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Home My WebLink About20193666.tiffMINUTES WELD COUNTY COUNCIL June 17, 2019 The Weld County Council met in regular session in full conformity with the Weld County Home Rule Charter at 6:30 p.m., Monday, June 17, 2019, at the Weld County Administration Building, 1150 0 Street, Greeley, CO. ROLL CALL: The meeting was called to order by President Brett Abernathy. Councilmembers Tonya L. Van Beber and James Welch were present, constituting a quorum of members. Councilmembers Nancy Teksten and Gene Stifle had excused absences. Also present was Council Secretary Linda Kane. APPROVAL OF AGENDA : Councilmember Van Beber made a motion to add budget discussion to the agenda and to approve the agenda as amended, seconded by Councilmember Welch and carried. APPROVAL OF DOCUMENTATION: Approval of May 20, 2019, Minutes Councilmember Welch made a motion to approve the May minutes, seconded by Councilmember Van Beber, and the motion carried. REVIEW PROGRAM: Cindy DeGroen, Colorado State Demographers Office Cindy DeGroen, with the Colorado State Demographers Office, gave a presentation regarding population change. Colorado has the 7th fastest percentage growth in the nation and is ranked 8th in total growth. She said the growth rate is slowing because state residents are aging. She said 95 percent of all growth in Colorado is happening on the front range. Weld county grew by about 9,000 residents from 2017-2018, making it fifth behind Denver, El Paso, Arapahoe and Adams counties. She said to understand growth in Colorado, it's important to look at the early 1970s when the economy was doing well, therefore attracting a lot of baby boomers. She said migration to Colorado occurs typically for employment reasons. The state has low unemployment as a whole. She said birth numbers are expected to increase because the population is increasing. The death number is also increasing because the state is aging. Weld County, however, is a little different because it's demographic is younger. She said seven percent of all babies born in Colorado are born in Weld County. The median age in Colorado is 37.5. She mentioned the census is coming up next year and how important it is. It provides data to determine the distribution of the House of Representatives; the distribution of federal funds and to inform state and local decision making. Councilmember Welch asked about job availability and home affordability and whether there's a way to quantify how much population increase is from job growth and how much is affordable housing. Ms. DeGroen said when they study population of workers in Weld County, 45 percent o m m n i Ca ti o n S 2019-3666 n O((9 (I commute into the county and 55 percent live here. Of the population 60 percent work in another county and 40 percent of the population who lives here, works here. She said it's not uncommon for a two income household to have one person who moved here for a job and one who commutes. Councilmember Abernathy asked about kids moving off family farms. Ms. DeGroen said kids are moving off and they aren't having as many children of their own. Farms also are seeing a decline in population because they are more automated, requiring fewer workers. Dave Kisker, of Johnstown, asked about undocumented population counts. Ms. DeGroen said there's many ways to account for undocumented residents. She said they identify pockets or neighborhoods the Census Bureau did not account for and local governments are able to give them additional numbers that are missed. See Ms. DeGroen's entire presentation in Addendum 1. PUBLIC COMMENT: Dave Kisker, of Johnstown, noted the meeting location was incorrect on the Web Site. Secretary Kane said the web site was corrected immediately after she was