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HomeMy WebLinkAbout710525.tiff ,Lib 6:--? 7 RESOLUTION RE: LARIMER-WELD REGIONAL WATER-WASTE POLLUTION CONTROL PROGRAM. WHEREAS, it is apparent to the Board of County Commissioners, Weld County, Colorado, that there is an urgent need for a comphrensive river basin water pollution and liquid waste control program in the Cache la Poudre, The Big Thompson and South Platte River basins in Larimer County and in Weld County, and NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED, that the Board of County Commissioners, Weld County, Colorado, does strongly recommend and support the investigation, evaluation and development of a com- prehensive program for the Larimer-Weld Regional Sewer and Water Study and for the implementation of the necessary plans and programs in connection therewith. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the Board strongly supports the action of the Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission in its application for federal funds to effect such regional water-waste program in Larimer and Weld Counties. The above and foregoing Resolution was, on motion duly made and seconded, adopted by the following vote on the 5th day of May, 1971. BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS WELD COUNTY, COLORADO / / / i « ,, J . l0 buy. ATTEST: / S T;T EE ST Clerk of the BoardC-`x By: Deputy County Cl APPROVED AS TO ORM C7� -)" l-- County Attorney /6 C"G X g .ti..Wes; 710525 Trustees: Wayne Lutz Sam Schauerman TOWN OF WINDSOR Clerk: Jack Manion Helmut Hettinger Edward Eichorn W. WAYNE MILLER, Mayor Duane McDonald Francis Osburn Windsor, Colorado 80550 May 10 , 1971 Weld and Larimer Regional Planning Board Weld County Court House 9th Avenue and 9th Street Greeley, Colorado 80631 Attention Mr. Burman Lorenson Gentlemen: This is to inform you that the Town of Windsor agrees to participate in the regional water and sewer study. We feel this is a positive step in the develop- ment of our area. Enclosed is a copy of the minutes of the Windsor Planning Board of May 4 , 1971, to verify our position. Sincerely yours, 22J7/r�:- ,-A- it/71-2j— W. Wayne Miller Mayor Town of Windsor WWM: lmm GLENN A. BILLINGS, CHAIRMAN RT. 2, BOX 167, GREELEY, COLO. HAROLD W. ANDERSON. CHAIRMAN PRO"TEM OFFICE OF RT. I. JOHNSTOWN. COLO. BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS PHONE 13031 353.2212 MARSHALL H. ANDERSON,MEMBER EXT. 21. 22. AND 23 2412 8TH AVE., GREELEY. COLD. ATTACHMENT A WELD COUNTY IN KIND SERVICE NAME POSITION ANNUAL TIME ON COST SALARY PROJECT % OF HRS. Burman Lorenson Weld County Planner $13,500 25% $ 3,375.00 Byron Ewing Weld County Engineer $'10,,000 5% $ 500.00 Glenn Paul Weld County Chief Sanitarian $12,570 25% $ 3,144.00 Un—assigned Weld County Sanitarian $ 8,688 75% $ 6,516.00 TOTAL $13,535.00 /Marshall H. An erson, Chairman Afr- erei Glenn K. Billings h l "d�LrIi/ 11 r�Eto Harry S.i/Ashley H %Presley OS'. ,ay 4, 1971 B. Councilman Wells submitted copies of a memo from Commis- sioner William C. Manuel , Dr. David W. Hendricks and Dr. H. J. Morel-Seytoux to Representatives of Larimer-Weld City and County Governments , Colorado Water Pollution Control Commission, and Environmental Protection Agency, concerning ‘4ater quality planning grant applications to E.P.A. He stated that a letter was needed for author- ization from the Council designating the Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission as the regional planning agency representing the City of Greeley's interests in the development of a basin-wide pollution control plan. Motion was made by Councilman Sodman and seconded by Council- man Rucker to authorize the Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission to use Greeley's expenditures for in-kind match- ing money providing it does not conflict with any City of Greeley application for federal aid project. Motion carried unanimously. There being no further business , the meeting was adjourned. • :•AYDR BY: CITY CLERK • • I, Lola Told ..Ian, city Clerk of the city 3f Greeley, do hereby certify that the aLove is a true and exact copy of the last ',page of the minutes of City Council meeting , isiay 4, 1971. CLAVLl • MEMO Date: April 22, 1971 To: Representatives of Larimer - Weld City and County Governments, Colorado • Water Pollution Control Commission, and Environmental Protection Agency From: William C. Manuel, David W. Hendricks, H. J. Morel-Seytoux Subject: Water quality planning grant applications to EPA Remarks: The enclosed grant applications outline methods for developing: (1) a comprehensive river basin pollution control program for the Cache La Poudre, Big Thompson, and South Platte Rivers, in Larimer and Weld Counties. (2) a regional plan for liquid waste management for the Ft. Collins - Loveland - Greeley urban triangle. Part I is the "3c" application for comprehensive river basin planning and Part II is a "demonstration grant" application. Part I is the framework for the total problem. This includes consideration of upper basin problems relating to activities in the mountain canyons. Also in Part I, it is necessary to establish the administrative mechanisms for implementing regional programs and plans. This includes recommending user fees, financing recommended construction, and enabling legislation as necessary, and a suitable organization structure for continuing implementation and updating of plans. Part II outlines the procedures for modeling the river basin and regional water and waste systems, with special reference to the lower reaches (ie beyond the canyons). The regional water-waste plan will come from these models; they will be developed for usefulness beyond the period of this project. We should emphasize that Part I is preliminary; not only is the budget yet undefined, but an explicit work plan should be developed to delineate • the extent to which plans should be developed for the upper reaches. Your comments and criticisms are solicited. We will discuss budgets, objectives, and scope more fully with representatives of each community and hopefully try to absorb these thoughts into a final draft for submission to EPA; we are striving to have this ready in early May. U. s. CEPANIM[NT or TN rtER1pN ..7,-..-- iFORM APP UD 20D DUPEAU Or nV::GCI Ito. I:-nISIS FEDERAL WATCH POLLUTION COIL ADMINISTRATION • ; WASHINGTON. O. C. I2 it Ell PCA USE ONLY I GRANT APPLICATION PART I PI161ECT NUMUF:11 DATE I4CCEIv1:U 0. I COMPREHENSIVE HATER POLLUTION CONTROL PLANNING _ I (Under Section 3(e), PL 84.600. as amended) ♦Ppn OV AL ACTION . INSTRUCTIONS: Prepare In precise narrative form and Include required supporting information and attachments. Identify ell SIGNATURE OF AUTIIORIZW6 Of LICIAL attachments by referring to the item numbers on this form. Submit one copy of this form to the appropriate FWPCA Regional Director. . ._.. ,.NAME AND ♦UORCSS OF DESIGNATED PLANNING AGENCY a. DATE OF APF LICA 1IUN Larimer—Weld Regional Planning Commission 4/20/71 ' Post Box 2137 (VOrt: Each Application should be accompanied by Ft. Collins, Colorado 80521 a letter from the Governor(s) of the State(;) desig. noting tiro planning agency responsible to administer I A. and coordinate thedevelopment of the Comprehensive i ilasin-wide Pollution Control Plan. (Sec Seetinn IlAl , of Guidelines) No Application can be approved until such tatters) is or has been submitted., IF THE ABOVE REPRESENTS A CHANGE IN INFORMATION I'LETTCF.IsI O NOT AETTIAIC NED SUBMIT TEO PRIOR TO THIS APPLICATION. PLEASE INDICATEI Q ATTACHED , - (AUTHORITY(Cite and ilive a brief description of thy statutory or other authority of the designated planning agency and attach . copies of appropriate documents)* APpgp1DIX B: . 11 Charter of`,the Larimer-Weld R*giestal Oemmi $ion 2) Letters of authorization from politica; ;entities within the region, designating the Lat3.mer-Weld Regional Planning Commission as the regional planning agency reptesenting their interests in the development of a basin-wide pollution control plan. LieMEF PHYSICAL DESGTIIH IRAN OFFLATINTI L-AHen VII unarm Ie�..,rv..nra v, VIII UM IIIL; !:- _. — -- -- .The Basin Plan area. will encompass the Poudre -and Big Thompson- Rivers from headwaters to their confluence with the South Platte litter and'tha. iuth Platte river in Weld County. The Region- . ' al Plan will encompass the Ft.. Collins,-Loveland-Greely triangle. Figure 1 shows the basin_ planning area and Figure 3 shows the regional Metropolitan planning area. The geographical diversity includes high value scenic and recreational reaches of the respective rivers and adjacent lands in the mountains/ and on the plains, fast growing urban communities (3.8% per year) , an extensive irrigated agriculture (over 240,000 acres) , a massive feedlot industry (about 100, including the two largest in the US), industrial development (the most recent is 1800 employees) , and need for upgrading currently polluted streams. Water related organ- izational entities include: over 32 irrigation companies, over 10 municipal water districts, exclusive of cities and towns, over 10 sewer districts, and three major cities, and many nearby towns. Unified water planning can explore all alternatives to exploit water reuse alternatives, economies of scale in treatment, and in supporting and implementing a realistic water quality plan commensurate with national and local social goals for the stream system. —• ySETATEMEI:I Or PROBLEM(Give concise analysis of problem(s)in implementing water quality objectives in the basin. Pinpoint • solevant physical, economic, financial, Institutional, and other problems requiring solution) !'Mountain zones - The upper.reaches of the Big Thompson and Poudre Rivers are both national and regional assets. These upper reatlles .are more "value• sensitive" to pollution .effects than. in the lower reaches; they are scenic, and are goad trout fisheries, and serve as municipal water supply sources - as well as irrigation supplies. Presently, pollution problems are not eviden despite. the intensive summer activities adjacent to these streams. The city of Estes Park is the only incorporated municipality; the summer population increases to near 10,000. These Upper reaches should be considered in the Basin Plan, even though Estes Park is the only waste input subject to control. A pollution control program would be difficult to implement if - 'indeed•necessary, because of the generally diffuse character of the activities. Because of the unique qualities of these mountain reaches, they should be included in the basin plan .so that some institutional mechanism is available ,for planning and implementing pollution control if and when this becomes necessary. Plains = As the Poudre and Big Thompson Rivers emerge from their mountain canyons they flow through cities and irrigated agricultural lands to join the South Platte River beyond Greeley. The latter stream recently has been upgraded to class A while the Poudre is classified as B2, C, and D1, and the Big Thompson is C and D1.alee. There is continued discus- sion regarding upgrading the Poudre River. These rivers are largely diverted during summer months for irrigation and municipal uses, which presents a dichotomy in logic if higher water quality standards are proposed. This question needs to be brought into better focus in an effort to assess alternatives for meeting desired social objectives for in-stream uses and the corresponding "opportunity costs": Part II will do this. Both the supply side and the waste side need to be considered in any comprehensive planning to realize a "cost-effective" solution which is compatible with the full spectrum of water use objectives - including the maintenance of water quality for in-stream uses and for further diversions. d:Kruse. Some of the institutional proble s involve,,ownership of water among 30 to 50 muni- cipal and irrigation entities; responsibility for waste water collection and treatmentjsdiffused in the urban areas among several sanitary districts in each urban area. The new Larimer-Weld Regional Commission is a potentially effective vehicle for coordinated planning in all activity spheres, thus providing the neces- sary administration and interfacing between this proposed activity and land use planning, and the development of regional social objectives for the use of common property resources. Should regional treatment facilities of any type be recommended as a result of Part II, the Commission is a vital administrative unit in approving any recommended charge structure, and developing a workable plan. fi. STATUS OF BASIN PL ANN MG(O'rt Gne ste(uS of fended comprehensive venter pollution control and Ieatrr and relyded land resourcr. th -plarnirg undonvny or proposed in e hUin. Sea Section 11122 of Guidelines) Several studies have been undertaken in the past, upon which, this project will build. These activities have included: i) A US Bureau of Reclamation stuffy, Concluding Re $ort, July 1966; Region 7, Denver, on the feasibility of Idylwilde Dam. This report contains hydrologic information for the Poudre • River and M and I water use data for Ft. Collins and Greeley. 2)' Area Sclorage Trikapent Militias Development Plan for Larimer County, March 19, 1969, Larimer County Health Dept. This is a comprehensive sewerage plan, shown in Figure 4, which links up the Ft. Collins urban area into a unified system, and does the same for Loveland; this study will aid the proposed one by 'delineating. the subregion lihkages - allowing the current study to concentrate on inter-city transport costs. , 3) Comprehensive Survey of the Cache La Poudre River by G. Misbach, Colorado State Health Department, 1970. This was a water quality survey of the Poudre River from Ft. Collins to Greeley done in May and in September 1970. 