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Home My WebLink About20221845.tiffThe Weld County Population & Development Report Demographic Statistics and Trends for Weld County, Colorado Maintained in compliance with Section 22-1-20 of the Weld County Code Updated as of December 31, 2021 1:-.2,por+S 07/06/22. 2022-1845 Table of Contents Weld County Overview 3 Acreage & Climate 4 County Population Overview 5 Economic Overview 7 Transportation Overview 9 Real Estate & Housing 11 Development Trends (Unincorporated Area) 13 Oil and Gas 16 Weld County Small Business Incentive Plan (SBIP) 17 Page 2 Weld County Overview Weld County is located on the Front Range in Northern Colorado between the Rocky Mountains and the Great Plains, approximately 40 miles east of the Continental Divide. The County ranges in elevation from approximately 4,400 feet above sea level on Pawnee Creek at the eastern edge of the County to approximately 6,200 feet at the Pawnee Buttes on the Pawnee National Grassland. The County has a number of valuable streams, creeks, and rivers including the Big Thompson, the Cache la Poudre, and the St. Vrain, all of which flow into the South Platte. These rivers facilitate a water system that delivers water to farmland throughout the County through some of the largest and most complex reservoir and irrigation systems in the world. The County consists of approximately 3,992 square miles and is the third largest in the state, making it also twice the size of the State of Delaware. Weld County is bounded on the west by Larimer and Boulder Counties, on the east by Morgan and Logan Counties, on the south by Adams and Broomfield Counties, and on the north by Laramie County, Wyoming, and Kimball County, Nebraska. The County seat and largest city in Weld County is the City of Greeley, located within an hour's drive of the majestic Rocky Mountains and six major municipalities including Denver, and home to the University of Northern Colorado. Page 3 Photo: Jennifer Finch Acreage & Climate Municipal Boundaries in Weld County Acreage Town 2019 Unincorporated 2,419,443 Weld County Ault Berthoud* Brighton* Dacono Eaton Erie* Evans Firestone Fort Lupton Frederick Garden City Gilcrest Greeley Grover Hudson Johnstown* Keenesburg Kersey LaSalle Lochbuie Longmont* Mead Milliken N ew Raymer Northglenn* N unn Pierce P latteville Severance Thornton* Timnath* Windsor* 1,083 3,790 1,559 5,639 2,018 9,076 6,740 9,121 7,846 9,733 73 518 31,205 382 3,836 5,362 2,664 1,313 616 2,234 3,589 8,428 8,208 502 624 2,536 1,176 1,988 5,743 8 348 13,312 2020 2021 2,415,796 2,412, 041 1,083 3,790 1,559 5,639 2,018 9,480 6,755 9,178 8,059 9,733 73 518 31,205 382 3,836 5,362 4,833 1,313 616 2,234 3,589 8,813 8,209 502 624 2,536 1,176 1,988 5,836 8 657 13,312 1,101 3,790 1,559 5,639 2,018 9,480 6,758 9,179 8,346 9,804 73 518 31,655 382 3,840 5,947 5,912 1,447 630 2,234 3,589 9,716 8,209 502 624 2,536 1,176 1,999 5,856 8 657 13,487 * Multi -County Places (acres within Weld County only) N umbers include right-of-way. (Source: Weld County GIS) Page 4 Average Tern pe ratu re July: 76.5°F January: 31.2°F (Source: NOAA/NWS for Greeley, CO) Average Annual First & Last Precipitation Average Frost 14.94" May 6 October 8 Average Growing Season 143 days JICb(f1 : n"tse San Miguel �i�sdNt is Wr r, JIMA 1/4 G�f 3s:�, Rlo Gfande 0 12.5 25 60 75 100 r Miles t.. 1_DnfrRr Ala rno.a P.uaas ti Arran Crr:sty Las M,mas Pia - Ku C J y f County Population Overview The US Census Bureau estimates 340,036 people lived in Weld County as of July 1, 2021, which represents 5.85% of the total state population of 5,812,069. Among the 64 counties in Colorado, Weld County ranks ninth