notified. Bill Gillard, of Greeley, said the speed limit is too slow on Weld County Parkway. He also presented a season schedule for the NoCo Nightmare, a semi -pro football team. See Addendum 2. NEW BUSINESS: Coordinator Reports/Councilman Reports Councilmember Van Beber said she appreciated Councilmember's Welch regarding the Human Resources department. Bills Councilmember Van Beber made a motion to approve bills, it was seconded by Councilmember Welch and carried. The bills were paid as follows: o Weld County Phone Bill for May $25.00 O 2nd quarter mileage for Councilmember Stille $40.32 OLD BUSINESS: Continued Discussion of Whistleblower Program Councilmember Abernathy asked to table this item until July as two councilmembers were absent. ADJOURNMENT: By acclamation, the meeting was adjourned at 7:23 p.m. Addendum 1 Council Secretary, Linda Kane OP Weld County Demographic andEcono ic Overview 'Rrepared for: Wekd County Counci :otarada State Demography Office, June 2019 COLORADO Department of Local Affairs gPcure 217 18 Pop Ch • US - 327.2 million, + 2.02 million or .6% Colorado - 5,695,564 Ranked 7th fastest percentage growth 1.4% - NV, ID, UT, AZ, FL, WA th in total growth 79,662 - TX, FL, CA, AZ, C, WA, GA Range in Colorado by county (2017-18) +12,900 to -60 Weld +9,000 COLORADO Department of Local Affairs Colorado: Total Population Change 2010-2018 Population Change 1,098 to •500 -499 to 0 1 to 10,000 10,001 to 50.000 fla 50,001 to 112,983 ha is O emo9ra phy 0(Ote, 05,022019 COLORADO N Department of Local Affairs unty Population Rankings., 0 Population Growth (2010-2018) 1 Denver County 2 El Paso County 3 Arapahoe County 4 Adams County 5 Weld County 112,983 87, 304 76, 694 68,009 60,058 Percent Growth (2010-2018) 1 Weld County 2 Broomfield County 3 Douglas County 4 Denver County 5 Larimer County COLORADO Nitref Department of Local Affairs 24% 23% 19% 19% 17% Largest by Population 1 Denver County 2 El Paso County 3 Arapahoe County 4 Jefferson County 5 Adams County 6 Larimer County 7 Douglas County 8 Boulder County 9 Weld County 10 Pueblo County 11 Mesa County 12 Broomfield 717,862 714,536 651,513 579,877 511,720 350,434 342,937 325,520 314,288 167,081 153,628 69,130 Components of Colorado Population Change 1970-2018 a Natural Increase i Net Migration 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 -20,000 40,000 ye yg10' y1 �1�° y14' y°go y°�L y�d y040 y°�4i y�O y�� y,c - y�� 7�"n 165O „'L ti�4� ��ro 1e tiyo 1„1, tidy 1, 3 1, COLORADO Departmen+ of Local Affairs Components of Weld County Population Change 1970-2018 Natural increase akii Net Migration 12,000 10,00e 8,000 6,8O0 .} -- 4,000 ),GY10 -2,000 .4,000 ti°1� ti°y� 1.,s 0)) ti0) 46 ,y0)� .yeic� 10?) ,y0)�� '�0) '01�0 , 0 ,yI}�° ,y°°~ ,yCP „"CP ,yCP ,y° ��~ 0. COLORADO Department of Local' Affairs CO Unemployment Rate State Rank vs, Net Migration --Colorado Net Migration —CO Unemp Rt State Ranking E s 1976 1978 19811 1982 1984 1:`6 1088 5 G 1992 2994 1996 1998 2000 20022004 2006 2008 2.010 2.012 2014 2016 202.8 Colorado: Net Migration 2010 - 2017 Net Migration .1,309 to f400 499 to -250 •249 Co 0 ito1000 1 001 to 10.000 10,001 to Cis.132 gar: nem,9,.Qrr^mc9, 3W'+12'110 'COLORADO Department of Local Affairs Colorado Net Migration by Delp. 20O0 to 2010 ti COLORADO 'Department of Local Affairs iilllllljllliillllllllllhliiifthllllljll 1 Weld Net Migration by Age, 2000 to 2010 COLORADO Department of Local Atfal:. 2017 Jobs Relative to Pre -Recession Peak Previous Peak: 2005-2009 2017 Jobs vs Pre -Recession Peak o 5% Fewer Jobs 0% to 6% Fewer Jobs 0% to 5% More Jobs 5% to 10% More Jobe o 10% More Jobs C0P,ILL," YOHJHOAE Gees./ LA PLATO Colorado State Demography Office. 