4) The Larimer County Health Department under the supervision of Mr. Douglas Wigle has given continued extensive sampling surveillance to the waters of the area. 5) Interim Water and Sewer Planning, Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission, April 1971. This report is an inventory of data, specified by EPA as per Title 18, Chapter 5, Part 601 of the Water Quality Act of 1965 (check) . This report contiJfins population pro- jections and inventories all water and sewage treatment facilities, and shows locations of industries, feedlots, etc. 6) The Environmental Protection Agency is planning a comprehensive survey of the water quality conditions in the South Platte Basin to include the Poudre and Big Thompson sub- basins, as a follow-up of the 1966 enforcement conference. This effort could be highly valuable for the proposed study. These studies will, of course, be utilized in the proposed basin planning effort. N ECU 1012 1 lit Tn LR 1•LANIONG ARO ACTION PROGHA't(Ui,t/Inc plon:un;} decn.lons mld acn un prt[rem:. requrtcu CO OC.IC C Oiler an, wale: ,ue4tp nnnnermcnt which applicant proposes to aendowfish. Sec Section LID of Guidelines) , 1 .The proposed study will bee—,comprehensive basin wide effort—resulting in a basin model of the hydro-quality system; _s will be the basis for planni the nature of the waste treat- ment system and in assessing effects on the stream system of the various inputs and diver- sions, The model will be similar to that developed by Dixon,•Hendricks, Huber, and Bagley (1970) , but not so extensive in data requirements. The regional model will examine all ; feasible alternatives in waste handling with special reference to examination of reuse possibilities. Part II describes this in detail. These models will allow assessment of :, basin measures for pollution abatement, for exploring in-stream water sources, and in .developing a cost-effective regional treatment plan (the word regional does not necessarily Limply region linkages unless this lowers costs) . Planning decisions and construction planning will be oriented about these models, subject, of course, to political , legal, and economic constraints . • SCOPE AND DETAIL OF PROPOSED WORK PROGRAM 11.▪ DESCRIBE THE SCOPE AND DETAIL or THE TOTAL BA5111 PLANNING PROGRAM TO MEET THE HEEDS DESCRIBED IN ITEM 7 (Sec Section 1182 of Guidelines) The proposed work program will be for a three-year period. Part II is oriented principally about, developing the basin and regional models, in recommending an optimum regional waste handling 'system, and in providing specific planning guidelines useful to other regions. Part I, this proposal, is •oriented toward providing the structure to implement the results of Part II; Part I is, in fact, the general implementation framework, for an action program and is specific to the Larimer-Weld planning area. Table 2 'outlines the relationship be- tween the two grants . Part II is essentially a subset of Part I; Part II is necessary, but is not sufficient for implementing basin and regional. programs. Together these two parts form a single unified program. 'Their separation is justified conceptually in that Part I is action-oriented toward a specific region; Part II is an integral part of Part I relating - • to Larimer-Weld, but goes beyond the region in its intent. - Work schedule - Figure 5 (not drawn yet) is a PERT-time diagram showing the work'plan, time scheduling, and relationship between Parts I and II . (TABLE 2 ON FOLLOWING PAGE) B.OUTLINE FEDERAL, STATE, INTERSTATE, AND LOCAL PROGRAMS WITH WHICH WORK \'TILL DS COORDINATED AND TYPE OF COORDINATION (See Section IIC of Guidelines) Programs of other agencies may intersect, to some degree, with the proposed work. While these intersections by no means overlap the proposed work, they do reduce somewhat the activity sphere within shichithis project must function, as outlined in 6. Programs listed in II C of the August 1967 Guidelines have not evolved in the Poudre-Big Thompson basins (check this) . As mentioned earlier, this activity does tie into,a federal surveil- lance activity scheduled for 1971, in that the opportunity exists for the acquisition of project data. Also, a USGS ground water survey will be underway soon, which can yield useful information. Continuing coordination with the Water Pollution Control Division, Colorado State Health Department will be maintained. • • • FWPCA•147 (5.0) (Pogo 2) Table 2 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TWO COORDINATED GRANTS Execution Model Building - Innovation Part I - 3 C Grant Functions Part II - Demonstration Grant Functions (1) Provide necessary coordination between (1) Assimilate feedback into model political and district entities development (2) Develop water quality objectives } (2) Assess opportunity costs for for region stated objectives (3) Provide land use plan (3) Constraint implied on location and architectural design of treatment facilities (4) (a) Select a feasible plan + (4) Provide alternate plans for (b) Provide drawings and preliminary regional water quality manage- sketches of facilities ment including type, sizes, (c) Develop fee schedule for operation locations, time phasing of and amortization of facilities facilities (d) Draw up legislation, as necessary, for implementing plans (5) Develop means for continued administration + (5) Develop models for continued of plan and for continuing revision routine use for planning and operation. SCOPE AND DCT AII..OF PHoPO5ELLr:olit; PltOGNAl.t (coca.) PUTLI1IC HOW. wltrrE, AND DY t'cNO4I T..K.SCPAfiATE PROGRAM ELEMENTS WILL DE 091LS INCLUDING WORK OF SUPPORTING AGENCIES AND CONSUL TANIS(If vault r program, present by ennual segments. Sc -Hon 1111 and C of Guidelines) Table 3 is a work matrix showing individuals involved in task accomplishment and identifying those responsible to the. Grant Director for task accomplishment. Table 4 is an organi- zation chart outlining the lines of authority for project execution. • _ • . r e • • • • • • • LIST ALL RELEVANT FEDERAL PLANNING GRANTS WHICH PARTICIPATING AGENCIES RECEIVED OR APPLIED FOR DURING CURRENT FISCAL YEAR(See Section 11C of Guidelines) - Federal planning grants received or applied for during the 1970-71 year for each parti- cipating agency is outlined below; • • • • INDICATE OUTLOOK AND CONTINUITY UEYONO PERIOD OF SUPPORT RECEIVED UNDER SECTION 3(C1, FEDERAL WATER POLLUTION CONTROL ACT(Sam Section 110 of Guidelines) Once :established aS a worthwhile activity, as a result of the proposed study, the out- look for continuity would appear promising. ' • __l_ CIVIL NIGHTS ASSURANCE The applicant shall ccr.ply v:ith the terms end intent of Title VI of the Civil RiLhts Art cf IS54 (Public l.aw t6S-352) and of the recutatiens promutcated pursuant to such Act by the Seaetrr;• of :Lc Interior (43 CFI; 27) .ME AND TOILE OF CERLI.YING OFFICIAL SIGHaTVRC — SPCA-14) r.67) (Page 3) r. r. TABLE 1 SEWAGE SYSTEMS - LARIMER COUNTY - WELD COUNTY - 19701 Discharge Effluent Popula- Thousands BCD Disdh'arge Type Community tion Taps gpd mg/1 To Treatment Comments Berthoud 1,700 713 360 13.20 Little Thompson Trickling filters Expansion proposed Fort Collins 43,337 9,148 7,440 Plant 111 10.60 Poudre River Trickling filters Near design capacity Plant e2 16.66 Poudre River Activated sludge Near design capacity Loveland 16,220 5,605 2,600 42.50 Big Thompson Trickling filters Near design capacity Wellington 645 225 110 12.94 Boxelder Creek Aerated lagoons Boxelder S.D. 1,800 419 250 33.76 Poudre River Lagoon Violating standards Estes Park S.D. 9,800 4,075 520 5.20 Big Thompson Activated sludge (summer) (suer) North College Sanitation Dist. 4,500 1,120 300 90.00 Poudre River Trickling filters Cease I desist issued S. Ft. Collins Sanitation Dist. 1,500 381 200 18.80 Fossil Creek Lagoons Violating standards Ault S.D. 828 325 60 50 Dry Creek Imhoff and Trick- ling filter Dacono S.D. 363 112 Lagoon Eaton 1,389 560 140 8 Ditch Extended aeration Erie S.D. 1,090 300 80 34 Ditch Aerated lagoons Evans 2,570 600 250 40 S. Platte Aerated lagoon Fort Lupton 2,489 785 200 37 S. Platte Lagoons Gilcrest S.D. 401 120 Lagoon Non-discharging Greeley 38,902 9,614 Plan to build addi- Plant M1 750 85 Poudre River Trickling filter tional treatment fa- Plant e2 7,250 386 Poudre River Activated sludge cilities for packing house wastes Hill & Park S.D. 400 130 20 S. Platte Lagoon Hudson S.D. 513 210 50 8 S. Platte Lagoon Johnstown 1,191 370 100 23 Little Thompson Lagoon Keenesburg S.D. 437 190 40 57 Dry Ditch • Lagoon Kersey 467 40 140 Lagoon Needs Aeration or more lagoon LaSalle 1,227 400 100 18 S. Platte Lagoons Mead S.D. 189 70 15 Intermittent Lagoon Stream Milliken S.D. 710 180 70 2 Big Thompson Extended Aeration -Pierce S.D. 438 136 Lagoon No discharge since built in 1970 Platteville 671 240 ' 60 48 S. Platte Lagoon Windsor 1,564 613 160 Poudre River Aerated Lagoon Under construction 1From Interior Water and Sewer Planning Report, Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission, April 1971. A � o , I i4 o J H Y � 1 \� O as U O 1 U Se ,≤ �. � . \ G o 4 o I V U a � . � b _ 4-4 � - \ ,� r c b '''?\ p J a g 00 H \ a 4/3 co , ...„.,.. ,, ,,,..., .‘,..__,. 3- /1 (1� ce s � oo g 8-1 --1.; '� ' .-i C. ': , .., tn v QN1 NI i11� F. _1 \ \ t-'- 9I n4 okl Phuc, Le Van and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Effect of Airflow on Infiltration Rates," submitted for publication in the Proceedings of the Soil Science Society of America, being revised. Phuc, Le Van and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Computer Simulation of Capillary Hysteretic Cycles in Infiltration," submitted to S.S.S.A. for publication, being revised. I ' APPENDIX 1 FOUNDATIONS OF ENGINEERING OPTIMIZATION CE 649 1. Content and Format of Course a) Content: list of topics Classical techniques of calculus for optimization Direct and indirect methods Unconstrained optimization Gradient methods Constrained optimization Jacobi method Lagrange multipliers method Inequality constraints Jacobi method Kuhn Tucker conditions Differential Algorithms Quadratic programming Linear programming Duality Geometric programming Uncertainty and optimization Principal components analysis Canonical variables Calculus of variations Finite elements method Galerkin's method Dynamic programming Relation between dynamic programming and calculus of variations Dynamic programming under uncertainty b) Applications It is good to illustrate the theoretical developments on applied engineering problems. The choice of the examples, however, must be geared to the particular class at hand. Unless the student body differed much from the first class, examples would probably be as follows : Simple numerical examples in the first part of the course Water conveyance system design (Differential Algorithm) Rainfall-runoff relation (Quadratic Programming) Conjunctive surface-groundwater usage (Linear Programming) Minimal time detection of hydrologic change (Duality) Economic value of hydrologic data (Uncertainty and Optimization) Wastewater treatment (Geometric Programming) Drainage Basin Geomorphology (Principal Components) Channel seepage losses (Calculus of Variations) Structural analysis (Finite Elements) Irrigation water scheduling (Dynamic Programming) Basin sediment control (Dynamic Programming) Multiple purpose reservoir operations (Dynamic Programming under Uncertainty) c) Format During the early part of the course, only theoretical topics will be discussed in the lectures. The early workshops will be devoted to review some material (if needed) and to work out simple numerical examples. Some examples will be worked out on the computer. (Extensive computer usage is expected throughout the class.) In the latter part of the course presentation of theory will alternate with presentation of applications of the theory to engineering problems. During the workshops theoretical material will be reviewed (it probably will be needed then) , and students will present reviews of literature dealing with optimization theory or its engineering applica- tions. The students ' presentations will be open for discussion after and during the presentations. Appendix A Recent Bibliography on Water Resources Systems 1. Ackermann, W. C. , Systematic Study and Development of Long Range Programs of Urban Water Resource Research, ASCE PB 184 318, Appendix G52, Sept. 1968. 2. Bear, J. and Levin, 0. , An Approach to Management and Optimal Utilization of Aquifers, Proceedings of the 2nd Annual American Water Resources Conference, Nov. 1966. 3. Berthouex, Paul M. and Polkowski, L. B. , Design Capacities to Accommodate Precase Uncertainties, ASCE, Vol. 96, No. SA5, October 1970, pp. 1183-1210. 4. Brater, E. F. , A Comment on Optimization Methods for Branching Multistage Water Resources System, Water Resources Systems, Vol. 5, No. 1, Feb. 1969. 5. Bredehoeft, J. D. and Young, R. A. , The Temporal Allocation of Ground Water - A Simulation Approach, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 1, Feb. 1970. 6. Brow, G. , Jr. , and McGuire, C. B. , A Socially Optimum Pricing Policy for a Public Water Agency, Water Resources Research, Vol. 3, No. 1, First Quarter 1967. 7. Buras, N. and Schweig, Z. , Aqueduct Route Optimization by Dynamic Programming, Journal of the Hydraulics Division, Proceedings of the ASCE, Sept. 1969. 8. Burt, 0. R. , On Optimization Methods for Branching Multistage Water Resources Systems, Vol. 6, No. 1, Feb. 1970. 9. Burt, 0. R. , Temporal Allocation of Groundwater, Water Resources Research, Vol. 3, No. 1, First Quarter 1967. 10. Butsch, R. J. , Reservoir System Design Optimization, Journal of Hydraulic Division, Proceedings of the ASCE, Jan. 1970. 11. DeCoursey, D. G. and Snyder, W. M. , Computer-Oriented Method of Optimizing Hydrologic Model Parameter, Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 9, 1969. 12. Deininger, R. A. , Water Quality Management. The Planning of Economi- cally Optimal Pollution Control Systems, Proceedings of the First Annual Meeting of the American Water Resources Assn. , Urbana, Ill. , Dec. 1965. 13. Diskin, M. H. , Thiessen Coefficients by a Monte Carlo Procedure, Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 8, 1969. 14. Domenico, P. A. , Anderson, D. V. and Case, C. M. , Optimal Ground Water Mining, Water Resources Research, Vol. 4, No. 2. 15. Eisel, L. M. , Comments on 'The Linear Decision Rule in Reservoir Management and Design' by Charles Revelle, Erhard Joeres and William Kirby, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 4. 