Chapter 7 of this Plan for further details regarding the following table. The following table hereby certifies this review. YEAR DATE SIGNATURE 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 = is, Michael Baker I 8 I �! r11, ; a INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 2 Executive Summary In July 2015 a diverse group of stakeholders came together to update the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. This is the first time Weld County developed a Hazard Mitigation Plan on its own and the major goals of the planning effort were to re-evaluate local risk and vulnerability to hazards, to develop cross-jurisdictional partnerships and public outreach processes, and to develop a new, robust, county-specific hazard mitigation strategy. In September of 2013 Weld County experienced the most devastating flood in the county's history, resulting in damages to homes, businesses, public buildings and infrastructure. The flood event damaged over 2,000 residential parcels in Weld County, as well as over 1,400 agricultural and over 300 commercial parcels. One Hundred Sixty Weld County roads were under water or affected in some way by the flood and over 20 municipalities within Weld County were impacted by the event. Due to the flood event, a key priority of the county and its local jurisdictions was to update the hazard profile included in the existing Northeast Colorado Regional Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan with improved floodplain information that was collected after the 2013 floods. One of the long-term goals of the updated plan is to guide development away from high hazard areas and to use improved hazard mapping products to better communicate risk to local residents and stakeholders. The Weld County Office of Emergency Management (Weld OEM ), in coordination with other county departments, assumed the lead role in the development of the 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan . In order to ensure a meaningful planning process, Weld OEM actively encouraged participation from all jurisdictions within the county. Weld OEM fostered participation by prioritizing continuous contact (for example, by sending out regular email reminders and following up with phone calls to discuss action items and challenges). Weld OEM also met one-on-one with local jurisdictions to discuss the results of the risk assessment, to identify feasible mitigation actions, and to help with action prioritization . Developing ongoing relationships and collaboration related to the hazard mitigation plan remains a high priority for Weld County. Moving forward, the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee will build off of the relationships developed during this planning process and will continue to play an active role in annual plan reviews and resilience-building efforts 9 T Michael Baker ►.� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 3 The Planning Process This section of the Plan describes the mitigation planning process undertaken by Weld County and participating jurisdictions in the preparation of this Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan . This chapter consists of the following subsections: • Background • Hazard Mitigation Planning • Local Methodology and Update Process • The Planning Team • Planning Meetings and Documentation • Public and Stakeholder Participation • Multi-Jurisdictional Planning and Participation • Existing Planning Mechanisms • Community Profiles 3 . 1 Background Emergency Management is the discipline of identifying, managing, and avoiding risks. It involves preparing for a disaster before it occurs, supporting those affected by disasters, and planning and rebuilding after a natural or human-caused hazard event. Emergency Management is a cyclical, dynamic process by which individuals, groups, and communities attempt to manage hazards in an effort to avoid or reduce the impact of disasters. A critical piece of the Emergency Management Cycle is Hazard Mitigation Planning. Hazard Mitigation Planning is a process by which communities identify their risks and vulnerabilities and outline policies, capabilities, activities, and tools necessary to implement successful and sustainable mitigation strategies. Why is mitigation planning important? Mitigation planning offers many benefits, including: • Protection of lives and property; • Reduction of economic losses; • Quick and effective recovery following disasters; • Reduction of future vulnerability through smart development and post-disaster recovery and reconstruction; • Enhanced coordination within and across participating jurisdictions; • Efficient receipt of pre-disaster and post-disaster grant funding; and • Development of a firm commitment to improving community health, safety, and resilience. Mitigation planning is meant to result in long-term and recurring local benefits by breaking the repetitive cycle of disaster loss. A core assumption of hazard mitigation is that pre-disaster investments significantly reduce the demand for post-disaster assistance by lessening the need for emergency response, repair, recovery, and reconstruction . Furthermore, mitigation practices enable local residents, businesses, and industries to re-establish themselves in the wake of a disaster, getting the community economy back on track sooner and with less interruption . In practice, the benefits of mitigation planning go beyond reducing hazard vulnerability. For example, strategies such as the acquisition or regulation of land in known hazard areas can help achieve multiple = Michael Baker 10 cc - ` - '' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG community goals, including preserving open space, improving water quality, maintaining environmental health, and enhancing recreational opportunities. Thus, it is vitally important that local mitigation planning processes are integrated with other concurrent local planning efforts. Moreover, any proposed mitigation strategies must take into account other existing community goals or initiatives that will help complement or hinder their future implementation. Weld County and its municipalities have embraced this approach, identifying multiple opportunities to link the Plan with pre-existing programs, policies, plans, and initiatives. During the last two decades, the approach to the emergency management cycle has evolved considerably. A new emphasis has been placed on planning for disasters before they occur as a complement to effective response and recovery. As a result, hazard mitigation has gained increasing prominence as a critical part of emergency management. By implementing strategic hazard mitigation projects, local and regional risks can be proactively and systematically reduced over time. This 2016 Plan is the result of continuing work by the citizens of Weld County to update a regional pre- disaster multi-hazard mitigation plan . Not only will this Plan continue to guide the county towards greater disaster resistance, but will also respect the character and needs of local jurisdictions and their residents. PURPOSE Weld County adopted the Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan in September, 2009 . The 2009 Plan provided momentum for making homes, businesses, and communities as safe as possible against the impacts of floods, tornadoes, winter weather, and other natural hazards. It also assessed the effectiveness of prior and current programs and activities in the region and identified shortfalls; mitigation measures were further developed to help reduce the region's exposure to emerging natural hazards. Weld County has remained dedicated in continuing the work started in the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan and has elected to develop a county-scale hazard mitigation plan . The purpose of the 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan is: • To protect life and property by reducing the potential for future damages and economic losses that result from natural hazards; • To qualify for additional grant funding, in both the pre-disaster and post-disaster environment; • To provide quick recovery and redevelopment following future disasters; • To integrate other existing and associated local planning documents; • To demonstrate a firm local commitment to hazard mitigation principles; • To comply with state and federal legislative requirements tied to local hazard mitigation planning; and • To increase local and regional resilience to hazards. SCOPE This 2016 Plan has been prepared to meet requirements set forth by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and the Colorado Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management ( DHSEM ) in order for Weld County to be eligible for funding and technical assistance from state and federal hazard mitigation programs. It will continue to be updated and maintained to continually address those natural hazards determined to be of high and moderate risk as defined by the updated results of the local hazard, 1 ►T �� ' Michael Baker cc INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , risk, and vulnerability summary. Other natural hazards will continue to be evaluated during future updates of the Plan in order to determine if they warrant additional attention, including the development of specific mitigation measures intended to reduce their impact. This Plan will be updated and FEMA- approved within its five-year expiration date. AUTHORITY This Hazard Mitigation Plan has been adopted by Weld County and its participating jurisdictions in accordance with the authority granted to counties and municipalities by the State of Colorado. This Plan was developed in accordance with current state and federal rules and regulations governing local hazard mitigation plans. The Plan shall be monitored and updated on a routine basis to maintain compliance with the following legislation and guidance : • Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act, 42 U .S.C., Section 322, Mitigation Planning, as enacted by Section 104 of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 ( P. L. 106-390) and by FEMA's Interim Final Rule published in the Federal Register on February 26, 2002, at 44 CFR Part 201 The following Federal Emergency Management Agency ( FEMA) guides and reference documents were used to prepare this document: • FEMA. 386-1: Getting Started . September 2002. • FEMA. 386-2 : Understanding Your Risks: Identifying Hazards and Estimating Losses. August 2001. • FEMA. 386-3 : Developing the Mitigation Plan . April 2003. • FEMA. 386-4: Bringing the Plan to Life. August 2003 . • FEMA. 386-5 : Using Benefit-Cost Review in Mitigation Planning. May 2007. • FEMA. 386-6: Integrating Historic Property and Cultural Resource Considerations into Hazard Mitigation Planning. May 2005. • FEMA. 386-7: Integrating Manmade Hazards into Mitigation Planning. September 2003. • FEMA. 386-8: Multi-Municipality Mitigation Planning. August 2006. • FEMA. Coordinators Manual, National Flood Insurance Program Community Rating System . 2007. • FEMA. 386-9: Using the Hazard Mitigation Plan to Prepare Successful Mitigation Projects. August 2008. • FEMA. Local Mitigation Plan Review Guide. October 1, 2011 • FEMA. Local Multi-Hazard Mitigation Planning Handbook. March, 2013. 3 . 2 Hazard Mitigation Planning Local hazard mitigation planning is the process of organizing community resources, identifying and assessing hazard risks, and determining how to best minimize or manage those risks. The process results in a hazard mitigation plan that identifies specific mitigation actions, each designed to achieve both short term planning objectives and a long-term community vision . To ensure the timely implementation of each mitigation action, responsibility is assigned to a specific individual, department, or agency along with a schedule for its implementation . Plan maintenance procedures are established to help implement, evaluate, and enhance the Plan as necessary. Developing clear plan maintenance procedures ensures that Weld County's Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan remains a current, dynamic, and effective planning tool over time. 12 �1 ►% r ; �, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 3 . 3 Local Methodology and Update Process This updated Plan contains a comprehensive narrative that describes the planning process. All municipalities were notified of the participation requirements related to the adoption of the plan and the formation of the Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee ( HMPC) . Numerous planning meetings were held to ensure that all information contained in the plan is correct, and that the input provided by participating agencies, organizations, and the public has been included . Throughout the planning process, the Weld County HMPC reviewed and analyzed each section of the plan. In preparing the updated Plan, documentation indicates that the planning team utilized a multi-jurisdictional planning process consistent with the one recommended by FEMA (Publication Series 386) . Development of the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan was a collaborative effort on the part of the Northeast Colorado Emergency Management Association, a consortium of ten northeast Colorado counties, including Weld County. Originally developed in 2004, the 2009 version of the plan was the first update of the required 5 year plan update. In 2009, the planning process was led by two distinct planning teams: The Multi-County Planning Committee (MCPC) — a coordinating planning team made up of all 10 County Emergency Managers and select state and federal agency representatives, and 10 local government teams (County Planning Subcommittees) — one for each participating county. Every local government and adoption-eligible entity in each county was invited to participate. The following entities participated in the 2009 planning process through their participation in the Weld County Planning Subcommittee. Participating Jurisdictions in 2009 Participating Stakeholders in 2009 Weld County Town of LaSalle Centennial Critical Incident Stress City of Dacono Town of Mead Management City of Evans Town of Milliken AIMS Community College City of Fort Lupton Town of New Raymer Union Colony Fire Rescue Authority City of Greeley Town of Nunn ( UCFRA) — Greeley Town of Ault Town of Pierce Colorado Division of Emergency Town of Firestone Town of Platteville Management Town of Frederick Town of Severance Loup Reservoir Company Town of Garden City Town of Windsor BBWI — Fort St. Vrain Generating Town of Gilcrest Weld County RE-4, RE-6, and Station Town of Grover RE-8 School Districts South Weld Victim Services Town of Hudson Platte Valley Schools Town of Kersey Platte Valley Fire District At the start of the 2009 Plan update process, the MCPC developed a plan for public involvement designed to provide opportunities for the public and stakeholders to comment on the plan at all stages of its development. Because of the large size and diversity of the Northern Colorado Emergency Management planning region, the MCPC also relied greatly on the County Planning Subcommittees to inform and gather input from the public. The 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan and the current 2013 State of Colorado Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan were reviewed for incorporation into the 2016 Weld County Multi- Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan . Additionally, the following documents were reviewed and incorporated into the 2016 plan update as appropriate : • 2013 Colorado Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan • 2009 Weld County Water District Water Conservation Plan • 2013 Colorado Drought Mitigation and Response Plan • 2014 State of Colorado Action Plan for Disaster Recovery • City of Greeley 2060 Comprehensive Plan • 2014 City of Evans Riverside Master Plan • 2010 City of Evans Comprehensive Plan • 2012 Town of Gilcrest Comprehensive Plan Update • Town of Ault Comprehensive Plan • City of Dacono Comprehensive Plan (2015 update in process) • 2013 Firestone Master Plan • Fort Lupton Comprehensive Plan • 2007 Town of Hudson Comprehensive Plan • 2005 Town of Erie Comprehensive Plan • 2005 Keenesburg Comprehensive Plan • 2006 Town of Windsor Comprehensive Plan • 2012 Town of Eaton Comprehensive Plan • 2007/2013 Fort Lupton Comprehensive Plan • Town Frederick Comprehensive Plan (2015 update in process) • 2007 Johnstown Comprehensive Plan • Town of Kersey Comprehensive Plan • 2009 Town of Mead Comprehensive Plan • Town of Milliken Comprehensive Plan (2015 update in process) • 2010 Town of Platteville Comprehensive Plan The Weld County Planning Element of the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan addressed sixteen ( 16) natural hazards. Each hazard was assessed by previous occurrences, vulnerability, and exposure to County and municipal assets, and potential loss estimates. In addition, the 2009 Plan defined those hazards that were considered to have the highest probability of occurrence. The 2016 update to the 2009 Plan was initiated in May 2015 . Michael Baker International (located in Lakewood, Colorado) provided planning support and guidance to Weld County throughout the Plan update process. The planning process used for the 2016 Plan update was based on Section 322 of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 and supporting guidance developed by FEMA. The planning process followed the steps outlined below: • Conduct kickoff meeting with the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee ( HMPC) • Conduct a 5-year Plan review :r-1 fs Michael Baker cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , • Conduct a Hazard Risk Factor exercise • Establish a Weld County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee (HMPC) made up of local stakeholders and subject matter experts • Review and update the local hazard, risk, and vulnerability summary • Determine capability for the county and each municipality • Update the mitigation strategy • Update the Plan maintenance procedures • Complete a draft plan for review by the Weld County HMPC • Advertise opportunity/hold public meeting for comment on final draft • Provide final draft to DHSEM for review • Provide final draft to FEMA for review • Present Plan to municipalities for adoption • Present Plan to Weld County for adoption Each of the planning steps described above resulted in key products and outcomes that collectively make up the Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan. These work elements are further discussed below for introductory purposes. The County and Community Profiles, located in Chapters 4 and Appendix B, describe the general makeup of Weld County and its municipalities (respectively), including prevalent geographic, demographic, and economic characteristics. This baseline information provides a snapshot of the countywide planning area and thereby assists participating officials in recognizing those social, environmental, and economic factors that ultimately play a role in determining community vulnerability to natural hazards. The hazard Risk Assessment ( RA), found in Chapter 5, focuses on three elements for each identified hazard : Hazard Identification/Profile, Hazard Analysis and a Vulnerability/Loss Assessment. Together, these elements serve to identify, analyze, and assess Weld County's overall risk to natural and human- caused hazards. The RA builds on available historical data from previous occurrences, establishes hazard- by-hazard profiles, and culminates in a hazard risk priority or ranking based on conclusions about the frequency of occurrence, potential impact, spatial extent, warning time, and duration of each hazard. FEMA's Hazus loss estimation software was also used in evaluating known flood and earthquake risks according to their relative long-term cost, measured in expected damages. The RA is designed to assist communities in seeking the most appropriate mitigation actions to pursue and implement by focusing their efforts on those hazards of greatest concern and those structures or planning areas facing the greatest risk(s) . The Community Profiles and RA serve as the basis for establishing goals for this Plan, each contributing to the development, adoption, and implementation of a meaningful Mitigation Strategy update that is based on accurate background information and community goals. The Mitigation Strategy, located in Chapter 6, consists of broad goal statements as well as specific mitigation actions for each jurisdiction participating in the planning process. The updated strategy includes detailed Mitigation Action Guides (MAGs) that link jurisdiction-specific mitigation actions to locally assigned implementation mechanisms. Together, these sections are designed to make the 2016 Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Plan more strategic and functional through the identification of both long-term goals and near-term actions that will guide day-to-day decision-making and project implementation . In addition to the identification and prioritization of possible mitigation projects, emphasis has been placed on the use of program and policy alternatives to help make Weld County and participating municipalities less vulnerable to the damaging forces of nature while improving the economic, social, and environmental health of the community. The concept of multi-objective planning is emphasized throughout this Plan, identifying ways to link hazard mitigation policies and programs with complimentary community goals that may be related to housing, economic development, community revitalization, recreational opportunities, transportation improvements, environmental quality, land development, and public health and safety. This Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan should be seen as a representation of a coordinated effort to make Weld County and participating jurisdictions more livable, disaster resilient communities. The Plan Implementation and Maintenance procedures, found in Chapter 7, describe the measures Weld County and participating jurisdictions will take to ensure the Plan's continuous long-term implementation. The procedures also include the manner in which the Plan will be regularly monitored, reported upon, evaluated, and updated to remain a current and meaningful planning document. Local capabilities are outlined in this section to highlight strengths and areas of improvement related to personnel, planning capacity, and ongoing risk-reduction efforts. The Planning Team A well-rounded community-based planning team contributed heavily to the development of this Plan. Weld County engaged local government officials, public stakeholders, and county residents in local meetings and planning workshops to discuss and complete tasks associated with preparing the Plan . The Weld County HMPC consisted of members of participating local governments and districts, as well as public stakeholders, special interest groups, and county staff. Members of the HMPC participated in the risk assessment, mitigation strategy development, plan review, public outreach, and plan maintenance strategy. 16 I Michael Baker �'' r11 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN / \ , 4 PIER \ AU LTA / / t SEVERANCE V I . .-, 1. WINDSOR --r- r, GRFFI FY GARD�EN'CI iY-rItESY EN»77" x 1 b } 'i VA ! LA`SALLE { II yMILLIKEN SJ` GILCREST e ititgNIEAD r„t*-"-- 3 PLATTEVILLE - LONGMONT — ik 'FIRESTONE FREDERICK ,. , , HUW ON—KEEeruSBURG NE A..' n °FORT MPTON ACONO F R'I •; �` �BRIGHTON_LOCHBUIEi - - Figure 1. Weld County Jurisdictions Participating in the 2016 HMP Planning Process The jurisdictions listed in the following table represent participating members of the Weld County HMPC. Representatives from each of the following communities were responsible for participating in the updating of this Plan. s1? l I' Michael Baker t cc N -Y INTERNATIONAL W: EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Table 1. Adopting Communities — Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan oo e-i in in A A N in T M in m to it i..i to 4t i.-I ++ �--i +_' N to it r 1 �'+ M on tt r-1 be It Ln 'O i E to O E to O C t O it c to o O E bo O C to `l Jurisdiction bba tCD CO w E E - EE ^' J f0 N as N N i i as tv N i as as N. its Gi 0\0 `�' ri d ,1 d ,1 O in O "' a.- °C' C0n cn o N O O C. U U G U 2 Weld County X X X X X X X X Town of Ault X X X X X City of Brighton X X X X X X Town of Dacono X X X X X X Town of Erie X X X X X X City of Evans X X X X X X X Town of Firestone X X X X X X X City of Fort Lupton X X X X X Town of Frederick X X X X X X X Town of Garden City X X X X X Town of Gilcrest X X X X X City of Greeley X X X X X X Town of Hudson X X X X X X X Town of Keenesburg X X X X X X Town of Kersey X X X X X Town of LaSalle X X X X X X Town of Mead X X X X X X X Town of Milliken X X X X X X X Town of Pierce X X X X X Town of Platteville X X X X X Town of Severance X X X X Town of Windsor X X X X X X X Vf' H EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG After the initial HMPC kick-off meeting the committee was assembled regularly for meetings and plan development throughout all phases of the planning process. The HMPC reviewed drafts of the 2009 Plan, identified new information that needed to be included in the 2016 Plan update and incorporated it as required by state and federal guidelines. The HMPC was also tasked with collecting all accurate data from plan participants and provided outreach to the public and business stakeholders to ensure that everyone's information was included in this Plan . 3 . 5 Planning VeeLing5 and Documentation The preparation of the Plan update required a series of meetings and workshops intended to facilitate discussion and initiate data collection efforts with local community officials. More importantly, the meetings and workshops prompted continuous input and feedback from local officials, public stakeholders, staff, and subject matter experts throughout the update process. Below is a summary of the key meetings and workshops conducted throughout the development of the 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan . Sign-in sheets and meeting minutes are provided in Appendix A. HMPC PLANNING KICK-OFF MEETINGS The initial kick-off meetings for the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan were held on May 19th & 21St, 2015 . These meetings were organized specifically for the County's HMPC. The first meeting was held at the Weld County Office of Emergency Management. The second was held at the Weld County Southwest Services Building. . _ taitam' w 9�. -yam- e lib LLD% L 4: pitinitheimsons - 1 PA a e y ' Official representatives from all jurisdictions participating in the Hazard Mitigation Plan and representatives from stakeholder groups were invited to the kickoff meetings. The intent of the meetings was to introduce the mitigation planning update project to the HMPC and to the community at large. The following agenda items were discussed at both of the kick-off meetings: • Welcome and Introductions • Hazard Mitigation Planning Overview 19 'f ,► .r ; �, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIO,r • Jurisdictional Participation Requirements • Planning Process / Project Schedule • Hazards to Profile • 5-Year Plan Review Exercise • Mitigation Action Exercise and Review of Current Mitigation Goals and Objectives The kick-off meetings provided the project team with an opportunity to explain the DMA 2000 planning requirements, to explain jurisdictional participation expectations, and to present a project timeline to the planning committee. The meeting also initiated preliminary data collection efforts for the Risk Assessment as well as for Mitigation Strategy development. The kickoff meeting began with introductions and a presentation on the mitigation planning process facilitated by the county's contractor for this Plan development project, Michael Baker International ( MBI ). The meeting agenda included a review of jurisdictional participation requirements as well as the planning process and schedule. Specific data collection needs were thoroughly explained, including the need for accurate GIS data as well as any unique local hazard risk data available for specific areas of concern . During their presentation, the MBI Team led a brief review of the 2009 plan and conducted a 5-Year Plan Review exercise to reach consensus on which hazards would be profiled in the 2016 plan . Participating jurisdictions were encouraged to review the previous plan and provide input via an online Plan Review Survey. At the end of the meeting, participants were given three action items to complete : 1. Participating jurisdictions to submit Participation Letter (if not already done). 2. Participating jurisdictions to review the existing Plan's mitigation strategy and prepare to provide any comments and changes at the next planning team meeting. 3. Participating jurisdictions to review the existing Plan's mitigation actions ( projects) specific to that jurisdiction and prepare to provide status reports during the next planning team meeting. HMPC PLANNING MEETING #2 The second planning team meeting was held on August 26th, 2015 from 3 :00 - 5:00PM at the Weld County Emergency Operations Center in Greeley. Official representatives from all jurisdictions and districts participating in the Hazard Mitigation Plan and representatives from other organizations and stakeholder groups were invited to participate. The intent of the meeting was to review the results of the HMPC surveys, to increase HMPC familiarity with the Risk Assessment results and how to use the interactive webmap, to define the goals and objectives of the County Mitigation Strategy, and to collect status updates on mitigation actions included in the 2009 Plan from participating communities. The following agenda items were discussed at the second planning meeting: • Welcome and Introductions • Review of Jurisdictional Participation Requirements • Review of 5-Year Plan Review & Risk Factor survey results • Review of on-going public survey results • Presentation of Risk Assessment Results & Webmap • Define the updated Mitigation Strategy's Goals & Objectives Michael Baker 20 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIO,r' • Review status updates for 2009 Mitigation Actions • Planning Process / Project Schedule • Jurisdictional meetings/outreach tracking • Bi-county jurisdiction clarification The second planning meeting provided the project team with an opportunity to reiterate the participation requirements and to present the results of the Risk Assessment to members of the HMPC. The HMPC was encouraged to leverage the interactive GIS maps on the project website as they worked to identify priorities and mitigation actions for the 2016 Mitigation Strategy. During their presentation, the MBI Team introduced the jurisdiction-specific Mitigation Action Guides ( MAGs) that were developed as a planning tool for the multi-jurisdictional project. Each jurisdiction was assigned a number of MAGs, which are designed to help keep track of how mitigation projects are progressing. At the end of the meeting, participants were given three action items to complete : 1. Participating jurisdictions to submit Participation Letter (if not already done) . 2. Participating jurisdictions to review the 2009 Plan's mitigation actions/projects and provide progress updates. 3. Participating jurisdictions to begin updating old and drafting new Mitigation Action Guides for 2016 Plan . HMPC PLANNING MEETING #3 The third set of planning team meetings was held on the evenings of October 7th and 8th at the Weld County EOC and the Fort Lupton Fire Training Center, respectively. Official representatives from all jurisdictions and districts participating in the Hazard Mitigation Plan and representatives from other organizations and stakeholder groups were invited to participate. Organized as a working session, the intent of the meeting was to discuss and finalize plan maintenance and implementation strategies for both the County and its participating jurisdictions, to finalize local Mitigation Action Guides ( MAGs), and to prioritize mitigation actions at the community level. The following agenda items were discussed at the third planning meeting: • Welcome and Introductions • Review and Confirmation of Formal Adoptees • Planning Process/Project Schedule • HMPC Survey #3 Results — Discussion of Plan Maintenance and Implementation • Mitigation Action Guide ( MAG) Working Session o 2004 and 2009 Action Reporting o 2016 Action Finalization o CRS Review and Discussion o Existing Community Plan Review • Mitigation Action Prioritization Exercise The third round of planning meetings gave participating communities the opportunity to work directly with the project team and local subject matter experts to refine their identified mitigation projects. The workshop setting proved incredibly helpful for vetting ideas, sharing resources, and establishing best Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG practices for project implementation and maintenance. Members of the HMPC revisited the interactive GIS maps on the project website as they worked to refine their MAGs and identify additional mitigation actions for the 2016 Mitigation Strategy. • a. iv" • IMF ~ • ., l ' .4 K - A • SW 4 1 ` • er Abk During the third planning meeting members of the HMPC worked with staff from Weld County OEM and Michael Baker International to prioritize each of their identified mitigation actions. Using the STAPLEE method recommended by FEMA in the State and Local Mitigation Planning How-To Guide, each community weighed the pros and cons of their different mitigation actions based on social, technical, administrative, political, legal, economic, and environmental considerations. The objective was for each jurisdiction to systematically prioritize their mitigation projects in a way that led to an overall Mitigation Strategy that was realistic, cost effective, and attainable. At the end of the meeting, participants were given four action items to complete: 1. Participating jurisdictions to submit Participation Letter (if not already done) . 2. Participating jurisdictions to deliver final 2004 and 2009 MAG updates for incorporation into the 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan 3. Participating jurisdictions to deliver final 2016 MAGs for incorporation into the 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan 4. Review Draft 2016 Plan online, advertise draft review process to local residents and public, and submit comments on Draft Plan . The Weld County Office of Emergency Management actively pursued participation from all jurisdictions within Weld County in the hazard mitigation planning process. Starting in July 2015, Weld OEM encouraged participation by sending out email reminders. They later followed up by phone call . OEM also offered to meet with jurisdictions, and did so with Hudson, Nunn, Severance, Mead, Fort Lupton, Frederick W Michael Baker 22 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENI WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a , -, , and Dacono. In addition, numerous phone conferences and email exchanges were held to assist jurisdictions in completing their MAG updates and new MAGs during this process, including Fort Lupton, Brighton, Firestone, Greeley, Severance, Gilcrest, Erie, Windsor, Garden City, Pierce, Platteville and Keenesburg. Developing ongoing relationships and collaboration on hazard mitigation planning remains a high priority for Weld County. 3 . 6 Public and Stakeholder Participation An important component of the success of Weld County's mitigation planning process involved ongoing public, stakeholder, and jurisdiction participation . Individual citizen involvement provided the HMPC with a greater understanding of local concerns and ensures a higher degree of mitigation success by developing community "buy-in" from those directly affected by the planning decisions of public officials. A broad range of public and private stakeholders, including agencies, local businesses, nonprofits, and other interested parties were invited to participate in the development of the 2016 Plan. Stakeholder involvement was encouraged through Weld County's invitations to agencies and individuals to actively participate in local planning meetings and to interact with the planning materials and surveys posted on the project website. Below are examples of a few of the planning announcements and public meeting invitations created and distributed by members of the HMPC. WELD COUNTY , FP" Weld County Government Leading with responsive, innovative and cost etiective services. gal"— 2 hrs Edited 1/44 PIMISI '' S . 1j . _. , Vitt ., Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan sire- weld County Government �° + Weld County and all of its jurisdictions have recently kicked-off the planning �"'� Gavc:rmc�d rrtgv.�tah:n J.w. rirria wwwwnn,-nvrorn ,, ,.,,, , ,•,,,. ,,,_•,,,�_,_, process to update our hazard mitigation plan. For information about the t:•osorni•Ow .—.... project and to learn more about hazard mitigation, please visit our project w %SheAOVRE IMO ISUEEDE1, 1..... website at www.WeldHt:1P2016.com. a— Imw oow. Wed CC7 it as friseiR.n. Aoe M».rw61105.1e my 41J'�. �- - — • �•www- w"'�-'Ia" •" ,� See survey below (only 8 questions). oa,µtl= . .. The goal of updating the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan is to continue _ "" to make Weld County more resilient to the hazards that impact us all. Public -..... r..o,,,. .. 7: Jr, ",.. ., airs participation is a valuable part of the planning process, and we value your ,�w,,,NS"W ; input! Please take a brief survey at ...... http.//w 'w.weldhmp2016.comihomelsurveys and tell us what you think. ill .. _-1 Thank you for your time and participation. Lir t,. WAR I ; �. � ..v.ctttm,.o nw>...r lir RENT ' a -- MIN_ 1�-.�,- I I :�a'..9&. S.S _ u,I Roa.fk umikrt NWRi.aMt Gds.LS.— A, ,, q - Figure 2 . Weld County Social Media - -.. I 4 ' 'r Announcements . 1n�. .'t •ft‘ ;.m:. . - A- - Like Comment Share b Liz Lawson, Fernando Medina, Mala Murray-Wallace Calkins and 10 others like this. Multiple media platforms were used in order to reach and engage the maximum number of local and regional stakeholders. Communication pathways included printed newspapers and neighborhood _ _. 7 ) Michael Baker t , co _: v -; V21 INTERNATIONAL w,:jii;EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT newsletters, social media outlets including Twitter and Facebook, and County and local jurisdiction websites and email lists. Additionally, a website was created to provide information to public stakeholders and to obtain feedback on the 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. ' In addition to providing hazard mitigation information, announcements and calendar information, the draft Plan was posted on the website for public review and comment. Community members were encouraged to share their input, photos and experiences for use during the hazard mitigation planning process. The screen shot below provides a visual of the project website.• eallaWeld County 2016 Multi-jurisdictional ` Hazard Mitigation Plan A- • If ' i Search this site �a • Home Project Schedule Meetings Plan Documents Risk Assessment Surveys Reference Documents Home Welcome to the project website for the 2016 Weld County, Colorado Multi-jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. Please check back often for project updates and postings. This website will be discontinued after the project is completed. What is Hazard Mitigation? Sir The term "Hazard Mitigation" describes actions that can help reduce or eliminate long-term risks caused by hazards, or disaster, such as floods, hurricanes, wildfires, landslides, tornadoes, _ earthquakes, dam failures, or terrorism. As the costs of disasters continue to rise, governments \,,-_ -and ordinary citizens must find ways to reduce hazard risks to our communities and ourselves. • ' rt Efforts made to reduce hazard risks are easily made compatible with other community goals; • in . safer communities are more attractive to employers as well as residents. As communities plan • is. •• A:, a .. • • for new development and improvements to existing infrastructure, mitigation can and should be an important component of the planning effort. , While mitigation activities can and should be taken before a disaster event has the chance to no occur, after disasters hazard mitigation is essential. Oftentimes after disasters, repairs and - reconstruction are often completed in such a way as to simply restore damaged property to pre- a disaster conditions. These efforts may "get things back to normal", but the replication of pre- 1 disaster conditions often results in a repetitive cycle of damage, reconstruction, and repeated damage. Hazard mitigation breaks this repetitive cycle by producing less vulnerable conditions - through post-disaster repairs and reconstruction. The implementation of such hazard mitigation actions now by state and local governments means building stronger, safer and smarter communities that will be able to reduce future injuries and future damage. About the Project Weld County created its previous Mitigation Plan in accordance with the requirements of the Federal Stafford Act, the National Flood Insurance Act, and 44 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR). That Northeastern Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan was approved by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) on December 2, 2009. Usually, these plans must be updated and approved by FEMA every five years. Due to the damaging floods in the fall of 2013, Weld County did not have the resources available to update their plan within that five year window. The County received an extension from FEMA due to these Extraordinary Circumstances which expires on February 26, 2016. Weld County and its participating jurisdictions, agencies, and organizations are now in the process of updating their Hazard Mitigation Plan and expect to have it approved by that February 26, 2016 date. For this update cycle, the County has decided to step away from the northeastern regional planning approach and instead produce a plan specific to the County and its participants. This will allow the plan and planning process to better focus on the specific needs of Weld County and its citizens. Weld County will benefit from this project by: Figure 3 . Project Website Homepage The website included two public surveys designed to gather information about public hazard risk perceptions and visions for community resilience : 1 The project website was discontinued upon completion of the Plan update. 11nMichael Baker KJVl 1 jt INTERNATIONAL r,. ra WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a , 1. Survey #1 — Public Hazard Risk Perceptions: The purpose of this survey was to engage citizens in order to better understand risk perceptions among members of the Weld County community and to identify the best ways to communicate with public stakeholders moving forward . 2. Survey #2 — Visions for a Resilient Weld County: The purpose of this survey was to gather preliminary information from community members and stakeholders about the current capacities and resiliency conditions of their community as well as a long-range vision for a resilient Weld County. The survey included an introductory definition of resilience (developed with the help of the HMPC) and gathered input about ways to improve community capacity and capabilities. The surveys were utilized throughout the planning process to engage with and educate local residents. Information and comments from the surveys were shared with members of the HMPC and used to guide the planning process. Links to the surveys were posted on the website and updates were communicated through the Weld County Facebook page. Participating jurisdictions also posted links to the public surveys on their local websites and social media links to gather input from interested stakeholders. At the time of the third and final HMPC team meeting a total of 112 Weld County residents had submitted responses for the "Visions for a Resilient Weld County" survey. Ninety nine residents submitted responses for the "Public Risk Perceptions" survey. The HMPC and project team were excited about the response rate for both surveys, which greatly exceeded previous survey participation for similar planning efforts. The results of the Visions for a Resilient Weld County survey will be used for ongoing planning projects related to hazard risk reduction and community resiliency. This includes the County's proposed "Resiliency Study" which was scoped during the 2016 HMP planning process and has been included in this Plan as a 2016 Mitigation Action . Overview Season, • VS Selectarnctr< Hourly Day Week Month • Sessions 1,000 500 Apri2015 U y2015 June2015 Jub7015 August 2015 Se01ernter20t5 ..... •Neer Visitor ■Returning Visitor 3asswrs Usets Pagenews Pages J Session Ay.Session Dwation Bounce Rate 2.499 2,247 3,480 1.39 00:00:49 81 .51% 9" 0 Nevi Sessions 79 only 3;t% The image above shows a summary of project website traffic throughout the duration of the hazard mitigation planning effort. Close to 2,500 user sessions were logged who visited the project website. Involvement peaked in June and July of 2015 when members of the HMPC began to encourage resident and local stakeholder participation through the surveys and interactive risk assessment maps. 11►1, ' � , Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Below, the chart shows the age distribution of website users during the planning process. The majority of visitors were between the ages of 25 and 34. Younger visitors were also more common . Not surprisingly, visitors over the age of 55 were rare. It was noted for future planning processes, that additional effort will be taken on the part of the HMPC to engage older residents through more traditional public engagement methods, for example: open houses, town hall meetings, brown-bag lecture lunches at local gathering places, and radio / TV advertisements. Age 100% of total sessions 27.50% 33.50% 15.50% 12.50% 5.50% 5.50% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Tied to this lesson learned, a final outreach effort relating to this hazard mitigation planning process will occur in January of 2016. The HMPC will coordinate to identify an existing public event where an informative booth will be set up to review the Plan with community members and to discuss the hazards identified and the county and jurisdiction's mitigation strategy and actions for the next five years. This community outreach will be focused on the county's rural communities that may not have participated with the project website or social media messaging. i Michael Baker 26 ; 1, x, : G` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Weld Public Risk Perceptions Q7 What is the most effective way for you to receive information about how to make your home and neighborhood more resistant to hazards (you may select more than one)? Answered: 84 Skipped. I Newspaper TV Racks I Internr:t any Social Media Mau Public Workshops Town Hall . Meetings 0 : 13` 2C:. a )% 80% 90% 10O% Answer Choices Responses Newspaper 16.67% Tv 42.86% Radio 34.52% Internet and Social Media wittcr Facobook) 85.71% >,T Mail 42.88 38 Public. WcrIcshops 13.10' 11 Town Hall Meetings ' i 6 Total Respondents: 84 In addition to the project website, the Michael Baker International Team used the data from the results of the risk assessment to create a series of interactive online maps. Available to the public on the internet, the maps served as a tool for analyzing hazards and patterns of risk at various scales within the county. In addition to helping members of the HMPC visualize and assess their risks to various hazards, the online maps were also designed as an outreach tool and were used to communicate risk to the public and to ground-truth quantitative risk assessment results at local public meetings throughout the planning process. The figure below provides a screen shot of the online mapping tool . Available layers related to hazard risks and vulnerability are visible on the left hand side of the screen . Finally, participating members of the Weld County HMPC were encouraged to initiate and sustain their own public outreach program throughout the planning process. These local representatives serve as a Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG vital link between the county and its businesses and residents and the conversations they held outside of the formal hazard mitigation planning meetings helped to ensure a successful planning process. Throughout the planning process, members of the HMPC leveraged any opportunities that they had to inform the public about the hazard mitigation planning project. Not only did their efforts help to inform citizens about the planning process it contributed to the ultimate goal of creating a more disaster resilient Weld County. A few participating communities documented their public interactions in order to keep track of strategies that worked and to facilitate improved outreach efforts during the next plan update. This information is included in Appendix D . 28 •, Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN prcGIS - Weld County Hazard Mitigation Risk and Vulnerability Assessment I. Sign In I1.1" Details I Z2 Eta:rrnap I W Share A Print Ci Measure find address ca place 0 ttl1 i - I O About [' content Legend 1 : Contents I lr•J - - Quaternary Falit . J ...•••Il Historic Fallhquake Epicenters !©I __44,MAO n ir um - _ L VC: r GI::I I' I g ', J a..4I; quaternary Faults -- -- I�:kit il. I ,/ .' -- S•:l'I t? \ —1111 -- Fcrt I k� -�' Collins % �- � 8 k- Weld - Underndned Areas 't"" I = air nl , ; 9t Il i. all yl ..• Tine 1 1` la toe 3 i __ i .. _ r 1 4 c ..Of • N-/' a • • — 4 ti Jw A O s /. . a �Ir Y a Salle �w •iS•'�n • a n en Ty i+ M ii TRI1 1 • N II•Ikiii'i / 1 CR��,tlaua 1 + rya3-3B 1 r, .� . 2. aI1H / 1 .."-•-•-•--.N. on7 t. .C� � �� hoe l•� •V t Iona weld - Social Vulnerability h1i,' —4r .:1 �• la ' • f--r _. topographic Cai 4d re. ..m. re,bu ...;;•r. .:.,ti..l-. I , . . - - Figure 4. Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan — Web-Based Risk Assessment Results - A �i 3 ` r p I rl r' ►i ' .{r era EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 3 . 7 Multi-Jurisdictional Planning and Participation The 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan is a multi-jurisdictional plan. To satisfy multi-jurisdictional participation requirements, each of the local jurisdictions listed in the participation table below committed to the planning process. Each jurisdiction wishing to join the planning partnership acknowledged their understanding of the following expectations: • Each jurisdiction/partner will support and participate in the meetings of the Steering Committee overseeing the development of the update. Support includes allowing this body to make decisions regarding plan development and scope on behalf of the partnership. • Each jurisdiction/partner will provide support as needed for the public involvement strategy developed by the Steering Committee in the form of mailing lists, possible meeting space, and media outreach such as newsletters, newspapers or direct-mailed brochures. • Each partner will participate in plan update development activities such as : o Steering Committee meetings o Public meetings or open houses o Workshops and planning partner training sessions o Public review and comment periods prior to adoption . • Each partner will be expected to review the risk assessment and identify hazards and vulnerabilities specific to its jurisdiction . Contract resources will provide jurisdiction-specific mapping and technical consultation to aid in this task, but the determination of risk and vulnerability ranking will be up to each partner. • Each partner will be expected to share information about mitigation activity/progress and capital improvement projects in their jurisdictions since the adoption of the 2009 plan. • Each partner will identify at least one mitigation action for each of the hazards identified for their community. Local agencies/individuals responsible for implementing and tracking these mitigation actions will also be identified by participating jurisdictions and included in the plan. • Each partner will be expected to review the mitigation recommendations chosen for the overall county and evaluate whether they will meet the needs of its jurisdiction. Projects within each jurisdiction consistent with the overall plan recommendations will need to be identified, prioritized, and reviewed to identify their benefits and costs. • Each partner will be required to sponsor at least one public meeting to present the draft plan at least 2 weeks prior to adoption . • Each partner will be required to formally adopt the plan . • Each partner agrees to the plan implementation and maintenance protocol . Attendance was tracked at all planning activities and attendance records are included in the Appendix of this plan. All participating communities attended and actively participated in all meetings. Participating jurisdictions acknowledged that their failure to meet these criteria may result in being dropped from the partnership by the County, and thus losing eligibility under the scope of this plan. 30 Michael Baker cc � ` - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , •., Table 2. 2009 and 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Participation PARTICIPATED IN 2009 PARTICIPATED IN SIGNED JURISDICTION NORTHEAST CO 2016 WELD PARTICIPATION 2016 ADOPTION DATE REGIONAL HMP COUNTY HMP LETTER Weld County • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Ault • • • [INSERT DATE] City of Brighton • • [INSERT DATE] City of Dacono • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Erie • • [INSERT DATE] City of Evans • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Firestone • • • [INSERT DATE] City of Fort Lupton • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Frederick • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Garden • • • [INSERT DATE] City Town of Gilcrest • • • [INSERT DATE] City of Greeley • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Hudson • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of • • • [INSERT DATE] Keenesburg • Town of Kersey • • [INSERT DATE] Town of LaSalle • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Mead • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Milliken • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Pierce • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Platteville • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Severance • • • [INSERT DATE] Town of Windsor • • • [INSERT DATE] \ta c=-Lt, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL Ft. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 3 .8 Existing Planning Mechanisms There are numerous existing regulatory and planning mechanisms in place at the state and county levels of government which support hazard mitigation planning efforts. These tools include the State of Colorado Hazard Mitigation Plan, county subdivision regulations and road and bridge standards, the Weld County Comprehensive Plan, and local zoning regulations. These mechanisms were discussed at mitigation planning meetings and the Weld County HMPC reviewed all available technical information and had incorporated them into this Plan update. Moving forward, the local jurisdictions included in the 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan will continue to integrate the goals and actions of the Plan into their evolving local planning mechanisms, including comprehensive plans, capital improvement plans, and resource and land use regulations. The State of Colorado mitigates natural hazards by way of diverse statutes and programs. Funded by the state and federal government, several agencies and programs within the state implement mitigation actions through assistance to local governments. State statutes that are applicable to hazard mitigation are listed below: • County Fire Planning Authority, Colorado Statute, Title 30, Article 11, Part 1 :30-11-124 • Colorado Revised Statute, 24-65-101 & 102 • Colorado Revised Statutes, 25-65-105 & 24-65-104 • County Building Codes — Master Plan, Colorado Statute, Title 30, Article 28, Part 1 :30-28-106 • Local Government Land Use Control Enabling Act, Colorado Revised Statute, 29-20-101, et seq • Local Land Use Control and Regulation, Colorado Revised Statute, 29-20-104 • Colorado Wildfire Preparedness Plan and Fund, Colorado Revised Statute 24-30-310(2)(3) • Fire Suppression Program Rules, Colorado Revised Statute, 24-33 .5-1205( 1) (a) • State Fire Ban Authority, Colorado Revised Statute, 24-30-308 • Colorado Geological Survey (CGS), Colorado Statute, 34-1-1-1 & 103 • CGS Land Use Review Program (Subdivision Law), Colorado Revised Statute, 30-28-101, et seq • Soils & Hazard Analyses of Residential Construction Act, Colorado Revised Statute, 6-6.5-101 • Drought Mitigation Planning, Colorado Revised Statute, 37-60-126.5 • Building Codes — Zoning — Planning, Colorado Revised Statute, 22-32-124( 1) • Colorado Floodplain Management Authority, Colorado Revised Statute, 24-65. 1-403( 1) • Emergency Dam Repair Cash Fund, Colorado Revised Statute, 37-60-122 .5 • Flood Response Fund, Colorado Revised Statute, 37-60-123 .2 • Office of Smart Growth, Colorado Revised Statute, 24-32-3201 et seq • State Engineer — High Hazard Dams Reports, Colorado Revised Statute, 37-87-123 • State Planning and Interest, Colorado Revised Statute, 24-65 . 1-203 Colorado Statute includes a number of measures that dictate the state's ability to influence land use decisions and subsequently impact local vulnerability to hazards. In most cases, these statutes allow county level and local governments to establish their own rules and regulations. Weld County's risk and vulnerability reduction efforts are supported by additional planning efforts, including the following: 32 �1; ►% r ; �, Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN • The Weld County Comprehensive Plan (2015) • Colorado Emergency Resource Mobilization Plan (2012) • State of Colorado Emergency Operations Plan (2013) • State of Colorado EOP Emergency Support Function Annexes (2013) : o ESF# 1 Transportation o ESF # 2 Communications o ESF # 3 Public Works and Engineering o ESF # 4 Firefighting o ESF 44 5 Emergency Management o ESF 44 6 Mass Care, Housing, and Human Services o ESF # 7 Resource Support o ESF 44 8 Public Health and Medical Services o ESF # 8 A Behavioral Health o ESF # 9 Search and Rescue o ESF 44 10 Oil and Hazardous Materials Response o ESF 44 11 Agriculture and Natural Resources o ESF # 12 Energy o ESF # 13 Public Safety and Security o ESF # 14 Long-Term Community Recovery and Mitigation o ESF # 15 External Affairs • State of Colorado EOP Supporting Annexes (2013) : o Evacuation o Geographic Information Systems (GIS) o International Coordination o Public Affairs o Tribal Relations o Volunteer and Donations Management • State of Colorado EOP Incident Annexes (2013) : o Drought Incident o Tornado Incident o Mass Casualty Incident o Earthquake Incident o Landslide and Debris Flow Incident o Flood Incident o Winter Incident o Terrorism, Law Enforcement, and Investigation Incident o Cyber Incident o Biological Incident o Chemical Stockpile Emergency Preparedness Program Incident • Weld County Charter and the Weld County Code 33 Michael Baker a INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Weld County is a participant in the National Flood Insurance Program ( NFIP). Since it entered the program, the County has adopted the minimum NFIP requirements and imposed additional requirements into its Charter and County Code and Ordinances. These additional requirements, outlined in the Weld County Storm Drainage Criteria Manual, were adopted for consistency with the rules and procedures of the Urban Drainage and Flood Control District ( UDFCD) Urban Storm Drainage Criteria Manual to provide a higher level of floodplain management than required by FEMA. In the future, this plan will serve as a source document and will be incorporated into existing planning mechanisms as they are updated or developed . These planning mechanisms enhance the county's mitigation strategy and are therefore incorporated into several of the mitigation actions identified in this Plan . For example, floodplain ordinances in Weld County serve to guide development away from hazardous areas while local stormwater management plans reduce the effects of erosion due to increased runoff. During the planning process, the planning team worked with local jurisdictions to identify ways in which identified mitigation actions/projects will be incorporated into their existing planning and regulatory mechanisms over time. The results of these conversations and planning activities are described in each Community Profile. 34 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 4 County Profile Weld County is located in the Northern Front Range of central Colorado. The County spans an area from northern Metro Denver to the Wyoming state line. Slightly less than four thousand square miles in size, the county seat is located in the City of Greeley, and thirty-one incorporated municipalities lie within the County's borders. Weld County is the third largest county in the State in terms of land area and is larger than the size of Rhode Island, Delaware, and the District of Columbia combined . - o— « Pawnee cai National '"" Grassland Pawnee National A , Grassland r��I fr n, I I } 4 „tr. - . �`Wl11oS� T uy in. 4. aria(. _ _ .�.rwr••r.• • Hvntte man. I sap\ " Env.VrM wrest NF 411• N1ft rugrst•no - 176 -. -rnP Arpu. 4i + + + c/ -ary.J.pv 176 -an..L•r1laa ANNV.. • • T / 4. t 1 T v. : -4. . SrrrG/rtns T T or a ?Fr {. 'rite"! T tapa }' ..r * ` ` ') OpenStreetMap (and) contributors. CC-BY-SA Figure 5 . Map of Weld County Relatively flat in terms of terrain and topography, the northeastern portions of Weld County does contain the Pawnee National Grassland and the Pawnee Buttes, two prominent rock formations that stand out against the plains. Two interstate highways run through the County: 1-25 ( US 87) runs through the southwestern and northwestern corner and I-76 from the south central edge northeastward to the Morgan County border. Other major transportation routes include US 85 and US 34, which intersect near Greeley, and State Highway 14, which runs through Ault. Many of Weld County's incorporated cities and towns are located along these highway corridors although the county consists of a number of gravel roads that serve to connect communities to amenities. Michael Baker cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN W VII - 125 145 off u.fa d 12$ 128 r ar H Grov.r ' ' 145 0 U 131 71 O 4 toe 1°° ! 85 f Y[/S hn°tm unn \ .rc. 14 Weld County Rd 90 o9rippsdd. F olllns Rayma Stoneham 0 0 r• i . ?own A rport 1{ tilt 91 82 , INSkinin Si - aton waran Galion N;;\12 u ,\ NosoA Luc.rn 392 vintFort Cellists Ldvelond Gill ,} Auni A rport ..1 Greeley Weld CR EE- „,./1 GRE 1' '}' CoAupott 89 Snit 1"-i- \\\I orn R wettude O and Ei at hood \ 34 � - --•--— 39 1\•1•f� t''. ant 14‘4\s.........,,,________ 6 lF., r. "'Cl M 785' gins —.IV / _ latwvill. � � 5 62 NC1141 T / 11 - . Firestone %pl. sburp mom Frederick Ca Dacono ortLupun •, C‘3 3 52 ... ling 1 : rJJ soo 1 ♦ •.refold ERIE t. Erie n •al Sp.urces;.Esri1-HE E, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., RCAN, . .. . ,-- p w` ILL # Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong). Esri (Thailand), Mapmylndia, OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community Figure 6. Weld County Transportation Routes The Platte and Cache la Poudre Rivers — two significant waterways in the County — are two of the most important sources of water in the large, semi-arid region. The agricultural portions of western Weld County are fed by a system of irrigation canals and are a stark contrast to the dry landscape to the east. Similarly, a broader mixture of land uses and greater concentrations of the population are located in the western third of the county, while the eastern areas remain largely open, less populated, and more uniform in terms of land use. Weld County is one of the top ten economically producing agricultural counties in the United States. Due to the dry climate, mild winters, and warm summers, the County leads the state in the production of grains, beef cattle, and sugar beets. Seventy five percent of Weld County's 2.5 million acres is devoted to agriculture. Weld County farmers are also the state's leading producers of potatoes, poultry, eggs, milk, 36 Michael Baker , cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL ' EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , dry beans, and other dairy products. There are over 3,000 farms in Weld County and the County's agricultural products create over $1 billion of market value each year. Weld County is actively working to preserve its agricultural roots. In fact, the County's existing land use code has a specific "Right to Farm" statement. The County's policies support a high-quality rural character which : "[.. .] respects the agricultural heritage and traditional agricultural land uses of the County as agricultural lands are converted to other uses (excluding urban development). Rural character in the County includes those uses which provide rural lifestyles, rural-based economies and opportunities to both live and work in rural areas. The natural landscape and vegetation predominate over the built environment. " — Weld County Comprehensive Plan The energy industry is another important driver of Weld County's economy. Due to its location above the Wattenberg Field, oil and gas extraction has been occurring for decades in Weld County. Currently, Weld County has more oil and gas wells than any other county in the state. The sheer size of the County's land area presents challenges related to the availability of resources. For example, based on information recorded in the county's Comprehensive Plan, law enforcement activity in Weld County is primarily based on responses to complaints rather than on patrols. Moreover, the distances which must be traveled sometimes delay emergency responses including law enforcement, ambulance, and fire. Snow removal priorities mean that roads from subdivisions to arterials may not be cleared for several days after a major snowstorm . Ultimately, rural residents must be more self-sufficient than urban residents by necessity. Moreover, rural residents are exposed to different hazards (and have different vulnerabilities) than urban or suburban residents. It is critical to keep these nuances in mind while developing and implementing a local hazard mitigation program . 4 . 1 Demographics Weld County is a relatively young county, with a median population age of 34. Between 2000 and 2013 the population of the county grew by 49%. The current population of over a quarter million residents is expected to double to almost half a million by the year 2030. Weld County is the ninth most populated county in Colorado. However, rapid growth in the last few years has established the county as one of the 100-fastest growing counties in the nation, according to the US Census. Planners anticipate that much of the coming growth will occur in southwest Weld County, along 1-25 and along the southern stretch of US 85 . Table 3 . Population Forecasts for Weld County, 2000 - 2040 Area 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Colorado 4,338,801 5,049,717 5,924,692 6,519,379 7,752,887 Weld County 183,076 254,230 329,759 446,517 568,954 Source: State Demography Office, Colorado (2014) ► � h ' Michael Baker cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , The majority of employment and income in Weld County are generated from the following key economic sectors: • Manufacturing • Agriculture • Energy Production • Health and Wellness • Business Service In August 2013, the unemployment rate in Weld County was 7. 1%, slightly higher than the State unemployment rate of 6.8% ( U .S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) . Weld County is adjacent to Adams County, Morgan County, Logan County, Boulder County, Larimer County, the City and County of Broomfield, Laramie County, WY, and Kimball County, NE. Major state highways cross the county from east to west ( I - 76, US Highway 34, and State Highway 14) . Major north/south transportation corridors include 1-25 and US Highway 85. Many Weld County residents commute across county boundaries for work. This creates important emergency management considerations both pre- and post-disaster. The top five commuting destinations by workers living in Weld County are as follows (DRCOG Weld County Community Profile) : 1. Larimer County 2. Boulder County 3. Denver County 4. Adams County 5. Arapahoe County The table below provides an economic and demographic snapshot of Weld County. Table 4. 2014-2015 Economic and Demographic Snapshot Weld County Population 269,785 Median Age 34 Urban Population (2010 Census) 201,097 Rural Population (2010 Census) 51,728 Percent Rural (2010 Census) 20% Median Household Income $54,578 Unemployment Rate 7. 1% Percent of Population > Age 25 with Bachelor's Degree or 25 .8% Higher 38 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • Weld County Percent of Population with High School Diploma Only 83 .7% Source: 2014-2015 Economic & Demographic Profile, Weld County, CO. Stats America, EMSI, BLS. 4. 2 Social Vulnerability Local vulnerability to disasters depends on more than simply the relationship between a place and its exposure to a hazard . Social and economic factors — like race, age, income, renter status, or institutionalized living — directly affect a community's ability to prepare for, respond to, and recover from hazards and disasters. The concept of social vulnerability helps explain why communities often experience a hazard differently, even when they experience the same amount of physical impacts. Social vulnerability to disasters refers to "the characteristics and situation of a person or group that influence their capacity to anticipate, cope with, resist, or recover from the impact of a hazard" (Wisner et al . 2004)2 and it is determined by a number of pre-existing social and economic characteristics. Very often, the impacts of hazards fall disproportionately on the most disadvantaged or marginalized people in a community, including the poor, children, the elderly, disabled, and racial/ethnic minorities. During emergencies, for example, self-evacuation can be nearly impossible for disabled or institutionalized individuals. Additionally, the willingness of an individual/family to invest their limited resources into residential mitigation actions is often limited if their home is a rental property or if they have never experienced a disaster in the past. Not only do conditions like these limit the ability of vulnerable groups to get out of harm's way, they also decrease the ability of communities to recover from and thrive in the aftermath of a disaster event. Reducing local social vulnerability is vital to community resilience. The 2016 Plan integrates social vulnerability into its hazard risk analysis in order to more effectively identify hazard risk experienced by the most vulnerable residents and communities within the county. The Weld County social vulnerability assessment is designed to improve local decision making, hazard prioritization, and emergency management activities. By incorporating social vulnerability into the risk assessments of individual hazards, local communities are able to identify more vulnerable areas and tailor their mitigation actions to accommodate all members of their community, including the most sensitive groups. The pre-existing social conditions that contribute to disaster losses can be identified by using social vulnerability indicators. Using methods and indicators identified in the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI ) developed by Cutter et al (2003),3 a Weld County social vulnerability analysis was carried out at the census 2 Wisner, B., Blaikie, P., Cannon, T., Davis, I . (2004). At Risk: Natural Hazards, People's Vulnerability and Disasters. London : Routledge. 3 Cutter, S. L., Boruff, B.J., and Shirley, W.L. (2003). Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards. Social Science Quarterly, 84:242-261. 39 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , tract level . Local socioeconomic and demographic data were used to identify spatial patterns in social vulnerability across the county and have been applied to the hazards in the 2016 Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. The table below outlines the five social vulnerability factors and their associated indicators that were used in the Weld County social vulnerability analysis. Indicators with plus signs (+) are positively related to social vulnerability levels. For example, communities with higher percentages of people 65 years or older have higher levels of social vulnerability to hazards. Indicators with minus signs (-) are negatively related to social vulnerability levels. Communities with higher per-capita income and higher home values have lower levels of social vulnerability to hazards. Table 5. Social Vulnerability Indicators Social Vulnerability Factors Indicators • Children (Age 18 and under) (+) • Elderly (Age 65 and over) (+) Age/Elderly • Social Security Recipients, % Population (+) • Renter Occupied, % HH (+) • Median Age • Group Quarters, % Population (+) • Mobile Homes, % OCHH (+) Special Needs • 5 years old, % Population (+) • Age 18 and under (+) • Hispanic, % Population (+) • Native American, % Population (+) Ethnicity • Other Races, % Population (+) • Pacific Islander, % Population (+) • Linguistically Isolated, % Population (+) • African American Population, % Population(+) • Female Headed Households, % HH (+) • No Vehicles, % HH (+) Race, Class, Poverty • No High School Diploma, % Over 25 yrs old (+) • Poverty, % Population • Unemployment Rate (+) • Asian, % Population (-) • Household earnings greater than $200K, % HH (-) • Housing Density (+) Wealth • Per-Capita Income (-) • Population Density (+) • White, % Population Source: U .S. Census Bureau, 2006-2010 American Community Survey and the 2010 Census For the purpose of the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan, each social vulnerability factor was weighted equally in the Social Vulnerability Index. The results of the social vulnerability _ = Michael Baker 40 cc _ \ - � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium- High, and High (top 20% of the county). The following social vulnerability map shows relative levels of social vulnerability across the county. It is important to note that although many areas within the county have medium-low to low levels of social vulnerability, it does not mean that there are no socially vulnerable people living in those areas. On its own, the social vulnerability map can inform communities about disparate social conditions across the county. When combined with physical hazard analyses, the map illustrates where human hardships may occur in a disaster situation. These hardships may result in citizens that are less likely to prepare, respond, withstand, or recover from a hazard event due to their elevated levels of social vulnerability. This information is valuable for both mitigation and disaster response activity. During the risk assessment and mitigation strategy development phases of the 2016 planning process, participating jurisdictions reviewed the results of the social vulnerability analysis in conjunction with the multi-hazard risk assessment results. The social vulnerability information helped communities uncover unseen risks and better prioritize their local mitigation actions. Social vulnerability analysis is particularly useful in the context of hazard mitigation planning because it can reveal disparities within a community that make a difference when it comes to the ability of residents to mitigate, prepare, evacuate, mobilize resources, and recover from disasters. Areas on the map that have medium to high social vulnerability represent areas where age, poverty, race/ethnicity, or special needs factors may make it more difficult for people to prepare, respond, and recover from hazard events. Social vulnerability information can also be used to help communities design effective and appropriate local risk communication and hazard mitigation outreach activities. tfi sl+';►. Michael Baker 41 cc• - Y � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Legend Social Vulnerability Social Vulnerability Index Score Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, High (Top 20%) demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Medium - High and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Medium Census Tract level. Medium - Low Low (Bottom 20%) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, Major Roads the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. ,,— Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: ➢r Weld County http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departrnents/GIS/GISMaps.html Jurisdictions r at I R stir Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board 0 5 10 20 Miles III I I l I I 1 Tif ti, Pi _ Michael Baker -- -'� INTERNATIONAL f MERGENCY MANAGEMENT Figure 7. Weld County Social Vulnerability Assessment Michael Baker r. INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 4. 3 Housing Stock Below, the County and Regional Housing Snapshot highlights the variations and similarities between Weld County and the State. Weld County's low vacancy rate means that as population growth continues to surge, rents are likely to increase, putting pressure on the labor force and potentially leading to more commuters into the county. Table 6. County and State Housing Snapshot Weld County Colorado Total Housing Units 99,317 2,254,905 Average Household Size 2.77 2 .49 Group Quarter Population 5,868 116,961 Vacancy Rate 5 .9% 8.4% Source: Colorado Department of Local Affairs (DOLA), 2013 Estimates "Housing Cost-Burdened Households" are defined as any household that spends more than 30% of its income on housing. Two in ten of all households in Weld County are defined as "Housing Cost-Burdened Households" earning <$50,000 a year, amounting to 23,066 households.4 The number of households that are housing cost-burdened has impacts on a community in many ways. For the household, the lower the income level, the higher the pressure to forgo basic needs such as food, health care, services, as well as personal disaster preparedness and hazard mitigation activity. ' Source: Analyst calculation from 2013 ACS and 2012/2013 Consumer Expenditure Survey data; Piton Foundation Michael Baker Iu- a co _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ilkaterl. . -ThltiliMaTilarliata f Weld County Household Composition 80% 70% 60% 1 50% 40% 300% 20% 10% 0% Families Single 18 and Younger Over 65 a Household Composition Figure 8. Weld County Household Compositions COMMUNITY VALUES, HISTORIC AND SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS Historic resources include landmarks buildings, historic structures and sites, commercial and residential districts, historic rural resources, archaeological and cultural sites, and the historic environment in which they exist. Historic resources serve as visual reminders of a community's past, providing a link to its development. Preservation of these important resources makes it possible for them to continue to play an integral, vital role in the community. Currently, Weld County has forty properties listed on the National Register of Historic Places and nine Historic Districts which are primarily located in cities and towns. Depending on the number of historic resources within a community, it can be unrealistic to assume that all of the necessary mitigation activities can be taken to protect these resources. Historic preservation and protection work must be done in a manner that retains the character-defining features of a historic property. Because this work can be costly, it is important to set priorities in terms of which resources and mitigation projects should become the point of focus. Weld County realizes that the preservation and maintenance of historic sites and structures contributes to the cultural heritage of the county and is in the long-term best interest of the community. s Source: Colorado State Demography Office; Piton Foundation 7 J Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 4.4 Critical Facilities For the purpose of the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan, 'critical facilities' are defined as local assets vital to the health, safety, and well-being of residents and visitors during time of natural disaster. Critical facilities are essential to a community's long-term disaster resilience as they are important delivery pathways for diverse crisis management services and resources. Members of the Weld County HMPC worked collaboratively to define a critical facility inventory for the 2016 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan. Critical facilities profiled in this plan include facilities of the following types: • Administration Buildings • Auditoriums • Churches • Community Recreation Centers • Convention Centers • Convalescent Hospital Nursing Homes • Day Care Centers • Distribution Warehouses • Fire Stations • Government Buildings • Group Care Homes • High Schools • Jails • Mega Warehouse Stores • Elderly Assisted Living Facilities • Schools • Utility Buildings • Warehouse Discount Store The map shown in the Figure below presents these community-identified critical facilities included in the risk and vulnerability assessment of this plan . 4✓ �1 T , Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Critical Facilities Critical facilities as defined by the Weld County Office of Emergency Management. Point locations are Legend sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. • Critical Facilities Major Roads Weld County Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIVGISMaps.html - I • •• • •• • • • S . • • • • • lii • •• • • • • • • • • • • • I ••i .r ,► •• S • • • ® • • • • • • • •�• • . • • • :-N... e• • i r • •• • • • • ,� • a• t • err • _ •lam • L .1 '� ••� i • .5 ` r • p • Olt 4 plili i ' • # 00 • • • 1 • lit 110.- • • Source: Weld County .`�ez • 1 • e• • • • • As ! • • . • 0 5 10 20 Miles :��yl (_ I I I I I I I `',,t4?r, r •• ••yI� • • • • •a • • • ' 440 .� • i _ • • • Michael Baker ' r c.o. fib S 4' INTERNATIONAL FMERGFNCY MANAG1MFNT Figure 9. Weld County Critical Facilities 46 ? '' r �, Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a � , The following table provides a count of how many critical facilities, structures, and parcels are located in Weld County. The table also outlines estimated replacement costs based on aggregate appraised values, when available. Table 7. Weld County Critical Facilities Count Total Assessor Value Structures/Parcels 121,749 $18,438,838, 152 Critical Facilities 1,284 $978,086,411 The following table provides a count of how many critical facilities of each type are located in Weld County and outlines estimated replacement costs based on aggregate appraised values, when available . Monetary values have been broken out by land value and structure value because some hazards (such as tornadoes or hail) do not affect the value of the land, only the value of structures. Table 8. Critical Facilities by Occupancy Type Total Value (land value Occupancy Type Count Land Value Structure Value + structure value) Administration Bldg 2 $572,844 $4,546, 190 $5,119,034 Auditorium 4 $967,321 $19,584,907 $20,552,228 Church 154 $15,944,466 $84,445,802 $100,390,268 Community Recreation 5 $11,520,762 $26,961,943 $38,482,705 Center Convention Center 1 $302,742 $7,692,021 $7,994,763 Nursing Home/Hospital 2 $256,796 $3,482,660 $3,739,456 Day Care Center 23 $3,058,924 $8,371,381 $11,430,305 Distribution Warehouse 16 $6,979, 115 $30,604,000 $37,583,115 Fire Station - Volunteer 18 $2,510,536 $11,127,747 $13,638,283 Fire Station Staffed 15 $3, 129,684 $19,307,166 $22,436,850 Fire Tower 1 $154,333 $2,819,183 $2,973,516 Government Building 22 $7,310,052 $81,284,784 $88,594,836 Group Care Homes 6 $825, 107 $3,261,630 $4,086,737 High School 5 $2,716,917 $51,440,249 $54,157,166 Jail - Correctional Facility 1 $2,211,737 $59,703,055 $61,914,792 Mega Warehouse Stores 2 $3,739,378 $18,655,657 $22,395,035 Elderly Assisted Living 10 $1,412,333 $14,426,530 $15,838,863 School - Arts & Crafts Bldg 1 $34,580 $102,762 $137,342 School - Classroom 21 $5,795, 114 $27,955,152 $33,750,266 School - Elementary 45 $13,609,478 $189,085,879 $202,695,357 School - Gymnasium 9 $2,303,450 $11,733,698 $14,037,148 School - Manual Arts 3 $1,598,264 $12,314,874 $13,913,138 School - Science Building 1 $274,928 $11,581,760 $11,856,688 Utility Building 912 $39,085, 102 $136,077,740 $175,162,842 Warehouse Discount Store 5 $3,551, 113 $11,654,565 $15,205,678 W1MrT Michael Baker � INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Critical facilities deserve additional mitigation attention because of the higher potential for the loss of life, property, and/or environmental quality in the event that they suffer significant damage. The protection of critical facilities is essential because these specific facilities can have a significant impact on the scope of damage caused by a natural disaster. Additionally, the disruption of critical facilities during a natural disaster is likely to affect response and recovery activity. 4. 5 Future Development A key strategy for reducing future losses in a community is to avoid development in known hazard areas while enforcing the development of safe structures in other areas. The purpose of this strategy is to keep people, businesses, and buildings out of harm's way before a hazard event occurs. The 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan highlights areas where future development can be expected and areas where mitigation options can be considered in future land use decisions to ensure safe, smart growth in the county. The State Demography Office, a division of the Colorado Department of Local Affairs ( DOLA), monitors population growth trends across the state and between counties. The two tables below provide a picture of future population growth rates and numbers within the state, within the Denver primary metro statistical area ( PMSA), and within Weld County. Table 9. Population Forecasts by Region and County, 2000 - 2040 Average Annual Percent Change (5 year increments) 00-05 05-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 Colorado 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% Denver PMSA 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% Weld 4.1% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.3% County Source: Colorado Department of Local Affairs ( DOLA) Table 10. State Demographers Office Population Projections by Region and County (2010 - 2040) Population Projections (5 year increments) July, 2010 July, 2015 July, 2020 July, 2025 July, 2030 July, 2034 July, 2040 Colorado 5,049,717 5,439,290 5,924,692 6,429,532 6,915,379 7,352,327 7,752,887 Denver PMSA 2,502,291 2,736,460 2,971, 101 3,183,692 3,383,952 3,554,764 3,704,391 Weld County 254,230 283,767 329,759 386,651 446,517 507,221 568,954 Source: Colorado Department of Local Affairs ( DOLA) Weld County is the epicenter of urban growth and changing land use in Colorado. The population of the county is expected to reach over 380,000 by 2025 and almost 570,000 by 2040. This growth is significantly faster than the relative growth of the state of Colorado and the Denver PMSA. The first of the following I -5 _ Michael Baker 48 cc - \ , INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ' WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a , � , two maps shows population growth forecasts for the state of Colorado. Weld County is expected to grow at a faster rate than the majority of Colorado counties between now and 2040. The second map shows projected population growth across the state between 2010 and 2040. Again, Weld County is expected to sustain large amounts of growth in the next 25 years. Colorado Population Growth Average Annual Percent Change 2010 - 2040 �' ScdKwick 7i,ogan Moffat Jackson T arimcr •Phillips r Routt Morgan 1 Grand Boulder Rio Blanco I H._ .i_ __c___,,,.., L_,__B infield 1 um.a Average Annual r-- _ . I , ✓Gilpan � Adams Washington Percent Change — U 6lc ' I pear % Garfield 1 Eagle SAinn,ii ereck Arapahoe r jelly 'son rri < 1 t• Douglas Kit Carson 1% to 2% Dtlta Pitkin Lake :•'•:•'•__r— • Park 2% tO 2.5% Mesa Lincoln Ia > 2.5% TcllcCr El Paso Cheyenne Chaffee.:; t Montrose r Fremont Kiowa Crowley _ tu•as. r Pueblo r Cue i Saguache L;_ ! I-Tinsda l � {' OteroBent I'rotcITS Dolores "" JI —•loan Millers! llucrfano Rio Grand Alainosa Montezuma I a Plata Costilla Las Animas Baca J t Conejos i Colorado State Demography Office, 10/24/2013 Sources Esri USGS. NOAA Figure 10. Average Annual Percent Change in Population, Statewide „�.. '` Michael Baker cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT • ~- Se• •wick 1 I 'Ail . 1 Jackson Larimer • - `utt 1 Weld I • . ---.. ; = �..�....�. Morgan • atia Boulder G3tb[- 1 • t �� -y -- ---'Washington Win-• - Broomfield . Gilpin a, Adams . - __ __- - - - - -• _, fear Creek Denver` «�•�•_ - Garfield I Eagle _=Summit Arapahoe Jefferson •- Douglas Mearson ' + lrui' M ' Elbert - '` G Ci . - . • -- , Mesa .......— Delta ^•, -'j Teller - - Lincoln t El Paso i 4 - Gunnison 2— L — ._ Montrose \ .e._ Fr:mont r Kiowa ti t•--• r•wl- • SIT ; ' N. Pueblo :•_.. '--I i ' ' atil Miguel +.` .° Hinsdale , i r'1 �'•-• t; Eks-fl . Prowers 1 d'tDolores - •-t a f • Y• ;1L111),�lr�' Inl'1=ilC.E1C•J i• i �..�.-t.�«..---_._�1 • _ .7 • 1 I Ar Mch1 Alamosa ;-. ' / { .� Montezuma .,.,. -- 1 t---- :../ . `. .Y.Plata •% Costil la a • n •s Baca f G �'I Conejos Projected Growth N Projected Population ChangeA:\ , : < 5;000 , �• �2010 to 2040 to00 to 20,000 ;� LA 20:001 to 50,000 Miles •t; 25 5C Source: State Demography Office. 12(10/2012 > 50,000 IIIIII Figure 11. Projected Statewide Population Growth Weld County has grown significantly in the past decade and is one of the fastest growing counties in the State. The amount of growth that Weld County has seen over the past decade has been dictated by the availability of undeveloped land . Based on observed population growth trends, housing demand within Weld County is expected to remain steady over the next decade. The following map shows currently identified subdivisions in Weld County. The shaded areas indicate lands that have been divided into pieces for the purpose of future development. Because they are slated for future growth, these subdivision areas should be evaluated and managed carefully as hazard risks evolve in the county over time. 9 5i -U ± . Michael Baker I 50 , • 0j INTERNATIONAL I Mi-HC.I Nt • `.L`.";AC,f MIN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Subdivisions Currently identified subdivisions located across Weld Legend County and its jurisdictions and special districts. IP Subdivisions Major Roads Weld County Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html f-1 r \ \ IS% Source: Weld County ri stir0 5 10 20 Miles I I I I I I I I I I , . n. 1 - , Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGr`J( ;•ANAGEMENT Figure 12. Weld County Subdivisions Michael Baker co „ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Since the adoption of the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan, new residential and commercial development has continued to occur across the county. The following table depicts the number of new residential building permits issued annually in Weld County between 1990 and 2014. Most of the permit-issuing jurisdictions are municipalities; the remainder are county offices, townships or unincorporated towns. Table 11 . Annual New, Privately-Owned Residential Building Permits Issued in Weld County Year Permits/Buildings Units 2014 2,053 2,708 2013 1,650 1,935 2012 1,192 1,241 2011 807 889 2010 802 863 2009 726 761 2008 867 980 2007 1,572 1,847 2006 2,609 2,922 2005 4,127 4,279 2004 3,915 4,414 2003 3,691 3,963 2002 3,891 4,411 2001 3,991 4,301 2000 4,001 4,369 1999 3,413 3,557 1998 2,839 3,069 1997 1,832 2,117 1996 1,710 1,856 1995 1,326 1,470 1994 1,103 1,164 1993 862 965 1992 511 521 1 % � ` Michael Baker 52 INTERNATIONAL i'': J ✓ f EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Year Permits/Buildings Units 1991 335 357 1990 256 271 Source: U .S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey In the midst of this growth, Weld County is working hard to preserve its agricultural roots. An example of this is the Right to Farm Statement that is included in the county code: "Weld County is one of the most productive agricultural counties in the United States, typically ranking in the top ten counties in the country in total market value of agricultural products sold. The rural areas of Weld County may be open and spacious, but they are intensively used for agriculture. Persons moving into a rural area must recognize and accept there are drawbacks, including conflicts with long-standing agricultural practices and a lower level of services than in town. Along with the drawbacks come the incentives which attract urban dwellers to relocate to rural areas: open views, spaciousness, wildlife, lack of city noise and congestion, and the rural atmosphere and way of life. Without neighboring farms, those features which attract urban dwellers to rural Weld County would quickly be gone forever. " — Excerpt from the Weld County Right to Farm Statement An additional 2.5 million people are expected to move to Colorado by 2040 and the majority of them are expected to settle along the Front Range. Planners anticipate that much of the coming growth will occur in southwest Weld County, along 1-25 and along the southern stretch of US 85. As Weld County's small towns grow into cities, some local leaders anticipate that access to county services will need to be improved . Water availability, infrastructure, and the quality of life that attracts people to northern Colorado will be more difficult to maintain at the same time they become more important (and scarce) . , 1861 53 is, ` Michael Baker rIr cc „ " `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 5 Risk Assessment This section of the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (hereinafter referred to as the Plan) describes the local Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment summary performed and evaluated by the County and all participating municipalities. This section consists of the following subsections: • INTRODUCTION AND UPDATE SUMMARY • DROUGHT • EARTHQUAKE • EXTREME TEMPERATURES • FLOOD ( Including Dam & Levee Failure) • HAZMAT • LAND SUBSIDENCE • PUBLIC HEALTH HAZARDS • PRAIRIE FIRE • SEVERE STORMS ( Including Hail, Lightning, & Winter Storms) • STRAIGHT LINE WINDS & TORNADOES 5 . 1 Introduction and Update Summary A key step in preventing future disaster losses in Weld County is developing a comprehensive understanding of the hazards that pose risks to local communities. The following terms facilitate comparisons between communities and can be found throughout the Plan. Table 12. Key Risk Assessment Terminology Event or physical conditions that have the potential to cause fatalities, injuries, Hazard: property damage, infrastructure damage, agricultural loss, damage to the environment, interruption of business, other types of harm or loss Product of a hazard's likelihood of occurrence and its consequences to society; the Risk: estimates impact that a hazard would have on people, services, facilities, and structures in a community Vulnerability: Degree of susceptibility to physical injury, harm, damage, or economic loss; depends on an asset's construction, contents, and economic value of its functions Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, 2001 The Local Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment ( HIRA) summary is a method for evaluating risk as defined by probability and frequency of occurrence of a hazard event, exposure of people and property to the hazard, and consequences of that exposure. Different methodologies exist for assessing the risk of hazard events, ranging from qualitative to quantitative approaches. Weld County and its communities are vulnerable to a wide range of natural and human-caused hazards that threaten life and property. The hazards identified by the HMPC for inclusion in the Plan are those determined to be of actual potential threat to Weld County and its municipalities and are consistent with �I±�►% �-1�' fs Michael Baker , a cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG the hazards identified by the State of Colorado and the Federal Emergency Management Agency for this part of the State and this region of the country. The hazards profiled for the 2016 Plan include: • DROUGHT • EARTHQUAKE • EXTREME TEMPERATURES • FLOOD (including dam and levee failure) • HAZMAT • LAND SUBSIDENCE • PRAIRIE FIRE • PUBLIC HEALTH HAZARDS • SEVERE STORMS (including hail, lightning, and winter storms) Some of these hazards can be interrelated (for example, severe storms can cause flooding, drought can lead to wildfire), and thus discussion of these hazards may overlap where necessary throughout the Risk Assessment. Of the sixteen ( 16) hazards profiled in the State of Colorado's 2013 Hazard Mitigation Plan, ten (10) are addressed in the 2016 Weld County Plan. The following table summarizes this information. Table 13. State/Local Plan Hazards Matrix 2013 STATE OF COLORADO INCLUDED IN 2016 WELD NATURAL HAZARD MITIGATION COUNTY HAZARD RATIONALE FOR EXCLUSION PLAN MITIGATION PLAN AVALANCHE No significant vulnerability identified DROUGHT • EARTHQUAKE • EROSION AND DEPOSITION • EXPANSIVE SOIL No significant vulnerability identified EXTREME TEMPERATURES • FLOOD • • HAIL • Combined with Severe Storm LANDSLIDE, MUD/DEBRIS FLOW, No significant vulnerability identified ROCKFALL LIGHTNING • Combined with Severe Storm Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 2013 STATE OF COLORADO INCLUDED IN 2016 WELD NATURAL HAZARD MITIGATION COUNTY HAZARD RATIONALE FOR EXCLUSION PLAN MITIGATION PLAN PEST INFESTATION No significant vulnerability identified • SEVERE WIND • SUBSIDENCE • TORNADO • WILDFIRE • WINTER STORM • Combined with Severe Storm The following table documents the review by the HMPC as it relates to the hazards that were re-evaluated and/or identified, analyzed, and addressed through the update of the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan . Hazards were either deferred, deleted, changed, or new hazards were identified. Table 14. Evaluation of Hazards for Inclusion in the 2016 Weld County Risk Assessment 2009 HAZARD STATUS NOTES 2016 HAZARD AVALANCHE Deleted -- -- DROUGHT Deferred -- DROUGHT EARTHQUAKE Deferred -- EARTHQUAKE Merged into another EROSION AND DEPOSITION Changed LAND SUBSIDENCE chapter EXPANSIVE SOIL Deleted -- -- EXTREME TEMPERATURES Deferred -- EXTREME TEMPERATURES FLOOD (Including Dam and FLOOD Deferred -- Levee Failure) HAIL Changed Merged into another SEVERE STORM chapter LANDSLIDE, MUD/DEBRIS Deleted -- -- FLOW, ROCKFALL Merged into another LIGHTNING Changed SEVERE STORM chapter - _ ii+, I? 1 J Michael Baker N vt� � INTERNATIONAL in• . rai WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • 2009 HAZARD 1 STATUS NOTES 1 2016 HAZARD PEST INFESTATION Deleted -- -- Merged into another STRAIGHT LINE WIND & SEVERE WIND Changed chapter TORNADOES SUBSIDENCE Deferred -- LAND SUBSIDENCE Merged into another STRAIGHT LINE WIND & TORNADO Changed chapter TORNADOES WILDFIRE Deferred -- PRAIRIE FIRE Merged into another WINTER STORM Changed SEVERE STORM chapter BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS Changed -- PUBLIC HEALTH HAZARDS Was not HAZMAT included in Added to 2016 Plan HAZMAT 2009 Plan To further focus on the list of identified hazards for the Plan, the following table presents a list of all federal disaster and emergency declarations that have occurred in Weld County since 1953, according to the Federal Emergency Management Agency. This list presents the foundation for identifying what hazards pose the greatest risk to the County and to its local jurisdictions. Table 15. Presidential Disaster and Emergency Declarations in Weld County DECLARATION # DATE EVENT DETAILS FEMA-4145-DR 09/14/2013 Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides FEMA-3365-EM 09/12/2013 Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides FEMA-1762-DR 05/26/2008 Severe Storms and Tornadoes FEMA-3224-EM 09/05/2005 Hurricane Katrina Evacuation FEMA-EM-3185 04/09/2003 Snowstorm FEMA-1421-DR 06/19/2002 Wildfires FEMA-1374-DR 05/17/2001 Severe Winter Storms FEMA-1276-DR 05/17/1999 CO Flooding 4/30/1999 Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . , w . a DECLARATION # DATE EVENT DETAILS Severe Storms, Heavy Rain, and Flash Floods, FEMA-1186-DR 08/01/1997 Flooding, Mudslides FEMA-517-DR 08/02/1976 Severe Storms and Flash Flooding FEMA-385-DR 05/23/1973 Heavy Rain, Snowmelt, Flooding FEMA-379-DR 05/08/1973 Dam Failure FEMA-261-DR 05/19/1969 Severe Storms, Flooding FEMA-200-DR 06/19/1965 Tornadoes, Severe Storms, Flooding Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summary — Open Government Dataset 54 Fire e 12 Flood s, yr G 3 Snow - 9 3 Severe Storm a � 1 Drought Alik t min ammame 1 Tornado Iptmor 1 Coastal Storm A ill Atm 1 Dam/Levee Break Number of Declarations 24 Figure 13. Summary of Disaster Declaration Events, Colorado (Source: FEMA Region VIII) a` . 1s62 / 58 Michael Baker cc INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT +� 6 Flood k? 3 Severe Storm ir Q 1 Snow 1 Tornado '` 1 Fire 1 Coastal Storm 1 Dam/Levee Break Number of Declarations 24 Figure 14. Summary of Disaster Declaration Events, Weld County (Source: FEMA Region VIII ) Hazards were ranked in order to provide structure and prioritize the mitigation goals and actions discussed in the Plan. Ranking was both quantitative and qualitative. First, the quantitative analysis considered all the historical and geospatial hazard-specific data available. Then, a qualitative method, the Risk Factor ( RF) approach, was used to provide additional insights on the specific risks associated with each hazard . This process also served as a valuable cross-check and validation of the quantitative analysis performed. The RF approach combines historical experiences, local knowledge, and consensus opinions to produce numerical values that allow identified hazards to be ranked against one another. During the planning process, the Weld County HMPC compared the results of the hazard profile against their local knowledge to generate a set of ranking criteria . These criteria were used to evaluate hazards and identify those posing the highest risk. RF values are obtained by assigning varying degrees of risk to five categories for each hazard : probability, impact, spatial extent, warning time, and duration. Each degree of risk is assigned a value ranging from 1 to 4 and a weighing factor for each category was agreed upon by the HMPC (documented in the following Table) . Based upon any unique concerns for the planning area, the HMPC may also adjust the RF weighting scheme. To calculate the RF value for a given hazard, the assigned risk value for each category is multiplied by the weighting factor. The sum of all five categories equals the final RF value, as demonstrated in the following example equation : RF Value = [(Probability x .30) + (Impact x .30) + (Spatial Extent x .20) + (Warning Time x .10) + (Duration x .10)] • 10477-1 is,'• Michael Baker 59 '� II; cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • �., Table 16. Risk Factor Criteria RISK ASSESSMENT LEVEL DEGREE OF RISK LEVEL INDEX WEIGHT CATEGORY UNLIKELY LESS THAN 1% ANNUAL 1 PROBABILITY PROBABILITY BETWEEN 1 & 10% What is the likelihood of a POSSIBLE 2 ANNUAL PROBABILITY hazard event occurring in a _ 0 30% BETWEEN 10 &100% given year? LIKELY 3 ANNUAL PROBABILITY 100% ANNUAL HIGHLY LIKELY 4 PROBABILTY VERY FEW INJURIES, IF ANY. ONLY MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE & MINOR MINIMAL DISRUPTION 1 OF QUALITY OF LIFE. TEMPORARY SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES. MINOR INJURIES ONLY. MORE THAN 10% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED IMPACT AREA DAMAGED OR In terms of injuries, damage, LIMITED 2 DESTROYED. COMPLETE or death, would you SHUTDOWN OF anticipate impacts to be CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR minor, limited, critical, or 30% MORE THAN ONE DAY. catastrophic when a MULTIPLE significant hazard event DEATHS/INJURIES occurs? POSSIBLE. MORE THAN 25% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA 3 CRITICAL DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR MORE THAN ONE WEEK. HIGH NUMBER OF DEATHS/INJURIES CATASTROPHIC 4 POSSIBLE. MORE THAN 50% OF PROPERTY IN yl` ►, ��, Michael Baker 60 c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • �., RISK ASSESSMENT n CATEGORY LEVEL DEGREE OF RISK LEVEL INDEX WEIGHT AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR 30 DAYS OR MORE. LESS THAN 1% OF AREA NEGLIGIBLE 1 SPATIAL EXTENT AFFECTED How large of an area could SMALL BETWEEN 1 & 10% OF 2 be impacted by a hazard AREA AFFECTED 20% event? Are impacts MODERATE BETWEEN 10 & 50% OF 3 localized or regional? AREA AFFECTED LARGE BETWEEN 50 & 100% OF 4 AREA AFFECTED WARNING TIME MORE THAN 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 1 Is there usually some lead 12 TO 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 2 time associated with the hazard event? Have 6 TO 12 HRS SELF DEFINED 3 10% warning measures been implemented? LESS THAN 6 HRS SELF DEFINED 4 LESS THAN 6 HRS SELF DEFINED 1 DURATION LESS THAN 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 2 How long does the hazard 10% event usually last? LESS THAN 1 WEEK SELF DEFINED 3 MORE THAN 1 SELF DEFINED 4 WEEK According to the default weighting scheme applied, the highest possible RF value is 4.0. The methodology illustrated above lists categories that are used to calculate the variables for the RF value. HAZARD RANKING RESULTS The following table summarizes the results of the Risk Factor ranking exercise performed by members of the Weld County HMPC. The results represent the relative rank of different hazards within the county from the perspective of local stakeholders and subject matter experts from formally adopting communities. 61 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Table 17. Risk Factor Results for Weld County and Participation Jurisdictions NATURAL SPATIAL WARNING RF # PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION HAZARD EXTENT TIME RATING 1 Severe Storm 1. 100 0.750 0.717 0.317 0.250 3. 133 Straight-Line 2 Winds / 0.975 0.800 0.750 0.392 0. 167 3.083 Tornadoes 3 HAZMAT 0.825 0.600 0.450 0.383 0.225 2.483 4 Flood 0.875 0.675 0.600 0.242 0.300 2.692 Prairie Fire / 5 0.900 0.550 0.467 0.383 0.208 2.508 Wildfire Extreme 6 0.975 0.475 0.667 0. 142 0.300 2.558 Temperatures 7 Drought 0.925 0.450 0.683 0. 108 0.292 2.458 Public Health 8 0.625 0.625 0.550 0. 192 0.283 2.275 Hazards 9 Earthquake 0.400 0.500 0.383 0.283 0. 125 1.692 Land 10 0.600 0.400 0.300 0.267 0.200 1.767 Subsidence Based on the Weld County RF analysis, the natural hazards with the highest risk factor scores are "Severe Storm" and "Straight-Line Winds/Tornadoes." Both hazards have a RF value over 3. This is primarily due to the high probability of the hazards occurring and the wide spatial extent of their potential damages and impacts. "HAZMAT," "Flood", "Prairie Fire/Wildfire," and "Extreme Temperatures" also ranked within the "High Risk" RF category. "Drought" and "Public Health Hazards" round out the list of moderate to high ratings, with scores between 2.2 and 2 .4. The Risk Factor exercise conducted by the HMPC determined that "Earthquake" and "Land Subsidence" are relatively low-risk hazards for communities and emergency managers in Weld County. The conclusions drawn from the qualitative assessment carried out by the Weld County HMPC were organized into three categories (shown in the following table) and provided a summary of hazard risk for Weld County based on High, Moderate or Low risk designations. This process helped frame ongoing planning discussions around local and regional hazard risks and assisted with the prioritization of mitigation actions. 62 .,t,_ :r i Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . , w . Table 18. Hazard Risk Conclusions for Weld County lir Severe Storm; Straight-Line Winds/Tornadoes; HAZMAT; HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher) Flood; Prairie Fire / Wildfire; Extreme Temperatures MODERATE RISK (2.0 — 2.4) Drought; Public Health Hazards LOW RISK (1.9 or lower) Earthquake; Land Subsidence The following sections provide hazard profiles and risk assessments for each of the ten hazards identified by the HMPC for the 2016 Plan update. The hazards are presented in alphabetical order rather than by their levels of risk. 5 . 2 Hazard Profiles Over time, accepted risk assessment methodologies evolve, develop, and grow. Data availability also tends to change as funding shifts and technological improvements emerge. For this reason, it is important to incorporate best available data and analysis strategies when formulating a comprehensive mitigation plan . The table on the following page summarizes the vulnerability and loss estimation methodologies used in the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan and presents the updated methodologies used for the 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan. This table highlights the progress of Weld County's hazard mitigation planning efforts over time and provides a record of data use to inform future mitigation planning projects in the County. 