in total population. Between 2010 and 2020, the County population grew by over 30%, the second fastest growing county in the state by percentage, and an average annual increase of 3%. The state as a whole grew by 14.8% over the decade. The population of Weld County increased by 76,129, the fifth fastest growing county by numbers. For the population under the age of 18, Weld County ranks seventh and was the fastest growing county by far both in numbers and by percentage for the decade. In 2021, the State Demography Office again revised its projections for future population growth downward. Weld County's population in 2050 is now projected to be slightly under 620,000, down from over 676,000 and nearly 710,000 in previous projections. Weld County Population 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 - - f -f• • •• .• • • • • 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Page 5 Weld County Population, Births, Deaths, and Migration Year Population Births Deaths Minus Migration Net Change Total Change 0/0 1970 90,033 1980 123,564 10,924 22,607 33,531 37.2% 1990 131,981 14,094 -5,677 8,417 6.8% 2000 183,074 14,832 36,261 51,093 38.7% 2010 254,230 25,299 45,857 71,156 38.9% 2020 331,184 23,754 53,200 76,954 30.3% (Source: State Demography Office) Weld County Projected Population Year Population Average Annual % 2025 373,613 2.4% 2030 429,763 2.8% 2035 482,139 2.3% 2040 530,828 1.9% 2045 576,659 1.7% 2050 619,627 1.4% (Source: State Demography Office) Population Characteristics: 2020 Census Weld County % of total Colorado % of total Under 18 87,148 26.5% 3,602,251 21.9% 18+ 241,833 73.5% 744,581 78.1% (Source: State Demography Office) Weld County was the fasting growing county in Colorado between 2010 and 2020 for the population under 18. The number of children in Weld County increased by 23.8% (16,747) compared to just 3.1% (38,529) for the state as a whole. Weld County's increase represents 43.5% of the state's total increase in children over the decade. Weld County Municipal Populations 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2021** Ault 1,056 1,107 1,432 1,525 1,885 2,123 Berthoud* - - 16 63 261 259 Brighton* - 17 154 347 365 362 Dacono 2,321 2,228 3,015 4,181 6,344 6,478 Eaton 1,932 1,959 2,690 4,384 5,848 5,910 Erie 1,231 1,244 2,009 9,882 17,621 18,221 Evans 5,063 5,877 9,514 18,651 22,216 22,738 Firestone 1,204 1,358 1,908 10,249 16,666 17,300 Fort Lupton 4,251 5,159 6,787 7,454 7,980 8,341 Frederick 855 988 2,467 8,735 14,702 15,635 Garden City 123 199 357 235 254 256 Gilcrest 1,025 1,084 1,162 1,038 1,028 1,021 Greeley 53,006 60,454 76,930 93,262 109,141 109,030 Grover 158 135 153 138 157 156 Hudson 698 918 1,565 2,370 1,652 1,642 Johnstown 1,535 1,579 3,827 9,445 12,576 13,198 Keenesburg 541 570 855 1,131 1,251 1,732 Kersey 913 908 1,389 1,459 1,494 1,480 LaSalle 1,929 1,803 1,849 1,967 2,357 2,340 Lochbuie 895 1,168 2,049 4,806 8,189 8,130 Longmont* - - 24 33 1,297 1,288 Mead 356 456 2,017 3,440 4,777 5,327 Milliken 1,506 1,605 2,888 5,634 8,455 8,695 Northglenn* - - 12 12 25 25 Nunn 295 324 471 418 504 517 Pierce 878 823 884 837 1,096 1,098 Platteville 1,662 1,515 2,370 2,499 2,952 2,931 Raymer 80 98 91 96 110 109 Severance 102 106 597 3,204 8,032 9,852 Thornton* - - - - - - Timnath* - - - - 5 5 Windsor* 4,277 5,062 9,612 14,171 25,479 27,106 Uninc. Weld 35,542 33,001 41,832 42,564 46,563 46,828 All County Weld 123,438 131,821 180,936 254,230 331,282 340,133 uninc. 