16. Erickson, L. E. and Fan, L. , Optimization of the Hydraulic Regime of Activated Sludge Systems, Journal WPCF, Vol. 40, No. 3, Part 1, March 1968. l '. Galler, W. S. and Gotaas, H. S. , Optimization Anal sis of Biological Filter Design, Journal of the Sanitary Engineering Division, ASCE, Vol. 92. 18. Gisser, M. , Linear Programming Models for the Estimating the Agricultural Demand Function for Imported Water in the Pecos River Basin, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 4, August 1970. 19. Hall, W. A. , Butcher, W. S. , and Esogbue, A. , Optimization of the Operation of a Multiple-Purpose Reservoir by Dynamic Programming. 20. Harboe, R. C. , Mobasheri, F. and Yeh, W. W. G. , Optimal Policy for Reservoir Operation, ASCE, Vol. 96, No. HY11, November 1970, pp. 2297-2308 21. Kerri, K. D. , A Dynamical Model for Water Quality Control, Journal WPCF, Vol. 39, No. 5, May 1967. 22. Labadie, J. W. and Dracup, J. A. , Optimal Identification of Lumped Watershed Models, Water Resources Research, Vol. 5, No. 3, June 1969. 23. Liebman, J. C. , and Lynn, W. R. , The Optimal Allocation of Stream Dissolved Oxygen, Water Resources Research, Vol. 2, No. 3, Third Quarter, 1966. 24. Loucks, D. P. , A Comment on Optimization Methods for Branching Multistage Water Resources System, Water Resources Research, Vol. 4, No. 2, April 1963. 25. Loucks, D. P. , Policy Models for Operating Water Resource Systems, Proceedings of the Second A.W.R. Conference, 1966. 26. Loucks, D. P. , Revelle, C. S. , and Lynn, W. R. , Linear Programming Models for Water Pollution Control, Management Science, Vol. 14, No. 4, 1967. 27. Lynn, W. R. , Logan, J. A. , and Charnes, A. , System Analysis for Planning Wastewater Treatment Plants, Journal WPCF, Vol. 34, No. 6, June 1962. 28. Majumdar, K. C. , Determination of the Optimum Storage Capacity of Reservoirs and the Associated Probabilities, Journal of Hydrology Vol. 8, 1969. 29. Meier, Jr. , W. L. and Beightler, C. S. , An Optimization Method for Branching Multistage Water Resources Systems, Water Resources Research, Vol. 3, No. 3, 1967. 30. Mobasheri, F. , and Harboe, R. C. , A Two Stage Optimization Model for Design of a Multipurpose Reservoir, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 1 , Feb. 1970. 31 . Moss, M. E. , Optimum Operating Procedure for a River Gaging Station Established to Provide Data for a Water Supply Project, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 4, August 1970. 32. Nash, J. E. , and O'Connor, K. M. , Comment on Computation of Optimum Realizable Unit Hydrograph by Peter S. Eagleson, Ricardo Mejia-R, and Frederic March, Water Resources Research, Vol. 4, No. 1, Feb. 1968. 33. Raman, V. , Developments in Water System Network Design, ASCE, Vol. 96, No. SA5, October 1970, pp. 1249-1263. 34. Revelle, C. S. , Loucks, D. P. , and Lynn, W. , Linear Programming Applied to Water Quality Management, Water Resources Research, Vol. 4, No. 1, Feb. 1968. 35. Revelle, C. S. , Loucks, D. P. , and Lynn, W. R. , A Management Model for Water Quality Control, Journal WPCF, Vol. 39, No. 7, July 1967. 36. Revelle, C. S. , and Kirby, W. , Linear Decision Rule in Reservoir Management and Design, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 4, August 1970. 37. Shechter, M. , and Schwarz, J. , Optimal Planning of a Coastal Collector, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 4, August 1970. 38. Schweig, Z. , and Cole, J. A. , Optimal Control of Linked Reservoirs, Water Resources Research, Vol. 4, No. 3, June 1968. 39. Thomas, Jr. , H. A. , Operations Research in Water Quality Management, Division of Engineering and Applied Physics, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, Feb. 1965. 40. Young, G. K. , and Pisano, M. A. , Non-Linear Programming Applied to Regional Water Resource Planning, Water Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 1, Feb. 1970. 41. Ward, E. J. , System Approach to Choice in Transport Technology, ASCE, Vol. 96, No. TE4, November 1970, pp. 455-462. 42. Warley, J. L. , and Burgess, F. J. , Systems Analysis Approach to Water Quality Prediction in a Complex River Basin, Western Resources papers (Boulder, University of Colorado Press, 1965) . 43. Wilson, T. T. and Kirdar, E. , Use of Runoff Forecasting in Reservoir Operations, ASCE, Vol. 96, No. IR3, September 1970, pp. 299-308. APPENDIX B - Notes Optimization Technique - It was shown previously that decisions could be taken to allocate water uses based on the solution of an optimization problem, provided the optimization problem can be solved! The objective function is non-linear, the constraints are probably non-linear and worse still, some of the constraint functions may be implicit requiring the use of the physical model for evaluation. The optimization problem then may be unstructured preventing the use of the wellknown but limited techniques such as linear programming, quadratic programming, geometric programming, etc. One must return to the basic concepts of optimization and utilize a differential algorithm. Because of the implicit nature of some of the physical model functions, some of the required derivatives may have to be calculated by running the model varying one variable at a time, in a unit amount. Differential Algorithm-- In essence the differential algorithm consists of linearizing (locally) the non-linear objective function, the equality and inequality constraints and of eliminating (implicitly) the state variables from the objective function and the constraints. The rate of change of any function, expressed only in terms of decision variables, with respect to one decision variable is called the con- strained derivative of the function with respect to that variable. The algorithm to iteratively increase the objective function is very similar to the Simplex procedure of linear programming except that the interchange of a basic with a non-basic variable is not the only possi- bility. Interchange among decision variables is also possible. This results from the fact that for non-linear problems at the optimum a decision variables is not necessarily zero if the corresponding constrained derivative is zero. The algorithm stops when the Kuhn- Tucker conditions are satisfied. Alternate Optimization Policies The design of the allocations was an honest effort to implement the law closely while trying to make the most of whatever freedom was left in the law at the discretion of the enforcement agency. One can also think of a different sort of regulation that would not meet the letter of the law at present but would have sufficient appeal to all using that amendment of the law would become attractive. Work Plan 1. First Phase: Development (1st and 2nd year) The objectives of the first phase are the development of the tools needed in the study. The tools are of two sorts: (a) the computer programs and (b) the data. They are not independent because the com- puter models depend on the selected region on which to check them. The region selected is a fraction of the South Platte River Basin within the State of Colorado. a) Computer programs In development of the computer models great care will be exerted to separate the general aspects from the regional sides so that the same model can be used for other regions by changing the subroutines with regional vocation and only those. This can be achieved by careful (and stubborn) planning with constant attention to reduce the work of the user rather than that of the programmer.. The development of the computer models require work along two lines: conception and implementation. The implementation will require careful, professional programming (i.e. , not by graduate students) . Because of the regional rather than local character of the work, the running costs must be trimmed to the bare minimum. The economic model will require conceptual work for a refined formulation of the stochastic one-stage and multi-stage optimization problem. There will be need for some work on efficient techniques in the differential algorithm. Hopefully, some structure can be found which would permit acceleration. As for the physical model, professional programming will be needed. b) Data assembly This phase must be given priority over the development of the models because of the systematic nature of the study. The nature, availability and degree of completeness will condition partly the model . The efficient processing of the data in a form compatible with the system is also very important. It must be viewed as a standard procedure to be used later on in the enforcement agency, were the agency to adopt the procedures. At least one economist is expected to work on a part-time basis on the judicious choice of the final objective function and constraints. Seasonal Variations Unfortunately, even the fully non-linear version of the transporta- tion problem discussed earlier is very incomplete. It is based on use of mean annual values for supply and demand. It permits, therefore, to plan for the future with respect to trends, e.g. , in demand or tightening of quality standards. If the trend is very marked and more important than annual or seasonal variations, the model and its optimization will provide a sound tool for planning. On the other hand, seasonal variations may be far more important than long-term trends. In that case, this effect must be included in the model and possibly also the presence of random fluctuations. But again, until the real system is closely studied, this is speculation. At least the real system though complex has the advantage of being unique. Only one problem has to be solved. There is no limit to the number of hypothetical problems: PART II, SECTION B, SUPPORTING INFORMATION 1. Project Personnel A. Larimer County_ Grant Director, William C. Manuel, Larimer County Commissioner Regional Technical Coordinator Douglas Wigle, Director, Larimer County Health Dept. Regional Planning Coordinator Dwight Whitney, Larimer County Planner Field Technicians (2) Laboratory Technicians (2) B. Colorado State University — Project Co-Director Hubert J. Morel-Seytoux, Assoc. Prof. of Civil Engineering Project Co-Director David W. Hendricks, Assoc. Prof. of Civil Engineering Graduate Research Assistant to be selected Graduate student Graduate Research Assistant to be selected Graduate student Graduate Research Assistant to be selected Graduate student Graduate Research Assistant to be selected Graduate student Graduate Research Assistant to be selected Graduate student Graduate Research Assistant to be selected Graduate student Admin. Assistant- Secretary to be selected Professional Programmer to be selected 2. Other Project Activity This application has not been submitted to any other agencies - nor is this anticipated. SECTION II- PRIVILEGED COMM .ATION BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES I wnithe t Investigator. nnilnnatlon Pages awl follllowH the member. MNn%format to. eh arn Person') genera NAME TITLE HRTHOATE IMa., Day, V.4 David W. Hendricks Associate Professor of 9/ 10/31 Civil Engineering PLACE Of SHUN ICU,. Connery, PRESENT NATIONALITY (I/ non-U.S. Nikes.Indlcate .ire SIX waIN.) Springfield, Missouri, U. S.A. U. S. ®Mel. ❑Fennel* EDUCATION (Begin with baccala,.rent training fora meld. pawde moral) YEAR INSTITUTION AND LOCATION DEGREE CONFERRED University of California, Berkeley (Civil Engineering) B. S. 1954 Utah State University, Logan (Hydraulic and Irrig. Engin.) M. S. 1960 University of Iowa, Iowa City (Sanitary Engineering -- minor Ph. D. 1965 in physical chemistry) University of Wisconsin, Madison, Sept. 1964-March 1965 (CIC Traveling Scholar--for additional training in water chemistry and dissertation experiments) HONORS None • MAJOR RESWCH IHTHIST 1. Waste management and environmental quality 2. Physical chemistry of waste treatment RELATIONSHIP TO PROPOSED PROJECT Principal Investigator RESEARCH AMOR PRORSSIONAL ESNSIENCE (Stan welsh prevent paNetawt Nw ALL experience rcb.ane to pniect.l 1. Assoc. Prof. of Civil Engineering, Civil Eng. Dept. , Colorado State University August, 1970 - present. - 2. Assoc. Prof. , Assist. Prof. of Civil Eng. , Utah Water Research Lab. , July, 1965 - August, 1970. a. Teaching: (1) water chemistry, (2) unit operations in sanitary engineering (3) engineering systems analysis b. Research: Water quality 3. Graduate Student, University of Iowa, September 1961 - June 1965 a. USPHS Terminal Doctoral Fellowship, May 1, 1964 - April 30, 1965 b. Research Assist. , May 1, 1963 - April 30, 1964 Ecology of Actinomycetes in Natural Streams c. Academic Work: Major in sanitary engineering with some work in fluid mechanics and hydraulics and minor in physical chemistry 4. Instructor, Assist. Research Prof. , Eng. Exp. Sta. and Civil Eng. Dept. , Univ. of Idaho, Jan. 1958 - Sept. 1961. a. Teaching: (1) fluid mechanics, (2) hydraulics, (3) hydrology b. Research: Canal Seepage Additional assignments: 1. Consultant, Eimco Corp. , 1966 and 1967--research on waste treatment equipment design. 