63 •, Michael Baker lei cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Table 19. Summary of Vulnerability Analysis and Loss Estimation Methodologies 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan — 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Weld County Planning Element Atmospheric Hazards Vulnerability Analysis (Heat): No jurisdiction-specific analysis; history Vulnerability Analysis (Heat): Vulnerability Analysis (Cold): Assessment of of highest recorded temps in county (Source: NCDC). historical extreme cold events based on data supplied by the Western Loss Estimation (Heat): Narrative, no jurisdiction or county specific Regional Climate Center (max temps about 90 and average number of days) analysis and NOAA Storm Event Database. Extreme Vulnerability Analysis (Cold): No mapping/jurisdiction-specific Loss Estimation (Heat): Narrative. Temperatures analysis; history of lowest recorded temps in county as well as number of severe cold incidents (Source: NCDC; CDPHE tracking of # Vulnerability Analysis (Cold): Assessment of historical extreme cold events of hospitalizations fur to extreme cold by county) based on data supplied by the Western Regional Climate Center (max temps Loss Estimation (Cold): Narrative, no jurisdiction or county specific about 90 and average number of days) and NOAA Storm Event Database. analysis Loss Estimation (Cold): Narrative. Hail Hail Vulnerability Analysis: GIS mapping using Storm Prediction Center historical Vulnerability Analysis (Hail): No jurisdiction specific analysis; historical hail events; Narrative of historical events from NCDC. data from NCDC Loss Estimation: Narrative; Loss estimates based on historical events reported by NCDC; Loss estimates representing 10 percent, 30 percent and 50 percent Loss Estimation (Hail): Assessment of historical hail losses based on Severe Storm: of the assessed value of exposed building stock/critical facilities for those data supplied by SHELDUS jurisdictions and districts ranking this hazard as high. (including Hail, Lightning, & Lightning Lightning Winter Storm) Vulnerability Analysis (Lightning): Assessment of historical injuries and Vulnerability Analysis: GIS mapping using National Weather Service Historical fatalities based on data supplied by NWS CO Lightning Resource lightning flash density maps; National Climatic Data Center - Historical Center lightning events by county and jurisdiction. Loss Estimation (Lightning): Narrative based on data supplied by Loss Estimation: Narrative; Loss estimates based on historical events reported NWS, NOAA NCDC by NCDC; National Weather Service - Historical lightning casualties by county. �cy, t r , EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan — 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Weld County Planning Element Winter Storm Winter Storm Vulnerability Analysis: Narrative of historical events from NCDC, Weld OEM, Vulnerability Analysis (winter storm): Assessment of historical events COEM based on data supplied Weld OEM, COEM Loss Estimation: Narrative; Loss estimates based on historical events reported Loss Estimation (winter storm): Assessment of historical losses from by NCDC snow storms based on data supplied by SHELDUS Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes Vulnerability Analysis: Assessment of historical high wind and tornado events Vulnerability Analysis: No jurisdiction specific vulnerability analysis; based on data supplied by the NCDC: Storm Paths and F-scale mapping from Straight-Line Map of tornado paths in planning region (1950 — 1996) from CO OEM; NCDC; Social vulnerability/housing analysis for vulnerable community list of tornado occurrences by County (1950 -2008) from the "2009 y� g stock Winds & identification. County Profile Information Guides"; NCDC data Tornadoes Loss Estimation: Narrative; Loss estimates based on historical events reported Loss Estimation: No jurisdiction-specific loss-estimation. Review of by NCDC losses from previous tornado events in the planning area. Vulnerability Analysis: No jurisdiction specific analysis of drought Vulnerability Analysis: Assessment of historical drought events based on data vulnerability; narrative cited information from the 2007 CO Drought Mitigation and Response Plan as well as the 2004 Drought and Water supplied by CO Drought Mitigation and Response Plan (2010), NCDC, and the Drought Supply Assessment; Colorado Climate Center. Loss Estimation: Narrative, references drought impact analysis contained in Loss Estimation: No jurisdiction-specific analysis; Used USDA crop Annex B of the Colorado Drought Mitigation Response Plan. insurance estimates to frame Regional losses t Fig= EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan — 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Weld County Planning Element Vulnerability Analysis (flood): HAZUZ-MH MR3 analysis. The 100-year floodplain was generated for major rivers and creeks in the county (those with a 10 square mile minimum drainage area). A USGS 30 meter resolution digital elevation model (DEM) was used as the terrain base in the model. Vulnerability Analysis: Hazus Level 2 analysis of a 1% annual chance flood Loss Estimation (flood): A HAZUS Flood Model was used to estimate event scenario using: FEMA defined 100-yr floodplains supplemented by flood depths. Potential losses to the county were based on Census Hazus 100-yr floodplains, best available LiDAR and DEMs terrain coverages; Block based buildings and population data. To estimate the economic Critical facilities also assessed separately; Narrative of historical flood events Flood loss for each city, the flooded Census Blocks were extracted, and the from NCDC and the current State Hazard Mitigation Plan damage costs were totaled using GIS. This was done for each city and unincorporated area to illustrate how the risk varies across the Loss Estimation: Loss Estimation: Hazus Level 2 analysis of a 1% annual chance planning area, with the results summarized in a table. flood event scenario using: FEMA defined 100-yr floodplains supplemented by Hazus 100-yr floodplains, best available LiDAR and DEMs terrain coverages; Vulnerability Analysis (dam/levee failure): Assessment based on Critical facilities also assessed separately. analysis of National Inventory of Dams provided with HAZUS MR3 Loss Estimation (dam/levee failure): Assessment based on analysis of National Inventory of Dams provided with HAZUS MR3 Geologic Hazards Vulnerability Analysis: Hazus Level 2 analysis of a Golden Fault scenario using: CGS fault, soil, and landslide inputs and FEMA Region VIII updated site- Vulnerability Analysis: Narrative; review of previous events; specific building inventory derived from local, state, and federal data sources. vulnerability estimated from CGS Earthquake Evaluation Report, 2008, Critical facilities also assessed separately; Narrative of historical earthquake using 5 Hazus scenarios events from CGS and the current State Hazard Mitigation Plan Earthquake Loss Estimation: Narrative; vulnerability estimated from CGS Loss Estimation : Hazus Level 2 analysis of a Golden Fault scenario using: CGS Earthquake Evaluation Report, 2008, using 5 Hazus scenarios fault, soil, and landslide inputs and FEMA Region VIII updated site-specific building inventory derived from local, state, and federal data sources; Critical facilities also assessed separately. ly tj rF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan — 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Weld County Planning Element Vulnerability Analysis: GIS mapping and analysis using building stock/critical Vulnerability Analysis: CGS map of subsidence areas about inactive facility data and CGS undermined areas; Narrative of historical land Land coal mines (State scale); Previous occurrences from the 2008 State subsidence events from CGS and the current State Hazard Mitigation Plan. Mitigation Plan Subsidence Loss Estimation: Loss estimates representing 10 percent, 50 percent and 100 Loss Estimation: Narrative percent of the assessed value of exposed building stock/critical facilities; Counts and estimated losses focused on those areas classified at potential risk. Other Hazards Hazmat Hazard not profiled in 2009 NE CO Regional Plan Incident report Database-PHMSA - Office of Hazardous Materials Safety- Historical Hazmat incidents Vulnerability Analysis: Narrative. Plan references distribution maps of Noxious noxious weeks from the CO Department of Agriculture website; Infestation acreage from Colorado DOA The Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee elected to remove this hazard Weeds from the 2016 Weld County updated Hazard Mitigation Plan. Loss Estimation: Narrative. Vulnerability Analysis: GIS mapping and analysis using building stock/critical Vulnerability Analysis: GIS analysis of wildland urban interface using facility data and COWRAP wildfire and wildland urban interface risk analysis; data from the Colorado Wildfire Risk Assessment (2002); Narrative Reference analysis included in County CWPPs; Narrative of historical prairie review of previous events. A GIS overlay was used to identify certain fire events. Prairie Fire facilities in the moderate to high fire risk areas. Loss Estimation: Loss estimates representing 10 percent, 50 percent and 100 percent of the assessed value of exposed building stock/critical facilities; Loss Estimation: none Counts and estimated losses focused on those areas classified as most vulnerable across the county based on COWRAP analysis. Vulnerability Analysis: Narrative based on records of historical Vulnerability Analysis: Social vulnerability analysis, estimated # of episodes of Public Health occurrences (Colorado CDPHE); no jurisdiction-scale analysis illness, healthcare utilization, and death associated with moderate and severe Hazards Loss Estimation: None; no jurisdiction scale analysis pandemic influenza scenarios in Colorado (Source: CO-specific Census data in the CDC's FluAid program) t' r rt 0, cg � � EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan — 2016 Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Weld County Planning Element Loss Estimation: Assessment of loss using CDC's FluWorkLoss 1.0 tool. The tool estimates the potential number of days lost from work due to a pandemic based on Census 2010 data. II TO- 68 ri ;1 sari EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG The following table shows a summary of each participating jurisdictions' vulnerability to the hazards identified in the Plan . The results are a product of each jurisdiction's review of the multi-hazard risk assessment and their individual RF value obtained by assigning varying degrees of risk to the five categories for each hazard : probability, impact, spatial extent, warning time, and duration. 69 .,►, ` Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Table 20. Hazard Vulnerability Summary by Jurisdiction Straight- Extreme Land Public Health Prairie Line Drought Earthquake Flood Hazmat Severe Storm Temperatures Subsidence Hazards Fire Winds & Tornadoes Weld Moderate Moderate High Risk High Risk r r Low Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk County Risk Risk Town of Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk Ault Risk City of Moderate Moderate Brighton Risk Low Risk High Risk Risk High Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk Town of Moderate Moderate High Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk Dacono Risk Risk Town of High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk Erie City of High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk Evans Town of Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Moderate High Risk Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Firestone Risk Risk Risk Risk Risk City of Fort Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Lupton High Risk Risk Low Risk Risk Risk Low Risk High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Risk Town of High Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk Frederick Town of Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Garden City Town of Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Gilcrest Risk Risk Risk Risk Risk City of Moderate High Risk Low Risk High Risk Moderate Low Risk High Risk Moderate High Risk Greeley Risk Risk Risk Town of Moderate Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Moderate Low Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk Hudson Risk Risk Risk Town of Moderate Moderate High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk Keenesburg Risk Risk Ili IL/ EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Straight- Extreme Land Public Health Prairie Line Drought Earthquake Flood Hazmat Severe Storm Temperatures Subsidence Hazards Fire Winds & Tornadoes Town of Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Kersey Risk Risk Risk Risk Town of Moderate High Risk Moderate High Risk Low Risk High Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk LaSalle Risk Risk Town of Low Risk Low Risk Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk Mead Risk Risk Risk Town of Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Risk High Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk High Risk Milliken Risk Risk Risk Risk Town of Moderate Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Pierce Risk Risk Town of Moderate Moderate Low Risk Low Risk Moderate Low Risk Moderate Low Risk High Risk High Risk Platteville Risk Risk Risk Risk Town of Moderate High Risk Low Risk High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk High Risk High Risk Severance Risk Town of Moderate Moderate Low Risk High Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Moderate High Risk Windsor Risk Risk Risk L! r pi Lo _. \ " Y - saN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . 5.2. 1 Drought RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Drought 0.925 0.450 0.683 0.108 0.292 2.458 MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) 5.2. 1. 1 Hazard Identification Drought is a normal part of virtually all climates, including areas with high and low average rainfall . It is caused by a deficiency of precipitation and can be aggravated by other factors such as high temperatures, high winds, and low relative humidity. Droughts can be grouped as meteorological, hydrologic, agricultural, and socioeconomic. Representative definitions commonly used to describe the various types of drought are summarized below. • Meteorological drought is defined solely on the degrees of dryness. It is expressed as a departure of actual precipitation from an expected average or normal amount based on monthly, seasonal, or annual time scales. • Hydrologic drought is related to the effects of precipitation shortfalls on stream flows and reservoir, lake, and groundwater levels. • Agricultural drought is defined principally in terms of soil moisture deficiencies relative to water demands of plant life, usually crops. • Socioeconomic drought associates the supply and demand of economic goods or services with elements of meteorological, hydrologic, and agricultural drought. Socioeconomic drought occurs when the demand for water exceeds the supply as a result of a weather related supply shortfall . The incidence of this type of drought can increase because of a change in the amount of rainfall, a change in societal demands for water (or vulnerability to water shortages), or both . The Palmer Drought Severity Index ( PDSI ) was developed by Wayne Palmer in the 1960s and uses temperature and rainfall information in a formula to determine dryness. Over time it has become the semi-official drought index for risk assessment and hazard analysis. The Palmer Index is most effective in determining long term drought—a matter of several months—and is not used for short-term forecasts (a matter of weeks) . It uses a 0 as normal conditions, and drought is shown in terms of negative numbers; for example, -2 is moderate drought, -3 is severe drought, and -4 is extreme drought. The following table provides an overview of the Palmer Index compared to other classifications. Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Table 21. Drought Severity Classification DROUGHT MONITORING INDICES RETURN DROUGHT PERIOD DESCRIPTION OF POSSIBLE IMPACTS Standardized NDMC* Palmer SEVERITY (YRS) Precipitation Drought Drought Index (SPI) Category Index Going into drought; short-term dryness slowing growth of crops or Minor pastures; fire risk above average. -1.0 to - 3 to 4 -0.5 to -0.7 DO Drought Coming out of drought; some 1.9 lingering water deficits; pastures or crops not fully recovered . Some damage to crops or pastures; fire risk high; streams, reservoirs, or Moderate -2.0 to - 5 to 9 wells low, some water shortages -0.8 to -1. 2 D1 Drought 2.9 developing or imminent, voluntary water use restrictions requested . Crop or pasture losses likely; fire risk Severe -3.0 to - 10 to 17 very high; water shortages common; -1.3 to -1.5 D2 Drought 3.9 water restrictions imposed Major crop and pasture losses; Extreme -4.0 to - 18 to 43 extreme fire danger; widespread -1.6 to -1 .9 D3 Drought 4 9 wat- is - • - sr - ' i • t Exceptional and widespread crop and pasture losses; exceptional fire risk; Exceptional -5.0 or 44 + shortages of water in reservoirs, Less than -2 D4 Drought less streams, and wells creating water emergencies *Source: National Drought Mitigation Center 5.2. 1.2 A-evious Occurrences With its semi-arid climate, drought is a natural part of the Colorado environment. Because of natural variations in regional climate and precipitation, it is rare for the entire state to be deficient in moisture at the same time. Single season droughts that cover portions of the state, however, are fairly common . Drought impacts can cover large areas and may come in many forms. The most significant drought impacts in Colorado are related to water-intensive activities including agriculture, municipal use, wildfire protections, recreation, wildlife preservation, commerce, and tourism . Drought conditions can lead to the compaction of soil, increasing erosion potential and decreasing water quality. The impacts associated with drought magnify as the duration of the event increases, as supplemental supplies in reservoirs are depleted and water levels in groundwater aquifers decline. 1msD INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG The State of Colorado has experienced severe, widespread drought several times since the late 1800s. The 2013 State of Colorado Drought Mitigation and Response Plan included a comprehensive description of the major droughts that have occurred in Colorado, including the Dust Bowl of 1930s, the 1950s drought of the Great Plains, and the Colorado drought of 2002. The table below summarizes the duration of historical dry and wet periods in Colorado. Table 22. Historical Dry and Wet Periods in Colorado Date Dry Wet Duration (years) 1893-1905 X 12 1905-1931 X 26 1931-1941 X 10 1941-1951 x 10 1951-1957 X 6 1957-1959 X 2 1963-1965 X 2 1965-1975 X 10 1975-1978 X 3 1978-1999 X 20 2000-2006 X 6 2007-2010 X 3 2010-2013 X 3 Source: 2013 Colorado Drought Mitigation and Response Plan The previous table highlights seven multi-year droughts in Colorado since 1893 . The most dramatic drought event occurred in the late 1930s and 1950s when a number of states in the region were affected by a several-year drought. The Colorado drought of 2002 was the single most intensive year of drought in Colorado's history.6 Statewide snowpack was at or near all-time lows, and the year is considered the driest single year recorded in Colorado history. What made the 2002 drought event so unusual was that all of the State was dry at the same time. Regional soil moisture was depleted and reservoirs dropped to extremely low levels. The dramatic drought conditions prompted widespread water restrictions that were heavily enforced and regulated . These restrictions included limits to watering lawns, washing cars, or the use of water for any other non-essential uses. Some municipalities offered incentives for property owners to remove their lawns and adopt xeriscaped landscape designs. Ultimately, it was the wet period of the late 1990s and the increased reservoir storage during that time that helped Colorado to survive the drought of 2002. More recently, severe drought conditions have impacted the State of Colorado. Based on the U .S. Drought Monitor, approximately 50% of Colorado was already experiencing drought conditions by the start of 2012. Minimal accumulations of snow worsened conditions further, as below average snowfall and above average temperatures occurred in February and March . In April and May of 2012, warm temperatures 6 Pielke and Doesken, 2003. The Drought of 2002 in Colorado. -1 . Michael Baker a cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , caused early runoff as the thin snowpack melted rapidly. The entire State of Colorado was under drought conditions by the end of May 2012 and stream flows measured only slightly better compared to the extreme drought years of 1934, 1954, 1977 and 2002. Local agricultural production was heavily impacted by the 2011-2013 drought. Because soil moisture was low and temperatures high on the plains during the spring planting season, many crops struggled to take root and failed to survive the summer. Agricultural drought impacts were exacerbated by limited water availability for summer irrigation diversions due to less snowpack and runoff. In the eastern plains of Colorado, June temperatures were consistently over 100°F. As hay production decreased to 10% - 50% of average supply, prices increased dramatically. For example, corn prices increased 43% over two years as neighboring corn-producing regions in other states also struggled with drought. By early June 2013, many areas of the Eastern Plains normally covered by crops or cattle were barren . Many ranchers sold their herds as grasses had gone dormant and hay was expensive and in short supply. Additional economic impacts seen during the 2011-2013 drought period included disruptions to the tourism industry. Colorado experienced decreased rafting numbers due to low stream flows and wildfire conditions that made some river reaches inaccessible. Colorado's ski industry, another important economic driver for the state, experienced an 11.9% decrease in visits for the 2011-2012 season as compared to the five-year average. Many ski resorts closed early in 2012 because of high temperatures and minimal March snowfall. In addition to having a devastating economic impact on Colorado agriculture and tourism, the 2011-2013 drought period contributed to elevated wildfire risk across the state. Two of the State's most destructive wildfires occurred during the 2012 drought period : the High Park Fire and the Waldo Canyon Fire. Dry conditions on the Eastern Plains contributed to an extended grass fire season that threatened homes and property. During drought conditions Secretarial Disaster Declarations are used to make low interest loans and other emergency assistance available to those who have been affected (largely farmers and ranchers) . Under the process laid out by the Farm Services Agency ( FSA), a USDA Disaster Declaration can be made if any portion of a County has experienced eight consecutive weeks of severe drought according to the U .S. Drought Monitor.' The following Table lists the disaster declarations that have affected Weld County since 2003. ' The 2013 Colorado Drought Mitigation Response Plan Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Table 23. USDA Secretarial Disasters Affecting Weld County 2005 - Present Year Type Disaster # and Affected Counties USDA Designates 30 counties in Colorado as primary natural 2013 Drought disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by the recent drought USDA Designates 7 counties in Colorado as primary natural disaster 2012 Hail, High Winds areas due to damages and losses caused by hail, high winds and and Flash Flooding flash flooding that occurred June 7, 2012 USDA Designates 62 counties in Colorado as primary natural 2012 High Winds disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by high winds USDA Designates 25 counties in Colorado as primary natural 2008 Hail disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by Hail USDA Designates 41 counties in Colorado as primary natural 2008 Drought disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by Drought Heat, High Winds USDA Designates 29 counties in Colorado as primary natural 2006 and ongoing disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by heat, high Drought winds and ongoing drought USDA Designates 35 counties were designated as primary natural 2006 Drought, Fire, High disaster areas, due to losses caused by drought, fire, high winds and Winds and Heat heat Drought, Crop USDA Designates 7 counties in Colorado as primary natural disaster 2006 Disease and Insect areas due to damages and losses caused by ongoing drought, crop Infestation disease and insect infestation Source: USDA — Colorado Farm Services Agency Numerous drought declarations occurred between 2006 and 2013. One of the most significant disaster periods occurred in early July 2012, in which 62 of the State's 64 counties were included in a Secretarial disaster designation due to the 2011-2013 drought. Farmers in designated counties were able to apply for Farm Service Agency emergency loans for the next eight months. Because drought is usually considered a regional hazard, all jurisdictions are assumed to have the same risk level within Weld County. Drought risk is based on a combination of the frequency, severity, and spatial extent (the physical nature of drought) and the degree to which a population or activity is vulnerable to the effects of drought. The degree of Weld County's vulnerability to drought depends on the environmental and social characteristics of the region and is measured by its ability to anticipate, cope with, resist, and recover from drought. The 2013 State of Colorado Drought Mitigation and Response Plan includes information about total drought impacts for all Colorado counties from 1935 (the earliest reported drought impact) to May 8, 2013 for the following impact categories: Agriculture: Drought impacts associated with agriculture, farming, aquaculture, horticulture, forestry or ranching. Examples of drought-induced agricultural impacts include: damage to crop quality; income loss 76 ' �`' � ` Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG for farmers due to reduced crop yields; reduced productivity of cropland; insect infestation; plant disease; increased irrigation costs; cost of new or supplemental water resource development (wells, dams, pipelines) for agriculture; reduced productivity of rangeland; forced reduction of foundation stock; closure/limitation of public lands to grazing; high cost or unavailability of water for livestock, Christmas tree farms, forestry, raising domesticated horses, bees, fish, shellfish, or horticulture. Business and Industry: Drought impacts affecting non-agriculture and non-tourism businesses, such as lawn care businesses, sales of recreational vehicles or other recreational gear, and plant nurseries. Examples of drought-induced business impacts could include: reduction or loss of employees, change in sales or volume of business, variation in number of calls for service, early closure or late opening for the season, bankruptcy, permanent store closure, economic impacts. Energy: Drought impacts associated with power production, electricity rates, energy revenue, and purchase of alternate sources of energy. Examples include hydropower and non-hydropower production when affected by drought, electricity rates, revenue shortfalls and/or windfall profits, purchase of electricity when hydropower generation is down . Fire: Drought impacts contributing to forest, range, rural, or urban fires, fire danger, and burning restrictions. Examples of fire impacts include: Enactment/easing of burning restrictions, fireworks ban, increased fire risk, occurrence of fire ( number of acres burned, number of wildfires compared to average, people displaced, etc. ), increase in firefighting personnel, state of emergency during periods of high fire danger, closure of roads land due to fire occurrence or risk. Plants and Wildlife: Drought impacts associated with unmanaged plants and wildlife, fisheries, forests, and other fauna . Examples of drought-induced impacts on plants and wildlife include : loss of biodiversity of plants or wildlife; loss of trees from rural or urban landscapes, shelterbelts, or wooded conservation areas; reduction and degradation of fish and wildlife habitat; lack of feed and drinking water; greater mortality due to increased contact with agricultural producers, as animals seek food from farms and producers are less tolerant of the intrusion; disease; increased vulnerability to predation (from species concentrated near water); migration and concentration (loss of wildlife in some areas and too many wildlife in other areas); increased stress to endangered species; salinity levels affecting wildlife, wildlife encroaching into urban areas, loss of wetlands. Relief, Response, and Restrictions: Drought effects associated with disaster declarations, aid programs, requests for disaster declaration or aid, water restrictions, fire restrictions. Impacts include: Disaster declarations, aid programs, USDA Secretarial disaster declarations, Small Business Association disaster declarations, government relief and response programs, state-level declarations, county-level declarations, a declared "state of emergency," requests for declarations or aid, non-profit organization- based relief, water restrictions, fire restrictions, declaration of drought watches or warnings. Society and Public Health: Drought effects associated with public and human health . Examples of drought-induced social impacts include: health-related problems related to reduced water quantity and/or quality, such as increased concentration of contaminants; loss of human life (e.g., from heat stress); increased respiratory ailments; increased disease caused by wildlife concentrations; population migration (rural to urban areas, migrants into the United States); loss of aesthetic values; change in daily activities (non-recreational, like putting a bucket in the shower to catch water), elevated stress levels, meetings to discuss drought, communities creating drought plans, lawmakers altering penalties for Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , violation of water restrictions, demand for higher water rates, cultural/historical discoveries from low water levels, cancellation of fundraising events, cancellation/alteration of festivals or holiday traditions, stockpiling water, public service announcements and drought information websites, protests. Tourism and Recreation: Drought effects associated with recreational activities and tourism . Examples of drought-induced tourism and recreation impacts include: water access or navigation problems for recreation; bans on recreational activities; reduced license, permit, or ticket sales (e.g. hunting, fishing, ski lifts, etc. ); losses related to curtailed activities (e.g. bird watching, hunting and fishing, boating, etc. ); reduced park visitation; delayed opening for ski resorts; increase in artificial snow generation; cancellation or postponement of sporting events. Water Supply and Quality: Drought effects associated with water supply and water quality. Examples of drought-induced water supply and quality impacts include : Dry wells, water restrictions, changes in water rates, easing of water restrictions, increase in requests for new well permits, changes in water use due to water restrictions, greater water demand, decrease in water allocation or allotments, installation or alteration of water pumps or water intakes, changes to allowable water contaminants, water line damage or repairs due to drought stress, drinking water turbidity, change in water color or odor, declaration of drought watches or warnings, mitigation activities. Based on data collected by the National Drought Mitigation Center ( NDMC), the state-wide impact assessment, Weld County has recorded major impacts from drought since 1935 .8 The table below summarizes the drought impacts reported in Weld County alone since 2005 . Table 24. Drought Impacts Reported in Weld County (2005 - 2015) Impact Category Count Percentage of Total Impacts Agriculture 139 32.4% Relief, Response, and Restrictions 80 18.6% Water Supply and Quality 56 13 . 1% Society and Public Health 52 12. 1% Fire 32 7.5% Plants and Wildlife 31 7.2% Business and Industry 23 5.4% Tourism and Recreation 11 2.5% Energy 5 1.2% 2013 Colorado Drought Mitigation Response Plan (p. 24) 78 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w �., Impact Category irr Count U Percentage of Total Impacts Total Impacts: 429 100% Source: NDMC Drought Impact Reporter Over the last decade, impacts related to agriculture made up 32.4% of the total drought impacts reported in Weld County. Eighteen point six percent of drought impacts reported in the county were related to Relief, Response, and Restrictions. Impacts related to Water Supply and Quality, Society and Public Health, and Plants and Wildlife, each fall at around 7.2% - 13. 1% of the total reported drought impacts in the county. Fire related impacts make up 7.5% of drought impacts reported in Weld County. Tourism and Recreation, and Business and Industry impacts account for a total of 2.5%-5.4% of all reported drought impacts. Energy related impacts made up the lowest percentage of reported impacts in the last decade at 1.2% The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Paleoclimatology Program studies drought by analyzing records from tree rings, lake and dune sediments, archaeological remains, historical documents, and other environmental indicators to obtain a broader picture of the frequency of droughts in the United States. According to their research, "paleoclimatic data suggest that droughts as severe as the 1950's drought have occurred in central North America several times a century over the past 300-400 years, and thus we should expect (and plan for) similar droughts in the future. The paleoclimatic record also indicates that droughts of a much greater duration than any in the 20th century have occurred in parts of North America as recently as 500 years ago." Based on this research, the 1950's drought situation could be expected approximately once every 50 years or a 20% chance every ten years. An extreme drought, worse than the 1930's "Dust Bowl," has an approximate probability of occurring once every 500 years or a 2% chance of occurring each decade.9 A 500-year drought with a magnitude similar to that of the 1930's that destroys the agricultural economy and leads to wildfires is an example of a high magnitude event. 5. 2. 1.3 Inventory F posed Drought typically does not have a direct impact on critical facilities or structures. Drought conditions evolve slowly over time and communities typically have ample time to prepare for the effects. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm the local government and financial resources. Impacts from drought can include the following: • Economic losses to agricultural producers (crops and livestock) • Physical and mental health issues • Water supply interruption for business and industry • Water quality problems • Reduced soil and vegetation moisture • Vegetation mortality, insect infestations 9 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2003 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIO,r' • Impacts to fish and wildlife populations • Increase in wildland fires and associated losses 5.2. 1.4 Fbtential Losses Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. Severe droughts can negatively affect drinking water supplies. Should a public water system be affected, the losses could total into the millions of dollars if outside water is shipped in. Private springs/wells could also dry up. Possible losses to infrastructure include the loss of potable water. Although drought events rarely pose immediate risks to public health, they can impact local public health in numerous ways. Examples of drought-induced public health impacts include : increased respiratory ailments due to increased particulate matter in the air; sickness due to decreased availability of clean water; increased disease caused by wildlife concentrations; population migrations (rural to urban areas); loss of human life (e.g. from heat stress, suicides); and impacts on behavioral health (due to unemployment in the agricultural sector, stress on the tourism and other businesses related to the natural environment and/or water). The impacts of drought on local vegetation and wildlife can include death from dehydration and spread of invasive species or disease because of stressed conditions. In general, environmental impacts from drought are more likely at the interface of the human and natural world . The loss of crops or livestock due to drought can have far-reaching economic effects on communities, wind and water erosion can alter the visual landscape, and dust can damage property. Water-based recreational resources are also heavily affected by drought conditions. Indirect impacts from drought arise from wildfire, which may have additional effects on the landscape and sensitive resources such as historic or archeological sites. Due to the nature of drought, all jurisdictions within Weld County are expected to experience similar physical impacts from drought conditions. However, local communities with large agricultural, livestock, and tourism-based economies are expected to bear the brunt of drought effects in the county. 5. 2. 1. 5 9 obability of Future O currences Due to the nature of drought, it is an extremely difficult hazard to predict. However, identifying various indicators of drought, and tracking these indicators, provides us with a crucial means of monitoring drought. Additionally, understanding the historical frequency, duration, and spatial extent of drought assists in determining the likelihood and potential severity of future droughts. The characteristics of past droughts provide benchmarks for projecting similar conditions into the future. The probability of Weld County and its municipalities experiencing a drought event can be difficult to quantify; However, based on historical record of 5 drought-related USDA Secretarial Disasters affecting Weld County between 2005 and 2015, it can reasonably be assumed that this type of event has occurred once every 2 years from 2005 through 2015. Historic frequency suggests that there is a 50% chance of this type of event occurring each year. The Colorado Climate Report, published in 2015 by the Colorado Water Conservation Board (CWCB), include climate models that project Colorado will warm by 2.5°F by 2025 and 4°F by 2050, relative to the 1950-99 baseline. If these projections are accurate, changes in the quantity and quality of water are likely to occur due to warning, even in the absence of precipitation changes. 80 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 5. 2. 1. 6 Land Use and Development Society's vulnerability to drought is affected largely by population growth, urbanization, demographic characteristics, technology, water use trends, government policy, social behavior, and environmental awareness. These factors are continually changing, and society's vulnerability to drought may rise or fall in response to these changes. For example, increasing and shifting populations puts increasing pressure on water and other natural resources— more people need more water. Future development greatly impacts drought hazards by stressing both surface and ground water resources. Agricultural and industrial water users consume large amounts of water. Expansion of water- intensive enterprises is limited in a time when water resources are strained . In rapidly growing communities, new water and sewer systems or significant well and septic sites could use up more of the water available, particularly during periods of drought. Public water systems are monitored, but individual wells and septic systems are not as strictly regulated . Therefore, future development could have a profound impact on the vulnerability of Weld County communities to drought. Related to both current land use and future development trends, the use of turf grass affects the available water supplies. Maintaining lush, green lawns in the semi-arid climate of the Front Range requires large amounts of water. Urban lawn watering is the single largest water demand on most municipal supplies. Outdoor water use accounts for about 55 percent of the residential water use in the Front Range urban area, most of which is used on turf. 10 Residential and commercial landscaping can greatly impact future drought events and future water use regulations may be able to mitigate this trend . As Weld County continues to grow, it will consider practical guidelines for determining the impacts of drought such as measuring the economic value of water in alternative uses and objective methods for quantifying non-market impacts of drought on those uses. Additionally, Weld County will continue to follow guidance found within the State of Colorado's Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan as well as the Colorado Drought Mitigation and Response Plan. io http://www.ext.colostate.edu/pubs/consumer/09952.html S1 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 5.2.2 Earthquake SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Earthquake 0.400 0.500 0.383 0.283 0. 125 1.692 LOW RISK (1.9 or lower) 5. 2. 2. 1 Hazard identification An earthquake is the motion or trembling of the ground produced by sudden displacement of rock usually within the upper 10 - 20 miles of the Earth's crust. Earthquakes can affect hundreds of thousands of square miles, cause damage to property measured in the tens of billions of dollars, result in loss of life and injury to hundreds of thousands of people, and disrupt the social and economic functioning of the affected area . Most property damage and earthquake-related deaths are caused by the failure and collapse of structures due to ground shaking which is dependent upon amplitude and duration of the earthquake ( FEMA, 1997). Earthquake Mechanics Regardless of the source of the earthquake, the associated energy travels in waves radiating outward from the point of release. When these waves travel along the surface, the ground shakes and rolls, fractures form, and water waves may be generated. Earthquakes generally last a matter of seconds but the waves may travel for long distances and cause damage well after the initial shaking at the point of origin has subsided . Breaks in the crust associated with seismic activity are known as "faults" and are classified as either active or inactive. Faults may be expressed on the surface by sharp cliffs or scarps or may be buried below surface deposits. "Foreshocks," minor releases of pressure or slippage, may occur months or minutes before the actual onset of the earthquake. "Aftershocks," which range from minor to major, may occur for months after the main earthquake. In some cases, strong aftershocks may cause significant additional damage, especially if the initial earthquake impacted emergency management and response functions or weakened structures. Factors Contributing to Damage The damage associated with each earthquake is subject to four primary variables: • The nature of the seismic activity • The composition of the underlying geology and soils • The level and quality of development of the area struck by the earthquake • The time of day Seismic Activity: The properties of earthquakes vary greatly from event to event. Some seismic activity is localized (a small point of energy release), while other activity is widespread (e.g., a major fault shifting or slipping all at once). Earthquakes can be very brief (only a few seconds) or last for a minute or more. F Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , The depth of release and type of seismic waves generated also play roles in the nature and location of damage; shallow quakes will hit the area close to the epicenter harder, but tend to be felt across a smaller region than deep earthquakes. Geology and Soils: The surface geology and soils of an area influence the propagation (conduction ) of seismic waves and how strongly the energy is felt. Generally, stable areas (e.g., solid bedrock) experience less destructive shaking than unstable areas (e.g., fill soils) . The siting of a community or even individual buildings plays a strong role in the nature and extent of damage from an event. Development: An earthquake in a densely populated area which results in many deaths and considerable damage may have the same magnitude as a shock in a remote area that has no direct impacts. Large magnitude earthquakes that occur beneath the oceans may not even be felt by humans. Time of Day: The time of day of an event controls the distribution of the population of an affected area . On work days, the majority of the community will transition between work or school, home, and the commute between the two. The relative seismic vulnerability of each location can strongly influence the loss of life and injury resulting from an event. Types of Damage Often, the most dramatic evidence of an earthquake results from the vertical and/or horizontal displacement of the ground along a fault line. This displacement can sever transportation, energy, utility, and communications infrastructure potentially impacting numerous systems and persons. These ground displacements can also result in severe and complete damages to structures situated on top of the ground fault. However, most damage from earthquake events is the result of shaking. Shaking also produces a number of phenomena that can generate additional damage • Additional ground displacement • Landslides and avalanches • Liquefaction and subsidence • Seismic Seiches Shaking: During minor earthquake events, objects often fall from shelves and dishes rattle. In major events, large structures may be torn apart by the forces of the seismic waves. Structural damage is generally limited to older structures that are poorly maintained, poorly constructed, or improperly (or not) designed for seismic events. Un-reinforced masonry buildings and wood frame homes not anchored to their foundations are typical victims of earthquake damage. Loose or poorly secured objects also pose a significant hazard when they are loosened or dropped by shaking. These "non-structural falling hazard" objects include bookcases, heavy wall hangings, and building facades. Home water heaters pose a special risk due to their tendency to start fires when they topple over and rupture gas lines. Crumbling chimneys may also be responsible for injuries and property damage. Dam and bridge failures are significant risks during stronger earthquake events, and due to the consequences of such failures, may result in considerable property damage and loss of life. In areas of severe seismic shaking hazard, shaking Intensity levels of VII or higher (see Table 25) can be experienced even on solid bedrock. In these areas, older buildings especially are at significant risk. Michael Baker 83 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Ground Displacement Ground displacement can also occur due to shaking, resulting in similar damages as mentioned previously. Landslides and Avalanches: Even small earthquake events can cause landslides. Rock falls are common as unstable material on steep slopes is shaken loose, but significant landslides or even debris flows can be generated if conditions are ripe. Roads may be blocked by landslide activity, hampering response and recovery operations. Avalanches are possible when the snowpack is sufficient. Liquefaction and Subsidence: Soils may liquefy and/or subside when impacted by the seismic waves. Fill and previously saturated soils are especially at risk. The failure of the soils has the potential to cause widespread structural damage. The oscillation and failure of the soils may result in increased water flow and/or failure of wells as the subsurface flows are disrupted and sometimes permanently altered . Increased flows may be dramatic, resulting in geyser-like water spouts and/or flash floods. Similarly, septic systems may be damaged creating both inconvenience and health concerns. Seiches: Seismic waves may rock an enclosed body of water (e.g., lake or reservoir), creating an oscillating wave referred to as a "seiche." Although not a common cause of damage in past Colorado earthquakes, there is a potential for large, forceful waves similar to a tsunami ("tidal waves") to be generated on the large reservoirs within and neighboring Weld County. Such a wave would be a hazard to shoreline development and pose a significant risk on dam-created reservoirs. A seiche could either overtop or damage a dam leading to downstream flash flooding. Environmental impacts of earthquakes can be numerous, widespread, and devastating, particularly if indirect impacts are considered. Some examples of impacts are listed below: • Induced flooding and landslides • Poor water quality • Damage to vegetation • Breakage in sewage or toxic material containments HAZARD PROFILE The impact an earthquake event has on an area is typically measured in terms of earthquake intensity. Intensity is most commonly measured using the Modified Mercalli Intensity ( MMI ) Scale based on direct and indirect measurements of seismic effects. Another way to express an earthquake's severity is to compare its acceleration to the normal acceleration due to gravity. Peak ground acceleration ( PGA) measures the strength of ground movements in this manner. PGA represents the rate in change of motion of the earth's surface during an earthquake as a percent of the established rate of acceleration due to gravity. PGA can be partly determined by what soils and bedrock characteristics exist in the region . Unlike the Richter scale, PGA is not a measure of the total energy released by an earthquake, but rather of how hard the earth shakes at a given geographic area (the intensity). PGA is measured by using instruments including accelerographs and correlates well with the Mercalli scale. When the peak ground acceleration nears 0.04 - 0.092g, an earthquake can be felt by people walking outside. As PGA nears 0. 19 - 0.34g the intensity is considered to be very strong. At this level, plaster can break off and fall away from structures and cracks in walls often occur. PGA magnitudes of 1.24g are 84 1; ►% � Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG considered to be very disastrous. This magnitude of ground acceleration represents an earthquake of roughly 6.9 to 8. 1 on the Richter Scale. A detailed description of the Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale is shown in the following table. Table 25. Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale SCALE INTENSITY DESCRIPTION OF EFFECTS PGA (g) RICHTER SCALE MAGNITUDE Instrumental Detected only on seismographs < 0.0017 II Feeble Some people feel it 0.0018 — III Slight Felt by people resting; like a truck 0.014 < 4.2 rumbling by 0.015 — IV Moderate Felt by people walking 0.039 0.040 - V Slightly Strong Sleepers awake; church bells ring < 4.8 0.092 VI Strong Trees sway; suspended objects 0.093 - 0. 18 < 5.4 swing; objects fall off shelves VII Very Strong Mild alarm, walls crack, plaster falls 0. 19 - 0.34 < 6. 1 Moving cars uncontrollable, VIII Destructive masonry fractures, poorly 0.34 - 0.65 constructed buildings damaged < 6.9 Some houses collapse, ground IX Ruinous 0.65 — 1 .24 cracks, pipes break open Ground cracks profusely, many Disastrous buildings destroyed, liquefaction > 1.24 < 7.3 and landslides widespread Most buildings and bridges collapse, roads, railways, pipes and XI Very Disastrous > 1.24 < 8. 1 cables destroyed, general triggering of other hazards Total destruction, trees fall, ground XII Catastrophic > 1.24 > 8. 1 rises and falls in waves 85 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Studies indicate that there are about 100 potentially active fault lines in Colorado. Over 500 earthquake tremors of magnitude 2 .5 or higher have been recorded across the state since 1870. It is likely that more earthquakes of similar magnitude occurred during that time, but were not recorded due to low population densities and limited coverage of sensors across most of the state. For comparison, over 20,500 similarly sized events have been recorded in the State of California since 1870. Relative to other western states, Colorado's earthquake risk is higher than Kansas or Oklahoma, lower than Utah, and much lower than Nevada and California (Colorado OEM, 2003) . Despite Colorado's lower earthquake risk, based on geologic observations and characteristics of faults located in the region, seismologists predict that Colorado will indeed experience a magnitude 6.5 earthquake at some point in the future. Earthquakes are extremely difficult to predict and their occurrence rate is determined in one of two ways. If geologists can find evidence of distinct, datable earthquakes in the past, the number of these ruptures is used to define an occurrence rate. If evidence of ruptures is not available, geologists estimate fault slip rates from accumulated scarp heights and estimated date for the oldest movement on the scarp. Because a certain magnitude earthquake is likely to produce a displacement (slip) of a certain size, we can estimate the rate of occurrence of earthquakes of that magnitude. Recurrence rates are different for different assumed magnitudes thought to be "characteristic" of that fault type. Generally, a smaller magnitude quake will produce a faster recurrence rate, and for moderate levels of ground motion, a higher hazard risk. Future earthquakes are assumed to be likely to occur where earthquakes have produced faults in the geologically recent past. Quaternary faults are faults that have slipped in the last 1 .8 million years and it is widely accepted that they are the most likely source of future large earthquakes. For this reason, quaternary faults are used to make fault sources for future earthquake models. 5. 2. 2. 2 Previous Occurrences Earthquakes are relatively infrequent in Colorado and records of historical earthquakes in and around Weld County are limited. The following Table provides a list of Colorado's larger earthquakes recorded since 1870. Table 26. Notable Earthquake Events in Colorado ( 1870 - 2015) Date Location Magnitude Intensity 1870 Pueblo/Ft. Reynolds VI 1871 Lily Park, Moffat County VI 1880 Aspen VI 1882 North central Colorado 6.6* VII 1891 Axial Basin (Maybell) VI • S6 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG - Date Date Location Magnitude Intensity 1901 Buena Vista VI 1913 Ridgeway Area VI 1944 Montrose/Basalt VI 1955 Lake City VI 1960 Montrose/Ridgeway 5.5 V 1966 NE of Denver 5.0 V 1966 CO-NM border, near Dulce, NM 5.5 VII 1967 NE Denver 5.3 VII 1967 NE Denver 5.2 VI 2011 Southwest of Trinidad 5.3 VIII * Estimated, based on historical felt reports Source: Colorado Geological Survey The most economically damaging earthquake in Colorado's history occurred on August 9th, 1967 in the Denver metro area . The 5.3 magnitude earthquake caused more than a million dollars of damage in Denver and the northern suburbs. The August 1967 earthquake was followed by an earthquake of magnitude 5.2 three months later in November 1967. Although these two earthquake events cannot be classified as "major earthquakes" they are significant because of their location along the Front Range Urban Corridor, an area where nearly 75 percent of Colorado residents and many critical facilities are located . Historically, earthquake risk in Colorado has been rated lower than most subject experts consider justified. It is critically important that local emergency managers in and around Weld County become fully aware of the size and consequences of an earthquake that could occur. 5. 2.2.3 Inventory Exposed The most appropriate risk assessment methodology for seismic hazards involves scenario modeling using FEMA's Hazus loss estimation software. Hazus is a very useful planning tool because it provides an acceptable means of forecasting earthquake damage, loss of function of infrastructure, and casualties, among many other factors. There are three levels of Hazus analysis, from Level 1, which uses the default FEMA-derived datasets and damage functions, to Level 3, which uses independently compiled and accurately verified structure and infrastructure inventories and damage functions. Utilizing Hazus 2.2, FEMA's loss estimation and hazard modeling software, a detailed earthquake analyses was conducted for infrastructure within Weld County. The risk assessment leveraged locally managed inventory, hazard, and terrain data, where available. Hazus is a regional earthquake loss estimation model ►% ��' = Michael Baker 87 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , developed by FEMA and the National Institute of Building Science. The primary purpose of Hazus is to provide a methodology and software application to develop earthquake loss at a regional scale. The Hazus earthquake scenario modeled a 6.5 event along the Golden Fault, located approximately 20 miles southwest of Weld County. This scenario was used because it represents the "worst case scenario" : a large earthquake event along the closest quaternary fault to the county. Statewide soil type and landslide layers were incorporated into the model in order to further refine the results of the analysis. Ground motion was modeled for the event at each structure point in order to provide building loss estimates as well as at the census tract level to estimate debris generation and shelter requirements. Structure point data was leveraged from a previous FEMA losses avoided study that was done in region. Additional pre-processing was necessary to prepare these points for the countywide analysis in Hazus and in some cases field assumptions were made based on the standards set forth in FEMA's regional guidance as well as the Hazus manuals. It should be noted that point location was not further refined, and FEMA manually adjusted those points only within their particular areas of interest/analysis. Finally, areas without an assessed or improved value were removed from the resulting loss estimates as it was assumed that there was no structure present in these land parcels. According to the Hazus inventory, there are an estimated 83,377 buildings in Weld County with a total building replacement value (excluding contents) of $ 14,457,622,721. Approximately 68% of the buildings (and 54% of the building value) are associated with residential housing. 5.2.2.4 Ft)t eo iliai Losses In Colorado, earthquakes are considered low probability, high-consequence events. Although earthquakes may occur infrequently they can have devastating impacts. Ground shaking can lead to the collapse of buildings and bridges; disrupt gas, life lines, electric, and phone service. Deaths, injuries, and extensive property damage are possible vulnerabilities from this hazard. Some secondary hazards caused by earthquakes may include fire, hazardous material release, landslides, flash flooding, avalanches, tsunamis, and dam failure. Moderate and even very large earthquakes are inevitable, although very infrequent, in areas of normally low seismic activity. Consequently, buildings in these regions are seldom designed to deal with an earthquake threat; therefore, they are extremely vulnerable. Most property damage and earthquake-related injuries and deaths are caused by the failure and collapse of structures due to ground shaking. The level of damage depends upon the amplitude and duration of the shaking, which are directly related to the earthquake size, distance from the fault, site, and regional geology. Other damaging earthquake effects include landslides, the down-slope movement of soil and rock (mountain regions and along hillsides), and liquefaction, in which ground soil loses shear strength and the ability to support foundation loads. In the case of liquefaction, anything relying on the substrata for support can shift, tilt, rupture, or collapse. For the risk assessment conducted as part of the 2016 Plan, a 6.5-magnitude earthquake scenario with an epicenter on the Golden Fault was simulated in Hazus. Again, this scenario's event parameters and locations were chosen based on pre-existing scenarios outlined by the Colorado Geological Survey. The Front Range is defined by a 500- to 1,000-m-high, east-facing escarpment called the Golden Fault that is both a tectonic and erosional feature. The Golden Fault is a quaternary fault that bounds the eastern side of the Front Range near the town of Golden, adjacent to the Denver Metropolitan Area . The Golden Fault Michael Baker 88 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , was selected as an epicenter because it is the closest proximity quaternary fault to Weld County. The map below depicts Weld County and the location and magnitude of historical earthquake events in the region. 89 of i'�'�I Michael Baker ill 1 cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG ' ' Earthquake Risk in Weld County Legend Historic Earthquake Epicenters Quaternary faults are those that have slipped in the last 1.8 million Magnitude years. It is believed that these faults are the most likely source Not Determined for future great earthquakes. • 1 - 3 • 3 - 5 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map • 5 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Quaternary Faults Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 41.? Weld County 0 5 10 20 Miles 'rI `I I I I I I I I I Laramie Source: Colorado Geological Survey e Logan • Larimer Jackson t7 F4 C • weld tL . Morgan ® Grand Boulder vim` l� '� �... m Washington • L Gilpin \ Adams • • • Deng Clear Creek Arapahoe Summit Eagle Tefferson • • Douglas Elbert Park • • • qi. •�� 1x63, ,' 4 1 sD _ q Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL Teller El Paso Figure 15 . Map of Historical Earthquake Epicenters (1962 — 2015) and HAZUS Fault Scenarios 90 / ..r ; h, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG In the following map, Peak Ground Acceleration ( PGA) for the Golden Fault scenario is represented as %g. The Golden Fault model shows relatively low PGA in the eastern part of Weld County as the energy released from the Golden Fault radiates away from the epicenter. The majority of the high PGA values are found in southwestern part of the County. 91 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT + �. + Legend Golden Fault Scenario Ground Acceleration Peak Ground Acceleration Mg) Ground motion information derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 Per Census Tract earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. The 3.3463 5.7368 event parameters and location were chosen based on 5.7369 - 11 .1218 pre-existing scenarios outlined by the Colorado 11 . 1219 - 15.2475 Geological Survey. 15.2476 - 19.8917 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map 19.8918 - 32.6512 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Major Roads Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html p"_�, J Weld County 1 b:. tw Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological it , Survey, United States Geological Survey n I� s ,r1 0 5 1O 2O Miles • ''I' I I II I I I I I I Arid t .II r — I Michael Baker j„ INTERNATIONAL L LMLRGLNCY MANAGLMLNT Figure 16. Map of PGA from Golden Fault Earthquake 92 '' � Michael Baker ' _ cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Loss estimates from the Hazus scenario is included in the following Tables and maps. Data summarized for the scenario includes the following: • Expected building damage (number of structures) by occupancy • Expected building damage (number of structures) by building type • Expected damage to essential facilities (number of structures) • Induced earthquake damages (debris generation) • Social Impacts ( including shelter requirements and casualties) • Expected building loss estimates ($) Economic Losses and Building Damage The following Figure provides a map of total economic losses in Weld County projected by the Golden Fault earthquake scenario. Total economic losses include losses from building/infrastructure damage, relocation, and business interruption. For the Golden Fault earthquake scenario, the total losses were estimated to be $ 365,508,236. By far, the largest estimated losses were sustained by the residential buildings which made up seventy-one percent (71%) of the total economic losses. Spatially, a majority of the worst loss areas were located in the western, urban portion of the county. Generally, these are areas which are more densely/highly populated and more closely located to the Golden epicenter. But, the fact that large damage differences are seen across the western portion of the county show that other factors are influencing the Hazus loss estimations, most likely dealing with the underlying building stock data . 93 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIO . , *I\ - Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario Total Economic Loss (Building/Parcel Count) with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. $100 - $50.000 (82 877) Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, business 550 .001 5150.000 (369) inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building • $150 .001 - 5400 .000 (94) location. Where parcels do not have builldings, the point is the centroid • 5400.001 - 51 .000 .000 (27) of that parcel. • 51 000.001 - 53 500 000 (10) Due to the large geographic extent of weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, Major Roads the folowing URL wil take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2oi6.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County wil then host this data at the following URL: GI ,•,0.e 'd County http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/G5/GISMaps.html (I/ (1 --.7 +I I l ;li ,I� t it t. 1 15 �, /-- i IS , . • )....„.../ ._t T K — I • / Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological • �� ' Survey, United States Geological Survey, f Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency -.( C 5 .LC 20 Miles ‘7)-- , .: -- II I i I I I I I I I _ c,/ f ..,::I =0, .<, vim:: ;:if ` / 4 k' '� r a`, * I el Michael Baker - . _ , r ie, _ INTERNATIONAL MIR[.I PIN NAMI MINI Figure 17. Map of Total Economic Losses from Golden Fault Scenario yl+` ►, �� Michael Baker cc• N Y : INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Hazus measures direct building economic losses. The direct building losses are the estimated costs to repair or replace the damage caused to a building and its contents. The following Table details the Hazus loss estimates for the Golden Fault event. Table 27. Economic Losses — Golden Fault Scenario (Losses in Millions of Dollars) Single Other Category Commercial Industrial Other Total Family Residential Direct Structural $190.27 $25 .85 $70.35 $ 15 .58 $58.55 $360.60 Losses The expected damages in Weld County are defined by the following parameters: • "Slight" damage includes diagonal hairline fractures on most shear wall surfaces and hairline cracks on most infill walls. • "Moderate" damage includes cracks on most walls and failure of some shear walls. • "Extensive" damage means that most shear wall surfaces in the structure have reached or exceeded their capacity exhibited by large, through-the-wall diagonal cracks. • "Complete" damage means that the structure has collapsed or is in danger of collapse. Hazus estimates that about 74,460 buildings in the County will have no damage, 9, 199 buildings will be at least slightly damaged, 1,541 buildings will be at least moderately damaged, 149 buildings will be at least extensively damaged, and 12 buildings in the County will be completely damaged if a 6.5 earthquake were to occur on the Golden Fault. Damages to Critical Facilities/Infrastructure The Hazus earthquake model also provides estimates relating to the expected damages to and functionality of the County's critical facilities and critical infrastructure, as defined by Hazus. The tables on the following pages detail these estimates. For the Golden Fault scenario, the following Table provides post-event damage and functionality estimates for specific types of essential facilities within Weld County. In addition to estimating the number of facilities what will suffer either moderate or complete damage to over 50% of the structure, the table shows the number of facilities that will be operating at or over 50% functionality almost immediately after the earthquake event. Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Table 28. Golden Fault Scenario — Expected Damage to Critical Facilities # of Facilities Classification Total At Least Moderate Complete Damage With Functionality Damage >50% >50% >50% on day 1 Assisted Living/Nursing Home/ 18 0 0 18 Group Care Home Auditorium 4 0 0 3 Community Recreation Center 5 0 0 4 Church 153 10 0 140 Day Care Center 23 2 0 16 Fire Stations 34 1 0 34 • Government Building 24 1 0 22 Jail — Correction Facility 1 0 0 1 Schools 85 4 0 83 Utility Building 871 12 0 870 Warehouse 7 0 0 7 Debris Generation Hazus models estimate the amount of debris that will be generated by an earthquake. The Golden Fault scenario estimates that a total of 359 thousand tons of debris will be generated from that 6.5 magnitude event. Of the total amount, brick and wood make up 31% of the total, with the remainder of the debris being reinforced concrete and steel . When the debris tonnage is converted to an estimated number of truckloads, it will require 14,360 truckloads ( @25 tons/truck) to remove the debris generated by the earthquake. 96 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGa , Golden Fault Scenario Debris Generation Legend Debris generation estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Major Roads Debris Estimates Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. Tons �'_ Weld County 0 - 2.000 2,000 - 5,000 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map Li. 5.000 - 15,000 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. 15,000 - 30,000 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 30.000 - 65.000 - S Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological - Survey, United States Geological Survey, Weld County, Federal Emergency • Management Agency a n `�`• 0 5 10 20 Miles 11111111 ai' Michael Baker ~ "' +-- - INTERNATIONAL LIMIRCANCY MANAILMLNI Figure 18. Map of Debris Generated from Golden Fault Scenario 1 ► _ �`�`' Michael Baker ccJ ` , V INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , Shelter Requirements In addition to providing loss estimation and debris models, HAZUS estimates the number of households that are expected to be displaced from their homes due to an earthquake and the number of displaced people that will require accommodations in temporary public shelters. The Golden Fault model estimates that 693 households will be displaced in Weld County due to an earthquake and 457 people will seek temporary shelter in public shelters. The following map show displaced households at the Census Tract level for the Golden Fault earthquake scenario. Debris generation and displaced households appear to be positively correlated. 98 of I Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG i Legend Golden Fault Scenario Shelting Estimations Shelter Estimates Displaced household estimates are derived from Displaced Households Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario with an 0 - 5 epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. 5 - 10 10 - 20 20 - 50 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map 50 - 170 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Major Roads Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html G Weld County r -----7 \---\---. ------ ....-/ ,..__ —.. l i____ , /7re • Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Surve L- `. , United States Geological Survey , �r � y g Y Weld County, Federal Emergency t-- Management Agency 0 5 10 20 Miles — IIIIIIIII CJ t I ;if r : - % r i Michael Bakerii C - INTERNATIONAL LMLRGLNCY MANAGLMLNT Figure 19. Map of Displaced Households — Golden Fault Scenario _ ,, _ Michael Baker ce - ` - " J� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 5. 2.2.5 Probability of Future Orurrences Even though the seismic hazard risk in Weld County is low to moderate, it is likely that earthquakes will occur in the county in the future. It is reasonable to expect future earthquakes as large as magnitude 6.5, the largest event on record in Colorado. Calculations based on the historical earthquake records and geological evidence of recent fault activity suggest that an earthquake of magnitude 6 or greater may be expected somewhere in Colorado every several centuries. Earthquakes strike with little to no warning and they are capable of having multiple impacts on an area. After-effects from an earthquake can include impacted roadways, downed power and communication lines, fires, and damages to structures (especially poorly built, or those already in disrepair) . Earthquakes are not a seasonal hazard, and thus can be experienced year round. This fact presents its own set of planning and preparedness concerns. Ultimately, the probability of an earthquake occurring in Weld County is low. Additionally, if an earthquake were to occur in the near future it is likely to be of a low magnitude, with expected damages to property and people to be minimal . History has shown, however, that Weld County and Colorado are at risk to a larger magnitude seismic event. Should that type of event occur, major damages and losses should be expected. This fact makes these low probability, high impact hazards a challenge to deal with when planning a mitigation strategy to combat all hazards faced by a community. Standard building codes have the opportunity to provide Weld County with reasonable guidance for development throughout unincorporated and incorporated areas. Contractors and builders should be aware of applicable codes and regulations designed to reduce losses sustained by new and existing construction due to seismic hazards. For example, the light weight of wood frame buildings results in less force from inertia . Less force means less damage. Wood 's natural flexibility also is an advantage when seismic forces are brought to bear and the nailed joints in wood frame buildings dissipate energy and motion . Wood 's inherent earthquake resistance must be accompanied by design and construction techniques that take advantage of those characteristics. Structural wood panels nailed to wall framing add rigid bracing, help resist lateral loads and help tie framing members together. Bolted connections at the sill plate/foundation joint help keep the structure in one spot. Securely connected wall, floor, and roof framing also help tie a structure together and make it a single, solid structural unit. Proper connections will do more to hold a house together during an earthquake than any other single seismic design element. As development grows in the County and its municipalities, it will be important for citizens to consult with local building codes as modern building codes generally require seismic design elements for new construction . 5. 2.2. 6 Land Use and Development With the unpredictable nature of earthquake epicenter locations, it is not feasible to identify specific areas where development may exacerbate the risk to an earthquake. It should be assumed that all development increases the risk to the County from the threat of earthquakes. As population and development continue to expand in Weld County, continued enforcement of the unified construction code has great potential to mitigate increasing vulnerability and development pressure. I100 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Earthquakes are relatively uncommon in Weld County and the probability is low that they will occur regularly in the future. However, if an event was to occur within the county, there is potential for significant structural damage to occur near the epicenter. Due to the nature of earthquake hazards, areas in Weld County with high population densities and large numbers of structures and critical facilities are expected to experience greater damage and loss from an earthquake event. This includes jurisdictions located primarily in the central western and southwestern portion of the county, such as: • Greeley • Windsor • Johnstown • Evans • Fort Lupton Communities located in the eastern part of the County, may experience differential impacts from an earthquake event if transportation or utility infrastructure is damaged and prevents communities from responding or evacuating. 101 `` . '' Michael Baker cc - v `Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w �.. 5.2.3 Extreme Temperatures SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Extreme Temperatures 0.975 0.475 0.667 0. 142 0.300 2.558 G r) 5. 2.3. 1 Hazard Identification Cold temperatures are considered hazardous when they drop well below what is considered normal for an area during the winter months. Combined with increases in wind speed, such temperatures can be life threatening to those who are exposed for extended periods of time. Extreme heat can be described as temperatures that hover 10°F or more above the average high temperature for a region at least for several weeks. A heat wave is a period of excessive heat, which can lead to illness and other stress to vulnerable people and those who experience prolonged exposure to the heat. High humidity, which rarely accompanies heat waves in Weld County, can make the effects of heat even more harmful . While heat-related illness and death can occur from exposure to intense heat in just one afternoon, heat stress on the body has a cumulative effect. Consequently, the persistence of a heat wave increases the threat to public health . HAZARD PROFILE: Extreme Cold The majority of Weld County is located in the flat, grass-covered eastern plains — the high plains of the Great Plains. Summer temperatures on the eastern plains average in the mid-70s °F for July and August. However, daily minimum and maximum temperatures can vary as much as 40-50 °F. Winters on the eastern plains are typically dry, cold, and windy. Although snowfall is usually light, winter blizzards do affect Weld County residents. Average January nighttime low temperatures range from around 10 to 30 °F, with daily highs averaging from the mid-30s to 50°F. Sudden and frequent changes in temperature occur quite often in Colorado. Prolonged periods of extremely cold or hot weather are unusual; however, temperatures above 100 °F have occurred as well temperatures below 0 °F. Extended periods of extreme cold, although infrequent, can occur throughout the winter months in Weld County. When cold temperatures and wind combine, dangerous wind chills can develop. Wind chill is how cold it "feels" and is based on the rate of heat loss on exposed skin from wind and cold . As the wind increases, it draws heat from the body, driving down skin temperature, and eventually, internal body temperature. This makes the environment feel much colder than the actual temperature. As depicted in the figure below, the National Weather Service's Wind Chill Chart shows the difference between actual air temperature and perceived temperature, as well as the amount of time until frostbite occurs. 102 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN „sem3/4. frionoariNi ":1'4:110 Wind Chill Chart Temperature (°F) Calm 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 -40 -45 5 36 31 25 19 13 7 1 -5 -11 -16 -22 -28 -34 -40 -46 -52 -57 -634 10 34 27 21 15 9 3 -4 -10 -16 -22 -28 -35 -41 -47 -53 -59 -66 -72 15 32 25 19 13 6 0 -7 -13 19 -26 -32 -39 -45 -51 -58 -64 -71 -77 20 30 24 17 11 4 -2 -9 -15 -22 -29 -35 -42 -48 -55 -61 -68 -74 -81 2 25 29 23 16 9 3 -4 -11 -17 -24 -31 -37 -44 -51 -58 -64 -71 -78 -84 E 30 28 22 15 8 1 -5 -12 19 -26 -33 -39 -46 -53 -60 -67 -73 -80 -87 13 35 28 21 14 7 0 -7 -14 -21 -27 -34 -41 -48 -55 -62 -69 -76 -82 -89 § 40 27 20 13 6 -1 -8 -15 -22 -29 -36 -43 -50 -57 -64 -71 -78 -84 -91 45 26 19 12 5 -2 -9 -16 -23 -30 -37 -44 -51 -58 -65 -72 -79 -86 -93 50 26 19 12 4 -3 -10 -17 -24 -31 -38 -45 -52 -60 -67 -74 -81 -88 -95 55 25 18 11 4 -3 -11 18 -25 -32 -39 -46 -54 -61 -68 -75 -82 -89 -97 60 25 17 10 3 -4 -11 lia9 -26 -33 -40 -48 -55 -62 -69 -76 -84 -91 -98 Frostbite Times ■ 30 minutes 10 minutes 5 minutes Wind Chill (°F) = 35.74 + 0.6215T - 35.75(V°'16) + 0.42751( V°•16) Where,T= Air Temperature (°F) V= Wind Speed (mph) Effective 11/01/01 Figure 20. NOAA Wind Chill Chart The elderly, young children, the homeless, outdoor laborers, the infirm, and low-income communities are the most likely to suffer the negative effects of extreme cold . When conditions are appropriate, the National Weather Service issues wind chill warnings. The table below describes the criteria for these warnings. Table 29. National Weather Service Wind Chill Warnings Warning Description Issued by the NWS when there is a chance that wind chill Wind Chill Watch temperatures will decrease to at least 24°F below zero during the next 24 to 48 hours. Issued when the wind chill could be life threatening if Wind Chill Advisory action is not taken . The criteria for this advisory are expected wind chill readings from 15°F to 24°F below zero. 103 . Michael Baker r►11 �_ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Issued when wind chill readings are life threatening. Wind Wind Chill Warning chill readings of 25°F below zero or lower are expected. Source: NWS HAZARD PROFILE: Extreme Heat Extreme heat events are a considerable public health concern and are one of the leading weather-related killers in the United States. Although extreme heat events can occur in May or September, they are most common between June and August when above average temperatures are sustained for a prolonged period. During extended periods of very high temperatures , or high temperatures coupled with high humidity, individuals can suffer a variety of health problems, including heatstroke, heat exhaustion, heat syncope, and heat cramps. The Heat Index measures the severity of hot weather by estimating how hot it feels to humans. By combining air temperature and relative humidity, the Heat Index is directly related to skin temperature. The ambient temperature is quantified by examining the relation between relative humidity versus skin temperature. If the relative humidity is higher (or lower) than the base value, the apparent temperature is higher (or lower) than the ambient temperature. The following Table outlines the heat disorders associated with apparent temperature values during extreme heat events. Table 30. Heat Index and Associated Heat Disorders Apparent Danger Category Heat Disorders Temperature (°F) Fatigue possible with prolonged exposure and I Caution 80-90 physical activity Sunstroke, heat cramps, and heat exhaustion II Extreme Caution possible with prolonged exposure and physical 90-105 activity Sunstroke, heat cramps, and heat exhaustion Ill Danger likely; heatstroke possible with prolonged 105-130 exposure and physical activity IV Extreme Danger Heatstroke or sunstroke imminent >130 Source: NOAA Like extreme cold events, young children, the elderly, outdoor laborers, low-income families, the homeless, and the infirm are the most likely to suffer the negative effects of extreme heat. The National Weather Service initiates alerts based on the Heat Index as shown in the table below. Table 31 . Extreme Heat Warnings -1 . Michael Baker 104 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Intensity Detailed Description Typically between 105°F to 110°F (41°C to 43°C) Heat Advisory for 3 hours or more during the day and at or above 75°F (24°C) at night. Typically above 105°F (41°C) for 3 hours or more Excessive Heat Warning during the day and at or able 80°F (27°C) at night. Source: National Weather Service 5. 2.3.2 IThevious 'Occurrences Extreme Cold The State of Colorado experiences winter cold events fairly frequently, although extended periods of sub- zero temperatures are rare. The NCDC storm database includes winter weather and cold/wind chill hazards, both of which represent periods of prolonged cold temperatures. The database defines "significant" extreme cold/wind chill events as periods of extremely low temperatures or wind chill temperatures reaching or exceeding locally/regionally defined warning criteria on a widespread or localized basis. The table following table lists the significant winter weather and cold/wind chill events reported to NCDC for Weld County. Table 32 . Extreme Cold Events in Weld County ( 1950 - 2015) Event Property Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage January Winter Northeastern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 17, 1996 Storm11 Southern Weld County April 13, Winter Northeastern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 1996 Stormll Southern Weld County Winter Northwestern, Northeastern, December Storm " Central, and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 16, 1996 County 11 Winter Storm : A winter weather event which has more than one significant hazard (i.e. heavy snow and blowing snow; snow and ice; snow and sleet; sleet and ice; or snow, sleet, and ice) and meets or exceeds locally/regionally defined 12 and/or 24 hour warning criteria for at least one of the precipitation elements, on a widespread or localized basis. Normally a winter storm would pose a threat to life or property. 105 'r �, Michael Baker a co _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 4 ir Event —ImillirProperty Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage I. December Cold/Wind Northeastern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 16, 1996 Chill Southern Weld County December Cold/Wind Northeastern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 17, 1996 Chill Southern Weld County April 23, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 1997 Storm ' March 18, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 1998 Storm ' December Winter Northeastern and Northwestern 0 0 0 0 18, 1998 Stormll Weld County February Winter Northwestern, Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 10, 1999 Stormll County, Greeley and Vicinity November Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 21, 1999 Stormll April 10, Winter Southern, Northwestern, 0 0 0 0 2001 Storm ' Greeley and Vicinity April 22, Winter Northeastern, Northwestern, 0 0 0 0 2001 Storm' Greeley and Vicinity March 1, Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 2002 Storm Southern Weld County November Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 1, 2002 Storm Southern Weld County November Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 21, 2003 Storm January 3, Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 2004 Storm County 1" /7 Michael Baker 106 �_ � �I �'��' cc _ . \ - Y INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 4 ir Event —ImillirProperty Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage January Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 25, 2004 Storm County April 9, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2004 Storm November Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 28, 2004 Storm February Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 15, 2005 Storm March 13, Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 2005 Storm Southern Weld County Winter Northwestern, Northeastern, April 10, Storm Central, and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 2005 County April 28, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2005 Storm December Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 $ 102,000 0 28, 2006 Storm Southern Weld County January 5, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2007 Storm November Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 20, 2007 Weather' December Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 27, 2007 Storm Southern Weld County 12 Winter Weather Advisory: Issued for a winter weather event in which there is more than one hazard present, but all precipitation is expected to remain below warning criteria. For example, it would be issued if 2 inches of snow were expected with a small amount of sleet mixing in at times. Michael Baker 107 a cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 4 ir Event —ImillirProperty Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage I. April 9, Winter Northeastern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2008 Storm December Winter Northeastern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 4, 2008 Weather Southern Weld County March 26, Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 2009 Storm Southern Weld County March 26, Winter Northeastern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2009 Weather March 30, Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 2009 Weather County April 3, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2009 Weather October 9, Winter Northwestern and Northeastern 0 0 0 0 2009 Storm Weld County October 9, Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 2009 Weather County October Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 27, 2009 Storm Southern Weld County November Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 14, 2009 Storm County December Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 5, 2009 Weather December Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 22, 2009 Weather Southern Weld County March 19, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2009 Weather 1" /7 �t.862_ � Michael Baker 108 �_ � �I �'��' cc _ . \ - Y INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Event Property Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage March 23, Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 2010 Storm Southern Weld County May 11, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2010 Weather Winter Northwestern, Northeastern, December Weather Central, and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 30, 2010 County Extreme February Cold/Wind Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 1, 2011 Chill Winter Northwestern, Northeastern, October Storm Central, and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 25, 2011 County November Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 1, 2011 Storm Southern Weld County November Winter Northeastern Weld County 0 0 0 1, 2011 Weather December Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 21, 2011 Weather Southern Weld County February Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 2, 2012 Storm Southern Weld County November Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 10, 2012 Weather County December Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 19, 2012 Weather February Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 20, 2013 Weather County 109 '41�Apt= 1 Michael Baker t= -1 U INTERNATIONAL Ih1iEUIfv. `A.`•Fub:;f MINI Event Property Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage March 22, Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 2013 Storm County April 8, Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 2013 Storm County Winter Central, Southern, April 15, Storm Northeastern, and 0 0 0 0 2013 Northwestern Weld County April 22, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2013 Storm October Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 17, 2013 Weather December Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 3, 2013 Weather January Winter Northwestern, Central, and 0 0 0 0 30, 2014 Storm Southern Weld County May 11, Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 2014 Storm November Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 11, 2014 Weather December Winter Northeastern Weld County 0 0 0 0 14, 2014 Weather December Winter Northwestern Weld County 0 0 0 0 25, 2014 Storm December Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 25, 2014 Weather County February Winter Central and Southern Weld 0 0 0 0 25, 2015 Weather County `-'ir'1 ^' ± ' Michael Baker dii INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 4 Event Property Crop Date Area Injuries Deaths Type Damage Damage I. TOTAL: 0 0 $102,000 0 Source: NOAA, NCDC Storm Events Database; SHELDUS The first extreme cold/winter weather event reported in Weld County and listed in the NCDC database was in 1996. The NCDC database indicates that since then there have been 0 injuries and 0 deaths reported from 65 extreme cold/winter weather events in Weld County. There are most likely additional extreme cold/winter weather events prior to 1996 that have not been captured by the database specifically for Weld County. Understanding the historical frequency of extreme cold temperatures in Weld County assists in determining the likelihood of future occurrences. The characteristics of past extreme cold and significant winter weather events provide a benchmark for projecting similar conditions into the future. The probability that Weld County will experience extreme cold temperatures in the future can be difficult to quantify, but based on historical record of 65 events since 1996, it can reasonably be assumed that this type of event has occurred once every year from 1996 through 2015 . Historic frequencies suggest that there is a 100% chance of a hazardous extreme cold/winter weather event will affect Weld County each year. Extreme Heat Data supports a shift towards a warmer climate with an increase in extreme high temperatures across the United States. The graph below depicts annual statewide mean temperature history for the state of Colorado from 1895 to 2015 . The probability of continued (and more frequent) extreme heat events across Colorado is supported by the clear upward trend in high temperatures since 1895. Michael Baker 111 %-! co, NT INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIO ! - Colorado Mean Temperature Annual -1= - ttl i P , F2 \ I I ; • a i 11 44 - I'` s 1 1 • 42 - 1895 1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 2005 2015 ® 95% Confidence Limits Trend Line — — Annual Temperature Source: NOAA Figure 21. Mean Colorado Temperature Trends ( 1895 — 2015) 5. 2.3. 3 Inventory Expose' Unlike other natural hazards that affect Weld County, extreme temperatures have limited physical destructive force. However, damages to inventory assets exposed to extreme cold is dependent on the age of the building, type, construction material used, and condition of the structure. Heavy snow loads on roofs, particularly large span roofs, can cause roofs to leak or even collapse depending on their construction . Extremely cold temperatures may cause pipes to freeze and subsequently burst, causing water damage. During the winter months, freezing temperatures and repeated freeze-thaw events can cause potholes, which may damage vehicles. Hazardous travel conditions may result if potholes are not tended to promptly. Frozen pipes, a common occurrence during extreme cold events, can cause service interruptions in water supply, gas supply, and drainage. Most likely the greatest issue for critical facilities during significant extreme cold events is the inaccessibility of such facilities due to poor roadways, utility outages, or dangerous wind chills. During periods of heavy snow, ice, or blizzards, roads can quickly become impassable, stranding motorists and isolating communities. Long term road closures during an extended cold period may diminish and threaten propane and fuel supplies. Possible losses to critical infrastructure include: • Electric power disruption 112 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • Communication disruption • Water and fuel shortages • Road closures • Damaged infrastructure components, such as sewer lift stations and treatment plants Extended power outages during extreme cold events may make many homes and offices unbearably cold. Additionally, during extended winter-time power outages, people often make the mistake of bringing portable generators inside or not venting them properly, leading to carbon monoxide poisoning. With poor road conditions, sheltering residents may present significant logistical challenges with getting people to heated facilities, feeding, and providing medical care. These situations, accompanied by stranded motorists that need to be rescued, represent significant threats to the population of Weld County. Additional information on construction type and building codes enforced at time of construction would allow a more thorough assessment of the vulnerability of structures to extreme cold impacts. Extreme heat can cause pavement of roads and bridges, or railroad tracks, to crack or buckle, resulting in service disruptions and potentially hazardous travel conditions. The most significant impact of extreme heat on general building stock and critical facilities within Weld County is the increased demand on air conditioning equipment. Surges in air conditioning demand can sometimes strain electrical systems and energy resources. Public utility infrastructure (including electrical generating and conveyance systems) may become damaged and break down causing localized and/or widespread power outages. All assets located in Weld County can be considered to be exposed to extreme temperatures. This includes 100 percent of the County's population and all buildings and critical infrastructure located within the County. Most structures, including the county's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection in the event of an extreme temperature event. Facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Additionally, public buildings with cooling systems are ideal shelters for at-risk individuals and families during heat waves. 5. 2. 3.4 Potential Losses Although estimated property losses associated with extreme temperature hazards are anticipated to be minimal across the planning area, extreme heat and cold events do present a significant life and safety threat to the population of Weld County. Heat casualties are usually caused by lack of adequate air conditioning and/or heat exhaustion . Extreme heat tends to affect the elderly, infirm, homeless, or low- income families the most, as these populations frequently live on low fixed incomes and cannot afford to run air conditioning on a regular basis. These socially vulnerable populations are often isolated, with no immediate family and/or limited mobility, which makes it more difficult for them to remove themselves from danger. Casualties caused by extreme cold events can result from a lack of adequate heating, carbon monoxide poisoning from unsafe or unventilated heating systems, and frostbite from exposure to the elements. Again, the most vulnerable populations to extreme cold are the elderly, infirm, homeless, and low-income families. Often, these individuals do not have access to a heat source or are unable to afford to operate one on a regular basis. Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within Weld County are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and • 113 'r �, Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in Weld County resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for Weld County due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL DIFFERENCES Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerable to extreme temperatures by local jurisdiction . Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Table 33. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied Jurisdiction Age: 65 and Over (%) Level (%) housing units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 Unincorporated 9.5 14.7 30.5 Weld County City of Brighton 8.7 8.2 31.2 City of Dacono 9. 1 6.0 28.6 Town of Erie 5 .7 4. 1 17.4 City of Evans 6. 1 19.6 41.5 Town of Firestone 5.2 4.5 11. 1 Town of Frederick 6.4 7.5 12.5 City of Greeley 10.7 22.9 44.4 Town of Keenesburg 13.7 21. 1 30. 1 Town of Mead 6.3 4.7 11.7 ,..Jg61. 114 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG n Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied Jurisdiction Age: 65 and Over (%) Level (%) housing units (%) Town of Milliken 6.8 3.4 21.5 Town of Platteville 9.5 16.0 25.8 Town of Severance 5 .3 2.9 9.0 Town of Windsor 10.0 4.8 19.8 Source: DOLA; Census 2010 Weld County has a slightly lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. The Town of Keenesburg has the highest percentage of people over the age of 65, and the Town of Firestone has the lowest percentage. The percentage of people living below poverty level in Weld County is higher than the state of Colorado. The City of Greeley has the highest percentage and the Town of Severance has the lowest percentage of people living below poverty level . Weld County percent of renter occupied homes is slightly lower than the State. The City of Greeley has the highest percent and the Town of Severance has the lowest percent of renter occupied homes. Based on these statistics, Greeley residents (in general ) appear to be more acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures compared to other communities within Weld County. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. 5. 2.3.5 Probability of Future Cxcurrences Based on data provided by the NWS and NCDC, it is likely that Weld County will continue to experience hazardous extreme heat events in the future, and for more prolonged periods of time. During extreme temperature events, inadequate protection from the elements is especially hazardous. A combination of more frequent heat waves and changing demographics (e.g. an increase in the elderly population) is likely to result in higher rates of temperature-related deaths in Weld County. In order to mitigate the impacts of extreme temperature hazards it is important that the county prioritize outreach and services to specific populations who are most vulnerable. High-vulnerability groups typically experience a disproportionate number of health impacts from extreme heat and cold, often due to physical, social, and economic limitations to adequate participation in mitigation and response activity. In the context of extreme temperature events, the most vulnerable Weld County residents are : • The elderly ( people over 65 years of age) • Infants ( under 1 year old) • The homeless • Low income families • Socially isolated individuals • People with mobility restrictions and/or mental impairments • The infirm • Outdoor laborers • ;I,it, : �� Michael Baker 115 r r �/11i INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Although stopping extreme temperature events is impossible, limiting their effect on people and property in Weld County is feasible. Ongoing mitigation activities should focus on protecting lives and preventing injuries during periods of extreme heat and cold . This includes, but is not limited to pre-season community outreach campaigns to educate the public about risks and available support; establishing cooling and heating centers; reaching out to vulnerable populations and care givers; and issuing advisories and warnings. 5. 2.3. 6 Land Use and Development All future structures built in Weld County will likely be exposed to severe seasonal temperature extremes. As with other large extent hazards, increased development trends in and around Weld County will increase the vulnerability of growing areas to extreme heat and cold . Weld County and its jurisdictions must continue to adhere to building codes to facilitate new development that is built to current standards to account for future climate extremes. Additionally, as homes go up in more rural parts of the county, accessing those rural residents will present new emergency management and response challenges should sheltering or emergency services be needed in an extreme event. 116 `'•I Michael Baker rl� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . 5.2.4 Flood (including Dam & Levee Failure) NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Flooding 0.875 0.675 0.600 0. 242 0.300 2.692 HIGH RISK ID5 AND HIGHER) 5.2.4. 1 Hazard Identification A flood is a naturally occurring event for rivers and streams and occurs when a normally dry area is inundated with water. Excess water from snowmelt or rainfall accumulates and overflows onto the stream banks and adjacent floodplains. As illustrated in the figure below, floodplains are lowlands, adjacent to rivers, streams, and creeks that are subject to recurring floods. Flash floods, usually resulting from heavy rains or rapid snowmelt, can flood areas not typically subject to flooding, including urban areas. Additionally, extreme cold temperatures can cause streams and rivers to freeze, causing ice jams and creating flood conditions. Special Flood Hazard Area N (100-Year Floodplain) N N Flood Fringe N Floodway \ Flood Fringe N -- Base Flood \ Elevation .......\%*\c„.9 rie7' - Normal Water Level Stream Channel Figure 22 . Floodplain Terminology Floods are considered hazards when people and property are affected . Nationwide, hundreds of floods occur each year, making it one of the most common hazards in all 50 states and U .S. territories. Most injuries and deaths from flooding happen when people are swept away by flood currents and most property damage results from inundation by sediment-filled water. Fast-moving water can wash buildings off of their foundations and sweep vehicles downstream . Pipelines, bridges, and other infrastructure can be damaged when high water combines with flood debris. Basement flooding can also cause extensive damage. Flooding can cause extensive damage to crop lands and bring about the loss of livestock. Several factors determine the severity of floods including rainfall intensity and duration, topography, and ground cover. Riverine flooding originates from a body of water, typically a river, creek, or stream, as water levels rise onto normally dry land . Water from snowmelt, rainfall, freezing streams, ice flows, or a combination 7 -1 . Michael Baker 117 a cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , thereof, causes the river or stream to overflow its banks into adjacent floodplains. Winter flooding usually occurs when ice in the rivers creates dams or streams freeze from the bottom up during extreme cold spells. Spring flooding is usually the direct result of melting winter snow packs, heavy spring rains, or a combination of the two. Flash floods can occur anywhere when a large volume of water flows or melts over a short time period, usually from slow moving thunderstorms or rapid snowmelt. Because of the localized nature of flash floods, clear definitions of hazard areas do not exist. These types of floods often occur rapidly with significant impacts. Rapidly moving water, only a few inches deep, can lift people off their feet, and only a depth of a foot or two, is needed to sweep cars away. Most flood deaths result from flash floods. Urban flooding is the result of development and the ground's decreased ability to absorb excess water without adequate drainage systems in place. Typically, this type of flooding occurs when land uses change from fields or woodlands to roads and parking lots. Urbanization can increase runoff two to six times more than natural terrain. The flooding of developed areas may occur when the amount of water generated from rainfall and runoff exceeds a storm water system's capability to remove it. Stream Bank Erosion is measured as the rate of the change in the position or horizontal displacement of a stream bank over a period of time. It is generally associated with riverine flooding and discharge, and may be exacerbated by human activities such as bank hardening and dredging. Ice Jams are stationary accumulations of ice that restrict flow through a waterway. Ice jams can cause considerable increases in upstream water levels, while at the same time, downstream water levels may drop. Types of ice jams include freeze up jams, breakup jams, or combinations of both. When an ice jam releases, the effects downstream can be similar to that of a flash flood or dam failure. Ice jam flooding generally occurs in the late winter or spring. Floods from Dam Failure events are typically the result of either hydrologic or structural deficiencies. Dam failure by hydrologic deficiency is a result of inadequate spillway capacity, which can cause a dam to be overtopped during large flows into the reservoir. Failure usually occurs when excessive runoff happens after unusually heavy precipitation events. Large waves generated on reservoirs from landslides, or the sudden inflow from upstream dam failures, are other potential causes of dam failure by overtopping. Levees provide strong flood protection; however, they do not eliminate risk because they only reduce the risk to individuals and structures behind them . Levees are designed to protect against specific, pre- determined flood levels and are sometimes overtopped during severe weather events. As water passes over the top of a levee, it sometimes erodes the levee, worsening the flooding and potentially causing a breach . Levee Failure floods occur when a breach occurs, which may happen gradually or suddenly. The most dangerous breaches happen quickly. The resulting torrent can quickly inundate a large area behind the failed levee with little or no warning. Flooding events are typically measured in terms of magnitude and the statistical probability that they will occur. The 1% annual chance flood event is the standard national measurement for flood mitigation and insurance. A 1% annual chance flood, also known as the '100-year flood', has a 1 in 100 chance of being equaled or exceeded in any 1 year and has an average recurrence interval of 100 years. It is important to note that this recurrence interval is an average; it does not necessarily mean that a flood of such a magnitude will happen exactly every 100 years. Sometimes, only a few years may pass between one 1% annual chance flood and another while two other 1% annual chance floods may be separated by 150 Michael Baker 118 cc - ` - J� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG years. The 0.2% annual chance flood event, or the '500-year flood', is another measurement which represents a 0.2% chance (or 1 in 500 chance) of occurring in a given year. According to the NFIP's Community Information System (CIS) Weld County has been mapped for flood hazards and participates in the National Flood Insurance Program ( NFIP) . Details of local jurisdiction participation status are shown in the table below. Table 34. Communities Participating in the FEMA NFIP CID COMMUNITY NAME COUNTY INITIAL FIRM CURRENT EFFECTIVE IDENTIFIED MAP DATE 080266 Weld County Weld County 03/21/1978 09/22/1999 080179 Town of Ault Weld County 05/17/1974 06/04/1987 080236 City of Dacono Weld County 09/05/1975 07/16/1979 080180 Town of Eaton Weld County 05/10/1974 ( NSFHA) 080182 City of Evans Weld County 04/05/1974 04/02/1979 080241 Town of Firestone Weld County 09/19/1975 12/18/1979 080183 City of Fort Lupton Weld County 05/31/1974 04/02/1979 080244 Town of Frederick Weld County 09/26/1975 07/13/1982 080213 Town of Gilcrest Weld County 08/22/1975 ( NSFHA) 080184 City of Greeley Weld County 03/03/1974 07/16/1979 080249 Town of Hudson Weld County 080251 Town of Keenesburg Weld County 09/19/1975 ( NSFHA) 080186 Town of La Salle Weld County 05/28/1976 ( NSFHA) 080188 Town of Nunn Weld County 08/30/1974 02/01/1979 080189 Town of Pierce Weld County 11/29/1974 11/15/1979 080190 Town of Platteville Weld County 01/16/1976 ( NSFHA) 080317 Town of Severance Weld County * 09/22/1999 * Data Not Available ( NSFHA) - No Special Flood Hazard Area Weld County has a total of 412 NFIP policies. Although Weld County participates in the NFIP, the community does not participate in the Community Rating System (CRS) . CRS is a voluntary program for NFIP participating communities. The goals of the CRS are to reduce flood damages to insurable property, to strengthen and support the insurance aspects of the NFIP, and to encourage a comprehensive approach to floodplain management. The CRS was developed to provide incentives in the form of insurance premium discounts to communities that go above and beyond the minimum floodplain management requirements and develop extra measures to reduce flood risk. There are 10 CRS classes and the classification determines the insurance premium discount for policy holders. The discounts range from 5% to a maximum of 45%. Table 35 . CRS Premium Discounts Class Discount Class Discount 1 45% 6 20% Michael Baker 119 ► ! P , cc - ` - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 2 40% 7 15% 3 35% 8 10% 4 30% 9 5% 5 25% 10 -- SFHA (Zones A, AE, A1-A30, V, V1-V30, AO, and AH ) : Discount varies depending on class. SHFA (Zones A99, AR/A, AR/AE. AR/A1-A30, AR/AH, and AR/AO) : 10% discount for Classes 1-6; 5% discount for Classes 7-9. * Non-SFHA (Zones B, C, X, D) : 10% discount for Classes 1-6; 5% discount for Classes 7-9. * In determining CRS premium discount, all AR and A99 Zones are treated as non-SFHAs. All CRS participating communities start out with a Class 10 rating (which provides no premium discount) . Class 1 requires the most credit points and offers the largest premium discount. Within the CRS program, there are 18 activities recognized as measures for eliminating local exposure to flooding. Credit points are assigned to each activity, which have been organized under four main categories: • Public Information • Mapping and Regulation • Flood Damage Reduction • Flood Preparedness During the hazard mitigation planning process, participating jurisdictions discussed the benefits of joining CRS. Most communities decided that participating in CRS was not feasible for them at this time but will consider joining the program in the future. HAZARD PROFILE Seasonally, Weld County is confronted with the possibility of flooding and flood-related hazards. Floods have the potential to inflict tremendous damages with significant losses of life and property. They can also pose a threat to the health, safety, and welfare of Weld County residents and visitors. Previous flooding events have caused thousands of dollars in damage in just a few hours or days in the region and current development and population growth trends necessitate a heightened awareness that the impact of flooding may likely increase in Weld County over time. The map below depicts the current special flood hazard areas (SFHA) for Weld County. The SFHA areas span roads, infrastructure, property, and jurisdictions across the county. 