28.8% 25.0% 23.1% 16.7% 14.1% 13.8% * Multi -County Places (figures above are within Weld County only) ** Draft estimates (Source: State Demography Office) Page 6 Economic Overview Weld County is the most agriculturally productive county in the state according the USDA Census of Agriculture. Weld County's total commodity sales were over $2 billion in 2017, the year of the most recent Census of Agriculture, which is more than twice the next highest county in the state (Yuma) and over one -quarter the state's overall value. Agricultural Production 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 Change 2012 to 2017 # of Weld farms/ranches 3,142 3,121 3,921 3,525 4,062 15.2% # of Colo. farms/ranches 30,197 31,369 37,054 36,180 38,893 7.5% Weld % of state 10.4% 9.9% 10.6% 9.7% 10.4% Weld acres of cropland 883,623 878,101 987,892 850,179 922,979 8.6% Colo. acres of cropland 10,787,080 11,530,700 11,483,936 10,649,747 11,056,259 3.8% Weld % of state 8.2% 7.6% 8.6% 8.0% 8.3% Weld irrigated acres 397,752 326,494 327,836 299,892 323,436 7.9% Colo. irrigated acres 3,374,233 2,590,654 2,867,957 2,516,785 2,761,173 9.7% Weld % of state 11.8% 12.6% 11.4% 11.9% 11.7% Weld commodities total $1,289,479,000 $1,127,854,000 $1,539,072,000 $1,860,718,000 $2,047,177,000 10.0% Colo. commodities total $4,553,732,000 $4,525,196,000 $6,061,134,000 $7,780,874,000 $7,491,702,000 -3.7% Weld % of state 28.3% 24.9% 25.4% 23.9% 27.3% ource: USDA Agricultural Census, figures not adjusted for inflation) Economic Development Weld County has identified four internal driving sources for future economic growth: I. Energy Resources A. Mining B. Wind- and solar -powered energy C. Greenhouse emission innovations D. Biogas E. Water recycling (oil and gas) II. Open Entrepreneurship Marketplace A. No County sale tax B. Hispanic businesses C. Telecommunications/fiber optics D. Professional and business services E. The self-employed F. Unmet market opportunities G. Incubators (firms, universities, and linking networks) H. Home -based businesses Page 7 III. Growth A. High growth rate B. Half a million people by 2035 C. Healthy, growing, young labor force D. Attractiveness for retirees IV. Location A. 1 of 12 counties along the "Front Range Megapolitan," the confluence of two or more major metro areas. B. Proximity to Denver International Airport, Rocky Mountains, and Denver metro area C. Two interstates (l-25 and I-76), two US highways (US 85, US 34), state highways, and County Road 49 (considered a county highway) to facilitate growth and transportation D. Northern Front Range cities, the University of Northern Colorado, and Aims Community College Per Capita Personal Income , Year , Weld County Change Colorado Change 2010 ; $33,092 LL $40,689_ X2011 $35,055 5.9% $43,575 , 7.1% 2012L $37,088 5.8% $45,669 4.8% 2013 $38,793 4.6% $47,311 3.6% 4 2014 ryI $42,283 9.0% $50,711 7.2% 2015 $43,925 ' 3.9% $52,254 3.0% 2016 , $43,745 -0.4% $52,475 _0.4% 2017 L $44,479 1.7% , $55,604 6.0% 2018 $48,035 i 8.0%4_1. $58,896 ,I 5.9% 2019 ' $50,198 4.5% $61,157 3.8% i 2020 I $52,054 .__. 3.7% L $63,776 4.3 % (Source. Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce) Unemployment Rates 5.0% 3.9%____. 2016_, 3.3% 3.3% 2017 2.5% 2.6% 2018 2.8% t 3.0% 2019 2.4% 2.6% 2020 6 6% 6.9%, 2021 5.7% 5.4%T (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, US Department of Labor) Weld County Employment by Sector Sector Total Jobs_ .__ _ Agriculture Minim __-------------___ _: Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade _ Retail Trade Transportation and warehousing Information , Finance activities Real estate ' Professional, scientific/technical services Management of companies, enterprises Administrative support and waste management _ Education Health Services Arts, entertainment and recreation Accommodation and food services Other services, except public admin. Government (Source: State Demography Office) 2010 2020 Change 104,982 F 138,527 32.0% 6,006 6,187 3.0% 3,3395 918 , 77.2% 266 451 j 69.5% 9,169 , 15,010 4 63.7%. 