2. Consultant, Water Quality Associates, for Cornell, Howland, Hayes, Merryfield--on stream pollution, 1966 and 1967. PHS-398(REV.5-66) t 3. Publications and References (a) Publications by project personnel related to proposed work: D. W. Hendricks (1) D. W. Hendricks and J. M. Bagley, "Water Supply Augmentation by Reuse," Proceedings of the AWRA Conference on Water Balance in North America, Banff, June 1969. (2) D. W. Hendricks, N. P. Dixon, and R. S. Whaley, "System Economic Response to Water Quantity and Quality," Am. Water Resources Assoc. , Vol. 6, No. 4, pp. 682-694, Aug. 1970. (3) N. P: Dixon and D. W. Hendricks, "Simulation of Spatial and Temporal Changes in Water Quality Within a Hydrologic Unit," Water Resources Bulle- tin, Jour. Am. Water Resources Assoc. , Aug. 1970, Vol. 6, No. 4, pp. 483-497. (4) N. P. Dixon, D. W. Hendricks, A. L. Huber, and J. M. Bagley, "Developing a Hydro-Quality Simu- lation Model," Utah Water Research Lab Report PRW667-1, Logan, Utah, June 1970. (5) A. Bruce Bishop and D. W. Hendricks, "Water Reuse Systems Analysis," submitted to the J. San. Engrg. Div. , ASCE, May 1970. (6) A. Bruce Bishop, D. W. Hendricks, and J. H. Milligan, "Analysis Methodology for Assessment of Water Supply Alternatives," paper schedules for AWRA Annual Meeting, Las Vegas, Nov. 1970. (Plus about twelve additional titles) . Also relevant to the proposal are: (7) D. W. Hendricks, "The Metabolism of Society - The Management of Wastes," unpublished Sigma Xi Lecture - Utah State Univ. Chapter, Nov. 1969. (b) Publications by Hubert J. Morel-Seytoux 6KTION n-CNI1/1t4GJQ COMMU. wow . • BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES tsly.ti fi a hJ.rtnallra jar EACH ht,staff member, beflnnln[ with the ldadpal rar. Va/nnttn.aan I.,n wad/allay th. es,( 1 limit far aaA Ierran.l MAMA WU .IRINDAtt IMe., On,Yr.) Hubert J. Morel-Seytoux Civ aigEgf-TR or of 1Gp Ol WIN ICIy.Lw.ensue) mud NA t Of aan•UJ. spleen,indicate .lea S01 00114 . - U. S. Citizen di TUN OTa-ela gitleuroll Was,with bisootleutaso adobes all inel.4. /ayJanardl T4. ' sun AND{0CIITI0N Man C0NTLL85D Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chanssee, Paris M. S. 1956 . Stanford University, Palo Alto, California Ph. D. 1962 Doctoral Major: Hydraulics • Doctoral Minor: Mathematics . IaNen WlM IuwCNDapuf • Multiphase flow in porous Stochastic hydrology Applied mathematics, statistics Systems analysis and computer simulations of complex technical problems YATI0NSNM TO 1801050 NOACT Co-principal investigator 11$IAWd ANDI08 180 ISN0NM OOUIIMCI Oast a li proems DSI$Sl No AU.a pertenea relevant id.prelim) 1966 to present - Colorado State University, Department of Civil Engineering. 1962 to 1966 - Chevron Research Co. , Reservoir Analysis and Applied Mathematics Section. - 1960 to 1962 - Ecole de Guerre, Paris, Department of Military Operations Research. I l PROJECTS - current Hydrological aspects of Weather Modification . Systematic Treatment of the. Problem of Infiltration 'Selection of Test Variable for Minimal Detection of Basin Response to Natural and Induced Changes.' TEACHING - current Foundations of Engineering Optimization Mathematics of Saturated Flow in Porous Media BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH Morel-Seytoux, H. J. , Associate Professor of Civil Engineering Dr. Morel-Seytoux graduated in 1956 with a M.S. degree in Structural Engineering from the Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussee, Paris. He received his Ph.D. degree in Civil Engineering, major: hydraulics, minor: mathematics, in 1962 from Stanford University. From 1960 to 1962, he worked at the Ecole de Guerre, Paris, in the Department of Military Operations Research. From 1962 to 1966, Dr. Morel-Seytoux worked for Chevron Research Company (formerly California Research Corporation) in the Reservoir Analysis and Applied Mathematics Section. From these five years of work in the petroleum industry, combined with his two years military experience in Operations Research, Dr. Seytoux has gained experience in the areas of multi-phase flow in porous media, applied mathematics, systems analysis and computer simulation in complex technical problems. In November, 1966, he joined the faculty of Colorado State University in the Department of Civil Engineering. He is presently responsible for the research program in the Hydrological Aspects of Weather Modification, a brance of the Hydrology Program at Colorado State University. Through his work on statistical evaluation of precipitation management based on runoff as test variable, Dr. Seytoux has developed expertise in the use of statistics particularly in the fields of decision theory and of multivariate analysis. He is currently principal investi- gator of the research projects, "Systematic Treatment of the Problem of Infiltration" and Selection of Test Variable for Minimal Time Detection of Basin Response to Natural or Induced Changes." Professor Seytoux �-. taught a course on "Foundations of Engineering Optimization" this winter, 1971. An outline of this course is appended (Appendix 1) . Publications: Morel-Seytoux, H. J. : "Effects of Boundary Shape on Channel Seepage," Technical Report No. 7, November 1961, Department of Civil Engi- neering, Stanford University, 100 pages. Morel-Seytoux, H. J. : "Flow Characteristics in a Doubly Periodic Pattern of Injection and Production Well Lines for a Mobility Ratio of 1," Technical Memorandum, California Research Corporation, May 20, 1963, 36 pages. Jennings, H. Y. and Morel-Seytoux, H. J. : "Laboratory Tests. Hydraulic Transportation of Iron Ore," California Research Corporation, October 4, 1963, 61 pages, (Confidential) . Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Domain Variations in Channel Seepage Flow," Journal of the Hydraulics Division, Proceedings of A.S.C.E. , March 1964, pp. 55-79. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Unit Mobility Ratio Displacement Calculations for Pattern Floods," Research Report 855, California Research Corpora- tion, December 21, 1964, 96 pages . Dougherty, E. L. and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Simulation of Moving Inter- faces in Oil Reservoirs," in "Computers in the Mineral Industries," Part 2, Stanford University Press, 1964, pp. 845-880. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Integral Equations from an Amateur's Standpoint," California Research Corporation, Technical Memorandum, March 8, 1965, 20 pages. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Analytical-Numerical Method in Waterflooding Predictions," Soc. Pet. Eng. Jour. , Sept. 1965, pp. 247-258. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Unit Mobility Ratio Displacement Calculations for Pattern Floods in Homogeneous Medium," Society of Petroleum Engineers Journal, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 1966, pp. 217-227. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "A Study of Quasi-Linear Noncapillary Two-Phase Flow in Porous Media," Chevron Research Company, Research Report 900, September 23, 1966, 95 pages. (Restricted to Company Ube) . Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Flow of Immiscible Fluids in Porous Media," Chevron Research Company, Technical Memorandum, September 1966, 433 pages. (Restricted to Company Use) . Julian, R. , Yevjevich, V. and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Prediction of Water Yield in High Mountain Watersheds Based on Physiography," Hydrology Paper No. 22, Colorado State University, August 1967, 20 pages. Morel-Seytoux, 11.J. : "A Study of Quasi-Linear Noncapillary Two-Phase Flow in Porous Media," Development in Mechanics, Volume 4, Pro- ceedings of the 10th Midwestern Mechanics Conference, Colorado State University, August 1967, Johnson Publishing Company, pp. 1321-1335. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Yearly Report No. 1, August 21, 1967," Bureau of Reclamation Skywater Project 1967 Annual Report, January 1968, Volume 2, pp. 1-13. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Suitability of Basins to Weather Modification and Statistical Evaluation of Attainment," Final Report to the Bureau of Reclamation for FY 1966 and 1967, Hydrology Program, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, July 1, 1968, Part 1, 62 pages. Part 2, 19 maps. Part 3, 118 pages. Part 4, 30 pages. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Yearly Report No. 2, August 30, 1969," Bureau of Reclamation Skywater Project 1968 Annual Report, January 1969, Volume 2, pp. 7-31. Dumas, A.J. and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Statistical Discrimination of Change in Daily Runoff, : Colorado State University Hydrology Paper No. 34, August 1969, 29 pages. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Introduction to Flow of Immiscible Liquids in Porous Media," Chapter XI in "Flow through Porous Media," R. de Wiest, editor, Academic Press, 1969, pp. 455-516. Nakamichi, H. and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Suitability of the Upper Colorado River Basin for Precipitation Management," Hydrology Paper No. 36, Colorado State University, October 1969, 62 pages. Nimmannit, V. and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Regional Discrimination of Change in Runoff," Colorado State University Hydrology Paper No. 37, November 1969, 40 pages. Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Yearly Report No. 1, August 31, 1969" Bureau of Reclamation Skywater Project 1969 Annual Report, March 1970, pp. 53-68. Brustkern, R. L. and Morel-Seytoux, H.J. : "Analytical Treatment of Two-Phase Infiltration," A.S.C.E. , Hydraulics Division, December 1970. 17 One must remember that the linear form of the decrease of the unit cost with volume transferred is only a speculation. Suppose the unit cost degreases non-linearly with volume transferred. Now the problem is one of minimization of a non-linear but convex objective function subject to linear constraints. Again, the problem can be solved by a solution algorithm known as the Jacobi Differential Algorithm. (An alternative is Dynamic Programming though in view of the probably large number of constraints, not an attractive one.) Speculating further, it is quite possible that the cost Ci not j only depends on Xij but also on XRm if source i is a secondary source depending on the effluent of use m . Then, the total cost function will include terms of the form (possibly) : a(X )S . (Xij) Rm In this case, the Differential Algorithm is still applicable (Geometric Programming becomes an attractive alternative but Dynamic Programming is out) . One degree of speculation further will lead to a minimization problem of a non-linear objective function with non-linear constraints. A differential Algorithm solution is still feasible. This discussion should have shown the futility of speculation concerning the exact form of the Mathematic Programming problem. Close study of the Real System will reveal that form and the case should not be prejudiced beforehand. In addition, the discussion should have shown that System Optimization is not to be equated with Linear Pro- gramming and is advanced enough to justify the effort of trying to apply it to a Real System. Finally, it should have shown that a care- ful analysis of the cost functions based on past available data for 18 the system is needed in order to discover at least an approximate structure to the Mathematical Programming problem. O. Incorporate effects of season demands on a stochastic source In a previous section a non-linear version of the transporta- tion problem was discussed. It was based on average annual values for the supply and for the demand. The model is valid only to the extent that the long-term trend of increase in annual demand is the predominant feature of the system and that it shadows both the seasonal variations in demand and the chance fluctuations in supply. Typically, the demand has definite variations with season but minor chance fluc- tuations. For example, in residential suburban areas of the county, typically the domestic water consumption is low in the Fall-Winter season and doubles in the Spring-Summer period. The ratio of consump- tion in the two periods is very stable regardless of the summer weather conditions. In this case, the demand has a pronounced seasonal character but practically no random variations. The agricultural demand will have similar characteristics. On the other hand, the surface water supply displays under natural conditions both pronounced seasonal variations and considerable chance fluctuations. Typically, the April-September runoff is 10 times the October-March runoff and the coefficient of variation (standard deviation/mean) of yearly flow averages around 30%. In layman's terms, this last figure implies that within a six year record of flow, there is almost certainty that the flow for the wettest year will be about twice that for the driest year. This result, of course, only applies to the natural flow. For well regulated streams with large reservoir capacities, much of the stochastic nature of the flow has been removed. 