07/24/2018 ARC+WLc1A COLORADO Department of Local Affairs LML,. eeur.O4,1 e?oollf,LAI) GL4ttG CtIGEM oEHYCH :!!0'541-'Cr ;te Snrt 00OUACrrt GONEJOs AASW.OTOH e.6VAmO.p 5000 !JOOCOAC FLOUT F' .crttARSQO t!:Ltlia FHY!dA•r� r, (O, rera ,OST(LE 1 CHfiY6HJfF GOHRt{OH C0OritCY 20% AVery Uneven Recovery - Colorado Employment Change in Metro vs. Nonmetro Counties -5% -20% 2008 2009 2010 2021 iQQf% rO. A1000 COLORADO Department o Local Affairs. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20% 10% 0% -10% - 20% -30% -40% - 50% -60% -70% -80% ERCENT E , BIRTH RAT 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 COLORADO Department of Local Affairs Age of Mother BY GE 20 7 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 —Births go Births and Deaths, 1970 to 2050. th P «E») «D «6 — — Deaths 9 .35 'COLORADO mmoLocAau / NI eJ • * It It / It * * Weld County Births and Deaths, 1970 to 20501 Births — Births (Projertion) Deaths — Deaths (Projection) 10,000 8,000 %,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 000 0 I I F I l r► O r 60 60 i r F 466 1970 1975 1950 1985 1990 1595 2000 2005 2020 2015 2020 2025 2050 2055 2040 2040 2O50 OLORADO O R r D O partment of Local Affair Ag Pref w1a enc. s_ where e e sho they uy. Housing - ee siz Inca e Service De nds Lab r ere COLORADO partmene ,.3/ Local tlffazxs "10 i I'd PG5t r.1-IIE� ,ala (1997 2014) , rt:tion X (1965 . 1900) Colorado 2019 119.6) Futum Generdtiohy (20:V -) COLORADO Department of Local Affairs 1194€z - 19+11 11 Of real 11 Cienfatcrn F(427) Projected Percent Change by Age Group in Colorado, 2018 to 2025 Total Population Youth Population (0-177) E ering Labor Ferree (16-24) 10% 10% Prieto Age Workers (25-54) MEM Older Age Workers (55-64) , Retirement Age (65-74) Retired (75-M) Lora; -term Care (85+) Total population change 10% a0 % -10% 0% 10% 20% 1l0% 40% 50% 60% 'COLORADO Department of Local ACairs ing Fast Because we any Yo • 6th Youngest State, 3'd fastest growth in 65+ • 2015-30 increase 65+ 711,000 to 1,200,000 • Economic Driver Impact on occupational mix. Growing at 5% per year. Wages/Income • Labor Force - growth in retirees • Worker vs. non -worker mix changing • Housing - primarily home owners • Income - Downward Pressure • Health/Disabilities • Transportation Public Finance - Downward Pressure COLORADO Department of Local Affairs Weld County 2019 .Post i;intennials (1997 2014) i %19s Generates X ! Baby Pcorners (1965 - 49841) 0048 1964) Ns Future. Genetation� (20110.a COLORADO Department of Local Affairs ■ Flext Gcnetatinn (2015 -2U29) Pent Gene rmttnn f1s28 • 1945) Gr t7" (3 n>r.'u)a 1927) Projected Percent Change by Age Group in Weld County, 2018 to 2O25 Total Population Youth Population (0-17) EntQnng Labor immummiga Force (16-24) Prime loge `ljVoriterc (25.54) Older Age Workers (55-64) Retirement Age (55.74) Retired (75-84) Long-term Care ($5+) 29% 0% 10% 20% COLORADO Department of Local Affairs 30% Total population change 24% 38% `>0% ia0% recast Chan a in the Working Age Population 2018 - 2025 Percent Change Working Age Less then 0% 0% to5% 5% to 10% 10% to 25% >25% MOFFAT RIO BLANCO MESA MONTROSE SAN MIGUEI. PITKIN DELTA GUNNISON O BRAY HINSOALI DOLORES SAN JUAN MONTI"ll!MA Colorado Slats Demography Office, 11/2/2018 JACKSON LARIMER BOULDER 0R GILPIN CLEAR CREEK MEltT JEFFE LANE PARK CHAFFEE FREMONT SAGUACHE CUSTER PUEBLO MINERAL HUERFANO RIO GRANDE ALAMOBA,> ARCHULETA CONEJOS COS'11LLA LOGAN MORGAN BEDGWtCK PHILUPS YUMA WASHINGTON LINCOLN CROWLEY OTERO LAS ANIMAS KIT CARSON CHEYENNE KIOWA BENT PROWERS BACA J Median Hom ACS 2013 17 Grand Junction (c b rang. Fan Collins COLORADO Department of Loral Affairs Xohnadn Sptfiµ Puebla From 2O10-2017: 5th highest value, CO $348,900 Weld $295,100 CC behind Hi, G.C., CA, AAA 3rd largest increase, behind D.C., CA 3rd percent change, behind ND and NV. Median Home Value S1 to, S97.699 S(0? $00 u+ S1'0 5299 S.39 e0 `o S"0g '90 CS 109 200 to 5204.199 y_)34 400 E0 $306 409 S39k; 500 tc 5'7SJ.,r 99 5570 700 a Years of Median Household Income needed to Buy a Median Value Owner -Occupied Home in 2016 1 60 - 2.99 3.00-480 ,451.699 7.00 - 8.70 Colorado Average: 4.8 'U.S. 