10,614 ' 14,291_ j 34.6% 3,547 4,718 33.0% 9,410 12,879 36.9% 3,132 _ 5,741 _._i 83.3% 1,081 811 -25.0% 3,952 3,806 -3.7% 2,997 4,177 39.4% 4,167_ 6,558 57.4% 1,112 1,976 77.7% 5,289 7,788 47.2% 908 1,896 108.8% 9,290 11,061 1,526 1,907 6,011 8,094 34.7% 6,627 7,419 12.0% 16,539; 17,839 1 7.9% Page 8 Transportation Overview Interstate 1-25, US 85, and Weld County Road 49 provide for north/south transit up and down the Front Range corridor US 34 and State Highways 14, 52, and 392 facilitate east/west transit 1-76 provides for broader east/west travel The highway and road system in the County is managed by the Colorado Department of Transportation, the County, and the 32 municipalities, with the County maintaining 2,906 miles of publicly maintained county roads The total amount of County -maintained roads decreases as roads are annexed to municipalities County Roads 2020 Miles 2021 Miles Change Paved 748 747 -0 13% Gravel 2,158 2,148 -0 46% Total County Maintained 2,906 2,895 -0 38% (Source Weld County Department of Public Works) In addition, there are currently 471 miles of State Highway system roads maintained by CDOT State Highway system roads Interstate Miles 65 Arterial Freeway/Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial 57 225 57 Major Collector Minor Collector 64 3 Total 471 (Source Weld County GIS) Page 9 County Road Cross Reference ••eras art •• .r •.4..•'4 Altt • 4164 1.•11 .Ya •• L on N. al al IS Y 4.4 iv, a eta Y IA. 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CO - 1 • •• t • • a 3 • 34 a r: I/ Y • • • If 4411 011 i allot Sit $*4410091 X163 Irs it is Maw. as ara slake +orals.. awes dia. la GM •Stio o. • 444 tiling -ftsisre IN AZ" ii•aimossla • 00.00 in ID tat • 141 • • Highway County Road (Paved) County Road !Gravel) Municipal Road (Paved) Muncipal Road (Gravel) National Grasslands State WIdlife Area Experimental Range nen lin 149 117 tea lafr III Its 191 tarjo 11.11 Morgan County Cl Sal414.4 410 Iva Sao° 49 113 IN IX a X 480a hiCe fa a 3 Jar sic Weld County Roads April 2L122 ran Ilaneet rot rip linssiin Sr. I *Sans II taut II vpime4 wins Greeley Area Waoiirigton County. CO Page 10 Real Estate & Housing Weld County median prices in 2021 Detached houses: $445,000 Townhouses or other attached units: $320,900 In 2 -unit structures: $365,000 In 3 -to -4 -unit structures: $515,000 In 5 -or -more -unit structures: $1,100,000 Manufactured homes: $315,000 (Source: Sears Real Estate) Page 11 Single -Family Home Sales — 2016-2021 East/North: Nunn, Grover, New Raymer # Sold/Annual Median Increase in Price 2016 28/5257,219 +35% 2017 24/5292,000 +14% 2018 29/5300,000 +3% 2019 33/5305,000 +2% 2020 34/5357,750 +17% 2021 45/5450,000 +26% Central/West: Ault, Eaton, Evans, Greeley, Gilcrest, LaSalle, Johnstown, Milliken, Kersey, Pierce, Severance, Windsor # Sold/Annual Median Increase in Price 2016 3,716/5275,989 +13% 2017 3,538/5305,000 +11% 2018 4,047/5330,000 +8% 2019 4,209/5344,364 +4% 2020 4,831/5367,000 +7% 2021 5,133/5430,000 +17% South: Platteville, Firestone, Frederick, Dacono, Erie, Fort Lupton, Hudson, Keenesburg # Sold/Annual Median Increase in Price 2016 1,042/5350,000 +8% 2017 1,095/5383,000 +9% 2018 1,081/5402,900 +5% 2019 1,209/5415,000 +3% 2020 2,500/5445,000 +10% 2021 2,219/5515,000 +13% Housing & Households Weld County Housing Units 2000 2010 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021* Total Housing Units 66,194 96,281 110,496 112,857 116,710 119,962 125,041 Occupied Housing Units 63,247 89,349 108,073 110,000 114,605 113,995 117,875 