19 Generally speaking, it can be said, nevertheless, that the demand displays definite seasonal variations whereas the supply may not have a negligible chance behavior. The transportation model can easily be modified to account for the seasonal variations in demand. It suffices to define the new variables Xijk to correspond to volumes of water transferred from source i to use j for season k , with corresponding changes in the total cost objective function and the demand constraints. Roughly speaking, the size of the problem to be solved doubles if the year is divided into two seasons, triples if it is divided into three seasons, etc. For Larimer County, the division in four seasons (not necessarily equal) may provide a sufficiently detailed picture of the system. Stochastic Fluctuations The problem of the system may be viewed as a scheduling problem with uncertain and, therefore, variable supply. One can distinguish two types of scheduling, for the short and for the long run. For the long run, "the effect of chance events is reduced to a minimum by the usual technique of providing plenty of fat in the system. . .with the hope that it will be a shock absorber, which will permit the general objective and timing of the plan to be executed in spite of unforeseen events. More precisely, the fat is introduced into the system so that, whatever be the random unforeseen event, the activities chosen will still be feasible" or in other words, all the water needs can be met. "The effect of chance events is also reduced to a minimum by the tech- nique of providing plenty of slack in the system. By this we mean the scarce exogenous inputs to the system are estimated on the low side, so that it is highly unlikely for the set of chosen activities" (say 20 meeting the water needs) "to be infeasible because of shortages," (unexpected low flows) . As long as water availability is well above demand or if the demands can be shifted in time, the "slack" or "fat" techniques can be employed. For years of drought, short-run scheduling on this basis, coupled with the fact that agricultural water demands cannot be shifted in time, will lead to actions far from optimal. To the contrary of the well categorized types of mathematical programming for deterministic problems, there are no standard approaches to optimization under uncertainty. "One of the basic difficulties is that the problem is capable of many formulations." The particular formulation finally selected will depend on the actual characteristics of the system under investigation. Nevertheless, for the sake of illustration, let us consider the case of the allocation problem with variable costs. Clearly, this is an actual problem. The costs associated with treatment and distribu- tion, their dependence on scale of plant or trunkline, etc. , are not exactly known. There will be a distribution (in the statistical sense) associated with a range of cost values. The total cost objective function, namely (including seasonal effects) : KKC mC nC TC = L C C Cijk Xijk (8) k=1 i=1 j=1 where K is the selected number of seasons in the year, is a random function because the costs are random. In optimization, the objective must be well defined because it is not possible to optimize a random objective function. A convenient (if not rigorous) procedure is to optimize the expectation of the random objective function, namely, 21 TC* = E{TC} = L E{C(X)X} (9) where all subscripts have been dropped for brevity and the symbol E{ } means expected value of { } . The expected value of C(X)X is no longer a random variable and it can be written as q(X) . Thus TC* = I (1)(X) (10) The optimal X's , denoted X , will minimize TC* . The minimum value of TC* is denoted TC*. Once this strategy is adopted, the actual total cost will depend on the actual costs so that the actual total cost corresponding to the X's , TC , will vary more or less widely around TC*. If the range of fluctuation is broad, this may lead to unpleasant and embarrassing surprises. A strategy with a low expected total cost but also great variability may not be as desirable as a strategy which shows greater cost stability. Thus, instead of minimizing E{TC} , one may select to minimize the variance of TC , denoted V , namely, V = E[{TC - TC*]2} (11) subject to the constraint TC* < TC* (l+r) r > 0 . (12) This constraint expresses the fact that one wishes cost stability but not at any price. The strategies for choices of r of 10%, 20%, etc. can be studied parametrically. At a certain point, additional increases in total cost will not reduce risk significantly. One will settle for this reasonably reduced risk acquired at a moderate level of increase in total cost. 22 The random character of costs raised the question of how far off the actual total cost would be from a calculated minimal cost. It was not a matter of whether the plan will work or not, that is e.g. , of whether the domestic water will meet the health standards or not. It was simply a matter of actual cost. The random character of the water supply, particularly of the availability of the surface water supply, raises an entirely different question. If an optimal strategy is calculated (and implemented) based on average river flows, the quality standards may not be met in years of low flow. It is not a matter of calculated versus actual costs. In this case, the cost is fixed. It is now a matter of whether the plan is working as it should. It is now a matter of feasi- bility. Will the plan remain feasible when the assumptions from which it was derived are violated? A possible remedy is to plan not under average conditions but on the basis of low flow, say the 1 in 20 years low flow. This is the typical "fat" or "slack" technique referred to earlier in this section. It will guarantee that the plan will meet the constraints most of the time, practically all the time. With this technique planning is simple but excessive overdesign is guaranteed with the resulting associated unnecessary high costs. The plan has the advantage or disadvantage, depending on viewpoint, to provide superior quality standards most of the time rather than acceptable legal stan- dards. Another approach is to develop a plan based on assumption of a 1 in 5 years low flow, the regular plan so to speak and in addition, to have a contingency plan. The contingency plan is more costly but goes on operation only infrequently. The total objective function is a weighted combination of the most frequent (regular) cost and of the • 23 crisis cost. The weights correspond to the frequency of occurrences of normal versus contingency operations. The problem is the determina- tion of the frequency of occurrence of a contingency. Most likely, no formal statistical derivation of this number is possible for a complex real system. However, that number can be estimated by simula- tion of response of the system to a generated sequence of hydrologic events (Monte-Carlo technique) . f. Define and initial array of reasonable alternatives The entries for the solution matrix must be braodly inclusive in initial stages, to incorporate as entries all vectors (i.e. , row or column entry) which might possibly comprise part of a solution. The existing system of facilities will be the core to be expanded. Whether to enlarge existing plants, develop regional plants, allow transfers and trades in water will be screened through this compre- hensive matrix. Any proposed facility and its size and arrangement in the system can be evaluated. Examples of facilities include storm sewers, dilution storage, tertiary treatment plants, desalting plants; examples of arrangements include whether say the tertiary plant should be a part of an existing secondary plant expansion or whether effluents from the existing secondary plants should be piped to a regionalized tertiary or desalting plant. This initial array will be an expansion of current regional planning studies which are being conducted by a local consulting engineering firm (Moline and Ireland) for Larimer County. These studies will be of considerable value in that many of the factors regarding location of trunklines and treatment plants will have been examined. • 24 Once all of these alternatives are listed, they can be screened for physical, social, political and financial infeasibilities. g. Execute the least cost solutions In the previous step, we selected the individual row and column entries for the regional matrix. In this step, we must find the least cost optimum solution. We do this in accordance with the optimization procedures outlined in Step 5. h. Utilize the least cost solutions in planning the regional system (1) Refined cost estimates of system facilities At this point, we must examine the least cost solution and find the parts of that solution which might be modified in a major way without affecting the system to a major degree. Further, the finer details of cost reality for this specific system must be incorporated. This includes labor costs, willingness of the management to operate the system properly, the refined cost estimates to include rights of way, more detailed consideration of construction costs, and other factors which will be more evident as the familiarity with the system evolves. Thus, we must engage in a preliminary design of the array of transport and treatment facilities and then repeat the least cost solution using refined matrix entries. (2) Sensitivity analysis At this point, we wish to know also how sensitive the system is to relaxing or tightening certain controllable constraints, and to the cost estimates used, and to the quality of data procured. This information will show where to concentrate on in obtaining better cost estimates and data procurement. 25 We can also ascertain the effect of proposed social goals on the system least cost solution; this gives the opportunity cost of that goal. Also, if we relax a law, or assume a basin water firm, as con- trasted with the current fragmented institutional array, we can assess the effect in least cost dollars. The effect of physical boundaries can also be assessed. We can do this by considering the Fort Collins and Loveland areas separately and then together. Though not a definitive study, we may be able to glean some insight into how to draw economic boundaries for regional studies. i. Define the system plan and facilities scheduling through target year In this step, we must translate our studies into a specific and tangible program. The time phasing, sizing, and location of plants, trunk lines, and main water distribution lines will be delineated. j . Deliver an operational model to EPA We plan to develop our model so as to contain as much generality as possible. We will do this by means of subroutines, each containing a component, attached to a general solution algorithm. We will do this for two reasons: (1) the general plan of approach and the details for execution can be made intelligible to others, and (2) the details of execution will differ not only in numerical inputs, but in method of approach for many details, characterized as subroutines. In addition to the computer algorithm, we plan to outline a verbal solution algorithm illustrated on a small scale, but unsimplified, showing functional relationships for costs, etc. , and solution methods. The value of our work may be primarily in the fact that it was done. 26 This fact, per se, in addition to the specific mode of approach may be the prime value. Thus, we assess the value of our work as follows in decreasing order of real world impact: (1) We have actually done a comprehensive water systems anal‘ ,. : ,. on a regional scale (2) We have outlined a general mode of approach-- i .e. , an algorithm of procedures applicable to a real system. (3) We have a systems analysis regional water planning model that is operational 1. Project organization Figure 5 is one concept of project organization. The goal of this organizational chart is to both fix responsibilities and to provide a line of authority which can work expediently in solving problems. In this table of organization, Larimer County is the policy making body, while the operation is handled by the CSU project directors. Table 1 shows how each task in project execution and operation is to be accomplished. The project will be managed by use of an expanded Table 1 and by the PERT-time diagram, Figure 6. Based on the results of the study another table for data procurement with Weld County and other cities, will be prepared jointly with Larimer- Weld Regional Planning Commission. k. A Comprehensive River Basin plan is to be presented to the Colo- rado State Health Department, Colorado Planning Commission and the Environmental Protection Agency for certification. U '1 ..- 4- . 4- 0 N h . C1 C N J m •O C ro Y U b i 4-1 C O U b N 4t S- 01 L0 CJ O'fl .. L C7 VI •r CO > O H111 ez LO • N W * w N fn N C.7 O i Q O O it f L r > A W• C +> N CrC L O C .r O L s- r 40- J Al C N ytn 4) U VI yy -" J r CO3 ¢ i >> I' ftS to ............. .E _. CD • V N U U i In 4 c C I O C1 — C O O 01 i y S . a 4 a C rt 0) R! C r C J i N 0 i r - •r ,p d 0 C Y -1 RC U +1 0) •11 U I- 4-1 C) --- 0 0 r-- a. L - MC ,-- C ik L ti, r N -1 a C V; N CD CD C V r C R/ 0 C 0.0 a••••• i Q Q! r vi S- > N..14 J U CT W • Y L N .0 L- N 1/ N r �k Y • r 3 CID R1 C J•r v-'4 C L f.- o E O +-+ o m O iu U r 28 /'� . • Table 1. Work Distribution Project Tasks M W U • U N U ..-I 4.. U N ♦ F+ W W W N �6 U Q �n ID e y• • k v2 U - QN `.1 et. vi u'1 •QQO U to U CJ �+ .U.1 U 0 x e) d (.3 d 0C d H o. tat!O.. U U Task Description Project General Orientation X X i Project General Direction and Responsibility X CSU subcontract project direction and — Responsibility X X r — . Project Overall Technical Direction X X X Project System Analysis Direction X X J Fiscal Control X X X Fiscal Operations X X X � Quarterly Progress Reports _.__...X X X X I Fiscal Quarterly Reports X i Literature Searches XXXXXX T 7 Physical System Data Procurement X X Cost Data Procurement _ X X Growth Projections Data _ X Data Analysis _ X X X X - Data Analysis Review X X X Regional Model Design X X X Delineation of constraints v physical X X X social X X X political X X X economic X X X • Delineation of system component alternatives X X X System Mathematical Description X X X r X X X System Optimization _ Xi j X Optimization Algorithms X X X Computer Programs X X X Sensitivity Analysis X X X T X X _ r Opportunity costs of alternative policies X X X X X Optimal Policy X X X I X X Delivery of Operational Model to EPA X X X XI X • Specific Selected Regional Plan in t time and space X X X : o Syrr 44 i W 11 4 d L 5 '~YO `— - y e O. 7 �—' �p tO Y d OL. � o 'a mbds • ) v L2E o. o oy� 9 o o. Ta ° •° a ! 4 g . d Y °u CD it' Y °� a� o • 'i .. 4i 8 Dii Yn u -a /8 o To ap A .-4 N� L y Y 0 « I I t a• \-- ..a. N Y 0 r •� O M J; ' Y c v T 1 Y « e 3 u a L on ri 41 ) C.1 .w C Y ( O b o b Id 7 Y CO L M •-• u 6 $ o .a. O Y i a) v C u A ' Y o 7s 74 8. pJr 1 M o u «uu ^' '�^o o u co. P . _ '- '1- ... C \ C �j i I ,O Y .o y o O Y ... 1l/P4 La O ` N Y C a i n yQ ' 6 G to 0. 1 L 10I 6 oB i i e \ n p m. A O / / Figure 6: PERTdiagram to show anticipated scheduling and tasks for operation of project; year 01 only. -5- a O. W L • Lam._ / / / / / 0 M O r O y m 804 • . ea_ re M V 9 •� F O .. O myna ro4V0w p 1 0 / ypO N plme yyp OOu 9 Ei V k C E 0 • n W N. \ I \ N 9 eaEm2 to CD d o' 6 -4 , O N m 0 . a O U • M• N — co N .. N 0 O,— O 4 10 O N 6 i / \ 1j . —vl``, • .. I v1 dI i e d I 4i 0. m y ; 9 I l / _ \ \. m a C C N C N N O w 0 .g u 2 N u .� u 9 O L 9 N y.