'Average: 3.61 2012.2016A:?oicanCommuni•..Sum! y..Colorado .5laoa.Demo aOrke.0ao01rto1W Weld County 20:17 Base Industries (without Indirect) 5.09 tep Rio �Eb15 Sao L mva Weld L-..:are0mfireld iimut ',1§.8UldiDense, Acamx ES Arno offAtIscatt z Projected Population Change 2018 to 2050 State - 2.4 million Front Range 2M Denver Metro 1M North FR- 600K South FR - 400K Rest of State - 400K Coloraflo Stole Dent grephy Office, I ti2,1201fr.S COLORADO Department of T Deal Affairs f,,061 u .001 0,0,s,1000 f r�.ta, y 'come ® *005.100.010 ▪ e _00.000 isles to the Forecast +/ Housing - supply, price, type, location 5th highest MHV • National Growth - National Policies - Intl' immigration • Water • Infrastructure/Transportation • State Budget/Policy • Aging - labor force, prepared labor force • Industry changes - boom/bust, competitiveness. Natural disasters - nationally COLORADO mrtmen€ of Local Affair Weld County Population by Rae and Ethnicity Sys e Grou% 2018 ■ why non H6 ME IN Hispanic:, Black, A 4n Am. Indian or Other 3% m% 70 : E. 50% % y% 20% 10% 0% 57% 43% :1s COLORADO n@m_*«LoU Affairs 67% 33% 1874 83% 65+ Weld County 2017 Employment by industry & Wage Manufacturing Construction Local Government Retail Trade H62olth Services Accommodation and food Other services Admin and waste Mining AJgrkulture Professional and Tec^,. services Transportation & warehousing Wholesale trade Real estate State Government Finance activities ismummumenes Arts, Entertainment & Rat illulml00.1tl Management of companies MON(! Private Education SWIM Information — Federal Government Ow Utilities M 2017 Ems loyment Share by Wage Low Wage ($15,500- $35.000) 30% Mid Wage ($40,200 - $51.400) 36% High Wage ($50,100 - $123,700) i 32% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 15000 ■ Low Wage ($16,500-S35,0001 !s Mid 1'r,r (:; r0 Of.' _ "c400) I High Wage (S59,100 - $.128,700) COLORADO Department of Local Atfairs Census 2020 EVl-:RY NF Census 2020 It's Important. It's Easy. It's Safe. The decennial census is a cornerstone of our democracy It provides data --to determine the distribution of the House of Representatives, --to determine the distribution of Federal Funds, and --to inform state and local decision -making COLORADO Department of Local Affatrs It's Important EVERY@NE OUNTS 2020 Colorado receives -$2,300/person per year, or over $13 billion annually for programs like: ▪ Senior Services • Road Improvements • Health Services • Programs for Veterans • Public Housing (Section 8) • Community Colleges • Public Assistance (SNAP) • Tuition Assistance • Women, Infants, Et Children (WIC) • Health Centers • Education • Public Libraries • School Lunch • Community Centers COLORADO Department of Local Affairs Summary Trends • Population Growing but slowing Aging, stowing US Growth, slowing job growth, stowing labor force • Concentrated growth • Migration - how do we continue to attract and retain the best worker for the right job. • Aging •- labor force, jobs Labor force growth slowing - strategies to increase labor force participation 'COLORADO Department of Local Affairs COLORADO Department of Locai Affairs SRT JUNE 1 SRI' JUNE 2 SRT JUNE IS SAT JUNE 22 SRT JUNE 29 SRT JULY 2 SRT JULY 13 SRT JULY 20 SAT JULY 21 SRT RUG 3 WIT RUG 10 PM WESTERN DRKOTR SOUTH ORKOTR SCHOOL WRR ERGLES OF MINES P1'I LOVELANO ELITE LDVELRNO SPORTS PARK JM COLORROO SPRINGS RTLRE PREPRRRTORY FLRMES SCHOOL COLORADO PIRATES ENGLEWOOD HIGHSCHODL PM RGCKY MG1i1NTR1N DISTRICT B STADIUM QUTLI I W5 DENVER SHRRK5 DENVER COLORADO RM ENGLEWOOO DISTRICT S STROIUM Hello