120 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGa Special Flood Hazard Areas Legend SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the most recent Preliminary Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and Major Roads its jurisdictions. GWeld County Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html :Nitt \ ikk\?Si N. r l� / 1 1 i v b t 'r k(-1 ( ' Ilb--. -:---,- ' \i, "sic, f .� i K1 - O ` Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County y. o t 0 5 10 20 Miles I I I I I I I I I r, Y ,I i , ii Michael Baker '` L - ' INTERNATIONAL kMkRGLNCV MANAGEMENT Figure 23. Map of Weld County Special Flood Hazard Areas \1i1cr_ 71 -, ? Michael Baker 121 , r , v ce - ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG The type of property damage caused by flood events depends on the depths and velocity of the floodwaters. Faster moving floodwaters can wash buildings off their foundations and sweep cars downstream . Pipelines, bridges, and other infrastructure can be damaged when high waters combine with flood debris. Extensive damage can be caused by basement flooding and landslide damage related to soil saturation from flood events. Seepage into basements is common during flood events. Most flood damage is caused by water saturating materials susceptible to loss (e.g., wood, insulation, wallboard, fabric, furnishings, floor coverings, and appliances). Homes in flooded areas can also suffer damage to septic systems and drain fields. In many cases, flood damage to homes renders them uninhabitable. Flood events impact businesses by damaging property and by interrupting business. Flood events can cut off customer access to a business as well as close a business for repairs or permanently. A quick response to the needs of businesses affected by flood events can help a community maintain economic vitality in the face of flood damage. Responses to business damages can include funding to assist owners in elevating or relocating flood-prone business structures. During flooding events, homes, businesses, and people face the threat of explosions and fires caused by leaking gas lines along with the possibility of being electrocuted . Domestic and wild animals forced out of their homes and brought into contact with humans by floodwaters can also pose a threat. In rural areas, property damage caused by flooding can be devastating to ranchers and farmers. When flooding occurs during the growing season, farmers can suffer widespread crop loss. Stock growers may lose livestock if they are unable to find safety from rising floodwaters. Flooding may also cause damage to pasture land, fences, barns, and out buildings. Publicly owned facilities are a key component of daily life for all citizens of the county. Public buildings are of particular importance during flood events because they house critical assets for government response and recovery activities. Damage to public water and sewer systems, transportation networks, flood control facilities, emergency facilities, and offices can hinder the ability of the government to deliver services. Loss of power and communications can be expected . Drinking water and wastewater treatment facilities may be temporarily out of operation . Mitigation against flood events is accomplished through sensible floodplain management and regulations as well as identifying flood prone areas, tributary watersheds that experience instability or sediment loading problems, and channel instability hazards. This involves strategies to modify flooding and to modify infrastructure to decrease the likelihood of damage. To modify the impact of flooding, measures must be taken to decrease susceptibility to flood damage and disruptions. Natural and cultural resources must also be protected and managed . Coordination with mitigation plans by Floodplain Managers will increase effectiveness of flood mitigation projects. City and County Planners will be valuable resources to incorporate flood mitigation plans into their respective plans. 5.2.4.2 Previous Occurrences Documentation of flooding in Colorado collected by the National Climatic Data Center ( NCDC) and the University of South Carolina's Hazards and Vulnerability Research Institute ( HVRI ) goes back to 1950. The table below provides a history of major flood events that affected Weld County between 1950 and 2014. 122 .'� �, Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . , w . Table 36. Weld County Historical Flood Events (1950 - 2015) Property Date Hazard Type Injuries Deaths Crop Damage Damage 8/25/2014 Flood 0 0 $25,000 $25,000 7/29/2014 Flash Flood 0 0 $ 10,000 $ 10,000 6/1/2014 Flood 0 0 $250,000 $50,000 5/30/2014 Flash Flood 0 0 $ 15,000 $ 10,000 5/25/2014 Flood 0 0 $ 15,000 $ 10,000 9/14/2013 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 9/12/2013 Flood 0 0 $230,000,000 $3,750,000 9/12/2013 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 9/12/2013 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 9/11/2013 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 8/3/2013 Flash Flood 0 0 $50,000 $50,000 9/26/2012 Flash Flood 0 0 $ 15,000 $ 10,000 6/7/2012 Flash Flood 0 0 $ 10,000 $5,000 7/12/2011 p Flash Flood 0 0 $50,000 $ 100,000 6/12/2010 Flash Flood 0 0 $24,000 $50,000 6/11/2010 Flash Flood o 0 $24,000 $50,000 6/11/2010 Flash Flood 0 0 $24,000 $50,000 5/26/2010 Flash Flood 0 0 $24,000 $250,000 5/25/2009 Flash Flood 0 0 $24,000 $50,000 8/6/2008 Flash Flood 0 0 $50,000 $25,000 8/22/2007 Flash Flood 0 0 $ 1,000 0 8/2/2007 Flash Flood 0 0 $1,000 0 6/9/2004 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 7/26/2003 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 7/13/2001 Flash Flood 0 0 $600,000 0 7/11/2001 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 123 412 ! '��'� �� `'� Michael Baker i. ce - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG n wall :. Er Property Date Hazard Type Injuries Deaths Crop Damage Damage 6/7/2001 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 8/17/2000 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 8/4/2000 Flood 0 0 0 0 7/10/2000 Flood 0 0 0 0 7/19/1999 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 5/4/1999 Flood 0 0 0 0 5/4/1999 Flood 0 0 0 0 5/1/1999 Flood 0 0 0 0 5/1/1999 Flood 0 0 $200,000 0 4/28/1999 Flood 0 0 0 0 7/4/1998 Flood 0 0 0 0 7/29/1997 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 7/28/1997 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 7/27/1997 Flash Flood 0 0 0 0 6/14/1997 Flood 0 0 0 0 6/3/1997 Flood 0 0 0 0 5/24/1997 Flash Flood o 0 0 0 8/29/1996 Flash Flood o 0 0 0 8/27/1996 Flood 0 0 0 0 TOTAL: 0 0 $231,412,000 $4,495,000 Source: SHELDUS; NOAA (NCDC Storm Events Database) The most significant flooding event to collectively impact the State of Colorado occurred during September 2013 . During the week beginning on September 9t", a slow moving cold front circulated over the state, clashing with warm, humid monsoonal air from the south . While damages are still being assessed for the 2013 flooding event, NOAA's National Climatic Data Center ( NCDC) Storm Events Database estimates that Weld County sustained $231 million in property damage and another $4.5 million in crop damage. It should be noted, however, that the 2013 flooding was not a worst-case event for Weld County. According to the National Climatic Data Center ( NCDC) and the University of South Carolina's HVRI, Weld County has been impacted by 45 major flood events since 1950. Aggregate loss data for these events is included in the "Historical Flood Impacts" previous table. Michael Baker 124 cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Repetitive Loss properties ( RL) are structures covered by a contract for flood insurance made available under the National Flood Insurance Program ( NFIP) that: (a) have incurred flood-related damage on two occasions, in which the cost of repair, on the average, equaled or exceeded 25% of the market value of the structure at the time of each flood event; and ( b) at the time of the second incidence of flood-related damage, the contract for flood insurance contains increased cost of compliance coverage. A Severe Repetitive Loss property (SRL) is defined as a residential property that is covered under an NFIP flood insurance policy and : a) has at least four NFIP claim payments (including building and contents) over $5,000 each, and the cumulative amount of such claims payments exceeds $20,000; or, b) a property for which at least two separate claim payments ( building payments only) have been made with the cumulative amount of the building portion of such claims exceeding the market value of the building. For both a) and b) above, at least two of the referenced claims must have occurred within any ten-year period, and must be greater than ten days apart. As of January 2015, there was one severe repetitive loss (SRL) structure located within Weld County. The single family residence is located in the City of Greeley and is currently in a Zone A (it was in a Zone C in 2010-2011) . The property has not undergone any mitigation projects. Table 37. Severe Repetitive Loss Property - City of Greeley Date of Loss Building Payment Contents Payment Total 5/31/2014 $8,251.70 $3,047.70 $11,299.40 9/15/2014 $ 102,217 $ 102,217.42 $204,434 6/11/2011 $7,333.92 $18,055.11 $25,389.03 6/10/2010 $18,055.11 $ 1,786.72 $ 19,841.83 Total $ 135,857.73 $ 125, 106.95 $260,964.68 Source: Colorado Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management Table 38. SRL Structure - City of Greeley Loss Summary Property Value $374, 702 Cumulative Loss and LAE Paid $219,328 Replacement Cost $329,100 30 Year Savings to the Fund Value $ 197,948 100 Year Savings to the Fund Value $227,622 Source: Colorado Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management The City of Greeley has addressed this property in their 2016 mitigation strategy and has developed a Mitigation Action Guide to reduce the risk (and cost) associated with flooding of the SRL structure. Inventory Exposed Utilizing Hazus 2.2, FEMA's loss estimation and hazard modeling software, a flood risk analysis was conducted for infrastructure within Weld County. The risk assessment leveraged locally managed inventory, hazard, and terrain data, where available. Hazus is a regional multi-hazard loss estimation model developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency ( FEMA) and the National Institute of Buildings Sciences ( NIBS) . The Hazus delineations developed for this Plan were generated using the fully- automated tools within the software, which use generalized regional regression equations to estimate flows and normal depth calculations to estimate flood depths. 7 -1 _ Michael Baker 125 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , The flood scenario modeled the 100 year return event, based on the latest available FEMA DFIRM data . A flood depth grid was developed utilizing a countywide elevation surface derived from local LIDAR ( Post 2013 Colorado Flood Event data) as well as USGS 10 meter national elevation dataset ( NED) data . Geo- processing models built in ArcGIS Modelbuilder and Python were leveraged in order to create the ground surface mosaic as well as generate the flood depth grid based on the input data . Hazus floodplain delineations were post-processed to remove artifacts and flow areas less than 0.5 feet deep. Where Hazus could not determine floodplain delineations, the automated tools within HEC- GeoRAS were used to generate geometry data that was then used in HEC-RAS to model the floodplain. Flows used in HEC-RAS were either taken from the Hazus analysis or were developed using the U .S. Geological Survey's online StreamStats tool to implement the Colorado regional regression equations. HEC-GeoRAS was used to post-process the HEC-RAS model results and produce floodplain delineations. The map below shows the flooding threat to critical facilities in Weld County by layering identified special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with the locations of community-defined critical facilities. Critical facilities are essential to the health and welfare of the whole population and are especially important both during and after hazard events. Critical structures or areas that overlap or touch the SFHA are considered "flood prone." In addition to the SFHA boundaries, the flood risk analysis for this Plan integrates DFIRM depth grids, a digital dataset that shows flood depths at various locations within the floodplain. This enhanced data input allows Hazus to more accurately approximate floodplain boundaries and their associated flood depths for a 100-year flood event. Due to the availability of LiDAR elevation data, as well as complete countywide floodplain coverage, a detailed depth grid was locally developed for this planning effort. This depth grid was developed by combining the effective FEMA 100 year floodplains with several Urban Drainage Flood Control District FHADs ( Flood Hazard Area Delineations) that covered the area of analysis. The resulting floodplain represents the most detailed and temporally accurate depiction of the current flood hazards in Weld County. A water surface elevation surface was created from the aforementioned floodplains and this surface was intersected with the most accurate elevation data available (2013 LiDAR and NED data) to obtain a flood depth surface. The map below shows the SFHA and the associated flood depths within Weld County generated for the 100-year risk analysis. 126 7 1 r Michael Baker I� co _ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , , , 1 % Annual Flood Scenario Loss Est . - Critical Facilities Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood scenario Legend involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Major Roads Total Economic Loss (Count) Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, 0 Weld County O $100 - $10,000 (20) and rental losses. Critical facilities as defined by the Weld 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) O $10,001 - $50.000 (11 ) County OEM . Point locations are sometimes approximate and mu High : 57.856 O $50,001 $100,000 (8) not the actual building location. Low : 0 O $100.001 - $250,000 (4) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, ® $250,001 - $600,000 (2) the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html / N.. NI — .,0 I / , / Op O - a o o f,../ 7 q �s ' t p_ \•116 flillIPIL Olt - — r v; o p its i Source: Federal Emergency '� Management Agency, Weld County / ' 'Lk 0 5 10 20 Miles 'A 41 I1 ‘‘ I I I I I i i l l d Ot% * i r - / t i. .,s t VvAr — % o f 4 Michael Baker L. ,•• __fig i — INTERNATIONAL EMLKGLNCY MANAGEMENT Figure 24. Map of Flooding Threat to Critical Facilities and DFIRM Depth Grid JJ- 127 ss .k, - I Michael Baker • INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , The critical facility exposure analysis estimates that there are 55 critical facilities in Weld County that are flood prone ( not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . The appraised value of these exposed structures is approximately $ 14.5 million . The tables below summarize the results of the critical facility flood exposure analysis and include information concerning the appraised value. Table 39. Flood Prone Critical Areas CRITICAL FACILITIES TOTAL if OF STRUCTURES # OF FLOOD PRONE STRUCTURES Utility Buildings 47 15 Government Building 1 0 Warehouse 2 0 Daycare 1 0 Church 3 0 Auditorium 1 0 TOTAL STRUCTURES 55 15 Table 40. Flood Prone Critical Facilities — City and County Facilities City Facility County Facility Count Appraised Value Count Appraised Value Within SFHA 10 $6,161,901 34 $5,676,211 Table 41. Flood Prone Critical Facilities — Community Services Church Count Appraised Value Within SFHA 3 $5,305,952 Total 154 $84,445,802 % Flood Prone < 2% < 6% 5. 2.4.4 Fbtential Loss The methodology used to determine potential losses to flooding was conducted using FEMA's Hazus loss estimation software. For this Plan, a 100-year flood scenario was modeled for the County. The results of the Hazus assessment are presented below. 128 Michael Baker a c : . - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , HAZUS 100-YEAR FLOOD SCENARIO The flood depth grid and the parcel centroid points served as the primary inputs into Hazus. The parcel centroid points were produced by utilizing parcel and assessor data provided by Weld County GIS. This data was converted to parcel centroid (point) data and spatially corrected to ensure geographical accuracy of the points and the associated structures in all areas within the designated 100-year floodplain. In some cases there were multiple, distinctly different, structures within a single designated parcel . In these cases, points were generated on top of each individual structure and the total appraised value of the parcel was divided up equally among the structures. Important attributes such as year built and land use were missing for many parcels throughout the county. In these cases the average value of the associated census block was used in the risk assessment. A 100-year flood scenario was defined in Hazus and losses were calculated for each point that intersected the depth grid based on the Hazus depth damage curves for specific structure attributes (such as foundation type, building type, and first flood height) . The map below shows the results of the Hazus 100- year flood scenario economic loss analysis for Weld County. Future flood risk assessments conducted within Weld County (including Hazus-based assessments) should ensure that they continue to incorporate additional floodplain data sets that were not able to be fully utilized as part of the 2016 Plan . 129 of = �' '`• Michael Baker �'' r11 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG, s 1 % Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood scenario Major Roads Total Economic Loss (Count) involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Weld County ° $100 510,000 (564) 4` Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) 0 $10,001 - $50,000 (425) business inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, in. High : 57.856 ° $50,001 - $100,000 (85) and rental losses. Point locations are sometimes approximate -and not the actual building location. Where parcels do not have Low : 0 0 $100,001 $250,000 (67) buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel. 0 $250.001 - $1 .000.000 (40) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map • S1 .000.001 - $2,600.000 (6) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html N O O .t O 0 in r 0 ` o � o / 1 N-,.\_. O a V '3 .8• O 0 '10 G O O • u the la .�, ° -s-J - e • 4/ Z C' O 0 0 `• Cl 5�� f� ti�L.rat- ° O QJ -CI 0 COD ° \ a ° % p 0 ,� ' �J"O 1>t4, 04‘, _ ,t, c.-r y, 0 it i C. eiD 61 1' Source: Federal Emergency _' ,`� o° Management Agency, Weld County ,L !)D Qv 2 0,q ° % 80 0 0 5 10 20 Miles "4 r- '-fr C9 ,gy I I I I I I I I I l 0 `�5 . O c, t p 6 : o L, 1i x e.,„41 �41 i I) Pi r ' — % o 0°� r Michael Baker <9 ° .z./ - - INTERNATIONAL LMLRGLNCYMANAGLMLNT Figure 25 .Total Economic Losses ( 100-Year Flood Scenario) 7 = ) Michael Baker 130 ce - ` - " � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a - , The map of total Economic losses illustrates a clear loss pattern in which damages are clustered around the most populated areas of the county. These places represent areas where resources and people are concentrated, making those areas of high potential loss and clear priority areas for focused mitigation action. Hazus estimates for Weld County estimate that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 1, 163 buildings will be at least moderately damaged . The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is over $54 million dollars. A number of variables are included in Hazus analyses in order to arrive at the estimated values of loss due to flooding. For this reason, it is important to note that the Hazus loss estimates detailed below should not be used as a precise measure, but rather viewed from the perspective of the potential magnitudes of expected losses. When calculating building losses Hazus breaks loss values into two categories: direct economic losses and indirect economic losses. Direct economic losses are the estimated costs to repair or replace the damage caused to a building and its contents. These values are organized in terms of Building Losses and Building Content Losses. Indirect economic losses include Inventory Losses and other losses associated with business interruption and the inability to operate a business because of the damage sustained during the flood. The total building losses for the 100-year flood event were estimated to be over $24.4 million . This represents over 45% of total economic losses from flooding in the county. Building content losses were estimated to be over $ 18.4 million, representing roughly 34% of total economic losses from flooding. Inventory losses were estimated to be over $ 1. 1 million. This represents roughly 21% of total economic losses due to the 100-year flood modeled in the Hazus scenario. The table below provides a summary of the economic losses associated with building damage by jurisdiction . Only those jurisdictions with expected losses are included in the table (unlisted jurisdictions do not have structures that are expected to sustain damage from the 100-year flood scenario). Table 42. Economic Loss Estimates by Jurisdiction ( Hazus 100-year Flood Scenario) * Total Number Building of Building Inventory Jurisdiction Building Content Total Losses Damaged Losses Losses Count Buildings Losses Dacono 51 32 $137,830 $33,980 $960 $ 172,770 Eaton 10 1 $0 $80 $ 100 $ 180 Erie 104 104 $ 1,371,710 $223,980 $ 151,330 $1,747,020 Evans 162 13 $ 1,870, 170 $649,600 $88,670 $2,608,450 Firestone 31 8 $ 12,940 $ 1,760 $0 $14,700 Frederick 36 14 $59,300 $25,570 $27,880 $ 112,760 Greeley 309 202 $ 1,301,050 $2,291,910 $ 1,160,750 $4,753,700 Mead 8 7 $97,600 $ 10,400 $0 $ 108,000 Milliken 9 2 $1,820 $3,240 $3,510 $8,580 Nunn 22 12 $ 176,330 $75,940 $0 $252,270 Pierce 100 49 $600,780 $305,420 $37,290 $943,490 Platteville 22 14 $204,740 $43,350 $0 $248,080 Severance 93 20 $590,630 $563,550 $14,930 $1,169, 110 1t 131 11 1-9 ; . Michael Baker � �� 1 :� f1 a c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG'w Total Number Building of Building Inventory Jurisdiction Building Content Total Losses Damaged Losses Losses Count Buildings Losses Windsor 78 66 $927,650 $277,760 $ 147,350 $1,352,750 Unincorporated 1,165 619 $ 17,058,930 $ 13,965,500 $9,551, 110 $40,575,540 Total 2,096 1,163 $24,411,480 $18,472,040 $1,118,380 $54,067,400 * Loss estimates have been rounded to the nearest $ 10 The previous table shows a large range of expected damaged buildings due to a 1% annual chance flood event. Portions of Greeley were estimated to have over 300 structures damaged . While affecting only 1% of the building stock in that area, the losses still were expected to total over $4.7 million. Evans has roughly 160 structures estimated to be damaged, with total of 2.6 million dollars. While affecting only 2.4% of the building stock in that area, the losses are still expected to total over $2.6 million . Loss estimations for some of the less populated jurisdictions in Weld County ( Eaton, Firestone, and Milliken ) were all relatively low when compared to the scale of losses estimated for the jurisdictions mentioned above. 132 `'•I Michael Baker r it INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIOi Structures in Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Legen d Data shown is from the most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and Major Roads Structure Type its jurisdictions. Critical facilities as defined by the o Critical Facility Weld Count OEM . Weld County o Other Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map SFHAs (Preliminary) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html r ----- (. •• .ass O .•• O • OO O O O O o O O itb O O v% I' • i OD % O / O / O O 1 16 I 4-2 g •Oil n.. c ^ O9 oe 25 531:. .. . ` 0 - ✓` 1 t o ii *as fo o O • • " - • 7. �.i. •, • •t• O b �. 3O k1 � O 60o o* OOO • ••• O "------ c .w cy 4,43 Source: Federal Emergency 9 = rl Management Agency, Weld County O a �o$ �9 C/41:1 4 0 O 0 5 10 20 Miles 'i 0o O I I I I I l I I I 8 O > 3 , ., A' g° ,- o$7-- x 'iv fieO O a Pi r� r- 4 ,I, i V g,8• Michael Baker 49 o --- iin Y INTERNATIONAL LMLRGLNCY MANAGLMINT Figure 26. Structures in the Special Flood Hazard Area . _ ) Michael Baker 133 ce - ` - " � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , The tables below summarize potential loss estimates from flooding based on the Hazus 100-year flood assessment. Table 43 . Inventory Located in SFHA Areas (Current Prelim Data) Count Total Assessor Building Value Structures/Parcels 2, 170 $203,052,878 Critical Facilities 55 $ 14,434,308 Table 44. Potential Losses of Inventory, 100-Year Flood Event Count Estimated Losses Structures/Parcels 1,363 $54, 198,260 Critical Facilities 55 $2,469,806 5. 2. 4. 5 Probability of Future Ct'curre,nces Frequency of previously reported flood events in Weld County provide an acceptable framework for determining the probability of future flood occurrence in the area . The probability that the County and its municipalities will experience a flood event can be difficult to predict or quantify. However, based on historical records of 45 flood events since 1950, it can reasonably be assumed that this type of event has occurred once every 1.4 years from 1950 through 2015. Severe flooding has the potential to inflict significant damage to people and property in Weld County. Mitigating flood damage requires that communities throughout the County remain diligent and notify local officials of potential flood (and flash flood) prone areas near infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and buildings. While the potential for flooding is always present, Weld County has existing land-use policies and regulations for development to help lessen potential damage due to floods. 5.2.4. 6 Land Use and Development As population continues to increase in Weld County, future development trajectories can be expected to put more people and property, both private and public, at risk of flooding. It is essential that zoning and land use plans take into account not only the dollar amount of damage that buildings near waterways could incur, but also the added risk of floodplain development activity that alters the natural flood plain of the area (for example, narrowing the floodplains by building new structures close to rivers and streams) . The county as a whole should plan for the likelihood of increased exposure of property and humans to flood events. Existing floodplain management ordinances are intended to address methods and practices to minimize flood damage to new and substantial home improvement projects as well as to address zoning and subdivision ordinances and state regulations. Currently, Weld County is a National Flood Insurance Program ( NFIP) participant and continues to support floodplain management activity at the county and local scale. The greatest protection against flooding is afforded by quality construction and compliance with local ordinances which exceed NFIP requirements. Code adoption by local jurisdictions, compliance by builders, and local government inspection of new homes can greatly reduce the risk of flooding. Moving forward, Weld County will continue to support monitoring, analysis, modeling, and the development of decision- support systems and geographic information applications for floodplain management activities. Michael Baker 134 • cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Additionally, jurisdictions within the county should consider participating in the Community Rating System (CRS) . In addition to land-use planning, zoning, and codes applicable to new development, flood mitigation measures include structural and non-structural measures to address susceptibility of existing structures. Flood mitigation measures such as acquisition, relocation, elevation-in-place, wet/dry flood proofing, and enhanced storm drainage systems all have the potential to effectively reduce the impact of flood in Weld County. 135 ti Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • . 5.2.5 HAZMAT SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT 4 TIME RATING HAZMAT 0.825 0.600 0.450 0.383 0.225 2.483 MODERATE RISK (2.0 to 2.4) 5. 2. 5. I fa7ard Identification A hazardous material (also known as HAZMAT) is defined by the U .S. Department of Transportation as "a threat that poses an unreasonable risk to health and safety of operating or emergency personnel, the public, and/or the environment if not property controlled during handling, storage, manufacturing, processing, packaging, use, disposal, or transportation." Hazardous materials are defined and regulated in the United States primarily by laws and regulations administered by the U .S. Environmental Protection Agency ( EPA), the U .S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA), the U .S. Department of Transportation ( DOT), and the U .S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission ( NRC). Each has its own definition of a " hazardous material ." For the purpose of tracking and managing hazardous materials, the DOT divides regulated hazardous materials into nine classes: Table 45 . Hazardous Materials -- Classes and Descriptions Hazard Class Description 1. 1 mass explosion hazard 1.2 projectile hazard 1.3 minor blast/projectile/fire Class 1: Explosives 1.4 minor blast 1.5 insensitive explosives 1.6 very insensitive explosives 2. 1 flammable gases Class 2: Compressed Gases 2.2 non-flammable compressed 2.3 poisonous Flammable (flash point below 141°) Class 3: Flammable Liquids Combustible (flash point 141°-200° 4. 1 flammable solids Class 4: Flammable Solids 4.2 spontaneously combustible 4.3 dangerous when wet Class 5: Oxidizers and 5. 1 Oxidizer Organic Peroxides 5.2 Organic Peroxide 6. 1 Material that is poisonous Class 6: Toxic Materials 6.2 Infectious Agents Radioactive I Class 7: Radioactive Material Radioactive II Radioactive III 13 6 , �! �r Michael Baker /s1� /; INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Hazard Class Description Destruction of the human skin Class 8: Corrosive Material Corrode steel at a rate of 0.25 inches per year A material that presents a hazard during Class 9: Miscellaneous shipment but does not meet the definition of the other classes Weld County's 2035 Transportation Plan summarizes existing transportation conditions including current hazardous materials routes. "Weld County has significant oil well activity, " states the 2035 Plan. "As a result, trucks carrying oil well production utilize nearly every road in the county. " In November 2010, the Weld County Board of County Commissioners passed a Resolution designating all county roads to be considered "local pick-up and delivery" truck routes for oil production purposes. Hazardous materials that are being transported must have specific packaging and labeling. Specific safety regulations also apply when handling and storing hazardous materials at fixed facilities. In general, there are three recognized sources for HAZMAT incidents within the County: delivery lines, fixed storage facilities and use locations, and transportation lines. Once a HAZMAT incident occurs, the area impacts will depend on the nature of the chemical and climate conditions. All areas should be considered at risk. However, some areas, such as those close to aquifers and other water supplies can expect greater impacts if a spill occurred in the area . Transportation of hazardous materials through Weld County happens at all times of day by way of rail, road, and air. Roadway transport account for the largest amount of hazardous materials moving though the county. That said, rail cars are able to carry much larger quantities of hazardous materials than trucks of cars and can be associated with a greater risk. Title 42, Article 20 of the Colorado Revised Statutes governs the routing of hazardous materials by motor vehicles on all public roads in the state. CDOT Policy Directive 1903 .0 (effective 5/20/2010), and CDOT Procedural Directive 1903. 1 (effective 2/3/2011), govern CDOT's role in the designation of hazmat routes. In order to designate a state highway in Colorado as hazmat route, CDOT staff members, local governments, or private entities must request the Mobility Section of the Division of Transportation Development to perform an analysis of the route. To perform this analysis the Mobility Section convenes a "Hazmat Advisory Team" to determine if the proposed route meets the required criteria . If the required criteria are met and approved by the Transportation Commission, CDOT will file a petition with the Colorado State Patrol for approval . Once the Colorado State Patrol approves the petition, the route is designated a hazmat route. The required criteria that the route must meet before it is brought before the Transportation Commission are as follows: • The route(s) under consideration are feasible, practicable, and not unreasonably expensive for such transportation . • The route(s) is continuous within a jurisdiction and from one jurisdiction to another. W ' r Michael Baker I 137 cc _ \ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , • The route(s) does not unreasonably burden interstate or intrastate commerce. • The route(s) designation is not arbitrary or intended by the petitioner merely to divert the transportation of hazardous materials to other communities. • The route(s) designation will not interfere with the pickup or delivery of hazardous materials. • The route(s) designation is consistent with all applicable state and federal laws and regulations; and • The route(s) provides greater safety to the public than other feasible routes. Considerations include but are not limited to : o AADT, crash and fatality rates o Population within a one-mile swath of each side of the highway o Locations of schools, hospitals, sensitive environmental areas, rivers, lakes, etc. o Emergency response capabilities on the route o Condition of the route, i.e., vertical and horizontal alignment, pavement condition, level of access to the route, etc. Troop 8-C is the Hazardous Materials Section of the Colorado State Patrol Colorado State Patrol . Their mission is to contribute to the Hazardous Materials Unit safety of hazardous materials transportation in order to (303) 273-1900 protect citizens and the environment. Twenty-eight http ://csp.state.co. hazmat. html troopers trained a Hazardous Materials Technicians are deployed throughout the state. Local Hazardous Materials Response Teams (most often housed in local fire departments and fire protection districts) are the designated emergency response authority for hazardous substance incidents in all areas of Weld County except on highways, where the State Patrol has jurisdiction. For security reasons, it is not within the scope of this plan to map the locations of all industrial and commercial fixed sites. The following CDOT map shows the state's designated nuclear, hazardous materials, and gasoline, diesel fuel, and liquid petroleum gas routes, many of which pass through the western portion of Weld County. 138 \) � Michael Baker co „ .4 y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Colorado 1:d Y' 1faa 1:.t- I ,,,r~ 1.e< 1 I Id .N•Y' l:'s•a 1 1rcr• Hazardous and Nuclear Materials 1 , 1 I 1 , . r Route Restrictions , I 2013(a) Routes Desgnated By: n / , 1•.'Ic - - II. a =• c�: Department of Public safety :T• Division of State Patrol-Hazardous Materials Section fi men �I e' I� . . � i r'-; 19 See sew I to.- S:_ _ Il _ _ e ic 44 z. �i ilU — M Jr II ar •,— 1 a S r _ Itor:Joe a . . al Log .L I11'IC :. L+ il ,74 .R...5. ^ •'a Se*OIalr I �,•!1 iN.... 1 tF to -.14:—.::::" 4 =V} :.�it `sk„ ... )[' ill - , I� '..r ( Y ...: �._ I 1 C45; { ..1. r..,. , /iv,. .\CA\ , G: g �+ - . .:. }y�11-soot: inn a - Imo...i" -. .:---5:14—.1.( c+, ...21 •• Sihnk\i"imNietor4_ ,fit) *.. „, Il (•, -Cx ...��... �`�".I.:•.� .. W��II..< Y_ -�„-.. r�. _ 1"' _ TM� a �'- \�._-, n Meer .\ ..,an r.(S� 1 r� , 'b - y • Jl ii r.,<4. � .s4*F.: t - .' LgK n, �• b I. 1 a • 'f ..5*a , t_ on1'M':ul5 I - — ..�/ .. t_erioviirtw III r1 6 fl m a l .... • .fr.:ry • CI -IIFFFAI•P '\� .4..- 7U,- es*• 1"' - :� Y 'r O ..i it a ;/ .-` .;,.: woo>s:r II s<, set .• �� Q b$ — u II C3r. I gz •II samosa Hss�� — s'7 'ir w : • 03 44- L•a t • � ff.l �.fls \i �') FAf1r I 1 r 1 ' \ 1 I )1 I 1 • 1 I 1 I 1 1 15f'x 1:C'w •r®•r IFr I ,:r-r los•.r 1:. a ,:_ w 'cot/ '101'<: lw•" L]'`• 'ox'+' 10.'• u S 7t: 7] 10 al ASa C. ,ae i S 1:0 Designate!N.tranrnrd H* rWm za LleounisRauw I 'Mn r• ^ Nunnolcmc d.+gn.ba Har.raws Lta!an.b Raul* 'illhaltel PAD CrDl::dil MKo'JIYKk of Y*upaelen I%M2.•ic M.r1e.rMY:NT'a1NnY1a1M Dealyrabg Gasalne.Diesel Fuel.and!Sealed PelroelRn Gas Route a 1•Mnnnel lranlpvla'M ignweadgsgt.t.gaseetar a7.11 litirs•zle Fggiways Fie r'a,•ek, uaue. I U.Inqc a one' co On re. GUMMY ounce Olt Ka le 0Ml C MC110 Mr tact lk! Oro 9WM Cd(•T.17 I Count t*1 Iog1 kw 3aio no,cla .l arc quailedI.trulasr aH b ccma'y with toutig reQ4t•mpn• •••Ca- de I.ei -rnrml:e Me c-+ e + my ...Anna hl .e` USN nw s NI g av :tentoc.Y'N 416 n e,y I.:gni . tr, ..nr ,ow l a wllt:Ay-I aIrI1MN `.-se�.nr-01: +a sin::'imp:.rble ray-.e me eg'b m.'ke ye-. — ]— Sia'e Htgn'wai? * MI airing Sc-hat r?chirpgacrine diet*,PM li ceiM retmleI,n anct :CAWywrh minarogtimlea,h Figure 27. Colorado Hazardous and Nuclear Materials Route Restrictions "-,.. _,1861..:....- -..--„,--, ,-7-r-------./- � '1 - " 13 9 �' LP �r ii , at',! EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A 5. 2.5.2 Rkevious Occurrences Based on data collected by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database, there have been a total of 219 HAZMAT incidents reported in Weld County between 1972 and 2015. The large majority of these incidents occurred while the materials were moving along a highway (either in transit, loading, or unloading) . L 410 i t r; • 4 1 y fir- � �.rn't S y •�� + . "'.0 illasts • • -1�__ hem/ • �" f Figure 28. A Semitrailer carrying hazardous materials rolled off a ramp and crashed in Greeley (Source: Greeley Fire Department, May 13, 2015) 5. 2. 5. 3 inventory annsec( We can't accurately predict when or where a HAZMAT incident may occur. Therefore, for the purpose of this plan, all existing and future buildings, facilities, and populations in Weld County are considered to be equally exposed and could potentially be impacted . This includes 57, 180 people, or 100% of the County's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the County. When hazardous materials are being transported they are particularly vulnerability to transportation related accidents, misuse, or terrorist threats. Most hazardous materials are transported in large quantities in order to reduce costs and security is difficult to maintain around moving vehicles that cross jurisdictional boundaries. When transported close to populated areas or critical infrastructure, HAZMAT releases can have serious consequences. The inventory that is most often exposed to HAZMAT risks are railways, roadways, and fixed facilities that contain hazardous materials, and all assets that lie within a mile of the potential release areas. 5.2.5.4 Potential Lomas HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released . Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen Michael Baker 140 c - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to non-renewable resources such as air, ground, and water sources. 5. 2. 5. 5 Probability of Future (Thcurrences As with most hazards that have limited spatial predictability or warning time, the probability of future occurrences of HAZMAT events is difficult to predict. However, as development continues to encroach into existing industrial areas and becomes more dense along high-risk designated hazardous materials transportation routes, the risk of future occurrences becomes greater. Even if the frequency of HAZMAT spills remains the same over time, population growth will increase the probability of a disaster event. 5. 2. 5. 6 Land Use and Development As Weld County continues to experience population growth and development over time, it is anticipated that there will be increased exposure to potential life loss, injuries, and environmental damage resulting from a hazardous materials incident. Serious considerations must be made concerning land use and regulations as increasing development pressures push residential and commercial investment closer to railways and identified hazardous and nuclear materials routes. 141 `'•I Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . . 5.2.6 Land Subsidence SPAT r. .. WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Land Subsidence 0.600 0.400 0.300 0.267 0.200 1.767 LOW RISK (1.9 or lower) 5.2. 6. 1 Hazard Identification Land Subsidence describes any depressions, cracks, and/or sinkholes in the earth's surface which can threaten people and property. Causes of subsidence include, but are not limited to, the removal or reduction of sub-surface fluids (water, oil, gas, etc.), mine subsidence, and hydro compaction . Of these causes, hydro compaction and mine subsidence usually manifest as localized events, while fluid removal may occur either locally or regionally. Land subsidence can occur rapidly due to a sinkhole or the collapse of an underground mine, or during major earthquakes. Subsidence can also take place slowly, becoming evident over the time span of many years. Soils that tend to collapse and settle are those characterized by low-density materials that shrink in volume when they become wet and/or are subjected to weight from development. Subsidence events, depending on their location, can pose significant risks to health, safety, and local agricultural economies and interruption to transportation, and other services. There are hundreds of abandoned underground coal mines scattered throughout Colorado that present potential subsidence hazards to structures and surface improvements. The Colorado Geological Survey (CGS) operates the Colorado Mine Subsidence Information Center ( MSIC) which is the repository for all of the known existing maps of inactive or abandoned coal mines in the state. Subsidence tends to be problematic along the Colorado Front Range, Western Slope, and in the central mountains near Eagle and Garfield Counties.13 Based on data provided by CGS, there are a number of undermined areas within south western Weld County that are more vulnerable to subsidence. The following Figure presents a map identifying the locations within Weld County that have potential for subsidence due to historical mining activity. '3 2013 Colorado Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan • 142 • Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG ' Identified Undermined Areas Undermined areas identified in the data set only Legend includes coal and clay mining activity known Major Roads by the Colorado Geological Survey. Weld County Undermined Areas Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I - -1 ui 1 Source: Colorado Geological Survey '- 0 5 10 20 Miles I I I I I I I I I txI_ I) `if r _ Michael Baker ~ "' �—� L INTERNATIONAL kAitii1.31.NCY MANAGLMCNI Figure 29. Map of Undermined Areas in Weld County ;�.!E1O Michael Baker 143 INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , The map of undermined areas shows areas of historic (pre-1970s) coal and clay mining activity and potentially undermined areas throughout Weld County. The dataset was developed from multiple sources and digitized by the Colorado Geological Survey in 2008 and presents a spatial view of potential risk. 5.2. 6.2 .TheviousOccurrences Reliable, county-specific historical records of land subsidence events in the State of Colorado is sparse. That said, the Colorado Geological Survey (CGS) has been researching land subsidence in Colorado for over two decades. In addition to publishing regional susceptibility maps and GIS datasets, the CGS has also compiled a series of case histories that describe select land subsidence events across the state. Out of the five case histories highlighted on the CGS "Geologic Hazards" resource site, two are located in Weld County. Table 46. CGS Land Subsidence Case Histories — Weld County Location Event Summary January 2009 - A large subsidence hole was reported at a residence near the corner of a horse barn . The property owners reported the hole opened up overnight and a fence and gate had been destroyed by the event. The hole measured roughly 25 feet by 25 feet by Erie, CO 15 feet deep and was filled with water. Because of the nature of the opening and the proximity to livestock and human activities, the event was considered a subsidence emergency and was backfilled by the Abandoned Mine Lands program December 2008 - A large subsidence hole in a field west of Erie was reported . The hole was about 50 feet in diameter and 35 feet deep before being filled with water. The field where the hole appeared was under consideration for annexation by the town for future residential development. A geophysical investigation conducted 3 months prior did not Erie, CO show any evidence of voids in the area . The hole was located outside of the mined area shown on the mine map indicating that the mine map was inaccurate. During the mitigation process, a secondary subsidence pit of smaller dimensions was found directly west of the original hole. Both holes were backfilled by the Abandoned Mine Lands program . Source: CGS, 2015 As a general rule of thumb, land subsidence occurrence can be expected where it has occurred in the past. For this reason, the County may benefit from developing a reporting system and database for tracking land subsidence events. 5. 2. 6.3 Inventory Exposed A structure may be at risk to the impacts of land subsidence if it is located over or close to an undermined area. Therefore, an important first step in determining exposure at a specific location is to determine if the area is undermined or near an area where underground mining took place. The map below identifies the locations within Weld County that have elevated potential for subsidence due to historical mining activity and development activity. Most of the undermined areas within Weld County that are vulnerable to subsidence are located in the south western portion of the county. This is an area of the county where both development and population are growing rapidly. Impacted communities include Erie, Dacono, and 144 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Frederick. As population growth brings new development into available land in the south western portion of the county, more inventory assets may become exposed to subsidence hazards. 145 Michael Baker COJN `? INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'i Structures/ Parcels in Undermined Areas Legend Undermined areas identified in the data set only Building Value (Count) includes coal and clay mining activity known by the Colorado Geological Survey. Point locations o No Structure Value (2,471 ) are sometimes approximate and not the actual building o $1 - $100,000 (1 .397) location . Where parcels do not have buildings, O $100,001 - $500,000 (2,055) the point is the centroid of that parcel . • $500,001 - $1 ,000,000 (57) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map • $1 ,000,001 - $18,000,000 (29) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Major Roads Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html - Weld County r / l .-----/ _____ 1 uI ,Than.,--,,, at ... / ° Source: Colorado Geological Survey, Weld County ° • 0 5 10 20 Miles I i i I I I I t I riAA 7-1 ) rtin.;l171 ) . -.. ,41 r i lie 1. t!543. Michael Baker " L. - I INTERNATIONAL LMLRGLNCY MANAGLMLNT Figure 30. Structures and Parcels Located in Undermined Areas ipr �-,1 _ .) Michael Baker 146 1 r , _v co -L \ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ' WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Critical Facilities in Undermined Areas Legend Building Value (Count) Undermined areas identified in the data set only o No Structure Value (1 ) includes coal and clay mining activity known by the Colorado Geological Survey. Point locations o $1 S100,000 (5) are sometimes approximate and not the actual building o $100.001 - $500,000 (18) location . o $500.001 - $1 .000.000 (2) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map • $1 .000.001 - $18,000.000 (3) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Major Roads Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html r 4— Weld County • / l .-----/ _____ + ui ,Than.,--,,, re. .. / Source: Colorado Geological Survey, Weld County 0 5 10 20 Miles I i i I l I I I l 0 ;if ,� rI Michael Baker 'ry �"- - INTERNATIONAL kMkKG MANAGEMENI Figure 31. Critical Facilities Located in Undermined Areas _ _,, Michael Baker 147 cc - ` - " � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 5. 2. 6. 4 Ftential Losses The following table summarizes the potential losses associated with land subsidence events in Weld County. Structures and parcels within high risk areas, as well as critical facilities, have been identified and their collective value quantified . Table 47. Summary of Structures and Critical Facilities in Areas at High Risk of Land Subsidence Count Total Assessor Building Value Structure/Parcels 6,009 $525,412, 110 Critical Facilities 29 $28,067,056 The risk analysis indicates that Weld County has relatively high exposure to land subsidence, primarily because of the location of historically undermined areas in relation to urban development and population growth . Not only have there been previous land subsidence events reported in the county, CGS data of at-risk areas shows a number of areas of historical undermining in the county, many of which intersect with critical facilities, largely populated areas, and future development areas. 5. 2. 6. 5 Probability of Future Occurrences Due to the lack of identified subsidence occurrences and uncertainty associated with existing data, it is challenging to calculate any type of probability for future events. It can be assured however, that subsidence will continue to slowly alter the landscape of Weld County going forward . In areas where climate change results in decreased precipitation in the summer months and reduced surface-water supplies, communities are often forced to pump more ground water to meet their needs. In Colorado, the major aquifers are composed primarily of compressed clay and silt, soil types that are prone to compact when ground-water is pumped . In the past, major land subsidence has occurred in agricultural settings where ground-water has been pumped for irrigation. It is probable that the eastern and south western region of Weld County will experience more frequent land subsidence hazards over time as a result of local climate change. It is important that Weld County consider future mitigation actions that will address this hazard, particularly in rapidly growing areas. 5. 2. 6. 0 Land Use and Developmernt As the population of Weld County grows, there is a possibility that some development will encroach into identified subsidence hazard areas. These hazards include the potential for sagging ground, sinkholes, and the collapse of mine shafts that have not been adequately closed . Any of these hazards can cause damage to property, structures, transportation infrastructure, utility lines, and in some cases, can threaten human life. Only a few inches of differential settlement beneath a structure could cause many thousands of dollars of damage. It is important that subsidence risk data is considered in the designs and plans of future development proposals. • 148 Michael Baker C : . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 5.2.7 Prairie Fire SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Prairie Fire / Wildfire 0.900 0.550 0.467 0.383 0. 208 2.508 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher) 5. 2. 7. 1 Hazard Identification Prairie Fires (also known as wildfires) are defined as unwanted or unplanned wildland fires. They include unauthorized human caused fires, escaped prescribed burn projects, and all other wildland fires where the objective is to put the fire out. Prairie fires are fueled by natural ground cover, including native and non-native species of trees, brush and grasses, and crops along with weather conditions and topography. While available fuel, topography, and weather provide the conditions that allow fires to spread, most fires are caused by people through criminal or accidental misuse of fire. A • Prairie fires pose serious threats to human safety and property in Weld i . r �' t �' A h County. They can destroy crops, •• timber resources, recreation areas, -‘ti Y .. and critical wildlife habitat. Prairie • fires are commonly perceived as � yl ' hazards in the western part of the , y = �t ' 'r 4�j t.'jr Ft� state; however, they are a growing . , problem in the wildland-urban interfaces of eastern Colorado, including communities within Weld ti- County. Prairie fire behavior is dictated in ,e,: part by the quantity and quality of :. . , ;' available fuels. Fuel quantity is the Figure 32. Prairie Fire near Weld County mass of material per unit area . Fuel quality is determined by a number of factors, including fuel density, chemistry, and arrangement. Arrangement influences the availability of oxygen surrounding the fuel source. Another important aspect of fuel quality is the total surface area of the material that is exposed to heat and air. Fuels with large area-to-volume ratios, such as grasses, leaves, bark and twigs, are easily ignited when dry. Climatic and meteorological conditions that influence prairie fires include solar insulation, atmospheric humidity, and precipitation, all of which determine the moisture content of wood and leaf litter. Dry spells, heat, low humidity, and wind increase the susceptibility of vegetation to fire. Additional natural agents can be responsible for igniting fires, including lightning, sparks generated by rocks rolling down a slope, friction produced by branches rubbing together in the wind, and spontaneous combustion . Michael Baker 149 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Arson and accidents, including sparks from equipment and vehicles, can also cause prairie fire. Human- caused fires are typically worse than those caused by natural agents. Arson and accidental fires usually start along roads, trails, streams, or at dwellings that are generally on lower slopes or bottoms of hills and valleys. Nurtured by updrafts, these fires can spread quickly uphill . Arson fires are often set deliberately at times when factors such as wind, temperature, and dryness contribute to the spread of flames. HAZARD PROFILE Local impacts from prairie fire events include the following: • Loss of life (human, livestock, wildlife) • Coal seam or other energy facility ignitions • Damage to municipal watersheds • Loss of vegetation (erosion, loss of forage • Loss of property and habitat for livestock and wildlife) • Evacuations • Expense of responding (equipment, • Transportation interruption (closing personnel, supplies, etc.) highways) • Loss of revenue from destroyed recreation • Reductions in air quality and human health and tourism areas • Injuries — burns, smoke inhalation, etc. Predicting the intensity of a prairie fire, its rate of spread, and its duration are important for wildfire mitigation activity, response, and firefighter safety. Listed below are the three key factors affecting prairie fire behavior in the Wildland Urban Interface (WUI). Very often, however, the only factor that a community can have direct influence over is fuel . 1. Fuels: The type, density, and continuity of surrounding vegetation and, sometimes, flammable structures, that provide fuel to keep a wildfire burning. Fuels consist of combustible materials and vegetation (including grasses, leaves, ground litter, plants, shrubs, and trees) that feed a fire. 2. Weather: Relative humidity, wind, and temperatures all affect wildfire threat and behavior. 3. Topography: The steepness and aspect (direction) of slopes, as well as building-site locations, are features that affect fire behavior. Wildfires are often rated based on their ability of their fuels to ignite. Descriptions for the commonly used "Fire Danger Rating" system are listed below: • Low: Fuels do not ignite readily from small firebrands. However, an intense heat source, such as lightning, may start fires in duff or rotted wood . Fires in open grasslands may burn freely for a few hours after rain, but wood fires spread slowly by creeping or smoldering, and burn in irregular fingers. There is little danger of spotting. • Moderate: Fires can start from most accidental causes, with the exception of lightning. Fires in open grasslands will burn briskly and rapidly on windy days. Timber fires spread slowly to moderately fast. The average fire is of moderate intensity, although heavy concentrations of fuel may burn hot. Short-distance spotting may occur. Fires are not likely to become serious and control is relatively easy. -1 . Michael Baker 150 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • High: All fine dead fuels ignite readily and fires start easily from most causes. Unattended brush and campfires are likely to escape. Fires spread rapidly and short-distance spotting is common . High-intensity burning may develop on slopes or in concentrations of fine fuels. Fires may become serious and their control difficult unless they are attacked successfully while small . • Extreme/Very High: Fires start easily from all causes and immediately after ignition, spread rapidly and increase quickly in intensity. Spot fires are a constant danger. Fires burning in light fuels may quickly develop intensity characteristics such as long-distance spotting and fire whirlwinds when they burn into heavier fuels. For the purpose of prairie fire mitigation strategy development, this Plan divides the various land use types within Weld County into four categories: cultivated agricultural land, forested land, grazing land, and miscellaneous. Cultivated agricultural lands include both irrigated and non-irrigated crop land . Typically, this category of land has very dynamic burning characteristics and seasons. Crops and dormant stands located on Weld County's cultivated agricultural land can both serve as fuel for wildfires. What makes agricultural land unique is the dynamic nature of the fuel locations and seasons of availability. These factors add to the challenge of wildfire suppression and mitigation . In the context of the Weld County landscape, forested land includes the riparian forest, windbreaks, shelterbelts, living snow fences, and urban forests. Much of the forested land in Weld County occurs along rivers, seasonal water courses, lakes, and ponds. Other forested lands include farmsteads and urban areas. Here, trees are often planted near homes and outbuildings, which contribute to elevated wildfire risk. In addition to the trees, forested lands include a surface cover of dry brush and grasses, which are primary fuel sources for rapidly moving fires. Grazing lands are primarily made up of sandhill steppe and prairie landscapes. Sandhill steppe is a combination of mixed grasses and sage, and is widely used for livestock grazing. Fuel loads on grazing lands are moderate to heavy and large fires have occurred with this fuel type during springtime wind events. In some areas within Weld County livestock grazing maintains a rather sparse fuel load . Miscellaneous areas include transportation right of ways, fence lines, disturbed areas, and other locations that contain grasses, tumbleweeds, wild sunflowers, and other vegetation . Long-term regional weather patterns in Colorado have followed a cyclical pattern of wet years (characterized by average to high precipitation levels for the region), followed by a series of drought years (characterized by below average precipitation levels). During wet years, the typical fire season is from March through November. During drought years, the fire season in Colorado has been as long as a full year. Before discussing wildland fire risk in Weld County, a key wildfire management term must first be defined . The term "wildland-urban interface", or WUI, is widely used within the wildland fire management community to describe any area where manmade buildings are constructed close to or within a boundary of natural terrain and fuel, where high potential for wildland fires exist. Communities are able to establish the definition and boundary of their local WUI, and the boundaries often help in meeting local management needs. WUls can include both public and private land, and can help improve local access to funding sources. 151 �` Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , "Wildfire Risk" represents the possibility of loss or harm occurring from a wildfire. For the purpose of this Plan, risk has been derived by combining "Wildfire Threat" and "Fire Effects." Fire Effects is comprised of several inputs that identify damaged assets. These inputs include the following: information on where people live (derived from 2012 LandScan data from Colorado), Colorado forest assets, riparian assets, and drinking water assets. The following Wildfire Risk map identifies areas with the greatest potential impacts from a prairie fire, in other words, those areas most at risk. The highest wildfire risk areas in the county are located in the west, in areas where there are higher population densities or concentrations of structures. 152 ! �''�`'•I Michael Baker J . r � cc , " ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG ' ' Prairie Fire Risk Index Legend Wildfire risk represents the possibility of loss or harm occurring from a wildfire. Risk is derived Prairie Fire Risk Index by combining wildfire threat and fire effects. This Lowest Risk data was compiled on a statewide level . Weld Low Risk County does not rank any areas in the high and highest risk rankings. i Moderate Risk Major Roads Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, G Weld County the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. -u Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html s rzy 404 /' ri \ ,. e• ••SyV - ° 1} I'. :: .mo�tt aySvcn e 0 gel-4r:-Yr a, e a' • _' •� 7 f ix^ P • ; : ` k Ify` �• j''"Plti', •r.. So` ,t (,.a . • tCk7$ 1. t kl, ' Y of .i • _.. }'} •�..• \ �\ i, , .O13 16 t YP. ^l v' ! � _ 1' . ..J • Ike' I, • y ' 1, • L�. O NCO• a arm•\ .. �-• . ;:+ \I�1 t s .-. . ' , ,...t : • ' 4 rt 1 '.•� eon rJ, o '' is • - \ mu - • � I,' - R °1g��' i • r ..* % . ' rte} _ • - o t AB ' .0 1 . , ate,,I. ' ,` >- ' Z• � f • 's.`. a sill - �. a S�- -0 \t ..t :11 �r+'Y `• N. • iA 3 t ii - .,iyp .!q� - ' — '�•� 4 �- p+. • • [,.• *:, • WtY.. 1• 4 - � '� {)1\� O 6 i:x'S '� � •-� au ce. - ' n .d ak2•. b r-„.jciT ,f .� � mot fT•- �[ RSt ' l lam. ; 1 ` r�3a ,. pis` 9�1 \ .� 1a. _ 9 ° LK Mt ;' ; : _ ' ") LY . - - [ 4* e' lY mot , • t— 1 0 .0 t7off e . o. t tl . . -N. i!`-`.gi" S''' l?Pil `i .mot-- 4' W u fir' . -.1-- 1� , R,�.\_ i.. - °I• rte- }� i'�. l' �'. . .{' citit t'F7t::_Q . ' .•Ts' ��°' Source: Colorado State Forest Service •0 A. . Tr. r4 1r • <2 Olt: ts• • - COWRAP -41 .. '` P A.sr� • •t• M. • 0 5 10 20 Miles ,j , � [': • ttq %g, • e I i i i I i i i I I� ei . `: #w. L .. 5� fi r / � j� ■p�[{(yt�� •• 'i. is,,, " ' • .r =�' I. •ii �' �` 'a {:'IUC�i fit_. .11t:4 . die . � �s• �+y - *R, �,n•. 1` tit a? rII �u: • , ,,., " "�' i � ►'�� Michael Baker �t ��,}�i 1 1 tt INTERNATIONAL LMLRGLNCY MANAGLMINT Figure 33 . Map of Prairie Fire Risk 1 '11J Michael Baker 153 , ,., :yap cc . INTERNATIONAL F,. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , As was discussed previously, understanding the location of people living in the wildland-urban interface (WUI ) is essential for defining potential wildfire impacts to people and homes. The WUI Risk analysis provides a rating of the potential impact of a wildfire on people and their homes. The key input, the WUI, reflects housing density ( houses per acre). To calculate WUI risk, WUI housing density data was combined with response function data . Response functions are a method of assigning a net change in the value of a resource or asset based on its susceptibility to fire at various intensity levels (such as flame length ). The response functions were defined by a team of experts led by Colorado State Forest Service mitigation planning staff. By combining these data sets it is possible to determine where the greatest potential impact to homes and people are likely to occur in Weld County. The following Figure shows the various levels of WUI Risk within Weld County. The range of values is from -1 to -9, with -1 representing the least negative impacts and -9 representing the most negative impact. For example, areas with high housing density and high flame lengths are rated -9, while areas with low housing density and low flame lengths are rated -1. Understandably so, the Map of WUI Risk shows a number of high risk areas concentrated around densely populated parts of the county. Like the Wildfire Risk and Threat analyses, Wildland-Urban Interface Risk was calculated in the 2013 Colorado State Hazard Mitigation Plan using the same methodology. This allows for comparison and ordination to be made across the state. Wildfires can occur at any time of day and during any month of the year. Moreover, the length of a wildfire season and/or peak months may vary appreciably from year to year. As evidenced by the wildfire risk map, areas within Weld County that are characterized by dense development and single family homes along the wildland-urban interface are most vulnerable to wildfire. The jurisdictions with the highest WUI Risk Index rating include areas of Erie, Hudson, Firestone, Frederick, Windsor, Greeley, and portions of unincorporated Weld County. . t.8612 154 � ! rr• Michael Baker I� cc - v `Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Wildland Urban Interface Risk Index Legend Wildland urban interface risk index measures Major Roads WUI Risk Index the potential impact on people and thier homes Weld County -9 from wildfire. This risk ranking was calculated by -8. combining housing density with flame length - -7 for example, areas with high housing density -6 and high flame length are fated as "most -5 negative impact" (-9). -4 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, -3 the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. iii -2 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html -1 _ 4. • • TS; `r a + 155• • • • • • • M• • ativf+ • s • • 1 • •• „ •• •• • • •• al • • r •• • •• • •• • w • 1 • t • • • •• • • I • • •• .• I . w• •k -..yIC d ' •• • • • w •J i •• OA • •• ant ••� • • • •;>J821••-{Y► . .. :1 )• • Col •• y • • • •• • • r? • • •. • • • • 2 , ••' 4ere '• ••t••' .l,F .. r 4. • • • • • 1 Al r• • • • • • • '• -• • • • • ' :M...., . • , ...::_......r _. • 7 „ it _ _ it .. .• -, - , A. yp . 7 I ••• •,� R. f • • • • •4 4 . _• -sear,ilt , •� . I. • • • f 4 Jr .•• • ;K s. t VI ., A i, 1 • S ��• •• r� •. y *44 -_% ` Source: Colorado State Forest Service •42 . �, i • ' '' $ • . .• .. . - COWRAP • *r c. w • ••; •s !• r 0 5 10 20 Miles ' • -Witir. • t• } " I I I I I I I I i. • 4. I I. Y 1'/ •µ ry <, . . ' .+:•�• • ..a ` . : 4 'y Michael Baker ` . Leas. p� F ' i '� • f INTERNATIONAL !MlR6LNCY MANAG lMlNI Figure 34. Map of Wildland-Urban Interface Risk 155 , Michael Baker I _ INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Reported prairie fires in Weld County over the past ten years provide an acceptable framework for determining the future occurrence in terms of frequency for such events. The probability of the County and its municipalities experiencing a wildfire associated with damages or loss can be difficult to quantify, but based on historical record of 81 wildfires since 1986 that have either caused damages to buildings and infrastructure or resulted in burned acreage, it can reasonably be assumed that a wildfire event has occurred in Weld County more than 2 times a year between 1986 and 2013. 5. 2. 7.2 R'evious Occurrence. Based on data provided by NOAA's NCDC Storm Events Database, there has been one prairie fire with reported damages in Weld County in recorded history. Date Event Location Damages Details Data Source NOAA, NCDC Northwestern 09/12/2010 Wildfire $ 1,500,000 -- Storm Events Weld County Database 156 vi -F! Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG ' , 5. 2. 7.3 Inventory Exposed Fires can extensively impact the economy of an affected area, including the agricultural, recreation and tourism industries, water resources, and the critical facilities upon which Weld County depends. The following figure shows structures and parcels located in the County's highest risk class. Structures in Prarie Fire Moderate Risk Areas Legend Wildfire risk represents the possibility of loss or harm occurring from a wildfire. Risk is derived by combining wildfire threat and fire effects. This data was Building Value (Count) compiled on a statewide level. Weld County does not rank any areas in the high O No Structure Value (16) and highest risk rankings. Structures and parcels shown are located in the o $1 - $500 (1 ) County's highest risk class, which equals 'Moderate Risk' statewide. Point locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. Where parcels • $501 - $70,000 (1 ) do not have buildings, the point is the centroid of that parcel. Major Roads Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, O Weld County the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following LJRL: http://www.comeld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 0 / co O O \ •�� o • 19 1, n t Source: Colorado State Forest Service - COWRAP 0 5 10 20 Miles l ri c Michael Baker ;< INTERNATIONAL EMERGENGYMANAC•LMtNt Figure 35 . Weld County -- Prairie Fire Risk Index, Structure Exposure 157 Michael Baker a� Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Table 48. Structures and Critical Facilities in Moderate Risk Areas of Weld County Count Total Assessor Building Value Structures/Parcels 2,323 $ 412,889,083 Critical Facilities 5 $60,027,204 Source: Colorado State Forest Service 5. 2. 7.4 Potential Losses Currently, the best method for estimating wildfire loss is by identifying the value of structures and assets located in the wildland urban interface . The exposure data provided in the previous section ( Inventory Assets Exposed ) provides the clearest picture of potential losses to wildfire in Weld County. 5. 2. 7. 5 Probability of Future Occurrences Recent wildfires and brush fires across Colorado have forced school closures, disrupted telephone services by burning fiber optic cables, damaged railroads and other infrastructure, and adversely affected tourism, outdoor recreation, and hunting. The likelihood of one of those fires attaining significant size and intensity is unpredictable and highly dependent on environmental conditions and firefighting response. Weather conditions, particularly drought events, increase the likelihood of wildfires occurring. That said, it is important to note that 98% of wildfires are human-caused. Ultimately, the occurrence of future wildfire events will strongly depend on patterns of human activity and events are more likely to occur in wildfire- prone areas experiencing new or additional development. 5. 2. 7. 6 land Use and Development Future development is an important factor to consider in the context of wildfire mitigation because development and population growth can contribute to increased exposure of people and property to wildfire. During the past few decades, population growth in the Weld County WUI has increased greatly. Subdivisions and other high-density developments have created a situation where wildland fires can involve more buildings than any amount of fire equipment can possibly protect. As development in Weld County expands into wildland areas, people and property are increasingly at risk. By identifying areas with significant potential for population growth and/or future development in high- risk areas, communities can identify areas of mitigation interest and reduce hazard risks associated with increased exposure. Wildfire mitigation in the wildland-urban interface has primarily been the responsibility of property owners who choose to build and live in vulnerable zones. In practice, successful wildfire mitigation strategies can be quite involved . The most important aspect of successful suppression is disruption of the continuity of fuels, achieved by creating breaks or defensible areas. For interface fires, where homes and other structures fill the space, fuel reduction is best accomplished before the fires begin. Safety zones can be created around structures by reducing or eliminating brush, trees, and vegetation around a home or facility. FEMA recommends using a 30-foot safety zone; including keeping grass below 2 feet tall and clearing all fallen leaves and branches promptly. Additionally, only fire-resistant or non- combustible materials should be used on roofs and exterior surfaces. Firebreaks -- areas of inflammable materials that create a fuel break and reduce the ability for fires to spread over roads and pathways -- can be planned and designed to serve as wildfire mitigation . Michael Baker 158 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 5.2.8 Public Health Hazards SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Public Health Hazards 0.625 0.625 0.550 0. 192 0.283 2.275 MODERATE RISK (2.0 — 2.4) 5.2.8. 1 Hazard Identificatioi Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. There are several contagious and infectious diseases present in the Denver Metro Region that constitute a public health risk. Emergency Support Function 8 ( ESF 8) of the State Emergency Operations Plan provides an organizational framework for public health and medical service preparedness, response, and recovery efforts for various emergency epidemics. During the 2016 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. This hazard risk assessment includes an analysis of pandemic flu risk in Weld County and an analysis of the impacts of the hazards profiled in this plan on public health . A pandemic can be defined as a disease that attacks a large population across great geographic distances. Pandemics are larger than epidemics in terms of geographic area and number of people affected. Epidemics tend to occur seasonally and affect much smaller areas. Pandemics, on the other hand, are most often caused by new subtypes of viruses or bacteria for which humans have little or no natural resistance. Consequently, pandemics typically result in more deaths, social disruption, and economic loss than epidemics. According to data from the Colorado Reportable Disease Statistics (CDPHE) database, Influenza viruses represent the most common cause of hospitalization due to disease in Weld County. Seasonal influenza (often referred to as the flu) is a common infection that affects large numbers of people in Colorado every year. Influenza is an acute respiratory disease caused by influenza type A or B viruses. The typical features of seasonal influenza include abrupt onset of fever and respiratory symptoms such as cough, sore throat, as well as headache, muscle ache, and fatigue. For seasonal influenza, the incubation period ranges from 1 to 4 days and the clinical severity of infection can range from asymptomatic infection to primary viral pneumonia and death . Most people experience influenza as a very-uncomfortable but ultimately benign illness. However, the influenza virus can mutate, causing it to be much more dangerous to humans. Yearly seasonal influenza remains a significant disease in the U .S. and Colorado, and seasonal epidemics can result in high morbidity and mortality, as well as create strains on the health care system and communities. Unlike influenza viruses that have achieved ongoing transmission in humans, the sporadic human infections with avian A ( H5N1) viruses are far more severe with high mortality. Initial symptoms include high fever and other influenza-like symptoms. It also appears that the incubation period in humans may be longer for avian ( H5N1) viruses, ranging from 2 to 8 days, and possibly as long as 17 days. Diarrhea, vomiting, abdominal pain, chest pain, and bleeding from the nose and gums have also been reported . The 159 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , disease often manifests as a rapid progression of pneumonia with respiratory failure ensuing over several days. With the increase in global transport, as well as urbanization, epidemics due to new influenza viruses are likely to occur in and around Weld County. A new flu virus, which eventually became known as H1N1, came to the world's attention in March 2009. The symptoms of pandemic H1N1 2009 influenza were similar to those of seasonal influenza . Illness in most cases was mild but there were cases of severe disease requiring hospitalization and a number of deaths. The initial experience with the emerging pandemic of H1N1 prompted the World Health Organization (WHO) to redefine their phase descriptions for an influenza pandemic. The six-phase approach was designed for the easy incorporation of recommendations into existing national and local preparedness and response plans. Phases 1-3 correlate with preparedness in the pre- pandemic interval, including capacity development and response planning activities, while Phases 4-6 signal the need for response and mitigation efforts during the pandemic interval. Pre-Pandemic Interval In nature, influenza viruses circulate continuously among animals ( primarily birds). Even though such viruses might develop into pandemic viruses, in Phase 1 no viruses circulating among animals have been reported to cause infections in humans. • Phase 1 is the natural state in which influenza viruses circulate continuously among animals but do not affect humans. In Phase 2 an animal influenza virus circulating among domesticated or wild animals is known to have caused infection in humans, and is thus considered a potential pandemic threat. • Phase 2 involves cases of animal influenza that have circulated among domesticated or wild animals and have caused specific cases of infection among humans. In Phase 3 an animal or human-animal influenza virus has caused sporadic cases or small clusters of disease in people, but has not resulted in human-to-human transmission sufficient to sustain community- level outbreaks. Limited human-to-human transmission may occur under some circumstances, for examples, when there is close contact between an infected person and an unprotected caregiver. Limited transmission under these circumstances does not indicate that the virus has gained the level of transmissibility among humans necessary to cause a pandemic. • Phase 3 represents the mutation of the animal influenza virus in humans so that it can be transmitted to other humans under certain circumstances (usually very close contact between individuals) . At this point, small clusters of infection have occurred . Pandemic Interval Phase 4 is characterized by verified human to human transmission of the virus able to cause "community- level outbreaks." The ability to cause sustained disease outbreaks in a community marks a significant upward shift in the risk for a pandemic. 160 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , • Phase 4 involves community-wide outbreaks as the virus continues to mutate and become more easily transmitted between people (for example, transmission through the air) Phase 5 is characterized by verified human to human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one World Health Organization (WHO) region . While most countries will not be affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the organization, communication, and implementation of the planned mitigation measures is short. • Phase 5 represents human-to-human transmission of the virus in at least two countries Phase 6, the pandemic phase, is characterized by community-level outbreaks in at least one other country in a different WHO region in addition to the criteria defined in Phase 5. Designation of this phase will indicate that a global pandemic is underway. • Phase 6 is the pandemic phase, characterized by community-level influenza outbreaks. Zoonotic Diseases Zoonotic diseases are diseases that can be spread through animals and humans. These diseases can be caused by bacteria, viruses, parasites, and fungi that are carried by animals and insects. 5. 2.8.2 Previous Cxcurrences Public health hazards can manifest as primary events by themselves, or they may be secondary to another disaster or emergency, such as a flood, a severe storm, or a hazardous materials incident. The common characteristic of most public health emergencies is that they adversely impact, or have the potential to adversely impact, a large number of people. The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment releases an annual reportable disease summary for each county. The events with the highest incidences in Weld County between 2010 and 2014 are summarized in the table below. Table 49. Colorado Reportable Disease Statistics (CDPHE), Weld County Year Disease 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total ANIMAL BITES 49 36 40 86 38 249 CAMPYLOBACTER 81 86 51 80 56 354 CRYPTOSPORIDIOSIS 26 12 4 9 5 56 GIARDIASIS 26 13 6 10 11 66 HAEMOPHILUS INFLUENZAE 5 4 2 6 2 19 161 -`► � Michael Baker C : - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , •-11M1 in ., a Year Disease 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total HEPATITIS B, CHRONIC 27 26 23 18 7 101 HEPATITIS C, CHRONIC 107 111 87 89 100 494 INFLUENZA-hospitalized 5 77 57 145 200 484 KAWASAKI SYNDROME 6 2 5 5 - 18 MENINGITIS ASEPTIC/VIRAL 18 10 42 38 13 121 PERTUSSIS 10 5 - 94 183 292 SALMONELLOSIS 28 25 43 45 33 174 SHIGELLOSIS 10 8 41 6 3 68 STEC (shiga toxin producing 10 10 6 14 8 48 E.coli) STREP PNEUMO INVASIVE 29 32 17 22 24 124 VARICELLA(CHICKEN PDX) 14 12 11 14 12 63 WEST NILE VIRUS 18 - - - - 18 Total: 469 469 435 691 705 2,749 Source: Division of Disease Control and Environmental Epidemiology, CDPHE Chronic Hepatitis C and hospitalizations from influenza represent the largest disease incidence in Weld County between 2010 and 2014. 5. 2.8.3 Inventory Exposed The information in the table below is from the Impact Analysis of Potential for Detrimental Impacts of Hazards for the Emergency Management Accreditation Program (EMAP). The following table explains possible impacts to various subjects due to public health emergencies. 162 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a. ,-.. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Table 50. Impacts to Subjects Impacted by Public Health Emergencies Subject Detrimental Impacts Adverse impacts are expected to be severe for Health and Safety of Persons in the Area as the unprotected personnel and moderate to light for Time of Incident protected personnel. Adverse impacts are expected to be severe for Health and Safety of Persons Responding to the unprotected personnel and uncertain for trained and Incident protected personnel, depending on the nature of the incident. Danger to personnel in the area of the incident may Continuity of Operations require relocation of operations and lines of succession execution . Access to facilities and infrastructure in the area of the Property, Facilities, and Infrastructure incident may be denied until decontamination is complete. Stress on resources and facilities due to increased Delivery of Services volume and demand may overwhelm and/or extensively postpone delivery of services. Incident may cause denial or delays in the use of some The Environment areas. Local economy and finances may be adversely affected, Economic and Financial Condition possibly for an extended period of time. Regulatory waivers may be needed . Fulfillment of Regulatory and Contractual Obligations contracts may be difficult. Demands may exceed the ability to deliver. Ability to respond and recover may be questioned and Reputation of, or Confidence in, Management challenged if planning, response, and recovery are not and Response Authorities timely and effective. 5. 2.8.4 Rbtentlal Losses FluWorkLoss 1.0 is a tool developed by the CDC to estimate the potential impact of pandemic influenza on a community in terms of cost. Based on local demographic data, the tool allows communities to estimate the potential number of days lost from work due to a pandemic. Users of FluWorkLoss can change input values, such as the number of workdays lost due to a worker staying come to care for a family member. Users can also change the length and virulence of the pandemic so that a range of possible impacts can be estimated . Days missed from work cost both employees (in lost wages) and employers (in work not completed). The following table shows the total estimated number of days lost from work in Weld County due to a four- . = F Michael Baker 163 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , week long influenza pandemic with a 25% clinical attack rate. The available workdays are calculated as a product of the total population in the working age group (Census 2010), the employment rate of Weld County (Census 2010), and the number of workdays in a week (5). Table 51. Total Workdays Lost Scenario Workdays Lost Most Likely Scenario 101,558 Minimum Loss Scenario 86,341 Maximum Loss Scenario 124,609 Source: FluWorkLoss 1.0, CDC The number of workdays lost includes the workdays lost for both self-care and care of sick family members due to the pandemic. Although the workdays lost do not include those lost due to factors such as fear and school closings, the model does provide a general picture of the impact on the productivity of the local economy due to an influenza pandemic. Results are estimated to create three scenarios of pandemic impact: the minimum (the best case scenario), which estimates the fewest possible number of hospitalizations/outpatient visits/deaths (i.e., the fewest possible days lost from work); the mean (the most likely scenario); and the maximum (the worst case scenario), which estimates the largest number of hospitalizations/outpatient visits/deaths (i.e., the largest possible number of days lost from work) . The following graph shows the proportion of workdays lost for each day of the modeled influenza outbreak for the three loss scenarios. Again, the scenario assumes a four-week long pandemic with a 25% clinical attack rate. 164 �: r `'•I Michael Baker ll . INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT h 7��)I 1.C r-�.?'V II� ,`�.��f +� II Y�f,. r J r` S� `r �,+ r' r r F'r- n S�r'-'..ry . '� f r-r+v, A / �' 4� gyp{,^, �� /� r7 � n �JN'{I� t � �4' �� rr1 f�1 I � �I'I I�' i l�(J R 4/n° a�ti.oi IES:"�'t �pf{JI{ti�I��.1�� t f� �9t.1'•.,-�.�,� Ll�`� i?'0.��- J ��:—,L.fhJ.li.J�fi�.'.f !V`-L�..��. t-_.:�. �'t � o-�.e`SJ vC_af4 ��- in.t�'4 I� ��1' ��`��/i Li;�J;i'14��-+...lri.71'.�n'1�:� Proportion of work days lost in Weld County due to Pandemic Influenza 10% +� (1) _ - o 8% - -- - its -o L - - 4% 0 0 2% 0% 8 15 22 Days of outbreak ®Most likely s Minimum sMaximum Source: Census 2010, CDC Figure 36 . Proportion of Workdays Lost due to Pandemic Influenza The numbers and projections generated through FluWorkLoss are not considered predictions of what will happen during an influenza pandemic. Rather, the results should be treated as estimates of what could happen . Probability of Future Occurrences Climate change threatens to increase the spread of infectious diseases because changing heat, rain, and humidity levels allow disease carrying vectors and pathogens to come into closer contact with humans. Climate change has the potential to expand the habitats and infectivity of disease-carrying insects and rodents, thus increasing the risk of disease transmission. For example, mosquitoes capable of transmitting West Nile virus are already present in Colorado. If Colorado's climate becomes warmer, mosquito populations could swell, making the region more favorable for disease transmission. Hantavirus is another infectious disease that may pose a higher risk to Weld County residents in the future. Deer mice are the primary reservoir for Hantaviruses and climate change (warmer weather) plays a role in elevated seasonal deer mouse populations. Based on historical record of 2,749 recorded diseases in Weld County since 2010, public health hazards have affected Weld County residents and visitors more than once every year from 2010 through 2014. The historic frequency suggests that there is a 100% chance of some type of public health hazard will affect Weld County every year. 165 IVEla Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , 5. 2.8. 6 Land Use and Development Future development in and around Weld County has the potential to change how infectious diseases spread through the community and impact human health in both the short and long term . New development may increase the number of people and facilities exposed to public health hazards and greater population concentrations (often found in special needs facilities and businesses) put more people at risk. During a disease outbreak those in the immediate isolation area would have little to no warning, whereas, the population further away in the dispersion path may have some time to prepare and mitigate against disease depending on the hazard, its transmission, and public notification . Due to the nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions within Weld County with higher numbers of vulnerable individuals are expected to be impacted to a greater extent than others. In the context of public health hazards, the most vulnerable members of the Weld County community are: • The elderly ( people over 65 years of age) • Children ( under 5 years old ) • The infirm The following table highlights a number of key pandemic vulnerability factors in Weld County jurisdictions. Table 52. Pandemic Vulnerability Factor Data Persons Below Jurisdiction Age: 5 and Under (%) Age: 65 and Over (%) Poverty Level (%) Colorado 6.8 10.9 12.9 Unincorporated Weld County 7.9 9.5 14.7 City of Brighton 8.6 8.7 8.2 City of Dacono 9.2 9. 1 6.0 Town of Erie 9.6 5.7 4. 1 City of Evans 9.5 6. 1 19.6 Town of Firestone 10.2 5 .2 4.5 Town of Frederick 9.5 6.4 7.5 City of Greeley 7.8 10.7 22.9 Town of Keenesburg 6.2 13 .7 21. 1 166 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG ir Persons Below Jurisdiction Age: 5 and Under (%) Age: 65 and Over (%) Poverty Level (%) Town of Mead 7.3 6.3 4.7 Town of Milliken 9.6 6.8 3.4 Town of Platteville 8.0 9.5 16.0 Town of Severance 10.0 5.3 2.9 Town of Windsor 7.3 10.0 4.8 Although communities located in the eastern region of Weld County are less populated than many communities located to the west, the largely agricultural area is more susceptible to the impacts of health hazards that affect livestock and plants. In these communities, the spread of a highly destructive livestock disease or plant pest/disease could have devastating consequences to the local economy and environment. Early detection and a rapid response to a pest or disease infestation are critical to limiting the economic, social, and environmental impacts of such an incident. One of the key responsibilities of the Animal Health Division, a branch of the Colorado Department of Agriculture, is to prepare for, control, and mitigate livestock disease outbreaks. The division has a number of preparedness and response plans for the various livestock sectors in Colorado. 167 1 �'�' �''� Michael Baker �'' r11 ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w �.. 5.2.9 Severe Storm (Including Hail, Lightning & Winter Storm) SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING SEVERE STORM 1 . 100 0.750 J 0.717 0.317 0.250 3. 133 GH RISK (2.5 and higher) 5. 2.9. 1 Hazard Identification Severe storms can occur during any season in Weld County. Lightning strikes can all be hazardous under the right conditions and locations. Large hail can damage crops, dent vehicles, break windows, and injure or kill livestock, pets, and people. Snow storms can take down trees and damage property and infrastructure. Thunderstorms affect relatively small areas when compared with the size of typical winter storms. Despite their small size, all thunderstorms are dangerous. The typical thunderstorm is 15 miles in diameter and lasts an average of 30 minutes. Of the estimated 100,000 thunderstorms that occur each year in the United States, about 10 percent are classified as severe. The National Weather Service considers a thunderstorm severe if it produces hail at least 3/4 inch in diameter, winds of 58 MPH or stronger, or a tornado. Every thunderstorm needs three basic components: ( 1) moisture to form clouds and rain, (2) unstable air which is warm air that rises rapidly, and (3) lift, which is a cold or warm front capable of lifting air to help form thunderstorms. Lightning, although not considered severe by the National Weather Service definition, can accompany heavy rain during thunderstorms. Lightning develops when ice particles in a cloud collide with other particles. These collisions cause a separation of electrical charges. Positively charged ice particles rise to the top of the cloud and negatively charged ones fall to the middle and lower sections of the cloud . The negative charges at the base of the cloud attract positive charges at the surface of the Earth . Invisible to the human eye, the negatively charged area of the cloud sends a charge called a stepped leader toward the ground . Once it gets close enough, a channel develops between the cloud and the ground . Lightning is the electrical transfer through this channel . The channel rapidly heats to 50,000 degrees Fahrenheit and contains approximately 100 million electrical volts. The rapid expansion of the heated air causes thunder. The following Figure depicts average cloud-to-ground lightning incidence in the US (or lightning flash densities) between 1997 and 2012. 168 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Incidence in the Continental U . S. ( 1997 - 2012 ) IS! . _ / ) � i - _ yam, .' wP • �•."1-; ar. : , I. .q Ilea 4 • AIL , 4 • >• , f Al a k dr .. Average Flash Density -- ._ ? T X33 • t ■ 27 to33 • 21 to?? yn t 1$ to21 15 to1E 12 tots I 9 to12 4, • 6 to 9 ■ 3 to 6 • 1 to 3 • 02510 1 • • 0• to 0 25 Figure 37. Average Lightning Flash Density in the U .S.' Although the state of Colorado ranks 32nd in terms of its cloud-to-ground lightning flash densities between 1997-2012, the state ranks 2nd in the country in terms of death rate from lightning per million people (between 2003 - 2012). Colorado's lightning death rate per million people from 2003-2012 is 0.51, second only to the state of Wyoming. The following figure shows lightning flash densities for the State of Colorado for the years 1994 through 2014. Produced by National Weather Service, using data from Vaisala, the image is the result of contouring over 8 million cloud-to-ground lightning flashes for the State of Colorado and averaging annually. The result of the analysis is a picture of average lightning flashes/km2 per year from 1994 through 2014 (the year 2000 was not included in the dataset). In Source: http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/statistics.htm _861.---, ' Michael Baker I 169 .• cc • --r INTERNATIONAL W EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIOI,. Colorado Lightning : Annual 1994-2014 (w/o 2000) 41 r,. r' �y rr 14( - f . r ,s•- • Jl.. { L • jt 1 VY• 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7+ flash/km* • 2/year Figure 38. Colorado Lightning Flash Density Map In general, the flash density map shows a wide range of values across the State of Colorado, ranging from less than 0.5 flashes/year/km2 over the south central portion of the state to over 6.5 flashes/year/km2 over the east central part of the state. The higher density of lightning flashes located in the central area of the state is driven by the topography of the area . Where the higher terrain of the Plains intersects with the Rocky Mountains conditions are ripe for lightning events. Here, moist air from lower altitudes initiates and sustains convection systems as they move off of the mountain slopes, generating thunderstorms. Hail is precipitation that is formed when updrafts in thunderstorms carry raindrops upward into extremely cold areas of the atmosphere. The super cooled raindrops grow into balls of ice, which pose a hazard to property, people, livestock, and crops when they fall back to the earth . Severe winter weather can cause hazardous driving conditions, communications and electrical power failure, community isolation, and can adversely affect business continuity. This type of snow-related weather may include one or more of the following winter factors: Winter storms can include blizzards, heavy snow, ice storms, and extreme cold. Blizzards as defined by the National Weather Service, are a combination of sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or greater and visibilities of less than a quarter mile from falling or blowing snow for 3 hours or more. A blizzard, by definition, does not indicate heavy amounts of snow, although they can happen together. The falling or blowing snow usually creates large drifts from the strong winds. The reduced visibilities make travel, even on foot, particularly treacherous. The strong winds may also support dangerous wind chills. Ground blizzards can develop when strong winds lift snow off the ground and severely reduce visibilities. 170 Michael Baker a• cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Heavy snow, in large quantities, may fall during winter storms. Six inches or more in 12 hours or eight inches or more in 24 hours constitutes conditions that may significantly hamper travel or create hazardous conditions. The National Weather Service issues warnings for such events. Smaller amounts can also make travel hazardous, but in most cases, only results in minor inconveniences. Heavy wet snow before the leaves fall from the trees in the fall or after the trees have leafed out in the spring may cause problems with broken tree branches and power outages. Ice storms develop when a layer of warm (above freezing), moist air aloft coincides with a shallow cold (below freezing) pool of air at the surface. As snow falls into the warm layer of air, it melts to rain, and then freezes on contact when hitting the frozen ground or cold objects at the surface, creating a smooth layer of ice. This phenomenon is called freezing rain. Similarly, sleet occurs when the rain in the warm layer subsequently freezes into pellets while falling through a cold layer of air at or near the Earth's surface. Extended periods of freezing rain can lead to accumulations of ice on roadways, walkways, power lines, trees, and buildings. Almost any accumulation can make driving and walking hazardous. Thick accumulations can bring down trees and power lines. Extreme Cold, in extended periods, although infrequent, could occur throughout the winter months in Weld County. Heating systems compensate for the cold outside. Most people limit their time outside during extreme cold conditions, but common complaints usually include pipes freezing and cars refusing to start. When cold temperatures and wind combine, dangerous wind chills can develop. Additional information pertaining to extreme cold can be found in the Extreme Temperatures section of the Plan . 5.2.9.2 Previous Occurrences Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, or crop damage in Weld County due to hail . There have been 500 hail events reported in Weld County. Of the 500 incidents, 10 reported property loss. The events with loss to property in Weld County between 1991 and 2004 are summarized in the table below. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the county, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Table 53. Historic Hail Events reporting loss in Weld County Date Location Hail Size Diameter (in) Damage to Property 5/16/1991 Unincorporated Weld County 1.00 $4,000 5/31/1994 City of Greeley 0.75 $4,000 7/16/1994 Town of Windsor 1.25 $5,000 7/16/1994 Town of Eaton _ 2.50 $5,000 7/16/1994 Town of Eaton 2.00 $5,000 7/24/1994 Unincorporated Weld County 2.00 $3,000 7/24/1994 Unincorporated Weld County 1.75 $4,000 7/31/1996 Unincorporated Weld County 0.75 $200 6/23/1997 City of Greeley 1.50 $3,100 8/10/2004 Town of Eaton 2.00 $2,000 Total: $35,300 Michael Baker 171 c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG'y Historical Hail Events Legend Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. 0.75 - 1 .00 1 .01 - 2.00 a 2.01 - 3.00 53.01 - 4.00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map x4.01 - 5.00 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Major Roads Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html O Weld County I• • • e 00 d • • 4 r. ' ISo • n. I • 0 G • o • • • • • •. . N.......\......_________,.....: • 1• • •• - s • • . • • • . . o ' • • w * • • • • m • \ \ • • •• • • 1 0. Source: NOAA's National Weather a Service Storm Prediction Center —I 0 5 10 20 Miles —___.1 n I I I I I I I I I • • • • • i. • 41~ ••a • .. Michael Baker ` "' 1 INTERNATIONAL kA4l R6kNCY MANAGkMINI Figure 39. Weld County — Historical Hail Events 172 IE7 E ',; Michael Baker 1 - I J INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a - , Lightning According to the best available data there was 1 reported death, 4 injuries, $ 1,044,000 worth of property damage, and $26,000 worth of crop damage in Weld County due to lightning events between 1996 and 2010. The events are summarized in the table below. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the county, there is a great potential for lightning events to occur at any given time, especially during the summer months when county residents are likely to be working and playing outdoors. Table 54. Lightning Strikes in Weld County* Damage to Damage to Date Location Injury Death Property Crops 6/4/1996 GREELEY 0 0 $50,000 $0 6/8/1996 LA SALLE 0 0 $ 1,000 $0 6/22/1996 GREELEY 0 0 $0 $0 6/25/1996 GREELEY 0 0 $0 $6,000 7/23/1996 EATON 0 0 $0 $0 • 7/23/1996 EATON 0 0 $0 $0 7/8/1997 ROGGEN 0 0 _ $ 100,000 $0 5/22/1998 FT LUPTON 0 0 $0 $0 9/20/1998 WINDSOR 0 0 $0 $0 7/27/1999 HUDSON 0 _ _ 0 $ 100,000 $0 4/20/2000 WINDSOR 0 0 $200,000 $0 5/17/2000 WINDSOR 0 0 $0 $0 5/17/2000 GREELEY 0 0 $0 $0 7/10/2000 HUDSON 0 0 $0 $0 8/4/2000 GREELEY 0 0 $0 $0 7/10/2001 GREELEY 0 0 $40,000 $0 6/1/2002 NEW RAYMER 0 0 $0 $0 6/1/2002 BRIGGSDALE 1 0 $0 $0 4/17/2003 GREELEY 0 0 $0 $0 7/6/2004 EVANS 0 0 $0 $0 7/30/2004 MILLIKEN 0 0 $0 $0 5/25/2009 LUCERNE 2 0 $0 $0 6/5/2009 EVANS 0 1 $0 $0 6/18/2009 GREELEY 1 0 $0 $0 9/20/2010 KERSEY 0 0 $0 $10,000 9/20/2010 KERSEY 0 0 $0 $10,000 Total : 4 1 $1,044,000 $26,000 *Source: NOAA; NCDC Storm Events Database Winter Storm According to the best available data there was no reported injury, no deaths, $ 102,000 worth of property damage, and no crop damage in Weld County due to winter storm events between 1996 and 2014. The table below shows the history of "significant" winter storms and blizzards in Weld County since 1996. "Significant" winter storm, winter weather, and blizzard events are included in the NCDC Storm Events Database if the event has more than one significant hazard (i.e., heavy snow and blowing snow; snow and 1 ►T -1 J ) Michael Baker 173 � t r ,, cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL a, ,-.. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a - , ice; snow and sleet; sleet and ice; or snow, sleet, and ice) and meets or exceeds locally/regionally defined twelve or twenty-four hour warning criteria for at least one of the precipitation elements on a widespread or localized basis. According to data there have been at least two to three significant winter storm events recorded in Weld County each year. Table 55 . Historic Winter Storms in the Weld County Damage to Damage Date Location Event Type Injuries Deaths Property to Crops 1/17/1996 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 _ 0 0 0 1/17/1996 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/13/1996 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/13/1996 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/16/1996 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/16/1996 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/16/1996 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/23/1997 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/18/1998 NWWELD COUNTIES Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/18/1998 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 NE WELD COUNTIES / NW Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/18/1998 WELD COUNTY 2/10/1999 NW WELD COUNTIES Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 S WELD COUNTY/GREELEY AND Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 2/10/1999 VICINITY 11/21/1999 NWWELD COUNTIES _ Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 SWELD COUNTY/GREELEY 4/10/2001 AND VICINITY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/10/2001 NW WELD COUNTIES Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 S WELD COUNTY/GREELEY AND Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/22/2001 VICINITY 4/22/2001 NW WELD COUNTIES Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/22/2001 NEWELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/1/2002 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/1/2002 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/1/2002 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/1/2002 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/21/2003 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 1/3/2004 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 1/25/2004 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/9/2004 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/28/2004 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 2/15/2005 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/13/2005 NW WELD COUNTY _ Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/13/2005 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/10/2005 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 ' Michael Baker 174 I INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . w . Damage to Damage Date Location Event Type Injuries Deaths Property to Crops 4/10/2005 NW WELD COUNTY _ Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/10/2005 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/28/2005 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/28/2006 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 _ 12/28/2006 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 $ 102,000 0 1/5/2007 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/27/2007 C & S WELD COUNTY _ Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/27/2007 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/9/2008 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/26/2009 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/26/2009 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/9/2009 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/9/2009 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/27/2009 C & S WELD COUNTY _ Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/27/2009 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/14/2009 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/23/2010 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/23/2010 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/25/2011 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/25/2011 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 10/25/2011 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/1/2011 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 11/1/2011 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 2/2/2012 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 2/2/2012 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 3/22/2013 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/8/2013 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/15/2013 NE WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/15/2013 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/15/2013 C & S WELD COUNTY _ Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 4/22/2013 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 1/30/2014 C & S WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 1/30/2014 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 5/11/2014 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 12/25/2014 NW WELD COUNTY Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 Total : 0 0 $102,000 0 Source: NOAA; NCDC Storm Events Database 5. 2. 9. 2 inventory anose,or All assets located in Weld County can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 57, 180 people, or 100% of the County's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the County. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the County's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from 175 Michael Baker cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. 5. 2.9.4 Potential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of Weld County and its jurisdictions including all above- ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for Weld County. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. 5. 2.9. 5 F-obabilityof Future Cxcurrences Severe winter storms can be predicted with a reasonable level of uncertainty. Through the identification of various indicators of weather systems, and by tracking these indicators, warning time for snow storms can be as much as a week in advance. Understanding the historical frequency, duration, and spatial extent of severe winter weather assists in determining the likelihood and potential severity of future occurrences. The characteristics of past severe winter events provide benchmarks for projecting similar conditions into the future. The probability that Weld County will experience a severe winter storm event can be difficult to quantify. However, based on historical records and frequencies there is nearly a 100% chance this type of event will occur somewhere in Weld County at least once every year. 5.2.9. 6 Land Use and Development All future structures built in Weld County will likely be exposed to severe weather extremes and damage. Since the previous statement is assumed to be uniform countywide, the location of development does not increase or reduce the risk necessarily. Weld County and its jurisdictions must adhere to building codes, and therefore, new development can be built to current standards to account for adverse weather. Additionally, as homes go up in more remote parts of the county, accessing those rural residents may become impossible should sheltering or emergency services be needed in an extreme event. Michael Baker 176 cci " ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . . 5.2. 10 Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARDS PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Straight-Line Winds 0.975 0.800 0.750 0.392 0. 167 3.083 &Tornadoes 5. 2. 10. 1 Hazard Identification Tornadoes in Colorado are most often generated by thunderstorm activity when cool, dry air intersects and overrides a layer of warm, moist air forcing the warm air to rise rapidly. The damage caused by a tornado is a result of high wind velocities and wind-blown debris. According to the National Weather Service, tornado wind speeds can range between 30 to more than 300 miles per hour. They are more likely to occur during the spring and early summer months of March through June and are most likely to form in the late afternoon and early evening. Most tornadoes are a few dozen yards wide and touchdown briefly, but even small, short-lived tornadoes can inflict tremendous damage. Destruction ranges from minor to catastrophic depending on the intensity, size, and duration of the storm . Structures made of light materials such as mobile homes are most susceptible to damage. Each year, an average of over eight hundred tornadoes is reported nationwide, resulting in an average of eighty deaths and fifteen hundred injuries ( NOAA, 2002). The majority of Colorado tornadoes occur in the eastern plains, including large areas of Weld County. Tornadoes were previously classified by their intensity using the Fujita ( F) Scale, with FO being the least intense and F6 being the most intense. The Fujita Scale (seen in the table below) is used to rate the intensity of a tornado by examining the damage caused by the tornado after it has passed over a man- made structure. 