� L e 9 '00 ri; '�' C L O. V _ 'eff_ 0 en 0 W y O. y °' v 0 a o o .. o am, g. c U1 f 9 F. a � / U m o m m M y I. ., N u • en 1 1 4. Project Facilities This work will be performed primarily at the Engineering Research Center, a large three-story office and laboratory building located at the Foothills Campus, Colorado State University. This building is used by graduate students and faculty in the various research programs in the College of Engineering; the sanitary engineering program occupies about 2200 square feet (there is a sanitary engineering laboratory on the main campus which occupies 900 square feet making a total labora- tory space of 3100 square feet) of this space. The building is rather complete in the support facilities provided, such as library reading room and library procurement service (with main library) , card punching services, and computer center courier service, etc. The facilities required for this project will be office and computational space will be needed for three graduate students and a secretary, which can be provided. The CSU Computer Center computer is a CDC 6400,' located in the Engineering Building. This computer is adequate in storage and speed for the modeling requirements of this project. A remote terminal to the CDC 6400 is scheduled to be installed in the Engineering Research Center in November 1970. The immediate turn around time provided by this terminal will result in significant economy of time over the conventional procedure. REFERENCES 1. Beard, L. R. 2. Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District, "Thirty Third Annual Report 1969-1970," District Office, U.S. Highway 34, P. 0. Box 679, Loveland, Colorado. 3. Larimer Weld Regional Planning Commission, "Interim Water and Sewer Planning," April 1971, P. 0. Box 2137, Fort Collins, Colorado 80521, Service Building, Greeley, Colorado 80631. 4. Fort Collins Chamber of Commerce, "Designing Tomorrow Today," Dec. 1970, Report. 5. Moline and Ireland Consulting Engineers, "Area Sewerage and Sewage Treatment Facilities Development Plan for Larimer County," Larimer County Health Dept. , Fort Collins, 1970. 6. U. S. Bureau of Reclamation, "Concluding Report, July 1966, Cache La Poudre Unit, Longs Peak Division," Region VII, Denver 7. Misbach, G. , "Comprehensive Survey of Cache La Poudre River - May 5 through June 12, 1970," Water Pollution Control Division, Colorado Dept. of Health, 1970. 8. Misbach, G. , "Comprehensive Survey of Cache La Poudre River - Supple- mental Report - Sept. 8 through October 13, 1970," Water Pollu- tion Control Division, Colorado Dept. of Health, 1970. 7 a key source of data and a core of ideas for feasible locations of head- er and trunk lines and one set of alternatives for size and location of waste treatment facilities. Our work would use these current studies as a basis for extension into total comprehensive planning, which will examine additional alternatives in size, location, and type of treatment, and will introduce optimizing techniques. Actually the Larimer and Weld counties are already quite advanced in their perspective of total com- prehensive planning - having formed the Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission in 1969. This Commission has, in turn, recommended a two county regional sanitary authority. b. Development of a suitable framework for analysis and date utilization. We plan to use the mass balance principle to model the quantity- quality characteristics of the regional system. The application of the principle to both quantity and quality is facilitated best for the whole system of many individual uses and in-stream changes by matrices de- tailed to the desired degree of resolution. In addition, the matrix concept will be extended, in execution of several other phases of the project, in both utilitarian and conceptual contexts. Figure 2 is a partial representation of the water supply-waste system for the Poudre River basin in Larimer County showing several categories of origin and demand. (For brevity the Big Thompson system is excluded from this ex- ample) . •,"-, n 8 Destination T • F; o c P k ,-, cn .--4 rn 0 O .-, C) N a. •H 0. C: a. F.4 4.+ at ♦.+ at f� •ri o cd cd 4.+ H4 a � X g - HI --• 4 — 0 -- ' OO CI O Ct .-, vii NI vii to a. h O. N cd , ut cd N U r, •- > •H •.•i = K F G = Cl) l • 0- 3 Q = n = a •1, ,-, •,l 4- C 1..-+ •4 • 4.+ O O G .M G O >, U .-4 k b •--- +) v7 b -c$ >., C] •� f,+ •I-I F+ . C) •--i C) -G 1,4 1 r..1 C) c .-.4 U. •-•1 O C) W Cl. fa VI (1) LA 0) 05 O E cd O K O -00 0 Ca N on 0 .- F+ 4-+ f~ 4-+ U 4 U ♦•+ P .= C) U r--c a. U .4 O 0 X ..C b0 u C) cd C) cd cd Mo u w a) 4-) - 0. a0 C) a) m > > 3 - a) • 0) .-1 4- • K • • a 0 o o cd cd 4-+ Origin C) •H •.+ 4- P4 4-+ f-4 OM cd 4-+ OK ++ o cd $-I fr a) a) cd a' cd Ca CO U. 1-- u.. E-- U T = u. C] 0 U.. C/) Cn a. a. a a U Poudre R X Reach A _ _ - Poudre R X X X X Reach B Horsetooth Res . X X . City of Ft. X X Collins Boxelder San. X District - _ South Ft. Collins San. X District 1 Ft. Collins Tr. X P1 . #1 . 1 Reach E X Ft. Collins Tr. P1 . #2 X f -__, Use Sector Regiirement , Fig. 2 Regional Matrix of Water Use-Poudre River in Larimer County 9 C Destination • �;• o w o • 3 • 3 • 0 a • a .~-, X• 0 •:d H •+ to e4 m N O. N O. H td h td vl U .+ .I a) •.4 •.a G O F G G [n O • O. 3 A O O o O .H 44.- c N G O A O .-~+ F 'O •-4 4J h 'O b ,y m H r- F •I O ..i a) b N .-i a) C - P •d a) a) W Gs. N a) .n N OE OE CO 0) O O 'O O O O to N W .C F a+ F V U ♦+ U N F .C a) U .•q O. U X O O X 4 O7 U a) cd a) td O td O U m N N • a O. U U Origin N •-I 3 3 N tO' �' FUi O 1 N �+ O a �+• • O cct k F N N pA c' Oct O CO w F u- F O S 2 t+. m O is. LOU) O. O. CG a' .)q Poudre R X Reach A Poudre R Aq X X Aqi Reach B Horsetooth Res . X X X City of Ft. X Collins _ , Boxelder San. X District _ South Ft. Collins San. X District Ft. Collins Tr. P1. #1 X Reach E - _ _ Aq Ft. Collins Tr. P1. #2 Aq BOD Infl. Requirement Fig. 3 Tableau Matrix of Water Quality Differentials 10 Destination • ...1 73 a s I sa ri <n .-• V 0 4) .--1 (I) N 0. •rl 0.. g a. Fl +•1 1C a) Ye 0 •r•1 0 RS RS i.) rl N r~ • N to r-I • sfi ,--4 )C G+ .0 •rl N 4.J .-•1 ....40 ,..q 0 Q W W --1 cn N 1n En a. <n a. H cd UJ cs In U —4 •rl > •ri •H a g F g >; Ch G • a. 3 c) G 0 •ri 4-, •-1 4-+ CIS ,•r4 .-1 • 4) 0 0 -'1 g ...4g 0 >, U .--1 54 '0 r•+ +J In "O b >,. ao •-1 s-1 ..-1 . -F -1 a) —4W "0 54 r r-i C) �. r-1 u.. r-1 Cl) C) W f1. H N v: 0 0E O MO g O b 0 0 0 cn to 0 .C 54 a✓ f, N U N U 4.) H .. C) U r-1 a. U g 0 0 x .G U U OW WW cE c 00 v) (1) +•1 • Q. la. U U N cd > > 3 • C) • C) •-+ +-I <~ • )C a s~ 0 O cd cd +-) Origin a) •-1 •r-4 $4 4-1 t4 o cd cd +-) o x +-1 o Cd s-1 f•+ C) C) M cx 0 cd 0 co u-. H u F US S i u, ono u. Cl) Cl) a. a. CY. a; U Poudre R Reach A Poudre R Reach B 1 t - 4 l — a i Horsetooth Res . 1 . ) - 1 L City of Ft. Collins Boxelder San. District • South Ft. Collins San. District Ft. Collins Tr. P1 . #1 _ _ . Reach E _ Ft. Collins Tr. P1 . #2 _ _ _ - . Use Sector Requirement . Fig. 4 Tableau for Unit Costs 11 Figure 2 shows the 1970 distribution quantities among the various diversions and returns for the total integrated system (that is the total integrated partial system) . The matrix representation of the system shows all possible system combinations, assuming we are inclu- sive in our row and column entries. Figure 3 shows how the quality dimension is evaluated. Each numerical entry is the quality change that would have to be effected by treatment; the less than 0 entry means the supply quality exceeds that required. These figures are the difference between the effluent (the extreme right column) and the influent quality demand (the bottom row) . We could also approach the quality dimension from the standpoint of a mass balance of the particular quality factor; this could be used to determine the necessary amount of solids removal and an optimum treatment-dilution system to keep the flow system at desired quality levels. Figure 4 is a tableau of fixed unit costs for each feasible transfer in the system. Each entry will be the cost of physical transport of water, Figure 2, plus the cost of treatment necessary as indicated by Figure 3. Figure 4 should be interpreted as conceptual for planning beyond exploratory stages. For detailed and definite planning, the entries in the elements of Figure 4 are cost functions reflecting scale (i.e., size of pipeline, pumps, etc. , and size of treatment plant if necessary) , and degree of treatment (i.e. , what constituents are to be removed and to what extent) . The variable cost functions and other factors are discussed in step d. e-, 12 c. Data Procurement provided by Larimer County, Weld County, City Fort Collins, Greeley, and Loveland. Several categories of data will be needed; these include: (1) hydrologic (i.e. , streamflows, ground water availability, consump- tive use, rainfall, natural water quality--all of which must be characterized regarding time and space distribution, stochastic nature, etc.) ; (2) diversions both current and projection of time demand, (3) quality changes caused by each use, (4) quality changes which can be effected by treatment, (5) costs functions for scale of transport and scale and type of treatment, and (6) population forecasts, fore- cast of industrial character of region, etc. Much of these data will be collated from reports related to various and sundry development activities and studies in the region. These data will be supplemented by utilizing records from water using entities and from surveillance organizations. We anticipate the cost functions will be most difficult to obtain. Some original searches and construction of cost functions will probably be necessary; this is because cost functions are in the first place scarce, and in the second place, then may be somewhat deficient for intact application to immediate real problems at hand. Such original side studies will be minimized, but where necessary then will be kept pragmatic in nature. Again, we will demonstrate how to accomplish such necessary tasks rather than dwell on the end result. The population forecasts, and projections regarding the nature and character of the region will be synthesized through contacts with local sources. Goals in water quality will be determined by existing and projected water quality standards. Existing federal and state laws will be the primary guides for projected limits and character (i.e. , stream standard, effluent 13 standard) of the laws; this tangible information will be supplemented by local goals where they are formulated. Drinking water standards are readily available for the domestic supply side. Standards used for irrigation and the array of industrial uses will be guided by literature sources, supplemented by ascertaining local industry requirements. --Growth Projections-- Several design target dates must be designated in order to properly determine the phasing of individual facilities. This information will be supplied through County Planning Office and County Health Department. Demands for water and effluent quantities must be projected into each water using sector. Such projections are inherently "uncertain" (we use the term "uncertainty" in its mathematical sense as well as its conventional connotation) . Our project should accommodate the uncer- tainty factor in the system design; the systems analysis algorithm does, in fact, include the uncertainty factor. Also, our plan should contain flexibility in its schedule for implementation, such that better options not presently foreseeable are not closed. Such changes might be caused by errors in growth projections, economic character of the region, and social goals of the region. --Constraints-- The term "contraints" is used in its mathematical sense, to indicate the limitations within which a solution must take place. These include both man imposed requirements, and the nature of the water supply as it is found in nature and after modifications by man (i.e. , Horsetooth Reservoir) . The existing waste collection system 14 and treatment system are included also. Virtually all of these can be characterized mathematically. Other categories include: (1) legal, such as water rights, water quality standards; (2) social, such as aesthetic goals for the adjacent land use and for the uses of the stream system (these may be destined to become legal constraints, upon action through the political process) ; (3) physical, such as the natural inflow quantity and quality characterized mathematically. d. Solution Algorithms for Least Cost Linear programming - Figure 4 is the basis for optimization by the "transportation algorithm", from linear programming. If we designate i as the particular row in the matrix, or category availa- bility; and j as the column designation, or use category; and Xij as the amount transferred from the particular i origin to the jth destination; ai as the total category availability; b. as the use demand; m as the number of origins (rows) ; n as the number of uses (columns) ; cij as the unit cost of treatment plus transport to move water from i to j ; and TC as total cost, then we deter- mine the amounts, Xij , to be shipped over all routes so as to minimize total costs by the transportation problem, stated mathemati- cally: m n Min TC = I I c. . X. . (1) i=1 j=1 Subject to the constraints: X . = a. i = 1,2, . . .m (2) j=1 IX. = b. j = 1,2, . . .n (3) j=1 15 We also impose the restriction that Eai < Eb. . We have here m+n equations in m•n variables . The solution is readily found through application of linear programming techniques which have been developed in package form. Bishop and Hendricks (1971) and Bishop, Hendricks, and Milligan (1970) , have shown how to apply this technique to meet expanding quantity demands for water with a fixed water supply, while meeting water quality objectives for the Salt Lake City agro-urban system up to the year 2020. Their results show when to phase in tertiary treatment and desalting, give the size of plants needed, then show all feasible trade offs for sequential water reuse which are cheaper than tertiary treatment and desalting. Their approach is adequate for an initial gross scale planning. However, this is not adequate for the specific level planning which must be done at a finer degree of resolution. To accomplish this we must impose the conditions of reality to a greater degree. The most obvious and important of these new conditions relates to the scale effect; that is unit costs, c. , are not constant, but are some function of the scale of the facility. The transportation algorithm is not adequate for handling problems involving unit costs which are a function of scale. The transportation problem does serve a purpose, however, in defining a useful conceptual framework for displaying the elements of the problem in total perspective. It is also useful in obtaining gross