Vacant Housing Units 2,947 6,932 2,423 1,857 2,105 5,967 7,166 Vacancy Rate 4.5% 7.2% 2.2% 1.6% 1.8% 5% 5.7% * Draft estimates (Source: Colorado Demography Office) Foreclosures in Weld County Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Foreclosures 1,155 1,500 2,073 2,869 2,824 3,354 2,757 1,919 1,579 820 602 427 411 362 375 334 116 61 (Source: Weld County Public Trustee) 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Page 12 Development Trends (Unincorporated Area) The number of Planning cases submitted dropped again in 2021 but the number of building permits for new homes was up (page 15) In July, 2021, the County's subdivision regulations were changed to allow partial vacations of Recorded Exemption lots This allows the removed lots to be split into 35 -acre lots, which does not require County review or approval In the second half of 2021, eight partial vacations to remove lots from Recorded Exemptions were submitted Vacations are not included in the data below for number of Planning cases processed Planning Cases by Year 2012 2013 2014 2015, 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Planning Cases 328 344 562 573 593 783 887 842 560 438 Planning Commission Hearing Cases 88 70 98 94 80 74 118 106 46 41 BOA Hearing Cases 2 2 0 2 2 2 3 2 5 10 Pre -application Meetings 244 223 308 267 270 282 334 300 225 330 Walk-in's 1,231 1,302 1,315 1,549 1,618 1,167 1,014 Number of Lots Approved through Recorded Exemptions by Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021 Number of Lots 185 207 228 288 323 -' 367 413 435 373 0 so October 21, 2020, Recorded Exemption applications were no longer accepted Number of Lots Approved through Subdivisions by Year (excludin outlots) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ` 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Number of Lots 9 6 28 30 14 15 62 22 13 0 Page 13 2021 Case Types Change of Zone 11 Family Farm Division 30 Flood Hazard Development Permit 38 Flood Permit 40 Lot Line Adjustment 35 Minor Subdivision (Sketch or Final) 6 N onconforming Use 25 Probable Cause -Show Cause 38 PUD (Sketch, Zoning, or Final) 8 Resubdivision 9 Rural Land Division (Sketch or Final) 4 S ite Plan Review 12 U se by Special Review 18 Zoning Permits 126 Other 38 Total 438 Page 14 ZP, 28.8% 2021 Case Types RLD, 0.9% RS, 2.1% _/ PUD, 1.8% Number of Building Permits by Type by Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 New Single- Family Homes 50 85 98 160 169 140 143 170 157 125 158 Manufactured Homes 52 81 102 130 198 160 174 190 155 88 132 Oil& Gas 990 866 829 900 495 383 312 443 371 256 203 Ag Exempt 130 142 142 186 174 213 231 235 242 246 242 Other 1,094 1,153 1,280 1,298 1,283 1,329 1,398 1,492 1,394 1,550 1,530 Total 2,316 2,327 2,451 2,674 2,319 2,225 2,258 2,530 2,425 2,265 2,265 Total Valuation $126M $322M $365M $783M $462M $298M $358M $584M $606M $233M $320M Building Inspections, Plan Reviews, and Walk-in's by Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Inspections 19,056 18,724 18,155 23,052 26,328 24,467 23,474 24,063 25,733 27,498 28,082 Plan Reviews 1'364 1,562 1,849 2,153 2,045 1,895 2,118 2,363 2,242 2,060 2,125 Walk-ins 4,971 4,264 5,553 5,709 5,789 6,271 6,355 Page 15 Oil and Gas The number of cases of Weld Oil and Gas Location Assessments (WOGLAs) dropped again in 2021. Oil prices generally rose over the course of the year as the pandemic subsided. Weld Oil and Gas Location Assessments (WOGLAs) by Year Year 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017 Number of Cases 115 193 218 56 21 Page 16 Weld County Small Business Incentive Plan (SBIP) FUNDING OVERVIEW 0-9 employees: Fees between $2,500 - $25,000 County mar $20,000 Applicant portion_ $2,500 t any amount above $25,000 10-15 employees: Fees between $2,500 - $35,000 County max. $30,000 Applicant portion: $2,500 + ant amount above $35,000 16-35 employees: Fees between $_2,500 - $45,000 County max $40,000 Applicant portion: $2,500 + ant amount above $45,000 Example 1: 510,000 total fees assessed and 5 employees. Applicant would pay $2,500 and County would grant S-,500. Example 2: 540,000 total fees assessed and 14 employees. Applicant would pay $2,500+$^,500=$10,000 and County would grant $30,000. Example 3: 580,000 total fees assessed and 25 employees. Applicant would pay $2.500+$3,500=$40.000 and County would grant $40,000. Page 17 Funds shall be eh:tnhated on a frrst-come first -rest to bassi. Weld County Small Business Incentive Program _ �t7 ap hcations are ro► f denhal and at the full discretion of tin field Comm Board of Cotenr,• Commissioners. Applicants must be a prnpertl owner or be a tenant turth wines permissron from the budding ,owner) crating a retail, commercial or industrial business .1.,r dorined and permitted under the rem Counh Code. Applicant must In c tannt on all Counts to ves prior to wen ing funds. The Veld Count, Board of Cosisfy Commissioners or its de.rn •yen has sole suthorn to determine the elrgrveht; of protosed businn,r. kilos hare questions or u odd like fierther information,. please contact the Planning, Semis Director a: 0? -0->;3-v 100, ext 35 2. All inquires are kept strretlt- contidlennai Total Funds Awarded (as of 12/31/2021) $281,778 Weld County has established a Small Business Incentive Program (BIP) which will provide eligible businesses financial assistance to offset land use, building permit, and several impact fees. The program is designed to reduce upfront capital outlay for small businesses located in unincorporated Weld County. WHO CAN APPLY? Any business owner or tenant located in unincorporated Weld County that meets the eligibility requirements. WHAT ARE THE ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS? • The subject real property must be located within the County (the "Property"). • The business shall hire at least fifty (50) percent of their new workforce from Weld County. For the purpose of this application a full-time employee works a minimum of 32 hours per week. The business may have a combination of part-time employees that is the equivalent of at least one (1) full-time employee. • The applicant must be the record owner(s) of the Property or a tenant. • The business must have been undertaken after the date of the adoption of this policy. • This program shall only apply to businesses with 35 or fewer employees at the time of submitting an application. WHAT CAN BE DONE WITH THESE FUNDS? The intent of these funds is to offer financial assistance to small businesses that want to operate in Weld County. The financial assistance helps reduce the business's land use application fees, building permit fees, and impact fees. Fees incurred by the business that are not eligible for funds include consultant and attorney fees, on -site and off -site bonding, collateral requirements. etc. Resources: U.S. Census Bureau Bureau of Labor Statistics Bureau of Economic Analysis Colorado Demography Office Colorado Department of Local Affairs Colorado Department of Labor and Employment Weld County Planning Services Weld County GIS Weld County Public Works Weld County Oil and Gas Energy Department National Center for Veterans Analysis and Statistics Upstate Colorado Economic Development Sears Real Estate U.S. Department of Agriculture National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/National Weather Service Page 18 Hello