177 7 ? Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Table 56. Fujita Tornado Damage Scale15 Fujita Scale F-Scale Intensity Wind Type of Damage Number Phrase Speed Gale 40-72 Some damage to chimneys; breaks branches off trees; pushes over FO tornado mph shallow-rooted trees; damages signboards. The lower limit is the beginning of hurricane wind speed; peels Moderate 73-112 surface off roofs; mobile homes pushed off foundations or F1 tornado mph overturned; moving autos pushed off the roads; attached garages may be destroyed. Considerable damage. Roofs torn off frame houses; mobile homes Significant 113-157 F2 demolished; boxcars pushed over; large trees snapped or uprooted; tornado mph light object missiles generated . Severe 158-206 Roof and some walls torn off well-constructed houses; trains F3 tornado mph overturned; most trees in forest uprooted Devastati 207-260 Well-constructed houses leveled; structures with weak foundations F4 ng mph blown off some distance; cars thrown and large missiles generated. tornado Strong frame houses lifted off foundations and carried considerable Incredible 261-318 distances to disintegrate; automobile sized missiles fly through the F5 tornado mph air in excess of 100 meters; trees debarked; steel reinforced concrete structures badly damaged . These winds are very unlikely. The small area of damage they might produce would probably not be recognizable along with the mess produced by F4 and F5 wind that would surround the F6 winds. Inconceiva 319-379 Missiles, such as cars and refrigerators would do serious secondary ble F6` mph damage that could not be directly identified as F6 damage. If this tornado level is ever achieved, evidence for it might only be found in some manner of ground swirl pattern, for it may never be identifiable through engineering studies On February 1, 2007, the Fujita scale was decommissioned in favor of the more accurate Enhanced Fujita Scale (aka the EF Scale). The EF-Scale measures tornado strength and associated damages and classifies 15 Information provided by NOAA at http://www.spc.noaa .gov/faq/tornado/f-scale.html 178 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT tornadoes into six intensity categories, as shown in the following table. The scale was revised to reflect better examinations of tornado damage surveys, so as to align wind speeds more closely with associated storm damage. The new scale takes into account how most structures are designed, and is thought to be a much more accurate representation of the surface wind speeds in the most violent tornadoes. Table 57. Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale16 Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale ala Enhanced Wind Speed Fujita Potential Damage (mph) Category Light damage: EFO 65-85 Peels surface off some roofs; some damage to gutters or siding; branches broken off trees; shallow-rooted trees pushed over. Moderate damage: EF1 86-110 Roofs severely stripped; mobile homes overturned or badly damaged; loss of exterior doors; windows and other glass broken . Considerable damage: Roofs torn off well-constructed houses; foundations of frame EF2 111-135 homes shifted; mobile homes completely destroyed; large trees snapped or uprooted; light-object missiles generated; cars lifted off ground. Severe damage: Entire stories of well-constructed houses destroyed; severe EF3 136-165 damage to large buildings such as shopping malls; trains overturned; trees debarked; heavy cars lifted off the ground and thrown; structures with weak foundations blown away some distance. Devastating damage: EF4 166-200 Well-constructed houses and whole frame houses completely leveled; cars thrown and small missiles generated . 16 Source: http://www.spc.noaa .gov/faq/tornado/ef-scale.html ' Michael Baker 179 I v , : ) INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale Enhanced Wind Speed Fujita Potential Damage (mph) Category Incredible damage: Strong frame houses leveled off foundations and swept away; EFS >200 automobile-sized missiles fly through the air in excess of 100 m ( 109 yds. ); high-rise buildings have significant structural deformation; incredible phenomena will occur. The Storm Prediction Center has developed damage indicators to be used with the Enhanced Fujita Scale for different types of buildings. These indicators can be also be used to classify any high wind event. Indicators for different building types are shown in the following tables. Table 58. Institutional Buildings DAMAGE DESCRIPTION WIND SPEED RANGE (Expected in Parentheses) Threshold of visible damage 59-88 MPH (72 MPH ) Loss of roof covering (<20%) 72-109 MPH (86 MPH ) Damage to penthouse roof & walls, loss of 75-111 MPH (92 MPH ) rooftop HVAC equipment Broken glass in windows or doors 78-115 MPH (95 MPH ) U plift of lightweight roof deck & insulation, 95-136 MPH ( 114 MPH ) significant loss of roofing material (>20%) Facade components torn from structure 97-140 MPH ( 118 MPH ) Damage to curtain walls or other wall cladding 110-152 MPH ( 131 MPH ) U plift of pre-cast concrete roof slabs 119-163 MPH (142 MPH ) U plift of metal deck with concrete fill slab 118-170 MPH ( 146 MPH ) Collapse of some top building envelope 127-172 MPH ( 148 MPH ) Significant damage to building envelope 178-268 MPH (210 MPH ) Source: Storm Prediction Center, 2009 180 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , Table 59. Educational Institutions ( Elementary Schools, High Schools) DAMAGE DESCRIPTION WIND SPEED RANGE (Expected in Parentheses) Threshold of visible damage 55-83 MPH (68 MPH) Loss of roof covering (<20%) 66-99 MPH (79 MPH ) Broken windows 71-106 MPH (87 MPH ) Exterior door failures 83-121 MPH ( 101 MPH ) Uplift of metal roof decking; significant loss of 85-119 MPH ( 101 MPH ) roofing material (>20%); loss of rooftop HVAC Damage to or loss of wall cladding 92-127 MPH ( 108 MPH ) Collapse of tall masonry walls at gym, cafeteria, 94-136 MPH ( 114 MPH) or auditorium Uplift or collapse of light steel roof structure 108-148 MPH (125 MPH ) Collapse of exterior walls in top floor 121-153 MPH (139 MPH ) Most interior walls of top floor collapsed 133-186 MPH (158 MPH ) Total destruction of a large section of building 163-224 MPH ( 192 MPH ) envelope Source: Storm Prediction Center, 2009 Table 60. Metal Building Systems DAMAGE DESCRIPTION WIND SPEED RANGE (Expected in Parentheses) Threshold of visible damage 54-83 MPH (67 MPH ) Inward or outward collapsed of overhead doors 75-108 MPH (89 MPH ) Metal roof or wall panels pulled from the 78-120 MPH (95 MPH ) building Column anchorage failed 96-135 MPH ( 117 MPH ) Buckling of roof purlins 95-138 MPH ( 118 MPH) 181 W Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG n DAMAGE DESCRIPTION WIND SPEED RANGE (Expected in Parentheses) Failure of X-braces in the lateral load resisting 118-158 MPH (138 MPH ) system Progressive collapse of rigid frames 120-168 MPH (143 MPH ) Total destruction of building 132-178 MPH (155 MPH ) Source: Storm Prediction Center, 2009 Table 61. Electric Transmission Lines DAMAGE DESCRIPTION WIND SPEED RANGE (Expected in Parentheses) Threshold of visible damage 70-98 MPH (83 MPH ) Broken wood cross member 80-114 MPH (99 MPH ) Wood poles leaning 85-130 MPH ( 108 MPH ) Broken wood poles 98-142 MPH ( 118 MPH ) Source: Storm Prediction Center, 2009 Severe wind can also occur outside of tornadoes, severe thunderstorms, and winter storms. These winds typically develop with strong pressure gradients and gusty frontal passages. The closer and stronger two systems (one high pressure, one low pressure) are, the stronger the pressure gradient, and therefore, the stronger the winds are. Although severe wind events often garner less attention in the local media than tornadoes do, damaging straight line winds (or downbursts) can injure and kill animals and humans. Straight-line winds, which can cause more widespread damage than a tornado, occur when air is carried into a storm's updraft, cools rapidly, and comes rushing to the ground. Cold air is denser than warm air, and therefore, wants to fall to the surface. On warm summer days, when the cold air can no longer be supported up by the storm's updraft, or when an exceptional downdraft develops, the air crashes to the ground in the form of strong winds. These winds are forced horizontally when they reach the ground and can cause significant damage. These types of strong winds can also be referred to as straight-line winds. Downbursts with a diameter of less than 2.5 miles are called microbursts and those with a diameter of 2.5 miles or greater are called macrobursts. A "derecho" is a series of downbursts associated with a line of thunderstorms. 5. 2. 10. 2 Previous Occurrences Colorado, lying just west of "tornado alley," is fortunate to experience less frequent and intense tornadoes than its neighboring states to the east. However, tornadoes remain a significant hazard in the region . Tornadoes are the most intense storm on earth having been recorded at velocities exceeding 315 mph . The phenomena results in a destructive rotating column of air ranging in diameter from a few yards to greater than a mile, usually associated with a downward extension of cumulonimbus clouds. • ' Michael Baker 182 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG a - , All portions of Weld County have the potential to be affected by tornadoes. Historically, tornadoes have been relatively small on the EF Scale but Fl tornadoes can still produce dangerous winds up to 112mph . High winds can cause damage to buildings (tearing shingles from roofs, tearing awnings, collapsing structures, etc. ). The following Table summarizes tornado history and damage data for Weld County from 1950 - 2014 collected by the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Over that time, NOAA's damage reporting methodologies have evolved. Prior to 1996, estimates of property damage from tornadoes were categorized within the NOAA database by ranges of dollar amounts (0 = unknown; 1< $50, 2 = $50 - $500; 3 = $500 - $5,000; 4 = $5,000 - $50,000; 5 = $50,000 - $500,000; 6 = $500,000 - $5,000,000; 7 = $5,000,000 - $50,000,000; 8 = $50,000,000 - $500,000,000; 9 = $5,000,000,000). From 1996 on, tornado damages were recorded in millions of dollars. A damage value of 0.0 meant damages were under $100,000. Starting in 2007, estimated crop damages were recorded in millions of dollars. In NOAA's database a damage value of 0.0 means that damages were under $ 100,000. Table 62. Tornado History in Weld County ( 1950 - 2014) F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 7/22/1950 0 0 0 0 5/15/1952 F3 5 0 $25,000 0 6/19/1954 0 0 $250 0 5/09/1955 0 0 $250 0 6/26/1955 0 0 $250 0 6/27/1955 0 0 $30 0 6/27/1955 0 0 $30 0 7/10/1955 F2 0 0 $2,500 0 5/24/1957 Fl 0 0 $250 0 5/24/1957 Fl 0 0 $250 0 5/30/1957 -- 0 0 $30 0 5/30/1957 FO 0 0 $30 0 5/12/1958 F2 0 0 $2,500 0 6/8/1958 F2 0 0 $2,500 0 7/1/1958 F2 1 0 $2,500 0 7/20/1958 -- 0 0 $2,500 0 7/23/1958 F2 0 0 $2,500 0 5/15/1960 -- 0 0 $2,500 0 6/5/1961 -- 0 0 0 0 5/8/1965 -- 0 0 $2,500 0 5/22/1965 Fl 0 0 $250 0 6/23/1965 FO 0 0 0 0 6/26/1965 F2 0 0 $25,000 0 183 r .►T :' �= Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a, ,-.. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG'w F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 5/17/1966 F1 0 0 $25,000 0 7/14/1967 F1 0 0 0 0 5/23/1968 F1 0 0 $30 0 4/19/1971 FO 0 0 0 0 6/29/1971 FO 0 0 0 0 6/29/1971 F1 1 0 $25,000 0 5/10/1972 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 6/18/1975 FO 0 0 0 0 7/22/1975 FO 0 0 0 0 7/23/1975 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 5/29/1976 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 5/29/1976 F1 0 0 0 0 5/29/1976 F1 0 0 0 0 5/29/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 5/29/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 5/29/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 5/29/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 5/29/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 F2 0 0 $25,000 0 6/4/1976 F1 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 F1 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 F1 0 0 0 0 6/4/1976 F1 0 0 0 0 7/4/1976 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 8/10/1976 FO 0 0 0 0 5/1/1977 FO 0 0 0 0 6/19/1977 F1 0 0 $25,000 0 7/6/1979 -- 1 0 $2,500 0 7/6/1979 F1 0 0 0 0 7/12/1979 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1979 FO 0 0 0 0 7/29/1979 FO 0 0 0 0 5/27/1980 FO 0 0 $25,000 0 184 91 r ► :�� h� Michael Baker " ' ' r �►�!�/1 cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL I1.- ;� a. ,-.. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG'w F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 5/29/1980 FO 0 0 0 0 6/21/1980 FO 0 0 0 0 7/25/1980 F1 0 0 $250 0 8/7/1980 F1 0 0 $250,000 0 8/27/1980 F1 0 0 0 0 5/31/1981 F1 0 0 0 0 5/31/1981 FO 0 0 0 0 6/3/1981 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 6/3/1981 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 6/3/1981 F1 0 0 0 0 6/3/1981 F1 2 0 $2,500,000 0 7/24/1981 F1 0 0 0 0 7/25/1981 F1 0 0 0 0 9/23/1981 F1 0 0 0 0 6/2/1982 FO 0 0 0 0 6/3/1982 FO 0 0 0 0 6/12/1982 FO 0 0 0 0 6/14/1982 F1 0 0 $30 0 6/25/1982 F1 0 0 $30 0 6/29/1982 F1 0 0 $30 0 7/25/1982 F1 0 0 $30 0 7/26/1982 F2 0 0 $30 0 7/26/1982 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 8/9/1982 F1 0 0 $30 0 4/30/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 6/2/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 6/4/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 6/16/1983 FO 0 0 $30 0 7/10/1983 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 8/12/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 8/12/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 8/12/1983 F1 0 0 $25,000 0 8/17/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 8/17/1983 F1 0 0 $30 0 4/19/1984 F1 0 0 $30 0 4/19/1984 F1 0 0 $30 0 r ►7 '�� 185 i h Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG'w F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 4/25/1984 F1 0 0 $30 0 5/18/1984 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 5/18/1984 F1 0 0 $25,000 0 5/18/1984 F1 0 0 $250 0 6/13/1984 F2 0 0 $25,000 0 6/17/1984 F2 0 0 0 0 8/1/1984 F2 0 0 $2,500 0 8/1/1984 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 8/19/1984 F1 0 0 0 0 7/26/1985 F1 0 0 0 0 5/12/1986 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 6/9/1986 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 8/2/1986 F1 3 0 $25,000 0 6/23/1987 F1 0 0 0 0 6/23/1987 F1 0 0 0 0 7/7/1987 F1 0 0 $2,500 0 7/7/1987 F1 0 0 0 0 7/7/1987 F1 0 0 0 0 4/19/1988 F1 0 0 0 0 4/21/1988 F2 0 0 $25,000 0 4/24/1988 F1 0 0 0 0 6/5/1988 F1 0 0 $25,000 0 7/7/1988 F1 0 0 $250 0 6/25/1989 F1 0 0 0 0 6/1/1990 F2 0 0 $250000 0 6/9/1990 F1 0 0 0 0 6/9/1990 FO 0 0 0 0 6/9/1990 F1 0 0 0 0 6/15/1990 F2 0 0 $25,000 0 6/2/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 6/2/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 6/9/1991 F1 0 0 0 0 6/9/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 6/9/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 6/22/1991 F1 0 0 0 0 6/22/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 186 r ►7 '�� i Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL ; a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGw F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 7/25/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 7/25/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 7/25/1991 FO 0 0 $250,000 0 7/25/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 7/25/1991 FO 0 0 0 0 6/13/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/14/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/14/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/14/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/20/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/20/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/26/1992 FO 0 0 $25,000 0 6/26/1992 FO 0 0 0 0 6/18/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 7/16/1994 FO 0 0 0 0 5/7/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/3/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/6/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/6/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/7/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/7/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/7/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/7/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 6/7/1995 FO 0 0 0 0 5/30/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/9/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/12/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/13/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/28/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/31/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/31/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 187 r ►7 '�� i h Michael Baker a ` cc• - Y � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGw F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 7/31/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 7/31/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 8/27/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 8/29/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 8/29/1996 F2 0 0 0 0 8/29/1996 FO 0 0 0 0 5/25/1997 FO 0 0 0 0 6/15/1997 FO 0 0 0 0 6/22/1997 FO 0 0 0 0 7/6/1997 FO 0 0 0 0 7/30/1997 F1 0 0 $50,000 0 6/9/1998 FO 0 0 0 0 7/4/1998 FO 0 0 0 0 7/14/1998 F1 0 0 0 0 7/14/1998 FO 0 0 0 0 7/19/1998 FO 0 0 0 0 7/25/1998 FO 0 0 0 0 8/9/1998 FO 0 0 0 0 6/17/1999 FO 0 0 0 0 8/10/1999 FO 0 0 0 0 8/10/1999 FO 0 0 0 0 8/10/1999 FO 0 0 0 0 8/10/1999 F1 0 0 0 0 8/10/1999 FO 0 0 0 0 9/1/1999 F1 0 0 0 0 5/17/2000 F1 0 0 0 0 5/17/2000 FO 0 0 0 0 5/17/2000 FO 0 0 0 0 5/17/2000 FO 0 0 0 0 7/10/2000 FO 0 0 0 0 7/21/2000 FO 0 0 0 0 9/1/2000 F1 0 0 0 0 6/3/2002 FO 0 0 0 0 8/28/2002 F1 0 0 0 0 4/30/2003 FO 0 0 0 0 4/30/2003 FO 0 0 0 0 188 r,!? „ Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGw F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 5/8/2003 FO 0 0 0 0 3/24/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 5/10/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 6/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 8/10/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 8/10/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 10/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 10/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 10/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 10/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 10/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 10/4/2004 FO 0 0 0 0 5/24/2005 F1 0 0 0 0 5/31/2006 F1 0 0 0 0 5/3/2007 F1 0 0 0 0 5/3/2007 FO 0 0 0 0 5/3/2007 FO 0 0 0 0 5/3/2007 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/3/2007 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/14/2007 EF0 0 0 0 0 7/12/2007 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/22/2008 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/22/2008 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/23/2008 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/23/2008 EF3 78 1 $147,000,000 0 6/9/2009 EF1 1 0 0 0 6/10/2009 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/10/2009 EF1 0 0 0 0 6/22/2009 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/22/2009 EF0 0 0 0 0 8/8/2009 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/15/2010 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/15/2010 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/18/2010 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/18/2010 EF0 0 0 0 0 5/26/2010 EF0 0 0 0 0 91 r ► :� 189 � �� h� Michael Baker �, � ' r �►��/1 11.- ;� a cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG'w F & EF ESTIMATED PROPERTY ESTIMATED CROP DATE SCALE INJURIES DEATHS DAMAGE DAMAGE 6/10/2010 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/6/2012 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/7/2012 EF0 0 0 0 0 9/27/2012 EF0 0 0 0 0 8/3/2013 EF0 0 0 0 0 8/3/2013 EF0 0 0 0 0 8/3/2013 EF0 0 0 0 0 8/3/2013 EF0 0 0 $5,000 $5000 5/7/2014 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/6/2014 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/6/2014 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/8/2014 EF0 0 0 0 0 6/8/2014 EF0 0 0 0 0 7/28/2014 EF0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL: 92 1 $150,715,160 $5000 Source: NOAA; NCDC Storm Events Database NCDC's Storm Events Database estimates that 256 tornadoes have touched down in, or moved through, Weld County between 1950 and 2014. The most destructive tornado event occurred on May 22, 2008. The Town of Windsor sustained the most damage while many other towns were also affected. This tornado event caused one death in the City of Greeley. The following figure depicts the tornado touchdown locations that occurred on May 22, 2008. / Michael Baker + 190 .:� . 'r cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 4;a,, TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS MAY 22, 2008 FE MA Region\AIl 5 , FEMA J.GOLDSMITH PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE Mitigation GIS 0572312008 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE aramn ). I= 1.1 6:48PM Cheyenne Albany , 15:00PM • WY ( 1 :22Prd1 l :. - 2:55PM Laramie CO Weld Wellington 12:16PM Larimer 12:07PM 12:09PM 11 :57AM Tim nath windsor 11 :50AM 12:02PM *Greeley Milliken • 11 :40AM P11 :27Afv1 Gilcret�r. 1, 11 :26AM * Boulder Longmont Platteville 11 t.l • Grand 1 12:23PM Cri r--�- li 12:32PFv1 , Broomfield Adams • t rL 0 5 10 20 30 40 in N Miles Legend • Cities Tornado Touchdowns 1� Figure 40. Tornado Touchdowns in Weld County, May 22, 200817 The following figure depicts historical tornado tracks and events in and around Weld County. The map illustrates where tornadoes have touched down (and traveled) between 1955 and 2014. It is important to note that all portions of the County are susceptible to tornado hazard, from the urban western portions to the rural eastern side. 171mage courtesy of Eric Thaler, SOO WFO DEN/BOU; Data source — NOAA/NWS; Map — FEMA 191 ' J Michael Baker U INTERNATIONAL Legend Historical Tornado Events EF Scale Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. 0 1 2 3 Major Roads Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, Weld County the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. t-:I Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html r / N-"\---, --------- • ow 0 • L 3 V •\ VS.7 • • Ili• - . 1 • Source: NOAA's National Weather lbService Storm Prediction Center /;;"--- 0 5 10 20 Miles • I I I I I I I l l / cl---,j• —) r • ' • i ii I) i' l r . - % • • • • • • Michael Baker • L.— 1 INTERNATIONAL LMLRGLNCY MANAGLMLNT Figure 41. Weld County — Historical Tornado Events I 192 Michael Baker ce - ` - " J� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG & , HAZARD PROFILE: STRAIGHT-LINE WIND Data from NOAA's NCDC Storm Events Database was used to complete the risk assessment for straight- line wind events in Weld County. Currently, the Storm Events Database only includes wind events that are classified as "Thunderstorm Winds" (including downbursts) . These events are defined as winds with speeds of at least fifty knots (58 mph), or winds of any speed (non-severe winds under fifty knots) that result in a fatality, injury and/or damage. The following Table summarizes severe wind history and damage totals in Weld County from 1996 to 2014. Table 63. Severe Wind Event History in Weld County (1996 - 2014) DATE MAGNITUDE INJURIES DEATHS PROPERTY CROP (KNOTS)18 DAMAGE DAMAGE 1/3/1996 -- 0 0 0 0 4/19/1996 71 0 0 0 0 4/19/1996 72 0 0 0 0 4/24/1996 53 0 0 0 0 4/24/1996 58 0 0 0 0 10/29/1996 61 0 0 0 0 12/2/1996 82 0 0 0 0 12/4/1996 100 0 0 0 0 12/17/1996 50 0 0 0 0 12/17/1996 56 0 0 0 0 12/17/1996 68 0 0 0 0 1/4/1997 53 0 0 0 0 1/4/1997 62 0 0 0 0 1/4/1997 58 0 0 0 0 3/27/1997 60 0 0 0 0 3/27/1997 70 0 0 0 0 3/27/1997 -- 0 0 0 0 4/5/1997 51 0 0 0 0 10/31/1997 73 0 0 0 0 12/27/1997 64 0 0 0 0 2/25/1998 59 0 0 0 0 6/13/1998 68 0 0 0 0 12/27/1998 83 0 0 0 0 12/30/1998 78 0 0 0 0 1/5/1999 60 0 0 0 0 18 1 knot = 1.15 mph 193 ; + ' ' � '' Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w w., DATE MAGNITUDE INJURIES DEATHS PROPERTY CROP (KNOTS)18 DAMAGE DAMAGE 2/2/1999 56 0 0 0 0 2/2/1999 93 0 0 0 0 2/10/1999 58 0 0 0 0 2/10/1999 50 0 0 0 0 2/17/1999 61 0 0 0 0 2/22/1999 73 0 0 0 0 2/22/1999 52 0 0 0 0 4/8/1999 50 0 0 0 0 4/8/1999 90 0 0 0 0 4/8/1999 78 0 0 0 0 4/9/1999 70 0 0 0 0 4/9/1999 82 0 0 0 0 5/6/1999 55 0 r 0 r 0 0 11/18/1999 77 0 0 0 0 11/25/1999 67 0 0 0 0 11/25/1999 67 0 0 0 0 1/3/2000 81 0 0 0 0 1/7/2000 67 0 0 0 0 2/15/2000 56 0 0 0 0 2/15/2000 56 0 0 0 0 2/25/2000 63 0 0 0 0 2/25/2000 52 0 0 0 0 3/7/2000 88 0 0 0 0 3/7/2000 55 0 0 0 0 4/5/2000 78 0 0 0 0 12/15/2000 50 0 0 0 0 12/17/2000 56 0 0 0 0 12/17/2000 52 1 0 0 0 3/15/2001 55 0 0 0 0 5/9/2001 47 0 0 0 0 5/9/2001 50 0 0 0 0 5/20/2001 72 6 0 $ 1,400,000 0 5/20/2001 61 0 0 $36,000 0 2/8/2002 65 0 0 0 0 2/9/2002 39 0 0 0 0 2/9/2002 55 0 0 0 0 194 41rt !? ri �=' Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w w., DATE MAGNITUDE INJURIES DEATHS PROPERTY CROP (KNOTS)18 DAMAGE DAMAGE 4/1/2002 56 0 0 0 0 5/21/2002 57 0 0 0 0 1/15/2003 52 0 0 0 0 1/15/2003 52 0 0 0 0 1/30/2003 52 0 0 0 0 1/30/2003 59 0 0 0 0 4/15/2003 69 0 0 0 0 11/11/2003 70 0 0 0 0 6/4/2004 61 0 0 0 0 6/4/2004 54 0 0 0 0 6/20/2004 56 0 0 0 0 10/29/2004 65 0 0 0 0 10/29/2004 50 0 0 0 0 12/20/2004 85 0 0 0 0 4/5/2005 52 0 0 0 0 4/5/2005 52 0 0 0 0 11/3/2005 61 0 0 0 0 11/12/2005 54 0 0 0 0 11/12/2005 56 0 0 0 0 11/28/2005 59 0 0 0 0 11/28/2005 52 0 0 0 0 11/30/2005 60 0 0 0 0 11/30/2005 51 0 0 0 0 12/5/2005 50 0 0 0 0 12/23/2005 58 0 0 0 0 12/29/2005 57 0 0 0 0 12/29/2005 53 0 0 0 0 4/2/2006 52 0 0 0 0 11/14/2006 52 0 0 0 0 1/7/2007 77 0 0 0 0 2/16/2007 54 0 0 0 0 2/16/2007 80 0 0 0 0 6/6/2007 88 0 0 0 0 5/2/2008 57 0 0 $200,000 $200,000 5/2/2008 63 0 0 0 0 5/2/2008 60 0 0 0 0 195 41rt !? ri �=' Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w w., DATE MAGNITUDE INJURIES DEATHS PROPERTY CROP (KNOTS)18 DAMAGE DAMAGE 6/11/2008 68 0 0 0 0 6/22/2008 60 0 0 0 0 6/26/2008 52 0 0 0 0 8/2/2008 52 6 0 0 0 11/6/2008 64 0 0 0 0 12/29/2008 85 0 0 0 0 1/7/2009 65 0 0 $5,000 0 3/31/2009 52 0 0 0 0 1/24/2010 52 0 0 0 0 2/13/2010 70 0 0 0 0 5/4/2010 58 0 0 $ 10,000 $50,000 5/4/2010 58 0 0 0 0 5/24/2010 53 0 r 0 r 0 0 5/24/2010 50 0 0 0 0 3/22/2011 43 0 0 0 0 5/9/2011 35 0 0 0 0 10/6/2011 48 0 0 $20,000 $5,000 10/6/2011 54 0 0 0 0 10/6/2011 51 0 0 0 0 11/12/2011 45 1 0 0 0 12/31/2011 61 0 0 0 0 12/31/2011 63 0 0 0 0 12/31/2011 70 0 0 0 0 1/18/2012 61 0 0 0 0 1/18/2012 52 0 0 0 0 1/18/2012 56 0 0 0 0 2/21/2012 55 0 0 0 0 2/22/2012 56 0 0 0 0 3/18/2012 51 0 0 0 0 3/18/2012 56 0 0 0 0 4/15/2012 67 0 0 0 0 10/17/2012 35 0 0 0 0 10/17/2012 62 0 0 0 0 4/8/2013 54 0 0 0 0 4/8/2013 50 0 0 0 0 12/24/2013 60 0 0 0 0 196 41rt !? ri �=' Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG 'w w., DATE MAGNITUDE INJURIES DEATHS PROPERTY CROP (KNOTS)18 DAMAGE DAMAGE 2/16/2014 54 0 0 0 0 3/30/2014 52 0 0 0 0 4/27/2014 52 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 8 0 $1,671,000 $255,000 - *Source: NOAA; NCDC Storm Events Database Based on data provided by NCDC's Storm Events Database, 136 severe wind events have occurred in Weld County between 1996 and 2014. The following Figure provides a geospatial view of these historical severe wind events in Weld County between 1996 and 2014. As with tornadoes, it should be noted that severe winds affect all portions of the County. 197 1 131 " = is, , Michael Baker Nr'' rI co , , T, I N T E R N A T I O N A L l EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATIO ►, Historical High Wind Events Legend Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Speed (knots) 50 - 60 a61 - 70 -71 - 80 Major Roads Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, - Weld County the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. t-:I Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html i ( . • • q • :. >eg • 7 u 7 •-f'-f X51. • • • N - Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center • 0 5 10 20 Miles I I I I I I I 1 J . • i PA r • — % ii _ �� - P Michael Baker 1 INTERNATIONAL EMERGLNCY MANAGEMENT Figure 42 . Weld County — Historical High Wind Events ,,r 1\,1 198 - - Michael Baker rid W INTERNATIONAL n. rai WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 5. 2. 10. 3 Inventory Exposed Inventory assets exposed to severe wind is dependent on the age of the building, type, construction material used, and condition of the structure. Possible losses to critical infrastructure include: • Electric power disruption • Communication disruption • Water and fuel shortages • Road closures • Damaged infrastructure components, such as sewer lift stations and treatment plants • Damage to homes, structures, and shelters All assets located in Weld County can be considered at risk from severe wind and tornadoes. This includes 252,825 people, or 100% of the County's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the County.19 Most structures, including the county's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. 5. 2. 10. 4 Potential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, countywide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to historical property damage and injuries/deaths. Over the last 65 years there has been 1 death reported in Weld County due to a tornado event and no deaths due to severe wind . During the same time period, there have been 92 reported injuries from tornadoes and 14 reported injuries from severe wind. Monetary losses to property and crops are largely unknown . 5. 2. 10. 5 Probability of Future Occurrences Reported tornadoes over the past forty nine years provide an acceptable framework for determining the future occurrence in terms of frequency for such events. The probability of the County and its municipalities experiencing a tornado associated with damages or injuries can be difficult to quantify, but based on historical record of sixty four tornadoes since 1964 that have either caused damages to buildings and infrastructure or resulted in an injury or death, it can reasonably be assumed that this type of event has occurred once a year between 1964 and 2013 . Historic tornado frequencies suggest that there is roughly a 100% chance of this type of event occurring somewhere within the county boundaries each year. Similarly, reported straight-line wind events over the past forty nine years provide an acceptable framework for determining the future occurrence in terms of event. The probability of Weld County and its municipalities experiencing a severe wind event associated with damages or injuries can be difficult to 19 2010 Census -1 . Michael Baker 199 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG , quantify, but based on historical record of 136 severe wind events since 1964, there is a high chance of this type of event occurring each year. 5. 2. 906 Land Use and Development All future structures built in Weld County will likely be exposed to severe wind and tornado damage. As with other large extent hazards, increased development trends within Planning Reserve Areas and along the 1-76 and 1-25 corridors will increase the vulnerability of these areas. Weld County and its jurisdictions must continue to adhere to building codes and to facilitate new development that is built to the highest design standards to account for heavy winds. Due to the nature of tornadoes and severe wind events, not all jurisdictions within Weld County are expected to be impacted equally. For example, older homes, which are often subject to less advanced building codes, suffer increased vulnerability to wind and tornadoes over time. Mobile homes, which are most often occupied by low-income, socially vulnerable residents, are the most dangerous places during a windstorm or tornado. Studies indicate that 45% of all fatalities during tornadoes occur in mobile homes, compared to 26% in traditional site-built homes.20 As communities across Weld County continue to grow, it is important that local agencies monitor the inventory and locations of mobile homes, particularly in areas of high tornado risk. Moreover, when discussing mitigation actions for straight-line winds and tornadoes, communities or geographic locations with large numbers of mobile homes deserve added attention. 20 Ashley, W.S., A.J. Krmenec, and R. Schwantes, 2008: Vulnerability due to nocturnal tornadoes. Weather and Forecasting, 23, 795 — 807. 200 -` Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , 6 Mitigation Strategy This section of the Plan provides the blueprint for Weld County and its participating jurisdictions to become less vulnerable to natural hazards. The goals, objectives, and strategies are based on the general consensus of the Weld County HMPC and local stakeholder feedback, along with the findings of the Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment. This section consists of the following subsections: • INTRODUCTION • GOALS AND OBJECTIVES SUMMARY • 2009 HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ACTION REPORT • 2016 HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ACTION REPORT 6. 1 Introduction The intent of the Mitigation Strategy is to provide Weld County and participating jurisdictions with the goals that will serve as the guiding principles for future mitigation policy and project administration, along with a list of proposed actions deemed necessary to meet those goals and reduce the impact of natural hazards. It is designed to be comprehensive and strategic in nature. The development of the strategy included a thorough review of natural hazards and identified policies and projects intended to not only reduce the future impacts of hazards, but also to help Weld County and participating jurisdictions achieve compatible economic, environmental, and social goals. The development of this section is also intended to be strategic, in that all policies and projects are linked to establish priorities assigned to specific departments or individuals responsible for their implementation. Potential funding sources are identified when possible and identified projects were assumed to be realistically achievable over the coming five years. • Mitigation goals are general guidelines that explain what the county wants to achieve. Goals are usually expressed as broad policy statements representing desired long-term results. • Mitigation objectives describe strategies or implementation steps to attain the identified goals. Objectives are more specific statements than goals; the described steps are usually measurable and can have a defined completion date. • Mitigation Actions provide more detailed descriptions of specific work tasks to help the county and its municipalities achieve prescribed goals and objectives. Based on participation from the Weld County HMPC, the mitigation strategy from the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan has been modified and updated . Objectives were clarified to better document roles and responsibilities. Previously identified actions were updated and new actions have been added to address particular hazards facing Weld County and its local jurisdictions. In order to prioritize the mitigation actions in this plan, the County and each participating jurisdiction referred to FEMA's STAPLEE methodology as a guide. The STAPLEE approach allows for a careful review of the feasibility of mitigation actions by using seven criteria. The criteria are described below: • S - Social • T - Technical • A - Administrative 201 'r �, Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN • P - Political • L - Legal • E - Economic • E - Environmental FEMA mitigation planning requirements indicate that any prioritization system used shall include a special emphasis on the extent to which benefits are maximized according to a cost-benefit review of the proposed projects. To do this in an efficient manner that is consistent with FEMA's guidance on using cost- benefit review in mitigation planning, the STAPLEE method was adapted to include a higher weighting (x1.5) for the economic feasibility factor — Cost Effective. This method incorporates concepts similar to those described in Method C of FEMA 386-5 : Using Benefit Cost Review in Mitigation Planning ( FEMA, 2007) . In order to ensure that a broad range of mitigation actions were considered for the Mitigation Strategy, the Weld County HMPC analyzed a comprehensive range of specific mitigation actions for each hazard after the risk assessment was complete. This helped to ensure that there was sufficient span and creativity in the mitigation actions considered . There are six categories of mitigation actions which Weld County considered in developing its mitigation action plan . Those categories include : • Prevention : Government administrative or regulatory actions or processes that influence the way land and buildings are developed and built. These actions also include public activities to reduce hazard losses. Examples include planning, zoning, building codes, subdivision regulations, hazard specific regulations (such as floodplain regulations), capital improvement programs, and open- space preservation and stormwater regulations. • Property Protection : Actions that involve modifying or removing existing buildings or infrastructure to protect them from a hazard. Examples include the acquisition, elevation and relocation of structures, structural retrofits, flood-proofing, storm shutters, and shatter resistant glass. This category also includes insurance. • Public Education and Awareness: Actions to inform and educate citizens, elected officials, and property owners about potential risks from hazards and potential ways to mitigate them . Such actions include hazard mapping, outreach projects, library materials dissemination, real estate disclosures, the creation of hazard information centers, and school age / adult education programs. • Natural Resource Protection : Actions that in addition to minimizing hazard losses also preserve or restore the functions of natural systems. These actions include sediment and erosion control, stream corridor restoration, forest and vegetation management, wetlands restoration or preservation, slope stabilization, and historic property and archeological site preservation. • Structural Project Implementation : Mitigation projects intended to lessen the impact of a hazard by using structures to modify the environment. Structures include stormwater controls (culverts); dams, dikes, and levees; and safe rooms. • Emergency Services: Actions that typically are not considered mitigation techniques but reduce the impacts of a hazard event on people and property. These actions are often taken prior to, �I±�►% ��' Michael Baker 202 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , during, or in response to an emergency or disaster. Examples include warning systems, evacuation planning and management, emergency response training and exercises, and emergency flood protection procedures. 6 . 7 Goals and Objectives Summary The following table provides an update summary of the goals identified within the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan and of how they were incorporated into the 2016 Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan. Table 64. Goals — 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan Goal Goal Continue Change Delete Maintain FEMA eligibility/position 1 communities for Federal mitigation X funding 2 Improve county capability to reduce X disaster losses. Reduce loss of life, property 3 damages, and economic impacts X from hazards. 4 Increase public awareness of X potential hazard losses. Mitigation Goals are general guidelines that explain what a community wants to achieve with their local hazard mitigation plan . Goals are overarching targets and describe the ideal long-term outcomes envisioned by the community. For the 2016 Plan, Weld County and the local jurisdictions participating in the hazard mitigation plan update identified the following four mitigation goals as the foundation of their local mitigation strategies: • GOAL 1: Reduce loss of life, property damages and economic impacts from disasters • GOAL 2: Improve the County's and local jurisdictions' capabilities to reduce disaster losses • GOAL 3: Increase community resilience through community engagement and preparedness education • GOAL 4: Position Weld County communities to maintain eligibility for FEMA and other federal mitigation funding through active participation in mitigation planning More specific than Goals, Mitigation Objectives are the fundamental strategies prescribed by the Plan to achieve the identified Goals. In other words, Objectives describe the "how" of the mitigation strategy. In the 2016 Plan, Weld County and the local jurisdictions participating in the hazard mitigation plan update identified the following five mitigation objectives: • OBJECTIVE 1: Continue to develop and expand community preparedness education and resilience programs -1 . Michael Baker 203 a cc � ` - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG • OBJECTIVE 2: Enhance training for hazard prevention and mitigation options • OBJECTIVE 3: Incorporate risk reduction principles into policy documents and initiatives as well as other institutional plans • OBJECTIVE 4: Continue to collaborate with area partners through mutual aid agreements and long-term planning efforts • OBJECTIVE 5: Reduce the vulnerability of local assets to the impacts of hazards. In order to maintain continuity within the local mitigation strategy, each mitigation objective is associated with one or more mitigation goals (as is shown in the following table) . This helps communities stay on track during the development of the mitigation strategy and focus their planning efforts around clear priorities. Together, the goals and objectives identified during the Weld County mitigation strategy meeting and refined over the course of the planning process established the scope and focus of the proposed mitigation actions outlined in this Plan. The following table provides a summary of the updated and/or revised mitigation goals for the 2016 Plan. It also outlines the planning objectives identified by the HMPC for each goal and identifies whether the Goal is new to Weld County or was previously identified in the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan. Table 65. 2016 Weld County Mitigation Strategy — Updated Goals and Objectives Goal Objective New 1. Continue to develop and expand community preparedness education and resilience programs. 2. Enhance training for hazard prevention and GOAL 1: Reduce loss of life, mitigation options. property damages and 3. Incorporate risk reduction principles into policy economic impacts from documents and initiatives, as well as other disasters. institutional plans. 4. Continue to collaborate with area partners through mutual aid agreements and long-term planning efforts. 5. Reduce the vulnerability of local assets to the impacts of hazards. 1. Continue to develop and expand community preparedness education and resilience GOAL 2: Improve county's programs. and local jurisdictions' 2. Enhance training for hazard prevention and capabilities to reduce mitigation options. disaster losses. 3. Incorporate risk reduction principles into policy documents and initiatives, as well as other institutional plans. 204 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Goal Objective New 4. Continue to collaborate with area partners through mutual aid agreements and long-term planning efforts. 5. Reduce the vulnerability of local assets to the impacts of hazards. GOAL 3: Increase community 1. Continue to develop and expand community resilience through preparedness education and resilience community engagement programs. and preparedness 2. Enhance training for hazard prevention and education. mitigation options. 1. Continue to develop and expand community preparedness education and resilience programs. GOAL 4: Position Weld 2. Enhance training for hazard prevention and County communities to mitigation options. maintain eligibility for FEMA 3. Incorporate risk reduction principles into policy and other federal mitigation documents and initiatives, as well as other funding, through active institutional plans. participation in mitigation 4. Continue to collaborate with area partners planning. through mutual aid agreements and long-term planning efforts. 5. Reduce the vulnerability of local assets to the impacts of hazards. ? 009 Hazard Mitigation Plan Action Report The Weld County HMPC reviewed the mitigation actions included in the 2004 and 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plans that were specific to Weld County and its local jurisdictions. The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of the documented Weld County mitigation actions. Action status updates for each of the participating jurisdictions are included below in the community profiles Appendix. 205 r ` � • Michael Baker coJN Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG . • WELD COUNTY: Establish an ongoing or annual Public Education campaign regarding Hazards and Emergency Management PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Dam Safety, Seismic Risk, Tornado Safety, Flood Insurance Program and Insurance Coverage LOCATION : Countywide GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2004 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing 1 1 ISSUE: There are many emergency management issues that need to be rein orced with public education so that citizens know what risks they face, what protective actions they can take, and what government programs are in place to assist them . RECOMMENDATION : The potential for saving just one life, and providing time for individuals and businesses to take effective protective actions, outweighs the potential cost of the public education program . Public Education may be the most effective and least-expensive way to reduce disaster losses by changing human behavior to promote appropriate actions ACTION : Establish an ongoing or annual Public Education campaign regarding Hazards and Emergency Management LEAD AGENCY: County Emergency Manager EXPECTED COST: $2,500 for printing and distribution in conjunction with appropriate costs County/Town Departments with municipalities SUPPORT AGENCIES: State/Federal Agencies POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Monitor grants, and seek private partners for cost-share opportunities PROGRESS MILESTONES: An All Hazards Emergency Operations Plan and Crisis Action Guide were completed in the Town of Hudson in November of 2008. Hudson was the pilot community for a grant designed to assist three rural jurisdictions with their emergency preparedness. Kersey and Keenesburg were the other two communities. The project was facilitated by Greg Moser of CISPR and some of his students from the University of Denver. Participation by Town Administration, Hudson's elected officials, Weld County Department heads responsible for responding to a disaster, utility company representatives, and social service agency providers made the exercise extremely valuable. Follow-up presentations with members from our business community, Weld County RE-3J School District, and local residents are ongoing. It was an added bonus to be a part of the strategic planning that took place in Kersey and Keenesburg. The City of Evans added new annexes to the EOP for major snow storm, blizzard, and tornado. The City website was updated with emergency management information, and the establishment of a public information function. The City of Dacono has a monthly newsletter in which messages, warnings and updates are included . The planning team agreed that this should remain a high priority, ongoing project. The Town of Firestone noted that public education is an ongoing effort. Information is being disseminated to the public via the Town website, semi-annual emergency preparedness courses, brochures on preparedness, articles in the bi- monthly Town newsletter, and articles in the local paper. Additionally there is a strong effort in sharing information with the local schools and businesses within Firestone. Since 2009, Weld County OEM and many participating jurisdictions have continued to make public preparedness outreach and education a priority. In 2014, Weld County OEM developed a "preparedness train-the-trainer" curriculum, and invites community members to participate in the tom . 206 Michael Baker co" INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN course. These trainers are equipped to teach preparedness in their communities, health care facilities, assisted living centers, or wherever their sphere of influence might be. Weld County OEM also actively participates in community outreach events, raising awareness about disaster preparedness. This action item will continue to be a priority in 2016. Weld County OEM will develop a new mitigation action focused on studying disaster resilience in communities throughout Weld County in order to better understand how to develop the preparedness program . • WELD COUNTY: Inventory critical facilities within the floodplain to determine if they should be protected. PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Countywide GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2004 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 2009 ISSUE: In floodplains there is a known risk. Not having critical facilities protected against such risks can severely handicap a community's ability to respond and recover from a flood. Potential losses should be estimated for the failure of each critical facility. Then a cost estimate should be calculated for the favored method of protection . Then a benefit-cost comparison will indicate whether or not the facility is worth protecting. RECOMMENDATION: The potential for saving just one life, and providing time for individuals and businesses to take effective protective actions, outweighs the potential cost of the public education program . Public Education may be the most effective and least-expensive way to reduce disaster losses by changing human behavior to promote appropriate actions ACTION : Each incorporated community with a mapped floodplain should inventory critical facilities within the floodplain to determine if they should be protected . Facilities would include power substations, water sources such as wellheads, sewage treatment facilities, police and fire stations, hospitals, and nursing homes. LEAD AGENCY: County Emergency Manager EXPECTED COST: Staff time only for initial inventory in conjunction with appropriate and discussion of protection methods, and cost- County/Town Departments. Technical benefit analysis Assistance is available from state agencies if help in making these determinations is needed SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: There is not cost for the initial inventory and decision-making. Protective measures should be taken where cost-effective. PROGRESS MILESTONES: This project was completed as part of the 2009 update to this plan. Critical facilities that are at risk from flooding are shown in Tables 8 and 9 and on the maps in Figures 2 and 3. The Town of Hudson has learned through the review of existing flood plain maps that the Town limits were not affected by an existing flood plain . However, recent land annexations may have one property within a flood plain, but there is no anticipated development of that area at this time. The Town's new Waste Water Treatment Plant being built in the vicinity on the annexed property is being built above the flood plain. The City of Evans has no critical facilities in the floodplain. The City of ;sue I 207 Michael Baker co INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Dacono has a mapped floodplain. Frederick still wants to do a detailed inventory. The floodplain analysis should be updated with DFIRM mapping when that becomes available. No further work is required on this action item, as it was completed in 2009. WELD COUNTY: Develop Pawnee Buttes sub-area land use plan PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 2 years (2009- 2010) ISSUE: Weld County anticipates a planning process for the northeast part of the County that would establish goals and policies unique to the area. This could be tied into the community wildfire protection plan. RECOMMENDATION : Wildfires, extreme temperatures, and wind/dust storms can be mitigated, avoiding loss of livestock and productive land/soil. ACTION : Develop Pawnee Buttes sub-area land use plan LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Planning EXPECTED COST: $20,000 (time and materials). Services. SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: In house funding; possible DOLA. 1 PROGRESS MILESTONES: This action was not pursued by Weld County. It was anticipated as a possibility related to the Community Wildfire Protection Plan (CWPP), which was also not pursued. Weld County has elected to prepare an Annual Operating Plan instead. WELD COUNTY: Develop Wildland Fire Protection Plan PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Wildland Fire LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Completion by December 201' ISSUE: Over the last three years Weld County has had several Wildland fires in the South and Eastern part of the county. In July 2009 Gov. Ritter signed into law SB09-001 The establishment of Community Wildfire Protection Plans (CWPP). This law requires each county to develop a CWPP. RECOMMENDATION : Identification of Wildfire prone areas, Development of Mitigation programs ACTION : Wildland Fire Protection Plan LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM EXPECTED COST: Staff Time, Printing $2,000.00 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Grants and County Budget 208 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County OEM, after discussion with the Weld County Sheriff's Office, elected not to pursue this mitigation action . Weld County is not an EFF county, and SB09-001 requires EFF counties to have a CWPP. For wildfire planning purposes, Weld County works with our fire departments, fire protection districts and the Colorado Division of Fire Safety to prepare an annual operating plan (AOP) for wildfire each year. WELD COUNTY: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NAP the County will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: l PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County is not participating in the CRS program. However, we are a member of NFIP and Weld County adopted the model ordinance in January of 2014, as required by the State of Colorado. The County enforces floodplain regulations as outlined in Article XI of Chapter 23 of the Weld County Code, in accordance with FEMA's requirements. Weld County: Detailed Floodplain Mapping PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Completed ISSUE: Many of the floodplains located in Weld County are mappe . as Zone A. To better protect residents, it would be beneficial to have the mapping update to include BFEs and floodways. There are also many floodplains that are not accurately mapped or that have known issues with their accuracy. The FIRMs don't always show what the floodplains are when compared with HAZUS. The County Public Works has some of the unfinished floodplain mapping for flashflood prone small drainages. Most floodplains in Weld County are in the A zone with no BFEs determined and several floodplains are only partially mapped. The partially mapped floodplains include Crow Creek, Lone Tree Creek, Owl Creek, Coalbank Creek, and various tributaries of Crow Creek. Many of the floodplains are mapped at the lower end and the upper end with no mapping in between. As a result flood risk is unknown; there is no floodplain mapping to provide guidance for developers and others that build close to flashflood creeks. The floodplain mapping should be completed to 209 !, Michael Baker co , , y ,' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN connect the upper and lower stream reaches so that the appropriate building/development requirements can be enforced. Additionally, many of the Zone A floodplains could be mapped in more detail to provide a floodway and Base Flood Elevations. Those floodplains include the lower portion of Lone Tree Creek, Box Elder Creek, St. Vrain Creek, Big Thompson River, and the South Platte River. All of these floodplains are in areas that have experienced significant growth over the past several years. Because of the approximate nature of the floodplain mapping, the mapped floodplain is known to be at least partially incorrectly delineated. The floodplains should be mapped in more detail so that the appropriate building/development requirements can be enforced. While the risk to residents is not changed by more detailed floodplain mapping, future risk can be mitigated by providing information on safe places and methods to build . UPDATE: The County is moving forward with the required adoption of the DFIRM 's, which will go into effect in January 2016. During the DFIRM process, the County was successful in identifying several areas in the County that took people out of the floodplain. Conversely, however, the DFIRM 's also brought some folks into the floodplain. The DFIRM 's will become the new effective rate maps in 2016 and will be sufficient. With that said, the County does not have any interest in spending tax dollars to identify areas of the County that are not mapped or have approximate A zones. Any changes to the floodplain will be done by private property owners, developers or state and federal agencies. No further action is required for the 2016 HMP with respect to floodplain mapping ACTION : The County will be able to use floodplain regulations and building codes to ensure that people and property are relatively safe from flooding. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Plannin :, EXPECTED COST: Unknown . The cost is likely to be Department/ Flood Plain Management. high . SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: CWCB grants, FEMA grants. Will likely need cooperation/funding with other municipalities. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County: ALERT Flood warning System a PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Unknown ISSUE: ALERT systems provide up to the minute weather data, including precipitation and stream flow/water level data . An ALERT system can provide data much more timely that the NWS. Known flood prone areas can be targeted so that real-time notification can happen . There is the potential to piggyback on existing systems that are already located along the Front Range. The implementation of a County wide real-time early warning system would reduce the potential for loss of life due to flooding. The warning system should consist of real-time ALERT stream gages, rain gages, and weather stations. The data can be used by the NWS to help provide more accurate and timely weather forecasts and warnings. Many other cities, counties, and jurisdictions along the sue 210 Michael Baker cc _\ ` ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Front Range have implemented the ALERT warning system and have successfully used the real-time data to provide warnings to affected residents in a timely manner. RECOMMENDATION : The County can provide more accurate information and give citizen's greater warning that an event may be happening. Greater warning ensures greater life safety. ACTION : ALERT Flood warning System LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Publ': EXPECTED COST: $200,000.00 Works/OEM SUPPORT AGENCIES: Colorado Division o POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: CWCB and FEMA Water Resource and USGS grants, affected municipalities that partner with Weld County. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County: Public Warning System PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10. 12. 15 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10.31.2018 ISSUE: Weld County needs to add additional warning sirens to the warning system in Weld County. Currently there are 11 communities that have sirens in Weld County. The focus of this action is to add sirens to unincorporated subdivisions in Weld County RECOMMENDATION : Weld County has a high number of tornado warnings each year, Weld County in coordination local communities obtained a grant for sirens in each community after the tornado in 2008. Some of the areas not covered are the unincorporated subdivisions in the county, adding sirens to Briggsdale, Roggan, Galeton, Aristocrat Acers and Carr will help with early warning for citizens that live in these areas. Weld County Communication has the ability to launch all sirens in a warned area and these additional sirens would be included in our current network. ACTION : Public Warning System LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Emergency EXPECTED COST: $25,000.00 for each siren system Management SUPPORT AGENCIES: Buildings and Grounds POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Grant funding PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County: Storm Ready PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Storms LOCATION : Weld County-wide GOALS ADDRESSED: 2,3, RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Two classes held in the spring March-May, annually ISSUE : One of the goals for the Northeast region is to have all 11 counties participate in Storm Ready. Weld County has been a participant in the past, and the intent is to maintain Storm Ready status. -2861 ar- 211 Michael Baker cc _\ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : As a Storm Ready County, we hold several Weather Spotter Classes. These classes are taught by NOAA and participants can become a spotter and report information to NOAA or the WCRCC. ACTION : Apply and maintain 'Storm Ready" status with • A a . LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM in EXPECTED COST: Staff Time and funds for meeting for conjunction with appropriate County/Town drinks and goodies. This will come from the OEM Departments with municipalities. budget SUPPORT AGENCIES: Sheriff's Office, Weld POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget and County Regional Communications, Public local business sponsor's Works. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County: Improve Dam Safety PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Dam Failure/Flooding LOCATION : Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: B, D TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Annual updates and reviews ISSUE: Weld County has 28 dams, 6 are class 1. Hazard. Several other dams in Boulder and Larimer counties are class 1 and have a direct effect on planning for Weld County. RECOMMENDATION : Continue to maintain emergency response plans for the dams in Weld County, Work with the Division of Water Resource to update all documentation and coordinate with Dam owners for planning and preparedness. Participate with the Division of Water Resource and the Bureau of Reclamation on Dan Safety Exercises and planning. ACTION : Improve Dam Safety LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM, EXPECTED COST: Staff Time Coordinated with the Division of Water Resource SUPPORT AGENCIES: Planning Department / POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget Flood Plain Manager PROGRESS MILESTONES: 6 .4 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan Action Report The final, and arguably the most important step in updating the Mitigation Strategy was the creation of new Mitigation Actions. In preparing their Mitigation Actions, the County and each participating jurisdiction considered the planning goals and their individual hazard risks, priorities, and capabilities to mitigate identified hazards. The actions below represent the key outcome of the mitigation planning process. • 212 +,►' �` ' Michael Baker cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , As detailed above, members of the HMPC referred to STAPLEE to assist with the prioritization of their actions. All actions are tied to specific goals and objectives to ensure alignment with the Plan's overall mitigation strategy. The following Mitigation Action Guides describe the newly identified mitigation actions for Weld County. The 2016 actions for each of the participating jurisdictions are included in the community profiles. Weld County: County Resiliency Study PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Drought, Earthquake, Land Subsidence, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health, Hazmat LOCATION : County Wide GOALS ADDRESSED: 3, 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/13/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, D TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 10/31/2020 ISSUE: Traditional preparedness education has not been measured, and as a result, we don't have a good understanding of their effectiveness. Weld County wants to better understand the vulnerability and capability of the people in our communities, and work toward building resilience to disaster, with a "whole community" approach to preparedness outreach and education . RECOMMENDATION : Weld County would like to pursue a resiliency study over the next three to four years. The goal would be to better understand each community's resilience (social vulnerability, capabilities and social capital) and then build upon the existing preparedness education program to target the areas that will make communities more resilient. The program would include a tool for measuring results annually, and evaluating the effectiveness of preparedness outreach . ACTION : Conduct a resiliency study LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM EXPECTED COST: OEM staff time, contractor costs $ 100,000. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Community Emergency POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: CDBG, HMGP grants; Managers and First Responder Agencies private grant or Weld County government special project funding (if available) . PROGRESS MILESTONES: Weld County: Load-limited Bridge Replacement PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Six locations GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10. 12.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E, D TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10. 12.2018 ISSUE: Weld County has six load-limited bridges, four of which are rated as "structurally deficient." The bridges were constructed between 1957 and 1978. There is a potential danger to motorists y`»w86 _rte 1 s� r Michael Baker 213 1 cc "Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN crossing the bridges, especially for trucks over the posted weight limits. These bridges are also more likely to fail in storm events, which would lead to road closures. RECOMMENDATION : Weld County Public Works will replace the bridges as funding becomes available. ACTION : Replace all six bridges. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Public Works EXPECTED COST: Each bridge costs approximately $400,000 to replace, plus staff time, if design is done in-house. CDOT grants typically cover 80% of the construction cost. SUPPORT AGENCIES: None POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: annual budget, FHWA/ CDOT grant funding . PROGRESS MILESTONES: Two of the bridges are currently contracted for replacement. Another will be replaced by Public Works staff early in 2016. Below is an image of Bridge 26-25A Ilimmormoi rr - -maiwint_____.iimisika 10,r7-.., r t - --i-AF- --‘ ,. firt :Cra*11 r . se Weld County: County Road 49 Interchanges PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather, Hazmat LOCATION : Intersections of 49 and 22, 30, 54 GOALS ADDRESSED: 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10. 12.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10. 12.2025 ISSUE: In the event of an evacuation event, state highways will be congested to the point of stand- still. Once widening of County Road 49 is completed at the end of 2017, it will function as a north- south alternative to 1-25 and US 85 and draw development to the area, but the road may not be able to handle the influx of traffic during such an evacuation event. To keep traffic on 49 flowing, no new traffic signals are planned at intersections. The County is exploring constructing grade-separated interchanges at major intersections. _sue C. I 214 _ Michael Baker a cc - ` - 7, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : Since constructing interchanges is a long-term project, the County should consider obtaining cost estimates and traffic studies, and incrementally obtain necessary right-of-way and designs. ACTION : Improvements include constructing grade-separated interchanges. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Public Works EXPECTED COST: Costs are unknown at this time. SUPPORT AGENCIES: CDOT POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: annual budget, FHWA/ CDOT PROGRESS MILESTONES: None at this time. Weld County: Drainage Improvements Near Parkway PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding IMM LOCATION : Weld County Parkway GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10. 12.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 10. 12.2018 ISSUE : The new Weld County Parkway crosses through an area hit hard by the 2013 flood at the confluence of the South Platte and Cache la Poudre Rivers. The County is hiring a consultant to help study the drainage in the area and produce a project list for improvements that would help protect people and property in the area from future floods and ensure the road stays open to travel . RECOMMENDATION : Once the study is complete, it should be implemented as funding becomes available. ACTION : Exact actions required are unknown at this time but will likely entail purchasing land and constructing drainageways and detention ponds. Designs will need to be completed beyond the conceptual designs that will be provided in the study. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Public Works EXPECTED COST: Implementation costs are unknown at this time. SUPPORT AGENCIES: US Army Corps of POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: annual budget, Engineers possible grant funding PROGRESS MILESTONES: The study is expected to be completed in June, 2016. `;. -1861 . . 215 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Parkway Bridge over Cache la Poudre River Weld County: Railroad Crossing Improvements PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather, Hazmat LOCATION : Numerous locations GOALS ADDRESSED: 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10.12.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10. 12.2018 ISSUE: In the case of an accident involving a train, the train could block railroad crossings on county roads for an extended period of time, blocking evacuation routes and emergency response vehicles. Many crossings have only a stop sign at the crossing. Many crossings are close to highway/county road intersections where traffic stopped at the intersection often stops on the railroad tracks. RECOMMENDATION : Weld County Public Works will prioritize necessary improvements at railroad crossings, with the help of support agencies. The plan will be reviewed by Public Works and the BOCC to identify projects supported by annual budgets and projects eligible for grant funding. The County should consider adopting a recommended minimum distance between grade-separated railroad crossings and work to meet that goal . ACTION : Improvements include constructing grade-separated railroad crossings, crossing gates, bells, and signals, road improvements to access the next nearest crossing, and installing additional signage at crossings to warn motorists of the dangers of trains. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Public Works EXPECTED COST: Each grade-separated crossing would likely cost at least $10 million. Lower cost projects may include crossing gates, bells, and signals, which may require extension of electricity to the crossing, road improvements, and additional signage. SUPPORT AGENCIES: CDOT, PUC, railroads, POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: annual budget, OEM, Sheriff's Office and other emergency FHWA/ CDOT, railroads response agencies near railroads 128 216 If 7j r� = zt Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: The County has begun discussing options for some crossings of concern along the Union Pacific line that runs parallel to US Highway 85 with CDOT and will begin discussions with UP soon. Crossings of other railroad lines need to be examined as well . _ .f S • w' Y Ai y. Union Pacific Railroad crossing on Weld County Road 86 at US 85 Weld County: River Channel Clearing PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Numerous bridge locations GOALS ADDRESSED: 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10. 12.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 10. 12.2018 ISSUE : Sand, rocks, and debris naturally build up on river banks near bridges, but can restrict the flow and cause the river to overtop the bridge, road, and surrounding property during storms. To prevent this, the river banks should be cleared upstream and downstream of bridges for approximately 500 feet. RECOMMENDATION : Weld County Public Works will put together a list of bridges where the buildup is a concern and prioritize the list. The plan will be reviewed by Public Works and the BOCC to identify projects supported by annual budgets and projects eligible for grant funding. ACTION : Improvements include removal of sand and debris where necessary. River channels would not be affected . LEAD AGENCY: Weld County Public Works EXPECTED COST: Each project is approximately $250,000 and there are approximately 15 projects. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Permits are required POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: annual budget, DOLA through the US Army Corps of Engineers. EIAF grants, HMGP I 217 Michael Baker cc''�` �' `�' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: None at this time. upugumpupopongniimir-7- „, • • -4 1861 N Z 218 1, TA r = l' Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 7 Plan Implementation and Maintenance Having a plan for monitoring, evaluating, and updating Weld County's mitigation strategy is critical to maintaining its value and success. Ensuring effective implementation of mitigation activities paves the way for continued momentum in the planning process and gives direction for the future. This section explains who will be responsible for maintenance activities and what those responsibilities entail . It also provides a methodology and schedule of maintenance activities including a description of how the public will be involved on a continual basis. This Chapter discusses how the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Strategy will be implemented and how the overall Hazard Mitigation Plan will be evaluated and enhanced over time. This section also discusses how the public and participating stakeholders will continue to be involved in the hazard mitigation planning process. This chapter consists of the following subsections: • IMPLEMENTATION ACTION PLAN • PLAN INTEGRATION, EXISTING CAPABILITIES AND RESOURCES • FUTURE PLAN EVALUATION, MONITORING, UPDATING 7 . 1 Implementation Action Plan The 2016 planning process was overseen by the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, in coordination with other County departments. The Weld County Board of Commissioners has authorized the submission of this Plan to both the Colorado Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Management (DHSEM ) and the Federal Emergency Management Agency ( FEMA) for their respective reviews and subsequent approvals. Upon state and federal approval, the Weld County Board of Commissioners will act to formally adopt this Plan . 7. 1 . 1 Plan Integration, Existing Capabilities and Resources Weld County maintains a comprehensive set of emergency management plans, developed in a multi- disciplinary environment where county departments, jurisdictional agencies and representatives, non- profit and community organizations, and the private sector are included in the planning process. This set of plans encompass all phases of emergency management and the work done on the 2016 Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan will be integrated into these efforts moving forward . The 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan ( HMP), and especially the hazard and risk assessment within it, was used to inform the Local Emergency Operations Plan ( LEOP) and the Recovery Plan ( RP). For example, the highest risk hazards and highest priority actions identified in the HMP influence coordinated planning for response in the LEOP. In addition, the social vulnerability analysis from the HMP will directly impact plans for recovery in the RP in terms of resource prioritization and public outreach strategies. Additionally, when the LEOP and RP are activated, there will be an opportunity to identify mitigation actions and capability gaps that may be addressed in the HMP. By integrating the HMP with the County's comprehensive set of emergency management plans, a strong foundation for resilience has been set through smart emergency preparedness, mitigation, response and recovery, before, during and after an emergency or disaster event. 219 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG A , The capability assessment examines the ability of Weld County to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the County are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines Weld County's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X In Weld County, grant writing is left to each department. If subject matter experts are needed then the Department Head coordinates that issue. Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the County's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No (N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) Y An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan In process Participates in the NFIP Y The Weld County COOP was currently under review by the BOCC during the development of the 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan. Adoption of the COOP is expected before the end of 2015. Additionally, the County's Long Term Recovery plan is under development (as of October 2015) . Michael Baker 220 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 7 . 1 . 2 Plan Maintenance and Implementation Weld County has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the County will continue to encourage public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "Weld County will actively maintain the hazard mitigation plan by coordinating a review of all mitigation actions annually, and will determine needed updates at the January Multi-Agency Coordinating Group meeting each year. " "Weld County OEM staff will meet with participating jurisdictions that are not able to attend the meeting either in person or by phone to facilitate a complete Weld County update. Weld County OEM will also present the plan to the Weld County Commissioners annually for approval. " At a minimum, annual mitigation-specific public outreach and engagement activities (e. g. town hall meetings, information booths at community events, social media campaigns, etc.) will be spearheaded by the County to facilitate continued public participation in the plan maintenance process over time. Weld County will actively maintain the hazard mitigation plan by coordinating an annual review of all mitigation actions included in the 2016 Mitigation Strategy. The County will facilitate the mitigation action check-in process with each participating community at the January Multi-Agency Coordinating Group meeting each year. Weld County OEM staff will meet with participating jurisdictions that are not able to attend the meeting either in person or by phone to facilitate a complete update. Weld County OEM will also present the plan to the Weld County Commissioners annually for approval . Each participating jurisdiction has identified a process through which it will evaluate, maintain, and update their local mitigation actions. Details about their processes are included in the Community Profiles section of the plan. The 2016 Plan will be updated by the FEMA approved five year anniversary date, as required by the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000, or following a disaster event. Future plan updates will account for any new hazard vulnerabilities, special circumstances, or new information that becomes available. During the five-year review process, the following questions will be considered as criteria for assessing the effectiveness of the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan . • Has the nature or magnitude of hazards affecting the County changed ? • Are there new hazards that have the potential to impact the County? • Do the identified goals and actions address current and expected conditions? • Have mitigation actions been implemented or completed ? • Has the implementation of identified mitigation actions resulted in expected outcomes? • Are current resources adequate to implement the plan? • Should additional local resources be committed to address identified hazards? I221 Michael Baker cc _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIG Issues that arise during monitoring and evaluation which require changes to the local hazard, risk and vulnerability summary, mitigation strategy, and other components of the plan will be incorporated during future updates. 7 . 1 . 3 Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by Weld County based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Table 66. Processes for Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Other Planning Mechanisms Jurisdiction Strategy "Weld County maintains a comprehensive set of emergency management plans, developed in a multi-disciplinary environment where county departments, jurisdictional agencies and representatives, non-profit and community organizations, and the private sector are included in the planning process. This set of plans encompass all phases of emergency management. The Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP), and especially the hazard and risk assessment within it, informs the Local Emergency Operations Plan (LEOP) and Weld County the Recovery Plan (RP, currently in draft form). For example, the highest risk hazards and highest priority actions identified in the HMP influence coordinated planning for response in the LEOP. In addition, the social vulnerability analysis in the HMP will directly impact plans for recovery in the RP. Likewise, When the LEOP and RP are activated, there is an opportunity to identify mitigation actions and capability gaps that may be addressed in the HMP. Together, the comprehensive set of emergency management plans provide Weld County's foundation for emergency preparedness, mitigation, response and recovery, before, during and after an emergency or disaster event. " 222 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Appendix A — Meeting Agendas & Sign - In Sheets 223 1 Tij �''� Michael Baker cc , " ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker WeMukeuDifference INTERNATIONAL V ; P r xi ` 1i r 1 EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Kickoff Meeting Where and When? Weld County Administration, 1150 O Street, Greeley on May 19, 2015 - OR - Weld County Southwest Services Building, 4209 WCR 24 'x4 on May 21, 2015 Both meetings are from 6:00 - 7:30 p.m. Who should attend? Official representatives from all jurisdictions participating in the Hazard Mitigation Plan and representatives from stakeholder groups. FEMA requires parti cipation for continuing eligjbility for disaster and mitigation funding. Agenda: 1. Welcome and Introductions 2. Hazard Mitigation Planning Overview 3. Jurisdictional Participation Requirements 4. Planning Process / Project Schedule 5. Hazards to Profile 6. 5-year Plan Review Exercise (will collect input at meeting and through a follow-up online survey) 7. Briefly Review Current Mitigation Strategy & Actions Post-MeetingAction Items: 1. Participating jurisdictions to submit Participation Letter (if not already done). 2. Participating jurisdictions to review the existing Plan's mitigation strategy and prepare to provide any comments and changes during the next planningteam meeting. 3. Participating jurisdictions to review the existing Plan's mitigation actions (projects) specificto that jurisdiction and prepare to provide status reports during the next planningteam meeting. 165 South Union Blvd,Su rte 2001 Lakewood.C0Frixe MBAKERINTLC0M Office:720.5141103I Fax:720479.3157 224 v `A c ' r ik ' Michael Baker ;kGOJwT INTERNATIONAL ;;.ct EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD C( ►UN� - 20°1'6 ,K1 7LTUU..I SDI ON AL;1-1i4ZARD MITI PLAN: Michael Baker We Make a Difference INTERNATIONAL ,J q ►J'I { C N TILLVirt •• J EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Ip1 I Kickoff Meeting Sign-In Sheet 5 _ - , `J Name Organization Email or Phone F � \ibPCYl Toia't. E - ; 1 (,, k4,4 ��yb��tscr•aC M1 � �� ire, 4.nv� 01a--1-cc ((t.t0w/' , . 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HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make a Difference ference INTERNATIONAL -- a-- 710 t 1'r� /;:------N - Y EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Kickoff Meeting Sign-In Sheet — iei _ ; c Name Organization Email or Phone �t �,p.'� 1rC-71 4/?i' IC CA M Lg./IA/L.A. e •'l" kE•1 , _erg i 0 \ ZI 21 CI &4 i ( 146 [ A 0 - (ic r r a c\ i ; 1 i 6) (-) el ficfclifirci i1\\/ ° -\1 ) k r \rJ\ r1 C1 SO/ \„ 1/4A , c, f w i n a ro r e c. ./ . r te • d ` (Cluj 0\ cr Lu ,li(;"I y VA-A l\ Ciik .t ,1 `te V 1U OCCV :CO" J u ) 11i ll« Ea I:, C. 1 ). 4 r'I---i ', lie ( @ fit 11 . :KJ2 .c_& .. us 14 S -s /r +:A )1 ' l � Lf')�n ants i ' eL1 di+, Ere 4) rwi / k? 3h€ ,,, ICO/i4 Jerry WilliamsciisyaZ.AO/5er• 4' jet tl1, )/,;-. 34S3,1 •riI- . nn1 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood,CO 80228 MBA K ER IN T L.C 0 M Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.479.3157 i 226 I _A l ` Michael Baker - �11. rr ` :)71•• INTERNATIONAL Fir t �e' . 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O %No-A ce* - . ei , en 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood,CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.COM Office:720.514.»001 Fax:720.479.3157 i _ I 227 li _! " r P Michael Baker L--, , _.ou t • INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL.. HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make o Difference ference INTERNATIONAL Icr EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Kickoff Meeting Sign-In Sheet S y i / , ; 5 Name Organization Email or Phone 6YGl. O CXGr� Fif- o 3o3 qCl - core re,.210, ‘29l2'I 4436//if fp ss&5- )N- ? z ? 4 "PD bc1vE iccEfh PREPICE - NTTkestome 303 -- e33 aa7 (1 z doll >@- ^, m N•/:1Qt r.6 t r£)? 'i /owl() o-1 /l 1cir � 970 c Z5- e--/ 7 Jnac 16: (-ICAO% vjVVtsfi O. 1�'a z;p\wcc, PNkiKt, 6y CA-C-23Lp 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 200 I Lakewood,CO 80228 M BAK K ER I N T L.C O M Office:720.514.1100 l Fax:720.479.3157 I 228 = " � Michael Baker � _ - INTERNATIONAL F4' ' EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make a Difference INTERNATIONAL "T; 41, r , EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Mitigation Strategy and Risk Assessment Review Where and When? Weld County Administration (Emergency Operations Center), 1150O Street, Greeley Meetings is from 3:00— 5:00 p.m. on August 26, 2015 Who should attend? Official representatives from all jurisdictions and districts participating in the Hazard Mitigation Plan and representatives from other organizations and stakeholder groups. FEMA requires participation for continuing eligibility for disaster and mitigation funding. Agenda: 1. Welcome and Introductions 2. Jurisdictional Participation Requirements 3. Review of 5-Year Plan Review & Risk Factor survey results 4. Review of on-going public survey results 5. Presentation of Risk Assessment Results & Webmap 6. Define the updated Mitigation Strategy's Goals & Objectives 7. Review any status updates for 2009 Mitigation Actions 8. Planning Process / Project Schedule 9. Jurisdictional meetings/outreach tracking 10. Bi-county jurisdiction clarification Post-Meeting Action Items: 1. Participating jurisdictions to submit Participation Letter (if not already done). 2. Participating jurisdictions to review the 2009 Plan's mitigation actions/projects and provide progress updates. 3. Participating jurisdictions to begin drafting new Mitigation Action Guides for 2016 Plan. 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 200 I Lakewood,CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.00M KE R I N TL.C 0 M Offiice:720.514.11 oo I F ax:720.479.3157 229 a ° ! Z, '' Michael Baker cc ` Y INTERNATIONAL •JW' J, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL.. HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make a Difference INTERNATIONAL "•L j1. S- .:-1 -.r ) IrnJ; COL- NT ‘' I A;lc ik EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #2 Sign-In Sheet Name Organization Email or Phone /2s-, 4,0,1 £pj(61 .atord:/ TON.) 1 T H q &.-3 (AC- jLj1L p Aochece . cc) /00 faun. o/\) 12>P4.0(4), J Sete/4., ZG c_ /JO,_,'la n/ &o sei oi( e 1/4 ha, co, 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 200 I Lakewood,CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.COM Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.479.3157 - _ 230 I a� = Michael Baker ) , rr 0 t_ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PIAN:. Michael Baker We Make a Difference ference INTERNATIONAL -+.ti _ if --- ` o <:---:;:,t 1J/ \ 1 ..A\-11 r I - �r j Y CC \o/r: —(1—; r--Th EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #2 Sign-In Sheet Name Organization Email or Phone ::Hc:; 44L3 ha-Abovq,e a c, . ov ne 72•\-R-5J AND 72 cZ 'Ck 97J - fz S7o/ ('7k ( i q c'I , V `ddb WW1 e( ('4eot imp et 1 04-twit Pitt ra otir o \ ,, .AfJX r ,. ) I •-1 (Is . 'r" V tAA ) 4r ® w 1'\ck50/ a •v COe-, ) Ok-mn M % Ch •\-t15 U 1 1c1Sue 1 ...1 • CIN... e isa � ilaisc> r _ J . C`rti QC\) Z/Lat S - I 1 11)c ' A O E KA ("C k.c.\ :S A k & Gl ct f 7, CG�►t z ,w et 7 ,- azies_t t•(2 e4?-4,,yt/1 , f0c, Uro, 01411\k\f I oaf\ DC- Keentosbuit K rcy,1 eir k eel ebb.nef- n , ice i 1 P (- c. (Jilt &ton/ sitic ieeM vyty -tonw.cyv t 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood,CO 80228 M B A K E R I N T L.C O M Office:720.514.1100 l Fax:720.479.3157 ,d 1` ,ma��yy-_ - I231 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD M.ITIGATIO.N. PLAN Michael Baker We Make a Difference ference INTERNATIONAL - N \--c,,,,,., .b .1.- = . I. I ) "I�- 4 .l V r NTY Y v J EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #2 Sign-In Sheet Name Organization Email or Phone 1.'c ' `tom.2. /(A,vrl or- -e5ai& )0 41 etryLcvlam) /41c.4414 Hq4h kith- id Ccfr J,. fr pi/1 ,.2 tiiVQ (•d V✓Q a (d. di . c5CH/V H ye1 TQuo vt Pi . 11 14 1 sh ybe &bra 04 l l :Pen co, 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood,CO 80228 M BA K E R I N T L.C O M Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.479.3157 'x-.1).861 232 q _j ry = Michael Baker ° ' ', 40:i Nt_ INTERNATIONAL t_ _' EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make a Difference INTERNATIONAL • EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 3rd and Final HMPC Workshops Where and When? Weld County Administration (Fort Lupton Training Room), 1150 O Street, Greeley on October 7th, 2015 - OR - Fort Lupton Fire Training Center, 2999 9th Street, Fort Lupton, CO 80621 on October 8th, 2015 Both meetings are from 3:00 - 5:00 p.m. Who should attend? Official representatives from all jurisdictions formally adopting the Hazard Mitigation Plan and representatives from stakeholder groups. FEMA requires participation for continuing eligibility for disaster and mitigation funding. Agenda: 1. Welcome and Introductions 2. Jurisdictional Participation — Formal Adoptees 3. Planning Process / Project Schedule 4. HMPC Survey #3 Results — Plan Maintenance and Implementation 5. Mitigation Action Guide (MAG) Working Session a. 2004 & 2009 Action Reporting b. 2016 Action Finalization c. CRS Discussion d. Existing Community Plan Review 6. Action Prioritization Exercise Post-Meeting Action Items: 1. Participating jurisdictions to submit Participation Letter (if not already done). 2. Participating jurisdictions to deliver final 2004 & 2009 MAGs for incorporation into the update 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan 3. Participating jurisdictions to deliver final 2016 MAGs for incorporation into the update 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan 4. Comments on Draft Plan which will be posted soon for public and HMPC review. 165 South Union Blvd..Suite 2001 Lakewood.CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.00M Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.479.3157 I861 .'`. 233 d �! r ' A, • Michael Baker coJv � �� ,' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Michael Baker We Make a Difference ference INTERNATIONAL n .' _ \,\it e , = _) ) 1 �J; A ✓i l �� . N T Y > Sri . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #3 Sign-In Sheet , o / --i ( 15. 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EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make o Difference ference INTERNATIONAL 86� oUNTY. —i I EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #3 Sign-In Sheet , „ I --' / 15 Name Organization Email or Phone 92,a - O'C6- 1 `13 ? .�o }anti wok ► cfritriFIiys lU ki; i1i, Se)it Gr114E SC2w Jsaitccov, Car, 165 South Union Blvd.Suite 200 l Lakewood,CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.COM Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.479.3157 • 235 r Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD cowl 201'6 ,muuswUR1SmnoNA HAzARD m'1TIGATION PLA Michael Baker We Make a Difference ference INTERNATIONAL 1161 A \\ \117A-CVIA13 18) iii COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #3 Sign-In Sheet ° � 0Il i Name Organization Email or Phone }p14 �► A 11-4-5ttAA IMI(R- 5 gam - 449 - 82- 60 6AvE(.DA ka,4v,-2a . GaveQolOe 4 . co . u5 blro- 303-73 •y,t81 0111ftlial10(MA 0 C U IrJ Kg ehesbu rgC�er K tv >r Febb•he f k rart,gP Wad lc' f l 'fcT• r & stic1 d&cve d arc I ./Orate • uS I�C ;ow\ Scoff F' rrsone P sco ?r € P rests c co .yov . owl.) of '— Fil t j2 (0 ectiE cD . eV. I�.a-,,) S ,r 1-4- Tbw a- O SteN3 3 iS3 6 - 93 giNa TcA4 elAs4 r s1/2-#.44, Q_eft4414 eh Oise D4vPO f f vOs0, - f-Jvaso .e ez.AL Ot'7 3 03-- - o/(1/ 10 ` CirelPeArif thg- L F, 3c3-es7- 4g o � 74. - C eua. GO(o +a.S o . yo u- Qave._ gal(r\- e ; � a-9 Cvct 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood, CO 80228 M BAK E R IN T L.CO M Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.4793157 411`` NN-_ 236 _ r Michael Baker • INTERNATIONAL cry . . : .^ EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-J,iURISDICTIONA . HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN:. Michael Baker We Make a Difference INTERNATIONAL , f • i v ' 0UNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #3 Sign-In Sheet o tl 5 / 15. Name Organization Email or 6 Phone ' / _ 1 /^ cloy 4,2/ l�'i1' -8�+�•/ /.044/41 o FCte4a 7„o xi ® /LGAtF5 e Po ,✓c!% Coli era , LOPio�✓ 4t // a'o . o /I � -� C : // , , R dose 111'4 `f o V `ludvts O ; Sjr 465 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood,CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.COM Office:720514.1100(Fax:720.479.3157 237 71 r ;4 Michael Baker � �- INTERNATIONAL jam^ EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL.. HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Michael Baker We Make a Difference ference INTERNATIONAL c;---,74___„,„ l 1`��,I�///^JI r ' couNTY i b ` EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Weld County 2016 Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Meeting #3 Sign-In Sheet , •-� �/ I Name Organization Email or Phone J eo as t c(L - Ft&esic J F D, n 1 t+t cce-A1-, Cae Prat-eat o bast- a Pc-tare-HA Q Fero 'us 2 ,Pi?J ≤øas oio P. b. Ntsa6c,se_cirt/oF o ,6. 0 M gc7 tire /7 e71 C'oe,t W 7/ a. cam 165 South Union Blvd.,Suite 2001 Lakewood,CO 80228 MBAKERINTL.COM Office:720.514.11001 Fax:720.479.3157 -44‘. ai� 86y t I238 _ r p Michael Baker tf;, _•;oJN -7; INTERNATIONAL thjslK$y EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN f „ Appendix B — Community Profiles 239 of = �'' '`, Michael Baker r; l� cc'sNT INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Community Profiles The following Community Profiles were produced to provide additional, specific information that is unique to each participating jurisdiction included in this Hazard Mitigation Plan . 240 I Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of Ault "Ault will be a vibrant, safe, friendly, attractive small town with thriving businesses, well-tended neighborhoods, excellent parks, good schools and opportunities for everyone. It will be a model for social, economic and environmental sustainability." — Town of Ault Comprehensive Plan Community Profile Ault is located on the intersection of Hwy 85 and Hwy 14, and is well-known for its antique shops, Fall Festival, and International Food Fest. It is also known as the "Gateway to the Pawnee Grasslands." Today, Ault is an important crossroads for transporting goods and services but is no longer heavily reliant on its agricultural roots. Instead, the town has developed a variety of businesses and services such as banking, insurance, retail, and the Highland School District headquarters amongst many others. In recent years, Ault has transformed into a bedroom community for residents working in Cheyenne, Fort Collins and Greeley, all of which are less than 45 minutes from town. Future regional growth will impact many facets of the community and present residents with the challenge of addressing the impacts of growth while preserving the unique attributes that make Ault special . I 1 l _ 1 _ r\i-ksti-;ty ri_� The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Ault. I241 Michael Baker cc _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Ault Statistics Town of Ault Colorado Population, 2014 1,603 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 5.3% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 7.3% 6.8% % Population under 19 years, 2010 24.4% 27. 1% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 11.7% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 13.2% 16.8% 2009-2013 Homeownership Rate 64.6% 65.4% Persons Per Household 2.63 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 15.2% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $48,654 $58,433 Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0. 1 2.600 HAZMAT 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 2.600 Straight-Line Winds & 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 2.500 Tornadoes Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.3 0.6 0. 1 0.4 2.300 Drought 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0.4 1 .800 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 1 .700 Prairie Fire 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0. 1 1 .600 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0. 1 1 .600 Flood 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 1 .300 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1 .000 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Severe Stor riAZMAT,Tiraight-Line Winds and Tornadoes MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): Extreme Temperatures Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Drought; Public Health Hazards, Prairie Fire; Land Subsidence; Flood; Earthquake l86' r ? i�^'-- Michael Baker 242 c � ' - Y �� INTERNATIONAL a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Ault, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Ault. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Ault's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. Town of Ault Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of Ault High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Major Roads Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 7,77/ f / ` / �` eIP / / EMFH:anit MANAGEMENT 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles Michael Baker I I I I I t I I I %// / //1 INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board Ault is characterized by medium levels of social vulnerability throughout. A closer look at the individual AILFM. social vulnerability indicators within the city will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the community and its resiliency over time. Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Ault. There were no hail events recorded within the city limits; however, several hail events occurred less than one mile from the town limits. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Legend Town of Ault Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Ault O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Major Roads O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. O Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • 4.01 - 5.00 O O 0 0.275 0.55 1.1 Mile I I I I I I I I O Michael Baker - u.st .Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN T Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction C nter Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage have occurred within the Town of Ault caused by Lightning. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the Town of Ault has experienced 54 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in 244 W Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA central WWeld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Ault is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Ault can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 1,603 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Loss Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Ault including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Ault. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. H AZ V AT Based on data supplied by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been 4 reported HAZMAT incidents within the Town of Ault between 1972 and 2015. inventory Exposed US 85 runs through the Town of Ault and is a designated nuclear and hazardous materials transportation routes. All structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of these transportation routes are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of an industrial or commercial fixed site are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release. Fbt entiai Losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released . Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. Michael Baker 245 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Ault due to tornadoes. There is record of 1 tornado reported within the town limits between on July 10, 1955 . This incident caused $3,000 worth of property loss. There have been tornadoes reported very close to the borders of the town limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Ault. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Ault due to straight-line winds. Straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Ault. Town of Ault Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events Town of Ault 0 Speed (knots) 1 O 50 - 60 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.3 0.6 1.2 Miles l I I I I I I I 1 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIs/GISMaps.html O -_ Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Michael Baker Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL EMERG€NCYMANAGEM: Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Ault can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 1,603 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the town . Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide • Michael Baker 246 INTERNATIONAL adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $47,452,860. Potential losses could be substantial . Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Ault to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y 247 j- Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) IDK An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. Town of Ault has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Vaintenance and Implementation The Town of Ault has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "We will review the plan on an annual basis with the Town Board. " Town of Ault "We will engage the public through the Town website. " Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Ault did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Ault based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy " We will update ordinances and zoning to reflect the mitigation priorities in this Town of Ault Plan. We will also integrate out local mitigation actions into Town capital improvements. " • 248 • Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status updates on Ault's mitigation actions included in the 2009 Plan . Ault: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding_AiLOCATION : Ault el GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3,4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 al OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP Ault will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to floodprone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continue our compliance with the NFIP requirements LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets and staff PROGRESS MILESTONES: Ault is not participating in the CRS program. However, we are a member of the NFIP and adopted the model ordinance in August of 2014 as required by the State. Ault enforces the floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements. The following Mitigation Action Guide presents Ault's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Weld County (Including Ault) : Storm Ready PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather LOCATION : Weld County-wide GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: October 2015 J OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B,E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Four classes in the spring March-May 2016 ISSUE: One of the goals for the Northeast region is to have all 11 counties participate in Storm Ready. Weld County has been a participant in the past, and the intent is to maintain Storm Ready status RECOMMENDATION : As a Storm Ready County, we hold several Weather Spotter Classes. These classes are taught by NOAA and participants can become a spotter and report information to NOAA or the WCRCC. ACTION : Apply and maintain 'Storm Ready" status with NOAA. a a aid 249 A V 11 _17 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM in conjunction with appropriate EXPECTED COST: Staff Time County/Town Departments with municipalities participating in this and funds for meeting for plan (Ault, Dacono, Evans, Firestone, Fort Lupton, Frederick, Garden drinks and goodies. This will City, Gilcrest, Greeley, Grover, Hudson, Johnstown, Keenesburg, come from the OEM budget Kersey, LaSalle, Mead, Milliken, New Raymer, Pierce, Platteville, Severance, and Windsor), and school districts (Weld County RE-4, RE-6 and RE-8, Platte Valley Schools). SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget and local business sponsor's ° Michael Baker I 250 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE Town of Ault August 26, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 0 Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Raymer is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that Town of Raymer has agreed to participate in the Weld County's] Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, Town of Raymer agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. Town of Raymer understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Cary Lambert, commit the Town of Raymer to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort Executed this 26th day of August, 2015 _-7f ` c-I` • °A ' LA Michael Baker 251 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Brighton The City of Brighton is located 20 miles north of downtown Denver and has a land area of 19.98 square miles. Incorporated in 1887, the city sits along the banks of the South Platte River. The closing of Denver's Stapleton Airport in the early 1990s and the opening of the Denver International Airport led to many changes for the City of Brighton . Rapid and numerous annexations were necessary to accommodate the increase in population driven by increased accessibility. Once a small town with agricultural roots, the City of Brighton is now one of the fastest growing cities in Colorado. -r I t r - I L i I- h7717ki, x i � r The following are the overall goals that the City of Brighton established in their Comprehensive Plan : Brighton 2020: A Vision for Managing Change and Promoting Excellence. These goals are the foundation and guide to the public and private sector as decisions are made that "effect the future quality of life of existing and future residents and the natural and build environment in which they live, learn, work, and play." In the context of the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan and the City's local hazard mitigation program, the achievement of the following goals will depend largely upon the city's ability to successfully implement its hazard mitigation strategies and reduce risk to people and property from hazards. • Preserve and enhance Brighton's quality of life • Preserve and enhance Brighton's small town identity • Promote and develop Brighton as a sustainable community • Promote and protect Brighton's "Free-Standing" community • Maintain Brighton's farming character • Promote Brighton's local history • Promote community focal points 252 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA • Become an "inclusive" community • Encourage interaction among residents The large majority of Brighton's long-term planning goals and visions depend on fostering a safe, hazard resilient community. Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the City of Brighton . City of Brighton Statistics City of Brighton Colorado Population, 2014 36,765 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 8.8% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 8.6% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 29.9% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 8.7% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 27.6% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 68.8% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 3. 13 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 8.2% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 I $62,097 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment The City of Brighton is situated in both Adams and Weld Counties. For the purpose of this plan, spatially analyzed hazard risks have been assessed for the areas of the city that lie specifically within Weld County. NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Public Health Hazards 0.90 0.90 0.80 0.30 0.40 3.30 Straight-Line Winds & 0.90 0.90 0.80 0.40 0. 10 3 . 10 Tornadoes HAZMAT 1.20 0.90 0.40 0.40 0.20 3. 10 Extreme Temperatures 0.90 0.60 0.80 0.40 0.40 3. 10 Severe Storm 1.20 0.60 0.80 0.30 0. 10 3 .00 Prairie Fire 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 0.30 2.50 Flood 0.60 0.60 0.40 0.40 0.40 2.40 Drought 0.60 0.30 0.80 0. 10 0.40 2 .20 � h≤,t, r — s Michael Baker 253 J. Ir INTERNATIONAL j. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Land Subsidence 0.60 0.30 0.20 0.40 0. 10 1.60 Earthquake 0.30 0.30 0. 20 0.40 0. 10 1.30 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Public Heazards; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; HAZMAT; Extreme Temperatures; Severe Storm; Prairie Fire MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Flood; Drought Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Land Subsidence; Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the City of Brighton, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to City of Brighton . The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The City of Brighton's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. Michael Baker I 254 ; ) 1, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A` City of Brighton Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, City of Brighton High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planningCI? Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: LOW Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • • " 1f FFI L�I �- 1� / FMfRGF KrY MANAGEMENT 0 0.275 0.55 1.1 Miles Michael Baker f I I I 1 I I I I I INTERNATIONAL Source: o orado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board Brighton is characterized by a mix of medium to medium-high levels of social vulnerability. A deeper-dive into the individual social vulnerability indicators within the city will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the community and its resiliency. It is important that the city continue to monitor social vulnerability levels over time as demographics and economics change in the area . Public Health Hazards Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. Inventory Exposer/ Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes 255 W 'r Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12 .9 City of Brighton 8.7 8.6 8.2 The City of Brighton has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the town . A larger percentage of Brighton residents are under the age of 5 than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Brighton residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. Potential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Brighton are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the City of Brighton resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Brighton due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Straight- Line Winds & Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Brighton due to high wind events or tornadoes. However, there have been tornadoes reported very close to both the eastern and western borders of the city limits. 256 + ' Michael Baker r► rlr co „ .4 y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Brighton Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend EF Scale Historical High Wind Events Major Roads 0 Speed (knots) Weld County 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles City of Brighton • l I I f 1 I I I I1'3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html O 0 O 0 / Michael Baker Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL 'MERGENCr MANAGEMENT Inventory bxposed All assets located in the City of Brighton can be considered at risk from severe wind and tornadoes. This includes 36,765 people, or 100% of the city's population and all buildings and structures within the City. Most structures, including the city's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate ► 71 Michael Baker 257 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Loses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $ 128,302,206. Potential losses could be substantial. HAZVAT Based on data provided by Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's (PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been no HAZMAT incidents reported in the City of Brighton between 1972 and 2015. 1-76 and Highway 85 are two major hazardous and nuclear materials transportation routes that run through and adjacent to the City. Further planning and research is necessary to identify the volume and frequency of hazardous materials movement along these transit corridors along with the location of fixed facilities. Inventory &Nosed We can't accurately predict when or where a HAZMAT incident may occur. Therefore, for the purpose of this plan, all structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of the designated hazardous and nuclear materials transportation routes are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of any industrial or commercial fixed sites are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release. Fbtential Losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released. Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Brighton due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16-17, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur at any given time. 258 W Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Age: 65 and Over (%) Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 City of Brighton 8.7 8.2 31.2 The City of Brighton has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the city. A slight larger percentage of Brighton residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Brighton residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. Ebt et alai losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Brighton are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the City of Brighton resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Brighton due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Severe Storm ( Hail , Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the City of Brighton . There was one hail event recorded within the city limits as well as several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the city limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. 259 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend City of Brighton Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. City of Brighton O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 'r-1 Weld County O 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 O ® n n • O I 0 0.375 0.75 1.5 Miles I I l I I I I IRS I; VA - err . Michael Baker oU . _ • INTERNATIONAL EMFRGENCYMANAGFMEN7 Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage have occurred within the City of Brighton caused by Lightning. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the city, there is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the City of Brighton has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. The City of Brighton is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory Exposed All assets located in the City of Brighton can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 36,765 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the city. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail 260 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the City of Brighton including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Brighton . It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Prairie Fire There are a number of areas in the northeastern region of the city that are within the medium to highest level on the WUI Risk Index Scale. This means that the potential impact on people and homes from a Prairie Fire in those areas is medium to high in relationship to the rest of Weld County. This level of risk is derived by combining housing density with predicted flame length . 261 `'•I Michael Baker r � cc , " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT City of Brighton Legend WUI Risk Index Wildland Urban Interface Risk Index 9 Major Roads -8 Wildland urban interface risk index measures the potential impact on people O Weld County -7 and their homes from wildfire. This risk ranking was calculated by combining housing density with flame length - for example, areas with high housing Jurisdictions -6 density and high flame length are rated as "most negative impact" (-9). 5 City of Brighton -4 • City of Brighton Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map Structures/Parcels _ -3 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk.assessment. IIII -2 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: .1 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I id rit " - ID • 4. • • I • • 1 - r "' 1 1 L . a t 1 r 0 - • • k • • 4 0). ii v A 4 A i • ` • v • ' O V g+ i '.. I" D O IL • I 00 p • 4� . •4 •C ' i ` `0 O • A ® O • _ _ .� tam � ` • (. . • 00 Dove , n U CS J r. ilea % 0 00^ ov O .. T 6 ! / n O.`„O� J } .� 0 C 04 - nAl O'1-7 'I j o OOH ^o q . .S p lum/ i ti r ! ---: !k " r l 0 0.25 0.5 1 Miles rJu Michael Baker I I 1 I II. i_ 1 INTERNATIONAL , ,, .., , ,:tnnaueeet Source: Colorado State Forest Service- COWRAP Inventory Exposed Fires can extensively impact the economy of an affected area, including the agricultural, recreation and tourism industries, water resources, and the critical facilities upon which the City of Brighton depends. There are no areas of high wildfire threat according to the WUI Risk Index. There are areas of medium IA ELF 1 ,4Michael Baker 262 : _ jj- I U � I N T E R N AT I O N A L WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA threat. There are no identified critical facilities located in areas with the moderate wildfire threat total . The appraisal value of the structures within these moderate threat areas is approximately $5,616,745. Fbtential Losses Currently, there is no method for estimating wildfire loss. In most cases, the emergency management community equates potential losses to assets exposed to wildfire as a method of quantifying and comparing potential losses across communities. The exposure data provided in the previous section ( Inventory Assets Exposed) provides the clearest picture of potential losses to wildfire in the City of Brighton . Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the City of Brighton to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the City's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the City's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain X Administrator Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer x Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the City's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No (N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A Comprehensive Plan / Master Plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y r861 263 , ,t _ . Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) Y An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The City of Brighton has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The City of Brighton has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the city will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "Our mitigation actions will be reviewed by Emergency Management annually, and by City Council and or Fire BOD as needed. " City of Brighton "Mitigation actions, activities and information will be integrated into existing public education programs and shared via website and or social media as necessary." Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The City of Brighton did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategy identified by the City of Brighton based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "We will integrate hazard Mitigation actions into our existing public City of Brighton education/community training programs to continually increase awareness about local hazards and potential consequences. " Mitigation Action Guides The City of Brighton did have mitigation actions included in the 2010 DRCOG Hazard Mitigation Plan, included below. Michael Baker 264 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ' S Responsible Agencies Action Project Need and Location Status & Notes L- Lead Agency S — Support Agency In Progress / Multi-Jurisdiction Action Ongoing - majority In coordination with the of jurisdictions Continued National UDFCD, continue to continue to Flood Insurance participate in the NFIP by Project Lead not participate in the Program (NFIP) implementing and identified NFIP, discussions Participation improving upon effective regarding additional floodplain and stormwater jurisdictional management practices. participation ongoing. Coordinate with local water providers to No Longer continually identify and promote water Applicable / Remove It was conservation measures, determined that including but not Project Lead not Multi-Jurisdiction Action this action is being limited to, incentive identified addressed by programs, water various water efficient appliances, xeriscaping and the use districts serving the County. of recycled water where feasible. Monitor proceedings of the Colorado Water In Progress / Availability Task Force. Ongoing OEM will When necessary, Project Lead not Multi-Jurisdiction Action continue to monitor support water providers identified and support as in the implementation necessary. of conservation measures In Progress / Ongoing - OEM will Provide the DRCOG continue to involve HMP to other the Public Works Emergency departments for Multi-Jurisdiction Action and Planning Manager possible integration into Departments in all various planning efforts future Hazard Mitigation Planning activities. Jurisdiction or Organization: City of Brighton Preparedness and Mitigation Guides PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All 186'' . . ^' Michael Baker 265 � �►.� r L-; co _ \ - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN LOCATION : City of Brighton and Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 2, 4 Fire Rescue District RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/20/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 12/31/2016 2.2.2; 4. 1. 1.2 ISSUE: Residents need general information about local hazards, preparedness and response activities RECOMMENDATION : Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness Guides have been developed to focus on education of local hazards, and must continue to be distributed to residents within the City of Brighton and Brighton Fire Rescue District. ACTION : Continue to distribute existing mitigation guides to residents within both the City of Brighton and the Brighton Fire Rescue District LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton, Brighton EXPECTED COST: The Guides have already been Fire Rescue District purchased, remaining cost is the staff time necessary to distribute guides to residents SUPPORT AGENCIES: Brighton CERT, 27J POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES:N/A. School District PROGRESS MILESTONES: Guides developed and printed Guides have been distributed throughout 2012-2015 Guides have been packaged up for distribution to the 27J school locations on 11/14/15. Brighton OEM will continue working with the School District to schedule and deliver guides to make available to each student in the 27J school district in Brighton. City of Brighton: Weld Outfall PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2010 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: I TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2030 3.2.2. ISSUE: The far northern portion of the City needs drainage improvements to convey storm flows to the South Platte River. RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct an outfall system to convey flows to South Platte River. ACTION : Complete engineering civil drawings and construct the outfall s stem . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $20,000,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come from Stormwater Impact fees. There is a potential for grant money as it becomes available. 266 If TA r = F Michael Baker L, . r INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: This outfall system was looked at in the 2006 Outfall System Plan and is being re-evaluated in the current master drainage plan . City of Brighton: Robin Place & N 6th Ave Flood Mitigation PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2010 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: TARGET COMPLETION DATE: completed 3.2.2. ISSUE: This project has been completed . The City has re-directed flows away from this house and to a larger conveyance system . No issues have been reported from the homeowner in the recent years. This project can be removed from the list. RECOMMENDATION : City has redirected flows ACTION : The City has re-directed flows away from this house and to a larger conveyance system . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: N/A SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: N/A PROGRESS MILESTONES: Complete City of Brighton: 33 Sunset Drive Flood Mitigation PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2010 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: completed 3.2.2. ISSUE: This address experienced flooding at sidewalk and driveway frequently after significant storm events RECOMMENDATION : Install inlet to alleviate flooding 267 Michael Baker cc _ \ �' I N T E R N AT I O N A L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ACTION : The City has installed 2 inlet at this location to alleviate flooding issues. An overflow pipe has been provided for any flows not intercepted by the inlets. No issues have been reported from the homeowner in the recent years. This item can be removed. LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton Utilities and EXPECTED COST: N/A Streets SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: N/A PROGRESS MILESTONES: Project completed City of Brighton: North Outfall/Hughes Station Apartments Drainage Improvement Project Phase I Flood Mitigation PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2010 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: TARGET COMPLETION DATE : completed 3.2.2. ISSUE: Identified need to redirect run off flows generated on Highway 85 into Hughes' detention pond causing the pond to overflow and flood the private parking lot and nearby roadways. RECOMMENDATION : Redirect flows away from the detention pond. ACTION : The City redirected flows from Highway 85. Flows have been directed away from the detention pond and to the City's North Outfall-Denver Alignment. LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: N/A SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: N/A PROGRESS MILESTONES: Completed. City of Brighton: North Outfall/Hughes Station Apartment Drainage Improvement Project Phase 2 Flood Mitigation PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood '(Ir 7 -) 1-?•\ Michael Baker 1268 ` �► CC - ` " INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2010 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2030 3.2.2. ISSUE: The far northern portion of the City needs drainage improvements to convey storm flows to the South Platte River. RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct an outfall system to convey flows to South Platte River. ACTION : A portion of this project has been complete. An inlet has been added at the intersection of Denver and Main. The City has built the outfall and constructed a 78" conveyance pipe from the outfall with the South Platte River to approximately the intersection of Denver and Main. Additional MAGs have been created to outline the phases of the project that still need to be completed . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $20,000,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come from Stormwater Impact fees. There is a potential for grant money as it becomes available. PROGRESS MILESTONES: This outfall system was looked at in the 2006 Outfall System Plan an . is being re-evaluated in the current master drainage plan . City of Brighton: Telluride & Bridge St. Flood Mitigation PRIORITY: MEDIUM HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2010 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : TBD 2016 3.2.2. ISSUE: The storm drain inlet box located at the SE corner of Telluride and Bridge into the Pheasant Ridge Pond . When the pond is full, the inlet acts as a spillway, flooding nearby streets, and causing damages to vehicles RECOMMENDATION : A private developer has agreed to fix this issue as a condition of future development in the area. It should occur in the next year. This can be removed from the list. ACTION : A private developer has agreed to fix this issue as a condition of future development in the area. It should occur in the next year. This can be removed from the list. LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: N/A � . a$et '#7 I 269 Michael Baker cc• ` r INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come from private developer as part of an agreement regarding future developments. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Project will be completed by Developer in 2016. The following Mitigation Action Guide presents Brighton's new mitigation action that was developed for the 2016 Plan . CITY OF BRIGHTON/BRIGHTON FIRE RESCUE DISTRICT: Action Item #1: Integrate mitigation/preparedness planning into existing public education programs around the city to enhance resiliency of the community around all hazard vulnerabilities. PRIOR : High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Drought, Earthquake, Land Subsidence, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health, Hazmat LOCATION : City of Brighton and Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3 Fire Rescue District RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/20/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B,E - TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10/20/2016 Ongoing programs ISSUE: Residents must be aware of local hazards and the mitigation/preparedness actions they can take to assist in protecting themselves and their families from the adverse effects and to enhance community resiliency. RECOMMENDATION : Continued and additional community education and training to specifically address local hazards, containing detailed recommendations around potential community action items, which are crucial to continue to reinforce the need to take personal and individual action to mitigate risk related to local hazards. ACTION : Add information about local hazards and mitigation strategies into existing citizen centered trainings and/or developed hazard and response specific training for citizens as needed to provide information to residents about mitigation/preparedness options in their community. LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton/Brighton Fire EXPECTED COST: $5,000. Additional printing and staff Rescue District's Office of Emergency time to deliver Management SUPPORT AGENCIES: Brighton PD, Brighton POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: HSGP, EMPG, local CERT, Weld County OEM, Adams County budgets OEM, North Central Region. Michael Baker I 270 Ill INTERNATIONAL cc• EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: An All Hazards Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) was developed and adopted by the City of Brighton and the Brighton Fire Rescue District in 2015. As part of our all hazards EOP, a Hazard/Risk analysis was conducted to identify the risks to which the City of Brighton and the Brighton Fire Rescue District are most vulnerable, public education about these top hazards are key to preparing our residents to better address and adapt to these hazards. Integration of preparedness and mitigation actions into public education programs which are directly related to these key hazards are essential . The City of Brighton is currently concluding the 2015 annual CERT class, of which local hazard identification and response is a part of. In looking forward to 2016 and beyond, education about local hazards and mitigation strategies will be available at city sponsored events, within classes offered to the public (winter weather safety, individual preparedness etc.) and within presentations which are requested by community members tailored specifically to a local group or organization. Jurisdiction or Organization: City of Brighton Expansion of Outdoor Warning System to portions of unincorporated Adams and Weld Counties PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Tornado/All Hazards LOCATION : Todd Creek, Great Rock ane GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 Vestas locations I RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/20/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2016 ISSUE : Several areas within the Brighton Fire Rescue District and the north area (Weld County) of the City of Brighton are without outdoor warning sirens. RECOMMENDATION : Installation of additional warning sirens in the locations lacking coverage to warn residents of potential hazards. ACTION : Prioritize locations and use available funds to complete installations of outdoor warning sirens LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton, Brighton EXPECTED COST: approx. 45K for each unit Fire Rescue District SUPPORT AGENCIES: Brighton IT Dept., POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: The units needed at Adams County Communications Dept. Todd Creek and Great Rock locations are being (AdCom911) funded, in part, by 4145 HMGP funds. The unit needed to cover the Vestas location may be available to move from a different location pending the completion of a shared use agreement with Verizon regarding and existing unit. PROGRESS MILESTONES: For sirens at Great Rock and Todd Creek: RFP for project out on Nov 20th, 2015; Close date scheduled as December 15th 2015. Anticipated completion date of April , 2015 For vestas location (Weld County) : r=—a,,,vi • is6> .� 271 Michael Baker ccr ` r �' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN City of Brighton is currently working with Verizon to complete an agreement to use one of our existing poles and for them to purchase a duplicate unit Jurisdiction or Organization: City of Brighton Emergency Services Support Generator PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All LOCATION : City of Brighton Police GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 Department Administration (3401 E. Bromley Lane Brighton , CO 80601) RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/20/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 06/31/2017 ISSUE: Currently, the city maintains only a small generator at this location, capable only of supporting minimal emergency lighting, the security of detention cells, and limited communication systems. The current generator cannot support the emergency coordination functions which take place at this location. RECOMMENDATION : The wiring and installation of a 500KVA generator and a 1200amp transfer switch would allow for a reliable back up power source at a single critical city facility. This generator would support key city staff and services at this location and would allow for the relocation of staff and continuity of critical services. In addition, emergency support related services and functions are coordinated from this location . Critical emergency support functions- operation of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC), location of the Policy Group meeting area and information center, the Joint Information Center (JIC) and local law enforcement operations are designated to take place at this location. ACTION : Install a generator and associated wiring at the Brighton Police Department in an effort to support emergency functions during a short or long term power outage, LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: total cost of generator and wiring of PD building estimated $200,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Brighton Fire Rescue POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: District HMGP funding, City of Brighton Capital Improvements budget PROGRESS MILESTONES: Develop and publish an RFP Construction to wire the building (in coordination with PD and United Power) to include locating, digging, accessing and splitting existing cabling Install transfer switch and complete wiring Complete installation of generator and initiate testing asp . • 272 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN City of Brighton: North Outfall Phase II PRIORITY: HIGH aa HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2018 ISSUE: The core residential area of Brighton must have an upgraded outfall system . RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct a larger outfall system to convey flows to South Platte River. Add additional inlets and piping network to more efficiently collect storm runoff. ACTION : Complete engineering civil drawings and construct the outfall system . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $2,400,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Urban Drainage and POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come Flood Control District from Stormwater Impact fees and from UDFCD. There is a potential for HMGP funding as it becomes available. PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City, along with UDFCD, complete . t e first p ase o 'this project in previous years. An engineering firm is currently completing plans for this phase and providing thirty- percent plans for the future phase(s) . City of Brighton: North Outfall Phase III PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 12/31/2020 ISSUE : The core residential area of Brighton must have an upgraded outfall system . RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct a larger outfall system to convey flows to South Platte River. Add additional inlets and piping network to more efficiently collect storm runoff. ACTION : Complete engineering civil drawings and construct the outfall system. LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $4,800,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Urban Drainage and POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come Flood Control District from Storm water Impact fees and from UDFCD. There is a potential for grant money as it becomes available. '8a 273 I ' A r; = ' Michael Baker _ "! P INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City, along with UDFCD, completed the first phase of this project in previous years. An engineering firm is currently completing plans for this phase and providing thirty- percent plans for the future phase(s). City of Brighton: Master Drainage Plan PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 5/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2016 ISSUE : Comprehensive master planning efforts are needed to provide guidance to the City. RECOMMENDATION : The City needs to hire an engineering consulting firm to complete a comprehensive master drainage plan. ACTION : Hire a consulting firm . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $250,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Urban Drainage and POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come Flood Control District from already available stormwater funding. PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City, along with UDFCD, has hired an engineering consulting firm to complete the master drainage plan and to continually update this plan as necessary. City of Brighton: Second and Egbert Drainage Improvements PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E - TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2019 ISSUE : An undersized drainage pipe and lack of inlet do not provide appropriate drainage at this intersection. RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct drainage infrastructure to alleviate flooding at this intersection. ACTION : Complete engineering civil drawings and construct the infrastructure. 274 Michael Baker co" INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $4,800,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come from storm water funds. PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City has included this as an area to look closer at within the master drainage plan. City of Brighton: Third Creek and Brighton Road PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION: City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2019 3.2.2. ISSUE: The Third Creek Crossing under Brighton Road has become silted and is not adequately sized to pass the 100-year flows. RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct a 100-year crossing under Brighton Road . ACTION : Complete engineering civil drawings and construct the crossing. LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $350,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Urban Drainage and POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come Flood Control District from Stormwater Impact fees and from UDFCD. There is a potential for grant money as it becomes available. PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City has included this as an area to look closer at during the master drainage plan formation. The City is currently participating with UDFCD and other jurisdictions to complete a Third Creek master drainage plan and flood hazard area delineation study. City of Brighton: 11th and Bridge Improvements PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2017 ISSUE : This intersection frequently floods after minor and major storm systems. 275 Michael Baker co" INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : Have the engineering team creating the City's master drainage plan look for the cause of the issues at this location. ACTION : Complete any necessary improvements recommended by the engineering firm . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: Unknown SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come from Stormwater fees. PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City will have the engineering team completing the master drainage plan look at this area closely. City of Brighton: South Brighton Outfall PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Brighton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/4/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2025 ISSUE : The far southern portion of the City needs drainage improvements to convey storm flows to the South Platte River. RECOMMENDATION : Design and construct an outfall system to convey flows to South Platte River. ACTION : Complete engineering civil drawings and construct the outfall system . LEAD AGENCY: City of Brighton EXPECTED COST: $20,000,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Urban Drainage and POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Funding will come Flood Control District from Stormwater Impact fees and from UDFCD. There is a potential for grant money as it becomes available. PROGRESS MILESTONES: This outfall system was looked at in the 2006 Outfall System Plan and is being re-evaluated in the current master drainage plan . 276 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate ...._ City of Brighton 500 South 4th Avenue Brighton, CO 80601 Brighton 303-655-2000 Office www.brightonco.gov August 26, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HUMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans. the City of Brighton is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the City of Brighton has agreed to participate in Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, City of Brighton agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CAR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management. to complete the plan in conformance with FErv1A requirements. The City of Brighton understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, \Arhere they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan. etc.): • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Stephanie Hackett commit the City of Brighton's Office of Emergency Management to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 27th day Cilpt,:e___.„...,.hivms-Vr— StePhanie off August, 2014 Hackett Emergency Management Coordinator City of Brighton \`1a \ I.��f� T. Michael Baker 277 1 I 1 r- Y INTERNATIONAL a, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Dacono The City of Dacono is located in southwest Weld County. Dacono is centrally located with easy access to both the Denver metropolitan area and Northern Colorado communities. Dacono is also part of the Greeley/Weld MSA. Located in the heart of the Front Range, the city cultivates a small town atmosphere with panoramic views of the Rocky Mountains. i 1 \ { / \--\--_____._ _ _\ LL \ .,----/ J I 1 - I i c -)/ r, ,,, _ r_, � /�� 1 1 . . 7--� __ , _ - tL-- K L I f At an elevation of 5,017 feet above sea level, there are no steep slopes in any portion of the Planning area . Dacono enjoys all four seasons. The combination of high elevation and mid latitude interior continent geography results in a cool, dry climate and residents engage in outdoor recreation all year round . The following five vision statements are the guiding elements for development and re-development in the City of Dacono over the next 20 years. These visions were established in the City of Dacono Comprehensive Land Use Plan 2005 and are the community's answer to the following question : What kind of community do we want Dacono to be ? • VISION 1 : Our future development will be concentrated within a growth boundary, be actively managed, served by adequate public facilities and will encourage economic vitality • VISION 2 : Our community will strive to balance future land uses and ensure economic self- sustainability • VISION 3 : Our communities will be livable, walkable, safe and distinctive • VISION 4: Our environmental resources will be protected and when used, used wisely t►T_ :'�-1 —n Michael Baker 278a ` cc - ` - Jr� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT • VISION 5 : Our citizens will take part in the decisions and actions that affect them These visions are the guiding principles for the variety of decisions that are made every week concerning "roads, sewers, parks and new developments."21 These visions were used to guide the development of mitigation strategies at the city level . Community Profile The City of Dacono is located in southwestern Weld County, about 10 miles north of the Denver metropolitan area . The "Old Town" area of Dacono is located two miles east of 1-25 and south of Highway 52. The city encompasses nearly 8.2 square miles, with a future growth boundary of 22 square miles. The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the City of Dacono. The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the City of Dacono. City of Dacono Statistics City of Dacono Colorado Population, 2015 4,583 5,355,866 2000-2010 Population Change, % 36.9% 16.9% % Population under 5 years, 2010 9.2% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 28.9% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 9. 1% 10.7% Homeownership Rate 71.4% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 2.85 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2013 6.0% 9.3% Median Household Income, 2015 $48,078 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau (Census 2010); Esri forecasts (2015 Esri) The city's current population is estimates at 4,583 people. The city's Comprehensive Plan projects a final build-out population of 56,600 people by the year 2025. Like other municipalities located along the Colorado Front Range, Dacono is faced with the challenge of meeting increasing water demands associated with projected population growth. Currently, the city relies on the Colorado Big Thompson project for all of its water. Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 1.2 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0.3 3.300 Straight-Line Winds & 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.4 0. 1 3. 100 Tornadoes Flood 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 2.900 21 City of Dacono Comprehensive Land Use Plan 2005 I279 Michael Baker cc• INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Public Health Hazards 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 2.900 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.3 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.500 Drought 0.9 0.3 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.500 HAZMAT 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.400 Land Subsidence 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0. 1 2.400 Prairie Fire 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.900 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): SevernMIMPIPIRMMEraIld Tornadoes; Flood; Public Health Hazards; Extreme Temperatures; Drought MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): HAZMAT; Land Subsidence Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Prairie Fire; Earthquake i Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the City of Dacono, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the City of Dacono. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The City of Dacono's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. It I1� . - % Michael Baker 280 ; ) 1, i, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL City of Dacono Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, City of Dacono High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads Low (Bottom 20%) ° http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html ) may/ 1 SW • EA 7 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles 1 1 1 1 1tilt i i J Pi MU RC)!NSA r,�ANAGF MFNf Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL c•r'sion a e EMResourc s Dam Safety Branc , olorado Water Conservation Board Dacono is characterized by a mix of medium-low, medium, and medium-high levels of social vulnerability. The northern area of the city has higher levels of social vulnerability to disasters than the rest of the city. A closer look at the individual social vulnerability indicators within the city will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the community and it resiliency over time. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the City of Dacono. There were three hail events recorded within the city limits as well as several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the city limits. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. • 281 W Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend City of Dacono Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. City of Dacono O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 'r-1 Weld County O 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 O O O 4 ■ 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles O I I I I I I I I I O1.1 Jr _ 1; V4r ' -- �` ?_ c� it p . Michael Baker a INTERNATIONAL FMFRGENCYMANAGFMEN7 Surce: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage have occurred within the City of Dacono caused by Lightning. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to the NOAA's Storm Events Database, the City of Dacono has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. The City of Dacono is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. inventory Exposed All assets located in the City of Dacono can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 4,583 people, or 100% of the city's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the city. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the city's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail • Michael Baker 282 co - ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the City of Dacono including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Dacono. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes According to the best available data no deaths or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Dacono due to tornadoes. There have been 4 tornadoes reported within the city limits between 1985 and 2008. On July 26, 1985 a tornado caused 3 injuries and $4,000 in property damage. On June 16, 1997 a tornado caused some property damage. On May 22, 2008 one person was injured as a result of a tornado. There have also been tornadoes reported very close to the borders of the city limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Dacono. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Dacono due to straight-line winds. Straight-line winds will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Dacono. 283 !T !r Michael Baker co _ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Dacono Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 0 Speed (knots) Q Weld County 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 Q 61 - 70 0 0.375 0.75 1.5 Miles • I t I I I I I I I City of Dacono 3 • 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption,weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • O u u • f i • O w ri Michael Baker Source:;' S` bnal Weather Service Stgrm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 284 - ` Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL - " - EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Inventory Exposed All assets located in the City of Dacono can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 4,583people, or 100% of the city's population and all buildings and structures within the city. Most structures, including the city's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $ 129,418,385 . Potential losses could be substantial . Flood Consistent with the information highlighted in the 2005 Dacono Comprehensive Plan, the City's planning area is impacted by the Little Dry Creek floodplain . Little Dry Creek flows diagonally across the Planning Area and eventually drains into the South Platte River. Small ponds are scattered through the City, along with several irrigation ditches (Standley Ditch, Godding Hollow Ditch, and Lower Boulder Ditch). According to the best available data there have been no reported injuries or deaths in the City of Dacono caused by flooding. Due to Little Dry Creek, however, there is a possibility for a flood event to occur at any given time. Currently, the City's Future Land Use Map illustrates that development along Little Dry Creek should be set back at least 25 feet from the top of ditch banks and from the mean high water line of natural and man-made waterbodies to maintain natural buffers. Additionally, new development is precluded within the floodplain . 285 7 1 r ! Michael Baker I� cc - v `Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL City of Dacono Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. City of Dacono 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 O Weld County flooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) concerning this study can be found at: http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 i.com 2072-4292 7 8 9822 2013 Flood Max Inundation Extent Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's I approval and adoption,Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I o I- , ir . : --\_ ..,(icyri-_-_ P / . 1 i. ■ r • a ■ ?DU ii / aka 0 z- - i-- . 11-1T1i. I 1„- .21- 1 I -11‘ .sr, , 7 i r . - .!‘ IL L i. `y � ' _ 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles Michael Baker • i l 1 I 1 1 1 t I FMFRGFNcf MANAGFMFNT I N T E 5 N A T I O N A L Source: Federa -Emergency Management Agency, We d County 2, C .f Inventory Exposed The following map shows the flooding threat to critical facilities and structures in the City of Dacono by layering identified special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with the locations of community-defined critical facilities. Critical facilities are essential to the health and welfare of the whole population and are especially important both during and after hazard events. Critical structures or areas that overlap or touch the SFHA are considered "flood prone." 286 Michael Baker ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A," 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Est . - Critical Facilities Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood scenario Major Roads Total Economic Loss (Count) involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100 Year Flood). i' i weld County o $100 - $10,000 (1) Y_ Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, o $10,001 - $50,000 (0) City of Dacono business inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, o $50,001 $100,000 (0) and rental losses. Critical facilities as defined by the Weld 1% Depth Grid (Feet) County OEM . Point locations are sometimes approximate and High : 57.856 O $100,001 - $250,000 (0) not the actual building location. • $250,001 - $600,000 (0) Low : 0 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html O f r yOAr : = 9 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles ,o l l l i l l l Michael Baker {.t • A 1 INTERNATIONAL tMtKCtNCYMANAGtMtNI Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County .- ?`f'' The critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there is 1 critical facility in the City of Dacono that is flood prone ( not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . The appraised value of these exposed critical facility is approximately $48,993 . The estimated building loss is over $880 and content loss over $290. _..Is6L.�" 287 W.1;1►= . _.= Michael Baker cc• NY INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fbtential Losses Hazus estimates for the City of Dacono that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 42 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is over $ 172,770. The estimated building loss is $137,833, content loss $33,977, and inventory loss $960. 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood City of Dacono Total Economic Loss (Count) scenario involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads o S100 - 510,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, O Weld County o $10,001 - $50,000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) O $50,001 $100,000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. us High : 57.856 o $100,001 - $250.000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel . Low : 0 O S250,001 - $1 ,000.000 (0) • S1 ,000,001 - $2,600.000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • D . v^ . (J/1I Vre 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles II I I I I I I I Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County ( Ii i r �l Michael Baker riles d I j INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT I i Public Health Hazard Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county.• 288 ___. .; Michael Baker U � INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12.9 City of Dacono 9. 1 9.2 6.0 The City of Dacono has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the town . A larger percentage of Dacono residents are under the age of 5 than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Dacono residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. Fbtential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Dacono are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the City of Dacono resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Dacono due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Dacono due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16th and 17th, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur within the region at any given time. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly ► : � �' �; Michael Baker 289 1 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Age: 65 and Over (%) Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12 .9 34.5 City of Dacono 9. 1 6.0 18.6 The City of Dacono has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the city. A much larger percentage of Dacono residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Dacono residents (in general ) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. Fbtential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Dacono are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the City of Dacono resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Dacono due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Dacono due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four reports all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory F posed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the City of Dacono. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources Fbtential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the City of Dacono could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Dacono continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought 290 ; + !' 'r . �, Michael Baker X111 cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the City of Dacono to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the City's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the City's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X The Chief of Police is the designated Emergency Manager. None of the above positions are stand alone, they are all performed by either a full time employee with a different title or a contract company. Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the city's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance IDK Local building codes Y A Comprehensive Plan / Master Plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even 1 ►% ��' Michael Baker I 291 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The City of Dacono has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. The City of Dacono has had previous experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for planning-related activities or projects. These include: • A grant for original Comprehensive Plan development • An infrastructure grant through the Energy Impact Grants • Funding from FEMA and the State of Colorado for post flood costs to repair and clean up. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The City of Dacono has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The hazard mitigation plan and actions are reviewed by staff and the city administration on an ongoing basis. City of Dacono As part of the plan maintenance process, the City of Dacono will continue to engage the public in the process of identifying hazard risks and prioritizing mitigation actions. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The City of Dacono did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the City of Dacono based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "To consider hazard mitigation actions into the City's Capital Improvement Plan City of Dacono and building codes. " 292 • Michael Baker C : . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of Dacono's mitigation actions included in the 2009 Plan . Dacono: Participate in Storm Ready PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather LOCATION : City of Dacono GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B,C,E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing; Four classes in the spring March-May 2016 ISSUE: One of the goals for the Northeast region is to have all 11 counties' participate in Storm Ready. Weld County has been a participant in the past, and the intent is to maintain Storm Ready status RECOMMENDATION : As a Storm Ready County, we hold several Weather Spotter Classes. These classes are taught by NOAA and participants can become a spotter and report information to NOAA or the WCRCC. ACTION : Apply and maintain 'Storm Ready" status with NOAA. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM in EXPECTED COST: Staff Time and funds for meeting for conjunction with appropriate County/Town drinks and goodies. This will come from the OEM Departments with municipalities budget participating in this plan (Ault, Dacono, Evans, Firestone, Fort Lupton, Frederick, Garden City, Gilcrest, Greeley, Grover, Hudson, Johnstown, Keenesburg, Kersey, LaSalle, Mead, Milliken, New Raymer, Pierce, Platteville, Severance, and Windsor), and school districts (Weld County RE-4, RE-6 and RE-8, Platte Valley Schools) . SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget and local business sponsor's PROGRESS MILESTONES: Duplication of county action . Last four years Weld has offered one weather spotter training. Dacono: Continued Compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Dacono GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: D,E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ,rF Michael Baker cc I 293 ` ri INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood-prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continue local compliance with NFIP requirements and standards LEAD AGENCY: Local Floodplain EXPECTED COST: Staff Time; can be accomplished with Management officials existing annual budget SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: Dacono has maintained CRS compliance standards. Dacono continues to promote wise use of floodplains. The City adopted the State of Colorado Water Conservation Board model ordinance and is compliant with the State Floodplain Rules. We also adopted an update to the ordinance to reflect the new Weld County FIRM maps. No further action is required by the City. The following Mitigation Action Guides present each of Dacono's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Dacono: Design and Construction of Colorado Blvd. Bridge PRIORITY: High (#1) HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : Colorado Blvd (WCR ` `3) GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/19/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2020 ISSUE: Based on previous experience with flooding on Colorado Boulevard, the particular area of road that intersects with the Little Dry Creek water-way, a bridge needs to be constructed to mitigate the impact of water flowing over that section of Colorado Blvd often requiring the road be closed. RECOMMENDATION : Bridging Colorado Blvd at Little Dry Creek ACTION : Design and Construction of Colorado Blvd. Bridge LEAD AGENCY: City of Dacono Public Works EXPECTED COST: $2 Million; Staffing would include city staff and administration throughout the entire process SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County, Army POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Dacono City Budget; Corps of Engineers Grants (State and Federal) PROGRESS MILESTONES: Design Completion, Impact Reports, permitting, RFQ, RFP, bidding, construction, reclamation and completion. -7861 294 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Dacono: Grandview Street and York Street Flood Mitigation PRIORITY: High (#2) HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : Grandview (Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 2, 4 Road 12) at York Street (Weld County Road 11) RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/19/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 12/31/2020 ISSUE: In the event of sustained moderate or heavy rain, this intersection experiences flooding. RECOMMENDATION : Installation of box culverts ACTION : Engineering design and construction LEAD AGENCY: City of Dacono Public Work EXPECTED COST: Unknown SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Dacono city budget; State and Federal grants PROGRESS MILESTONES: Engineering design and construction, RFP, bidding, construction, reclamation, completion. iss 295 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Letter of Intent to Participate CITY OF DACONO O COLORADO EST. 1908 d LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE August 25, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in the Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the City of Dacono is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the City of Dacono has agreed to participate in Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the City of Dacono agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The City of Dacono understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; 512 Cherry Street, Dacono,Colorado 80514 ♦ (303)833-2317(303)833-5528 fax • www.dtyofdacano.com I 296 I Michael Baker �' 1 � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Mayor Charles Sigman, commit the City of Dacono to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 25t ay of August, 2014 'Char e igman Mayor 512 Cherry Street, Dacono,Colorado 80514 ♦ (303)833.2317(303)833-5528 fax ♦ www.dtyofdacono.com h._ Michael Baker 297 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of Erie "Erie is a community which recognizes the importance of conserving and enhancing its historic small town character, the roots from which it grew, preserving the natural environment in which it resides; a caring community which offers its residents an environment in which to seek a high quality of life; a balanced community with a diverse range of housing, employment, educational, shopping, and recreational opportunities; and a vital community which provides financial and social support for quality of life programs. " — Community Vision Statement, 2005 Town of Erie Comprehensive Plan Incorporated in 1874, the Town of Erie is situated at the center of Colorado's major economic and population hubs. Located in both Boulder and Weld Counties, Erie lies just west of 1-25 and spans 48 square miles, extending from the north side of State Highway 52 and south to State Highway 7. / T 1 I I / I u , .mot Through its comprehensive planning process, the Town has established a set of Guiding Principles as pillars for the community's development over the next 20 years. The following principles describe local aspirations and set the direction for development and policy decisions, while building on the Vision established for the community. • A coordinated and efficient pattern of growth • Quality design and development • Overall economic vitality • Downtown vitality • A comprehensive, integrated transportation system • Stewardship of the natural environment • Trails, parks and recreation opportunities • A Protected Lands program • Balanced land use mix • Stable, cohesive neighborhoods offering a variety of housing types ►% ��' = Michael Baker 298 ! . cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT • Provide infrastructure and public services efficiently and equitably A number of these Guiding Principles reinforce the hazard mitigation and risk reduction goals outlined in this plan. For example, the stewardship of the natural environment in floodplains and high risk areas is a mitigation strategy that has mutual benefits for risk reduction and for the vision for a community with a high quality of life. The Town of Erie used the Vision statement and Guiding Principles from their Comprehensive Plan to frame the discussion about their local mitigation strategy. Community Profile The following profile illustrates population, housing, and employment trends for the Town of Erie. The data used in this profile was derived from the 2010 US Census of Population, Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG ) regional data, and Colorado Department of Local Affairs ( DOLA) demographic data . The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Erie. Town of Erie Statistics Town of Erie Colorado Population, 2014 20,493 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 13 .0% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 9.6% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 31.3% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 5.7% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 10.0% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 82.6% 65.4% Persons Per Household 2.92 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 4. 1% 13.2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $ 103,796 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment The Town of Erie is situated in both Boulder and Weld Counties. For the purpose of this plan, spatially analyzed hazard risks have been only assessed for the areas of Erie that lie specifically within Weld County. RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Flood 1 .2 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 3. 100 HAZMAT 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.3 3.000 Severe Storm 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.3 2.800 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.800 Michael Baker I 299 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGE MENI WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ; NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Drought 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.800 Earthquake 0.3 1 .2 0.8 0.4 0. 1 2.800 Land Subsidence 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.700 Straight-Line Winds & 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0. 1 2.500 Tornadoes Prairie Fire 1 .2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 2.500 Public Health Hazards 0.3 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.500 HIGH RISK ( rm; Extreme Temperatures; Drought; Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Straight-line Winds and Tornadoes; Prairie Fire; Public Health Hazards MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) Low Risk (1.9 or lower) Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Erie, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to Town of Erie. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of Erie's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. tfi 300 ,' ? � ' ` Michael Baker cc - " `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA' Town of Erie Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of Erie I j High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed �.l� Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning r J Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: `L Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2O16.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads ir ° http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html Low (Bottom 20 /o) r PAT' Alp v./ O jefiAdo 103 4 Frri/49 t. tri A ri ilbe/ _ ,r $5, _ }F EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles I l I l III II Broomfield County Source: Colorado Division of Water Resourced Dam Safety ranch FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board Erie is characterized by a mix of low to medium-high levels of social vulnerability. The majority of the Town is in the bottom 20% of social vulnerability in the county. Over time, monitoring social vulnerability levels and performing close analysis of the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the town and it resiliency. Flood According to the best available data there have been no reported injuries or deaths in the Town of Erie caused by flooding. Based on the flooding event of 2013, there is a great potential for flood events to occur at any given time. 301 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL Town of Erie Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. Town of Erie 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 61 Weld County flooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) concerning this study can be found at: - - http://www. mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 2013 Flood Max Inundation Extent Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html - 44 t • • • I 7-1<I _ ..tir l`,:i \..... t • r f o _ • ' • 1 U d r ri. i.it' 2--1 la 4,.. :"..iir - . . . U % 1. . ^' et If a- I • . c ' r i i *_lB .1t1t ,' roofid ' ` JI a 1 0 0.75 1.5 3Miles : }-113): i '; w r•t I I I I I I I I I ❑ l• c <1 F! i Michael Baker Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Inventory Exposed There is record of one flood occurring within the town limits on July 27, 1997. The flood was categorized as a flash flood. The flood event in September of 2013 greatly impacted the town . During and after the flood and severe weather incidents, the Town utilized its social media and website to keep the public informed and provided essential public health and safety instructions. After the 2013 floods Town of Erie Department of Public Works staff worked with FEMA, the State of Colorado, and other Federal agencies and managed the process of submitting and seeking reimbursement for nearly 40 projects totaling more than $ 1.3 million. 302 '_ �. �`y�_ J Michael Baker marks. ��_ 1-�il _ I U �� f INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there is 1 critical facility and 104 structures in the Town of Erie that are flood prone (not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . Critical facilities are essential to the health and welfare of the whole population and are especially important both during and after hazard events. Critical structures or areas that overlap or touch the SFHA are considered "flood prone." The appraised value of these exposed structures is approximately $34.9 million dollars. Potential fosse. Hazus estimates for the Town of Erie that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 104 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is over $ 1,746,600. Currently, there is 1 critical facility located within the floodplain in the Town of Erie. Hazus does not report an economic loss on this critical facility caused by flood damage. The total building losses for the 100-year flood event are estimated to be over $ 1,371,390. Building content losses are estimated to be over $223,870. Inventory losses are estimated to be over $151,330. The map below shows the flooding threat to structures in the Town of Erie by layering identified special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with the locations of community-defined structures. 303 Michael Baker �'' r11 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood Town of Erie Total Economic Loss (Count) scenario involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads O $100 - $10,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, O Weld County o $10.001 - S50.000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) O $50,001 - $100,000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. imp High : 57.856 o $100.001 - $250,000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel. Low : 0 • $250.001 - $1 .000.000 (0) • $1 ,000,001 - $2,600,000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html „fez. •• • 90 • C 7 O � V 7 rIco �I. Broomfield County o � p `A 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles 11111 I I I I Michael Baker r,.. Source: Federal Emergency anagement Agency, Weld County INTERNATIONAL rMrRGiN v -I- 4861 +4e 304 = Michael Baker - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAZMAT Based on data supplied by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been no reported HAZMAT incidents within the town limits between 1972 and 2015. Inventory E oo ecl Two designated nuclear and hazardous materials transportation routes run adjacent the Town of Erie ( I - 25 and Highway 52) . All structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of these transportation routes are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of an industrial or commercial fixed site are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release. Fbtential losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released . Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Erie. There have been 5 recorded hail events within the town limits as well as several events less than one mile from the town limits. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. 305 i Michael Baker L� r ' 1 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend Town of Erie Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Erie O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: -' 1 Weld County O 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 >. Or 4 0 O U i O v m O O Broomfield O N County `R� ' 0 1 2 4Miles 'p °A r : -- . �� r . I t i , l I I i _ e r I Michael Baker %. :* ,t0 , —INTERNATIONAL— EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Lightning According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Erie from lightning. There is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time within the Town of Erie. Winter Storm According to the best available data, the Town of Erie has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996.22 On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Erie is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Erie can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 20,493 people, or 100% of the Town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the town . Damages 22 NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, Storm Events Database 306 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Rbtential losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Erie including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Erie. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Erie due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16th and 17th, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur within the region at any given time. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Age: 65 and Over (%) Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 Town of Erie 5.7 4. 1 17.4 The Town of Erie has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the town . A much larger percentage of Erie residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Erie residents (in general ) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. 1 �� Michael Baker 307 1 r, _v cc _, ` , INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fbtential losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the Town of Erie are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the Town of Erie resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the Town of Erie due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Erie due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Due to the nature of drought, all jurisdictions within Weld County are expected to be impacted under drought conditions. Agricultural communities are expected to bear the brunt of drought effects in the county. Inventory Exposed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the Town of Erie. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Potential losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the Town of Erie could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Erie continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Earthquake According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Erie due to earthquakes. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for earthquake events to occur at any given time. 1" 7 Michael Baker 308 cc _ v - Y ��, : INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLC Town of Erie Golden Fault Scenario Ground Acceleration Ground motion information derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. The event parameters and location were chosen based on pre-existing scenarios outlined by the Colorado Geological Survey. Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html C Legend o 4Peak Ground Acceleration (% g) U Town of Erie '�.f� Weld County Per Census Tract z 3.3463 - 5.7368 O Jurisdictions I 5.7369 - 11.1218 Major Roads 11.1219 - 15.2475 A _ . . 15.2476 - 19.8917 19.8918 - 32.6512 0 0.5 1 2 Miles ,A`y0? r 1 .MEitCFNCY MANAGEMFN7 Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Michael Baker Broomfield County Survey, United States Geological Survey INTERNATIONAL Inventory Exposed According to the Hazus inventory, there are an estimated 5,226 buildings in the Town of Erie with a total building replacement value (excluding contents) of $981,531,250. -FT-'=.:1 Michael Baker I 309 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA' Town of Erie Legend Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation Town of Erie Jurisdictions Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario O Weld County Major Roads with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, business Total Economic Loss (Building/Parcel Count) inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. $100 $50,000 (4,061) Point locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. Where parcels do not have builldings, the point is the centroid $50,001 $150,000 (25) of that parcel. $150,001 - $400,000 (7) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, O $400,001 - $1,000,000 (2) the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: • $1,000,001 - $3,500,000 (2) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 1 • I K • • '•K / - _ - es Li 1 p u a IiTh ` / 1• • • C .• O • • U L_ II • o . o U r 4 -----t[ I IU i 7 ` Broomfield County 0 0.5 1 2 Mile- I i i i 1 i i i I Ia i Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado ' Geological Survey, Unitedlir _ States Geological Survey, Weld Michael Baker X11. County, Federal Emergency INTERNATIONAL .m- ,, -, . , .I Management Agency Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL mil RC;I NC ? ^AANA(;WENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Ebtential losses For the Golden Fault earthquake scenario, the total losses were estimated to be $1,746,600. Spatially, a majority of the worst loss areas were located in the southern and western, urban portion of the town . Generally, these are areas which are more densely/highly populated and more closely located to the Golden epicenter. Hazus estimates 15 critical facilities with a total loss of $6,438,957. Of the 15 critical facilities, 12 will be over 50% functional on the first day of the event. 311 1 0, �'' `' Michael Baker rl� cc , " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA S a Town of Erie Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation - Critical Facilities Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake Legend scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a Town of Erie Jurisdictions moment magnitude of 6.5. Total economic losses include: Weld County Major Roads building repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs Total Economic Loss (Count) of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Critical facilities as defined by the Weld County OEM. Point O $100 $50,000 (7) locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. 0 $50,001 - $150,000 (3) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map O $150,001 - $400,000 (2) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, Q $400,001 $1,000,000 (2) the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: • http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html $1,000,001 - $3,000,000 (2) O U O 3 O /r7 O i / - /3 in O , O � O O CD CO c 0 O `� O U O L N i ®6 0 t� 00 O CO f l\ O © U R-FC 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Broomfield County I I t I I I t i I n Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado C Geological Survey, United 0° CI • F States Geological Survey, O te •r;Q Michael Baker Weld County, Federal • 0 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Emergency Management Agency 312j�i ►lll = Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL I NI,- C.t '.. • `dA??.A :} Mc NI WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The Golden Fault scenario estimates that a total of 85 tons of debris will be generated from that 6. 5 magnitude event. Of the total amount, brick and wood make up 30% of the total, with the remainder of the debris being reinforced concrete and steel . When the debris tonnage is converted to an estimated number of truckloads, it will require 4 truckloads ( @25 tons/truck) to remove the debris generated by the earthquake. Town of Erie Golden Fault Scenario Debris Generation Debris generation estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. ii Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: a http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html, irc Legend r /,,',:J1` Town of Erie . Debris Estimates -p . 1/st/ I Tons 5 / cr3Weld County O 0 - 2,000 Jurisdictions 2,000 - 5,000 Mayor Roads 2 4:71 0 5,000 - 15,000 15,000 - 30,000 ., / 30,000 - 65,000 Ty , 1.1"ll � 7i I 0 0.5 1 2 Miles '- � / 77 ' I I l I I i 1 I I ' ^P a1 r1 r �/• - I.' / Source: Hazus MH Colorado Geological EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Survey, United States Geological Survey, Michael Baker I Weld County, Federal Emergency INTERNATIONAL /, ; ' Broomfield County Management Agency The Golden Fault model estimates that 204 households will be displaced in the Town of Erie due to an earthquake and 116 people will seek temporary shelter in public shelters. 313 Michael Baker a co - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Erie Golden Fault Scenario Shelting Estimations Displaced household estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. V p Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using ' the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map:http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html �. Legend o /jTown of Erie Shelter Estimates - Displaced Households U / G ) Weld County p 0 - 5 � Jurisdictions - �• Major Roads 5 - 10 m ' 10 - 20 18.0 20 - 50 - 50 - 170 I � N 0 0.5 1 2 Miles ` ask/fe— I t l l l l l J Pod — % EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Michael Baker • Broomfield Survey, United States Geological Survey, I N T E R N A T I O N A L County Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency Land Subsidence The Colorado Geological Survey has developed a collection of Case Histories related to historical land subsidence events in Colorado. Two out of five of CGS's Case Histories are located in Erie, Co. Summaries of the two subsidence events in Erie have been included below (provided by Colorado Geological Society). Case History: 2009, Jay Road, Erie, CO In January 2009 a large subsidence hole was reported at a residence near the corner of a horse barn. The property owners reported the hole "opened up overnight" and a fence and gate had been destroyed by the event. The hole measured roughly 25 feet by 25 feet by 15 feet deep and was filled with water. Because of the nature of the opening and the proximity to livestock and human activities, the event was considered a subsidence emergency and was backfilled by the Abandoned Mine Lands program . Case History: 2008, Erie, CO In December of 2008, a large subsidence hole in a field west of Erie was reported . The hole was about 50 feet in diameter and 35 feet deep. The field where the hole appeared was under consideration for annexation by the Town of Erie for future residential development. However, a geophysical investigation conducted three months prior to the event did not show any evidence of voids in the area . In fact, the hole was located outside of the mined area shown on the mine map. During the mitigation process, a Michael Baker 314 INTERNATIONA L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA secondary subsidence pit of smaller dimensions was found directly west of the original hole. Both holes were backfilled by the Abandoned Mine Lands program . Inventory Exposed A structure may be at risk to the impacts of land subsidence if it is located over or close to an undermined area . The maps below identify the locations within the Town of Erie that have elevated potential for subsidence due to historical mining activity and development activity. Town of Erie Critical Facilities in Undermined Areas arn diti Undermined areas identified in the data set only includes coal and/3 i clay mining activity known by the Colorado Geological Survey. r I-iii Ji Point locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. 1 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan /'A) writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and :' GI L adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: O http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html C ] - CO oo D i G o o ,- Legend L �� Building Value (Count) o r b Undermined Areas o ° o No Structure Value (0) 00iii Town of Erie o $1 - $100,000 (0) _ Jurisdictions o $100.001 $500.000 (1 ) Weld County o $500.001 - $1 ,000.000 (0) I ® •• $1 ,000,001 - $18.000,000 (3) • 5 ... 's_..'.:_ 0 0.5 1 2 Miles 1 A EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Broomfield I I l l I I I I I Source: Colorado Geological Survey, Michael Baker County Weld County INTERNATIONAL 315 ; g t•- r N ` Michael Baker cow_. INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ° Town of Erie Structures/Parcels in Undermined Areas ;1 . / O riti—tt- er • Undermined areas identified in the o . .t. ,. . O -0000moc data set only includes coal and clay b OOOOO/ mining activity known by the Colorado OOOO c Geological Survey. Point locations are OOOOO _ - sometimes approximate and not the III .,,• '1, -- actual building location. Where . % I o parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centroid of that parcel. s_ - Ca ` / _I �f/ Ge 0 •o O Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, i this information is best viewed using the web map O Ci developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following ,o URL will take readers to the web map: Cbo oo0 , http://www.weidhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. 0 °0 O Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld Coun Sig O will then host this data at the following URL: http:// O O OO ° ° ° OCI www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIs/GISMaps.html All% 0o 0 8800 a0o0 Legend ° . O ° Do O O ° Town of Erie `� OOOOOO 0 ° 0° p� -' .fr OO ° (Do O" , C A it 'o o ° 0000.00 Jurisdictions o ll O O OOOOOOU ° 8 o O Weld County Ic-J o O O OOOOO O o0 O O O o Major Roads o o O o° m O O • 0 Undermined Areas ., O 0 O Will O O . o O Building Value (Count) • b ° ° O I O ° O No Structure Value (401 ) O $1 - $100.000 (17) 0 O —IL o $100,001 - $500.000 (439) o. 9 ° o f • $500.001 - $1 ,000,000 (22) O o • $1 .000.001 - $18,000.000 (13) O O I o n O 0 0.375 0.75 1.5 Miles I I i 1 I ,i i I I Source: Colorado Geological Survey, . e•'ft. . 'a. , Q• O • • Weld County co 80 O O _ : i 0 /? Broomfield County Michael Baker Y s1Lii .'v:,rii INTERNATIONAL lMERGENtemmiactuktgI Fbtential losses The following table summarizes the potential losses associated with potential land subsidence events in the Town of Erie County. Structures and parcels within high risk areas, as well as critical facilities, have been identified and their collective value quantified. 316 i ii Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL Count Total Assessor Value Structure/Parcels 892 $ 159,337,763 Critical Facilities 4 $25,036,045 The risk analysis indicates that Erie has relatively high exposure to land subsidence, primarily because of the location of historically undermined areas in relation to urban development and population growth. Not only have there been previous land subsidence events reported in the county, CGS data of at-risk areas shows a number of areas of historical undermining in the county, many of which intersect with critical facilities, largely populated areas, and future development areas. Straight-Line Winds and Tornado According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Erie due to tornadoes. There have been three tornadoes reported within the town limits between 1976 and 2013. A tornado occurred on July 12, 1979 and caused $4,000 worth of property loss . There have been tornadoes reported close to the borders of the Town limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Erie. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Erie due to straight-line winds. There have been 6 reports of high wind events within the town limits between 1987 and 2014. Tornadoes touched down in multiple areas across Colorado on Saturday, August 3, 2013 including Erie, according to the National Weather Service. The Boulder Office of Emergency Management alerted the public to a tornado warning around 7 P. M . Major damages were inflicted on the Town's Boulder Valley Velodrome, which is only the 2nd such facility in the state and whose construction was close to being completed . Straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Erie. 317 - Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Erie Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 0 Speed (knots) Weld County 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.5 1. 2 Miles I I I I I I Town of Erie 3 ® 71 - 80 I I I Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIs/GISMaps.html s • /0 c/f) cu L a-+ C , O O o H 18()1 Broomfield County Michael Baker Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL tMt'fGENCY MANAGk MINI Inventory Expo. d 318 Michael Baker �Ii /1 �; INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT All assets located in the Town of Erie can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 20,493 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the town . Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential losses, Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $981,531,250. Potential losses could be substantial . Prairie Fire On July 1st through July 7th, 1994, the Town of Erie experienced a prairie fire. There is no data available for injuries, deaths, or damages. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for prairie fire events to occur at any given time. There are a number of areas in the southeastern and south central region of the town that are within the medium to highest level on the WUI Risk Index Scale. This means that the potential impact on people and homes from a prairie fire in those areas is medium to high in relationship to the rest of Weld County. This level of risk is derived by combining housing density with predicted flame length . ') Michael Baker I 319 ; ! INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A. Town of Erie Legend WUI Risk Index Wildland Urban Interface Risk Index 9 Major Roads -8 Wildland urban interface risk index measures the potential impact on people Weld County and their homes from wildfire. This risk ranking was calculated by combining housing density with flame length - for example, areas with high housing Jurisdictions -6 density and high flame length are rated as "most negative impact" (-9). -5 Town of Erie -4 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map -3 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. IPM -2 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: - -1 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html a .i ....t ..y in- �' _ -t`• , sennw - , ril res ) ,''�' L• {• • I ,.L. r It :, l �� ....... i.mi . a 2 ' •: • A 4 1_ �r i . ,A i 4 4 4114: 1. 4 I D : ® ,, .. m A 1 y ..., AO A 1 ■ x1 1 L�• ItTr - -N - - �` ag ea , 1-.' IP or'r p°+ 'r y Pa r. sin iiirA ' Xi ' 71:. 'f IP wit )' Broomfield County i k r 0 r.' l 1 ��,, V Ii. ¶; a- ~ yvwrA -- 9 .. 0 0.5 1 2 Miles 4I ' t r i . 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ' " . 4, e • Michael Baker 1Y, '' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT M Source: Colorado State Forest Service- COWRAP Inventory Exposed »i86 8611..•••• Ii 320 q- tT rI r !k, ..•, Michael Baker t . cpvNIT_ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fires can extensively impact the economy of an affected area, including the agricultural, recreation and tourism industries, water resources, and the critical facilities upon which the Town of Erie depends. There are 652 identified structures located in areas with the highest wildfire threat total. The appraisal value of the assets within these high threat areas is approximately $ 136,245,819. When considering assets located in areas of moderate wildfire threat there are 395 structures identified. The appraised value of these assets is approximately $ 81,520,219. There are no critical facilities in the highest wildfire threat areas. There is one critical facility located in an area with the moderate wildfire threat. The appraised value of this facility is $312,720. Fbtential losses Currently, there is no method for estimating wildfire loss. In most cases, the emergency management community equates potential losses to assets exposed to wildfire as a method of quantifying and comparing potential losses across communities. The exposure data provided in the previous section ( Inventory Assets Exposed) provides the clearest picture of potential losses to wildfire in the Town of Erie. Public Health Hazards Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12.9 Town of Erie 5.7 9.6 4. 1 The Town of Erie has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the town . A larger percentage of Erie residents are under the age of 5 than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Erie residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. 321 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fbtential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the Town of Erie are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the Town of Erie resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the Town of Erie due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Erie to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program. Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Chief of Police serves as the Emergency Manager, Civil Engineer III serves as the Floodplain Administrator, and all departments share grant writing responsibilities. Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No (N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N 322 � !' �� - ) Michael Baker r'11t , cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Erie has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. The Town of Erie has had previous experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for mitigation and planning-related activities or projects. These include grants from : • FEMA, UASI, UDFCD, FAA, and DOLA Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Erie has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The Town of Erie will follow Boulder County's schedule for plan monitoring, revision, and maintenance. Mitigation Actions will be monitored and administered by appropriate Town Departments (i. e. Administration, Police and Public Works). Town of Erie The Town of Erie is participating in Hazard Mitigation Plans with both Boulder and Weld County. Plans will be made public (online) when they are brought forward for Board approval. Any changes to these plans requiring Board approval would also be made public. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Erie did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Erie based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "We will update our Capital Improvement Plans to integrate our mitigation Town of Erie actions. " 323 .'� �, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL Mitigation Action Guides The Town of Erie previously participated in the Boulder County Hazard Mitigation Plan which was inclusive of the Weld County portion of Erie. However, Erie did not participate in the 2009 Northeast Colorado Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan. The following table reports on those past Actions. Mitigation actions by Agency Responsible Office Achieved In progress Date Priority Priority Then Now Town of Erie Implement Emergency email and txt messaging Town of Erie - Y High NA notification system in ERIE Administration Continue to implement sound floodplain Town of Erie - DPW Y Y High High management practices as communities participating in the NFIP Install additional Outdoor Warning Sirens at new - Town of Erie N N 1/2015 High MVFR stations to be built starting 2015. - MVFR Emergency Generator for Town Hall Town of Erie - DPW N N 1/2015 High Coal Creek Trail Improvements Town of Erie - DPW N Y 1/2015 Medium Boulder Creek Trail Improvements Town of Erie - DPW N N 1/2015 Medium The following Mitigation Action Guides present each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Erie: Install Emergency Generator PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Storms LOCATION : Town of Erie GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 2017 ISSUE: Erie Town Hall is located at 645 Holbrook Street in Historic Downtown Erie. The building is a renovated, turn of the century school house. Though updated in 1998-1999, the building lacks a sufficient emergency generator to supply electrical power to all offices including Town Administration and the Erie Police Department. RECOMMENDATION : Improve continuity of operations. Minimize loss of life, public safety. ACTION : Install emergency generator LEAD AGENCY: Town of Erie Administration EXPECTED COST: $75,000 — Fred Diehl, 303-926-2764 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Pre-Hazard Mitigation Grants PROGRESS MILESTONES: Erie: Install Outdoor Warning Sirens a ` 1 1 == is,' Michael Baker 324 a 1 ,1 co _, -- y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Storms, Flooding LOCATION : Town of Erie GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2017 ISSUE : The Town of Erie and Mountain View Fire Rescue ( MVFR) have partnered to provide an outdoor warning notification siren for MVFR's Station 6, located at Erie Parkway and Bonanza Drive in the Grandview neighborhood of Erie. The siren matches others currently in operation throughout Boulder County and augments the siren located on 111th Street in Lafayette, which services southwestern Erie. Coordination and testing of the county-wide network of outdoor sirens is managed by the Boulder Office of Emergency Management ( BOEM ). MVFR will be constructing two new fire stations within Erie in the near future. Expansion of Erie's outdoor warning system within our growing community is essential to efforts to minimize loss of life during severe weather events. RECOMMENDATION : Install an early warning system to minimize loss of life and increase public safety. ACTION : Install Outdoor Warning Sirens LEAD AGENCY: Town of Erie Administration EXPECTED COST: $50,000 X 2 = $100,000 — Fred Diehl, 303-926-2764 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Pre-Hazard Mitigation Grants PROGRESS MILESTONES: Erie: Boulder Creek Improvements PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Erie GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2017 ISSUE : The Town of Erie Department of Public Works has started design of protection of the banks eroded during the September 2013 flood and add a diversion structure on Boulder Creek by the North Water Reclamation Facility. Once design work is completed, the Town would seek various funding sources for construction of improvements along this portion of Boulder Creek. RECOMMENDATION : Restore proper channel flow / flood prevention . Minimize loss of life, public safety and improve water quality. ACTION : Boulder Creek Improvements LEAD AGENCY: Town of Erie Department o EXPECTED COST: $250,000 Public Works — Gary Behlen, 303-926-2871. SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Pre-Hazard Mitigation Grants, 319 Funding ` ' I 325 Michael Baker co" INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MUL PROGRESS MILESTONES: Erie: Coal Creek Improvements PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Erie GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2017 ISSUE : The Town of Erie Department of Public Works has started design of improvements to two sections of Coal Creek; one from Vista Ridge Parkway south to the Concrete Box Culvert, and the other section near the irrigation reservoir east of Erie Commons. Once design work is completed, priority areas will be defined so the project can be phased and funding allocated . The Town would seek various funding sources for construction of improvements along both sections of Coal Creek. RECOMMENDATION : Restore proper channel flow / flood prevention . Minimize loss of life, public safety and improve water quality. ACTION : Boulder Creek Improvements LEAD AGENCY: Town of Erie Department of EXPECTED COST: $2,500,000 Public Works — Gary Behlen, 303-926-2871. SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Pre-Hazard Mitigation Grants, 319 Funding PROGRESS MILESTONES: *` I 326 '. Michael Baker '" ' • INTERNATIONAL cc• EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate Fred Diehl Town of Erie. •�. �`• Assistant to the ; : Town Administrator '.. S ,..4 ter �► •. ' 645 Holbrook tri 1 P.O. Box 750 TOWN OF ERIE Erie, Colorado 80516 1 874 November 20, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Erie is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Erie has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Mufti-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Erie agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Erie understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Fred Diehl Assistant to the Town Administrator, commit the Town of Erie to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 20'h day of November, 2014. Sin rely Fred Diehl Assistant to the Town Administrator 645 Holbrook • P.O. Box 750 • Erie, Colorado, 80516 • Phone (303) 926-2700 • Fax (303) 926-2705 I. • r h Michael Baker 327 �r , rp • C _ -' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Evans The City of Evans, incorporated in 1869, is located in northern Colorado at the crossroads of US Highway 85 and US Highway 34. Once the County seat of Weld County, Evans is the second most populated municipality in the County. The City of Evans is growing rapidly, and the population nearly doubled between 2000 and 2010. In 2010, the City established a basic policy direction through the development of a Comprehensive Plan. The following four categories represent the fundamental principles necessary to guide growth and development in Evans over the next 20 years: 1. Orderly, Efficient Growth Pattern and Adequate Public Facilities, Including an Efficient Transportation System 2. Open Space, Parks, Trails, and Recreation 3. Economic Development Opportunities Stable, Cohesive Neighborhoods and Improved Community Identity Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the City of Evans. City of Evans Statistics City of Evans Colorado Population, 2014 20,473 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 10.4% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 9.5% 6.8% Michael Baker 328 cc _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT % Population under 18 years, 2010 31.5% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 6. 1% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 26.6% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 58.5% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 3.05 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 19.6% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $46,847 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD RF PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Flood 1 .2 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 3. 100 HAZMAT 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.3 3.000 Severe Storm 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.3 2.800 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.800 Drought 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.800 Earthquake 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0. 1 2.800 Land Subsidence 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.700 Straight-Line Winds & 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0. 1 2.500 Tornadoes Prairie Fire 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 2.500 Public Health Hazards 0.3 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.500 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Flood; HAZMAT; Sevrere Storm; Extreme Temperatures; Drought; Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; Prairie Fire; Public Health Hazards MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) Low Risk (1.9 or lower) Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the City of Evans, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the City of Evans. 7 Michael Baker 3 29 =1. 49 INTERNATIONAL r ,. a, .. I r; .1I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The City of Evan's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. City of Evans Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, City of Evans High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning (O Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads ° http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html Low (Bottom 20 /o) - Irit , re-' pci j, I � EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Michael Baker rah INTERNATIONAL ri 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Source: lorado Division of Water Resources Darn Safety B nch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The City of Evans is characterized by a mix of medium to high levels of social vulnerability. The majority of the City is within the medium-high social vulnerability range and the north eastern portion of the town falls within the top 20% of socially vulnerable places in Weld County. Evaluating the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community over time will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the town and it resiliency. Flood According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the City of Evans caused by flooding. There have been flood events that occurred within the 1 ►% ��' � � Michael Baker 330 1 r , _v ce - ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA town limits as well as near the town limits. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for flood events to occur at any given time. City of Evans Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. City of Evans 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads (maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 f Weld County ilooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details dt Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) aconcerning this study can be found at: ;http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 2013 Flood Max Inundation Extent Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption,Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html T -4. r . r . . y �_ 0, SitPligli • L A . itis cell aq 9 i ,.. r 1 , 11 t 45 A -rp . ily./- % • it irrdiesprZr-1 — _ ., • — , 0 o - Michael Baker 1 2 Miles _ I I I I ( i I INTERNATIONAL Source: Feder I Emergency Management Agency, Weld County Inventory Exposed The critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there are no critical facilities and 13 structures in the City of Evans that are flood prone (not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . The appraised value of these exposed structures is approximately $2. 1 million dollars. Fbtential losses Hazus estimates for the City of Evans that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 13 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is over $2 .6 million dollars. The map below shows the flooding threat to structures in the City of Evans by layering identified special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with the locations of community-defined structures. I 331 _ ' 71Michael Baker v INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood o City of Evans Total Economic Loss (Count) scenario involving the 1 /o Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads ° $100 $10,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, C Weld County ° $10,001 - $50,000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) O $50.001 - $100.000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. pm High : 57.856 ° $100,001 $250,000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel. Low : 0 O $250.001 - $1 ,000.000 (0) I O $1 .000.001 - $2,600,000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html o i itN ❑ l,-y r� a, ° OO O „pit c„ O O O 01 0 0.5 1 2 Miles e P111111 t I ' Michael Baker a L - i INTERNATIONA L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: ederal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County • HAZMAT Based on data supplied by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been 36 reported HAZMAT incidents within the City of Evans between 1972 and 2015. Inventory Exposed Two designated nuclear and hazardous materials transportation routes run adjacent the City of Evans ( US 34 and US 85). All structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of these transportation routes are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of an industrial or commercial fixed site are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release . I 332 '7( Michael Baker w'ti��I� U INTERNATIONAL Rhtential losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released . Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the City of Evans. There have been 9 recorded hail events within the City of Evans as well as several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the town limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Michael Baker I 333 ! 1, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I Legend City of Evans Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. City of Evans O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 2.01 - 3.00 Major Roads http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 p o G O O O O O 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles I I I I I I I I U O QA r , Michael Baker =INTERNATIONALL EMERGENCY MANAGFMEN7 Source: NOAA's Nation I Weather Service Storm Predicti n Center Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, property damage, or crop damage have occurred within the City of Evans caused by Lightning. There have been two recorded Lightning incidents in Evans one of which resulted in a death on June 5, 2009. There is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time in the City of Evans. Winter Storm According to the best available data, the City of Evans has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The City of Evans is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. inventory Exposed All assets located in the City of Evans can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 20,473 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the city. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the city's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail ' �` Michael Baker I 334 \ INTERNATIONAL It at EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the City of Evans including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Evans. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Evans due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16th and 17th, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur within the region at any given time. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Age: 65 and Over (%) Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 City of Evans 6. 1 19.6 41.5 The City of Evans has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. Evans has a higher percentage of people living below poverty level than the state. A lower percentage of Evans residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Evans residents (in general) appear to be more acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures than the general population of Colorado. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty, are homeless, or are renters. 335 W Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Potential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Evans are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the City of Evans resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Evans due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Evans due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory Exposer! Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the City of Evans. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Potential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the City of Evans could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Evans continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Earthquake According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Evans due to earthquakes. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the city, there is a great potential for earthquake events to occur at any given time. I 336 11 Michael Baker co INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Evans Golden Fault Legend Peak Ground City of Evans Scenario Ground Acceleration Acceleration (%g) Jurisdictions Per Census Tract Ground motion information derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 arthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment Major Roads I 3.3463 - 5.7368 magnitude of 6.5. The event parameters and location were I 15.7369 11.1218 chosen based on pre-existing scenarios outlined by the Colorado Geological Survey. P 11.1219 - 15.2475 illi 15.2476 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and 19.8917 after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: _ http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this 19.8918 32.6512 data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html , ; . ---7 i V it_ t/#A ,/ /i/ 4 ;: / / ` / /. / % // /, il a) r ----"------ , ill / 7% / '„ 7� ... . . 0.45 OS 1.8 Mile 7 I I 1 I Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological 1:7:.; Survey, United States Geological Survey, / I' � Michael Baker a Weld County, Federal Emergency y"' ' " MITIFTErn, IllEMERGENCY MANAGEMENT • Management Agency Inventory Exposed According to the Hazus inventory, there are an estimated 6,756 buildings in the City of Evans with a total building replacement value (excluding contents) of $641,363, 150. s�,.. . 7/ �� Michael Baker cc• � N - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLC City of Evans Legend Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation City of Evans Jurisdictions Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario Weld County Major Roads with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, business Total Economic Loss (Building/Parcel Count) inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. $100 - $50,000 (5,193) Point locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. Where parcels do not have builldings, the point is the centroid S50,001 $150,000 (10) of that parcel. $150,001 - $400,000 (3) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, • $400,001 - $1,000,000 (1) the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: • $1,000,001 - $3,500,000 (0) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIVOISMaps.html +IP • — _— - - - , I 1 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Mies 1 t ' ' I ource: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Survey, United States Geological Survey, Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency Michael Baker 'c p t.% Y. INTERNATIONAL FMFRGFNCYMANAGFMFNT Rbtential Losses For the Golden Fault earthquake scenario, the total losses were estimated to be $8,514,415. Spatially, a majority of the worst loss areas were located in the southern and western, urban portion of the city. Generally, these are areas which are more densely/highly populated and more closely located to the 338 Michael Baker • Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Golden epicenter. Hazus estimates 22 critical facilities with a total loss of $611,684. Of the 22 critical facilities, all will be over 50% functional on the first day of the event. City of Evans Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation - Critical Facilities Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake Legend scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a City of Evans Jurisdictions moment magnitude of 6.5. Total economic losses include: CD Weld County Major Roads building repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs Total Economic Loss (Count) of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. - Critical facilities as defined by the Weld County OEM. Point O $1.00 $50,000 (16) locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. O $50,001 - S150,000 (6) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map O $150,001 - $400,000 (0) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, O the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. $400,001 - $1,000,000 (0) Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html cp $1,000,001 - $3,000,000 (0) O u U 6) O) CD _C O c O O O , O O OOO O C O CD OO 0 O C J O O O O 9 O O O O O I O on o \ L-) O° O gley O O _-0.. O O1 i .r I n,-'' O �a ° I O O o I I O O O apod O O o O I-1 r `_ O O O O O O 1 O O O 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles O ) I I I I i I I I Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological • Survey, United States Geological Survey, OO O Michael Baker Weld County, Federal Emergency O INTERNATIONAL FMFReF•.fv•:'.n4Cib.:hr Management Agency n O O O The Golden Fault scenario estimates that a total of 39 tons of debris will be generated from that 6.5 magnitude event. Of the total amount, brick and wood make up 40% of the total, with the remainder of the debris being reinforced concrete and steel . When the debris tonnage is converted to an estimated number of truckloads, it will require 2 truckloads ( @25 tons/truck) to remove the debris generated by the earthquake. 339 Michael Baker F• cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA City of Evans Golden Fault Legend EI City of Evans Debris Estimates Scenario Debris Generation Jurisdictions Tons Debris generation estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 Major Roads 0 - 2,000 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden 2,000 - 5,000 Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. 5,000 - 15,000 15,000 - 30,000 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: - 111 30,000 - 65,000 http://www.weldhmp2o16.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html _ . 7 s --I—A --1 ___4 _ , /� / / i / / .... i '//' /i/ //7 // //7/ ,14 I .j' —I ILEI r %///� \ Ir., ' ///,/ / - , ,, /1- • ) _._-- / 7///4/17/// / / / is ice ,/ ll .7' ////21 #2/// . .. ///.72.7 of0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles b # it:// . ii ,i 1 ► Eli his • Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological r1` `ty �=1 Survey, United States Geological `� r' �� gSurvey, Michael Baker �� "�`' Weld County, Federal Emergency k , nTrill EMERGENCY MANAGEMI'1 Management Agency The Golden Fault model estimates that 136 households will be displaced in the City of Evans due to an earthquake and 99 people will seek temporary shelter in public shelters. r'1 1 ^ ± Michael Baker 340 - ji ell, � INTERNATIONAL I NMI I N[ ? MAN'', M I N I City of Evans Golden Fault Legend City of Evans Shelter Estimates Scenario S h e l t i n g Estimations ro Weld County Displaced Households Displaced household estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 Jurisdictions 0 - 5 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault Major Roads 5 - 10 with a moment magnitude of 6.5. 10 - 20 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, 20 - 50 the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: 50 - 170 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GISMISMaps.html 0111.71-- / I —111/4"..."\--\\---- il .°7 , . 1N. _ 4 yr __. ;c7; i 1; f, �l 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I I 7--- - i / Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological �� r Survey, United States Geological Survey, Michael Baker Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency I N T E R N A T I 0 N A L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Land Subsidence The risk analysis indicates that the City of Evans has limited exposure to land subsidence. Not only have there been no previous land subsidence events reported in the city, CGS data of at-risk areas shows very few areas of historical undermining, none of which intersect with critical facilities or future development areas. Inventory Exposed Based on the hazard risk assessment performed for this plan there are no structures, parcels, or critical facilities located in identified subsidence areas in the City of Evans. � _ 7 I 341 i Michael Baker J cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fbtential Losses Based on the hazard risk assessment performed for this plan there are no structures, parcels, or critical facilities located in identified subsidence areas in the City of Evans. Therefore, potential hazard losses are expected to be negligible or zero. Straight-Line Winds and Tornado According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Evans due to tornadoes. There is record of 1 tornado reported within the city limits on June 22, 1991. This incident caused $5,000 worth of property loss. There have been tornadoes reported very close to the borders of the city limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Evans. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Evans due to straight-line winds. There have been 7 reported high wind events between 1956 and 2013 within the city limits. On May 16, 1988 a high wind event caused $4,000 in property damage. Straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Evans. c±-Michael Baker I 342 ; ) ! 1, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL '." ' City of Evans Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend EF Scale Historical High Wind Events Major Roads 0 Speed (knots) Jurisdictions 1 O 50 - 60 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles City of Evans 2 O 61 70 I .1 �. I I_ I 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIs/GISMaps.html I r i_.,,Q IL O O Ci L ° iII/'L_Tr8 / I t. \) pe le---;:ri s_ \ L ) • M O il D , „..,,s____ig --\ n i Michael Baker sour::: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm P ediction Center INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Inventory &Xpo 3d T Michael Baker 343 ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA All assets located in the City of Evans can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 20,473 people, or 100% of the city's population, and all buildings and structures within the city. Most structures, including the city's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $641,363, 150. Potential losses could be substantial . Prairie Fire According to best available data, there are no historic prairie fires occurring within the City of Evans and no injuries, deaths, property damage or crop damages have been recorded . There is a small area in the central region of the city that are within the medium to highest level on the WUI Risk Index Scale. This means that the potential impact on people and homes from a prairie fire in those areas is medium to high in relationship to the rest of Weld County. This level of risk is derived by combining housing density with predicted flame length . 344 r ` �' `'• Michael Baker �'' rll INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A : City of Evans Legend WUI Risk Index Wildland Urban Interface Risk Index -8 Wildland urban interface risk index measures the potential impact on people Major Roads and their homes from wildfire. This risk ranking was calculated by combining housing density with flame length - for example, areas with high housing Jurisdictions -6 density and high flame length are rated as "most negative impact" (-9). -s City of Evans -4 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map -3 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. -2 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: -1 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html - A. . • .. , pinii., • } Ter; 4 . 4 . a Jett L wy P r l 0 4 40, atkee . 4 i H - . *It • • r � ._._ . , 8 . 4 •it.,i ,: ';'. , ` • ` , ' ' ' . • , QJ 1 �•' �' -, • Ma t. ■ t. 1/4- . , • ,,,.., -_ 41' LI) _ 47 Ar •4'' Illillt., rat . tillir jr. Ir �ha q 4 r `- 7 1 4 {A. a • WI :4,L 14. likr- tr _III: ' a il I .1 -Ti r 1 I y:�„ Fa, ' 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 Miles Michael Baker = ., till ' I I I INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCYMANAGEMENI Source: Colorado State Forest Service- COWRAP • Inventory Exposed Fires can extensively impact the economy of an affected area, including the agricultural, recreation and tourism industries, water resources, and the critical facilities upon which the City of Evans depends. There l ► _ X71 = ) Michael Baker 345 1 r , _v CC , ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA are 5 identified structures located in areas with the highest wildfire threat total . The appraisal value of the assets within these high threat areas is approximately $708,279. When considering assets located in areas of moderate wildfire threat there are 149 structures identified . The appraised value of these assets is approximately $10,389,437. There are no critical facilities in the moderate or high wildfire threat areas. Fbtential Losses Currently, there is no method for estimating wildfire loss. In most cases, the emergency management community equates potential losses to assets exposed to wildfire as a method of quantifying and comparing potential losses across communities. The exposure data provided in the previous section ( Inventory Assets Exposed) provides the clearest picture of potential losses to wildfire in the City of Evans. Public Health Hazard Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12.9 City of Evans 6. 1 9.5 19.6 The City of Evans has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. A larger percentage of Evans residents are under the age of 5 than the general population of Colorado. There is a much greater percentage of people living below poverty level than the state. Based on these statistics, Evans residents (in general) appear to be more vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. Potential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Evans are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the City of Evans resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost 346 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Evans due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the City of Evans to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the City's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the City's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X • • Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the City's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and '' �`' Michael Baker 347 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA codes. The City of Evans has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The City of Evans has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the city will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Strategy The mitigation actions will be reviewed by City Council annually. As part of the plan maintenance process, the City of Evans will continue to City of Evans engage the public in the process of identifying hazard risks and prioritizing mitigation actions. To do so the mitigation plan and the actions identified will be posted to the city website and it will be updated annually as actions and priorities change over time. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the City of Evans based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "Priorities that have been identified are in the following master plans and policy City of Evans documents: stormwater, transportation, and flood ordinances." 348 `'•I Michael Baker li cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on Evans' mitigation actions that were included in past Plans. City of Evans: Implement the high priority actions of the City of Evans' Comprehensive Master Drainage Plan. PRIORITY: Medium (implement as funding HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding becomes available) LOCATION : City of Evans GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: The City of Evans has a Comprehensive Master Drainage Plan that identifies over $22 Million in drainage improvements that necessary throughout the community. The City does have its own stormwater utility program which generates revenue to manage a stormwater master drainage plan . The plan is a multi-volume engineering document that delineates the problems, designs solutions, and calculates the cost-effectiveness of the recommended actions. The Public Works Department intends, over time, to implement the entire plan . For the purposes of this plan, however, Evans has prioritized the work to be accomplished first and submitted the following projects for inclusion in this plan . RECOMMENDATION : The Public Works Department intends, over time, to implement the entire plan. For the purposes of this plan, however, Evans has prioritized the work to be accomplished first and submitted the following projects for inclusion in this plan. • Storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 31st St.• Improve existing detention facilities/Construct storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 37th St. • Construct a large diameter storm sewer in 37th St., just east of US85 eastward to the Platte River. • Construct a storm sewer and drainage structures in W. Service Rd, from 42nd St. to the Platte River. ACTION : Implement the high priority actions of the City of Evans' Comprehensive Master Drainage Plan . LEAD AGENCY: Evans Public Works EXPECTED COST: • Storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 31st St. $950,000 • Improve existing detention facilities/Construct storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 37th St. $236,000 • Construct a large diameter storm sewer in 37th St., just east of US85 eastward to the Platte River. $ 1,905,000 • Construct a storm sewer and drainage structures in W. Service Rd, from 42nd St. to the Platte River. $335,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Stormwater utility fees and in-kind labor serve as match for grants I 349 1 'j = is; Michael Baker �; cci " `Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City of Evans completed phase one of a large diameter storm sewer in 37th Street, ease of US 85 to the Platte River. Evans also completed a storm sewer and drainage structures in W Service Road from 42nd St. to the Platte River. Storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US 85 and 31st Street are scheduled to start in 2009, as are ongoing improvement to existing detention facilities in the vicinity of US 85 and 37th Street. Dacono uses the "Anderson Plan" that was completed in 1999. The plan needs to be updated . Complete and an on-going action that continues to be updated as master plans are updated . City of Evans: Participate in Storm Ready PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather LOCATION : Weld County-wide GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing; Four classes completed in the spring March-May 2009 alLj_ ISSUE: One of the goals for the Northeast region is to have all 11 counties' participate in Storm Ready. Weld County has been a participant in the past, and the intent is to maintain Storm Ready status RECOMMENDATION : As a Storm Ready County, we hold several Weather Spotter Classes. These classes are taught by NOAA and participants can become a spotter and report information to NOAA or the WCRCC. ACTION : Apply and maintain 'Storm Ready" status with NOAA. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM in EXPECTED COST: Staff Time and funds for meeting for conjunction with appropriate County/Town drinks and goodies. This will come from the OEM Departments with municipalities budget participating in this plan (Ault, Dacono, Evans, Firestone, Fort Lupton, Frederick, Garden City, Gilcrest, Greeley, Grover, Hudson, Johnstown, Keenesburg, Kersey, LaSalle, Mead, Milliken, New Raymer, Pierce, Platteville, Severance, and Windsor), and school districts (Weld County RE-4, RE-6 and RE-8, Platte Valley Schools). SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget and local business sponsor's PROGRESS MILESTONES: Evans has been participating with Weld County as being a member of the Counties StormReady program . Currently the City host at least one weather spotter class per year and will continue to expand the community's server weather awareness. -1861 ar" I 350 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN City of Evans: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium J HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Evans GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to floodprone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The City has hired a consultant rom to act as out flood plain manager. Post the September 2013 floods, the City updated their flood mitigation ordinance to help mitigate additional damage from future floods. The following Mitigation Action Guides each of Evans' new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan. City of Evans: Implement the high priority actions of the City of Evans' Comprehensive Master Drainage Plan. PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Evans GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/15/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2018 ISSUE: The City of Evans has a current Master Drainage Plan that has identifies over $22 Million in drainage improvements that necessary throughout the community. However, the city is in the process if updating the Master Drainage Plan and should be approved In 2016. The City does have its own storm water utility program which generates revenue to manage a storm water master drainage plan. The plan is a multi-volume engineering document that delineates the problems, designs solutions, and calculates the cost-effectiveness of the recommended actions. The Public Works Department intends, over time, to implement the entire plan. For the purposes of this plan, however, Evans has prioritized the work to be accomplished first and submitted the following projects for inclusion in this plan. RECOMMENDATION The Public Works Department intends, over time, to implement the entire plan. For the purposes of this plan, however, Evans has prioritized the work to be accomplished first and submitted the following projects for inclusion in this plan, but may change at the completion of the updated Master Drainage Plan • Storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 31st St. 351 ! ` = 'k ' Michael Baker co , , y �� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN improve existing detention facilities/Construct storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 37th St. • Construct a storm sewer and drainage structures in W. Service Rd, from 42nd St. to the Platte River. Install a secondary storm water system that will carry storm water back to the river when the river has raised significantly and has covered the primary storm water discharges. ACTION : Implement the high priority actions of the City of Evans' Comprehensive Master Drainage Plan . LEAD AGENCY: City of Evans Public Works EXPECTED COST: • Storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 31st St. $950,000 • Improve existing detention facilities/Construct storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 37th St. $236,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Storm water utility fees and in-kind labor serve as match for grants PROGRESS MILESTONES: Improvements to many of the existing detention facilities have been completed since the 2004 hazard L i mitigation plan. Storm sewer improvements in the vicinity of US85 and 37th St. were completed in the summer of 2015, the picture to the right is of the project. Storm sewer improvements 3 in the vicinity of US85 and 31st St. started in the fall of 2015 and is expected to be completed in 2016. , tti At ,- '. 4cir i *I* I S cV w -: r ..1.:4 4tic"St' -14 0, b- - '. et'! . r •_`. ep•• �t. ,-,-80( ' 'iii ` ti ,e;•:';,,;‘ ,..: A. ` 7.1 r! -- h Michael Baker I 352 . %. 1 , cci " `it INTERNATIONAL ,-.. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt City of Evans: Apply for and maintain "Weather Ready Ambassador" status with NOAA PRIORITY: Medium J HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather LOCATION : City of Evans GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/15/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B,C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2018 ISSUE: While still participating with Weld County as "Storm Ready." The City of Evans intends to be a Weather Ready Ambassador through NOAA. RECOMMENDATION : As a Weather Ready Ambassador, we hold several Weather Spotter Classes. These classes are taught by NOAA and participants can become a spotter and report information to NOAA or the WCRCC. ACTION : Apply and maintain "Weather Ready Ambassador" status with NOAA. LEAD AGENCY: City of Evans Office of EXPECTED COST: Staff Time and funds for meeting for Emergency Management. drinks and goodies. This will come from the OEM budget SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget and local business sponsors ATs/E t3 & S S AID C) RTM MS' W SAT - SEE ID N AT I O N o! A1, • Michael Baker 353 I INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt City of Evans: Implement ordnances to prevent any building within the 100yr floodplain PRIORITY: Medium J HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Evans GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/15/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2018 ISSUES: Start the process of implementing no building ordinances within the 100yr flood plan . RECOMMENDATION : Work with City Council, County Commissioners, and legal counsel to start to enhance the city's floodplain ordinances to prevent structures from being built within the 100yr floodplain in order to protect life and property. ACTION : Implement ordnances prevent any building within the 100yr floodplain. LEAD AGENCY: City Manager's Office EXPECTED COST: Staff Time and legal fees SUPPORT AGENCIES: Community POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: General budget. Development, City of Evans OEM, flood recovery team . City of Evans: Complete engineering, hazard mitigation analysis on 49th street and Industrial Pkwy; Rebuild 49th street and Industrial Pkwy; Update and implement Transportation Plan PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : City of Evans GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/15/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2017 ISSUES: As the City of Evans continues to grow and change, the transportation system needs to be updated to meet the needs of the future and allow adequate access for residents, businesses, property owners and first responders in the event of disaster. During the September 2013 Flood several roads in and around the City of Evans sustained damage. While most of this damage has been addressed, the heavy rains of May/June 2015 once again damaged the low lying sections of 49th St., Industrial Parkway and Brantner Road . In the near term, these streets need to be reconstructed in a more resilient manner. In the long term the city should develop options to using these low lying roads. RECOMMENDATION : The following items need to be addressed . • Update 2004 Transportation plan with an emphasis on community resiliency, economic development, connectivity, and hazard mitigation. • As part of the transportation plan, develop standards/guidelines for new and existing transportation infrastructure in floodplains • Complete engineering, hazard mitigation analysis, and reconstruction 49th St., Industrial Parkway and Brantner Road, to make the roads resilient to future floods and able to accommodate expected industrial traffic in the area. 354 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ACTION : Complete engineering, hazard mitigation analysis on 49th street and Industrial Pkwy. Rebuild 49th street and Industrial Pkwy, Update and implement Transportation Plan. LEAD AGENCY: City of Evans Public Works EXPECTED COST: • Transportation Plan $ 165,000 • 49th street and Industrial PKWY engineering and mitigation analysis $70, 000 • 49th street and Industrial PKWY construction cost is estimated around $600,000 to $1, 000, 0000. SUPPORT AGENCIES: City of Evans OEM, POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: General budget and flood recovery team . grants. -1861 •' . . 355 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate ea fNi of Evans, Colorado Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley. CO 80632 Re "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify cntena that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the City of Evans is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the City of Evans has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning. the City of Evans agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management. to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The City of Evans understands that it must engage in the following planning process. as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to. • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks. where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction, • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings. contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.): • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan: • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the lunsdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Junsdiction, I Aden Hogan, the City of Evans to the Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort Executed.this 29-day'ef . ust, 2014 ( ,, i _ crit%_______ e,a{ r! a1n05 er 355 v•, 'i r Michael Baker . coin-L, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of FirestonE "The Town of Firestone is a unique community of citizens, businesses, and governments that are united in creating a stable, safe, prosperous, and healthful environment in which to live, work, worship, learn, recreate and exercise the rights and freedoms provided by the United States Constitution. " — Firestone Master Plan 2013 Located just 20 minutes north of Denver along the 1-25 corridor, Firestone's boundary is approximately 7,774 acres with a planning area of about 56 square miles. Despite its rapid growth, the town has maintained 15 parks and five miles of trails that connect to the regional St. Vrain Legacy Trail and the Colorado Front Range Trail System . \— / N-N___ _ _ _ t , I s .. —. \i _ I ^f' -_�. �.` s •,J, 1 L ' � I t __ _ _ The Town of Firestone was incorporated in 1908. The Denslow Coal Company owned the land and subdivided the proposed town . At the time of incorporation, the estimated population of Firestone was 75. Firestone has claim to many firsts in the County including the first saloon, telephone central, lumber store and post office. The early 1960's saw the shift beginning from coal mining to natural gas drilling and home building and development in Firestone began on a larger scale. Since the mid-1990s, Firestone has experienced rapid growth in both the residential and commercial sectors. Today, Firestone is home to over 11,000 residents and the town has earned the title of the "Fastest Growing Community" in Colorado between 2000 and 2010, boasting an increase in population of 423% during that time (an increase from 1,908 people to 10, 147 people) . Michael Baker 357 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT row Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Firestone. Town of Firestone Statistics Town of Firestone Colorado Population, 2014 11,537 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 13.5% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 10.2% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 33 .3% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 5 .2% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 11.9% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 88.9% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 3.21 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 4.5% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $79,091 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING I Flood 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.4 2.700 Severe Storm 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.4 2.400 Straight-Line Winds & 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.4 2.400 Tornadoes HAZMAT 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 2.200 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0.4 2. 100 Prairie Fire 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.000 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .500 Drought 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .500 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .500 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .200 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Flood MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Severe Storm; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; HAZMAT, Extreme Temperatures; Prairie Fire 's rk Michael Baker 358 = - 1i,, INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Land Subsidence; Drought; Public Health Hazards; Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Firestone, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Firestone. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of Firestone's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. Michael Baker I 359 .,, ) ,► L!- INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN! WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Firestone Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from Town of Firestone High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed �.!''� Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning r J Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 'L Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I I ri31 1 r O l r si 2......°45Y, --i-iiii• .... .... ,86, ,_ 1t7777f7.^^^^^^' EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT‘L.J i I7 c� 0.75 1.5 Miles Michael Baker I I 1 I I i i l I n IINTERNATI0NAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Firestone is characterized by a mix of medium -low to medium-high levels of social vulnerability. The majority of the Town is in the bottom 20% of social vulnerability in the county although large portions of the county have medium levels of social vulnerability. There are also areas to the eastern border of the city that may struggle in times of disaster due to very high social vulnerability levels. Over time, close analysis of the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the town and it resiliency. Flood According to the best available data there are no reported injuries or deaths in the Town of Firestone caused by flooding. There has been 1 recorded flood in the Town of Firestone on August 6, 2008 that caused $50,000 in property damage and $25,000 in crop damage. There have been flood events that occurred within the town limits as well as several events close to the town limits, none of which reported 7 , Michael Baker 360 cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. There is a great potential for flood events to occur at any given time in the Town of Firestone. Town of Firestone Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. Town of Firestone 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 CLEJ Weld County flooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) concerning this study can be found at: http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 2013 Flood Max Inundation Extent Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 11— J • � 1 L } _ (1 . , -4 7 ,,,, ,„, ,., i ti • 'i - 1. ) - � ) k÷Hik; M / all pP , . 1 ‘n-es-\- 1174. L- 1 JJII ,,,a.--e...„.,--3 A 4. or Fii (/ Ia I 1irl‘ -lc i,t, i • - r , • S Ar k •••" -t ` " 0.75 1.5 3 Miles - j� �:.eiFI ur>�T'- Michael Baker ( - Ii I Iopt I I 1 I EMEGEN YMANAGEMENT INTERN A T l R N A .'1 Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County Inventory Exposed The critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there are 8 structures in the Town of Firestone that are flood prone (not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure). No critical facilities within the planning area are flood prone. The appraised value of the eight exposed structures is approximately $338,728. Rbtential Losses Hazus estimates for the Town of Firestone that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 8 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is $ 14,704. There are no critical facilities located within the floodplain in the Town of Firestone. Hazus estimates for the Town of Firestone that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 8 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is over $14,704. qicD. - f 361 = Michael Baker v INTERNATIONAL ' WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The map below shows the flooding threat to structures in the Town of Firestone by layering identified special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with the locations of community-defined structures. 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood Total Economic Loss Count scenario involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event Town of Firestone (Count) (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads O $100 $10,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, 4.2 Weld County ° $10.001 - $50,000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) ° S50.001 $100,000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. a High : 57.856 O $100,001 - $250.000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel. Low : 0 ° $250.001 - $1 ,000.000 (0) O $1 ,000,001 - $2.600.000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html fiii 040 O 4110,..-�, ° il , r. j ° is, 29r1 I N • ° ° LI ' 1i a r ilik ' - ' , o ° O Is* OO O. .OOt 6-:� o1 ll 0 0.75 1.5 3 Mile ,° 4 , ( r I I I 1 1 I I i 1 Ode Tr 1 lo it ° ° - Qv; :' r j It S "� a ,3 Michael Baker :`.,; air e INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCYMANAGEMtNI ° Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld Count Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Firestone to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . • 362 Michael Baker a' cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Firestone has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Firestone has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the city will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. 363 W Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The mitigation actions will be reviewed annually both by the police department and the Town Board. As part of the plan maintenance process, the Town of Firestone will continue Town of Firestone to engage the public in the process of identifying hazard risks and prioritizing mitigation actions. To do so, the mitigation plan will be reviewed by the Town Board on a regular basis, the public is always welcome and allowed input. Integration Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Firestone did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Firestone based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "We will integrate hazard mitigation actions into our Capital Improvements Plan Town of Firestone by emphasizing projects that mitigate the impacts of our highest risk hazards. " • 364 is, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of Firestone's mitigation actions that were included in the 2009 Plan. Town of Firestone: Participate in Storm Ready PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Weather LOCATION : Weld County-wide GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Four classes in the spring March-May ISSUE: One of the goals for the Northeast region is to have all 11 counties participate in Storm Ready. Weld County has been a participant in the past, and the intent is to maintain Storm Ready status RECOMMENDATION : As a Storm Ready County, we hold several Weather Spotter Classes. These classes are taught by NOAA and participants can become a spotter and report information to NOAA or the WCRCC. ACTION : Apply and maintain 'Storm Ready" status with NOAA. LEAD AGENCY: Weld County OEM in EXPECTED COST: Staff Time and funds for meeting for conjunction with appropriate County/Town drinks and goodies. This will come from the OEM Departments with municipalities budget participating in this plan (Ault, Dacono, Evans, Firestone, Fort Lupton, Frederick, Garden City, Gilcrest, Greeley, Grover, Hudson, Johnstown, Keenesburg, Kersey, LaSalle, Mead, Milliken, New Raymer, Pierce, Platteville, Severance, and Windsor), and school districts (Weld County RE-4, RE-6 and RE-8, Platte Valley Schools) . SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: OEM Budget and local business sponsor's PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Firestone continues to coordinate with Weld County OEM to provide and make classes available. Town of Firestone: Backup Generators for Town Hall and Critical Facilities PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All LOCATION : Town of Firestone GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Implementer'. in January 2011 ,rF 365 Michael Baker o ` r �' INTERNATIONAL cc EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ISSUE: Currently the Town of Firestone has no contingency plan for maintaining services during a power outage RECOMMENDATION : Implementing this plan will result in a reduction in losses based on the levels of services the Town of Firestone is able to maintain. It should increase the Town's ability to communication and coordinate with stakeholders. ACTION : Backup Generators for Town Hall and Critical Facilities. LEAD AGENCY: Office of Emergency EXPECTED COST: $60,000 Management SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: HLS grant, military surplus PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Firestone has purchased the back-up generator and it is fully functional during a power outage. Firestone: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: a ium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Firestone GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue tot. omote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Firestone is not participating in the CRS program; however we are a member of NFIP. The Town of Firestone adopted the model ordinance in Jan of 2014 as required by the State of Colorado. The Town of Firestone enforces the floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements. � . -i$et Michael Baker I 366 cc _ ' I N T E R N A T I O N A L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT The following Mitigation Action Guides present each of Firestone's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Firestone: Installation of culverts in the 4000 BIk. of Firestone Blvd. to reduce flooding PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Firestone (4000 BIk. of GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 Firestone Blvd.) RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Implemented by December 2016 1 ISSUE: The Town of Firestone needs to install culverts in the 4000 BIk. of Firestone Blvd . to mitigate street flooding issues on the roadway. This area of roadway is the main artery into the Town and can become flooded with moderate to heavy precipitation. RECOMMENDATION : Implementing this plan will result in keeping the roadway open to stake holders and emergency vehicles in times of moderate and heavy precipitation . ACTION : Installation of culverts in the 4000 BIk. of Firestone Blvd. for safe passage of vehicles. LEAD AGENCY: Office of Emergency EXPECTED COST: $3,500,000 Management SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: DOLA ($750,000) PROGRESS MILESTONES: *` Michael Baker I 367 '" ' • INTERNATIONAL cc• EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of Firestone: Installation of culvert at the intersection of Colorado Blvd. and Pine Cone Ave PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Firestone (Colorado GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 Blvd . and Pine Cone Ave. ) RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Implemented by December 2016 ISSUE: During times of heavy and prolonged precipitation this intersection and the 8000 Blk. of Colorado Blvd. can become flooded, preventing the safe passage of vehicle traffic. RECOMMENDATION : Installation of this culvert will reduce the flooding in the above area. This is a main artery for citizens and emergency vehicles to travel . ACTION : Minimize flooding for the safe passage of ehicles. LEAD AGENCY: Office of Emergency EXPECTED COST: $80,000 Management SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Existing budget PROGRESS MILESTONES: 368 r _ Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate FIRESTONE COLORADO A COMMUNITY IN MOTION LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE November 24, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in the Town of Firestone, a Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Firestone, hereinto referred to as the "Town," is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town has agreed to participate in the Weld County's] Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Mufti-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Wesley LaVanchy, commit the Town of Firestone to the Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 24th day of November, 2014 £ z . vvez, Wesley LaVanchy, Town Manager Firestone Town Hall 1 151 Grant Ave. I P.O. Box 1001 Firestone, CO 80520 303-833-3291 I Fax 303-833-4863 I www.FirestoneCO.gov 369 q. °j r �, •, Michael Baker . co'iN INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT City of Fort Lupton "Fort Lupton, building on the traditions of the past, will strive to provide every citizen with a safe, healthy and prosperous environment to live, learn, work and play while encouraging quality and well- managed growth." — City of Fort Lupton Comprehensive Plan One of the primary goals of Fort Lupton is to become a sustainable city that provides ample opportunities for all of its residents to live learn, work and play The following are the overall goals that the City of Fort Lupton established in their Comprehensive Plan : The purpose of the plan is to help express what kind of city Fort Lupton will be in the future. This vision expresses the community members' desire for Fort Lupton to be a place that has a sustainable standard of living and a high quality of life for everyone. Citizens want: • To strengthen the downtown and encourage business owners and citizens to invest in the community. • Safe, clean, friendly neighborhoods that have homes, shopping, parks, schools, and jobs within walking distance. • Community leaders to collaborate with residence, developers, business owners, school leaders, and other governments to create a vibrant city. • To support all ages, ethnicities, cultures, and income groups and to encourage a spirit of openness and opportunity. • To encourage growth that helps to strengthen the city's identity and economy and maintains or improves the environment. Community Profile The City of Fort Lupton is located 25 miles away from Denver, Boulder, and Greeley and is poised to grow very rapidly in the near future. The city is located at the intersection of Highway 85 and Highway 52, two major highways in southern Weld County. Currently, Fort Lupton is in the midst of a major oil boom and major oil related businesses continue to establish their Colorado operations within the city limits. ^'— Michael Baker 1370 .60ee _ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I �h�r�7 )I� L (Y I�r st I� �!`.`_�YI "�'�I�� Y I � ll ��._;.�_. �r �%��'��!' I� � �—+`� y � 5 �^> Y ' �'''� � C i �' t . � ii N // 7 I N�'�I�i.��II ��P' �� 1 F�yA I' E' �I`�a��l 4�� G�� ,,. 7t��{rV9� �� T{a � r1 �� I � of i iaf. 3_��,-�.�� Ll'�•_�?_il��J fs�:-,L.�hJ � �t�ySC� rVV;-L ;�L�+��t�t1.J.,�`` � 1�1.,_��J.e�,\-_'.-a i.�lRf,..J A�;�i�l A.�..' r4J!,t,�'�I.i.�J��-�l�J j � ��1y.lt; / t i _2\ 7 9 '111}1 l y \ I I. I / c. I. ��: , , I ei The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the City of Fort Lupton . City of Fort Lupton Statistics City of Fort Lupton Colorado Population, 2014 7,783 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 5 .2% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 8.9% 6.8% % Population under 19 years, 2010 34% 27. 1% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 8.4% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 35.7% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 66.9% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 3.03 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 16.6% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 _ $50,261 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment 1 RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Public Health Hazards 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 2.800 Drought 0.9 0.9 0.4 0. 1 0.2 2.500 Earthquake 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0. 1 2.200 Flood 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0. 1 2.200 sti, 7I WIiiJ) i Michael Baker 371 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAZMAT 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0. 1 2. 100 Straight-Line Winds & 0.6 0.6 0.6 0. 1 0. 1 2.000 Tornadoes Extreme Temperatures 0.6 0.6 0.4 0. 1 0.2 1.900 Prairie Fire 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0. 1 1.900 Severe Storm 0.6 0.3 0.6 0. 1 0.3 1.900 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.6 0. 2 0. 2 0. 1 1.700 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Public Health Hazards; Drought MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): Earthquake; Flood; HAZMAT; Straight-Line Wind and Tornadoes Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Extreme Temperatures; Prairie Fire; Severe Storm; Land Subsidence Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the City of Fort Lupton, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the City of Fort Lupton. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The City of Fort Lupton's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. - ^ ± Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL I NIE & IN[ ? ^AA".A%,f U NI WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL '. City of Fort Lupton Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, City of Fort Lupton High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: ELI Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: MBJOr Roads Low (Bottom 20%) ° http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html ) r g Fl1! , , r t 1,7 0 1/4 %iii/) Iliirra /, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 1 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles Michael Baker III 1 l I I 1 I . 1 INTERNATIONL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Darn safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Boarc}� The City of Fort Lupton is characterized by a mix of medium to high levels of social vulnerability. The majority of the city is within the medium-high social vulnerability range and the north central portion of the city falls within the top 20% of socially vulnerable places in Weld County. Evaluating the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community over time will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the city and it resiliency. Public Health Hazards Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes • 1 ►T Michael Baker 373 co - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12 .9 City of Fort Lupton 8.4 8.9 16.6 The City of Fort Lupton has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. There is a larger percentage of people under the age of 5 living in the city. There is also a larger percentage of Fort Lupton residents living below poverty level than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Fort Lupton residents (in general ) appear to be vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. Fbtential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Fort Lupton are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the City of Fort Lupton resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Fort Lupton due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Fort Lupton due to drought. However, there are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Due to the nature of drought, all jurisdictions within Weld County are expected to be impacted under drought conditions. Agricultural communities are expected to bear the brunt of drought effects in the county. Inventory Exposed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the City of Fort Lupton . Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. 374 -` Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fbtential loss Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the City of Fort Lupton could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Fort Lupton continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the City of Fort Lupton to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the city's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the city's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities . The table below outlines the city's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y �I` ►, Michael Baker 375 r r /11i INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT A Long-Term Recovery Plan Y Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The City of Fort Lupton has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The City of Fort Lupton has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the city will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "We will review the plan on a regular basis and makes necessary adjustments. " City of Fort Lupton "We have monthly public meetings and the plan can be reviewed and public input received. " Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The City of Fort Lupton did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the City of Fort Lupton based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "We have identified hazards within the community and we are constantly City of Fort Lupton training and ensuring that we have the proper equipment to address these hazards. We have a long range plan to address these ongoing needs. " 376 Michael Baker c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update on Fort Lupton's mitigation action that was included in the 2009 Plan . City of Fort Lupton: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Fort Lupton GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued use of building zoning and inspection to mitigate probable loss in flood prone areas. LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Managemen EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: Fort Lupton has addressed floodplain regulations in their municipal code, Article VI. Fort Lupton enforces floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements. The following Mitigation Action Guides presents Fort Lupton's new mitigation action that was developed for the 2016 Plan. City Fort Lupton: Prioritize and execute drainage improvements in the Storm Drainage Master Plan PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : Fort Lupton Drainage ystem GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/20/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2020 ISSUE: Several areas of Fort Lupton are in need of drainage improvements. RECOMMENDATION : Comprehensive planning for the enhancement of the waste water and storm water system to accommodate larger flows. Implementation and continuous update of the Town of Fort Lupton's Storm Drainage Master Plan. ACTION : Prioritize and execute drainage improvements in the Storm Drainage Master Plan, and continually update the plan. Look for opportunities to incorporate flood risk reduction into policy and through specific projects. -1861 ar" f 377 Michael Baker cc _\ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA LEAD AGENCY: Town of Fort Lupton, EXPECTED COST: Planning can be accomplished within Planning and Building Department existing budgets. Specific projects will be funded through the Storm Drainage fund . SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: A Storm Drainage fund, established in 2007 and rates adjusted in 2015, has helped to fund needed improvements, but needs to grow before further projects can be completed. PROGRESS MILESTONES: I 378 1 Ti , Michael Baker r; I� cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE City of Fort Lupton August 26, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the City of Fort Lupton is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the City of Fort Lupton has agreed to participate in Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the City of Fort Lupton agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The City of Fort Lupton understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Kenneth E. Poncelow, commit the City of Fort Lupton to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 26th day of August, 2015 a2P7e- T 379 ti • = Michael Baker � , l; IP , W: co - "Y INTERNATIONAL J"r EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Frederick "Frederick aspires to be a balanced community where residents can live, work, learn and play. The Town should be safe, friendly, connected, walk-able, and inclusive for all residents, with ample places and opportunities for people to interact and recreate. " — Community Vision, Town of Frederick 2015 Comprehensive Plan Frederick is a small town located along Colorado's Front Range. It is situated between the towns of Firestone and Dacono in southwestern Weld County. Collectively, the three towns are referred to as the Tri-Town area. Frederick originated as a mining camp as was incorporated in 1907. The immigrants who settled in the Tri-Town area and worked in the coalmines were from all over the world including Italy, France, Greece, Turkey, the Slavic countries, and Mexico. The Town of Frederick 2015 Comprehensive Plan states that, "As with all of the Tri-Towns, Frederick is a close-knit, hard-working community." � 1 ri I �f\ I - I 4_17 r According to the Frederick Comprehensive Plan, the Tri-Towns have a history of working together as neighbors. For example, a formal effort to cooperate in planning the region has been initiated through intergovernmental agreements and the mutually adopted Uniform Baseline Design Standards. "The success of these regional efforts are dependent on a commitment to the ideals expressed in the Town of Frederick Comprehensive Plan, 2006, as well as those identified by the communities of Firestone and Dacono," states the 2015 Frederick Comprehensive Plan . 380 ' Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Implementation of the Town of Frederick's community vision depends on a commitment by daily decision- makers and stakeholders who shape growth, development, infrastructure, and design of the community. The local hazard mitigation actions outlined in this plan will also contribute to building a "safe, friendly, connected, walk-able, and inclusive for all residents, with ample places and opportunities for people to interact and recreate!' Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Frederick. Town of Frederick Statistics Town of Frederick Colorado Population, 2014 10,927 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 26. 1% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 9.5% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 31.0% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 6.4% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 8.0% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 87.5% 65.4% Persons Per Household 3.01 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 7.5% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $81,015 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 0.9 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0. 1 2.800 Straight-Line Winds & 0.9 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0. 1 2.800 Tornadoes Flood 0.9 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0. 1 2.800 Prairie Fire 0.9 0.9 0.8 0. 1 0. 1 2.800 Drought 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0. 1 2.500 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.6 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .800 HAZMAT 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .500 Extreme Temperatures 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1 .500 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1 .000 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1 .300 I 381 'ic�+�.!.l _ Michael Baker i‘ ;10,: �, ,Y IJ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGE ME NI HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Severe Storm; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; Flood; Prairie Fire; Drought MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Public Health Hazards; HAZMAT; Extreme Temperatures; Earthquake; Land Subsidence Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Frederick, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Frederick. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Frederick's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. Michael Baker I 382 ! 1, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Frederick Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from Town of Frederick High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed �.!''� Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning r J Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 'L Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I I I ..r , .. , , i .,_ ,,_ 1-11n re'0 0.5 1 2 Miles /� I 1 1 I 1 i I 1 I pr i E-7#11.1 /7 , , 11 _1lSbI t i • _ / 1 [ J it Imrai:_rel ir , . .. _...._ __ _ . . . . . . . .. . , ,. _ ___ _ ____ - , . ., :. INTER R ANAL F Source: _ olorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Frederick contains areas that range from low social vulnerability to medium high levels. There is a stark juxtaposition of very low vulnerability areas adjacent to medium-high levels. This has potential to threaten the resiliency of the Town. It is important that the Town continue to evaluate the reasons for these disparities so that they can more accurately manage and reduce social vulnerability to disasters over time. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Frederick. There has been one hail event recorded within the town limits and several hail events that occurred close to the town limits. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. • 383 Michael Baker cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ' WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend Town of Frederick Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Frederick O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Weld County O 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 O 6 T R • S. _ • o n 7 c; yes 0 1 2 4 Miles ; O ( ni1 1 1 t 1 „IC) Michael Baker �r I N T E R N A T I O N L�� 1. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center P Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage have occurred within the Town of Frederick due to Lightning. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is still great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the Town of Frederick has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Frederick is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Frederick can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 10,927 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail 384 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Frederick including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Frederick. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Frederick due to tornadoes. There is record of 1 tornado reported within the town limits between on June 5, 1961. There have been tornadoes reported very close to both the of the Town limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Frederick. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Frederick due to straight-line winds. On July 2, 1991 a strong wind event was reported to have caused $3,000 in property damage. Straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Frederick. 385 ' Michael Baker co ,4Ty INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA." ' Town of Frederick Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 0 Speed (knots) Weld County 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.5 1 2 Miles I I t l I i I I Town of Frederick . 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html l L O III111r ti 7 I 1 i .'-'-.. • J _J:,—(,- \ • k s ,____ Li L. c c— a c 4 1 4 ,_ rm.'s, P 4___________ „\zi 0 i(��.'TA r. : -- .h_ �i -S'1 Fri ' -_ -- _Tit Michael Baker Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Sto m Predictic ,h Center INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Inventory &xposed 386 T =i Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA All assets located in the Town of Frederick can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 10,927 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the town . Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $732,613,942 . Potential losses could be substantial . Flood According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Frederick caused by flooding. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for flood events to occur at any given time. 387 1, `� = is ', Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL '." Town of Frederick Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. Town of Frederick 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 O Weld County flooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) concerning this study can be found at: http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 2013 Flood Max Inundation Extent Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIs/GISMaps.htinl — a - • f ). # _ i ., .-,- 3 / t i • 1AllAill .... --\ • iP14 -,F f �a it . 7 ! ' • ' a_n_____J irdi ' N., 0 0.5 1 2 MFles I I I I i i I r rtri ' a 01 „. 414 . II _ - ' • `1 ' • •++ 1 • r /� I net _ r tit 4 Y = 1 ��, - • P — Pr + - a J t � I , ° i r4 it 4 i er.- ER Cillj EMERGENo MANAGEMENT • efrs , L.: Michael Baker S \ , it; Siurce: Federal Emergency I N T E 1 N a T I 0 N A L Management Agency Weld County 'I_ Inventory Exposed The map below shows the flooding threat to critical facilities in the Town of Frederick by layering identified special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with the locations of community-defined critical facilities. Critical facilities are essential to the health and welfare of the whole population and are especially important both during and after hazard events. Critical structures or areas that overlap or touch the SFHA are considered "flood prone." a TA I-',_`% Michael Baker I 388 v . ) L60ir. i i INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM E N I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Est . - Critical Facilities Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood scenario Major Roads Total Economic Loss (Count) involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100 Year Flood). G Weld County o $100 - $10,000 (1) Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, Town of o $10,001 - $50,000 (0) business inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, Frederick o $50,001 $100,000 (0) and rental losses. Critical facilities as defined by the Weld 1% Depth Grid (Feet) County OEM. Point locations are sometimes approximate and High : 57.856 $100,001 $250,000 (0) not the actual building location. • $250,001 - $600,000 (0) Low : 0 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html k. lt , _ `.. , • 4, Li H__ h If Xi . A C --Sjl -- , Il 4 Aill iIr- ° 0 0.5 1 2 Miles ,:iici 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 , r nIF• I 1 LMLNGLNCY MANAGLMLNI \ I r--/ C Michael Baker ° , er INTMNATIONAL Source: Federal Emergency Management.Agency, Weld County I ____ The critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there is 1 critical facility and 14 structures in the Town of Frederick that are flood prone ( not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . The appraised value of the exposed critical facility is $8, 177 and the exposed structures is approximately $1,796,299 million dollars. Rttential losseti Hazus estimates for the Town of Frederick that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 14 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is $ 112,759. There is one critical facilities located within the floodplain in the Town of Frederick. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is $24,900. The total building losses for the 100-year flood event are estimated to be $59,303 . Building content losses are estimated to be over $25,574. Inventory losses are estimated to be over $27,881. • 389 '` ►/ r1! l /1 h Michael Baker a cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood Town of Frederick Total Economic Loss (Count) scenario involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads O $100 - $10,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, J.c N ' Weld County O $10,001 - $50,000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1 Depth Grid (Feet) O 550,001 $100,000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. High : 57.856 �- O 5100,001 - $250.000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel . Low : 0 • $250,001 - $1 ,000.000 (0) ' • $1 ,000,001 - $2,600.000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html s , 1 O17 O illit O OO If" O )1ff____. oo IL :iv c. I oat O O O I C) J Leo 4/ - O h a n000 � ' n i L 53 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles _re r n I t i 1 I 1 t i l o err � � rT.c. F � �.:_., b 0i r It ' _ i" r i o /'S7 �� _ EMERGt NCY MANAGEMkN I O CXl � er 1 . illiTlana Source: Federal Emergency Mar agement Agency, Weld County INTERNATIONAL Prairie Fire There are a number of areas in the central region of the town that are within the medium to highest level on the WUI Risk Index Scale. This means that the potential impact on people and homes from a prairie fire in those areas is medium to high in relationship to the rest of Weld County. This level of risk is derived by combining housing density with predicted flame length . I390 Michael Baker cc � ` - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IMO Town of Frederick Legend Wildland Urban Interface Risk Index 7 Major Roads WUIRisklndex f, Weld County Wildland urban interface risk index measures the potential impact on people Jurisdictions bill -8 il -7 and their homes from wildfire. This risk ranking was calculated by combining housing density with flame length - for example, areas with high housing Town of Frederick g density and high flame length are rated as "most negative impact" (-9). i\ s -4 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map -3 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. -2 0 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: 0'5 1 2 Miles - http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I I I I I I I I I �� 7-49i. ----IT-- ___ _____ t - 4 , .117. I''' _ a , _ ._ r �, �.41W. i . - t IP . 4 • 6,1",-: • I _ _ • r Sher ' VI ill e. • 1 ! • . 1 . • ..� ? . ' •• };.. .: • :: - �_ • •,, , ,• • •7'. .1. . 'V P y ►' .. - ■ S. • V•• .44. ••••• — • far• I . . ...:: le. ,• ..1 Oh • it alle; :.I 0 4 •• r r t Pit I .. . • it:: D % I , • i. ) L . A a ,Srt • 4 A 0 A.\ • 1 i‘ : .: Itir . le...• lar? VI: dll Or r t I It lt Lii• I I k / / R , • ` • I. ii ieLr, ` 1 Michael Baker . '• INTT E R (� A 10 N A L LMI,tGi NLY MANAGEMENI - itif - i inr,_t_.., If� - 1 Source: Colorado State Forest Service- COWRAP Inventory Exposed ,,•.+�nIse At 391 r Michael Baker r ? `y,:)' ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fires can extensively impact the economy of an affected area, including the agricultural, recreation and tourism industries, water resources, and the critical facilities upon which the Town of Frederick depends. There are 152 identified structures located in areas with the highest wildfire threat total . The appraisal value of the assets within these high threat areas is approximately $28,087,598. When considering assets located in areas of moderate wildfire threat there are 384 structures identified . The appraised value of these assets is approximately $70, 177,649. There is 1 critical facility in the moderate wildfire threat areas and none in the highest wildfire threat areas. tbtential Losses Currently, there is no method for estimating wildfire loss. In most cases, the emergency management community equates potential losses to assets exposed to wildfire as a method of quantifying and comparing potential losses across communities. The exposure data provided in the previous section ( Inventory Assets Exposed) provides the clearest picture of potential losses to wildfire in the Town of Frederick. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Frederick due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory Exposed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the Town of Frederick. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised. This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Ebtential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the Town of Frederick could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Frederick continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Frederick to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . 392 Michael Baker cz . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No (N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) Y An Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan Y Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Frederick has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. The Town of Frederick has had previous experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for mitigation and planning-related activities or projects. These include: • Grants: CDBG, FEMA, and FHWA Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Frederick has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. 393 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The plan is monitored by the Town 's leadership team in cooperation with partner agencies, such as the fire district and the Weld County Office of Emergency Management. Town of Frederick As part of the plan maintenance process, the Town of Frederick will continue to engage the public in the process of identifying hazard risks and prioritizing mitigation actions. To do so mitigation actions and priorities will be posted on the town 's website for public review and comment. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Frederick based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "Current Land Use Code includes environmental constraints related to hazard mitigation. " Town of Frederick "The Town's C/P includes priority mitigation projects related to Storm Water Management. " , 1861 I 394 �: is; Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on Frederick's mitigation actions that were included in the 2009 Plan . Town of Frederick: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Frederick GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential Iosse - LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County OEM POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: Town of Frederick is not participating in the CRS program however we are a member of NFIP and the Town adopted the model ordinance in Jan of 2014 as required by the State. The Town enforces the floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements, The following Mitigation Action Guides present each of Frederick's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Frederick: Box Culvert at Bella Rosa Parkway PRIORITY: 1 1011.1HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Bella Rosa 'arkway/No Name GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 Creek RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/19/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 09/20/2020 ISSUE : Flood control and drainage improvements have been done subsequent to the 2013 flood. More improvements are needed in order to withstand a 100-year flood. RECOMMENDATION : Completion of the box culverts as designed but not yet funded. ACTION : Engineering and construction of box culverts LEAD AGENCY: Town of Frederick EXPECTED COST: $1.7 million I 395 Michael Baker cc _\ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County OEM, POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Town capital budget, CDBG, FHWA PROGRESS MILESTONES: This section of Bella Rosa Parkway ; ; _�: ; -. ,,^ .,? alaSowas severely undercut by water r' 1 — flooding over it during the event of September 2013. This damage has been repaired but the lack of adequate box culverts to handle a 100-year flood will result in future • - damage. a� x, � , ..�..4",�,. ; . ,, : '�. - :. � .� ��i� ,{ _ ; ,r, .^y,; ✓yw \ \ of ' W 'a` \b 4ti ♦1'. { -2• - , - Town of Frederick: Snow Removal PRIORITY: 4 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Winter Storms LOCATION : Downtown Frederick GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/19/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 09/20/2018 ISSUE: The town lacks sufficient heavy equipment to move snow during a severe winter storm, particularly in the Old Town area, to include 5th Street and Tipple Parkway. RECOMMENDATION : Acquire a snow blower attachment for the front end loader, enabling it to load trucks to clear heavy snow accumulations from the roads. ACTION : Obtain the snow blower attachment LEAD AGENCY: Town of Frederick EXPECTED COST: $75,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County OEM POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Town capital budget, CDBG, FHWA r at861 .C _ y r Michael Baker I 396 c0 N =i INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES. Severe winter storms affect this ai area approximately every eight to J ten years. Deep, heavy water- laden snow is extremely difficult to remove from important arterial 1' lit roads and streets, especially in the Old Town area and other parts • with narrow streets. The successful movement of snow from the streets with the new blower will show progress. Town of Frederick: Tipple Parkway Box Culvert PRIORITY: 2 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Godding Hollow Creek where i : GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 crosses Tipple Parkway RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/19/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 09/20/2020 ISSUE: Flood control and drainage improvements have been done subsequent to the 2013 flood . More improvements are needed in order to withstand a 100-year flood . RECOMMENDATION : Completion of the box culverts as designed but not yet funded . ACTION : Engineering and construction of box culverts LEAD AGENCY: Town of Frederick EXPECTED COST: $900,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County OEM POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Town capital budget, CDBG, FHWA PROGRESS MILESTONES: This section of Tipple Parkway was severely damaged by water flooding over it during the event of ' =�tiza-fir September 2013. This damage has . `yam • . been repaired but the lack oftit_ adequate box culverts to handle a 100-year flood will result in future damage. I397 Michael Baker cc _ ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Town of Frederick: Tipple Parkway Paving to I-25 Frontage Road PRIORITY: HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Tipple Parkway west to 1-25 GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3, 4 frontage road RECOMMENDATION DATE: 09/19/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 09/20/2020 ISSUE: Flood control and drainage improvements have been done subsequent to the 2013 flood. More improvements are needed in order to withstand a 100-year flood. RECOMMENDATION : Completion of the paving of this road west of CR 11 to the east 1-25 frontage road ACTION : Complete the paving of this road in con:unction with the installation of box culverts. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Frederick EXPECTED COST: $340,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County OEM POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Town capital budget, CDBG, FHWA PROGRESS MILESTONES., This section of Tipple Parkway was severely damaged by water flooding over it during the event of September 2013 . This damage has • been repaired but paving is required in order for it to withstand another flood . I 398 ` = A, • Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Letter of Intent to Participate 401 Locust Street • P.O. Box 435 • Frederick, CO • 80530-0435 vJ ERR D E R I i- L1_, Phone: (720) 382-5500 • Fax: (720) 382-5520 www.frederickco.gov August 18, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Frederick is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Frederick has agreed to participate in the Weld County's] Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Frederick agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Frederick understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Matt LeCerf, Town Manager, commit the Town of Frederick to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. n Executed this �� day of August, 2014 Matt LeCerf, Fr erick n-Ma `e`r Built on What Matters. ► n i� Michael Baker I 399 INTERNATIONAL is EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Garden City Community Profile The Town of Garden City is surrounded by the City of Evans to the South and the City of Greeley to the west, north, and east. The history of Garden City began in the mid 1930's when the City of Greeley voted to prohibit the sale, manufacture for sale, transportation for sale, or possession for sale of liquor in the city limits. Garden City was built on a tradition of thinking differently and the ideal of personal freedom and was incorporated in 1938. NN mo ` MR _ 1 _ S s! _ The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Garden City. Town of Garden City Statistics Town of Garden City Colorado Population, 2014 264 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 11.4% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 5 .6% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 21.9% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 14. 1% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 39.0% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 15 .4% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 2.45 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 35 .3% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $25, 179 $58,433 %_ � Michael Baker 400 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Extreme Temperatures 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0.3 1.700 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.600 Severe Storm 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.600 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 Land Subsidence 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 Flood 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 Straight-Line Wind and 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 Tornadoes Prairie Fire 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 HAZMAT 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 Drought 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0.4 1.300 1 - HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): NONE it, L. MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : NONE Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Extreme Temperatures; Public Health Hazards; Severe Storms; Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Flood; Straight-Line Wind and Tornadoes; Prairie Fire; HAZMAT; Drought Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town Garden City. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town Garden City. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of Garden City's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. ItiflI1 Michael Baker lrs �UINTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ': Town of Garden City Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at Garden City the Census Tract level . Major Roads Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low 'Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 1 1 _'86 I r � EMtRVtNCt MANAGEMENT 0 0.045 0.09 0.18 Miles Michael Baker SI I I I I I I ; ' ► : lorado Division ater Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado ater C6- e •T . ' o ;oa The Town of Garden City is characterized by a high level of social vulnerability. The City falls within the top 20% of socially vulnerable places in Weld County. Evaluating the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community over time will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the city and it resiliency. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Garden City to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . 402 Michael Baker cz . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No (N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan N A Capital Improvements Plan N A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Garden City has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Garden City has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. 1" 7 Michael Baker 403 cc• � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "The 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan will be reviewed annually. " Town of Garden City "We will announce changes and updates to the plan via Town newsletter and website. " Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Garden City did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Garden City based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy Town of Garden City "We will update our zoning/land use if and when necessary. " Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of Garden City's mitigation actions that were included in the 2004 Plan . • - • _ - . _ -.T • _ . . i i_. . = 1 v 4 • -'i . • • - • $ • ilia 14t4i} :1-6 --I rtiiliwfft4 NFI • r th - , r, r a - z - t s ± a - e • n a PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Garden City GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/21/201 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing Page 493-494 ISSUE: Garden City has never been mapped for flood hazards. As such, they chose not to join the NFIP. Currently, because they do not participate in the NFIP, flood insurance is unavailable to building owners. However, as communities grow and annex land from the County, they may be acquiring land that is flood prone or subject to drainage problems. A community can join the NFIP by adopting an ordinance and agreeing to regulate development in flood prone areas, as indicated on a FEMA- provided map. Where there is no map, no enforcement is necessary ---- but ---- having adopted the ordinance will allow building owners to purchase flood insurance if they so choose. RECOMMENDATION : Communities should contact the CWCB and ask to join the NFIP ACTION : : Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. In cases where there is a known watercourse ti-'�J6'! J 404 1 IJ' r '� ' Michael Baker co , •, Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN within the existing or expanding community boundaries, the community should request CWCB and/or FEMA to develop a floodplain map that can be used for regulatory and insurance purposes. LEAD AGENCY: Communities EXPECTED COST: Staff time only for initial inventory and discussion of protection methods, and cost- benefit analysis. SUPPORT AGENCIES: CWCB, FEMA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: There is no cost for the initial inventory and decision-making. Protective measures should be taken where cost-effective. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Garden City has never been mapped for flood hazards. As such, we chose not to join the NFIP. Garden City is addressing this action in a new action for 2016. Garden City will re-evaluate this issue every two years beginning 2016. If determined to do so, adopt an Ordinance, apply for membership to NFIP. The following Mitigation Action Guides present each of Garden City's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Drought, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health, Hazmat LOCATION : Town as a whole GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 11/01/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: e TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 03/31/2015 ISSUE: Garden City has a high number of at risk individuals living in substandard environments. A sharable data base detailing members of the household, special needs, language barriers and family member contact information is vital for first responders and town staff in an emergency situation . RECOMMENDATION : Create and maintain a data base in a digital and sharable format. ACTION : Creation of the data base with regular review and updates. Create a reporting mechanism for landlords and property managers with a higher turnover of tenants. LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: Staff time. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Envision, Community POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Garden City General Advantage Fund ,86se 1 . . 405 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: Complete data base by nr— deadline. Review and update data base quarterly. WELCOME TO GARDEN CITY , , , .;,; ii ht,:_,..„.„ , I EST. _Ai 1938 8 Town OF Garden City #2 — IBC Compli • , PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Extreme Temperatures, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health LOCATION : Town as a whole GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/15/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: c,e 1 TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: Garden City has a high inventory of older structures built before the implementation of building and land use codes. The Town has adopted the International Building, Plumbing, Electrical and Property Management Codes of 2012. These codes and a contracted building official will allow the Town to address safety issues in businesses and homes, mandating compliance when able to do so. The goal is to obtain structurally sound buildings that withstand the above hazards. RECOMMENDATION : Regular review of codes, update and adoption of revisions when necessary. In depth review and inspection regarding building permits and code enforcement issues to determine when compliance can be obtained at any level. Maintain same. ACTION : Staff and contractor review of all code related issues. Determine relative codes in noncompliance. Educate home and building owners regarding codes. Force compliance when necessary. LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: Staff, time, Protective Inspections Contract dollars. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Colorado Inspection POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Garden City General Connection, HUD Fund Michael Baker I 406 - '" cc ` r �' INTERNATIONAL ,i. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: Ongoing revitalization of deteriorated buildings and structure. 44 i r NON r1 ^ f '♦ I/� �11 '._ , i I ,3441 20309 - -_ � Win._ y~ au, -I or 407 1! ° r Michael Baker cc - `+ ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE Town of Garden City August 26, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Garden City is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Garden City has agreed to participate in the Weld County's] Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Garden City agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Garden City understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Cheryl Campbell, commit the Town of Garden City to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 26th day of August, 2015 2141-47411/611 Ninon ws� _ 408 1 'Air; �' `' Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL cc EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Gilcrest The Town of Gilcrest is located in central Weld County along the Highway 85. Gilcrest was originally the Town of Nantes. A new community began on the bones of Nantes and was renamed Gilcrest. Gilcrest was incorporated in 1912. Between 1913 and 1975 Greeley's Great Western Sugar Factory operated a sugar beet dump at the Gilcrest railroad station . Gilcrest was also a center for the potatoes that were harvested in the area and stored in town . In recent years oil and gas exploration and production in Weld County has impacted Gilcrest. With the oil and gas industry and other industries moving into Weld County, the Town of Gilcrest is thriving and continues to be a progressive community. Community Profile The following are the overall planning-related goals that the Town of Gilcrest laid out in their Comprehensive Plan : • Creation of a healthy balance of housing, employment, availability of goods and services, recreation, educational and cultural opportunities as the town grows. • Capitalizing on the tremendous growth of Oil and Gas Industry and Renewable Energy sectors. • Maintaining Gilcrest's community character and collectively working to improve upon the overall image of the Town / y., I \ � I I I 1 �Z I ( I t, sI 409 `'•, Michael Baker � , r l cc , " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Gilcrest. Town of Gilcrest City Statistics Town of Gilcrest Colorado Population, 2014 1,080 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 4.3% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 6.0% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 33. 1% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 14. 1% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 39.0% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 73 .8% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 3. 19 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 27.8% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $50,069 $58,433 Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Drought 0.9 0.3 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.500 Extreme Temperatures 0.6 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.3 2.400 • HAZMAT 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0. 1 2.400 Severe Storm 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.2 0. 1 2.300 Flood 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0. 1 2.200 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0. 1 2. 100 Straight-Line Winds and 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.600 Tornadoes Prairie Fire 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.600 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 Land Subsidence 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.300 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Drought ir MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Severe Storm; Flood; Public Health Hazards; HAZMAT; Extreme Temperatures Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Prairie Fire; Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes 7 � - Michael Baker -4*4r ' -� INTERNATIONAL Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Gilcrest. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Gilcrest. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Gilcrest's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. Town of Gilcrest Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at Town of Gilcrest the Census Tract level . Major Roads Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html . 11— 1' ar! .r / / 0 0.15 0.3 0.6 Miles Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety/Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Gilcrest is characterized by a medium-high level of social vulnerability. Evaluating and monitoring the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community over time will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the town and it resiliency. ,i1 Michael Baker 411 rr� � � ��, ; a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Gilcrest due to drought. There are 2 reports of drought in southern Weld County in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory &posed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the Town of Gilcrest. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Ebtential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the Town of Gilcrest could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Gilcrest continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Gilcrest to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X In Gilcrest, Community Planning services are provided by a contract consultant. Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) IDK An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) IDK A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP N Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Gilcrest has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Gilcrest has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy Our mitigation actions will be reviewed by the town administrator and a report given to town council annually. Town of Gilcrest Changes to the plan will be discussed at public meeting specifically for the purpose. Meetings will be noticed on the town 's website and at regular posting locations. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Gilcrest did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Gilcrest based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. 413 ; + !' 'r, �, Michael Baker X111 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Jurisdiction Strategy "We will include mitigation actions in our capital improvement plan as well as Town of Gilcrest identifying actions needed in undeveloped areas in our comprehensive plan. " 414 I Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of Gilcrest's mitigation actions that were included in previous hazard mitigation plans. Gilcrest: Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Gilcrest GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2004 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Complete ISSUE: Gilcrest has never been mapped for flood hazards. As such, they chose not to join the NFIP. Currently, because they do not participate in the NFIP, flood insurance is unavailable to building owners. However, as communities grow and annex land from the County, they may be acquiring land that is flood prone or subject to drainage problems. A community can join the NFIP by adopting an ordinance and agreeing to regulate development in flood prone areas, as indicated on a FEMA- provided map. Where there is no map, no enforcement is necessary ---- but ---- having adopted the ordinance will allow building owners to purchase flood insurance if they so choose. RECOMMENDATION : Communities should contact the CWCB and ask to join the NFIP ACTION : Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. In cases where there is a known watercourse within the existing or expanding community boundaries, the community should request CWCB and/or FEMA to develop a floodplain map that can be used for regulatory and insurance purposes. LEAD AGENCY: ommunies EXPECTED COST: Staff time only for initial inventory and discussion of protection methods, and cost- benefit analysis. SUPPORT AGENCIES: CWCB, FEMA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: There is no cost for the initial inventory and decision-making. Protective measures should be taken where cost-effective. PROGRESS MILESTONES: No action from 2004 to 2009 415 1 TA �' `'•I Michael Baker L rI� : cc „ " `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT The following Mitigation Action Guides present Gilcrest's new mitigation action that was developed for the 2016 Plan. Gilcrest: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Gilcrest GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: ■ PROGRESS MILESTONES: An ordinance is being introduced on first reading on October 20, 2015 which amends the Town of Gilcrest Zoning Code to adopt a new section addressing flood damage prevention . It is expected that this ordinance will be approved on second reading on November 3rd with an effective date of January 20, 2016. 1- ills 4 . . 416 ' Michael Baker cc _ \ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate TOWN OF Gil ere st//// COLORADO Leaning Toward the Future 304 8h Street • PO Box 128 • Gilerest, Colorado 80623 • (970) 731-2426 • (970) 737-2427 FAX LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE Town of Gilcrest, Colorado November 24, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Gilcrest is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Gilcrest has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Gilcrest agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Gilcrest understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). )36 . Michael Baker 417 • INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Trudy Peterson, commit the Town of Gilcrest to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed t is 24th day of November, 2014 Trd y Peterson Town of Administrator Town of Gilcrest Michael Baker 418 j Le �l1 {1,�; INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT City of Greeley "Greeley promotes a healthy, diverse economy and high quality of life responsive to all its residents and neighborhoods, thoughtfully managing its human and natural resources in a manner that creates and sustains a safe, unique, vibrant and rewarding community in which to live, work and play. " — City of Greeley 2060 Comprehensive Plan According to the City of Greeley's Department of Economic Development "Greeley is the business center for Weld County." The second largest community in northern Colorado, Greeley serves as a major retail trade center for agricultural communities in northeastern Colorado, southeastern Wyoming, and southwestern Nebraska . / � ` r • lilt ,_ The City of Greeley is characterized by expansive prairie to the east and the towering Rocky Mountains to the west. Greeley is located in a semi-arid climate. The summers are hot and the winters are mild. Precipitation occurs mostly in the form of rain or snow from October to April : snowfalls are often light and usually melt within a few days. Greeley's Core Values & Guiding Principles are outlined in their comprehensive plan, City of Greeley 2060, and serve as a guide for future development and policy decisions within the City's boundaries. They are as follows: • Excellence in actions, attitude, leadership and focus • Progressive and Appealing Industrial Development • A Safe, Prepared, Secure and Harmonious community environment I 's Michael Baker 419 ' is U �� INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA • Sustainable Community Development through healthy behaviors, sensitive environmental stewardship, varied and compact community design and a complete, effective & forward- thinking transportation system • A Community Rich in Diversity of People, Customs, and Ideas • Every Neighborhood Thrives reflecting the spirit of community • Center of a comprehensive Premier Educational System • 'Better Together' leadership mode of intergovernmental & public/private cooperation to achieve exceptional community benefits • A Regional Leader and Northern Colorado destination These core values and guiding principles are interwoven throughout the City's Comprehensive Plan and form the basis for daily decision making, project/policy prioritization, and implementation strategies. Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the City of Greeley. City of Greeley Statistics City of Greeley Colorado Population, 2014 98,596 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 6.2% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 7.8% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 25.8% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 10.7% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 24. 1% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 55 .6% 65.4% Persons Per Household 2.68 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 22.9% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $46,272 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING HAZMAT 0.6 1 .2 0.8 0.4 0.4 3.400 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.800 Drought 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.4 2.800 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 2.700 Severe Storm 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 2.600 Flood 0.9 0.6 0.4 0. 1 0.4 2.400 420 ��.fiNi t' - Michael Baker J ,45INTERNATI0NAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Prairie Fire 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.300 Straight-Line Winds & 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0. 1 2. 100 Tornadoes Earthquake 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0. 1 1 .800 Land Subsidence 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 1 .300 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): HA a Lures; Drought; Public Health Hazards; Severe Storm MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): Flood; Prairie Fire; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes Low Risk (1.5-1.9): Earthquake; Land Subsidence Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the City of Greeley, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the City of Greeley. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The City of Greeley's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. �` °� Michael Baker 1 421 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A: City of Greeley Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from City of Greeley High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning Major Roads process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I I D , il I ji ,/ . .. • 2! / /7/ : ://„...„,././:///:./.. ...\„. . . .. ... . , .„ .f., 1) ' , ,,.., ini.,-,. ., , „.... „.././.././... _..... .._. , / ,,,,,,4-. 1 • • - _, _j T . /. . . . „, / it ,4 0 i / ? 4 'VI\ , , 7' , 0 * - - "Or i 4 - ,: , .„, _ A 4$ I n ► _ . IN, di i : _ k r 0 1 2 I 4 Miles Michael Baker ,.. I 1-rti I I 11 I I I * INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMFV i Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Coloralt Water Conservation_Board The City of Greeley consists of areas that range from low social vulnerability (the bottom 20% of the County) and high social vulnerability (the top 20% of the county. The highly socially vulnerable areas are clustered in the eastern part of the community. Resources and measures to reduce the social determinates of disasters may be most effectively allocated to the east of the City. Moreover, it is critical that the city analyze the individual social vulnerability indicators that make the eastern part of the community stand out. Through ongoing evaluation, the City of Greeley will be able to more effectively reduce local social vulnerability and increase their resilience to hazard events. HAZMAT Based on data supplied by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been 45 reported HAZMAT incidents within the City of Greeley between 1972 and 2015 . • Ii422El._ Michael Baker ` IUikiLO. I N T E R N AT I O N A L ri.. ra WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Inventory Exposed Two designated nuclear and hazardous materials transportation routes run adjacent the City of Greeley (US 34 and US 85). All structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of these transportation routes (and railways) are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of an industrial or commercial fixed site are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release. Fbtential Losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released . Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Greeley due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in northwestern and central Weld County on December 16th and 17th, 1996, and February 1, 2011. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur within the region at any given time. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Age: 65 and Over (%) Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 City of Greeley 10.7 22 .9 44.4 The City of Greeley has a slightly lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. The percentage of people living below poverty level in the city much larger than the state of Colorado. In addition a lower percentage of Greeley residents own their homes compared to the general population 1 ► ��' Michael Baker 423 ' ? �' , . cc _ ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Greeley residents (in general) appear to be more vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. Potential1 Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Greeley are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the City of Greeley resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Greeley due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the City of Greeley due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory Exposes' Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the City of Greeley. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Ftential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the City of Greeley could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Greeley continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Public Health Hazards Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly 424 ' Michael Baker 1 INTERNATIONAL a c � - EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12.9 City of Greeley 10.7 7.8 22.9 The City of Greeley has a slightly lower percentage of elderly residents than the state of Colorado. A slightly larger percentage of Greeley residents are under the age of 5 than the general population of Colorado. There is a much greater percentage of people living below poverty level than the state. Based on these statistics, Greeley residents (in general) appear to be more vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. Potential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the City of Greeley are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the City of Greeley resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the City of Greeley due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, or crop damage in the City of Greeley. There have been 74 hail events reported within the city limits and several hail events that occurred close to the city limits. There has been $9,000 in property damage reported as a result of these hail incidents. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the city, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. 1flr Michael Baker 425 a . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend City of Greeley Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. City of Greeley O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan 3 writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: -'r-1 Weld County O 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 1 O v • OO OO O O c c) cm O O O O ,\, O OO 00 . ► L I -________ 7— O cnc —0—b O C> D N i - , Ann ° r I O c O O • Imo •,. 0 1 2 4 Miles • li , t r 1 I I I I I I I I r Mich . - I = - k- r i ,. -v - f INTERNATIONAL EMFRGENCYMANAGFMEN7 Source: NOAA's National\Weather Service Storm Predistion Center Lightning According to the best available data no deaths have occurred within the City of Greeley due to Lightning. There have been 8 recorded lightning incidents between 1996 and 2009 within the city limits, causing $143,000 in property damage and $6,000 in crop damage. On June 18, 2009 a lightning incident caused injury to one person. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the city, there is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the City of Greeley has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries, or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The City of Greeley is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory F poseu All assets located in the City of Greeley can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 98,596 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the city. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most Michael Baker 426 a o - � � INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA structures, including the city's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Potential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the City of Greeley including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the City of Greeley. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the City of Greeley to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the City's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the City's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the City of Greeley's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance IDK 427 Michael Baker c : . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ' Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) Y An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan Y Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The City of Greeley has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. The City of Greeley has had previous experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for mitigation and planning-related activities or projects. These include: • Grants: HMGP, EMPG, DR-4145, CDBG Plan Maintenance and Implementation The City of Greeley has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the city will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy Each mitigation action item has a staff member assigned responsibility. Each staff member will follow regular departmental procedures in completing mitigation action items that are currently funded. The City's Emergency Manager will monitor progress of the action items on an annual basis as well as seek out funding opportunities for mitigation actions items that are not currently funded. City of Greeley As part of the plan maintenance process, the City of Greeley will continue to engage the public in the process of identifying hazard risks and prioritizing mitigation actions. To do so typically any mitigation action items will have to be approved by the planning commission and/or city council; these review meetings will provide adequate opportunity for public comment and participation. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The City of Greeley did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the City of Greeley based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. 428 .1 _ � Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Jurisdiction Strategy "The city will consider updating its zoning ordinance to address our high risk hazards. The city will consider integrating its hazard mitigation actions into its City of Greeley Capital Improvement Plan and emphasize projects that mitigate our highest risk hazards. " 429 1 f ii= = is,'`, Michael Baker rIr INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of the community's mitigation actions included in the 2009 Plan. City of Greeley: Commercial Weather Notification System PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Storm LOCATION : City of ree ey GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2008 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 2010-2011 ISSUE: No Commercial Weather Notification System RECOMMENDATION : DTN provides definitive situational awareness through an internet platform for weather tracking, forecasting, and notification . Selected facilities and users would have access to this system. NWS alert radios throughout the community ACTION : Commercial Weather Notification System LEAD AGENCY: Weld/Greeley OEM EXPECTED COST: $10-20,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Yearly budget I PROGRESS MILESTONES: Radios were purchased and distributed throughout the city. Program not funded from year to year; this was. a one-time action. City of Greeley: Cache la Poudre Floodplain Mapping PRIORITY: 'tedium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2010 ISSUE : The U .S. Army Corps of Engineers is currently studying the Cache La Poudre Rive' in Weld County and through the City of Greeley. The study updates the hydrology, hydraulics, floodplain, and floodway boundaries. New FIRMs ( Flood Insurance Rate Maps) will be created using this updated information . RECOMMENDATION : More accurate flood information for the Cache La Poudre River will allow for better administration of flood fringe development. ACTION : Cache la Poudre Floodplain Mapping LEAD AGENCY: U .S. Army Corps of Engineers EXPECTED COST: $5,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: In-House 430 " Michael Baker r • INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: General investigation study has been completed . Flood damage reduction efforts are not being pursued. Environmental restoration work is proceeding. The 2006 US Army Corps floodplain has been adopted by FEMA through the Weld County Digital Flood Insurance Rate Map (DFIRM ) project. FEMA will make this flood map effective in January of 2016. The City of Greeley intends to adopt the Weld County DFIRM as our regulatory flood map. City of Greeley: City-Initiated Floodway Rezone PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 2010-2011 — Following adoption of the U .S. Army Corps of Engineers updated flood study ISSUE: Following adoption of the U .S. Army Corps of Engineers updated flood study, the City of Greeley will initiate a floodway rezone of all properties impacted by the revised floodway boundary. Properties within the revised floodway will be rezoned Conservation District (C-D) to restrict development within this area and preserve natural open space. RECOMMENDATION : Restricted development within the regulated floodway and preservation of natural open space ACTION : City-Initiated Floodway Rezone LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley Community EXPECTED COST: Under development Development Department SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Under development, likely largely in house PROGRESS MILESTONES: This has been identified by the city as a future zoning map change. This mitigation action item will be continued as a mitigation action item for the 2016 plan update. City of Greeley: Bestway Regional Detention Facility PRIORITY: Rig HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2008 - 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2010 - 2011 ISSUE: Any storm greater than a 25 year event currently can cause flooding in the area . 830 homes and 1 fire station are currently at risk of flooding which this project will protect. The project includes stormdrain inlets and piping to collect stormwater and divert it into a 100 year detention storage _sue re- 431 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN facility. Outlet structures and piping would then control the outflow to avoid flooding of downstream properties. Or Much, much larger storm pipes to the river RECOMMENDATION : ACTION : Flood mitigation by retaining the 100 year storm event and releasing the flow slowly to the Poudre River. LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley, Public Works, EXPECTED COST: $2,200,000 Stormwater Management Division 970-336- 4031 SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA Grant & Stormwater Utility Fund PROGRESS MILESTONES: Project complete. City of Greeley: Install Citywide Emergency Sirens PRIORITY: Low _alHAZARDS ADDRESSED: Tornado LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing pending further funding availability and future city governments. ISSUE: This project was investigated in 2008 as a result of the Windsor Tornado and alternative notification technologies were sought at that time. However, if future Greeley City Councils desire to refocus on this program, the City of Greeley would seek state and federal funding to assist in the project implementation. RECOMMENDATION : While the probability of a severe tornado hazard occurrence impacting Greeley is low, the potential impacts are very high, therefore it is important that the City have an adequate warning system in place. The avoided losses would include population casualties, though the property mitigation from this action would be minimal . For these reasons, the current City Council is utilizing their limited resources for a more all-hazards approach to overall disaster mitigation and preparedness. ACTION : Citywide Emergency Sirens; Action Item 1, telephone notification system, national weather service alert weather radios for public use, emergency alert system ( EAS) usage LEAD AGENCY: City Office of Emergency EXPECTED COST: $600,000 Management SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: State and Federal PROGRESS MILESTONES: Project was not funded; deemed impractical for a City the size of Greeley. Focusing efforts on educating public about existing notification platforms such as CodeRed, and NWS weather radios. _sue X . 432 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The following Mitigation Action Guides each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . City of Greeley: City-Initiated Floodway Rezone PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 2021 — Following adoption of the U .S. Army Corps of Engineers updated flood study ISSUE: Following adoption of the U .S. Army Corps of Engineers updated flood study, the City of Greeley will initiate a floodway rezone of all properties impacted by the revised floodway boundary. Properties within the revised floodway will be rezoned Conservation District (C-D) to restrict development within this area and preserve natural open space. RECOMMENDATION : Restricted development within the regulated floodway and preservation of natural open space ACTION : City-Initiated Floodway Rezone LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley Community EXPECTED COST: Under development Development Department SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Under development, likely largely in house PROGRESS MILESTONES: This has been identified by the city as a future zoning map change. This mitigation action item will be continued as a mitigation action item for the 2016 plan update. City of Greeley: Mitigate Risk to Severe Repetitive Loss Property PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : 760 71St Ave, Greeley, CO 80631. Property not. GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 within city limits RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2021 ISSUE : This residence has severe repetitive loss history due to flooding on the Cache la Poudre River. The city of Greeley provides resources (man power, sand bags) to this property during flooding events as it is directly abuts city limits and city crews are typically mitigating road closures next to this property. The city attempted to purchase/acquire this property through the HMGP process in 2014 but was unsuccessful due to valuation discrepancies. RECOMMENDATION : Reduce or eliminate severe repetitive flood losses on this property. ACTION : Continue to work with property owner on flood mitigation efforts and consider acquisition if conditions allow and are favorable to all parties. -1861 ar" I 433 Michael Baker cc _\ INTERNATIONAL it EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley Community EXPECTED COST: $400,000 Development Department SUPPORT AGENCIES: City of Greeley Office POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: CDBG, HMGP of Emergency Management PROGRESS MILESTONES: Program not funded; no current timeline established City of Greeley: Cache la Poudre , West Greeley, Colorado Project (Corps of Engineers) PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION: Poudre River Corridor between GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 83rd Avenue and 47th Avenue RECOMMENDATION DATE: Begin first OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E phase construction 2016 TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2025 ISSUE: As a nationally significant ecosystem, portions of the Cache la Poudre River that flow through Greeley and areas adjacent to Greeley, years of channelization of the river and neglect and invasion of non-native weeds and vegetation have significantly reduced habitat loss. Restoration of wetland and riparian habitats can provide critical floodplain and river corridor connections, habitat for state-listed threatened and endangered species, and international bird habitat. The COE has identified a total of nine (9) parcels to rehabilitate, of which five (5) are identified as a first phase for improvements. Out of these 5 parcels, 1 or 2 may be addressed in the first year of a multi-year project. Although the Project doesn't specifically address flood control, a desired outcome is addressing the river channel itself and preserving/planning for the inevitable future flooding of the corridor and water flows. RECOMMENDATION : This Project is under review for City Council consideration to approve a Project Partner Agreement. ACTION : Environmental restoration and controlled recreational access LEAD AGENCY: DOD/Corps of Engineers EXPECTED COST: Total cost = $ 14,379,000 ( Phase I ) + $ 12,967,000 (Phase II) SUPPORT AGENCIES: COG POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Great Outdoors Colorado (Colorado Lottery), City of Greeley Water/Sewer Dept., US Department of Defense/Corps of Engineers, Conservation Trust Fund PROGRESS MILESTONES: Design — 2015/2016, Construction in phases starting in 2016 City of Greeley: Poudre River Cleaning PRIORITY: Low HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley r GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 le I 434 A Michael Baker II. cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2021 ISSUE: The Cache la Poudre River is known from several studies including a 1999 Army Corps of Engineers study, to have sediment building up in it and therefore over time has been silting in and losing capacity. A program to clean the river of its sandbars, sediment and remove some vegetation is necessary to help convey flood flows through the City of Greeley. This will help especially mountain snow melt events that happen annually and fill the main channel most years and tend to cause minor to moderate flooding in many areas. RECOMMENDATION : To develop a program to annually evaluate maintaining the Poudre River by removing any sand bars and any unwanted vegetation that are restricting main channel flows. The program likely would take several years to work through the City limits, and then would cycle back to the beginning and evaluate the corridor continuously as needed . Bridges also need to be evaluated, but need to be done annually to ensure they are clear. ACTION : Clean sediment and vegetation from the Cache la Poudre main channel to restore main channel flow capacity. LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley Public Works EXPECTED COST: $1,500,000 Department, 970-350-9795 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Army Corps of POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA grant and Engineers Stormwater Utility PROGRESS MILESTONES: Removal of all sandbars, restrictions and unwanted vegetation . City of Greeley: Highway 85 Bridge Replacement PRIORITY: High al HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2021 ISSUE: The Cache la Poudre River floodplain model shows that the river overtops the Highway 85 bridge near the Greeley Water Pollution Control Facility. Past flooding events of less than 100 year events have also demonstrated that this bridge is easily overtopped at less than a 25 year storm event. When this bridge is overtopped all other roads except 59th Avenue that run north and south are underwater. With Highway 85 flooded greatly impedes the ability for people, commerce, and emergency vehicles to navigate the city and reach citizens on the northern area of the city. River flood events typically last for many weeks so impacts to the community can be very impactful and devastating. RECOMMENDATION : Replace the Highway 85 Bypass bridge over the Cache la Poudre River. ACTION : Replace the bridge with a higher capacity bride including some channel improvements to improve capacity of the river at this location. _sue X . 435 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION Pb LEAD AGENCY: Colorado Department of EXPECTED COST: $8,000,000 Transportation & the City of Greeley Public Works Department, 970-350-9795 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Colorado Department POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA grant, CDOT of Transportation, Army Corps of Engineers, FASTER Funds FEMA PROGRESS MILESTONES: Completion of bridge replacement and channel improvements. City of Greeley: River Bypass Channel PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2021 ISSUE: The Cache la Poudre River floodp am model shows that the river splits around the Greeley Water Pollution Control Facility. This isolates and floods some of the property limiting access to the plant. Additionally many businesses along east 8th Street east of Highway 85 are flooded . RECOMMENDATION : Channel improvements and/or a by-pass channel are needed to guide water safely around the Water Pollution Control Facility and many businesses along 8th Street east of Highway 85. This would safely control flows and route them back to the river on the eastern side of Greeley. ACTION : Purchase property and build a by-pass channel to route flows from the Poudre River west of Highway 85 and route them north of East 8th Street and then back into the river in eastern Greeley. LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley Public Works EXPECTED COST: $6,000,000 Department, 970-350-9795 SUPPORT AGENCIES:, Army Corps of POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA grant, Federal Engineers, FEMA Block Grant Funds, Stormwater Utility PROGRESS MILESTONES: Completion of by-pass c ' annel improvemen s. City of Greeley: Poudre River Flood Mitigation Master Planning Project - Ash Ave to 21St Ave PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : City of Greeley GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Fall 2016 ISSUE: 436 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Over the past 150-years the Poudre River has been significantly modified by human activity, particularly along the reach from Fern Avenue to 47th Avenue. These modifications include channelization, encroachment, soil berms along the river banks, gravel mining, floodplain disconnection, and river relocation. As a result of these modifications, the city experiences significant flooding from small to medium sized hydrologic events, on the order of 15-30 year recurrence frequency. Most notably the floods of 1983, 1999, and 2014 have caused significant property damage to the city. The city's largest exposure to riverine flooding is along the reach from Ash Avenue to 11th Avenue, or approximately 2 .3 miles. In the spring of 2014, a large spring runoff event overtopped the 6th Avenue river berm and inundated approximately 46-acres of commercial-industrial area. Development restrictions associated with the FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA) encumber a significant amount of developed property between 11th Avenue and Ash Avenue. This includes residential neighborhoods, commercial businesses, and industrial businesses. It is estimated that every road along the river in this area would be flooded in a 100-year event, including the US Highway 85 Bypass. Further, there is a large flow split at the US-85 Bypass that proceeds to the east along E. 8th Street (also known as SH-263) and does not have a defined return flow-path to the river. The Effective FEMA river model was completed in 1979. This model and map will be superseded by the Weld County Digital Flood Insurance Rate Map (DFIRM ) which is anticipated to become Effective in January 2016. The DFIRM has incorporated flood map changes resulting from the 2003/2006 U .S. Army Corps of Engineers ( USACE) flood study which was performed using the USACE HEC-2 model. The City also worked with the USACE on a General Investigation (GI ) Study along the Poudre River through Greeley; this study occurred from 2005 - 2014. However the City did not proceed with the flood mitigation proposal presented to the City by the USACE. Further, the Colorado Water Conservation Board (CWCB) is currently funding a re-study of the Poudre River from the confluence with South Platte River upstream through Fort Collins. This study is being performed under FEMA's RiskMap program and will incorporate the CWCB ' -foot floodway rule. The results of the RiskMap study will likely change the Flood Insurance Study (FIS) findings for the Poudre River and the RiskMap flood model may become the FEMA Effective model for the Poudre River. It is anticipated that in the future there will be a regulatory Floodway along portions of E. 8th Street. RECOMMENDATION : This project is intended to produce a comprehensive Poudre River flood mitigation master plan document for the following river reaches: • Greeley Urban Reach : Specifically from the Ogilvy Ditch head structure (1,400-feet downstream from Ash Avenue) and proceeding upstream to 21st Avenue; approximately 17,600-feet along the Poudre River. • East 8th Street Flow Split: Specifically from the flow split off the main channel at US Highway 85 then proceeding east (downstream) along 8th Street until the flow split returns to the main river channel, approximately 7,000 - 8,000-feet along E. 8th Street. This project should produce a Master Plan along the Poudre River to guide river maintenance, reduce flood losses, and potentially remove properties from the FEMA 100-yr floodplain. The Master Plan document will be used by the City to guide a river channel maintenance program, identify and prioritize flood mitigation projects, provide scientific basis for granting opportunities (Federal, State, and Other) to fund capital projects, and facilitate the refinement of the effective FEMA river model s� It Michael Baker 437 La. r I , cc -r ` , Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN along the study reach . This plan shall be feasible, implementable, and provide a foundation for pursuing grant funding opportunities. ACTION : City-Initiated Flood Mitigation Master Planning Project LEAD AGENCY: City of Greeley Public Works EXPECTED COST: $200,000 (+) Department SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: City of Greeley PROGRESS MILESTONES: • Background Investigation and Baseline Hydrology and Hydraulics -10/14/2015 - 12/23/2015 • River Assessment and Maintenance Plan - 10/14/2015 - 1/7/2016 • Alternatives Analysis — 1/25/2016 - 5/3/2016 • Conceptual Design — 6/17/2016 - 8/23/2016 438 °� ' Michael Baker co _rene INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate Cityof ree e August 22, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the City of Greeley is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the City of Greeley has agreed to participate in the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the City of Greeley agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The City of Greeley understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Thomas E. Norton, Mayor, commit the City of Greeley to the Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 22n° day of August, 2014. Sincerely, • Thomas E. Norton Mayor City Council • 1000 10th Street, Greeley, CO 80631 • (970) 350-9770 Fax (970) 350-9828 We promise to preserve and improve the quality of life for Greeley through timely, courteous and cost-effective service. �86 . 1- o� Michael Baker 439 ril co - `+ `Y INTERNATIONAL atct EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Hudson Hudson is located in south-central Weld County approximately 30 miles northeast of downtown Denver. Located adjacent to Interstate 76, Hudson is surrounded by farms and other agricultural and energy- related industries. Additionally, the town is a " bedroom community" for persons employed in the Denver and Brighton areas. The approximately 2,569 residents value the small town atmosphere and rural setting, and have indicated in their comprehensive plan a desire to maintain those qualities as Hudson grows. 7 ( , . \ , _� / ,, ., H ./ I___\+-__ .____,,,_. Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Hudson. Town of Hudson Statistics Town of Hudson Colorado Population, 2014 2,569 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 9% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 4.9% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 21. 1% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 2.9% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 26.3% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 63% 65 .4% Persons Per Household 2.91 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 12 .8% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $54, 167 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau yl+` ►, ��` Michael Baker 440 r r /1 I1 cc - ` - t INTERNATIONAL a. ,-.. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment in NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING HAZMAT 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.3 3.000 Severe Storm 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.3 2.700 Straight-Line Winds and 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 1 0.3 2.700 Tornadoes Prairie Fire 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.300 Extreme Temperatures 0.6 0.3 0.8 0. 1 0.3 2. 100 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 2. 100 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.500 Land Subsidence 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.500 Flood 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0.3 1.500 Drought 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0.4 1.300 i HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): HAZMAT; Severe Storm; Stright-Line Winds and Tornadoes MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Prairie Fire; Extreme Temperatures; Public Health Hazards Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Flood; Drought Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Hudson, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Hudson . The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Hudson's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. 1 TA ` ± Michael Baker I 441 v- , Lep r / INTERNATIONAL I h1 i EU I fv. `.L`.„i;C,f MIN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ii: Town of Hudson Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from ILM High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at Town of Hudson the Census Tract level . Major Roa Medium - High ds Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I r -i%, ,j n._ /. -4774 `d 'jrjco / " iii, r, '1 EMEKGENCY MANAGEMENI 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Michael Baker 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of,Vater Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Hudson consists of areas that range from medium social vulnerability and medium-high social vulnerability. The medium-high socially vulnerable areas are in the north western part of the community. Resources and measures to reduce the social determinates of disasters may be most effectively allocated to the northwest area of the Town . Moreover, it is critical that the town analyze the individual social vulnerability indicators that make the northwestern part of the community stand out. Through ongoing evaluation, the Town of Hudson will be able to more effectively reduce local social vulnerability and increase their resilience to hazard events. HAZMAT Based on data supplied by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been no reported HAZMAT incidents within the Town of Hudson between 1972 and 2015. Inventory Eno ed Interstate 76 runs through the Town of Hudson and is a designated nuclear and hazardous materials transportation route. All structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of these • 1 ►I 71 = ); Michael Baker 442 , r , v - a ce - ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA transportation routes (and railways) are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of an industrial or commercial fixed site are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release. Fbtential Losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released. Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property, or crop damage in the Town of Hudson . There have been 7 hail event reported within the town limits and several hail events that occurred close to the town limits. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Michael Baker r, � . INTERNATIONAL I NIHIl IN, ? ^MAN.;%:f MU NI WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend Town of Hudson Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Hudson O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Major Roads 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 O O ® O O fl v n n O O O O 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles O xni ® 1, VAS ' -- �` ` ' Michael Baker • -- O INTERNATIONAL EMFRGENCY MANAGFMEN7 Source: NOAA's National Weathe Service Storm Prediction Center Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damage have occurred within the Town of Hudson due to Lightning. There have been 2 recorded lightning incidents between 1999 and 2000 within the town limits, causing $100,000 in property damage. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Hudson from winter storm events. There have been four winter storm events reported within the town limits and several winter storm events that occurred less than one mile from the town limits. Based on historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for winter storm events to occur at any given time. Inventory F poseu All assets located in the Town of Hudson can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 2,569 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most Michael Baker 444 • - � � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtentral Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Hudson including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Hudson . It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Hudson due to tornadoes. There have been 2 tornadoes reported within the town limits and multiple tornadoes very close to the borders of the town limits. On June 8, 1958 a tornado was reported within the town limits that caused $3,000 in property damage. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Hudson . According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or damages have been recorded within the Town of Hudson due to straight-line winds. There have been 2 high wind events recorded within the town limits. Straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for Hudson . 1 ^'� Michael Baker I 445 .60e r e _ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Hudson Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events Town of Hudson 0 Speed (knots) 1 O 50 - 60 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles l I I I I I t I I 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 7 O C • • Source: NOAA's National Weather S rvice Michael Baker Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMI' Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Hudson can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 2,569 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Potentral Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $ 105,540,448. Potential losses could be substantial . • 446 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Hudson to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program. Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the City's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X *EM and the FPA duties are the responsibility of the Town Administrator Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the City of Greeley's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Hudson is in the process of updating their Comprehensive Land Use Plan, their All-Hazards Emergency Operations Plan, and their Crisis Action Guide. The town's new Fire Chief, Ken Gabrielson ( Hudson Fire Protection District), and new Public Safety Director, Brent Flot (eventual Town Marshal), will be participating in the EOP / CAG / Hazard Mitigation Plan Update projects, along with the town's utility partners. 447 W Michael Baker cc _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Hudson has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation Hudson has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how Hudson will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy Town staff, along with participation from our town 's emergency first responders and overall stakeholders group (when applicable), will monitor, evaluate, and update our Emergency Operations Plan, Crisis Action Guide and Hazard Mitigation Plan on an on-going basis. Our mitigation actions will be reviewed by our Board of Trustees and Town Administration on an annual basis. Town of Hudson Alterations to our Emergency Operations Plan, Crisis Action Guide and Hazard Mitigation Plan will be posted on the town 's website and in the town 's newsletter (when appropriate) to keep the public aware of how they can participate. Substantive alterations will be made available to our larger stakeholder group. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Hudson did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by Hudson based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "The Town of Hudson is currently updating its Comprehensive Plan, Emergency Operations Plan and Crisis Action Guide. We will include the necessary information from the Hazard Mitigation Plan Update into those documents, where applicable. Any hazard mitigation issues identified as an increased risk item will be addressed accordingly. Hazard mitigation actions requiring increased Town of Hudson attention will be integrated into our on-going Capital Improvements Plan and be given the appropriate priority status. Capital Improvement Plan projects are identified and listed in our annual budget for citizen review and Board of Trustees approval. As this is an on-going process, any hazard mitigation issues identified requiring increased prioritization will trigger notification being sent to the 448T ' I Michael Baker c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA appropriate departments, agencies and individuals having authority over the identified issue so that the appropriate action can be taken. " Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status updates on Hudson's mitigation actions that were included in the 2009 Plan . Town of Hudson: Continued Compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Hudson GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP, Hudson will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longs would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses ACTION : Continued Compliance with the NAP LEAD AGENCY: local Floodplain EXPECTED COST: can be accomplished with existing Management officials Town budget SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: Passed Town of Hudson Ordinance 14-01, an ordinance repealing Section 16- 49 and repealing and reenacting Section 16-146 of the Hudson Municipal Code Floodplain Regulations; passed on second and final reading on February 19, 2014, and ordered published once full. Recent correspondence with FEMA prompting additional reviews and action are underway. The following Mitigation Action Guides profile each of Hudson's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Hudson, Colorado — Update All Hazards Emergency Operations Plan / Crisis Action Guide (to include a new section for Hazard Mitigation Planning) PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All hazards (man-made and natural) LOCATION : Hudson GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3,4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: Immediately OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B,C,D,E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: Comprehensive review and updating of the town's All Hazards Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) and Crisis Action Guide (CAG); a new section will be added to include the Hazard Mitigation Plan '861 C. ! Michael Baker 449 1 , cc "Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN (HMP); upon finalization, the EOP / CAG / HMP will be integrated into the town's updated Comprehensive Plan Appendices (completion expected in 2016). RECOMMENDATION : Monthly meetings will be initiated during the review & project prioritization phase; meetings will be held every other month during the updating phase; quarterly meetings will be held during the implementation & education phase; process cycle will be ongoing as the EOP / CAG / HMP are "living documents" . ACTION : Absolute involvement, integration and COMMUNICATION by all identified stakeholders; ongoing education of stakeholders, residents and business community. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Hudson EXPECTED COST: Most of the effort can be Administration & Planning Dept. , personnel accomplished within existing annual budget by funding with emergency mgmt. responsibilities. specific line items. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Hudson Fire Protection POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Annual budgets and District, Hudson Town Marshal, Hudson mitigation grant opportunities Public Works Department, Hudson Utilities Department, Hudson Board of Trustees & Planning Commission, Weld County Office of Emergency Management, United Power, Atmos Energy, Weld County RE3J Public School District, and other indentified stakeholders and community response agencies as required to complete tasks. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Establishment o mee Ing sd edule; completed review o mergency Operations Plan ( EOP), Crisis Action Guide (CAG) and Hazard Mitigation Plan ( HMP); completed update of EOP / CAG / HMP; implementation of defined action plan to minimize or eliminate identified deficiencies and issues; and scheduling of educational workshops and training exercises; integration into Town's Comprehensive Plan (2016) . Town of Hudson — Integrated Community Mitigation Planning and 2015 Citizen Survey Review PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All hazards (man-made and natural, real or perceived) LOCATION : Hudson GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3,4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: January 2016 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B,D,E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : June 2016 ISSUE: 2015 Annual Citizen Survey solicited feedback on a variety of topics affecting the overall community. Responses identified hazards of concern to residents. The Town of Hudson wants to Incorporate 2015 resident survey data related to hazard awareness and Integrate the hazard and risk assessment as determined in the 2016 Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan into the Town's Comprehensive and Emergency Operations Plans. asp . • 450 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : Independent review and scheduled group discussions leading to the development and integration of appropriate mitigation actions into Town of Hudson's plans. Incorporate community input into mitigation actions. ACTION : Interdepartmental and interagency review of 2015 Annual Citizen Survey responses; prioritize hazards (man-made and natural) identified in the hazard and risk assessment; develop actions to mitigate issues related to concerns and fears; utilize preferred tools identified in survey to communicate with community. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Hudson Administration EXPECTED COST: Most tasks can be completed within existing annual town budget. Action Plan items may require additional funding from mitigation grant resources. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Hudson Public Works Department, Hudson POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Utilities Department, Hudson Fire Protection District, Hudson Annual budget and mitigation Town Marshal, and other identified stakeholders and grant opportunities. community response agencies as required to complete tasks. I 1 PROGRESS MILESTONES: Completed review of the 2015 Annual Citizen urvey; omp eted review of hazard and risk assessment for the Town of Hudson; establishment of a group meeting schedule; identification and prioritization of issues identified in survey; creation and implementation of an action plan . Town of Hudson — Develop Staff / Resident / Business Resilience, Hazard Awareness & Preparedness Education Plan PRIORITY: Low - tedium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All hazards (man-made and natural) LOCATION : Hudson GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: January OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B 2016 TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: A 2015 Annual Citizen Survey solicited feedback on a variety of topics affecting the overall community, including hazard awareness (survey garnered a 20% return rate from the community). A community education and training plan to address the issues identified is needed. To enhance our community's disaster resilience, town staff, residential and business community members need access to ongoing education about local hazards, preparedness and possible mitigation actions. RECOMMENDATION : Identify, promote, and host educational and training opportunities for town staff, residents and business owners. Provide opportunities for residents to participate in planning, to include mitigation and community planning activities. Incorporate hazard and risk analysis from HMP into education plan . ACTION : Develop a plan to provide EMI professional training for town staff; American Red Cross and equivalent "interest level" training in hazard-specific mitigation actions and individual preparedness and community resilience for residents; provide FEMA Business Ready training, as well as SBA - =sue_ - 451 Michael Baker co" INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN SBDC/U .S. Chamber of Commerce Business Continuity training for our entrepreneurs and start-up and established business owners. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Hudson Administration EXPECTED COST: Existing annual budgeted line items for training and outreach. SUPPORT AGENCIES: Hudson Fire Protection District POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Annual Hudson Town Marshal, American Red Cross, budgets and mitigation grant opportunities. Emergency Management Institute, FEMA, SBA, SBDC, U .S. Chamber of Commerce, and other identified stakeholders and community response agencies as required to enhance overall knowledge and preparedness. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Identify appropriate educational opportunities; develop training schedule; track participants progress including any certifications obtained. Town of Hudson - Distribution of All Hazards Emergency Alert Radios to local community PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All Hazards (man-made and natural) LOCATION : Hudson GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: January 2016 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: Effectiveness of severe weather alert system (tornado sirens) has been questioned . Town limits continues to expand thereby minimizing the audible warning capacity of the existing system. RECOMMENDATION : Discussions with Town Board, Administration, Hudson Fire Protection District Administration / Staff, and Weld County Office of Emergency Management Staff led to a Town Board decision to authorize the purchase and distribution of All Hazards Emergency Alert Radios to community members interested in participating in the program . ACTION : Town will purchase All Hazards Emergency Alert Radios (250 — Phase 1) for distribution to community members. Radios will be made available through a "coupon" attached to the town's utility bill . LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: Midland WR120 MSRP is $49.99. Amazon prices radios around $28. Bulk purchases should help to secure a reduced rate. Town will need to budget between $7017.50 - $12,500 in our FY2016 Budget SUPPORT AGENCIES: None POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: List all potential sources, be as specific as possible I 452 Michael Baker ` r � ,' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: Purchase of radios; insertion of "coupons" into utility billing system; distribution of radios ( participants will be logged with the purpose of having the radio returned should residents move). Ar '! r = Michael Baker I 453 - rp , cci " ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate WRICIT HUDSON TOWN OF HUDSON --- , v 557 Ash Street, P.O. Box 351, Hudson, CO 80642 Phone: (303)536-9311 Fax: (303)536-4753 'HOW r www.hudsoncolorado.org C� i ' I-'l�lU1) 1116\w II INia.' Iti, 11111 LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE October 7, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Hudson is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Hudson has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Hudson agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Hudson understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document: • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant 454 ' ► Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL *` involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formai adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Weld County Office of Emergency Management and the Town of Hudson. I, Mayor Raymond Patch, commit the Town of Hudson to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 7th day of October, 2015 // ay i-n (Q. Pas • o`'�� i'�'� Michael Baker 455 r I� , cc • " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of Keenesburg The Town of Keenesburg is located in Southeast Weld County, approximately 25 miles southeast of the County Seat of Greeley and approximately 35 miles northeast of Denver on 1-76 at exit 39. The town is 32 miles from Denver International Airport (DIA) with an elevation of 4,958 feet above sea level . • r _ hr- 1 / irt-J-5-C 64. - I1 4 Keenesburg was incorporated in 1919. The incorporated area now includes 240 acres. The largest employers in the Town include the School District, Colorado East Bank & Trust, and Keene Market grocery store. Additionally, the town provides the surrounding agricultural community with key commercial services. Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Keenesburg. Town of Keenesburg Statistics City of Keenesburg Colorado Population, 2010 Census 1, 127 5,029, 196 Population Change 2000 — 2010, % 31.7% 16.9% Total Households 438 1,972,868 Average Household Size 2.55 2.49 Homeownership Rate 69.9% 65 .5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 6.2% 6.8% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 13.7% 10.7% y`»w86 _rte 1 s� !� Michael Baker 456 � ��' I1 I.) CO - ` `Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN! Speak English less than "very well," % age 5+, 2009-2013 25 .5% 38.9% Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 21. 1% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2010 $45,888 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau, Census 2010; 2009-2013 5-Year ACS Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Straight-Line Winds & 0.9 1 .2 0.8 0.4 0. 1 3.400 Tornadoes Severe Storm 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 2.800 Earthquake 0.3 1 .2 0.8 0. 1 0. 1 2.500 Drought 0.9 0.6 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 2. 100 Flood 0.3 0.9 0.6 0. 1 0. 1 2.000 Prairie Fire 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1 .900 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1 .600 HAZMAT 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1 .300 Public Health Hazards 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1 .000 Land Subsidence 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1 .000 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; Severe Storm; Earthquake MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Drought; Flood Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Prairie Fire; Extreme Temperatures; HAZMAT; Public Health Hazards; Land Subsidence Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Keenesburg, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Keenesburg. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . Keenesburg's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. 457 r --- Michael Baker '4151 .'11 �fU - - INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt Town of Keenesburg Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at Keenesburg the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning Major Roads process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html i 1_1D 1 r.so 01! r ' CPI � uT 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles Michael Baker 1'.. : i I III I II I I INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Keenesburg is characterized by a uniform level of medium social vulnerability. Although this is not a high level of vulnerability, it is important that the Town take efforts to understand what elements of the social vulnerability index contribute the most to their elevated score. In doing so, the town will be able to manage those risk factors and reduce their social vulnerability over time. Straight- Line Winds and Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Keenesburg due to tornadoes. There have been tornadoes reported very close to the borders of the town limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Keenesburg. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Keenesburg due to straight-line winds. However, straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for Keenesburg. • 458 a 'r ` =' Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Keenesburg Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 0 Speed (knots) Jurisdictions 1 O 50 - 60 Town of Keenesburg 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.3 0.6 1.2 Miles I I 1 [ I f i I I 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 7 y • ' 74 r j Michael Baker Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL ELENGENCYMANAGIMINt Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Keenesburg can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 1,127 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and . = Michael Baker 459 cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $42,545,735 . Potential losses could be substantial. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Keenesburg. There have been four hail events reported within the town limits and several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the town limits. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. , 1861 460 Michael Baker rIr INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA.; Town of Keenesburg Legend Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Keenesburg O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions 0 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Major Roads 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. O Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weid.co.us/Departments/Gis/Gismaps.html • 4.01 - 5.00 O O O a G o 0 1 riff 0 0.375 0.75 1.5 Miles Irir; I I i i I I I Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL rMrnGfNCY MANAGFMFNa Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage have occurred within the Town of Keenesburg due to Lightning. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is still great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the Town of Keenesburg has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Keenesburg is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Keenesburg can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 1, 127 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the town. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. 461 .1 _ Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ' Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Keenesburg including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Keenesburg. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Earthquake According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Keenesburg due to earthquakes. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for earthquake events to occur at any given time. 462 `'•I Michael Baker rl� INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Keenesburg Golden Fault Legend Peak Ground Town of Keenesburg Scenario Ground Acceleration Acceleration (%g) Major Roads Per Census Tract Ground motion information derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 arthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment 3.3463 - 5.7368 magnitude of 6.5. The event parameters and location were 5.7369 - 11.1218 chosen based on pre-existing scenarios outlined by the Colorado Geological Survey. 11.1219 15.2475 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and 15.2476 19.8917 after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: _ http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this 19.8918 32.6512 data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles l I I I I I I I l I Michael Baker it It INTERNATIONAL FMFRGFNCYMANAGFM1Y't Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Survey, United States Geological Survey, Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency Inventory &posed According to the Hazus inventory, there are an estimated 575 buildings in the Town of Keenesburg with a total building replacement value (excluding contents) of $42,545,735 . '1 TA � T - ! ± Michael Baker 463 ' �' ,� Ir. INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM E N I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Keenesburg Legend Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation Town of Keenesburg Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario Jurisdictions Major Roads with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. Total economic losses include: building repair costs, contents, business Total Economic Loss (Building/Parcel Count) inventory, costs of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. 5100 $50,000 (444) Point locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. Where parcels do not have builldings, the point is the centroid $50,001 $150,000 (1) of that parcel. $150,001 - $400,000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, O $400,001 - $1,000,000 (0) the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: • $1,000,001 - $3,500,000 (0) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/OIS/GISMapsehtml TT% I4AI Il 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles I Li Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Survey, United States Geological Survey, Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency — /• 1' v., rlI Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL fMc tr. , W:ANM1,Mf'J Fbtential Losses For the Golden Fault earthquake scenario, the total losses were estimated to be $ 1,061,750. Spatially, a majority of the worst loss areas were located in the northwestern, urban portion of the town . Generally, these are areas which are more densely/highly populated and more closely located to the Golden 464 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA epicenter. Hazus estimates 12 critical facilities with a total loss of $2,353,968. Of the 12 critical facilities, all will be over 50% functional on the first day of the event. Town of Keenesburg Golden Fault Scenario Loss Estimation - Critical Facilities Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake Legend scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault with a Town of Keenesburg Jurisdictions moment magnitude of 6.5. Total economic losses include: Weld County Major Roads building repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs Total Economic Loss (Count) of relocation, capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Critical facilities as defined by the Weld County OEM. Point O $100 $50,000 (12) locations are sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. Q $50,001 - $150,000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map O $150,001 $400,000 (0) developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, O $400,001 $1,000,000 (o) the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html ® $1,000,001 - $3,000,000 (0) O O O p0 /— 71—L_ 8 ° o Q m O 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles l I I I I l I II Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado GeologicaI Survey, United States Geological Survey, Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency taio IA r ' - - 3 Michael Baker i , a QINTERNATIONAL I MIFtGFNCY NdACIMINt The Golden Fault scenario estimates that a total of 2.2 tons of debris will be generated from that 6.5 magnitude event. Of the total amount, brick and wood make up 41% of the total, with the remainder of the debris being reinforced concrete and steel . When the debris tonnage is converted to an estimated Tic 465 ' ' Michael Baker v , INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA number of truckloads, it will require 0.09 of a truckload ( @25 tons/truck) to remove the debris generated by the earthquake. Town of Keenesburg Golden Fault Legend TownofKeenesburg Debris Estimates Scenario Debris Generation Major Roads Tons 0 - 2,000 Debris generation estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden 2,000 5,000 Fault with a moment magnitude of 6.5. 5,000 15,000 15,000 30,000 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information Is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing,the following URL will take readers to the web map: 30,000 - 65,000 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption,Weld County will then host this data at the following URL• http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html L I A 0 0.225 0 45 0.9 Miles I t t I l I I i I I 7 I r r i Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL FMIRGFNCV MANACFMFNT Source: Hazus-MH, Colorado Geological Survey, United States Geological Survey, Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency The Golden Fault model estimates that 1 .5 households will be displaced in the Town of Keenesburg due to an earthquake and less than 10 people will seek temporary shelter in public shelters. 466 °� �''� Michael Baker cc's " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL Town of Keenesburg Golden Fault Legend h Town of Keenesburg Shelter Estimates Scenario Shelting e l t i n g Estimations • Major Roads Displaced Households Displaced household estimates are derived from Hazus-MH 2.2 0 - 5 earthquake scenario with an epicenter along the Golden Fault 5 - 10 with a moment magnitude of 6.5. 10 - 20 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, 20 - 50 the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: 50 - 170 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I ` I I 0 0.3 0.6 1.2 Miles I I I I I I I I Source: Hazus-MH, Co orado Geological j Survey, United States Geological Survey, Michael Baker = < r:;:- Weld County, Federal Emergency Management Agency INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Keenesburg to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist _ X Grant Writer X 467 • Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan N A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Keenesburg has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Keenesburg has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The Town of Keenesburg will review and evaluate mitigation actions annually. As part of the plan maintenance process, the Town of Keenesburg will continue Town of to engage the public in the process of identifying hazard risks and prioritizing Keenesburg mitigation actions. To do so any changes to the Town's mitigation plans will be posted on the town website, and updated on the town's facebook page for public review and comment. 468 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Keenesburg did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Keenesburg based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "Plan to update the town's comprehensive plan over the next five years and Town of Keenesburg will integrate the mitigation actions into the comprehensive plan. " 469 Sr� r Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of Keenesburg's mitigation actions that were included in the 2009 Plan. Keenesburg: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Keenesburg GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: Ongoing OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to floodprone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Keenesburg is not participating in the CRS program, however we are member of the NFIP. The Town of Keenesburg has adopted the model ordinance in October of 2013 as required by the State of Colorado. The Town of Keenesburg will enforce flood plain regulation in accordance with FEMA's requirements for any annexed property that lies within a mapped flood zone. The following Mitigation Action Guides each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Keenesburg: Floodplain training PRIORITY: Low HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood LOCATION : Town of Keenesburg GOALS ADDRESSED: 1-4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/09/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A,B D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing wit .H annual review ISSUE : Staff is small with many varied responsibilities and no experience with reading FIRM's RECOMMENDATION : Staff training of flood plain rules and regulation in general, as well as direction and instruction in reading maps and determining elevation requirements. Careful review of any annexations in conjunction with the FIRM's for determination of the any existing flood plain zone. ACTION : Careful review of building permit applications, and location of project to determine if within a possible flood plain, as the Town of Keenesburg has not been mapped, importance placed on asp . , I 470 Michael Baker co ' ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN annexations and determining if any annexations lie within a flood zone. The Town of Keenesburg is not participating in the CRS program, however we are member of the NFIP. The Town of Keenesburg has adopted the model ordinance in October of 2013 as required by the State of Colorado. The Town of Keenesburg will enforce flood plain regulation in accordance with FEMA's requirements for any annexed property that lies within a mapped flood zone. Have a different staff member attend flood plain training on an annual basis LEAD AGENCY: Town of Keenesburg EXPECTED COST: Staff Time SUPPORT AGENCIES: Colorado Water POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: N/A Conservation Board ' PROGRESS MILESTONES: Assistant Town Manager a ended a Floodplain Managemen training course on September 9, 2015 Town of Keenesburg: Notify traveling public about shelter locations PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Severe Weather LOCATION : Community-wide GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/09/2015 I OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: Al D TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/201 ISSUE: Traveling public not aware of help available if stranded due to severe weather and or the closure of the 1-76 RECOMMENDATION : Place a notice at entry to town (existing kiosk) providing contact information ACTION : Create signage to be located at kiosk, motel, and gas station all located on Market Street just off of 1-76 containing contact information for anyone seeking shelter due to severe weather and or closure of 1-76. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Keenesburg EXPECTED COST: Staff Time SUPPORT AGENCIES: Southeast Weld Fire POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: N/A Protection District PROGRESS MILESTONES: Complete once signage is in place. 471 r Michael Baker cc , " `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of Keenesburg: Tornado warning system education for residents PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Tornado LOCATION : Town of Keenesburg GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, and 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/09/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B, and E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: As new residents move into town many do not know what to do when the siren sounds. RECOMMENDATION : Outreach and education of the public to identify the action that should be taken when the siren sounds ACTION : We will post educational information about what to do in the event of a tornado and specifically what it means when the siren sounds on the town's facebook page, and website, as well as place different articles in the local newspaper ever , month durin :, tornado season LEAD AGENCY: Town of Keenesburg EXPECTED COST: Staff time SUPPORT AGENCIES: N/A POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: N/A PROGRESS MILESTONES: Education outreach will begin in March of 2016, with an article in the newspaper, on our website, as well as on the town's facebook page. Michael Baker cc 472 _\ 1, I N T E R N AT I O N A L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate -- 0. K E EWFSeG, -141. Pre'l(fel'r 1).10 ikk‘tip\ TOWN OF KEENESBURG FOUNDED JULY, 1906 A MUNICIPAL CORPORATION SINCE JULY, 1919 November 21 , 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Keenesburg is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Keenesburg has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Keenesburg agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Keenesburg understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Danny Kipp, commit the Town of Keenesburg to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 21st day of November, 2014 R.A-44-4—ViCer,) 140 SOUTH MAIN P.O. BOX 312 KEENESBURG, COLORADO 80643 PHONE 303-732-4281 FAX 303-732-0599 • cv.•. 473 1 0! r ., �, ' Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Kersey Community Profile Kersey is conveniently located on U .S. Highway 34, just 6 miles east of Greeley. The town is located just east of the foothills of the Rocky Mountains and south of the Pawnee Buttes. l ; t I Tel The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Kersey. Town of Kersey Statistics Town of Kersey Colorado Population, 2014 1,560 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 6.8% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 6.2% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 36% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 9.4% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 21.5% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 75.9% 65.4% Persons Per Household 2.87 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 17. 1% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $48,438 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau 474 -4, Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 1.2 0.3 0. 2 0.4 0.2 2.300 Straight-Line Winds & 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.200 Tornadoes HAZMAT 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.900 Flood 0.9 0.3 0. 2 0.3 0.4 2. 100 Extreme Temperatures 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0.3 1.500 Drought 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1.500 Public Health Hazards 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1.300 Prairie Fire 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.200 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1.300 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1.000 i HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): NONE MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Prairie Fire, Flood; Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes; Severe Storm Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Public Health Hazards; Drought; Extreme Temperatures; HAZMAT Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Kersey. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to Town of Kersey. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Kersey's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. -7"c--' ' ` • o j ^'-�IA Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA : ' Town of Kersey Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at Town of Kersey the Census Tract level . Major Roa Medium - High ds Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20°/ http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html / /./../////2,, ,/d Po , Iss i tE r -- a - c i� r i ate. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 0 0.325 0.65 1.3 Miles Michael Baker I I I I I I I I I INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Kersey is characterized by medium level of social vulnerability. Currently, the social vulnerability indicators that contribute to higher vulnerability to hazards in the town are lower than they are in the majority of Weld County. This does not mean, however, that there a not any vulnerable populations living in Kersey. Over time, the town should continue to monitor their social vulnerability as demographic, economic, and housing related conditions change. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Kersey to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program. Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . ► ��' Michael Baker 476 1 r , _v • INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No (N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance IDK Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan IDK A Capital Improvements Plan IDK A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) IDK An Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan IDK Participates in the NAP N Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. Town of Kersey has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Kersey has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The Town Administrator and the Emergency Manager will review the Mitigation Town of Kersey Actions annually. 477 Michael Baker C - . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA In order to ensure that the public can be informed and participate in decision- making and planning related to hazard mitigation, Kersey will post recommended changes to the Mitigation Plan at required Town Board meetings. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Kersey did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Kersey based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "Our Mitigation actions will be incorporated into required documents and other Town of Kersey plans as necessary" `_'i` `l Michael Baker 478 ) ,► , � , INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of Kersey's mitigation action that was included in a past Plan. Kersey: Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Kersey GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: Kersey has never been mapped for flood hazards and has no SFHA. As such, they chose not to join the NFIP. Currently, because they do not participate in the NFIP, flood insurance is unavailable to building owners. However, as communities grow and annex land from the County, they may be acquiring land that is flood prone or subject to drainage problems. A community can join the NFIP by adopting an ordinance and agreeing to regulate development in flood prone areas, as indicated on a FEMA-provided map. Where there is no map, no enforcement is necessary ---- but ---- having adopted the ordinance will allow building owners to purchase flood insurance if they so choose. RECOMMENDATION : Communities should contact the CWCB and ask to join the NFIP ACTION : : Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. In cases where there is a known watercourse within the existing or expanding community boundaries, the community should request CWCB and/or FEMA to develop a floodplain map that can be used for regulatory and insurance purposes. LEAD AGENCY: ommuni ies EXPECTED COST: Staff time only for initial inventory and discussion of protection methods, and cost- benefit analysis. SUPPORT AGENCIES: CWCB, FEMA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: There is no cost for the initial inventory and decision-making. Protective measures should be taken where cost-effective. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Deferred : At this time Kersey does not plan to join the NFIP, but will reevaluate this decision in the future as potential growth and annexations occur. '? - = $ Michael Baker I 479 - r; p cci " 'Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The following Mitigation Action Guide presents the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Kersey: Community Preparedness Education PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Drought, Earthquake, Land Subsidence, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health, Hazmat LOCATION : Town of Kersey GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10.06.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: Al B TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10.06.2020 ISSUE: There are many emergency management issues t a need to be reinforced with public education so that citizens know what risks they face, what protective actions they can take, and what government programs are in place to assist them . RECOMMENDATION : The potential for saving just one life, and providing time for individuals and businesses to take effective protective actions, outweighs the potential cost of the public education program . Public Education may be the most effective and least-expensive way to reduce disaster losses by changing human behavior to promote appropriate actions ACTION : Establish an ongoing or annual Public Education campaign regarding Hazards and Emergency Management LEAD AGENCY: Town of Kersey EXPECTED COST: $2,500 for printing and distribution costs SUPPORT AGENCIES: County Emergency POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES HMPG, SHSG, Local Management, First Responder Agencies, budgets and private partner cost share. State DHSEM, FEMA PROGRESS MILESTONES: Since 2009, Weld County OEM and many participating jurisdictions have continued to make public preparedness outreach and education a priority. The Town of Kersey will continue to work with Weld County OEM on community preparedness education and hazard identification. Jurisdiction or Organization: Town of Kersey PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood, Severe Storm, LOCATION : Kersey GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12. 1.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 12.1.2016 ISSUE : : Identify issues related to flood control by updating and developing a new Comprehensive Plan for the town of Kersey. asp x I 480 Michael Baker cc - ` - t INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : The Town of Kersey has significantly improved it's ability to reduce and mitigate hazardous situations within the community and surrounding area during recent years. To continue this process the Town of Kersey will take on the development of a new Comprehensive Plan that will address flood control in the community. ACTION : Develop a new Comprehensive Plan, hold public meetings and utilize the Hazard Mitigation Plan to address natural hazards that effect the town of Kersey. The Town will also incorporate the Utility Master Plan developed in 2015 into the Comprehensive Plan. LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: 62,400.00 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Public Works, Planning, POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: General Fund, State Police, Fire District. and Federal Funding Sources. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Continued planning process In ' e . evelopmen of the Comprehensive plan, public meeting and workshops to provide public input. Identify social and economic strengths to help with the ongoing growth in the community. ,86se 1 . . 481 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate Town of erne k‘, tet.i11oa / • 332 3"d Street P.O. Box 657 Kersey, CO 80644 Office-970-353-1681 Fax-970-353-2197 LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE December 10, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR 201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Kersey is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Kersey has agreed to participate in the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Kersey agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR 201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Kersey understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: 1 . Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; 2. The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; 482 ti r Michael Baker coin '`: INTERNATIONAL ,-.. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN r � `i o of ersey f tat.iso• / - , 332 rd Street P.O. Box 657 Kersey, CO 80644 Office-970-353-1681 Fax-970-353-2197 3. The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; 4. Demonstration that has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, ect. 5. Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; 6. Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Brett Bloom, commit the Town of Kersey to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 1011 day of December, 2015 r 483 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL ,-.. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of LaSalle Community Profile The Town of LaSalle is a Statutory Town in Weld County, Colorado, United States. The town population was 1,955 at the 2010 United States Census. IIS/ ( ' zv \ i A9s \ ) 1 % / L i . (--i / E "'FD ©613 1Fad __ g.mita 7 —-- H / 1 1 I 1 1 / � 0 r -j �I 6FVZS gct; icrn R 44,02 ig Unnm feac 4P ___ V LaSalle. Colorado 85 LaSalle City Limiits N Feet anactr-f'"�rS'% p' '' 0 500 1,000 1.000 5 1.12000 The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of LaSalle. Town of LaSalle Statistics Town of LaSalle Colorado Population, 2014 2,047 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 4.5% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 7.0% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 30.3% 24.4% l % Population 65 years and over, 2010 12.7% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 19.6% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 75 . 1% 65.4% Persons Per Household 3 . 16 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 13 .4% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $48,095 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau I484 _. 0 ' 1 B Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment i. NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Drought 0.9 0.6 0.8 0. 2 0.4 2.900 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 2.900 Public Health Hazards 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 2.900 Severe Storm 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 2.900 HAZMAT 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 2.900 Straight-Line Winds and 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.700 Tornadoes Flood 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.4 2.400 Earthquake 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.2 0. 1 2.000 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.900 Prairie Fire 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.700 HIGH RISK (2.5 Iic Health Hazards; Severe Storm; HAZMAT; Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): Flood; Earthquake Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Land Subsidence; Prairie Fire Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of LaSalle, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to Town of LaSalle. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of LaSalle's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. 485 It °j' , a Michael Baker Il INTERNATIONAL I h1 i RC I fv. `.L`.„i;C,f MIN I WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of LaSalle Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of LaSalle High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Major Roa Medium - High ds Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20°/ http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html / / I A,ts�I r'\c r IF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 0 0.2 0.4 0.8 Miles Michael Baker I 1 1 I I ► I I I INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Res urces Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of LaSalle is characterized by medium-high levels of social vulnerability. Over time, it is critical that the town monitor their social vulnerability levels and work to decrease the factors that play a role in elevated risk and vulnerability to hazards. A closer analysis of the individual social vulnerability indicators within the town will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders a clear idea of which social vulnerability factors have the largest negative effect on the community and it resiliency. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of LaSalle due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory Exposed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the Town of LaSalle. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean • Michael Baker 486 r r �/11i INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Fbtential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the Town of LaSalle could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As LaSalle continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of LaSalle due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16-17, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur at any given time. inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Age: 65 and Over (%) Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 Town of LaSalle 12.7 13.4 24.9 The Town of LaSalle has a higher percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the Town . A slight larger percentage of LaSalle residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado . Based on these statistics, LaSalle residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. Fbtential losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the Town of LaSalle are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the Town of LaSalle resulting from extreme heat or cold, 1 tii'11J 487 Michael Baker � c INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the Town of LaSalle due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Public Health Hazards Public health hazards, including epidemics and pandemics, have the potential to cause serious illness and death, especially among those who have compromised immune systems due to age or underlying medical conditions. During the 2015 planning process, pandemic flu was identified as the key public health hazard in the county. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of public health hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of public health hazards. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, low income families, and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to public health hazards. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, young children, and a high poverty rate can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during public health hazards outbreaks. Populations Vulnerable to Public Health Hazards Persons Below Poverty Age: 65 and Over (%) Age: 5 and under (%) Level (%) Colorado 10.9 6.8 12.9 Town of LaSalle 12 .7 7.0 13 .5 The Town of LaSalle has a slightly lower percentage of elderly residents than the state of Colorado. A slightly larger percentage of LaSalle residents are under the age of 5 than the general population of Colorado. There is a slightly greater percentage of people living below poverty level than the state. Based on these statistics, LaSalle residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of public health hazards. That said, future mitigation efforts related to public health hazards should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, young children, live in poverty, or are homeless. Fbtential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for public health hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the Town of LaSalle are exposed to public health hazards. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, young and low income families. Given the lack of historical data in the Town of LaSalle resulting from public health hazards, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the Town of LaSalle due to public health hazards are currently considered unquantifiable. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail 488 161- i', `'• Michael Baker ►. P INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, or damage in the Town of LaSalle. There have been 3 hail events reported within the town limits. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Legend Town of LaSalle Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of LaSalle O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Major Roads 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • 4.01 - 5.00 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles I I I I I I I I> - Michael Baker v . INTERNATIONAL rMFNGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: NOAA's National Weather Service orm Prediction Center Lightning According to the best available data, no injuries, no deaths, or crop damage have occurred within the Town of LaSalle due to Lightning. There has been 1 recorded lightning incident on June 8, 1996 within the town limits, causing $ 1,000 in property damage. Based on the historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to the best available data, the Town of LaSalle has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of LaSalle is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. 489 TMichael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of LaSalle can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 2,047 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the city. Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. tbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of LaSalle including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of LaSalle. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. H AZ V AT Based on data supplied by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration's ( PHMSA) Incident Reports Database there have been 8 reported HAZMAT incidents within the Town of LaSalle between 1972 and 2015 . Inventory Exposed US 85 runs through the Town of LaSalle and is a designated nuclear and hazardous materials transportation route. All structures, natural resources, and people located within one mile of these transportation routes (and railways) are exposed to the impacts of a potential HAZMAT event. Structures, people, and natural resources located outside of a one mile buffer of these routes are also at risk of exposure. Assets and people that are located within one mile of an industrial or commercial fixed site are also at risk of exposure to the impacts of a HAZMAT release. Ebtential Losses HAZMAT related events occur throughout Weld County every year. The intensity and magnitude of these incidents depend on weather conditions, the location of the event, the time of day, and the process by which the materials are released . Was it raining when the event happened? Were the hazardous materials being transported by rail when they were released or were they at a fixed facility? Did the spill happen during rush hour traffic or in the middle of the night? All of these considerations matter when determining the risk and potential damages associated with a HAZMAT incident. HAZMAT events have the potential to threaten lives and disrupt business activity. Moreover, HAZMAT incidents can cause serious environmental contamination to air, ground, and water sources. 490 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of LaSalle due to tornadoes. There is record of 2 tornadoes reported within the town limits between 1976 and 1984. On August 1, 1984 a tornado caused $3,000 in property loss. There have been tornadoes reported close to the borders of the town limits as well . Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of LaSalle. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or damages have been recorded within the Town of LaSalle due to straight-line winds. There have been 2 reported high wind events between 1956 and 2013 within the town limits. Straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of LaSalle. Town of LaSalle Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events Town of LaSalle o Speed (knots) 1 O 50 - 60 2 Q 61 - 70 0 0.225 0.45 0.9 Miles l I I i 1 I I I I 3 • 71 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhrnp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIs/GISMaps.html O a Air r , Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Michael Baker Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEME Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of LaSalle can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 2,047 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the city. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide 491 :�f+ !' 'r, . �, Michael Baker r1 II INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $69,447,406. Potential losses could be substantial . Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of LaSalle to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know (IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan N A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N 492 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ' An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan Y Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. Town of LaSalle has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of LaSalle has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The town will pass resolutions with annual review Town of LaSalle Public comments will be solicited on an annual basis or whenever changes to mitigation actions and/or priorities occur Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of LaSalle did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of LaSalle based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "The town will do "anything we need to" in order to integrate the actions identified in the HMP with existing planning efforts. This includes updating its Town of LaSalle zoning, ordinances, and building codes on a regular schedule in order to address high risk hazards." tfi Michael Baker 493 cc• � - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of LaSalle's mitigation action that was included in the 2009 Plan . Town of LaSalle: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of LaSalle GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The following Mitigation Action Guides present each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of LaSalle: Community Preparedness Education PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Drought, Earthquake, Land Subsidence, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health, Hazmat LOCATION : Town of LaSalle GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10.06.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, B TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10.06.2020 ISSUE: There are many emergency management issues that need to be reinforced with public education so that citizens know what risks they face, what protective actions they can take, and what government programs are in place to assist them . RECOMMENDATION : The potential for saving just one life, and providing time for individuals and businesses to take effective protective actions, outweighs the potential cost of the public education program . Public Education may be the most effective and least-expensive way to reduce disaster losses by changing human behavior to promote appropriate actions ACTION : Establish an ongoing or annual Public Education campaign regarding Hazards and Emergency Management _sue 494 Michael Baker cc _\ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA LEAD AGENCY: Town of LaSalle EXPECTED COST: $2,500 for printing and distribution costs SUPPORT AGENCIES: County Emergency POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES HMPG, SHSG, Local Management, First Responder Agencies, budgets and private partner cost share. State DHSEM, FEMA A 1 PROGRESS MILESTONES: Since 2009, Weld County OEM and many participating jurisdictions have continued to make public preparedness outreach and education a priority. The Town of LaSalle will continue to work with Weld County OEM on community preparedness education and hazard identification. Town of LaSalle: Develop Upkeep Schedule for Emergency Power System PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Earthquake, Land Subsidence, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado LOCATION : Project location LaSalle GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10.06.15 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: In Colorado, there are a number severe weather events that could cause a power outage to the Town Offices and facilities. In case of an emergency, there are several town employees who need to stay connected to town networks and communication systems. Town offices are also used for command posts, damage assessment data collection points and information points for citizens RECOMMENDATION : The Town has a generator for backup power, continued maintenance to keep the generator operation will allow the town to stay operational during emergencies. ACTION : Town staff will test and maintain the operational condition of the generator. LEAD AGENCY: LaSalle Town Staff EXPECTED COST: Annual budget will meet this need . SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES annual budget PROGRESS MILESTONES: funding will be included in annual budgets. Jurisdiction or Organization: Town of LaSalle PRIORITY: Ongoing Program HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood, Severe Storm, LOCATION : Project location GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12.1.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E - TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12 . 1.2018 ISSUE : the Town of LaSalle has a current Storm Water Plan that has identified North 1st Street as a drainage improvement area that is necessary to Mitigate the flooding of business and streets from floods and storm water. The Town of LaSalle has its own storm water utility program which generates 495 f i' E ` Michael Baker co , , y ,' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN revenue to manage storm water issues. As this is an ongoing program, 1St Street has been determined by the Town Board as the first project for the storm water program . Once this project is completed in 2016 the Board will again address the next issue in the 2017 budget. RECOMMENDATION : The Town of LaSalle intends, over time, to implement on ongoing plan of storm water improvements, including, but not limited to valley pans, storm boxes, storm piping and manhole lids with proper language on polluting the rivers. This program may include most of the town over the next few years, however the Town has not prioritized the program past the budget year 2016. ACTION : Implement the high priority actions of the town's storm water plan. LEAD AGENCY: Town of LaSalle Public Works EXPECTED COST: Storm water improvements on 1St Street on 2015-2016 is 80,000.00 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Be specific POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Storm water utility fees, general fund and in-kind labor serve as match for grants. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Improvements to 1St Street has been started in 2015 with the majority of that project completed. Completion to be accomplished in 2016, The Town Board will identify and prioritize addition projects. I 496 Michael Baker cc'" ` �' `�' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE Town of LaSalle September 2, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of LaSalle is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of LaSalle has agreed to participate in the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, Town of LaSalle agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. Town of LaSalle understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Carl Harvey, commit the Town of LaSalle to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 2nd day of September, 2015 4 J � V • 497 .��+' �► �^ ' '� ' Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Mead The Town of Mead is located just east of Interstate 25 on the western edge of Weld County. The town sits approximately 35 miles north of the State Capital in Denver at an elevation of 5,003 feet above sea level . The town's total area is 4.4 square miles. Mead was established in 1908 when the Great Western Railroad built a feeder line from Longmont to Johnstown to gather and take sugar beet harvest to a refinery in Longmont. Ii i � � l l / 1 - / l ` / �� I •\ r -- L - r, � ` 1 ; ` -_ - 1 r � 4. i e i Community Profile The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Mead . Town of Mead Statistics Town of Mead Colorado Population, 2010 3405 5,029,196 2000-2010 Population Change, % 40.7% 14.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 7.3% 6.8% % Population under 19 years, 2010 25. 1% 20.3 % Population 65 years and over, 2010 6.3% 10.9% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 5.9% 15.9% Homeownership Rate 2010 88.3% 65.5% 498 Michael Baker a cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Persons Per Household 2010 2.9 2.57 Persons below poverty level, %, 2013 4.7% 13 .2% Median Household Income, 2013 $87, 132 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment * SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 0.90 0.90 0.60 0.40 0. 10 2.90 Straight-Line Winds & 0.90 0.60 0.60 0.40 0. 10 2.60 Tornadoes HAZMAT 0.90 0.60 0.40 0.40 0. 10 2.40 Flood 0.60 0.60 0.40 0.40 0. 10 2.10 Extreme Temperatures 0.90 0.30 0.60 0. 10 0. 10 2.00 Drought 0.60 0.30 0.40 0. 10 0.40 1.80 Public Health Hazards 0.60 0.60 0.40 0. 10 0. 10 1.80 Prairie Fire 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.40 0. 10 2.00 Land Subsidence 0.60 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0. 10 1.30 Earthquake 0.30 0.30 0.40 0. 10 0. 10 1.20 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher) : Severe Storm; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): Prairie Fire; Extreme Temperatures; Flood; HAZMAT Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Earthquake; Land Subsidence; Public Health Hazards; Drought Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Mead, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to Town of Mead . The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Mead's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. I 499 ,,lt I B !: Michael Baker U INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA' Town of Mead Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, � High (Top Town of Mead IF 9 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning f .J Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html ,y rtirla EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 0 1 2 4 Miles Mich el = . k- r I TERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Con ervation Board The Town of Mead is characterized by medium-low levels of social vulnerability. Currently, the social vulnerability indicators that contribute to higher vulnerability to hazards in the town are lower than they are in the majority of Weld County. This does not mean, however, that there a not any vulnerable populations living in Mead. Over time, the town should continue to monitor their social vulnerability as demographic, economic, and housing related conditions change. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to NOAA's Storm Events Database there have been no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage due to hail events in the Town of Mead . There were several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the town limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. • 500 W Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Legend Town of Mead Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Mead O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 'r-1 Weld County O 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 V O o O O O C O O O O O O O C) O _ ACw I; V4 r z J. O o o 1 2 4 Miles Michael Baker I I LIJI I II INTERNATIONAL EMFRGENCYMANAGFMEN7 Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center I - r Lightning NOAA's Storm Events Database reports no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage caused by lightning in the Town of Mead . Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the Town of Mead has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Mead is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Mead can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 3,405 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the Town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail I501 Michael Baker cc � \ - y INTERNATIONAL It at EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Mead including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Mead . It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Mead due to tornadoes. On May 8, 2003 there was a tornado within the town of Meads corporate limits. There have been tornadoes reported very close to both the eastern and southern borders of the Town limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Mead . According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Mead due to straight-line winds. On June 12, 1994 there were high winds reported within the town limits that incurred property damages. Straight-line winds will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Mead. 502 �''� Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A' Town of Mead Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 0 Speed (knots) _ Weld County 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions —2 O 61 - 70 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles Town of Mead -3 • 71 - 80 I 1 i i 1 1 i 1 l Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URN will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html ) C _L , L, o 0 ,:,, • r'--1 k o ot CI I I1 F � u f 1 • -- fit O tt r it `p ill, II Michael Baker ;ource: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL EMEIGENICY MANAGEMENT Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Mead can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 3,405 people, or 100% of the Town's population and all buildings and structures within the I 503 „ ` �4��I� UINTERNATIONAL Michael Baker I N T E R N AT I O N A L County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Potential) Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $340,245,966. Potential losses could be substantial . Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Mead to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain X Administrator Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction. Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance IDK Local building codes Y ,..J861. I504 Michael Baker cc _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP N Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Mead has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Mead has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "Our mitigation action plan will be reviewed and updated if needed by our Town Manager and Public Works Operations Manager on an annual basis. The Board of Trustees will review the plan anytime it is changed and anytime a new Trustee joins the Board. " Town of Mead "Any change to the plan will be posted to our website and at Town Hall in the Board Packet for the meeting at which the changes will be considered. Members of the community may contact staff before the meeting or speak up during the time for public comment at the Board of Trustees meeting. " Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Ault did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Mead based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "We will identify hazards when we update our comprehensive plan and integrate Town of Mead mitigation actions into our operations, maintenance, and strategic development plans. " - � i f�I 505 Michael Baker . r _r. �� cc - , I N T E R N A T I O N A L a EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of Mead's mitigation action that was included in previous hazard mitigation plans. Town of Mead: Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. PRIORITY: HIGH HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Mead GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2004/2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: Mead has never been mapped for flood hazards. As such, they chose not to join the NFIP. Currently, because they do not participate in the NFIP, flood insurance is unavailable to building owners. However, as communities grow and annex land from the County, they may be acquiring land that is flood prone or subject to drainage problems. A community can join the NFIP by adopting an ordinance and agreeing to regulate development in flood prone areas, as indicated on a FEMA- provided map. Where there is no map, no enforcement is necessary ---- but ---- having adopted the ordinance will allow building owners to purchase flood insurance if they so choose. RECOMMENDATION : Communities should contact the CWCB and ask to join the NFIP ACTION : Communities with NSFHA or Never Mapped should consider joining NFIP for the availability of insurance, especially if growing/annexing rapidly. In cases where there is a known watercourse within the existing or expanding community boundaries, the community should request CWCB and/or FEMA to develop a floodplain map that can be used for regulatory and insurance purposes. LEAD AGENCY: ommunies EXPECTED COST: Staff time only for initial inventory and discussion of protection methods, and cost- benefit analysis. SUPPORT AGENCIES: CWCB, FEMA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: There is no cost for the initial inventory and decision-making. Protective measures should be taken where cost-effective. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Updated 10/8/2015 : Mead adopted floodplain management policies in its municipal code : Section 16-12. The Town has not joined the NFIP. The following Mitigation Action Guides each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Mead: Policy Group Training for Elected Officials PRIORITY: High - 26 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All LOCATION : Mead or Weld County GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/7/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: B, C TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2016 s . 506 Michael Baker cG - ` r �' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN ISSUE: The Town of Mead does not currently have an emergency preparedness plan. While many of the tactical and strategic decisions will be handled by partner agencies, such as Mountain View Fire and Protection District, Weld County OEM, and Weld County Sheriff's Office, the Town of Mead Board of Trustees must be prepared to make policy decisions and must undergo training to understand what a Policy Group is and what its roles are and are not in an emergency. RECOMMENDATION : Offer Policy Group training to the Town of Mead Board of Trustees. ACTION : Weld County OEM is considering offering Policy Group training in the winter of 2015/2016. If they do hold this training, Town of Mead Trustees should attend. If Weld County does not hold this training, the Town of Mead should invite Dave Burns, City of Evans Emergency Manager, to lead a training specific to the Town . LEAD AGENCY: Town of Mead EXPECTED COST: Food, travel expenses, < $350 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County OEM POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Existing training budget PROGRESS MILESTONES: Town of Mead: Acquire Back-up Power for Public Works PRIORITY: High - 28 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All LOCATION : Town of Mead Public Works GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/7/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2016 ISSUE : While the Town of Mead Public Works building has a generator for back-up power, it does not have the capability to connect the generator to the building so that it is effective. If a disaster affects the power grid, the Public Works building, which is also the main headquarters for all tactical responses from the Town of Mead, will be rendered useless. RECOMMENDATION : Use money appropriated to Public Works in the Town of Mead 2016 budget to equip the Public Works building with access to back-up power. ACTION : Supply and install 200 amp transfer switch and receptacle for the existing generator to plug into. This will power the Public Works building in the event of a power outage. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Mead EXPECTED COST: $2,455 . SUPPORT AGENCIES: None POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Public Works budget for 2016 PROGRESS MILESTONES. Mead: Update Policies and Plans with Mitigation Principles PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All LOCATION : Mead GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 4 Michael Baker I 507 cc _ ` - " INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12/3/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2016 ISSUE: The current drainage master plan is out-of-date, and there is no current Wastewater Master Plan. The Town's Comprehensive Plan also needs updating. Several area disasters have affected the surrounding region since the last plans were created, including floods and tornadoes, and the Town has grown in population, creating new risks and changing the impact of those risks that might have been previously considered . RECOMMENDATION : Incorporate mitigation principles into policy documents and plans. ACTION : Incorporate Town of Mead's hazard and risk assessment as determined in the 2016 Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan into the Town's Comprehensive Plan Update scheduled for 2016, as well as into the Drainage Master Plan and Wastewater Master Plan. Consider especially actions that can be taken to mitigate the high risk hazards of storm, winds, and tornado, as well as the moderate risks of prairie fire, extreme temperatures, flood, and HAZMAT spills. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Mead EXPECTED COST: Drainage Master Plan : $70,000 Wastewater Master Plan : $50,000 Comprehensive Plan : $120,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Town of Mead General Fund, Drainage Fund, and Sewer Enterprise Fund. Comprehensive plan : Department of Local Affairs Grant PROGRESS MILESTONES: t1/4 Sby I 508 1! ° r Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Letter of Intent to Participate November 24, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Mead is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that Town of Mead has agreed to participate in the Weld County's] Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, Town of Mead agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. Town of Mead understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Town of Mead • 441 Third Street • P.O. Box 626 • Mead, Colorado 80542-0626 • 970-535-4477 • www.townofmead.org 509 Michael Baker } p �?L INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Dan Dean, Town Manager, commit the Town of Mead to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 24th day of November, 2014 Dan Dean,Town Manager ! `�. . se .!