solutions for initial planning. Thus, while we will preserve the concept of the "transportation problem", we must find other algorithms for solution which fit the 16 conditions of reality. Considering the scale effect (i.e. , size of pipeline or plant) on unit cost offers one of the greatest potentials for finding economy. Non-linear methods - To define an algorithm which considers the scale effect we use the linear programming algorithm (transportation problem) as the point of departure. As mentioned, unit cost, c. . , varies with the transferred amount, decreasing as the transferred amount increases. Now one can speculate (it is only a speculation) that the unit cost decreases linearly with volume X. . The mathema- tical statement is: cij = Bij - cij Xij . (4) The constraints of the problem are unchanged and the only difference with the transportation problem formulation (Eqs. 1, 2, 3) is that the objective function has the form: m n TC = E (Bij Xij - cij Xij2) (5) i=1 j=1 It is no longer a linear expression but a quadratic one. The problem of minimization of a quadratic objective function such as the one given by Eq. (5) subject to the linear constraints given by Eqs. (2) and (3) is a standard Quadratic Programming problem for which various solution algorithms exist. Again, the problem can be solved easily but the computer costs go up. But, such costs are still relatively small in this case. The optimal policy will show gradual rather than abrupt phasing in and out of sources of supply for a given use. (The linear programming will result in abrupt shifts in such phasing; this can be overcome by parametric programming as outlined by Bishop, Hendricks, and Milligan, 1970) . PART I, SECTION E, PROJECT SCHEDULE • 1. DATA ON CONTRACTS . i A. NAVE ANY CONTRACTS BEEN AWARDED? n YES n NO B. IF YES, LIST THOSE AWARDED(Gave pUrpoCG of contract, name of contractor, and date awarded) 1 • • 2. APPLICANT IS PREPARED TO MAINTAIN THE FOLLOWING SCHEDULE (Not applicable to Clue I Grant.) NUMBER OF •I ITEM CALENDAR DAYS • 6 A. DAYS REQUIRED TO COMPLETE PRELIMINARY STUDIES, AFTER GRANT OFFER IS ACCEPTED: I - 0. DAYS REQUIRED TO COMPLETE ENGINEERING REPORT FOR PROPOSED PROJECT, AFTER GRANT OFFER IS ACCEPTED: 1095 C. DAYS REQUIRED FOR PLANS AND SPECIFICATIONS TO BE READY FOR ADVERTISING FOR BID, AFTER GRANT OFFER IS ACCEPTED: D. DAYS REQUIRED TO LET CONTRACT FOR CONSTRUCTION, AFTER GRANT OFFER IS ACCEPTED: • E. ESTIMATED TIME TO COMPLETE CONSTRUCTION AND INITIATE POST-CONSTRUCTION STUDIES: F. ESTIMATED TIME REQUIRED FOR POST-CONSTRUCTION STUDIES: G. ESTIMATED TIME REQUIRED AFTER POST-CONSTRUCTION STUDIES FOR PREPARATION OF A FINAL TECHNICAL REPORT TO EVALUATE FINDINGS: PART II, DETAILED PROJECT DESCRIPTION (Part Il o/the application shall provide a detailed description o/the project plan, supporting information, and miscellaneous informa- tion. The description shall be prepared in accordance with the Instructions for completing Part II to assist in the review o/ this application. Begin here and use continuation pages as necessary.) Section A, PROJECT PLAN • • • FWPCA 211 (Rev 3.69)(Page 9) *U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE:1969 0-669-ill • • Colorado State University PART I, SECTION D-2, FINANCIAL DETAIL • RESEARCH/DEVELOPMENT/DEMONSTRATION STUDIES (Cont.) . f -- TRAVELER DESTINATION AND PURPOSE NO OF COST PER COSTTRIPS TRIP D. W. He dricks Professional meetings related to 2 300 $ 600 H. J. Mo el-Seytoux project 2 300 600 $ : D. W. H ndricks Local trips within the project 50 15 750 H. J. Morel-Seytoux area for information, data co LL collection, consultation with Graduate Research with local authorities Assistants T9;vsa ITEM PURPOSE • e Quarterly Progress Report: To report project progress and collate $ Annual Reports, Publica- significant findings. 1,000 g 9 tions Y i u TOTAL G $J 0nP ITEM PURPOSE . .. . .......... CDC 6400 for developing regional models c CP @ 315/hr 5,000 = PP @ 65/hr • 3,000 TOTAL N $8.000 LIST ANTICIPATED CONTRACTS BY PURPOSE. PROBABLE CONTRACTOR IF KNOWN, AND ESTIMATED COST $ I O Y S V TOTALI $ LIST RATE, BASE OF COMPUTATION. AND NEGOTIATING AGENCY $ • • 0 U a 4 TOTALJ $ PART I, SECTION D-2, FINANCIAL DETAIL - FACILITIES $ e 0. S C e � Y S y 2 Y e O I TOTAL K $ FWPCA 211 (Rev 3.69)(Pogo 6) PART I, SECTION 0-2, FINANCIAL DETAIL - RESEARCH/DEVELOPMENT/DEMONSTRATION STUDIES • P TIME ON v - NAME POSITION RO OFESSIO ESMON ANNUAL PROJ CT COST ONSMLL (9.or Irej David W. Hendricks Assoc. Prof. of Civil Sanitary Eng. 25,740 1/2 $12,870 a Engr. System Analysis Hubert J./ Morel-Seytoux Assoc. Prof. of Civil g Engr. Hydrology 24,192 1/2 12,096 i 1 Economist Operations 24,000 16.7% 4,000 . $ Research A 6 Grad. Research Assistants 7,860 62% 29,250 • s Admin. Assist-Secretary 6,204 100% 6,204 Professional Programmer 9,600 100% 9,600 Keypunch Operator 4,860 50% 2,430 3 Undergraduate Students _ 12 cm 33% 4.150 .... ........ ............ ...... . • NAME TVP[S OF [[NE FITS(SoeL/$scarify, Oroup Li/s lnsuraneq Rsfiromsn f, etc.) David W. Hendricks PERA 81% $ 1,094 • Hubert J. Morel-Seytoux PER 81/2% 1,028 n Economist PERA 8'% 340 !Adm. Asst. PERA 8'% 527 • °Programmer PERA 8h% 816 .Keypunch Op. • PERA 8'% 207 m • TOTAL S 44.012 1e CONSULTANT(if known) SERVICES To S[ PERFORMED a S S V TOTAL C Ii $ ITEM NOW O[T A I N[D(purchase, rental, furnished by applicant) 6 IBM Card Files (2) Purchase 700 Electronic Calculator Purchase 3,000 a le Time/Data 100 Purchase (jointly with several other projects) 500 a TOTAL O $ 4,200 ITEM NOW OBTAINED(A0 in D. above) OT ITYAN• UNIT COST Office Supplies 2,000 Computer Cards and Tapes Microfilms s Microfilm prints Xeroxing, etc. W tOT•L E $ 2,000 PWPCA 211 (Rev 3-69) (Page S) 1 1 REGIONAL WATER QUALITY-QUANTITY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS 1. Project Objectives The broad goal of this work is to develop and demonstrate a pragmatic methodology for total planning of an integrated water supply- liquid waste handling system on a regional scale (county wide and larger) . The specific objective of this project is to develop a plan to meet present and future water quantity-quality requirements for the various categories of water use (domestic, industrial, agricultural and in-stream) . The achievement of this objective will require, of necessity: a) defining the size, location, and time phasing of added facilities for physical transfers of water (in main water supply header and trunk waste lines) b) defining size, location and time phasing of necessary added facilities for effecting quality improvements in the water (i.e. water treatment, waste water treatment, tertiary treatment, de- salting) . Additional peripheral objectives are to examine the effect on the minimum system cost of: (a) modifying a goal (such as for in- stream water quality) , (b) foregoing certain uses (i.e. allowing the purchase of water rights) , (c) developing new supplies (e.g. ground water) , (d) consolidating organizations (i.e. compare the minimum cost of the system designed for a conventional fragmented institutional array with that of a basin water utility firm) or (e) modifying the physical boundaries selected. • 2 We should emphasize that a major goal implicit in our objectives is to develop pragmatic guidelines for total water quantity-quality planning in a systems context. The demonstration of the applicability of system analysis concepts and the implementation of a policy deduced from optimization procedures for a real water using political entity are perhaps the most important goals of this proposal. As a peripheral goal, we will attempt to assess the value or benefits of the systems analysis approach to total integrated water planning. 2. Need for Proposed Work Over the past decade the concepts of system analysis have pene- trated the water resources field (we include water quality aspects in our use of this term) . In fact, within recent years the literature is quite replete with papers on various aspects of the subject (See Appen- dix A) . Yet an eminent practitioner, Leo R. Beard, Chief, The Hydro- logic Engineering Center, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers, points out that as of late 1970 he knows of no specific application of systems analysis in actual design. (1), Implementation of systems analysis principles into project design is a formidable task. The charter of the planning organization may be too limited in scope; expediency in accomplishing the most pressing and quickest solutions may be necessary; institutional constraints, are more often than not a major impediment; data requirements may be ill defined. Also, the subject is new and there are few individuals who have more than a partial grasp of the subject. Those who are well versed have literally pulled themselves up by their bootstraps, so to speak. A good comprehen- sion of economics, capabilities in operations research, a more sophisti- cated computer orientation, some grasp of the political and social 3 institutional dimensions, a thorough knowledge of a problems physical dimensions, and then a comprehension of real world limitations related to data procurement, budget constraints---all of these qualities, in a genuine sense, are hard to find in all but a few individuals. Practitioners who are congnizant of the benefits of the systems approach are increasing; they complain, however, of the massive and unrealistic data requirements, nebulous or abstruse functional relation- ships, and the myriad of other details that make the difference between theory and practice. Our proposed project meshes with this evolutionary development of systems analysis in two ways. First, in a general way, our project is designed to bridge the gap between theory, numerous particular exercises in operations research, discussions-and absorbtion of systems analysis principles into engineering practice. Though subtle, and not necessarily formalized in discussion elsewhere, this is perhaps a most important benefit. Second, our application of systems analysis principles will articulate methodology for implementing in an enlightened and comprehen- sive manner, a number of poignant present day concepts in waste management; these concepts include: water reuse, regionalized treatment plants, comprehensive basin planning in both quality and quantity dimensions, and total water planning in terms of both the supply side and the waste side. The merits of these concepts have been recognized for several years by the Federal Water Quality Administration. This cognizance began formally with the Water Quality Act of 1965, which provides financial incentives for regional planning of waste treatment plants. The planning provision of the act has been essentially dormant since enactment, however. More recently, this provision has been reinforced with the • 4 administrative stipulations that: (1) water quality standards will be enforced, and (2) allocation of federal grants for municipal treatment plants will require the existence of a comprehensive river basin or regional plan. The implementation of systems analysis techniques and approaches is now a necessity. This is difficult, however, because these concepts have not yet been translated into engineering practice. The current conventional planning approaches will surely fall far short of a total planning perspective intended unless systems analysis techniques, as well as attitudes, have penetrated such planning. 3. Plan of Operation We enumerate the individual steps for execution of project objectives as follows: a. Selection of a suitable regional system for the demonstration. This must be a system large enough and diverse enough in its water using characteristics, and which possesses significant present and/or potential quality-quantity problems, such that the demonstration holds promise of a significant application of systems analysis, and is amenable to gleaning specific articulation of systems analysis methods applied to a real system. It is important also, for our purposes, that the system chosen be tractable in terms of its size, its complexity, and its data availability in relation to project objectives, budget, and personnel. The selected area falls under the jurisdiction of the Larimer Weld Regional Planning Commission. It includes the Poudre and Big Thompson basins and the fraction of the South Platte basin within the two counties (Figure 1 is a location map) . . s' •f ' - /1 Collin$ wta7�?2. d�f!''r Dine.? ree ribs RA.' 3'. Th a. / // l 1 1 !snit's:. r� ' \:-- . `. �klder /�, ``. •z I. - V nJer Figure 1 Major towns in project area • Project location map 6 The demonstration area shown in Figure 1 contains a diversity of use categories and a large multiplicity of use entities each administered and operated by separate water districts and sewer districts. This area contains of the order of 720,000 acres of irrigated land (2) , using of the order of 1.5 million feet annually; about 40 industries (3) , using probably of the order of 10,000 acre feet annually; and some 30 domestic entities (3) using in aggregate about 35,000 acre feet (3) . Currently there are 12,000 water metered customers in the Ft. Collins urban area (pop. 47,300 in 1970-without students) ; 38,000 are projected for year 2000 (population 146,000 projected (4) . The projected Ft. Collins municipal demand for year 2020 is 70,000 acre feet. Within the Larimer Weld region, there are some 30 municipal water districts (3) , 9* sewer districts, and 32** irrigation ditch com- panies which have responsibility for water. Also, there are 11 existing or planned waste treatment plants 1/ and 10 water treatment plants (3) . Also within the Poudre River, the disparity between existing and desired water quality goals is currently very great (7,8) . Currently, Larimer County is sponsoring the development of a regional plan for both water supply and sewage collection and treatment. This effort will provide * Larimer County only (5) **Poudre River Basin (6) 1/The DTT Chamber report (4) (p.8)projects a 150% increase in sani- tary sewer facilities will be required by 2000, from 10.5 mgd in 1970 to 25 mgd in 2000. • Yh k. it , �F i ryh+ - ' .