�� i r : a Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Milliken Based on Milliken's recent comprehensive plan update, Envision Milliken, the town's vision for growth and future development is based on eight "guiding principles." These principles serve as a framework for organizing planning, goals, policies, and recommended actions to help the community implement its vision over time. The town's guiding principles are as follows: • A strong, diversified economic base • A vibrant downtown that functions as the heart of the community • A complete and highly accessible system of parks, open space, trails, and recreational opportunities • A distinct community identity that reflects Milliken's cultural, archaeological, historical, and agricultural resources • A fiscally sustainable pattern of development • A diverse mix of housing types to meet the needs of residents of all ages, incomes, and abilities • A safe and disaster resilient community • A well-connected community Milliken is committed to becoming a safer and more disaster resilient community—building on the strength and resolve demonstrated by Town residents and many community partners in the wake of the September 2013 flooding. The Town will continue its ongoing efforts to recover and rebuild from the 2013 flooding, while also seeking to minimize risk to life and property in light of possible future natural or human-caused disasters. Ongoing collaboration and communication with first responders and residents and a focus on designing new infrastructure to more readily withstand potential hazard events will increase the Town's ability to respond to and recover from future events. — Envision Milliken, Town of Milliken Comprehensive Plan Community Profile The Town of Milliken was incorporated in 1910. Milliken is approximately 5 .7 square miles with no large bodies of water. The town is primarily a farming community and sits six miles east of Interstate 25 in the western part of Weld County between the Town of Mead and the City of Greeley. A large part of Milliken's planning area is part of a single Planned Unit Development (PUD) —the Centennial Master Plan—that is being developed incrementally over time. Currently, some portions of the original PUD are now being rezoned from industrial to multifamily residential use. Agricultural uses make up a large portion of the overall land use mix in the Town . Preserving and protecting Milliken's agricultural heritage continues to be a major priority for the community. As the town continues to grow, it will be important to balance the need for more land for greenfield development with preserving and protecting agricultural landscapes and uses. Some of Milliken's key planning concerns include: • Population growth : Milliken has seen large amounts of growth since the 1990s, the majority of which occurred between 1998 and 2005, as the Town increased in population from around 2,000 511 � '' Michael Baker cc - ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA residents to over 5,200. This growth is predicted to continue in the future, which raises questions about whether the town has the land, infrastructure, and resources necessary to support a projected population increase of approximately 4,000 people in the next 15 years. • A young, but aging population : Milliken is a relatively young community compared to the rest of Weld County and to Colorado. Overall, the Town has a larger population of young people and a smaller population of older adults. The majority of Milliken's population is under the age of 19. However, the residents of Milliken are getting older, as growth in new residents decreases and the existing population ages. • Growing Hispanic & Latino community: While the majority of the population identifies as being white, there is a high concentration of residents of Hispanic or Latino origin living in Milliken. Efforts are being made to ensure members of this often under-represented community are included in planning processes and local governance. Jl I l , .\ r l ,� i �_- l / i { -4 l ' ii ! . `c -.` / . N., - ________ . _ I / 1 '' t I / - /L-- _ k -- I .4 The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Milliken . Town of Milliken Statistics Town of Milliken Colorado Population, 2014 6,091 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 8.5% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 9.6% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 32.7% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 6.8% 10.7% 512 r !? Michael Baker a ` cc _ . \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 11.0% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 78.5% 65.4% Persons Per Household 3. 19 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 3 .4% 13.2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $66, 134 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Straight-Line Winds & 0.90 0.90 0.60 0.40 0.20 3.00 Tornadoes Flood 0.90 0.90 0.60 0. 20 0.30 2.90 Severe Storm 1.20 0.60 0.40 0.40 0.20 2.80 Prairie Fire 0.90 0.60 0.40 0.40 0.30 2.60 Land Subsidence 0.60 0.60 0.40 0.40 0.40 2.40 Extreme Temperatures 0.90 0.60 0.40 0. 10 0.30 2.30 Drought 0.90 0.30 0.40 0. 10 0.40 2.10 HAZMAT 0.60 0.60 0.20 0.40 0.20 2.00 Earthquake 0.90 0.30 0.20 0.40 0. 10 1.90 Public Health Hazards 0.30 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0. 10 1.30 IMMiF HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; Flood; Severe Storm; Prairie Fire MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Land Subsidence; Extreme Temperatures; Drought; HAZMAT Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Earthquake; Public Health Hazards Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Milliken, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Milliken . The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the 513 Michael Baker C : - . Y INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ' WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Milliken's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. Town of Milliken Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from Town of Milliken High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed �J''� Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning (' .J Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: "'LJ Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html tie I I � • 11 _dif A44111t • 1 sr;l /1 1I'. FMFRGFNCY MANAGFMFNT 0 1 z 4 Miles Michael Baker • i t I I I I I I I INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Br ch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Milliken is characterized by medium and medium-high levels of social vulnerability. The southern area of the town has higher levels of social vulnerability to disasters than the rest of the community. There is also a pocket of highly socially vulnerable residents in the north east portion of the town . A closer look at the individual social vulnerability indicators within Milliken will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders an even clearer picture of where resources should be prioritized in order to reduce vulnerability in the town . Over time, the town should continue to monitor their social vulnerability as demographic, economic, and housing related conditions change. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail • `t' i- = Michael Baker 514 ► r co - \ - y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Milliken . There were several hail events that occurred within the town limits as well as several events less than one mile from the town limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Legend Town of Milliken Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Milliken O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Weld County 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. �•J Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • 4.01 - 5.00 o O,\ C:1 O o I O O C' O O 0 O O • O O ) Tv 0 2 4 Miles Michael Baker ` . p. O INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Sto m Prediction Center Lightning According to the National Climatic Data Center Storm Event Database the last recorded lightning strike in Milliken was on July 30, 2004. There were no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage reported . Despite limited reporting of lightning strike events, there is potential for lightning to occur at any given time within the Town of Milliken. Winter Storm According to the best available data, the Town of Milliken has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Milliken is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. 515 ;'� '' Michael Baker • cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Milliken can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 6,091 people, or 100% of the Town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. tbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Milliken including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Milliken. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes According to the best available data, 78 injuries, one death, $ 147,000 property damage, and no crop damages have been recorded within and near the Town of Milliken due to tornadoes. There have been 5 tornadoes in the Town of Milliken between 1991 and 2008. The most severe being a tornado that occurred on May 22, 2008. This tornado traveled in a path north to south east and caused damage to not only the Town of Milliken but also the towns of Windsor, Platteville, Gilcrest, Timnath, and the City of Greeley. There have been tornadoes reported very close to the Northern, eastern and southern borders of the Town limits as well . Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Milliken . According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Milliken due to straight-line winds. On July 23, 1981 there were high winds reported within the town limits. There have been straight-line winds reported very close to the Northern, eastern and southern borders of the Town limits as well . Straight-line winds will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Milliken. tfi , Michael Baker 1- INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ° Town of Milliken Historical Straight-Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 1 Weld County 0 Speed (knots) 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles I I I I I I I I I Town of Milliken 3 • 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4 . Ana INL • 1 < 1 G--�II I I\ a ----ti rrTh •' M .• 1- ., 1----P-- N\i" cz 5 a , , r •Fe i i o SO • • Michael Baker -, Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center / INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Inventory Exposed 517 li ' a iii r h ` Michael Baker cc• - ` - Y ir INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA All assets located in the Town of Milliken can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 6,091 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and structures within the County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $265,987,214. Potential losses could be substantial . Flood In September 2013, Milliken experienced a devastating flooding event. Fifteen inches of rain fell in the region within a two-day period . This caused the town's three rivers, the Little and Big Thompson Rivers and the South Platte River, to reach flood stage levels. Below is a summary of the flood event provided by the town : "The flooding impacted a large section of town, and forced the evacuation of residents of a number of neighborhoods, including the town's two mobile home parks. Forty three of the mobile homes were destroyed or severely damaged . The town submitted grant applications to acquire both mobile home parks, but no funding has been awarded at this point. The floodwaters also damaged important roadways. During the floods, Milliken was essentially surrounded by water, making leaving or entering the town by road impossible. Sections of CR 23 and CR 46 were severely damaged and have yet to be fully repaired. Fortunately, no fatalities were reported in town as a result of the flooding. Sewer backups and failures occurred as a result of the flooding, both of which have since been replaced or retrofitted ." The map below shows special flood hazard areas (SFHA) within the town of Milliken . The maximum inundation extent boundary from the 2013 flood is also depicted on the SFHA map. There is a high potential for flood events to occur within Milliken at any given time. tg6i 518 1 C''' �''� Michael Baker LH rlr co ,4ty INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL Town of Milliken Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. Town of Milliken 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 47 Weld County flooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) concerning this study can be found at: - http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 i.com 2072-4292 7 8 9822 2013 Flood Max Inundation Extent Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption,Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html r �'a to OP taki.N.--4\--\ThaLN.:::cntes: / 8 I . . - - 14 oteritrir 11 e - 1 jirref 1` '. ''17►. 'Ir ' _ ,.g- bi .;I I . a flit If I i I X Arr.' 0 1 2 4 Miles 1 1 1 I .1 1 1 el III A V I . '►a%1861iy % (i fil D 71, -- t / r Michael Baker . " INTERNATIONAL rMc Rut NcrMnni, cmcnr \I° Source: Fed ral Ema-gency Management Agency, Weld County / / 90- Inventory Exposed The Hazus-based critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there are no critical facilities and 2 structures in the Town of Milliken that are flood prone (not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . The appraised value of these exposed structures is approximately $661,639. Fbtential Losses Hazus estimates for the Town of Milliken that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 2 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is approximately $8,576. Hazus estimates the total building losses for the 100-year flood event to be approximately $1,819. Building content losses are estimated to be higher, at approximately $3,242. Inventory losses are estimated to be approximately $3,514. 519 •- il I .l�l j Michael Baker U INTERNATIONAL lWELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood Town of Milliken Total Economic Loss (Count) scenario involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads O $100 - $10,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, ,G1 Weld County O $10,001 - $50,000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1% Depth Grid (Feet) O $50.001 - $100.000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. a High : 57.856 O $100,001 $250,000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel. Low : 0 O $250,001 - $1 ,000.000 (0) I o $1 .000.001 - $2,600,000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html fciD0o ec n r/ O O O o O G Q O _ e - f. ` OO . I j 0 1 2 4 Miles Al • 171: it EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT (. ource: Federal Emergency Michael Baker M nagement Agency, Weld County INTERNATIONAL •iy Prairie Fire There are a number of areas in the northern region of the town that are within the medium to highest level on the WUI Risk Index Scale. This means that the potential impact on people and homes from a prairie fire in those areas is medium to high in relationship to the rest of Weld County. This level of risk is derived by combining housing density with predicted flame length . rT ! Michael Baker 520 1r1 � . • V INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN! Town of Milliken Legend WUI Risk Index Wildland Urban Interface Risk Index -9 Major Roads -8 Wildland urban interface risk index measures the potential impact on people I Weld County and their homes from wildfire. This risk ranking was calculated by combining housing density with flame length - for example, areas with high housing Jurisdictions -6 density and high flame length are rated as "most negative impact" (-9). -s Town of Milliken -4 e City of Brighton Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map Structures/Parcels -3 developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. -2 Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: -1 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html —`. • . -.a • '4JJ I. 74IIC-it ., •,.; 4I ,- 4„,„4.1._ ...t. -Lt.- . • . 4 .:I it . IA114 4,v.tii 1 . Ire a . a. '/ r • t r 'N AO • .4 { . I Trtal.:Li - o .J:44%° • 4 a n ,,CI CI . l A } ' r I 0 T J. •/� 'y r ‘__I —� r-1 dt Ara" te e+�s L ha ,, \ : ,. li I P $ E M • .ti r 4 .rI. ..> isd. .i (Lir aat [lc Oft r — qof - •14 ,r / 0 0.5 1 2 Miles • Mich . - I • . k-I t 1 1 I I i l l �1 � '? 4.a INTERNATI0NAL'+ Er.1, MANAGEMENTSource: Colorado State Forest Service- COWRAP Inventory Exposed Fires can extensively impact the economy of an affected area, including the agricultural, recreation and tourism industries, water resources, and the critical facilities upon which the Town of Milliken depends. 521 = Ir .11 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA There are no identified critical facilities, structures or parcels located in areas with the highest wildfire threat area . Fbtential Losses Currently, there is no method for estimating wildfire loss. In most cases, the emergency management community equates potential losses to assets exposed to wildfire as a method of quantifying and comparing potential losses across communities. The exposure data provided in the previous section ( Inventory Assets Exposed) provides the clearest picture of potential losses to wildfire in the Town of Milliken . Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of Milliken to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan. The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y 522 .,t, ji Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Milliken has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. The Town of Milliken has had previous experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for mitigation and planning-related activities or projects. These include: • Grants: HMP, PDM, Public Assistance; • Technical Assistance: CDBG-DR Planning Grant; • Other Funding Opportunities: CDBG-DR, Natural Disaster Infrastructure Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Milliken has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy Our mitigation actions will be reviewed by Town Staff and the Town Board on an annual basis. Town of Milliken The Town will publicly announce changes to the Mitigation Plan and Updates on the Town 's Website and Newsletter. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Since the Town of Milliken's comprehensive plan was last updated in 2010, the community was heavily impacted by the 2013 flood . In response to the flood and other growth related issues, the Town kicked off a Comprehensive Plan and Resiliency Update process ("Envision Milliken") in early 2015. The Envision 523 Michael Baker a INTERNATIONAL It EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Milliken process provided an opportunity to check in and ensure the updated plan is aligned with the community's interests and overall vision for the town, as well as to identify priorities for implementation. Envision Milliken builds on the 2010 Comprehensive Plan, as well as a number of other plans and studies completed by the town, including the Downtown Design Guidelines (2014); Housing Needs Assessment (2014); Transportation Master Plan (2008); A Plan for the South Platte River Corridor (2013); Water and Sanitary Sewer Master Plan Update (2014); and Johnstown-Milliken Park, Trails, Recreation & Open Space Master Plan (2003 ) . The risk assessment used in the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan was also leveraged during the comprehensive planning process. To further illustrate the town's commitment to the integration of hazards and land use planning, Milliken's Comprehensive Plan articulates the following focus areas in its plan element related to creating a "Safe and Disaster Resilient Community" : • Directing future growth and investment away from hazard prone areas • Minimizing risk and the effects of future hazard events on essential infrastructure • Promoting emergency preparedness • Improving communication • Increasing community awareness of potential risks In response to the 2013 Colorado floods, Milliken convened a committee known as BOOST ( Building on our Strengths and Traditions) to consider the town's long-term flood recovery needs. At the end of a nearly year-long process, the committee released recommendations in four categories: economic development, emergency preparedness, housing and infrastructure, and parks, education, recreation, and culture. To date, these recommendations have not been considered or approved by the Town Board. Instead, they are being incorporated into the update of the comprehensive plan, so that the document can better address and promote the resilience of Milliken and its community. Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The table below lists the specific integration strategies, in addition to the integration of the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan with Envision Milliken, identified by the town based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "The Town will continue to update its zoning ordinances and floodplain regulations to address our highest risk areas in the community. " Town of Milliken "The Town will continue to use its Storm water Master Plan as a guide to place Storm water Projects into its Capital Improvements Plan. " 524 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update on the mitigation action that Milliken included in the 2009 Plan . Milliken: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Milliken GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Milliken is not participating in the CRS program, however we are a member of NAP in good standing. Milliken adopted the model ordinance in April of 2014 as required by the State of Colorado. The Town of Milliken enforces the floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements. The Town also conducted an hydrology and hydraulics study to update the Town's local floodplain map to include areas that were impacted by the 2013 flood event. The following Mitigation Action Guides profile each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Milliken: Josephine Storm Sewer Improvements Project PRIORITY: #1 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood Hazard LOCATION : Town of Milliken GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 8/28/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/29/2017 ISSUE: Josephine Storm Sewer Improvements Project RECOMMENDATION : Construction of storm sewer pipe, culverts, and channels ACTION : Solve storm water flooding issues in Central Milliken -sue ;re- 525 Michael Baker cc _\ ` ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt LEAD AGENCY: Town of Milliken Public EXPECTED COST: $1,700,000 Works SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA, Colorado POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA HMGP 75%, Division of Homeland Security and CDHSEM HMGP 12.5%. Emergency Management 3 PROGRESS MILESTONES: A FEMA HMGP Application was sub'• " fitted on 8/28/2014, State Request for Information was submitted on 3/26/2015. The Town is still working with FEMA and the State to get - -- through the approval process. • Milliken: Acquisition of Flood Prone Lands and Structures PRIORITY:#2 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood Hazard and Other Hazards LOCATION : Structures at-risk to the flood GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 hazard throughout Milliken, including the town's two mobile home parks located at 103 and 106 Josephine Avenue RECOMMENDATION DATE: 8/28/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/31/2017 ISSUE: Various structures at risk for flooding throughout Milliken, including the Evergreen and Martin Mobile Home Parks that are at risk of flooding from the Little Thompson River RECOMMENDATION : Acquisition of structures at-risk to the flood hazard, including the Town's two mobile home parks, debris removal, and the relocation of tenants ACTION : Acquisition of structures at risk to flooding throughout Milliken, including the town's two mobile home parks, debris removal, and the relocation of tenants LEAD AGENCY: Town of Milliken EXPECTED COST: $2,500,000 Administration Dept. SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA HMGP, CDHSEM POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA HMGP 75%, CDHSEM 12.5% �. 2861+✓F I 526 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Progress Milestones: FEMA HMGP Application was submitted on 8/28/2014. The State Request for Information was submitted on 3/26/2015. The FEMA Request for Information was submitted on a,. 9/19/2015. Milliken: Procurement and Installation of Tornado Sirens PRIORITY: #3 J HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Tornado/Wind Hazard LOCATION : Town of Milliken GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 9/1/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/29/2017 ISSUE: Warn public regarding pending tornadoes and high wind events RECOMMENDATION : Install additional warning sirens within Milliken to increase Tornado Warnings capabilities ACTION : Install additional tornado sirens throughout Milliken LEAD AGENCY: Town of Milliken Police and EXPECTED COST:$60,000 -$100,000 Fire Department SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA, Colorado POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA HMGP 75%, Division of Homeland Security and CDHSEM HMGP 12.5%. Emergency Management PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Milliken identified several proposed locations for the placement of warning sirens on 9/1/2015 Ar- te / ►► Ad 74 Michael Baker 1527 r; ,� , cc _, v `Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt Milliken: Generators for Public Buildings PRIORITY: #4 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Tornado/Wind/Flood/Winter Storm Hazards LOCATION : Town of Milliken GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 9/1/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/29/2x' ISSUE: Ensure public buildings, shelters, and critical facilities remain operational in the event of power failure post disaster RECOMMENDATION : Determine required size/wattage and install generators for public buildings, shelters, and critical facilities ACTION : Prioritize, determine required size/wattage and install generators for public buildings, shelters, and critical facilities LEAD AGENCY: Town of Milliken Public EXPECTED COST: Varies depending upon the facility Works and Milliken Police Department SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA, Colorado POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA HMGP 75%, Division of Homeland Security and CDHSEM HMGP 12.5%. Emergency Management PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Milliken is in the = process of prioritizing public buildings, shelters, and critical facilities that require a generator 9/1/2015. elk - '? r r Michael Baker I 528 , r p , „NJ ... `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Milliken: Storm Water Improvements Throughout Milliken PRIORITY: #5 J HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood Hazard LOCATION : Town of Milliken GOALS ADDRESSED: 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 9/1/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/29/2017 ISSUE: Identify storm drainage problem areas throughout the Town of Milliken RECOMMENDATION : Prioritize and identify storm drainage problem areas throughout Milliken ACTION : Construct storm drainage improvements throughout Milliken LEAD AGENCY: Town of Milliken Public EXPECTED COST: $20,000,000 Works SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA, Colorado POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA HMGP, Division of Homeland Security and CDHSEM HMGP 12.5%. Emergency Management, Colorado Water Board I 4 PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town adopted a Strom Drainage Plan on November 25, 2014 that identified over $20,000,000 in storm drainage projects for the Town of Milliken . The Town of Milliken also geStrire.„.,,- -- established a Storm Water Utility Fee on December 10, 2014 to ensure the community has adequate money set aside to address its storm drainage needs. alEir 529 r Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLt Milliken: Tornado Shelters in Public Buildings and Parks PRIORITY: #6 HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Tornado/Wind Hazard LOCATION : Town of Milliken GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 9/1/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 12/29/20201i ISSUE: Protect the public and prevent the loss of life from tornadoes/wind hazard events RECOMMENDATION : Construct tornado shelters in existing or new public buildings, parks, schools, etc. ACTION : Construct tornado shelters in heavily utilized public buildings or parks to prevent the loss of life. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Milliken EXPECTED COST:$500,000 - $2,000,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: FEMA, Colorado Division o . POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA HMGP 75%, Homeland Security and Emergency CDHSEM HMGP 12.5%. Management Progress Milestones: The Town of Milliken is currently assessing possible locations for tornado shelters. The Town shall also assess the possibility of constructing tornado shelters in newly constructed public buildings. TORNADO SHELTER 530 1 `TA �' `' Michael Baker li cc „ " `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate t ";A177t' :?''llna JH MILLIKEN August 27, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Milliken is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Milliken has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Milliken agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201.6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Milliken understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Mayor, Milt Tokunaga, commit The Town of Milliken to the Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 27 day of August, 2014 Milt Tokun ga, Mayor, Town of Milli Town Hall, 1101 Broad Street, Drawer 290 • Milliken, Colorado 80543 • (970) 587-4331 • (970) 587-2678 Fax ,`_ 531 1 '� rj r 'k • Michael Baker cc _ v Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Pierce Community Profile The Town of Pierce was incorporated in 1918. As a key railroad stop, it became a local shipping point for cattle, sheep, potatoes, beans, and sugar beets. Pierce was the second station in Weld County on the Denver Pacific Railroad in 1869 and had a section house, water tank and siding. The town was named after General John Pierce who was the surveyor general for the Colorado Territory who later became the 4th President of the D.P. R. R. Today, Pierce is described as a rural agricultural community along U .S Highway 85, north of Greeley. -- _. _ 1 r r 1 I The table below summarizes key demographic and development related characteristics of the Town of Pierce. Town of Pierce Statistics Town of Pierce Colorado Population, 2014 871 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 4.3% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 6.7% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 29. 1% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 12 .7% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 11 . 1% 16.8% 532 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Homeownership Rate 78.8% 65.4% Persons Per Household 2.67 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 4.0% 13.2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $54, 185 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment SPATIAL WARNING RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.400 Straight-Line Winds and 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.000 Tornadoes Prairie Fire 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.800 Extreme Temperatures 0.9 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0.3 1.800 Flood 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.700 Drought 0.6 0.3 0.4 0. 1 0. 1 1.500 HAZMAT 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 0. 1 1.500 Public Health Hazard 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1.300 Land Subsidence 0.6 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1.300 Earthquake 0.3 0.3 0.2 0. 1 0. 1 1.000 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): NONEiii MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Straight-Line Winds and Tornadoes; Severe Storm Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Prairie Fire; Extreme Temperatures; Flood; Drought; HAZMAT; Public Health Hazard; Land Subsidence; Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Pierce. This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Town of Pierce. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of Pierce's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. 533 Inlin Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL A: Town of Pierce Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at Town of Pierce the Census Tract level . Major Roa Medium - High ds Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 1 f`/ . is // // ` 7// / ,/ // // C J ~ 7 V UNMANLY MANAGlM[Nf 0 0.15 0.3 0.6 Miles Michael Baker I l I I I 1 l I I INTERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources Dam Safety Branch, FE , Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Pierce is characterized by a uniform level of medium social vulnerability. Although this is not a high level of vulnerability, it is important that the town take efforts to understand what elements of the social vulnerability index contribute the most to their slightly elevated score. In doing so, the town will be able to manage those risk factors and reduce their social vulnerability over time. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Pierce to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the town's hazard mitigation program. Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . 534 Michael Baker Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan N A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) N A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. Town of Pierce has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. 535 W Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Pierce has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The plan and mitigation actions will undergo periodic board review; we will form a public safety committee to review mitigation action progress over time. Town of Pierce We will ensure continued public participation through the formation of Pierce Public Safety Committee, website updates, a town board review Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Pierce did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Pierce based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy Town of Pierce "We will continue to adhere to FEMA flood zone restrictions. " , 1861 I 536 i', ` Michael Baker cc „ " y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of Pierce's mitigation action that was included in the 2009 Plan . Town of Pierce: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Town of Pierce GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The town of Pierce adopted the model ordinance in 2014, and enforces floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements. 1;. „I-8(k"; I . . 537 r _ Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA The following Mitigation Action Guide profiles the community's new mitigation action that was developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Pierce: Community Preparedness Education PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Drought, Earthquake, Land Subsidence, Extreme Temperatures, Flood, Severe Storm, Wind & Tornado, Fire, Public Health, Hazmat LOCATION : Town of Pierce GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10.06.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: Al B TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 10.06.2020 ISSUE: There are many emergency management issues t a need to be reinforced with public education so that citizens know what risks they face, what protective actions they can take, and what government programs are in place to assist them . RECOMMENDATION : The potential for saving just one life, and providing time for individuals and businesses to take effective protective actions, outweighs the potential cost of the public education program . Public Education may be the most effective and least-expensive way to reduce disaster losses by changing human behavior to promote appropriate actions ACTION : Establish an ongoing or annual Public Education campaign regarding Hazards and Emergency Management LEAD AGENCY: Town of Pierce EXPECTED COST: $2,500 for printing and distribution costs SUPPORT AGENCIES: County Emergency POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES HMPG, SHSG, Local Management, First Responder Agencies, budgets and private partner cost share. State DHSEM, FEMA 1 PROGRESS MILESTONES: Since 2009, Weld County OEM and many participating jurisdictions have continued to make public preparedness outreach and education a priority. The Town of Pierce will continue to work with Weld County OEM on community preparedness education and hazard identification. Jurisdiction or Organization: Town of Pierce Drainage County road 88/Hwy 85 PRIORITY: high HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood, Storm water LOCATION : Pierce GOALS ADDRESSED: 1,2,3,4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 1/1/2016 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: DIE TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2020 ISSUE: The Town of Pierce has a Comprehensive Plan identifying storm drainage issues and goals. The primary goal is to preserve flood plains and natural drainage ways in the Pierce planning area. Drainage at County Road 88 and Highway 85 requires a larger engineered culvert to prevent standing water on the street and nearby properties. asp . , 538 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : The Town of Pierce is working jointly with Weld County to engineer a larger culvert to drain storm water under County Road 88 and allow it to flow down the natural drainage area. Agreements with the State of Colorado, City of Thornton and Collins Lateral may be necessary to help direct the drainage to the proper natural areas. ACTION : This is a high priority currently being planned in conjunction with Weld County to engineer a culvert large enough to drain storm water and direct it to a ditch system approximately / mile away. LEAD AGENCY: Town of Pierce EXPECTED COST: Storm drainage improvements in the vicinity of US85 and County Road 88. Installation, agreements, and engineered design directing the flow to a ditch system approximately 3/4 mile. $500,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Weld County POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Pierce charges drainage fees. PROGRESS MILESTONES tr **Italic; Li �J { t4 I 539 Michael Baker cc _\-Y ' I N T E R N A T I O N A L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate 77TOWN of TOWN OF PIERCE 144 Main, PO Box 57 All Pierce, CO 80650 �y Phone: 970-834-2851 Fax: 970-834-2755 COLORADO townofpierce.org December 8, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi- Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Pierce is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that Town of Pierce has agreed to participate in the Weld County's] Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning,Town of Pierce agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. Town of Pierce understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area: • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). 540 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Platteville "The Platteville community seeks orderly and sustainable growth, while preserving Town traditions and the small town lifestyle. The community is committed to fostering a strong local economy and wishes to develop into a full-service community given its easy access to DIA and 1-25." — Town of Platteville Comprehensive Plan (2015) Platteville wishes to foster its reputation as a Town where citizens can live, work, and run a business in a safe environment. The old town area serves as a vital center for the community, providing churches, parks, ball fields, library, museums, and Town Hall . For a town of its size, there are ample recreational opportunities for all ages, which the community wishes to enhance as it develops. The public and private sectors have an interest in assuring that the Town grows in an orderly and efficient manner. Currently, the 2015 Comprehensive Plan outlines a path forward for achieving efficiency in growth . It identifies existing and projected community issues, focuses public resources through its principles and policies, and outlines a course of action that provides the Town with a 'road map' to accommodate growth and community change. Community Profile Platteville is one of the oldest communities in Weld County. It is located along the east bank of the South Platte River at the intersection of US Highway 85 and Colorado Highway 66. Located at an elevation of 4,825 feet, Platteville is approximately 1.48 square miles in size. Platteville was founded in 1871, after the Denver Pacific Railroad reached the area. The town's origins are traced back to Fort Vasquez, an important 1830's fur trading post. The Platte River's fertile valley has long been known for its livestock and poultry, with over 200 farms now located in the surrounding area. The Town of Platteville is best described as a community that cherishes its small town atmosphere.23 The physical attributes that contributes to the small town atmosphere, as defined by residents of Platteville, include "a variety of distinct neighborhoods, the South Platte River Corridor, abundant open space, opportunities for additional parks and trails particularly next to the existing ball field and along the South Platte River." 23 Town of Platteville Comprehensive Plan (2015) tfi 541 7 1 , Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN \ {/ ( _ \ /-. /- .\-\,_. _.. I I 'L _____ \ _ ..„--/ rf\-31±2:1Y-11 j I: : 1 i ---t / I - L L Town of Platteville Statistics Town of Platteville Colorado Population, 2010 2,485 5,029,196 2000-2010 Population Change, % 4.6% 14.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 8% _ 6.8% % Population under 19 years, 2010 25.9% 20.3 % Population 65 years and over, 2010 9.5% 10.9% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 23.7% 15.9% Homeownership Rate 2010 74.2% 65.5% Persons Per Household 2010 2.9 2.57 Persons below poverty level, %, 2013 16% 13.2% Median Household Income, 2013 $55,052 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 0.90 0.90 0.40 0.40 0.30 2.90 Straight-Line Winds & 0.90 0.90 0.60 0.40 0. 10 2 .90 Tornadoes I r -s Michael Baker 542 t � � _ � " ,. INTERNATIONAL at. EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN! WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA HAZMAT 0.90 0.60 0.40 0.40 0. 10 2.40 Prairie Fire 0.90 0.60 0.40 0.40 0. 10 2.40 Public Health Hazards 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 0. 10 2.30 Extreme Temperatures 0.90 0.60 0.40 0. 10 0. 10 2. 10 Flood 0.60 0.60 0.40 0.20 0. 10 1.90 Drought 0.90 0.30 0.400 0. 10 0. 10 1 .80 Land Subsidence 0.30 0.30 0.200 0.30 0. 10 1.20 Earthquake 0.30 0.30 0.200 0. 10 0. 10 1.00 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Severe Storm; Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes 11 MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : HAZMAT; Prairie Fire; Public Health Hazards; Extreme Temperatures Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Flood; Drought; Land Subsidence; Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Platteville, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Platteville. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of Platteville's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. 543 i �', Michael Baker rli , cc _ " `y INTERNATIONAL Fi. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLsr. Town of Platteville Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, -- Town of Platteville High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at - the Census Tract level. Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning Major Roads process. During the plan writing. the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Low (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I A C. . 0I1 - - 1 I "' r iH Eta tauw1Mern I I I 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Michael Baker I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 INTERNATIONAL 1 Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources\am Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Conservation Board The Town of Platteville is characterized by medium-high levels of social vulnerability. Currently, the socioeconomic indicators that contribute to elevated vulnerability to disasters are higher in Platteville than they are in the majority of Weld County. These conditions warrant a closer look at the individual social vulnerability indicators within the town . This will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders a clearer picture of where resources should be allocated in order to better manage the challenge of high social vulnerability to hazards. Additionally, the Town of Platteville should continue to monitor their progress as demographic, economic, and housing related conditions change over time. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail According to NOAA's Storm Events Database there have been no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Platteville from hail events. There were three hail events reported within the town limits as well as several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the town limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time within the town's jurisdictional boundaries. • 544 ;'� .'' 'r ' �, Michael Baker • > �111 ; - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ' WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA; Legend Town of Platteville Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Platteville O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan O writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: 2.01 - 3.00 Major Roads http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 O O O O O n - I( C 7 tg(w 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles r I t i I I I Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMFRGENCYMANAGFMEN7 Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Predictio Center Lightning According to NOAA's Storm Events Database there have been no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Platteville from lightning. However, there still exists great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time within the Town of Platteville. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the Town of Platteville has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Platteville at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. in ver rt ory &posed All assets located in the Town of Platteville can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 2,485 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the Town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail • 545 1 Michael Baker 1 ..r /• ` 11 - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Platteville including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Platteville. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, no death, $8,000 worth of property damage, and no crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Platteville due to tornadoes. There have been 6 tornadoes in the Town of Platteville between 1976 and 1999. Moreover, there have been tornadoes reported very close to the northern, eastern, southern, and western borders of the Town limits. Based on historical data, tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Platteville. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Platteville due to straight-line winds. There were three high wind events reported within the town limits between 1976 and 1994. There have been straight-line winds reported very close to the northern, western and southern borders of the town limits as well . Straight-line winds will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Platteville. 546 : Michael Baker cc _ " `y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Platteville Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend EF Scale Historical High Wind Events Major Roads 0 Speed (knots) Jurisdictions 1 O 50 - 60 Town of Platteville 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.5 1 2 Miles • I i i i l f i i 1 C 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • I ` O . i/i {Jh 'H `'. Michael Baker Source: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Predi tion Center INTERNATIONAL Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Platteville can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 2,485 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and structures 547 �`' Michael Baker cc - ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA within the County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Potential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $86,514,241. Potential losses could be substantial. Flood Although flood was identified as low risk in the Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment, it is being included with the high vulnerability hazards due to the Town of Platteville's close proximity to the South Platte River. According to the best available data there are no reported injuries or deaths in the Town of Platteville caused by flooding. Due to the towns close proximity to the South Platte River, there is a possibility for a flood event to occur at any given time. There have been two recorded flood events since 1996 in the town of Platteville. The first occurred September 26, 2012 and was categorized as a flash flood . This flood cause $15,000 in property damage and $10,000 in crop damage. The second flood occurred on September 12, 2013 and was categorized as a fast-moving flash flood . 548 '•I Michael Baker � . r � cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Platteville Special Flood Hazard Areas SFHA defines the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event. Data shown is from the Legend most recent Preliminary Flood Insurance Rate Maps for Weld County and its jurisdictions. Town of Platteville 2013 Flood Extents - This study attempted to identify the Major Roads maximum flood extent that resulted from the damaging 2013 Special Flood Hazard Areas (Preliminary) flooding along Colorado's front range. Additional details concerning this study can be found at: 2013 Flood - Max Inundation Extent http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/7/8/9822 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption,Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4. �' y r 4 -�`' 1 � � 1 1 J I e A 2, ! i ili I Al A ..• a i 1 — - l-c-: n ) -.. tl 1 l 0 0.5 1 2 Miles Oar . lia% I 1 I 1 I I 1 1 • C_ a 7 v Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL iMrIgrt,,, mAu -^,pr4i Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County Inventory Exposed The critical facility and structure exposure analysis estimates that there are no critical facilities and 14 structures in the Town of Platteville that are flood prone (not including the total miles of flood prone infrastructure) . The appraised value of these exposed structures is approximately $ 1,972,746. Fbtential Losses Hazus estimates for the Town of Platteville that for a 100-year flood event, approximately 14 buildings will experience flood damage. The total economic loss estimated for the 100-year flood is approximately $248,084. Currently, there are no critical facilities located within the floodplain in the town of Platteville. The total building losses for the 100-year flood event are estimated to be approximately $204,738. Building content losses are estimated to be approximately $43,347. ;r_nil I 549 "A E \f/ Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL 1% Annual Flood Scenario Loss Estimation Legend Loss estimations are derived from Hazus-HM 2.2 flood Town of Platteville Total Economic Loss (Count) scenario involving the 1% Annual Chance Flood Event (100-Year Flood). Total economic losses include: building Major Roads O $100 - $10,000 (37) repair costs, contents, business inventory, costs of relocation, Weld County o $10,001 - $50,000 (5) capital-related, wage, and rental losses. Point locations are 1 % Depth Grid (Feet) O 550,001 $100,000 (0) sometimes approximate and not the actual building location. High : 57.856 a • 5100,001 - $250.000 (0) Where parcels do not have buildings, the point is the centoid of that parcel . Low : 0 • $250,001 - $1 ,000,000 (0) • $1 ,000,001 - $2,600.000 (0) Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • I I. r O • ; • • e • 0 0.5 1 2 Miles• I I I I I I I I EMtRG[NGY MANAGtMtNT Michael Baker O O Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency, Weld County 1 INTERNATIONAL Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Platteville to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X • 550 + !' 'rjiI Michael Baker cc - v - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X In Platteville, The Town Manager serves as the Emergency Manager, Floodplain Administrator & grant writer. The Town contracts for planning services as needed . Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y* A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y * The emergency operations plan is outdated and is being updated this winter (2015). The Town Engineer will complete a Master Storm Drainage Plan in 2016. Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and I551 Michael Baker - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA codes. Town of Platteville has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. The Town of Platteville has had previous experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for mitigation and planning-related activities or projects. These include: • Grants: A DOLA Grant in 2010 for Comprehensive Plan Update & 2014 for Master Storm Drainage Plan. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Platteville has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The Plan will be incorporated into the Town 's Emergency Management Plan and reviewed annually by the Town Board and respective staff Town of Platteville The Plan will be available for public review at Town Hall and on the Town 's website. Annual public meetings will be held to discuss priorities, amendments or other actions related to the Plan. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Platteville did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Platteville based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan . Jurisdiction Strategy "Identified high risk hazards will be incorporated into the Town 's Capital Town of Platteville Improvement Plan. Zoning regulations will be reviewed and updated to address specific hazard mitigation sections. " 552 Michael Baker co _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guides present status updates on each of the community's mitigation actions included in the 2009 Plan. Platteville: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Platteville GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 4 RECOMMENDATION DATE: Ongoing OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Pages 508-509 ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to floodprone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Platteville continues to participate in FEMA's NFIP Program . The model ordinance was adopted in 2014 and the town continues to enforce floodplain regulations. The following Mitigation Action Guides each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Platteville: PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood, Wind & Tornado, Public Health LOCATION : Town GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/20/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E - TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE : Town citizens require a reliable early warning system for various hazards including flooding, severe storms, tornadoes and high winds along with general public health hazmat situations. I 553 Michael Baker cc _\-Y ` ' INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN RECOMMENDATION : Continue improving existing emergency warning systems while updating emergency management plans and educating the community on such plans. ACTION : Maintain and improve existing systems (install early warning siren system, implement emergency phone notification system) & update Emergency Management Plan LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: TBD SUPPORT AGENCIES: Police & Public Works. POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Capital Improvement Departments Fund, State and Federal Funding Sources ■ PROGRESS MILESTONES: Will review Emergency Management Plans with community annually. Jurisdiction or Organization: Town of Platteville P OR : Ongoing Program HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood, Severe Storm, LOCATION : Platteville GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12. 1.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 12. 1.2018 ISSUE: : Improve and enhance reliable eary warning systems or the community to mitigate various hazards including flooding, severe storms, tornados and high winds along with general public health hazmat situations. RECOMMENDATION : Continue improving existing emergency warning systems while educating the community on such plans to mitigate potential impacts. Establish another (4th) early warning siren on the north side of the community to enhance warning notifications to the residents & businesses as the community grows and expands. Expand the use of the emergency phone notification system to maximize potential in mitigating hazards. By improving and expanding the early warning systems the Town's vision of growth that was identified in the 2010 Comprehensive Plan Update will be enhanced with fewer concerns of potential hazard impacts. ACTION : Maintain and improve current early warning systems. LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: 25,000.00 SUPPORT AGENCIES: Public Works, Planning, POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Capital Improvement Police, Fire District. Fund, General Fund, State and Federal Funding Sources. °° r‘ ' Michael Baker 554 4 I co ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: The Town of Platteville has significantly improved it's ability to reduce and mitigate hazardous situations within the community and surrounding area during recent years by implementing early warning notifications systems (2009 & 2014), a major milestone will be installing a 4th siren on the north side of the community. Jurisdiction or Organization: Town of Platteville PRIORITY: Ongoing Program HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flood, Severe Storm, LOCATION : Platteville GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 12. 1.2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: C, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: 12. 1.2018 ISSUE: : The Town of Platteville has significantly improved it's ability to reduce and mitigate hazardous situations within the community and surrounding area during recent years by implementing early warning notifications systems (2009 & 2014), RECOMMENDATION : In 2015 the Town applied for and received DOLA funding to assist in completing a Master Storm Drainage Study. The study is expected to be completed in 2016 and will provide valuable information to identify potential storm drainage and flooding issues within the community. The study will be used by the Town 's engineer and Public Works Director to mitigate current flooding and storm drainage concerns while developing long-term mitigation plans for future development and growth in areas identified in the 2010 Comprehensive Plan Update. ACTION : In 2015 the Town applied for and received DOLA funding to assist in completing a Master Storm Drainage Study. The study is expected to be completed in 2016 and will provide valuable information to identify potential storm drainage and flooding issues within the community. The study will be used by the Town's engineer and Public Works Director to mitigate current flooding and storm drainage concerns while developing long-term mitigation plans for future development and growth in areas identified in the 2010 Comprehensive Plan Update. LEAD AGENCY: Town Administration EXPECTED COST: 80,000.00 SUPPORT AGENCIES: State Planning, POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Capital Improvement Engineering, Public Works Fund, General Fund, State and Federal Funding Sources. PROGRESS MILESTONES: Completing a Master Storm Drainage Plan and updating existing emergency management plans and systems in 2016 will assist in ongoing hazardous mitigation efforts for the Town of Platteville. Utilizing the hazard analysis developed in the Hazard Mitigation plan will provide supporting documentation to update the Emergency Operation Plan. 1`;. , 555 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE Town of Platteville September 3, 2015 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Platteville is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that Town of Platteville has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, Town of Platteville agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. Town of Platteville understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I Troy Renken, commit the Town of Platteville to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 3rd day of September, 2015 ©.c/ Pic / Platteville Town Manager w861 1 556 Ili j '� ' Michael Baker in• cc - N Y INTERNATIONAL 2't EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Severance "We understand that growth creates impacts on our community including impacts on our infrastructure, traffic among others. However, we also recognize that growth brings opportunity that can improve our sense of community, quality of life, business opportunities. [. . .] The elements of our community that we hold dear and want to preserve include the lifestyle associated with living in a small town along Colorado's northern front range which includes the enjoyment of the natural features of the landscape that surrounds us, including the gentle rolling hills, vistas of the snow-capped Rockies, and an abundance of small lakes and water ways that surround us, our quiet hometown character, clean air, open views, proximity and the ease of access to adjacent urban center for culture and entertainment, our safe neighborhoods with low crime, our new high quality schools, our closely tied friendly community where neighbors know each other and build ties with each other, and our financially stable community." — Severance Hometown Vision, Comprehensive Plan 2011 Community Profile The Town of Severance is located approximately 10 miles east of Fort Collins, 7 miles north of Windsor and 10 miles northwest of Greeley. Severance has a total area of 2.1 square miles and is located at an elevation of 4,888 feet above sea level . Severance was founded in the late 19th century as an agricultural community, the town remained primarily a small rural farming community based on the raising of cattle, sugar beets, potatoes, and onions. In the 1990s it began to grow aggressively by the construction of new residential subdivisions in the nearby rural areas of Weld County, especially as growth spilled over from nearby Windsor. The construction of new residential communities near the town has left the original agricultural community surrounded by modern construction and contributed to an upsurge in population. Severance is served by two State Highways and numerous county roads, which offer easy motoring to Interstate 25 and all points beyond . Its internal roadways are well maintained and offer unbridled recreation access to other Northern communities. As development occurs a pedestrian and bicycle pathway will connect with Windsor's trail network. The Town currently maintains five parks spread throughout many neighborhoods. A trail system is being developed that will hook into regional trail systems in the future. The surrounding area is home to prime waterfowl hunting and the Rocky Mountains are easily accessible. 557 r ` is ` Michael Baker L� r INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN i ( \ / \--\,--- i _ri, F.4 _ 1 _ I L. F i L1 / I / k - - - !L__ - Let_L___ _. / Town of Severance Statistics Town of Severance Colorado Population, 2010 3, 165 5,029,196 2000-2010 Population Change, % 81. 1% 14.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 10% 6.8% % Population under 19 years, 2010 21.2% 20.3 % Population 65 years and over, 2010 5.3% 10.9% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 2.2% 15.9% Homeownership Rate 2010 91% 65.5% Persons Per Household 2010 2.9 2.57 Persons below poverty level, %, 2013 3.4% 13.2% Median Household Income, 2013 $84,293 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment RF NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 1 .20 0.60 0.80 0.40 0. 10 3. 10• 558 ��+�.�! ��^= 1 Michael Baker pi ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Straight-Line Winds & 1 .20 0.60 0.80 0.40 0. 10 3. 10 Tornadoes Extreme Temperatures 1 .20 0.60 0.80 0. 10 0. 10 2.80 Drought 1 .20 0.60 0.80 0. 10 0. 10 2.80 Prairie Fire 0.90 0.60 0.60 0. 10 0. 10 2.30 Flood 0.60 0.60 0.40 0. 10 0. 10 1 .80 Public Health Hazards 0.60 0.60 0.40 0. 10 0. 10 1 .80 HAZMAT 0.60 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0. 10 1 .30 • Earthquake 0.30 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0. 10 1 .00 Land Subsidence 0.30 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0. 10 1 .00 ' HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher): Severe StoMINFItatillds & Tornadoes; Extreme Temperatures; Drought MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4): Prairie Fire Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Flood; Public Health Hazards; HAZMAT; Earthquake; Land Subsidence Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Severance, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Severance. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county) . The Town of Severance's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. t.861 • 559 � .''- r Michael Baker co _ " `y INTERNATIONAL ,-.. . EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ` Town of Severance Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of Severance r 1 High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: IL: LOW (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html ar"b Sf' yn� I* Ir p. , 4,4 (4 / /.-• EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT P4 1fes o 1 2 4 Miles Michael Baker l I I I I I I I INTERNATIONAL Source: co orado illusion of Water esources Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado Water Cons rvation oard The Town of Severance is characterized by low and medium levels of social vulnerability. The majority of the town is in the bottom 20% of social vulnerability in the county. Currently, the socioeconomic indicators that contribute to elevated vulnerability to disasters are lower in Severance than they are in the majority of Weld County. This does not mean, however, that there aren't any socially vulnerable residents living in the community or that social vulnerability levels will remain the same over time. Close analysis of the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders a clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors threaten the community the most and where social and economic resources should be allocated in order to reduce vulnerability. Over time, the Town of Severance should continue to monitor their progress as demographic, economic, and housing related conditions change over time. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) Hail tse�1 .`• ` a ', ;I-F is , Michael Baker 560 ►. r INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Severance. There have been four hail events that were reported within the town limits and several hail events that occurred less than one mile from the town limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Legend Town of Severance Historical Hail Events Historical Hail Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of severance O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions O 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan 0 writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Weld County 2.01 - 3.00 http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. �•J Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads O 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html • 4.01 - 5.00 O v O o O O U O O O o D O O • O 1' CI r� _ 0 0 1 2 4 Mich . - I = k- r r i I I I I j 1 I I 1 _N- A T I O N- L EMERGENCIMANAGEMENI "-SOU! Lei e vice orm Prediction nter Lightning According NOAA's Storm Events Database, no injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage have been reported within the Town of Severance due to lightning. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is still great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time. Winter Storm According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, the Town of Severance has experienced 54 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $102,000 in property damage in central and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. The Town of Severance is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. 7 �� . Michael Baker 561 INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Inventory Exposed All assets located in the Town of Severance can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 3, 165 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and infrastructure within the Town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. tbtential Losses Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Severance including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Severance. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight- Line Winds & Tornadoes According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Severance due to tornadoes. There have been three tornadoes reported within the town limits between 1957 and 2009. A tornado occurred on May 30, 1957 and caused $3,000 worth of property loss. Another tornado occurred on June 16, 1983 that caused $ 1,000 in property damage. There have been tornadoes reported very close to both the northern, eastern and southern borders of the Town limits. Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Severance. According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Severance due to straight-line winds. However, straight-line winds remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Severance. ,g6,.. 562 r .,r 'r► �'� Michael Baker cci " ` INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Severance Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events _. 0 Speed (knots) Weld County 1 O 50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 O 61 - 70 0 0.5 1 2 Miles I I I II ill I Town of Severance 3 71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html O Se. c\J ."\L\ 9� r -- 4 Michael Baker `. 1 Sour : NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL ,MFY('EN(_Y MANAGEMENT Inventory Exposed 563 Michael Baker cc• N - Y � INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA All assets located in the Town of Severance can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 3, 165 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $266,707,561 . Potential losses could be substantial . Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Severance due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16th and 17th, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur within the region at any given time. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Age: 65 and Over (%) Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 Town of Severance 5.3 3 .4 9.0 The Town of Severance has a lower percentage of elderly residents than does the state of Colorado. This is also true for the percentage of people living below poverty level in the town . A much larger percentage of Severance residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Severance residents (in general) do not appear to be acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty or are homeless, or are renters. 564 ;'� .'' Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Fbtential Losses Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the Town of Severance are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the Town of Severance resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the Town of Severance due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Drought According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Severance due to drought. There are four reports of drought in southern Weld County. The four drought events all occurred in April of 2002 and March of 2011. There is a great potential for a drought event to occur at any given time. Inventory Fxposed Drought will have little to no direct impact on critical facilities or structures in the Town of Severance. Should a drought affect the water available for public water systems or individual wells, the availability of clean drinking water could be compromised . This situation would require emergency actions and could possibly overwhelm local capacities and financial resources. Potential Losses Although it is unlikely that drought conditions will affect existing buildings, infrastructure, and critical infrastructure, economic livelihoods in the Town of Severance could be negatively impacted due to crop loss, water shortages, and wildfires as a result of drought. Possible losses/impacts to critical facilities include the loss of critical function due to low water supplies. As Severance continues to grow, it will consider water-saving mitigation activities that will decrease local vulnerability to drought. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Severance to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist x 555 j� IIrr'' Michael Baker 1 U; cc: . . INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Grant Writer x Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's current capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N ); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance N Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan IDK A Stormwater Plan IDK A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) N An Emergency Operations Plan ( EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan N Participates in the NFIP Y Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Severance has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Severance has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy "Staff and Town Council will review the 2016 Plan annually. " Town of Severance "Changes to the mitigation actions and priorities will be posted on the Town 's web site. " Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for ► ��' Michael Baker I 566 1 r , _v cc _ \ - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Severance did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Severance based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "We will integrate hazard mitigation actions into our capital improvements Town of Severance plan by including possible projects that mitigate risk hazards and elevates these projects up the projects priority list. " , 1861 557 1 is, ` Michael Baker rIr INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of Severance's mitigation actions that were included in the 2009 Plan. Severance: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Severance GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: The following Mitigation Action Guide profiles the community's new mitigation action that was developed for the 2016 Plan . Town of Severance: Downtown drainage and street improvements PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding, drainage LOCATION: Severance GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : January 1, 2016 ISSUE : Localized flooding and drainage issues in the older part of Town. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to decrease impacts created by localized flooding and drainage in the old part of Town by installing curb, gutter, sidewalk and storm drainage facilities to alleviate the problem ACTION : install curb, gutter, sidewalk, street and drainage improvements by January 2016 LEAD AGENCY: Town of Severance Officials EXPECTED COST: $1,700,000 SUPPORT AGENCIES: DOLA POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Energy Impact Grant Funds PROGRESS MILESTONES: Begin projec ` '-ep- emser2015 . 568 Michael Baker cc _\ INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Letter of Intent to Participate 7flimq nF 0 o O August 19, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201 .6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi- jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Severance is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that Town of Severance has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, Town of Severance agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Severance understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, I, Nicholas J. Wharton, commit the Town of Severance to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Nicholas J. Wharton, MPA Assistant Town Administrator Executed this 19 day of August, 2014 3 South Timber Ridge Parkway • P.O. Box 339 • Severance, Colorado 80546 • ph 970.686.1218 • fax 970.686.6250 a , == is `, Michael Baker 569 r II - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Town of Windsor The following are the overall goals that the City of Windsor established in their Comprehensive Plan : 2006 Update of the 2002 Comprehensive Plan. These goals are the foundation of ongoing public and private sector as decisions that "effect the future quality of life of existing and future residents and the natural and build environment in which they live, learn, work, and play." In the context of the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan and the City's local hazard mitigation program, the achievement of the following goals will depend largely upon the city's ability to successfully implement its hazard mitigation strategies and reduce risk to people and property from hazards. • Establish land uses and development patterns that reflect the needs and desires of Town of Windsor's citizens • Provide guidance to the Town staff and elected and appointed officials as they make land use development decisions • Facilitate communication between citizens and Town government • Help coordinate various governmental functions • Provide a basis for the development of specific, necessary, and appropriate regulations to govern the physical development of the Town Community Profile The Town of Windsor was founded in 1882 and incorporated in 1890. Windsor is located 60 miles north of Denver at an elevation of 4,800 feet above sea level . The town is approximately 24.67 square miles and boasts a semi-arid climate. The population of the Town of Windsor has steadily increased over the years. Currently, key community facilities include a Chamber of Commerce; Educational Facilities; Library Services; Parks, Recreational and Cultural Facilities; Fire Protection; Police; and Health and Medical Facilities. Windsor has one Senior High School, two Middle Schools, five Elementary Schools, and one Charter School . Additionally, there are several higher educational facilities in close proximity to the town . Colorado State University and Arapahoe Community College are located approximately 15 miles to the northwest, the University of Northern Colorado and Aims Community College is approximately 15 miles to the southeast. The Town of Windsor offers a comprehensive park, recreation, cultural and trails program . This includes over 40 miles of trail including the Poudre River Trail and Windsor Lake Trail for hiking and biking; over 300 acres of parks (developed and undeveloped ) and over 52 acres of Town managed open space. Conservation easements and two State Wildlife areas add over 400 more acres of public open space. The Windsor-Severance Fire Rescue (WSFR) provides fire, rescue, and hazmat services to the Towns of Windsor and Severance, as well as the rural areas surrounding them . It is a special tax district made up of paid and volunteer staff. The WSFR has two stations staffed 24/7 in Windsor and a third in Severance. Currently, the Town of Windsor has one Nursing Home, two Assisted Living Facilities (with a 3 'td under construction); one Independent Senior Living (Good Samaritan Society); two Medical Office Buildings/Outpatient Facilities; and one Urgent Care Facility. The community's public services include: Water and Sewer Services; Public Improvements; Drainage information; Electric Services; Natural Gas; and Trash Collection. 570 .'� �, Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA ft \ ,/ Ill' \ 17 r -- -• '_ -. _ i1 /- . , , _ -----_____ , , I// , — I Lc , }1 ii _r .,-- - __E- --r---1 I - /L__ R _ i Higi_ 1___ Town of Windsor Statistics Town of Windsor Colorado Population, 2014 21,106 5,355,866 Population, % change April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014 13.2% 6.5% % Population under 5 years, 2010 7.3% 6.8% % Population under 18 years, 2010 29.4% 24.4% % Population 65 years and over, 2010 10.0% 10.7% Language other than English spoken at home, % age 5+, 2009-2013 5 .5% 16.8% Homeownership Rate 80.2% 65.4% Persons Per Household 2.75 2.53 Persons below poverty level, %, 2009-2013 4.8% 13.2% Median Household Income, 2009- 2013 $83,602 $58,433 Source: US Census Bureau Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment The Town of Windsor is situated in both Larimer and Weld Counties. For the purpose of this plan, spatially analyzed hazard risks have been assessed for the areas of the city that lie specifically within Weld County. 571 Michael Baker cc � ` - Y INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PL ; NATURAL HAZARD PROBABILITY IMPACT SPATIAL WARNING DURATION RF EXTENT TIME RATING Severe Storm 0.90 0.30 0.80 0.30 0.30 2.60 Extreme Temperatures 0.90 0.30 0.80 0. 10 0.40 2.50 Straight-Line Winds & 0.90 0.30 0.60 0.40 0. 10 2.30 Tornadoes Drought 0.90 0.30 0.80 0. 10 0.20 2.30 Prairie Fire 0.90 0.30 0.20 0.40 0.30 2. 10 Flood 0.90 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0.40 1 .90 Public Health Hazards 0.60 0.30 0.40 0. 10 0.40 1 .80 Land Subsidence 0.60 0.30 0.20 0.40 0.30 1 .80 HAZMAT 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.40 0.30 1 .50 Earthquake 0.30 0.30 0.20 0.40 0. 10 1 .30 HIGH RISK (2.5 or higher) : Severe Storm; Extreme Tempuratures MODERATE RISK HAZARD (2.0 - 2.4) : Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes; Drought; Prairie Fire Low Risk (1.9 or lower): Flood; Public Health Hazards; Land Subsidence; HAZMAT; Earthquake Vulnerability Assessment This section provides a refined vulnerability assessment, specific for the Town of Windsor, for those hazards that were identified as being rated HIGH in the preceding section . This analysis was conducted separately from that of the county-wide vulnerability assessment to specifically focus on the population, structures, infrastructure, and other assets unique to the Town of Windsor. The results of the social vulnerability assessment are displayed on the map below. On the map, social vulnerability is represented at the census tract level by 5 classes of vulnerability: Low (bottom 20% of the county), Medium-Low, Medium, Medium-High, and High (top 20% of the county). The Town of Windsor's social vulnerability map shows social vulnerability within the community. 572 Michael Baker cc - \ - Y INTERNATIONAL a. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Town of Windsor Social Vulnerability Social vulnerability is represented as the social, economic, Legend demographic, and housing characteristics that influence a Social Vulnerability Index Score community's ability to respond to, cope with, recover from, Town of Windsor High (Top 20%) and adapt to hazard events. This index is grouped at the Census Tract level . Jurisdictions Medium - High Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed Medium using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planningCI? Weld County process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: Medium - Low http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval Major Roads and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: IL 1 LOW (Bottom 20%) http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html I I I I t , _ „ n L !, r , n L FMFRGFNCY MANAGFMFNT MN� 1 o 1 2 aMich • - I mu. k- r I I I I I I I ERNATIONAL Source: Colorado Division of Water Resourc Dam Safety Branch, FEMA, Colorado aver serv. ;. n Board The Town of Windsor is characterized by low and medium-low levels of social vulnerability. The majority of the town is in the bottom 20% of social vulnerability in the county. Currently, the socioeconomic indicators that contribute to elevated vulnerability to disasters are lower in Windsor than they are in the majority of Weld County. This does not mean, however, that there aren't any socially vulnerable residents living in the community or that social vulnerability levels will remain the same over time. Close analysis of the individual social vulnerability indicators within the community will give local emergency managers, planners, and stakeholders a clearer picture of which social vulnerability factors threaten the community the most and where social and economic resources should be allocated in order to reduce vulnerability. Over time, the town should continue to monitor their progress as demographic, economic, and housing related conditions change over time. Severe Storm ( Hail, Lightning, Winter Storm ) A:\ Michael Baker 573 r I� . cc• - ` - y INTERNATIONAL ,.; EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Hail According to the best available data there are no reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage in the Town of Windsor. There were several hail events that occurred within the town limits as well as several events less than one mile from the town limits, none of which reported injuries, deaths, property damage, or crop damage. Although there is no historic data showing hazardous impacts on the town, there is a great potential for hail events to occur at any given time. Legend Town of Windsor Historical Hail Events Historical Had Events Diameter (inches) Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Town of Windsor O 0.75 1 .00 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web Jurisdictions 0 1 .01 - 2.00 map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: (7r Weld County 2.01 - 3.00 y http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. O Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: Major Roads 3.01 - 4.00 http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html 4.01 - 5.00 O O O OO O O i I o O O O O O O O O O �3 O O O © OO O OO OO O O ci O O O O O O O 0 O G 00 O 0 y o o v • • O ., c� -�y r.: -P 0 1.5 3 it Michael Baker I I I I I I I I I INTERNATIONAL- EMERGENCY MANAGEMEN I Source: NOAA's National WeatherServi- Stor Prediction Ceter ,. Lightning According to the National Climatic Data Center Storm Event Database there have been three recorded Lightning strikes within the Town of Windsor. There were no injuries, deaths, or crop damage; however, the town has reported $700,000 in property damage. There is a great potential for Lightning to occur at any given time within the Town of Windsor. Winter Storm According to the best available data, the Town of Windsor has experienced 25 Winter Storms since 1996. On December 28, 2006 there was report of a winter storm causing $ 102,000 in property damage in central 574 Michael Baker - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA and southern Weld County. There were no deaths, injuries or damage to crops reported for any of these storms. Town of Windsor is at high risk of experiencing Winter Storms during the winter months. Inventory exposed All assets located in the Town of Windsor can be considered at risk from severe storms. This includes 21,106 people, or 100% of the town's population and all buildings and infrastructure within the Town . Damages primarily occur as a result of high winds, lightning strikes, hail, snow-loading, and flooding. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to provide adequate protection from hail but the structures could suffer broken windows and dented exteriors. Those facilities with back-up generators are better equipped to handle severe weather situation should the power go out. Fbtential Loss Severe storms affect the entire planning area of the Town of Windsor including all above-ground structures and infrastructure. Although losses to structures are typically minimal and covered by insurance, there can be impacts with lost time, maintenance costs, and contents within structures. A timely forecast may not be able to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties and associated injuries. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events with some skill, but further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Severe storms will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Windsor. It is likely that lightning and hail will also be experienced in the area due to such storms. Straight-Line Winds & Tornadoes Although straight-line winds and tornadoes were identified as medium risk in the Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment, it is being included with the high vulnerability hazards due to the history of tornado events within the town . According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, 78 injuries, one death , approximately $ 147,000 of property damage, and no crop damages have been recorded within and near the Town of Windsor due to tornadoes. There have been six tornadoes in the Town of Windsor between 1957 and 2008. The most severe event occurred on May 22, 2008. This EF3 tornado traveled in a north westerly direction and reached speeds of over 165 miles per hour. This tornado event consisted of a formation of several combined tornadoes forming a wedge that was between a half and three quarters of a mile wide. The tornado caused damage to not only the Town of Windsor but also the towns of Milliken, Platteville, Gilchrest, and the City of Greeley. One person was killed at the Missile Silo Campground near Greeley. The tornado impacted area was designated a national disaster. The Rocky Mountain Insurance Information Association ( RMIIA) reported that there was an estimated $ 193 .5 million in insured damages and approximately 24,000 auto and homeowners claims. Additional details concerning this damaging event can be found in the post- event reports posted on the Town's website ( Mips ://windsorgov.comjindex.aspx ? NIu=5<_ ) . There have been tornadoes reported very close to the northern, eastern and southern borders of the Town limits as well . Tornadoes will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Windsor. 575 Michael Baker INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT > rn,,,,-......4.: . .. I.- *'* "4%1 %0 - M. S. r ` I a. I - -....i_ A .- -- --ilV. - --Niik or 11 t. 'v l P i IP 4 _ r _ T� 0 istari AN* -cj r • - ,,,,.. . —Ae ;iiimiOr:r:... z: „ a:J . - -,--- -.--c - - - , -. a. Two residents of Chimney Park walk away with some of their belongings after the tornado blew through Windsor on May 22, 2008. ( Photo Credit: Joe Amon, The Denver Post) According to NOAA's Storm Events Database, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Windsor due specifically to straight-line winds. There have been straight-line winds reported causing less than $ 1,000 in damages to property within the town limits. Additionally, there have been several reports of strong winds very close to the borders of the town limits. Straight-line winds will remain a highly likely occurrence for the Town of Windsor. C `'` s I576 vj Michael Baker ) 1, i, INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEM EN I Town of Windsor Historical Straight- Line Winds and Tornado Events Reported historical events occuring between 1955 - 2014. Legend Major Roads EF Scale Historical High Wind Events 01 Speed (knots) Weld County S50 - 60 Jurisdictions 2 X61 - 70 0 0.75 1.5 3 Miles ILI I 1 1. I l I Town of Windsor a 3 X71 - 80 Due to the large geographic extent of Weld County, this information is best viewed using the web map developed for use during and after the hazard mitigation planning process. During the plan writing, the following URL will take readers to the web map: http://www.weldhmp2016.com/home/risk-assessment. Following this plan's approval and adoption, Weld County will then host this data at the following URL: http://www.co.weld.co.us/Departments/GIS/GISMaps.html N 1/4 ':. Igh li INk \ • NIII7V— �lr NIi Michael Baker - Sou ce: NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center INTERNATIONAL Mek�e"�' "'""�Gt'O. '.I Inventory Exposed l ' Michael Baker 577 --' '�''` , -1`:1 U INTERNATIONAL WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA All assets located in the Town of Windsor can be considered at risk from straight-line winds and tornadoes. This includes 21, 106 people, or 100% of the town's population, and all buildings and structures within the County. Most structures, including the town's critical facilities, should be able to withstand and provide adequate protection from severe wind and tornadoes. Those facilities with back-up generators should be fully equipped to handle severe wind and tornado events should the power go out. Fbtential Losses Generally, straight-line wind events and tornadoes destroy private, commercial, and public property. Additional costs stem from debris removal, maintenance, repair, and response. Indirect costs include loss of industrial and commercial productivity as a result of damage to infrastructure, facilities, or interruption of services. Because no specific, community-wide loss estimation exists for wind and tornado hazards, potential losses are related to structure value. The building value of the structures in this area amounts to roughly $ 1,247,727,419. Potential losses could be substantial. Extreme Temperatures According to the best available data, no injuries, deaths, or crop damages have been recorded within the Town of Windsor due to extreme temperatures. There are two reports of extreme cold temperatures in central and southern Weld County on December 16th and 17th, 1996. There is a great potential for extreme temperature events to occur within the region at any given time. Inventory Exposed Due to the regional nature of extreme temperatures hazards, jurisdictions with higher numbers of socially vulnerable residents are expected to experience magnified impacts of extreme temperatures. This includes places with high numbers of elderly residents, low income families and homeless individuals/outdoor laborers. The table below shows data related to population vulnerability to extreme temperatures. Based on Census information and knowledge of social vulnerability to hazards, jurisdictions with high numbers of elderly residents, a high poverty rate and/or large numbers of rental properties can plan accordingly to provide appropriate services and mitigation assistance during extreme temperature events. Populations Vulnerable to Extreme Temperatures Age: 65 and Over (%) Persons Below Poverty Renter-occupied housing Level (%) units (%) Colorado 10.9 12.9 34.5 Town of Windsor 10.0 4.8 19.8 The Town of Windsor has a similar percentage of elderly residents as the state of Colorado. Windsor has a lower percentage of people living below poverty level than the state. A higher percentage of Windsor residents own their homes than the general population of Colorado. Based on these statistics, Windsor residents (in general) appear to be less acutely vulnerable to the impacts of extreme temperatures than the general population of Colorado. That said, future mitigation efforts related to extreme temperature should focus on reaching those residents who are elderly, live in poverty, are homeless, or are renters. Fbienr lalLoss Because there is no defined geographic boundary for extreme temperature hazards, all of the people and infrastructure within the Town of Windsor are exposed to extreme temperatures. Those with elevated 578 °'' � � Michael Baker cc _ ` - INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA risk and potential loss are the homeless, infirm, elderly, and low income families. Given the lack of historical data and limited likelihood of structural losses in the Town of Windsor resulting from extreme heat or cold, and that placing a dollar amount on the cost of a human life are beyond the scope of the Plan, annualized economic losses for the Town of Windsor due to extreme temperatures are currently considered unquantifiable. Capabilities Assessment The capability assessment examines the ability of the Town of Windsor to implement and manage the comprehensive mitigation strategy laid out in this Plan . The strengths, weaknesses, and resources of the community are identified here as a means for evaluating and maintaining effective and appropriate management of the Town's hazard mitigation program . Local Personnel The ability of a community to implement a comprehensive mitigation strategy depends, in part, on available resources, including people and staff. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to key personnel . Full Time Part Time None or Not-Identified Emergency Manager _ X Floodplain Administrator X Community Planner X GIS Specialist X Grant Writer X In Windsor, the Fire Chief and Police Chief act as the joint emergency managers when needed . Land Use Planning and Codes Local land use plans and building codes are tremendous tools for evaluating local policies related to hazard mitigation and risk reduction . Additionally, comprehensive master plans, capital improvement plans, stormwater plans and zoning ordinances all present opportunities for enhanced local capabilities. The table below outlines the Town's capabilities as they relate to land use planning and codes. Yes (Y); No ( N); I don't know ( IDK) A zoning ordinance Y A hazard-specific ordinance Y Local building codes Y A comprehensive plan / master plan Y A Capital Improvements Plan Y A Stormwater Plan Y A Continuity of Operations Plan (COOP) Y An Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Y A Long-Term Recovery Plan Y Participates in the NFIP Y 579 Michael Baker cc _ \ - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Building codes are one tool that communities use to enhance public safety. For example, they can increase structural integrity, mitigate structure fires, and provide benefits in relation to natural hazard avoidance. In Colorado, land use regulations and building codes are typically implemented at the local level . Even without a statewide mandate, most counties and many municipalities have enacted regulations and codes. The Town of Windsor has adopted a local building code requirement, demonstrating their understanding of the benefits codes provide, including reduced exposure to hazards. Plan Maintenance and Implementation The Town of Windsor has developed a Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy outlining their method and schedule for keeping the plan current. The Implementation Strategy below also includes a discussion of how the town will continue public participation in the plan maintenance process. Jurisdiction Plan Maintenance and Implementation Strategy The Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan will be reviewed annually by staff and Town Board. Town of Windsor The public will have an opportunity to comment during the annual public meeting. The Town of Windsor has had experience receiving, administering, and applying for grants for mitigation and planning-related activities or projects. These previous grants include: • FEMA Pre Disaster Mitigation Grants, HUD Grants, DOLA, HMGP Grants • Additionally, the Town receives technical assistance from the agencies responsible for each grant Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning Through discussions at planning meetings and the use of an online survey, individual outreach, and phone calls, each participating jurisdiction brainstormed with the planning team to identify processes for integrating hazard mitigation into their local planning mechanisms and policies. The Town of Windsor did not integrate the 2009 HMP into other local planning mechanisms. The table below lists the specific integration strategies identified by the Town of Windsor based on the mitigation actions listed in this plan. Jurisdiction Strategy "The Capital Improvement Plan is looked at annually and discussed to ensure Town of Windsor measures are taken to mitigate potential hazards. The Weld County HMP will be used moving forward. " • 580 Michael Baker C : . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Mitigation Action Guides The following Mitigation Action Guide presents a status update of Windsor's mitigation action that was included in the 2009 Plan . Windsor: Continued compliance with the NFIP PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Windsor GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 2009 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE: Ongoing ISSUE: As participants in the NFIP the Community will continue to promote wise use of floodplains through ordinance administration and periodic update, promotion of flood insurance and staff training, including encouragement of Certified Floodplain Manager status. RECOMMENDATION : The benefits are to flood prone building owners who choose to insure against flood losses, and to taxpayers who no longer would be faced with subsidizing those potential losses. ACTION : Continued compliance with the NFIP LEAD AGENCY: Floodplain Management EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing officials budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: Windsor does not participate in the CRS program, however we are a member of NFIP. Windsor adopted the model ordinance in Jan of 2014 as required by the State of Colorado. The Town enforces the floodplain regulations in accordance with FEMA's requirements. The following Mitigation Action Guides profile each of the community's new mitigation actions that were developed for the 2016 Plan . Windsor: John Law Ditch - Flood Mitigation Project PRIORITY: High HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Windsor GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2016 ISSUE : FEMA mitigation match for the installation of concrete box culverts under the Greeley No. 2 Canal, Weld County Road 21 and State Highway 392 to reduce flood damage within the John Law Floodplain. RECOMMENDATION : Complete project within given timeline to receive grant funding ACTION : Complete John Law Ditch- Flood Mitigation Project LEAD AGENCY: Town of Windsor EXPECTED COST: $2,977,504.59 SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: FEMA and CDBG-DR r V I 581 Michael Baker r 1 co INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN PROGRESS MILESTONES: Received FEMA grant and CDBG-DR funding. Project is scheduled to be complete in 2016. Windsor: Acquire Emergency Power System PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All Hazards LOCATION : Windsor GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : 2016 ISSUE: In Colorado, there a numerous events that could knock out power to Town offices. In case of emergency, there are several Town employees who need to stay connected to serve our residents. RECOMMENDATION : The Town plans on purchasing a backup generator ACTION : Acquire Emergency Power System LEAD AGENCY: Town of Windsor EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: PROGRESS MILESTONES: Funds for project are included in the 2016 budget. Windsor: Conduct LETA 911 Outreach to Residents PRIORITY: Medium HAZARDS ADDRESSED: All hazards LOCATION : Windsor GOALS ADDRESSED: 1, 2, 3 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: A, D, E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing ISSUE: Residents need to be informed in case emergency situations arise. RECOMMENDATION : The Town continuously partners with LETA 911 to provide emergency communications to our residents. We will provide LETA 911 each year and encourage residents to sign-up for this great service. ACTION : Conduct LETA 911 Outreach to Residents. LEAD AGENCY: Larimer County EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: Town of Windsor and POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Already funded other jurisdictions PROGRESS MILESTONES: Town of Windsor staff was recently trained to use LETA 911. a -1861 ar" I 582 Michael Baker cc - ` - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Windsor: Flood Mitigation on CR 13 PRIORITY: Medium a HAZARDS ADDRESSED: Flooding LOCATION : Windsor GOALS ADDRESSED: 1 RECOMMENDATION DATE: 10/2015 OBJECTIVES ADDRESSED: E TARGET COMPLETION DATE : Ongoing I ISSUE: CR 13 is vulnerable to flooding each year RECOMMENDATION : The Town invests $50,000 annually to prevent flooding by removing excess gravel ACTION : Develop a flood mitigation strategy for CR 13 LEAD AGENCY: Town EXPECTED COST: Can be accomplished within existing budgets SUPPORT AGENCIES: POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES: Already funded PROGRESS MILESTONES: � - - -r$at I 583 Michael Baker cc _ \-Y 1, I N T E R N A T I O N A L EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Letter of Intent to Participate via OF WINDSOR los COLORADO LETTER OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE August 18, 2014 Weld County Office of Emergency Management Director Roy Rudisill 1150 O Street Greeley, CO 80632 Re: "Statement of Intent to Participate" as a participating jurisdiction in Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) Dear Director Rudisill, In accordance with the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP) requirements, under 44 CFR §201.6, which specifically identify criteria that allow for multi-jurisdictional mitigation plans, the Town of Windsor, Police Department is submitting this letter of intent to confirm that the Town of Windsor, Police Department has agreed to participate in the Weld County's Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Further, as a condition to participating in the mitigation planning, the Town of Windsor, Police Department agrees to meet the requirements for mitigation plans identified in 44 CFR §201 .6 and to provide such cooperation as is necessary and in a timely manner to the Weld County Office of Emergency Management, to complete the plan in conformance with FEMA requirements. The Town of Windsor, Police Department understands that it must engage in the following planning process, as more fully described in FEMA's Local Mitigation Planning Handbook dated March 2013 including, but not limited to: • Identification of hazards unique to the jurisdiction and not addressed in the master planning document; • The conduct of a vulnerability analysis and an identification of risks, where they differ from the general planning area; • The formulation of mitigation goals responsive to public input and development of mitigation actions complementary to those goals. A range of actions must be identified specific for each jurisdiction; • Demonstration that there has been proactively offered an opportunity for participation in the planning process by all community stakeholders (examples of participation include relevant involvement in any planning process, attending meetings, contributing research, data, or other information, commenting on drafts of the plan, etc.); • Documentation of an effective process to maintain and implement the plan; • Formal adoption of the Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan by the jurisdiction's governing body (each jurisdiction must officially adopt the plan). Therefore, with a full understanding of the obligations incurred by an agreement between the Lead Jurisdiction and the Participating Jurisdiction, John E. Michaels, commits the Town of Windsor, Police Department to the Weld County Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning effort. Executed this 18th day of August, 2014 1 7 as John E ichaels, Chief of Police Windsor Police Department 200 N. 11th Street • Windsor, CO 80550 • phone: 970- 674-6400 • fax: 970- 686-7478 www.windsorgov.com 861 e• 584 _ - = Michael Baker l 1- .Q-1-1.° k; ,Q1.° k INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Appendix C — Local Jurisdiction Mitigation Outreach 585 1 TA �' Michael Baker rIr co , INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update As a participating member of the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee ( HMPC), you serve as a vital link between the county and its businesses and residents. Individual jurisdictional and organizational representatives can help ensure a successful planning process by helping to inform your communities about this process and the ultimate goal of a more resilient Weld County. Please leverage any opportunities that you may have to inform the public about this important project ( . NeldHMP „ 1 v . . . ) . When opportunities do arise to outreach to groups of citizens, it is important to document these public interactions so that they can be mentioned in the plan document. During the course of the planning process, please help to document these interactions with the public using the brief form below. Jurisdiction/Organization : Town of Milliken Meeting / Event : Town Board Meeting Date: 11/25/2014 Location : Community Chambers — 1201 Broad Street Brief Description of outreach performed : The Town of Milliken Adopted the Town's Stormwater Master Plan. The Plan noted $20,000,000 in needed Storm Drainage Projects for the Town . ,_..J_s61. 586 Michael Baker C : . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WELD COUNTY 2016 MULTI-JURISDICTIONAL HAZARD MITIGATION PLA Weld County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update As a participating member of the Weld County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee ( HMPC), you serve as a vital link between the county and its businesses and residents. Individual jurisdictional and organizational representatives can help ensure a successful planning process by helping to inform your communities about this process and the ultimate goal of a more resilient Weld County. Please leverage any opportunities that you may have to inform the public about this important project ( . NeldHMP „ 1 v . . . ) . When opportunities do arise to outreach to groups of citizens, it is important to document these public interactions so that they can be mentioned in the plan document. During the course of the planning process, please help to document these interactions with the public using the brief form below. Jurisdiction/Organization : Town of Milliken Meeting / Event : Approval of Ordinance 704, Creating the Town of Milliken Storm Water Management and Facility Utility Enterprise Date: 12/10/2014 Location : Community Chambers — 1201 Broad Street Brief Description of outreach performed : The Town set up a Storm Water Utility Fee that can be utilized for future Stormwater Projects. The Town is currently in the process have having a study completed to establish a fair and equitable stormwater fee for businesses and residents. The study will be completed by the end of 2015. At the beginning of 2016 the stormwater utility fee will be permanently put in place. ,..Jg61. • 587 Michael Baker C : . - Y INTERNATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Hello