� iY ( r I- I e/ �' a 50,000 ,- . I - • ' /4/ y -',\-k, ky I I 40,000 I I o I I-' 'e>Iw ;PI I I I • , ul I I 1 v 30,000 I. �t_.I , r I J' � ' 1- Ir ' CU I -) / 1 20,000 , `� ( r I � 10,000 - -1 t- , I I I I I I I I I 1 I 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 ---- ear-- - Figure 2 - Projected municipal demand and water supply for Ft. Collins with comparison for 5 city total . N eater treatment plant ®O y Sewage treatment pl nt p ! ,a. % --- Projected urban boundaries (1 � - , A year 2000 J t 1 „ j Feedlots: aver 100 (not shown) 1^ ; il US IS ‘..:::\ ' r I I SC tie ^�irr0. �' E sent ---- 46 1 I t l tl \. i,t i ; r' m .., Ft. C.It/a., y • i4, I 2 .41 r Lan\ '-' r I '‘ a _ I WI I �>I 1 , [O I \%1/2a) !9jo L.l I I Ir 14Lo, 1 1 1 1-40 - t' ' —� ovelavld 1. go ( ' ,re r ,__' 1 it 1 1 t e ® % 1• 1 I `t * - i tautestVs — t._ � R Mg matte I`' �`I I ,_ IPkMa.ak 1I 1 Figure Regional Metro Planning Area Ft. Collins - Greeley - Loveland 1 I I j t i ,{ I 1 I P• l.!AiMARv MA`1f Al RAM p^ 1 , �\ t` A 111!!! I „wte Cafe cw.un[nnn �. •..,a •urwa minus/0 �F , ,, u aom ofi , t :1yF PHASE i ff 4:4 : I 'a; 4, „ „ t.— ______ ___""*. il It t b � � I Fes. 1 t > , r, e)1. -ti,.,.- h''1 , ri_t at Six' ‘ f f. - 3 I. ft T. 1fn. 1 / A .4. 7.,..\.. ' Ol .f tics ,L. ! " ^,. �.. In n* atr} -.....'- p alkelty]�y r t, i -'..° t.7 "...e44Z. ;Ivo 4 i'lt:.—frer, 1-. I. \ y et A,� i T ter - , 1� :Fns.. C-{ .. , " - , .. per. . ' . .. M^ , i ., 4- ' IlfLf a I I • s.i %. d j '.al .''^ V e—L i1/4 ;-i I ti } E — 7--,1 +y,+. tr J r. . s--"J -1. '` Figure 4 Sewerage plans for Ft. Collins and Loveland showing projected population (from Moline and Trnl onr7 ctn.-1..\ APPENDICES Appendix A Letter from Colorado Water Pollution Control Commission designating the responsible planning agency for development of the Comprehensive Basin- wide Pollution Control Plan. Appendix B Authority of the planning agency 1. Charter of the Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission and authorization for charter 2. Authorization and endorsements from political entities: (a) Larimer County (b) Weld County (c) City of Ft. Collins (d) City of Loveland (e) City of Greeley Appendix C Statement by the Colorado Water Pollution Control Commission. • PROPOSED DU OGLT • The budi,ct Iabluatien should shoot the planninc funds needed by source o((unds (ncn•Fedcrnl and Federal) • and by classes of expenditure for ench year of the reprlicnllon. Since approximations are frequently necessary for years beyond the first.budl;et estimates for subsequent years any be amended if necessary. FINANCIAL INFORMATION IN SUPPORT OF PROGRAM APPLICATION s (Furnls/r Information by ye trs If application is lot a period nmre tf ont year) OT AL FUNDS(Federal and norr-Ved.-rnl) II. TOTAL PROGRAM COST(Sum of ail 'a. PROGRAM PERIOD %PENDEO PREVIOUS FISCAL YEAR )'ears !Wed) Y AGENCY FOR BASIN PLANNING FROM(Dote) TO(Dote) • c S • r ILCAL YEAR FISCAL YEAH FISCAL YEAR • COST ITEM FEDERAL % OF TOTAL FF.DEnAt OF TOTAL FEDERAL C OF NON•FCDERAL PROJECT O NON-FEDERAL PROJCCT 0 NON-ICDE,AL PROJECT FUNDS COST FUNDS COST FUNDS COST PERSONNEL (Attach a list e1 fob calceorle• and man•hours on program) • CONSULTANT SERVICES • r FUND TRANSFERS TO OTHER SUPPORTING AGENCIES. LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. AND OTHERS(5piNfy) • • • • • • • SUPPLIES AND MATERIALS(List mafor Items) • •• . . TRAVEL - - PREPARATION OF PLAN AND REPORTS • OTHER(Include printtnt costs end list separately any snake Items Items exec..din.: 57.of total program cost) I 't . TOTAL FEDERAL AND NONFEDERAL FUNDS 100% 100`%• . FEDERAL FUNDS ..NOW FE DE;L FUNDS(Item 10 minus Item 21) • :PC/..147 (3.61) (Pope 4) . • • • • U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR FWPCA USE ONLY FEDERAL WATER POLLUTION CONTROL ADMINISTRATION PROGRAM NO. WASHINGTON, O. C. 20242 - PART nACCOUNT NO. APPLICATION FOR RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND DEMONSTRATION GRANT DATE RECEIVED: PART I, SECTION A, REQUEST AND CERTIFICATION I. TYPee[LLOAAIra[SSGRANT CLASS 11- CLASS III-STORM a CLASS IV- ADVANCED CLASS V- El RatakCN DEMONSTRATION COMBINED SEWER ❑ WASTE TREATMENT El INDUSTRIAL WASTE a. TITLaOFPROIECT Regional Water Quality-Quantity-Systems Analysis a ING ORGANIZATION AND MAILING AOORCS$(ZIP Code) S. TYPE OF APPLICATION('X' 6pp:OPd are box) Larimer-Weld Regional Planning Commission P.O. Box 2137 X NEW Fort Collins, Colorado 80521 REVISION (TO): FWPCA GRANT No: 6 4. PROJECT LOCATION AND mamma ADDRESS(ZIP Code) CONTINUATION(OF): • Larimer County Courthouse, P.O. Box 2137 Fort Collins, Colorado 80521, and a. PROJECT FINANCING Engineering Research Center, Colorado P. FOR TOTAL PROJECT: State University TOTAL PROJECT IFROMI (THROUGH, Fort Coll inc, Colorado RDS71 PERIOD: Q/1 /71 8/31/74 • a. GRANT DIR[CrOR: MAILING ADDRESS(ZIP Code) AND TOTAL PROJECT COST: S TEL CROONS NO. William C. Manuel, Larimer County b. FOR THIS REQUEST. Commissioner P.O. Box 2137 GRANT PERIOD: FROMI THROUGH) • Fort Collins, Colorado 80521 9/1/77 8/11/72 APPLICANT'S SHARE: S 303 - 484-1303 GRANT REQUESTED: S TOTAL: S G. PROJECT DIRECTOR: MAILING ADDRESS(ZIP Code) AND TELEPHONE NO. FWPCA USE ONLY David W. Hendricks APPROVED PROJECT PERIOD Hubert J. Morel-Seytoux a C "ROM THROUGH p8f n e8flitAc,e T4.oforarch doen he1g21CSU T. FINANCIAL OFFICHrrre Roa'adss OORN Funds), MAILING ADDRESS(ZIP Cuda) AND TELEPHONE NO. APPROVED ESTIMATED PROJECT COST William C. Manual APPLICANT'S SHARE i $ P.O. Box 2137 • Fort Collins, Colorado 80521 GRANT REQUESTED s 303 - 484-1303 TOTAL s 10. TERMS ANO CONDITIONS The attached statements and exhibits are hereby made part of this application and the undersigned representative of the Applicant certifies that the information in the application and in the attached statements and exhibits is true, correct,and complete to the best of his knowledge and belief. He further certifies that: He has been author- ized to file this application by formal action of the governing body of the Applicant as is evidenced by the ATTACHED CERTIFIED COPY OF AUTHORIZATION MADE BY THE APPLICANT'S GOVERNING BODY; the governing body of the Applicant agrees that if a Federal grant for the Project is made on the basis of this application or on the basis of any provision or amendment thereof, it will comply with all of the applicable requirements and conditions of the regulations governing goats for water pollution control authorized by the Water Pollution Control Act, as amended (g3 U.S.C. 466 et. seq.) and with such additional conditions as the Commissioner may impose prior to cc at the time of the grant award. j - SIGNATURE OF PERSON AUTHORIZED TO SIGN DATE TITLE: FWPCA 211 (Rev 3-69)(POGO 1) FORM APPROVED BUDGET BUREAU NO. A2-R1562 I q .ate _ �I PART I, SECTION B, SUMMARY DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT GIVE A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE PROJECT,SUMMARIZING THE PROJECT OBJECTIVES AND PLAN OF OPERATION DESCRIBED s IN THE DETAILED PROJECT PLAN (PART II, SECTION A). (Lanett the summery to the space provided) The project objective is to develop and demonstrate a pragmatic methodology for total planning of 'an integrated water supply-liquid waste handling system on a regional scale (county wide and larger) . This will require defining the location of each treatment plant in a regional array, and the size, and time phasing of each plant. Existing and additional primary and secondary plants are considered along with tertiary plants, desalting, and dilution in assessing incremental improvements in water qualitly versus incremental costs. Both treatment costs and the costs of water transport are con- sidere4 as a function of scale. The objective is to meet the projected diversion demand require- ments ' d the quality requirements for in-stream water quality and for each utilitarian use within the sytem. The essential core of the methodology is a planning matrix. This matrix consists of all cate- gories of inputs seen at rows, such as base stream flow, ground water, a stream reach, a diversion, a trea went plant effluent, agricultural return flow, etc. The destinations of these inputs con- sists f a water treatment plant, an irrigation diversion, a waste treatment plant, or another streamjreach. Thus the matrix can display any relationship desired between input vectors (e.g. a row inthe matrix) and each destination category. Examples of entries in the matrix include: 1) the effect caused (i.e. quality degradation caused by use) 2) the effect needed (i.e. quality improvement needed for a given use) 3) the quantities needed for each use 4) th benefits caused by 1) S) the costs for 2) and 3) Optimijzation can be in terms of maximizing net benefits or minimizing costs within the constraints of thsystem. We will use the least cost objective function - since many benefits cannot be assign:t d dollar value. Where necessary to assess intangible benefits we will use the opportunity cost proach. The lanning methodology to be developed by this project is to be oriented toward providing an integx ted regional approach to basin planning. It should provide the capability for assessing the a ect of any one activity within a basin, on all other activities. The results of the demonstration will provide a feasible tangible system plan for the demonstra- tion project area (South Platte, Poudre and Big Thompson river basins within the Larimer and Weld Counties) . In fact the results of the study will satisfy the requirements for a certified basin and regional/metropolitan (Fort Collins, Loveland, Greeley triangle) plan as specified in the EPA Guidelines for Water Quality Management Planning dated January 1971. Clearly the study will be of immedi to value to the Larimer-Weld region for development of a certified plan by July 1, 1973. Howeve , the value of the study to the Larimer-Weld region in incidental (though significant) in the se se that a major goal of the project is to develop the demonstration in such a way that the api L lfh and the planning algorithm will be transferable to system planning in other regions. In fact a option of the methodology and algorithms developed in the study and demonstrated on the Larime -Weld region should facilitate the task of the planning agencies to develop plans in full accordfnce with the EPA guidelines. i PART I, SECTION C, APPROVAL BY STATE WATER POLLUTION CONTROL AGENCY (If applicable) TITLE OF PROJECT Regional Water Quality-Quantity Systems Analysis I GRANT APPLICANT Larimer Weld Regional Planning Commission The project described above, if carried out in accordance with the proposed plan of operation, is hereby approved. NAME OF OFFICIAL STATE WATER POLLUTION CONTROL AGENCY ISIGNATURE OF RESPONSIBLE OFFICER TITLE OF OFFICER DATE • FWPCA 211 (Rev 3-69) (Page 2) • Larimer , e1d Rega..nal Planning Commission - Color,—) State University PART 1, SECTION D-1_, FINANCIAL SUMMARY 1. ESTIMATED PROJECT COSTS DURING GRANT PERIOD w. PROPOSED •Y APPLICANT RwPCA USE ONLY ITEM TOTAL POP QMNT Pgructo GRANT REQUESTED EL.SIELC CoITS FWPCA OFFER A. SALARIES AND WAGES 113,850 80,600 s B. FRINGE BENEFITS 4,012 4,012 N C. CONSULTANT SERVICES D. EQUIPMENT 4,200 4,200 Y H E. SUPPLIES 2,000 2,000 1 z F. TRAVEL 1,950 1 ,950 • Z G. PUBLICATION COSTS 1,000 1,000 W o M. OTHER Computer 8,000 8,000 • IA I. CONTRACTS O 11ILI TOTAL DIRECT COSTS(A thru I) W '"T' tot J. INDIRECT COSTS 11,0% LWRPC ) 59% CCU 59,896 49,921 TOTAL 1/10/0 STUDIES(A thru J) 194,908 151,683 K. CONSTRUCTION-ENGINEERING PLANS L. CONSTRUCTION - SUPERVISION M. CONSTRUCTION - CONTRACTS N. CONSTRUCTION -MATERIALS TOTAL COMsTRUCTION(K thru N) O. OPERATION - SALARIES & WAGES J P. OPERATION - FRINGE BENEFITS I t Q. OPERATION - SUPPLIES R. OPERATION - UTILITIES J • S. OPERATION - REPAIRS r TOTAL OPERATION(O Km S) TOTAL FACILITIES(K fiwu S) TOTAL PROJECT COSTS(A thru S) 194,908 151,683 FWPCA 211 (R, . 3-69) (Page 3) • • • --- - PART I, SECTION D-1, FINANCIAL SUMMARY (Continued) -" - . 2. PROPOSED FUNDING PROPOSED BY APPLICANT FWPCA USE ONLY ITEM• PERCENT FUNQS PERCENT P4ND3 • A. APPLICANT'S SHARE __. . _ 25__-. -.__ .1.43,225 S i B. GRANT REQUESTED 75 151,683 C. TOTAL 100 s194$908 100 $ 3. SUPPORT TO BE USED FOR THE PROJECT ITEM DATE AVAILABLE AMOUNT A. CASH S B. GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS C. REVENUE BONDS OR CERTIFICATES • D. OTHER {Specify) In kind services Set. 1 1971 43,225 �S:•.>:^. ,,'••y;4:?ia,.`j+ ir� :it E. ANTICIPATED FWPCA GRANT ''%�i+'>'?`�zK::'''t':4ig%:a:::i:%`.%",.•"'•;•':n a: :;:: :;:. • • :;....l:..a¢; ,.:y:: >';;. 151 683 F. TOTAL :a. <::>as::z>.as r }a::s `EE-:`sE y:r S � . .: 194 908 REMARKS • FWPCA 211 (R.v 3-69) (Page 4) Larimer-We ld Regional Planning Commission PART I, SECTION D-2, FINANCIAL DETAIL - RESEARCH/DEVELOPMENT/DEMONSTRATION STUDIES PROFESSION ANNUAL TIME ON NAME POSITION OR (KILL 7.orra SALARY PRODgCT COST ( h ) William C Manuel Larimer County Administration 10,000 20% $ Commissioner )rogramming f $ Douglas Wigle Director, Larimer County Sanitarian 20,000 35% 7,000 Health Department • Dwight Whitney Larimer County Planner Planning 13,800 25% 3,460 _ 2 Technicians Field Sampling 8,244 80% 13,190 • i 2 Technicians Laboratory Analysis 6,000 80% 9,600 TOTAL A $ 33,250 NAME TYPES OF BENEFITS(5001.1 S•curitY, Or01ip Life Insurance, Retirement, etc.) $ I • I " a e • m TOTAL B f • CONSULTANT(If known) SERVICES TO BE PERFORMED _ .. ut C B j u TOTAL C f V f ITEM NOW OBTAINED(pureh.ea, rental, furnished by applicant) f . F t 3 d TOTAL D ITEM NOW OBTAINED(as in D. above) TITY I hT• $ .1� • - A W 'YOTAL E PWPCA 211 (Rev 3-69)(Page 5) _ ..e Larimer County Regional Planning Commission PART I, SECTION D-2, FINANCIAL DETAIL - RESEARCH/DEVELOPMENT/DEMONSTRATION STUDIES (Cont.) TRAVELER DESTINATION AND PURPOSE NO. P O COS TRIP COST TRIPS s e • TOTAL F S ITEM PURPOSE R • $ 3 a 2 • 3 L V TOTAL G S ITEM - PURPOSE f O S TOTAL M S LIST ANTICIPATED CONTRACTS BY PURPOSE, PROBABLE CONTRACTOR IF KNOWN. AND ESTIMATED COST• S • S • TOTALI I S LIST RATE, BASE OF COMPUTATION. AND NEGOTIATING AGENCY S C U e C { TOTAL J f PART I, SECTION D-2, FINANCIAL DETAIL • FACILITIES S 'e s S. 1 i C W C Y 2 C a TOTAL K S FWPCA 21I (Rev 3.69)(Page 6) Hello